Wednesday, November 30, 2011
HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME INFORMATION ABOUT MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system
Monday, November 28, 2011
HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2161 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2161 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, November 27, 2011
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-CHARM THE CROWD 70.4
2-SHESKEY 64.8
3-PHI BETA HEAT 64.2
1-DUBAI PERFECTO 63.6
4-KATY'S KITTY 61.4
RACE 2
2-IMPERIALISTIC DIVA 86.9
7-SECRET COVE 86.9
4-GEMINI R N 84.6
3-LAST STING 84.4
6-ALWAYS IN STYLE 82.6
RACE 3
2-SMASH 112.9
4-CENTRALINTELIGENCE 104.5
1-MASTER CHEF 101.1
6-KING KELLY 88.1
3-INDIAN WINTER 85.5
RACE 4
10-SMALL BUT MIGHTY 76.0
1-IRRIDESCENT RED 70.9
8-LUTESS 69.2
5-THREE FOR MARINO 68.6
2-JUDGE JOAN 68.1
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
2-BLUE WHITE FIRE 84.1
7-BATTLE FORCE 83.2
1-HANDSOME MIKE 81.9
3-MOTOWN MEN 77.0
8-STONEY FLEECE 76.6
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
12-PURPLE THUNDER 44.2
16-ANSEDE 43.8
4-PARIS CAR SHOW 42.4
7-SECRET GENIUS 41.1
11-MOLLIE'S WILD CAT 37.4
1st time starters - 3, 5, 1
RACE 7
7-TRANSGRESSION 86.3
11-ELUSIVE COOKIES 79.0
8-EULA B. 78.5
2-STORMEY SLEW 70.3
9-MADRE LUNA 67.0
1st time starters - 3
RACE 8
7-MERITRICIOUS 83.2
6-PREFERRED MANDATE 69.2
2-LIBERAL ARTS 67.0
5-BREAKMARK 65.9
14-WILD AND TRUE 64.8
RACE 9
3-SLUMBER 110.0
12-WILLCOX INN 106.6
4-WESTERN ARISTOCRAT 105.2
5-CASINO HOST 101.8
6-VENOMOUS 101.8
1st time starters - 8 (in U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
11-BLING CHA BLING 81.4
2-THE ROAN RANGER 72.0
6-SPIT BALL 70.3
3-BOAT TRIP 67.0
8-SIR NEWCASTLE 65.9
1st time starters - 1, 4, 9, 13, 14
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-CHARM THE CROWD 70.4
2-SHESKEY 64.8
3-PHI BETA HEAT 64.2
1-DUBAI PERFECTO 63.6
4-KATY'S KITTY 61.4
RACE 2
2-IMPERIALISTIC DIVA 86.9
7-SECRET COVE 86.9
4-GEMINI R N 84.6
3-LAST STING 84.4
6-ALWAYS IN STYLE 82.6
RACE 3
2-SMASH 112.9
4-CENTRALINTELIGENCE 104.5
1-MASTER CHEF 101.1
6-KING KELLY 88.1
3-INDIAN WINTER 85.5
RACE 4
10-SMALL BUT MIGHTY 76.0
1-IRRIDESCENT RED 70.9
8-LUTESS 69.2
5-THREE FOR MARINO 68.6
2-JUDGE JOAN 68.1
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
2-BLUE WHITE FIRE 84.1
7-BATTLE FORCE 83.2
1-HANDSOME MIKE 81.9
3-MOTOWN MEN 77.0
8-STONEY FLEECE 76.6
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
12-PURPLE THUNDER 44.2
16-ANSEDE 43.8
4-PARIS CAR SHOW 42.4
7-SECRET GENIUS 41.1
11-MOLLIE'S WILD CAT 37.4
1st time starters - 3, 5, 1
RACE 7
7-TRANSGRESSION 86.3
11-ELUSIVE COOKIES 79.0
8-EULA B. 78.5
2-STORMEY SLEW 70.3
9-MADRE LUNA 67.0
1st time starters - 3
RACE 8
7-MERITRICIOUS 83.2
6-PREFERRED MANDATE 69.2
2-LIBERAL ARTS 67.0
5-BREAKMARK 65.9
14-WILD AND TRUE 64.8
RACE 9
3-SLUMBER 110.0
12-WILLCOX INN 106.6
4-WESTERN ARISTOCRAT 105.2
5-CASINO HOST 101.8
6-VENOMOUS 101.8
1st time starters - 8 (in U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
11-BLING CHA BLING 81.4
2-THE ROAN RANGER 72.0
6-SPIT BALL 70.3
3-BOAT TRIP 67.0
8-SIR NEWCASTLE 65.9
1st time starters - 1, 4, 9, 13, 14
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, November 26, 2011
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-QUEENIE MARINI 70.9
3-HI HO YODELER 70.3
4-MEMO TO KATHY 66.4
5-WARREN'S FLYER 63.9
6-LILY AMORE 61.6
RACE 2
2-LORD'S MINISTER 83.8
1-SILVER DRAGON 76.6
3-TINGALEO 70.3
7-MCCARROLL 66.4
4-FORDHAM ROAD 52.0
1st time starters - 5
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
3-TWELVE FOLDS 75.4
7-VICKI VICTORIA 66.4
8-SPEEDWAY MONKEY 61.1
4-WILLOW SEARCH 55.5
1st time starters - 6, 1, 2, 5
RACE 4
2-VICTORIAN PRINCE 93.9
3-WALTZING WITH BLUE 90.7
8-PORFIDO 88.1
6-EL MERITO 87.5
7-DRESS CODE 85.2
1-MISS HEIR 85.2
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
1-YES IT'S SNOWING 63.2
8-PLENNY OF HENNY 62.7
2-NATE DAWG 58.5
9-WARREN'S BANDIT 55.5
4-ITHOUGHTIPAIDYOU 52.6
RACE 6
3-QUIET INVADER 102.5
9-M ONE RIFLE 102.5
5-SHEDIAK 102.5
7-CARBONITE 101.1
2-IRREFUTABLE 99.8
RACE 7
5-VIA VERDE 93.9
7-MANDATED BLISS 93.8
1-THINKING OF GIRLS 88.8
2-THUNDER OF ZION 83.2
4-BLUE JAY ATTACK 78.4
RACE 8
5-SMART SPENDING 92.6
3-CLEAR 89.4
7-GATOR WARRIOR 88.8
4-LEOTHELION 88.1
6-RED ACE 87.4
RACE 9
7-BOB BLACK JACK 110.0
2-JERANIMO 104.5
9-JOHN JOHNY JAK 104.5
1-CALIMONCO 99.1
8-ASSESSMENT 95.8
RACE 10
6-NONREFUNDABLE 74.3
10-CRESTATORRE 63.2
11-SEEK THE LIGHT 61.1
14-BIGBARI 61.1
13-ONEBADBOY 55.0
1st time starters - 9, 8
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-QUEENIE MARINI 70.9
3-HI HO YODELER 70.3
4-MEMO TO KATHY 66.4
5-WARREN'S FLYER 63.9
6-LILY AMORE 61.6
RACE 2
2-LORD'S MINISTER 83.8
1-SILVER DRAGON 76.6
3-TINGALEO 70.3
7-MCCARROLL 66.4
4-FORDHAM ROAD 52.0
1st time starters - 5
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
3-TWELVE FOLDS 75.4
7-VICKI VICTORIA 66.4
8-SPEEDWAY MONKEY 61.1
