Tuesday, September 27, 2005
FAIRPLEX RECAP OF MONDAY & HOW MY SYSTEM WORKS
WE HAD A GREAT LAST DAY with our handicapping picks and horse racing selections. Out of the 10 races given 8 were won by our top or second selections. If you boxed our selections you won 6 trifectas, 4 superfectas, 6 exactas or 6 Quinellas. Too many to list prices on since it was the last day of the meet. We had an excellent meet at Fairplex Park and made some money while having fun. I hope it continues at the Santa Anita Oak Tree meet. Santa Anita is my favorite track with the downhill turf racing.
REMEMBER- I cannot rate 1st time starters with my system. They must be considered. I will rate them in the order I believe they will finish. If I have a 1st timer that I think might win or pay good in our trifecta I will put Watch, or Watch Out next to his selection. An example being the winner Monday, 9/12/2005 in race 7's selections.My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen. I use the assigned weight of the jockey(better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race. I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 25 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors. A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.We all know that the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room and boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockeys dumb decisions account for most horses problems.I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make you decision on how to bet the race. I wish you the most important factor of all GOOD LUCK.
REMEMBER- I cannot rate 1st time starters with my system. They must be considered. I will rate them in the order I believe they will finish. If I have a 1st timer that I think might win or pay good in our trifecta I will put Watch, or Watch Out next to his selection. An example being the winner Monday, 9/12/2005 in race 7's selections.My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen. I use the assigned weight of the jockey(better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race. I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 25 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors. A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.We all know that the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room and boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockeys dumb decisions account for most horses problems.I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make you decision on how to bet the race. I wish you the most important factor of all GOOD LUCK.
