Tuesday, September 06, 2005

 

TUESDAY -DEL MAR WHIMS

We had another good day at Del Mar Monday. Race-1 Top pick won (2.80) Race- 2- Top 1st timer won(12.00) If you boxed our top 1st timer or keyed him with our top 3 picks you had the tri (99.80) EX (23.60) Q (21.40) If you keyed him to the top 4 selections you hit the Superfecta for $345.50) Race-3 Top pick won (4.00) Daily Double (race 1 & 2 + 8.20) Pick 3 (23.70).Race-4 Top pick won (4.20) Top Pick keyed to next three picks paid -(Q 79.00, Ex 47.00) another Pk 3 (30.90). Race 5 - Our 2nd pick won (16.40) If you included him in Pk 3 it paid (38.20) Race 6- Our top pick placed 2 (4.20). Race-7 Our top 1st timer won (13.40) top selection 2nd (3.20, Ex 19.10, Q 15.40). Race 8- 2nd pick ran 2nd (11.20 PL) 3rd selection won (7.40) If you boxed our top 3 selections You had (EX 48.70, Q 62.40). Race 9- Our 1st timer that I marked "Watch" next too won and paid (13.80) . Race 10- If you boxed our top 3 selections you hit the tri for (163.40, Ex 33.00, Q 25.60). All in all a good day.

INFORMATION ON MY SELECTIONS - NO RACING TODAY AT DEL MAR
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen. I use the assigned weight of the jockey(better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race. I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 25 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors. A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.We all know that the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room and boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockeys dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters can not be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will rate the 1st timers in the order that I think they will finish. This takes in Jockey trainer combinations, morning line, workouts, etc. The top rated 1st timer wins at a very high rate. Take a very good look to see if you should include him in your selections. Note the figure between the regular selections and how high their rating is.

GOOD LUCK AND WE WILL BE BACK TOMORROW ON CLOSING DAY AT DEL MAR WITH OUR SELECTIONS.

Comments: Post a Comment

<< Home

This page is powered by Blogger. Isn't yours?