4-WILLOW SEARCH 55.5
1st time starters - 6, 1, 2, 5
RACE 4
2-VICTORIAN PRINCE 93.9
3-WALTZING WITH BLUE 90.7
8-PORFIDO 88.1
6-EL MERITO 87.5
7-DRESS CODE 85.2
1-MISS HEIR 85.2
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
1-YES IT'S SNOWING 63.2
8-PLENNY OF HENNY 62.7
2-NATE DAWG 58.5
9-WARREN'S BANDIT 55.5
4-ITHOUGHTIPAIDYOU 52.6
RACE 6
3-QUIET INVADER 102.5
9-M ONE RIFLE 102.5
5-SHEDIAK 102.5
7-CARBONITE 101.1
2-IRREFUTABLE 99.8
RACE 7
5-VIA VERDE 93.9
7-MANDATED BLISS 93.8
1-THINKING OF GIRLS 88.8
2-THUNDER OF ZION 83.2
4-BLUE JAY ATTACK 78.4
RACE 8
5-SMART SPENDING 92.6
3-CLEAR 89.4
7-GATOR WARRIOR 88.8
4-LEOTHELION 88.1
6-RED ACE 87.4
RACE 9
7-BOB BLACK JACK 110.0
2-JERANIMO 104.5
9-JOHN JOHNY JAK 104.5
1-CALIMONCO 99.1
8-ASSESSMENT 95.8
RACE 10
6-NONREFUNDABLE 74.3
10-CRESTATORRE 63.2
11-SEEK THE LIGHT 61.1
14-BIGBARI 61.1
13-ONEBADBOY 55.0
1st time starters - 9, 8
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, November 25, 2011
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-MARCH MARY 77.8
2-MICHAILASHEARTLITE 67.5
3-WARREN'S IDOL 62.2
5-ANCIENT ARTIFACT 59.6
1-ROULETTE IT ROLL 53.5
RACE 2
7-MARK OF A WARRIOR 83.8
6-GALLETA MONSTRUO 74.3
1-LOOKING FOR CANDY 71.4
5-CLEAR TO CANADA 70.9
9 RUMMYSECRET WAR 70.3
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
10-CHICKIE CHARMS 80.0
9-LATE NIGHT SKY 79.0
4-PATRIOTIC LION 63.2
2-QATAR'S PEARL 63.0
5-TEASING BERNIE 60.1
1st time starters - 6, 8, 11
RACE 4
1-FIARANO 91.9
4-DOUBLEDOWN ON TEN 89.4 (bumped)
5-ABSOLUTCAT 64.8
8-THE DIRECTOR 61.6
3-STOCK OPTION 55.0
1st time starters - 7
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
1-ISLAND PARADISE 74.5
2-YOUR SPECIAL DAY 72.6
7-MORE THAN LOVE 72.0
4-REGAL BETTY 67.2
6-ASSATEAGUE 67.0
RACE 6
5-FULL'S KRIS S. 79.0
3-MY SLEW 69.8
7-ALDADINO 58.0
1-PERFECT ENVOY 55.3
8-UNSTOPPER TOPPER 54.6
1st time starters - 9
RACE 7
1-ERBEIA 98.9
7-HIATUS 91.9
2-JAIRZIHNO 90.7
8-UTOPIAN 88.1
3-ANTIDOTE 86.3
RACE 8
6-TEDDY'S PROMISE 93.9
4-INCLUDE ME OUT 92.6
7-HIGH RESOLVE 85.0 (off Jan. 10)
5-PICK AND PRAY 83.2
1-CAME WEST 79.0
RACE 9
8-NEVER RETREAT 113.6
2-SUMMER SOIREE 107.3
7-STAR BILLING 101.8
6-ALL STAR HEART 99.8
1-UNBRIDLED HUMOR 98.4
RACE 10
13-VIRGINIA WAY 64.3
14-ZOHRAH 54.5
3-WARREN'S BOOGIE 51.1
4-FEISTY FRIEND 41.6
7-SATIN BOUQUET 48.8
1st time starters - 5
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-MARCH MARY 77.8
2-MICHAILASHEARTLITE 67.5
3-WARREN'S IDOL 62.2
5-ANCIENT ARTIFACT 59.6
1-ROULETTE IT ROLL 53.5
RACE 2
7-MARK OF A WARRIOR 83.8
6-GALLETA MONSTRUO 74.3
1-LOOKING FOR CANDY 71.4
5-CLEAR TO CANADA 70.9
9 RUMMYSECRET WAR 70.3
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
10-CHICKIE CHARMS 80.0
9-LATE NIGHT SKY 79.0
4-PATRIOTIC LION 63.2
2-QATAR'S PEARL 63.0
5-TEASING BERNIE 60.1
1st time starters - 6, 8, 11
RACE 4
1-FIARANO 91.9
4-DOUBLEDOWN ON TEN 89.4 (bumped)
5-ABSOLUTCAT 64.8
8-THE DIRECTOR 61.6
3-STOCK OPTION 55.0
1st time starters - 7
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
1-ISLAND PARADISE 74.5
2-YOUR SPECIAL DAY 72.6
7-MORE THAN LOVE 72.0
4-REGAL BETTY 67.2
6-ASSATEAGUE 67.0
RACE 6
5-FULL'S KRIS S. 79.0
3-MY SLEW 69.8
7-ALDADINO 58.0
1-PERFECT ENVOY 55.3
8-UNSTOPPER TOPPER 54.6
1st time starters - 9
RACE 7
1-ERBEIA 98.9
7-HIATUS 91.9
2-JAIRZIHNO 90.7
8-UTOPIAN 88.1
3-ANTIDOTE 86.3
RACE 8
6-TEDDY'S PROMISE 93.9
4-INCLUDE ME OUT 92.6
7-HIGH RESOLVE 85.0 (off Jan. 10)
5-PICK AND PRAY 83.2
1-CAME WEST 79.0
RACE 9
8-NEVER RETREAT 113.6
2-SUMMER SOIREE 107.3
7-STAR BILLING 101.8
6-ALL STAR HEART 99.8
1-UNBRIDLED HUMOR 98.4
RACE 10
13-VIRGINIA WAY 64.3
14-ZOHRAH 54.5
3-WARREN'S BOOGIE 51.1
4-FEISTY FRIEND 41.6
7-SATIN BOUQUET 48.8
1st time starters - 5
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, November 24, 2011
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $62,889.
RACE 1
3-DELUXE BUS 93.9
5-MENTIDOSO 80.2
4-CAT IN THE FOREST 79.6
2-CUT FASTBALL 70.3
1-RUN CANDY RUN 62.7
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
2-FRENEMY 85.0
6-CLEARLY A COWBOY 81.3
4-SKY KINGDOM 69.3
1-ONLY THE GOLD 67.0
3-TREACHEROUS 51.0
RACE 3
7-MUNY 99.1
3-QUIETLY MINE 88.1
1-LT. HOPEFUL 84.4
8-DANCE WITH GABLE 83.3
5-KELLY LEAK 82.0
RACE 4
4-TEACHER TEACHER 81.4
7-RAVEN WILD 70.3
8-CLEAN BREAK 64.1
6-LITTLE UNUSUAL 61.3
1-LUCKYVIC 56.0
1st time starters - 5
RACE 5
5-AMBITIONESS 86.9
3-DASHING DAISY 84.4
2-STAR PRESENCE 77.2
4-TRUE WAY OF GRACE 76.0
6-SMART STRIKING 75.4
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-THE BLACK 63.2
6-FINEGAN AGAIN 59.0
4-GO TO THE PULPIT 57.5
11-FEEL FREE 51.1
3-INSIGHTFUL BOY 46.9
1st time starters - 2, 10
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
6-SO BRILLIANT 78.4
5-HODGE 77.8
7-GALEX 76.6
2-BROTHER FRANCIS 76.6
8-MUCHOS BESOS 71.4
RACE 8
3-C R LOVELY LADY 63.8
4-SOMENCHANTED EVENIN 60.1
5-WARREN'S HOPEFUL 58.5
11-BLUE EYES INCLUDED 58.0
8-GENIALITY 49.7
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $62,889.
