Thursday, October 25, 2007

 

OAK TREE AT SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURS.

Wed. recap- Race 1- 2nd pick won (16.20) top pick 4th. Race 2- 3rd pick won (12.40) top pick 2nd (4.00) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (28.20). Race 3- Top Pick Won (6.00) 2nd pick 2nd (3.60) Ex (9.60) 4th pick 3rd- top pick keyed- trifecta (41.30). Race 4- 2nd pick won (7.80) top pick 2nd (3.00) 3rd pick 3rd (3.00) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (13.00) trifecta (49.30). Race 5- 4th pick won (10.00) top pick 2nd (2.40) 3rd pick 4th. Race 6- Top Pick Won (5.20) 4th pick 2nd (3.20) 3rd pick 3rd (4.00) 2nd pick 4th, Top pick keyed- Ex (8.00) trifecta (39.70) Superfecta (109.20). Race 7- 4th pick "tied" won (8.40) 2nd pick 2nd (3.60) 3rd pick 3rd (2.20) 4th pick "tied" 4th, picks boxed- Ex (14.40) trifecta (32.70). Race 8- 4th pick won (13.00) 2nd pick 2nd (5.60) 3rd pick 3rd (4.00) picks boxed- Ex (23.70) trifecta (143.20).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: SATURDAY I WILL BE HANDICAPPING THE BREEDER'S CUP RACES FROM MONMOUTH PARK. OAK TREE WILL NOT BE POSTED FOR SATURDAY.

RACE 1
1-WILD DIPLOMAT 85.0
5-LEMON 81.4
2-ORIENTATION HALL 74.9
7-FIERY TRIPPI 74.9

1st time starters - 6

RACE 2
3-FOREVER IRISH 70.3
7-TOY'S TOY 64.3
5-SYLVANA 58.1
2-STARTIN FRESH 47.8

1st time starters - 4, 1

RACE 3
5-I'MAGAMBLER 84.4
3-QUILLOTA 83.7
7-ZAYED 72.0
1A-I LOVE RACING 72.0 (entry)

RACE 4
1-MARQZ MELODY 78.7
2-LATIN CIRCUIT 72.0
4-WARREN'S ADVENTURE 71.4
7-MOSCOW RISING 69.2

RACE 5
4-ROAD TO THE THRONE 76.2
5-NATIVE SUCCESS 73.7
7-EXACTLY 63.2
1-EARLY POLLY 62.2

1st time starters - 3, 9

RACE 6
2-SMOKEY ROUTE 83.8
1-HENNESSY ROSE 83.2
6-SPORTIE'S SQUEEZE 79.0
5-VEILS DE FLEUR 71.4
8-FAMOUS SECRET 71.4

RACE 7
3-WISE ONE 102.5
4-STORMY GRANT 91.9
1-COTTON KING 90.0
5-SMOOTH AND SAVVY 87.5

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
8-SMOKIN WHILE FLYIN 63.2
13-LATIN OFFICER 44.5
12-FROG SAUCE 41.6
2-BIG BOY COLE 37.0

1st time starters - 5, 3, 6, 9, 10

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