Thursday, July 06, 2006
HOLLYWOODPARK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 25 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
We all know that the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room and boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.
Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 25 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
We all know that the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room and boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.
Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK.