RACE 1
3-DELUXE BUS 93.9
5-MENTIDOSO 80.2
4-CAT IN THE FOREST 79.6
2-CUT FASTBALL 70.3
1-RUN CANDY RUN 62.7
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
2-FRENEMY 85.0
6-CLEARLY A COWBOY 81.3
4-SKY KINGDOM 69.3
1-ONLY THE GOLD 67.0
3-TREACHEROUS 51.0
RACE 3
7-MUNY 99.1
3-QUIETLY MINE 88.1
1-LT. HOPEFUL 84.4
8-DANCE WITH GABLE 83.3
5-KELLY LEAK 82.0
RACE 4
4-TEACHER TEACHER 81.4
7-RAVEN WILD 70.3
8-CLEAN BREAK 64.1
6-LITTLE UNUSUAL 61.3
1-LUCKYVIC 56.0
1st time starters - 5
RACE 5
5-AMBITIONESS 86.9
3-DASHING DAISY 84.4
2-STAR PRESENCE 77.2
4-TRUE WAY OF GRACE 76.0
6-SMART STRIKING 75.4
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-THE BLACK 63.2
6-FINEGAN AGAIN 59.0
4-GO TO THE PULPIT 57.5
11-FEEL FREE 51.1
3-INSIGHTFUL BOY 46.9
1st time starters - 2, 10
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
6-SO BRILLIANT 78.4
5-HODGE 77.8
7-GALEX 76.6
2-BROTHER FRANCIS 76.6
8-MUCHOS BESOS 71.4
RACE 8
3-C R LOVELY LADY 63.8
4-SOMENCHANTED EVENIN 60.1
5-WARREN'S HOPEFUL 58.5
11-BLUE EYES INCLUDED 58.0
8-GENIALITY 49.7
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, November 23, 2011
HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Monday, November 21, 2011
HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2155 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2155 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, November 20, 2011
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $62, 889.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
5-PRINCESS ASH 82.6
3-VIONNET 67.5 (slow start)
1-MY BASHERT 65.9
6-FLY SOLO 56.0
1st time starters - 2, 4, 7
RACE 2
3-ANGEL OF MYSTERY 82.0
6-SIBERIAN HEART 74.1
4-RAINBOW LUCK 71.2
8-AKEELA 70.9
9-DISH THE DIRT 69.8
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
3-MADE TO LOVE HER 74.9
5-LADY HOKULEA 70.3
4-EVA'S JOY 67.0
1-EVELYN'S DANCER 55.5
2-WOBEGON 49.7
RACE 4
5-ROOSTER CITY 101.1
1-HOG'S HOLLOW 91.3
4-DR. SMARTY JACK 89.4
2-TIZ ARGENT 88.8
6-TIMES GONE BY 87.5
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-POP THE CORK 49.7
7-TRAWEEK 47.4
4-RIO GOOD 43.8
10-CAPTAIN MAGIC 39.9
3-LIGHTNING MCQUE 32.6
1st time starters - 5, 6
RACE 6
7-SOUL CUSTODY 88.8
9-BROWN IS BEIGE 86.3
1-ALL THE LOVE 82.6
5-THERE IS NO LIMIT 82.0
6-SIXTYSIX MARGAUX 80.9
NOTE: RACING CANCELED AFTER 6TH RACE DUE TO TRACK CONDITIONS.
RACE 7
6-GUTSHOT STRIGHT 89.4
7-PALIO PRINCE 79.9
4-QUINTONS DESTINY 79.0
5-ARRESTING OFFICER 76.0
2-WARREN'S KNOCKOUT 73.7
RACE 8
15-PROMISCUOUSSUANCES 86.9
12-LA SOMBRE 86.3
9-SHESOPROVOCATIVE 82.0
10-PLEASING SUNRISE 80.8
14-MIRACULOUS BABY 77.8
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
2-ARATHORN 54.0
3-ELLO GUV 48.8
1-BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS 47.4
12-SOLANA SOLEIL 42.9
7-MR. CAPPUCCCINO 39.4
1st time starters - 11
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $62, 889.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
5-PRINCESS ASH 82.6
3-VIONNET 67.5 (slow start)
1-MY BASHERT 65.9
6-FLY SOLO 56.0
1st time starters - 2, 4, 7
RACE 2
3-ANGEL OF MYSTERY 82.0
6-SIBERIAN HEART 74.1
4-RAINBOW LUCK 71.2
8-AKEELA 70.9
9-DISH THE DIRT 69.8
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
3-MADE TO LOVE HER 74.9
5-LADY HOKULEA 70.3
4-EVA'S JOY 67.0
1-EVELYN'S DANCER 55.5
2-WOBEGON 49.7
RACE 4
5-ROOSTER CITY 101.1
1-HOG'S HOLLOW 91.3
4-DR. SMARTY JACK 89.4
2-TIZ ARGENT 88.8
6-TIMES GONE BY 87.5
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-POP THE CORK 49.7
7-TRAWEEK 47.4
4-RIO GOOD 43.8
10-CAPTAIN MAGIC 39.9
3-LIGHTNING MCQUE 32.6
1st time starters - 5, 6
RACE 6
7-SOUL CUSTODY 88.8
9-BROWN IS BEIGE 86.3
1-ALL THE LOVE 82.6
5-THERE IS NO LIMIT 82.0
6-SIXTYSIX MARGAUX 80.9
NOTE: RACING CANCELED AFTER 6TH RACE DUE TO TRACK CONDITIONS.
RACE 7
6-GUTSHOT STRIGHT 89.4
7-PALIO PRINCE 79.9
4-QUINTONS DESTINY 79.0
5-ARRESTING OFFICER 76.0
2-WARREN'S KNOCKOUT 73.7
RACE 8
15-PROMISCUOUSSUANCES 86.9
12-LA SOMBRE 86.3
9-SHESOPROVOCATIVE 82.0
10-PLEASING SUNRISE 80.8
14-MIRACULOUS BABY 77.8
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
2-ARATHORN 54.0
3-ELLO GUV 48.8
1-BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS 47.4
12-SOLANA SOLEIL 42.9
7-MR. CAPPUCCCINO 39.4
1st time starters - 11
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, November 19, 2011
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
NOTE: FRIDAY NIGHT OUT OF THE 8 RACES MY TOP HORSE WON FOUR OF THE RACES (($4.00, 12.60, 7.00, 7.60).
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-J MAN 74.7
5-SIR ALLISON 73.1
2-TREATHERLIKEALADY 52.6
6-WHERE'S HENRY 46.9
3-ADONIS D N A 26.8
1st time starters - 8, 7, 4
RACE 2
4-AFLEET DEAL 88.8
2-CAPER'S EDGE 85.0
1-TIME FOR ATONEMENT 76.4
5-HIGH SUCCESS 74.9
3-MACHO DORADO 73.7
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
7-BATALHA 72.0
2-FLUXX 64.3
6-MENDING WALL 61.6
8-WILLOW SWITCH 59.0
9-TWITCH 58.5
RACE 4
2-BONITA STAR 73.4
3-BLUE GRASS MUSIC 73.1
4-SI MAR'S DEAR 68.1
1-VALENTINE'S WISH 64.8
5-CAROUSEL 64.2
RACE 5
9-MINT HUMOR 91.3
3-SAMMY'S A RUNNIN' 86.9
7-HUSBAND'S FOLLY 86.9
2-CHARLIE AND CHRIS 83.9
6-SUN'S OUT 83.3
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
7-EXOTIC SLEW 67.0
4-NEUROSURGEON 47.8
5-LA MANO NERA 37.8 (off slow)
8-MR. PADRE 33.4
10-UNCOMMON SENSE 33.0
1st time starters - 9, 2, 1, 11, 3,
RACE 7
4-BLUEGRASS REWARD 99.8
1-SPUD SPIVENS 86.3
5-KILLER BEAR 85.0
3-BAY RUSH 83.2
2-ARRAIGNMENT 82.0
RACE 8
1-BOURBON BAY 110.0
2-NORVSKY 110.0
7-SANAGAS 104.5
4-MISS MATCH 102.1
6-ASHTAR 100.4
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
10-CANDY AND NUTS 57.5
4-RUSH BABE 53.5
8-STORMY LUCY 53.0
5-KVELL 46.9
2-BELLA'S FANTASY 35.8
1st time starters - 7
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
NOTE: FRIDAY NIGHT OUT OF THE 8 RACES MY TOP HORSE WON FOUR OF THE RACES (($4.00, 12.60, 7.00, 7.60).
