Thursday, September 07, 2006
FAIRPLEX PARK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
Del Mar's Wed. recap- Race 1- Top pick 2nd (4.60) 3rd pick 4th. Race 2- 1 pick scratched, Top pick won (9.80) 2nd pick 2nd (4.00) Ex (12.10) Q (15.20) 3rd pick 3rd (no show) Trifecta in order (39.50) my 3 picks with only other horse in race - Superfecta (35.60). Race 3- 2nd pick won (5.60) 4th pick 3rd (4.00) 3rd pick 4th. Race 4- 3rd pick won (9.60) 2nd pick 3rd (6.60). Race 5- oly 1st timer scratched, 2nd pick won (7.60) top pick 2nd (2.80) top 2 picks boxed- Ex (9.70) Q (6.60) 4th pick 4th. Race 6- 3rd pick won (7.20) 2nd 1st timer 2nd (23.20) top 1st timer 3rd (7.20) 2nd pick 4th, top 3 picks with only two 1st timers- Ex (120.30) Q (207.80) Trifecta (1,016.00) Superfecta (6,068.20). Race 7- 1 pick scratched, 3rd pick won (12.00) 2nd pick 3rd (4.00) top pick eased out of race on 1st turn. Race 8-2nd pick 2nd (3.00) 3rd pick 3rd (3.00). Race 9-1 pick and only 1st timer scratched, Top pick won (10.60) 3rd pick 2nd (4.00)top pick keyed or top 3 picks boxed- Ex (19.80) Q (22.00).Race 10- 3rd pick 3rd (4.20).
THERE IS NO RACING AT FAIRPLEX TODAY. FIRST POST FRI. IS 12:00 P.M. (pacific).
Fairplex Park is a 5/8 mile oval track with what might be considered tight turns. The Jockey Martin Pedroza tends to do very well at the meet. It appears that post positions do not play a major role in the outcome of the races. Many bettors think the inside posts would be advantageous with the tight turns but the results do not show this to be a factor. Many racing fans, jockeys and trainers take a break from betting and racing during the Fairplex Park meet in Southern California. I will attempt to use my system as I have in the past at this track with good results. I plan on posting my selections on a daily basis during the meet. This track requires a little more luck to be part of the handicapping process and results.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 26 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room and boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK.
THERE IS NO RACING AT FAIRPLEX TODAY. FIRST POST FRI. IS 12:00 P.M. (pacific).
Fairplex Park is a 5/8 mile oval track with what might be considered tight turns. The Jockey Martin Pedroza tends to do very well at the meet. It appears that post positions do not play a major role in the outcome of the races. Many bettors think the inside posts would be advantageous with the tight turns but the results do not show this to be a factor. Many racing fans, jockeys and trainers take a break from betting and racing during the Fairplex Park meet in Southern California. I will attempt to use my system as I have in the past at this track with good results. I plan on posting my selections on a daily basis during the meet. This track requires a little more luck to be part of the handicapping process and results.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 26 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room and boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK.
