Thursday, July 01, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horse.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
5-EL VALENTIN 37.0
2-LIQUID ASSET 26.5
8-GRAND MANEUVER 22.5

1st time starters - 7, 6, 4, 1, 3

RACE 2
3-PACK YOUR BAGS 94.5
1-DANZING TRIBAL 86.3
6-DETROIT DONNIE 84.4
5-NEVADA WORRIER 83.8
2-POP'SHANDS ARE HOT 80.6

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
9-BIGMIKEISTHEMAN 53.5
5-ON A HI 42.4
2-SWISS HERO 37.4
1-GEORGIA'S FRIEND 24.4

1st time starters - 8, 3, 4

RACE 4
2-CARRIE ROSE 64.8
3-FULLBRIDLED'S SIS 62.2
4-MISS PEANUT 57.0
6-TIZ A BUD GIRL 37.4 (off slow)

1st time starters - 5, 7, 1

RACE 5
4-YVETT'S PRIDE 88.1
1-LOW GEAR POWER 80.2 (off Sept. 09)
6-ADAM SUANCES 78.2
2-MY BOY WALSH 76.6
7-MR TOKYO 73.7

RACE 6
6-LYRICAL GODDESS 84.4
5-HARD EIGHT 71.4
11-GOTHAM SPIRIT 69.2
7-HIT THE BRIX 66.4

RACE 7
8-NICOLE H 85.6
2-IT TIZ 84.4
3-CRISIS OF SPIRIT 83.8
1-GLORY PRIDE 82.6
7-CRISP 81.0

RACE 8
1-STORMY AMBITION 66.4
2-SPEEDY MARINI 64.3
3-SINGLE SHOT 57.0
4-A PINT FOR MARY 50.2
5-FLEETING SUMMER 48.8
9-HOLLYWOOD MOGAL 48.8

1st time starters - 6, 11, 15

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Comments:
I follow the Tiznows and related lines, so I was watching for Tiz A Bud Girl tonight in the 4th at Hollywood. You got her placing correctly (4th), but noted "off slow" in your rating. Does that mean she had been getting left at the gate, or what? She did seem to break a bit slow tonight, and then dropped back.
 
The comment "off slow" means that the rating figure used did not take into account or adjust the slow start figure. This is usually when the horse has only had one race and did not get a good break.
CTT
 
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