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-J MAN 74.7
5-SIR ALLISON 73.1
2-TREATHERLIKEALADY 52.6
6-WHERE'S HENRY 46.9
3-ADONIS D N A 26.8
1st time starters - 8, 7, 4
RACE 2
4-AFLEET DEAL 88.8
2-CAPER'S EDGE 85.0
1-TIME FOR ATONEMENT 76.4
5-HIGH SUCCESS 74.9
3-MACHO DORADO 73.7
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
7-BATALHA 72.0
2-FLUXX 64.3
6-MENDING WALL 61.6
8-WILLOW SWITCH 59.0
9-TWITCH 58.5
RACE 4
2-BONITA STAR 73.4
3-BLUE GRASS MUSIC 73.1
4-SI MAR'S DEAR 68.1
1-VALENTINE'S WISH 64.8
5-CAROUSEL 64.2
RACE 5
9-MINT HUMOR 91.3
3-SAMMY'S A RUNNIN' 86.9
7-HUSBAND'S FOLLY 86.9
2-CHARLIE AND CHRIS 83.9
6-SUN'S OUT 83.3
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
7-EXOTIC SLEW 67.0
4-NEUROSURGEON 47.8
5-LA MANO NERA 37.8 (off slow)
8-MR. PADRE 33.4
10-UNCOMMON SENSE 33.0
1st time starters - 9, 2, 1, 11, 3,
RACE 7
4-BLUEGRASS REWARD 99.8
1-SPUD SPIVENS 86.3
5-KILLER BEAR 85.0
3-BAY RUSH 83.2
2-ARRAIGNMENT 82.0
RACE 8
1-BOURBON BAY 110.0
2-NORVSKY 110.0
7-SANAGAS 104.5
4-MISS MATCH 102.1
6-ASHTAR 100.4
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
10-CANDY AND NUTS 57.5
4-RUSH BABE 53.5
8-STORMY LUCY 53.0
5-KVELL 46.9
2-BELLA'S FANTASY 35.8
1st time starters - 7
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, November 18, 2011
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
8-NANA BEACH 51.6
7-MISS BOLD TOPPER 50.6
5-CHATURUNGA 42.9
9-SMOKEY LAKE 35.4
4-WHOLE ENCHILADA 35.4
1st time starters - 3, 1
RACE 2
6-GIRLS LACROSSE 63.2
8-TAKETHEMONEYANDRUN 61.6
7-PORTFOLIO 59.0
3-BENECIA 57.5
4-SCENT OF CHRISM 55.5
RACE 3
5-HIGH TEST 90.6
2-GLOBAL DOMINATION 85.1
3-JUST METEOR 64.3
10-ROCK OFF 63.8
7-SARBONNE 56.5
1st time starters - 4, 6
RACE 4
3-TRIBAL BEAUTY 73.7
7-MIZZEN DONALD 72.0
4-BIG TSIMMIS 70.6
8-VALLEY NEWS 69.2
5-MAMA JANKA 67.0
RACE 5
6-CELESTIAL KITTEN 92.6
3-THISISMYSTAGE 84.4
4-SKINNY GENES 82.0
1-BORN LUCKY 81.4
5-HARD SUN 78.4
RACE 6
7-SIEMPRE ESPERANZA 88.8
8-L'ENCHANTERESSE 59.6
6-RUSSIAN BAYOU 58.5
3-FAST MOBILE 57.0
5-DANCE LITTLE ANGEL 51.1
RACE 7
8-MR GRUFF 110.0
9-AIN'T NO OTHER 100.4
7-COMPARI 98.4
5-ST LIAMS HALO 97.8
2-A JEALOUS WOMAN 97.1
RACE 8
7-ROCKIN HARBOR 60.1
10-ST. VALENTINO 55.0
13-ON I WIN
5-GHOST RIDE 53.5
8-DEL MAR JOHNNY 49.7
1st time starters - 4, 2, 6, 14
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
8-NANA BEACH 51.6
7-MISS BOLD TOPPER 50.6
5-CHATURUNGA 42.9
9-SMOKEY LAKE 35.4
4-WHOLE ENCHILADA 35.4
1st time starters - 3, 1
RACE 2
6-GIRLS LACROSSE 63.2
8-TAKETHEMONEYANDRUN 61.6
7-PORTFOLIO 59.0
3-BENECIA 57.5
4-SCENT OF CHRISM 55.5
RACE 3
5-HIGH TEST 90.6
2-GLOBAL DOMINATION 85.1
3-JUST METEOR 64.3
10-ROCK OFF 63.8
7-SARBONNE 56.5
1st time starters - 4, 6
RACE 4
3-TRIBAL BEAUTY 73.7
7-MIZZEN DONALD 72.0
4-BIG TSIMMIS 70.6
8-VALLEY NEWS 69.2
5-MAMA JANKA 67.0
RACE 5
6-CELESTIAL KITTEN 92.6
3-THISISMYSTAGE 84.4
4-SKINNY GENES 82.0
1-BORN LUCKY 81.4
5-HARD SUN 78.4
RACE 6
7-SIEMPRE ESPERANZA 88.8
8-L'ENCHANTERESSE 59.6
6-RUSSIAN BAYOU 58.5
3-FAST MOBILE 57.0
5-DANCE LITTLE ANGEL 51.1
RACE 7
8-MR GRUFF 110.0
9-AIN'T NO OTHER 100.4
7-COMPARI 98.4
5-ST LIAMS HALO 97.8
2-A JEALOUS WOMAN 97.1
RACE 8
7-ROCKIN HARBOR 60.1
10-ST. VALENTINO 55.0
13-ON I WIN
5-GHOST RIDE 53.5
8-DEL MAR JOHNNY 49.7
1st time starters - 4, 2, 6, 14
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, November 17, 2011
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
7-MILANIA 61.4
6-WALKINGONADREAM 56.1
4-BELLE GALLANTEY 55.0
3-STORMY RANDIE 49.0
1-SAGE D'ORO 45.6
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-PEPPY BOLLY 49.2
7-TERRELLA 37.8
1-TOO SHARP 33.4
4-FRIENDLY MARY 28.6
2-WARREN'S GOLDIE 18.9
1st time starters - 6, 8
RACE 3
1-GATHERATTHEALTER 73.7
4-GRAEME CRACKERJACK 66.4
5-RHYTHM IN MAY 62.2
6-FIRE SEEKER 54.0
7-WILD REVENGE 53.0
RACE 4
6-SPURRIER 101.8
4-WILLYCONKER 88.9
1-ACHAK 88.1
5-GOTHIC SAMURAI 78.8
3-PICKAPOCKET 77.2
RACE 5
5-EDGEWICK ROAD 80.2
6-LOS BOMBEROS 78.4
3-STAR DANCE M D 67.0
4-LIME ROCK REVENGE 67.0
10-GIBSON HOME RUN 65.4
RACE 6
2-HEIDI MARIA 83.2
6-TIZALWAYSOMETHING 74.3
5-LET'S GO CHEYENNE 71.4
3-ROXANNE O 65.4
1-BOUND FOR EDEN 59.0
RACE 7
5-BONFIRE KNIGHT 95.2
1-KETTLE CORN 94.5
4-JAVA MAN 94.5
2-DYNAMIC HOST 92.6
6-UNCLE SAM 90.0
RACE 8
1-ADMISSION 92.6
7-CANDY SWEETHEART 82.0
8-MAESTRO 80.8
4-JIM'S DECISION 74.6
6-SPANKEY COME HOME 71.0 (off Dec. 08)
1st time starters - 5
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
7-MILANIA 61.4
6-WALKINGONADREAM 56.1
4-BELLE GALLANTEY 55.0
3-STORMY RANDIE 49.0
1-SAGE D'ORO 45.6
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-PEPPY BOLLY 49.2
7-TERRELLA 37.8
1-TOO SHARP 33.4
4-FRIENDLY MARY 28.6
2-WARREN'S GOLDIE 18.9
1st time starters - 6, 8
RACE 3
1-GATHERATTHEALTER 73.7
4-GRAEME CRACKERJACK 66.4
5-RHYTHM IN MAY 62.2
6-FIRE SEEKER 54.0
7-WILD REVENGE 53.0
RACE 4
6-SPURRIER 101.8
4-WILLYCONKER 88.9
1-ACHAK 88.1
5-GOTHIC SAMURAI 78.8
3-PICKAPOCKET 77.2
RACE 5
5-EDGEWICK ROAD 80.2
6-LOS BOMBEROS 78.4
3-STAR DANCE M D 67.0
4-LIME ROCK REVENGE 67.0
10-GIBSON HOME RUN 65.4
RACE 6
2-HEIDI MARIA 83.2
6-TIZALWAYSOMETHING 74.3
5-LET'S GO CHEYENNE 71.4
3-ROXANNE O 65.4
1-BOUND FOR EDEN 59.0
RACE 7
5-BONFIRE KNIGHT 95.2
1-KETTLE CORN 94.5
4-JAVA MAN 94.5
2-DYNAMIC HOST 92.6
6-UNCLE SAM 90.0
RACE 8
1-ADMISSION 92.6
7-CANDY SWEETHEART 82.0
8-MAESTRO 80.8
4-JIM'S DECISION 74.6
6-SPANKEY COME HOME 71.0 (off Dec. 08)
1st time starters - 5
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, November 16, 2011
HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, November 15, 2011
HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2148 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2148 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, November 13, 2011
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 7 1/2 f.)
