Saturday, January 14, 2006

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

Fri. recap- Race 1- 3rd pick won (6.60) 2nd pick 4th. Race 2- 3rd pick won (6.00) Top pick 2nd (3.40) boxed- Ex (7.60) 2nd pick 4th. Race 3- Top pick won (3.60) 4th pick 2nd (3.80) 2nd pick 3rd (2.80) Top pick keyed- Ex (5.50) Trifecta (22.00). Race 4- 3rd 1st timer won (39.80) Top pick 2nd (3.20) 4th pick 3rd (5.40) 2nd pick 4th, 1st timer keyed to our picks- Ex (88.60) Trifecta (792.30) Superfecta (2,935.00). Race 5- 2nd pick won (12.00) top pick 2nd (8.40) boxed- Ex (36.00) 4th pick 4th. Race 6- Top pick won (entry ran 1st & 2nd) (3.40)place (3.20)
2nd pick 3rd (5.80) Ex (4.10) 3rd pick 4th- Trifecta in order (9.30)4th pick 5th- Superfecta in order (58.60). Race 7- 3rd pick won (5.80) Top pick 2nd (4.80) top 3 boxed- Ex (13.10). Race 8- 2nd pick 2nd (6.20) 3rd pick 4th.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER- The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competetive with these horses.

RACE 1
7-BEAUTIFIER 65.4
2-SKYE PIPER 55.5
1-SCOOTIN GEORGE 48.0
9-LAINIES LION 38.6

1st time starters - 3

RACE 2
6-THUNDER BEBE 43.3
1-OUR ENCORE 34.0
2-MOTHER MARIA 31.5
9-LEMON FRESH TIDE 30.8

RACE 3
9-ELEMENT K. 67.0
7-SMOOTH SIS 65.6
1-SILK KERCHIEF 64.8
3-LITTLE CAROLINE 64.8
2-SONG SUNG GOLD 64.0

RACE 4
7-FLY TO THE WIRE 102.5
2-GRANDISER 100.0 (off since April 04)
11-PRESUMPTION 96.5
10-FULL MOON MADNESS 92.6

RACE 5 (Note: with nine 1st time starters this might be a race to watch)
3-PADDY MURPHY 68.6
5-RACKETEER 68.6

1st time starters - 1, 2, 8, 6, 12, 10, 9, 11, 4

RACE 6
5-STEVIE WONDERBOY 106.6
2-BROTHER DEREK 105.9
6-SAILORS SUNSET 96.1
4-WANNA RUNNER 88.1

RACE 7
6-TINQUILCO 103.1
2-SHAMOAN 102.5
4-MOLENGAO 97.1
3-COUNTY 96.5

RACE 8
6-DISTORTED 103.1
1-CANTEEN 94.5
5-SWING YOUR PARTNER 92.8
4-UNBRIDLED ENERGY 91.9

RACE 9
5-TOP RADIO STAR 56.0
10-ROADHOUSE BANDIT 54.0
12-ALWAYS SAY YES 53.5
8-SCADU 50.6

1st time starters - 2

Comments:
Hi Tim,
Great job...
In the big San Rafael Stakes today, I like Wanna Runner to Brother Derek in a quinella...
I am thinking Stevie Wonderboy will need a race after his 77 day lay off. Wanna Runner is much improved since being gelded, and has a 2 turn win over this Santa Anita track...B
Bob Baffert trains...

*Wishing you fast horses and big mutuels!
~Bob W
http://www.nevadainsider.blogspot.com
 
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