Monday, October 17, 2005
OAK TREE AT SANTA ANITA - RECAP AND INFORMATION ABOUT SYSTEM
Sun. Recap- After the 1st two races we had a very good day at Santa Anita. Race 2- Top pick 2nd (6.00). Race 3- Top pick won (22.40) Keyed or boxed with picks- Trifecta (344.10) Ex (29.00) Race 4- 2nd pick won (15.60) Top pick 3rd (2.20) Picks boxed- Trifecta (86.70) Ex (29.00). Race 5- Top pick won- (4.40) 1st timer 2nd (4.60) EX (9.40). Race 6- Top pick won (35.60) Top pick DD (91.20). Race 7- Top pick won (3.00) Top pick Pick-3 (51.40) DD (63.70) 2nd pick 2nd (2.20) EX (2.30) Trifecta in order- (5.40). RACE 8- 2nd pick won (10.40). Race 9- 3rd pick won (9.80) Top pick 3rd (2.60) picks boxed - Trifecta (38.00) Ex (13.40).
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
There is no horse racing today at Santa Anita. I will explain my system for some of our new bettors. My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen. I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race. I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 25 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors. A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.We all know that the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room and boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockeys dumb decisions account for most horses problems.I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make you decision on how to bet the race. I wish you the most important factor of all GOOD LUCK.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
There is no horse racing today at Santa Anita. I will explain my system for some of our new bettors. My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen. I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race. I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 25 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors. A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.We all know that the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room and boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockeys dumb decisions account for most horses problems.I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make you decision on how to bet the race. I wish you the most important factor of all GOOD LUCK.