1-GOT EVEN 65.4
2-CRIMSON GIANT 60.6
5-HE'S A BANDIT 55.5
3-NEBIKON 52.6
6-TIO VIC 50.2
RACE 2
4-MAYAKOBA MESA 67.5
6-GOLDEN NIP 59.2
2-SWISS GEM 53.5
8-LINDZ WINZ 51.0
3-BUD AND BRANDY 45.5
1st time starters - 5
RACE 3
2-SEA RASCAL 93.9
5-MAYBE YES 88.1
1-SCOFIELD BARRACKS 86.9
3-ADRIATIC MOON 80.8
6-GALLETA MONSTRUO 79.0
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
6-SWISS GUARD 32.2
1st time starters - 4, 1, 2, 3, 5
RACE 5
1-DUBAI MACAU GIRL 76.0
7-BAR ROOM GAL 67.0
4-MISS PICABOO 65.9
5-LISA LULU 64.8
3-CRUZ'N KITTY 64.8
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
6-LOVESTEALER 85.0
2-LA MALAGUENA 68.6
12-CANDY AND THUNDER 60.1
11-SPECIAL CHARM 59.0
1-REAL SHARP 59.0
1st time starters - 3, 4, 9, 10, 7, 8, 14
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
6-CHARM THE MAKER 85.0
4-WILA B AWESOME 74.9
5-OBLIVION 74.6
2-KILLER GRACES 61.3
1-LADY PECAN 58.8
RACE 8
3-RED DEFENSE 97.1
1-JIM'S NO PREACHER 96.4
4-EL ADELANTADO 93.9
6-SQUARE DEAL 92.6
2-ROYAL F J 87.5
RACE 9
8-THE HUNT IS ON 70.6
1-WILD AND TRUE 68.1
3-LOOKING FOR CANDY 66.4
6-CHOP HOUSE GEORGE 61.1
10-VALLEY FOG 60.2
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 7 1/2 f.)
1-GOT EVEN 65.4
2-CRIMSON GIANT 60.6
5-HE'S A BANDIT 55.5
3-NEBIKON 52.6
6-TIO VIC 50.2
RACE 2
4-MAYAKOBA MESA 67.5
6-GOLDEN NIP 59.2
2-SWISS GEM 53.5
8-LINDZ WINZ 51.0
3-BUD AND BRANDY 45.5
1st time starters - 5
RACE 3
2-SEA RASCAL 93.9
5-MAYBE YES 88.1
1-SCOFIELD BARRACKS 86.9
3-ADRIATIC MOON 80.8
6-GALLETA MONSTRUO 79.0
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
6-SWISS GUARD 32.2
1st time starters - 4, 1, 2, 3, 5
RACE 5
1-DUBAI MACAU GIRL 76.0
7-BAR ROOM GAL 67.0
4-MISS PICABOO 65.9
5-LISA LULU 64.8
3-CRUZ'N KITTY 64.8
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
6-LOVESTEALER 85.0
2-LA MALAGUENA 68.6
12-CANDY AND THUNDER 60.1
11-SPECIAL CHARM 59.0
1-REAL SHARP 59.0
1st time starters - 3, 4, 9, 10, 7, 8, 14
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
6-CHARM THE MAKER 85.0
4-WILA B AWESOME 74.9
5-OBLIVION 74.6
2-KILLER GRACES 61.3
1-LADY PECAN 58.8
RACE 8
3-RED DEFENSE 97.1
1-JIM'S NO PREACHER 96.4
4-EL ADELANTADO 93.9
6-SQUARE DEAL 92.6
2-ROYAL F J 87.5
RACE 9
8-THE HUNT IS ON 70.6
1-WILD AND TRUE 68.1
3-LOOKING FOR CANDY 66.4
6-CHOP HOUSE GEORGE 61.1
10-VALLEY FOG 60.2
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, November 12, 2011
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $159,778.
RACE 1
2-RIGHT SMART SECRET 60.6
3-OHHHH A WISE GUY 55.0
10-NANA BEACH 52.6
6-LOOKING OUT 51.1
8-AURELIA D 42.4
1st time starters 7, 5
RACE 2
2-BEAREMPIRE 86.3
7-DUNSCOMBE 78.4
5-LUV DRAGON 76.0
3-MORGANOUSKA 73.7
4-NORTH FORK 69.8
8-CLEAR TO CANADA 69.8
RACE 3
4-SHE'S VERY RARE 80.8
6-CLASSY ATTRACTION 77.8
1-THERE IS NO LIMIT 76.0
2-FIRST EYDIE 74.9
5-YODELADY O 70.3
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
2-GETTING LUCKY 70.3
5-SHY HUMOR 67.9
10-CAROL'S LEGACY 62.7 (off slow)
9-HEART FEVER 55.5
1-TRAWEEK 47.1
1st time starters - 4, 11, 6, 3, 7
RACE 5
5-FAST BULLET 102.5
1-SPEED BIAS 90.7
7-CLEAR 89.4
4-WALL DANCE 89.4
3-TUXEDO BLUES 82.6
RACE 6
7-FARLEY STAR 95.8
6-HARD TO RESIST 91.3
2-MADERA CASTANA 90.7
4-ANNIVERSARY GIRL 89.4
1-MISS MITTAGONG 88.1
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
8-GANNICUS 51.1
7-THE BIEN'S GIFT 49.2
4-TAYLOR MARINI 44.6
3-SWISS MISS 40.7
9-WAR WIZARD 37.4
1st time starters - 2, 5
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
5-CAPTAIN OBVIOUS 89.5
6-LIAISON 79.0
2-ROUSING SERMON 74.9
1-SENOR RAIN 74.9
4-TIZ POINT 67.6
RACE 9 (all2 yo. going 6 f.)
3-NICOS MEMORY 62.2
6-SILVER STREET 58.0
8-I SENSE YOUR LUCK 56.5
1-LASSO FROM EL PASO 46.9
4-EVITA'S CROWN 42.4 (poor start)
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $159,778.
RACE 1
2-RIGHT SMART SECRET 60.6
3-OHHHH A WISE GUY 55.0
10-NANA BEACH 52.6
6-LOOKING OUT 51.1
8-AURELIA D 42.4
1st time starters 7, 5
RACE 2
2-BEAREMPIRE 86.3
7-DUNSCOMBE 78.4
5-LUV DRAGON 76.0
3-MORGANOUSKA 73.7
4-NORTH FORK 69.8
8-CLEAR TO CANADA 69.8
RACE 3
4-SHE'S VERY RARE 80.8
6-CLASSY ATTRACTION 77.8
1-THERE IS NO LIMIT 76.0
2-FIRST EYDIE 74.9
5-YODELADY O 70.3
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
2-GETTING LUCKY 70.3
5-SHY HUMOR 67.9
10-CAROL'S LEGACY 62.7 (off slow)
9-HEART FEVER 55.5
1-TRAWEEK 47.1
1st time starters - 4, 11, 6, 3, 7
RACE 5
5-FAST BULLET 102.5
1-SPEED BIAS 90.7
7-CLEAR 89.4
4-WALL DANCE 89.4
3-TUXEDO BLUES 82.6
RACE 6
7-FARLEY STAR 95.8
6-HARD TO RESIST 91.3
2-MADERA CASTANA 90.7
4-ANNIVERSARY GIRL 89.4
1-MISS MITTAGONG 88.1
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
8-GANNICUS 51.1
7-THE BIEN'S GIFT 49.2
4-TAYLOR MARINI 44.6
3-SWISS MISS 40.7
9-WAR WIZARD 37.4
1st time starters - 2, 5
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
5-CAPTAIN OBVIOUS 89.5
6-LIAISON 79.0
2-ROUSING SERMON 74.9
1-SENOR RAIN 74.9
4-TIZ POINT 67.6
RACE 9 (all2 yo. going 6 f.)
