Monday, December 12, 2005

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - QUESTIONS AND RECAP

Sun. recap- Race 1- Top pick 3rd (2.40) 3rd pick won (3.20) 4th pick 2nd (5.20) picks boxed- Q (10.80) Ex (7.80). Race 2- Top pick won (5.20) 2nd pick 2nd (6.90) Ex (6.90) 4th pick 3rd (3.20) top pick keyed-Trifecta (35.40). Race 3- 4th pick won (9.80). Race 4- Top pick 2nd (3.20) only 1st timer 3rd (3.80). Race 5- 2nd pick won (5.40) 3rd pick 3rd (3.20). Race 6- Note: this race had 11 1st time starters listed. If you took my top pick with top 4 1st timers you made some very good money. Top pick 2nd(3.40) top 1st timer won (12.00) Ex (22.90) Q (20.40) 4th 1st timer 3rd, 2nd 1st timer 4th - boxed - Superfecta (3,122.90) Trifecta (209.40). Race 7- 4 picks boxed- Superfecta (121.30) Trifecta (44.90) Top pick 2nd (3.00) 2nd pick won (10.60) Ex (11.20) Q (9.60) 4th pick 3rd (3.00) 3rd pick 4th. Race 9- top 3 picks boxed - Trifecta (45.80) Ex (22.00) Q (23.20) 3rd pick won (9.00) 2nd pick 2nd (5.00) top pick 3rd (2.40).

There is no horse racing at Hollywood Park today. Racing will be held on WED. 12/14/2005.

Some questions answered.

Why do I post 4 horses for each race? I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts - I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at the racebook I go to as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. Then they pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout, and I receive the highest of the two.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet? N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times (see Nov. 22 post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. Yesterday was a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. How you bet the picks is the key. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never bet a show bet.

I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.The best handicapping tool you can have? GOOD LUCK.

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