3-NICOS MEMORY 62.2
6-SILVER STREET 58.0
8-I SENSE YOUR LUCK 56.5
1-LASSO FROM EL PASO 46.9
4-EVITA'S CROWN 42.4 (poor start)
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, November 11, 2011
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRY OVER FOR TONIGHT IS $39,267
RACE 1
2-VICTORY CUP 74.3
1-TRANDO'S TREMOR 70.9
3-WARREN'S BIG CAT 70.3
5-KESSABTSI 69.2
4-HEATED PRISM 47.8
RACE 2
1-ZENIDEKKA 86.9
2-LADY LIAM 82.6
3-TECHNICALITY 70.3
4-SOLAR WIND 69.8
5-LUNCH TIME DIVA 59.6
RACE 3
5-BRONSTER 81.4
2-JOKER FACE 80.2
7-WELCOME HOME RYAN 79.0
3-ORBACH 75.9
8-EVERY EGO 73.1
6-NAHEM 73.1
RACE 4
9-DEE DEE'S LEGACY 73.1
3-CAFE CON LECHE 65.4
8-SKIPPY DUE 64.8
2-EXUMA 63.2
5-HOWMUCHISIT 62.2
6-RAINGEAR 62.2
RACE 5
1-LOVELY SOPHIA 61.2
11-RAGS FOR BEN 56.0
16-GENIALITY 55.5
3-MY BRITE CAROLINE 55.0
7-SATIN BOUQUET 48.3
RACE 6
5-BROOKLYN ROSE 74.2
2-BLUE GRASS MUSIC 72.6
3-DUBAI PERFECTO 72.0
1-BLUE TAMBOURINE 70.9
6-SHESKEY 68.2
RACE 7
4-EL GATO MALO 99.8
1-TWEEBSTER 98.4
3-GOLDEN ITIZ 88.8
5-SQUARE EDDIE 81.4
2-RACING APTITUDE 72.0
RACE 8
3-WHAT A RUSH 66.4
1-SPICY BEAU 57.0
9-SENTRY DUTY 54.0
5-TIZ VICTORIOUS 53.5
8-EXPENSIVE PENS 46.4
1st time starters - 7
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRY OVER FOR TONIGHT IS $39,267
RACE 1
2-VICTORY CUP 74.3
1-TRANDO'S TREMOR 70.9
3-WARREN'S BIG CAT 70.3
5-KESSABTSI 69.2
4-HEATED PRISM 47.8
RACE 2
1-ZENIDEKKA 86.9
2-LADY LIAM 82.6
3-TECHNICALITY 70.3
4-SOLAR WIND 69.8
5-LUNCH TIME DIVA 59.6
RACE 3
5-BRONSTER 81.4
2-JOKER FACE 80.2
7-WELCOME HOME RYAN 79.0
3-ORBACH 75.9
8-EVERY EGO 73.1
6-NAHEM 73.1
RACE 4
9-DEE DEE'S LEGACY 73.1
3-CAFE CON LECHE 65.4
8-SKIPPY DUE 64.8
2-EXUMA 63.2
5-HOWMUCHISIT 62.2
6-RAINGEAR 62.2
RACE 5
1-LOVELY SOPHIA 61.2
11-RAGS FOR BEN 56.0
16-GENIALITY 55.5
3-MY BRITE CAROLINE 55.0
7-SATIN BOUQUET 48.3
RACE 6
5-BROOKLYN ROSE 74.2
2-BLUE GRASS MUSIC 72.6
3-DUBAI PERFECTO 72.0
1-BLUE TAMBOURINE 70.9
6-SHESKEY 68.2
RACE 7
4-EL GATO MALO 99.8
1-TWEEBSTER 98.4
3-GOLDEN ITIZ 88.8
5-SQUARE EDDIE 81.4
2-RACING APTITUDE 72.0
RACE 8
3-WHAT A RUSH 66.4
1-SPICY BEAU 57.0
9-SENTRY DUTY 54.0
5-TIZ VICTORIOUS 53.5
8-EXPENSIVE PENS 46.4
1st time starters - 7
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, November 10, 2011
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-PANTHER'S CLAW 68.1
5-WANTED POSTER 64.8
7-PERSONALITARY 62.7
8-MUCHO BRAVO 61.1
3-RED MOUNTAIN 59.0
RACE 2
8-DOMONATION 91.3
6-MERITRICIOUS 80.8
5-TALES OF TIGGER 74.9
4-CHARLIE'SBOYWINS 72.0
1-CRAGMONT 70.9
RACE 3
8-HASTY TREND 88.8
4-BENCH THE JUDGE 85.7
5-STAR NICHOLAS 83.9
7-BRADY BLUE EYES 83.2
2-SKY'SQUICKSCORE 80.2
RACE 4
6-MONICA C C 69.8
2-ROMAN CHIC 68.1
3-SAINT CINDY 67.5
9-BALLISTIC BLONDE 64.8
1-JANA GAIL 56.5
RACE 5
3-PRIDE OF SILVER 94.4
12-ROMEO ROYALE 90.7
6-RENEGADE STORM 90.0
7-KILLER BEAR 90.0
4-ANTIDOTE 87.3
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
9-SUDDEN GHOST 62.7
1-MUSICAL ARTS 54.5 (steadied)
2-CAVALLETTA 52.6
6-SCREAM QUEEN 52.6 (off slow)
10-BULL RUSH 49.7
8-A RACING DELIGHT 49.7
1st time starters - 7
RACE 7
4-MY UNTAMED HEART 84.4
3-HAKUCHI 84.0
8-ALL ON THE TABLE 78.4
2-COOL OF THE EVENING 73.1
5-WALLSTREETER 72.4
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
10-FEAR THE BEARD 51.5
9-RARE SONG 46.4
1-HAVA CIGAR 44.2
11-FAR TO REACH 42.0
3-VICTORIASUGRDADDY 40.7
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-PANTHER'S CLAW 68.1
5-WANTED POSTER 64.8
7-PERSONALITARY 62.7
8-MUCHO BRAVO 61.1
3-RED MOUNTAIN 59.0
RACE 2
8-DOMONATION 91.3
6-MERITRICIOUS 80.8
5-TALES OF TIGGER 74.9
4-CHARLIE'SBOYWINS 72.0
1-CRAGMONT 70.9
RACE 3
8-HASTY TREND 88.8
4-BENCH THE JUDGE 85.7
5-STAR NICHOLAS 83.9
7-BRADY BLUE EYES 83.2
2-SKY'SQUICKSCORE 80.2
RACE 4
6-MONICA C C 69.8
2-ROMAN CHIC 68.1
3-SAINT CINDY 67.5
9-BALLISTIC BLONDE 64.8
1-JANA GAIL 56.5
RACE 5
3-PRIDE OF SILVER 94.4
12-ROMEO ROYALE 90.7
6-RENEGADE STORM 90.0
7-KILLER BEAR 90.0
4-ANTIDOTE 87.3
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
9-SUDDEN GHOST 62.7
1-MUSICAL ARTS 54.5 (steadied)
2-CAVALLETTA 52.6
6-SCREAM QUEEN 52.6 (off slow)
10-BULL RUSH 49.7
8-A RACING DELIGHT 49.7
1st time starters - 7
RACE 7
4-MY UNTAMED HEART 84.4
3-HAKUCHI 84.0
8-ALL ON THE TABLE 78.4
2-COOL OF THE EVENING 73.1
5-WALLSTREETER 72.4
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
10-FEAR THE BEARD 51.5
9-RARE SONG 46.4
1-HAVA CIGAR 44.2
11-FAR TO REACH 42.0
3-VICTORIASUGRDADDY 40.7
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, November 09, 2011
HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, November 08, 2011
HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2141 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2141 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, thoroughbred
Sunday, November 06, 2011
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $55,422.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
3-SABE 58.5
1-MAY WEATHER 57.0
4-FINEGAN AGAIN 55.5
7-TEANCUM 46.9
9-CRIMSON GIANT 40.7
1st time starters - 2, 6
RACE 2
4-JUDICIOUS 76.0
5-BONITA STAR 74.3
8-SO TEMPTED 73.7
3-VALENTINE'S WISH 70.3
7-CACTUS JANE 68.6
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
3-TASTY TREAT 83.2
7-BACKWOODS BELLE 72.0
2-YOUR SPECIAL DAY 64.8
6-PUNCH DRUNK 61.6
4-UNDER PROTEST 57.5
RACE 4
8-MY LITTLE MORGAN 73.1
3-OCTOGARIAN 72.6
9-MISS PICABOO 68.1
5-MO CHEESE 67.0
6-WARREN'S IDOL 63.8
RACE 5
11-KHENDUM 75.1
7-TIZALWAYSOMETHING 74.9
6-EULA B. 74.3
4-FOREVER NEDA 71.1
3-MADRE LUNA 66.4
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
8-MUSIC THUNDER 73.1
1-LOVE MY WAY 69.8
5-CHICK FLICK 67.5 (slow start)
9-HANNAH G 57.0
7-MANGO TART 56.0 (slow start)
1st time starters - 2, 4
RACE 7
5-CARRIE ROSE 82.8
1-REALLY ELEGANT 82.2
7-SECRET COVE 80.8
3-LAURA BEASLEY 79.6
4-HOT TICKET 75.4
RACE 8
4-MARCH MARY 72.0
7-MICHAILASHEARTLITE 71.4
1-TUESDAYS WITH P 61.1
6-ROULETTE IT ROLL 60.6
9-DANCE LITTLE ANGEL 53.5
RACE 9
5-MALIBU PIER 99.8
1-CITY TO CITY 99.1
2-ALL STAR HEART 97.8
6-PRIVATE AFFAIR 95.2
8-SARAH'S SECRET 92.6
RACE 10
12-NUCLEAR MISSLE 68.6
9-SUNDAY SEEKER 56.5
1-ONEBADBOY 47.8
11-CHITO MONO 41.1
6-STEEL TRICK 37.0 (slow start)
1st time starters - 3
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $55,422.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
3-SABE 58.5
1-MAY WEATHER 57.0
4-FINEGAN AGAIN 55.5
7-TEANCUM 46.9
9-CRIMSON GIANT 40.7
1st time starters - 2, 6
RACE 2
4-JUDICIOUS 76.0
5-BONITA STAR 74.3
8-SO TEMPTED 73.7
3-VALENTINE'S WISH 70.3
7-CACTUS JANE 68.6
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
3-TASTY TREAT 83.2
7-BACKWOODS BELLE 72.0
2-YOUR SPECIAL DAY 64.8
6-PUNCH DRUNK 61.6
4-UNDER PROTEST 57.5
RACE 4
8-MY LITTLE MORGAN 73.1
3-OCTOGARIAN 72.6
9-MISS PICABOO 68.1
5-MO CHEESE 67.0
6-WARREN'S IDOL 63.8
RACE 5
11-KHENDUM 75.1
7-TIZALWAYSOMETHING 74.9
6-EULA B. 74.3
4-FOREVER NEDA 71.1
3-MADRE LUNA 66.4
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
8-MUSIC THUNDER 73.1
1-LOVE MY WAY 69.8
5-CHICK FLICK 67.5 (slow start)
9-HANNAH G 57.0
7-MANGO TART 56.0 (slow start)
1st time starters - 2, 4
RACE 7
5-CARRIE ROSE 82.8
1-REALLY ELEGANT 82.2
7-SECRET COVE 80.8
3-LAURA BEASLEY 79.6
4-HOT TICKET 75.4
RACE 8
4-MARCH MARY 72.0
7-MICHAILASHEARTLITE 71.4
1-TUESDAYS WITH P 61.1
6-ROULETTE IT ROLL 60.6
9-DANCE LITTLE ANGEL 53.5
RACE 9
5-MALIBU PIER 99.8
1-CITY TO CITY 99.1
2-ALL STAR HEART 97.8
6-PRIVATE AFFAIR 95.2
8-SARAH'S SECRET 92.6
RACE 10
12-NUCLEAR MISSLE 68.6
9-SUNDAY SEEKER 56.5
1-ONEBADBOY 47.8
11-CHITO MONO 41.1
6-STEEL TRICK 37.0 (slow start)
1st time starters - 3
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, November 05, 2011
CHURCHILL DOWNS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
8-JUMP UP 79.4
5-DREAMINGLY 73.4
1-SHARED HEART 72.6
2-LADY JADANA 70.9
6-ENCHANTE 67.0
RACE 2
3-DANCINGINHERDREAMS 85.0
9-SPLENDOR TOWN 82.6
7-MISS DORA 81.4
4-RIDGESTER 79.0
6-GARNET CRYSTALS 73.7
RACE 3 - B.C. MARATHON (1 3/4 MILE)
9-CEASE 115.0
6-BRIGANTIN 112.8
3-MEEZNAH 112.8
11- A. U. MINER 110.0
1-BIRDRUN 108.6
RACE 4 - 2 YO. B.C. JUVENILE TURF
7-CASPAR NETSCHER 117.0
4-FARRAAJ 105.2
5-WROTE 104.4
8-MAJESTIC CITY 95.0
14-STATE OF PLAY 86.9
RACE 5 - B.C. SPRINT
8-BIG DRAMA 136.7
5-JACKSON BEND 130.5
1-EUROEARS 124.5
2-GIANT RYAN 123.0
6-FORCE FREEZE 119.3
RACE 6 - B.C. TURF SPRINT
12-CAMP VICTORY 117.2
13-CARACORTADO 112.3
7-HOOFIT 109.1
10-HAVELOCK 108.6
8-REGALLY READY 107.9
RACE 7 - B.C. DIRT MILE
9-TRAPPE SHOT 127.8
7-JERSEY TOWN 119.3
5-WILBURN 115.7
2-SHAKLEFORD 105.9
4-TRES BORRACHOS 105.2
RACE 8 - B.C. TURF (1 1/2 MILE)
7-SEA MOON 134.9
6-AWAIT THE DAWN 132.4
9-MIDDAY 131.6
1-ST NICHILAS ABBEY 130.8
2-SARAFINA 129.2
RACE 9 - B.C. JUVENILE (2 YO. GOING 1 1/16 MILE)
11-DADDY LONG LEGS 113.3
3-CRUSADE 104.3
10-UNION RAGS 102.5
2-DULLAHAN 93.2
7-CREATIVE CAUSE 91.9
RACE 10 - B.C. MILE (TURF)
1-GOLDIKOVA 133.3
8-BYWORD 129.2
11-STRONG SUIT 126.9
13-TURALLURE 120.1
7-JERANIMO 118.6
RACE 11 - B.C. CLASSIC (1 1/4 mile)
5-SO YOU THINK 138.9
12-UNCLE MO 132.8
2-FLAT OUT 126.8
10-HAVRE DE GRACE 125.3
8-GAME ON DUDE 120.1
RACE 12
5-MARISTAR 95.8
6-LACIE SLEW 91.3
2-FREEDOM STAR 88.1
9-MAY DAY ROSE 86.3
1-ABSINTHE MINDED 83.8
7-PERSUADING 81.4
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
8-JUMP UP 79.4
5-DREAMINGLY 73.4
1-SHARED HEART 72.6
2-LADY JADANA 70.9
6-ENCHANTE 67.0
RACE 2
3-DANCINGINHERDREAMS 85.0
9-SPLENDOR TOWN 82.6
7-MISS DORA 81.4
4-RIDGESTER 79.0
6-GARNET CRYSTALS 73.7
RACE 3 - B.C. MARATHON (1 3/4 MILE)
9-CEASE 115.0
6-BRIGANTIN 112.8
3-MEEZNAH 112.8
11- A. U. MINER 110.0
1-BIRDRUN 108.6
RACE 4 - 2 YO. B.C. JUVENILE TURF
7-CASPAR NETSCHER 117.0
4-FARRAAJ 105.2
5-WROTE 104.4
8-MAJESTIC CITY 95.0
14-STATE OF PLAY 86.9
RACE 5 - B.C. SPRINT
8-BIG DRAMA 136.7
5-JACKSON BEND 130.5
1-EUROEARS 124.5
2-GIANT RYAN 123.0
6-FORCE FREEZE 119.3
RACE 6 - B.C. TURF SPRINT
12-CAMP VICTORY 117.2
13-CARACORTADO 112.3
7-HOOFIT 109.1
10-HAVELOCK 108.6
8-REGALLY READY 107.9
RACE 7 - B.C. DIRT MILE
9-TRAPPE SHOT 127.8
7-JERSEY TOWN 119.3
5-WILBURN 115.7
2-SHAKLEFORD 105.9
4-TRES BORRACHOS 105.2
RACE 8 - B.C. TURF (1 1/2 MILE)
7-SEA MOON 134.9
6-AWAIT THE DAWN 132.4
9-MIDDAY 131.6
1-ST NICHILAS ABBEY 130.8
2-SARAFINA 129.2
RACE 9 - B.C. JUVENILE (2 YO. GOING 1 1/16 MILE)
11-DADDY LONG LEGS 113.3
3-CRUSADE 104.3
10-UNION RAGS 102.5
2-DULLAHAN 93.2
7-CREATIVE CAUSE 91.9
RACE 10 - B.C. MILE (TURF)
1-GOLDIKOVA 133.3
8-BYWORD 129.2
11-STRONG SUIT 126.9
13-TURALLURE 120.1
7-JERANIMO 118.6
RACE 11 - B.C. CLASSIC (1 1/4 mile)
5-SO YOU THINK 138.9
12-UNCLE MO 132.8
2-FLAT OUT 126.8
10-HAVRE DE GRACE 125.3
8-GAME ON DUDE 120.1
RACE 12
5-MARISTAR 95.8
6-LACIE SLEW 91.3
2-FREEDOM STAR 88.1
9-MAY DAY ROSE 86.3
1-ABSINTHE MINDED 83.8
7-PERSUADING 81.4
Labels: bets, betting, Churchill Downs, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, November 04, 2011
SANTA ANITA - CHURCHILL DOWNS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
NOTE: THURSDAY OUT OF THE 8 RACES I HAD 5 TOP HORSES WIN WITH 2 SECONDS & 1 TOP 1ST TIMER WIN. NOT A BAD DAY.
TODAY I WILL POST THE 10TH RACE FROM CHURCHILL AND THE ENTIRE SANTA ANITA CARD. THIS WILL LET YOU PLAY THE SPECIAL DAILY DOUBLE FROM THE LADIES CLASSIC TO SATURDAYS CLASSIC.
CHURCHILL DOWNS
RACE 10
8-PLUM PRETTY 114.3
6-ROYAL DELTA 106.6
3-IT'S TRICKY 105.9
2-PACHATTACK 105.2
7-ULTRA BLEND 105.2
1-MISS MATCH 101.1
SANTA ANITA
RACE 1
7-JEFFERY'S PRIDE 49.7
2-ELLO GUV 45.1
8-CHAPITO 41.6
5-CAPTAIN MAGIC 40.7
4-LEVEL UP 38.2
10-I FEEL FREE 38.2
1st time starters - 6
RACE 2
10-EXCLAMATION 88.1
8-MAN CHESTER MAN 82.6
2-DRESS CODE 80.0
7-CAFE CON LECHE 73.1
6-RUMMYSECRET WAR 72.0
RACE 3
8-INITIAL IMPRESSION 86.9
3-HAMEILDAME 84.4
2-BELLA ROJA 76.6
6-DALIAN 74.9
1-PARTY WITH BRANDO 69.8
RACE 4
3-WARREN'S LADY 47.8
10-BENSANNA 42.9
12-WHOLE ENCHILADA 42.9
13-JM'S GOLDEN LEGACY 42.0
8-FOREVER ISMAY 38.2
1st time starters - 1, 2, 11, 5
RACE 5
7-BATTLE FORCE 69.8
2-FLEET EAGLE 69.2
3-MIDNIGHT CON 66.1
4-RUDE BOBBY 60.6
6-UNUSUAL HEATWAVE 60.6
1st time starters - 1, 8
RACE 6
14-INCLUDE ME OUT 85.0
3-MELISSA ROSE 83.8
6-BENCH GLORY 75.4
12-TRUE WAY OF GRACE 74.9
2-KINDLE 74.3
RACE 7
11-FIRST STRIKE 83.2
3-HURRICANE LAKE 82.6
7-PALIO PRINCE 80.9
10-QUINTONS DESTINY 76.0
8-STAR DANCE M D 71.1
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
NOTE: THURSDAY OUT OF THE 8 RACES I HAD 5 TOP HORSES WIN WITH 2 SECONDS & 1 TOP 1ST TIMER WIN. NOT A BAD DAY.
TODAY I WILL POST THE 10TH RACE FROM CHURCHILL AND THE ENTIRE SANTA ANITA CARD. THIS WILL LET YOU PLAY THE SPECIAL DAILY DOUBLE FROM THE LADIES CLASSIC TO SATURDAYS CLASSIC.
CHURCHILL DOWNS
RACE 10
8-PLUM PRETTY 114.3
6-ROYAL DELTA 106.6
3-IT'S TRICKY 105.9
2-PACHATTACK 105.2
7-ULTRA BLEND 105.2
1-MISS MATCH 101.1
SANTA ANITA
RACE 1
7-JEFFERY'S PRIDE 49.7
2-ELLO GUV 45.1
8-CHAPITO 41.6
5-CAPTAIN MAGIC 40.7
4-LEVEL UP 38.2
10-I FEEL FREE 38.2
1st time starters - 6
RACE 2
10-EXCLAMATION 88.1
8-MAN CHESTER MAN 82.6
2-DRESS CODE 80.0
7-CAFE CON LECHE 73.1
6-RUMMYSECRET WAR 72.0
RACE 3
8-INITIAL IMPRESSION 86.9
3-HAMEILDAME 84.4
2-BELLA ROJA 76.6
6-DALIAN 74.9
1-PARTY WITH BRANDO 69.8
RACE 4
3-WARREN'S LADY 47.8
10-BENSANNA 42.9
12-WHOLE ENCHILADA 42.9
13-JM'S GOLDEN LEGACY 42.0
8-FOREVER ISMAY 38.2
1st time starters - 1, 2, 11, 5
RACE 5
7-BATTLE FORCE 69.8
2-FLEET EAGLE 69.2
3-MIDNIGHT CON 66.1
4-RUDE BOBBY 60.6
6-UNUSUAL HEATWAVE 60.6
1st time starters - 1, 8
RACE 6
14-INCLUDE ME OUT 85.0
3-MELISSA ROSE 83.8
6-BENCH GLORY 75.4
12-TRUE WAY OF GRACE 74.9
2-KINDLE 74.3
RACE 7
11-FIRST STRIKE 83.2
3-HURRICANE LAKE 82.6
7-PALIO PRINCE 80.9
10-QUINTONS DESTINY 76.0
8-STAR DANCE M D 71.1
Labels: bets, betting, Churchill Downs, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, November 03, 2011
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-MUNY 103.1
7-QUIETLY MINE 87.5
3-KELLY LEAK 85.6
1-OAK KYE WHY 83.1
5-EARNEDNEVERGIVEN 82.6
RACE 2
5-FRISCO KID 81.4
6-FINE AND RARE 74.3
8-GHOST RIDE 63.6
2-STREET TITAN 62.2
7-ROCKIN HARBOR 60.6
RACE 3
7-PHANTOM LOVER 106.8
8-WHIPSTOCK 100.8
9-GREAT RISING STAR 77.8
11-HY LIME TIME 71.4
10-SILVER DRAGON 70.9
RACE 4
8-ELUSIVE MOMENT 83.8
4-LORD AVALON 83.2
7-CLUE ME IN 79.6
3-DERIVE 77.2
5-JOYFUL SUCCESS 71.4
RACE 5
1-RIBAT 87.0
5-PRIVATE BOUNTY 83.9
2-IMPERIAL PRIDE 82.1
8-UNUSUAL JAZZ 80.8
9-EMPEROR STONE 80.2
RACE 6
7-HOT CITIZEN 65.4
2-CAPALATTE 60.1
4-MISS PEANUT 59.0
5-MISS ADDY KISS 56.5
10-SOLDIER BETTY 55.5
RACE 7
6-SO BELLE 83.8
8-LAST STING 83.8
7-GLORIFIED 83.2
5-CAYANNA 77.2
1-PRINCESS SUANCES 75.4
3-RUFFLED FEATHERS 75.4
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
13-MUSTACHE CHARLIE 55.0
1-SOLANA SOLEIL 46.4
6-RIO GOOD 45.1
3-LIGHTNING MCQUE 39.4
4-DESTINO 9.7
1st time starters - 11, 2, 10, 9, 8, 7, 12
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-MUNY 103.1
7-QUIETLY MINE 87.5
3-KELLY LEAK 85.6
1-OAK KYE WHY 83.1
5-EARNEDNEVERGIVEN 82.6
RACE 2
5-FRISCO KID 81.4
6-FINE AND RARE 74.3
8-GHOST RIDE 63.6
2-STREET TITAN 62.2
7-ROCKIN HARBOR 60.6
RACE 3
7-PHANTOM LOVER 106.8
8-WHIPSTOCK 100.8
9-GREAT RISING STAR 77.8
11-HY LIME TIME 71.4
10-SILVER DRAGON 70.9
RACE 4
8-ELUSIVE MOMENT 83.8
4-LORD AVALON 83.2
7-CLUE ME IN 79.6
3-DERIVE 77.2
5-JOYFUL SUCCESS 71.4
RACE 5
1-RIBAT 87.0
5-PRIVATE BOUNTY 83.9
2-IMPERIAL PRIDE 82.1
8-UNUSUAL JAZZ 80.8
9-EMPEROR STONE 80.2
RACE 6
7-HOT CITIZEN 65.4
2-CAPALATTE 60.1
4-MISS PEANUT 59.0
5-MISS ADDY KISS 56.5
10-SOLDIER BETTY 55.5
RACE 7
6-SO BELLE 83.8
8-LAST STING 83.8
7-GLORIFIED 83.2
5-CAYANNA 77.2
1-PRINCESS SUANCES 75.4
3-RUFFLED FEATHERS 75.4
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
13-MUSTACHE CHARLIE 55.0
1-SOLANA SOLEIL 46.4
6-RIO GOOD 45.1
3-LIGHTNING MCQUE 39.4
4-DESTINO 9.7
1st time starters - 11, 2, 10, 9, 8, 7, 12
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, November 02, 2011
SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, November 01, 2011
SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2136 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2136 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
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