Sunday, October 30, 2016
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICKSIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $67,117.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
13-KIOMBEAR 64.8
11-ICE KAT 61.1 (3 wide)
3-CUT 60.6
12-SWINGING STAR 54.5
2-VAN CORTLANDT 52.6
1st time starters - 1, 4, 7
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
3-PROUD OF OUR KIDS 42.9
6-CHASE THE MONEY 42.0
2-KENZOU'S RHYTHM 35.7
1-CREATIVE CROSSING 25.4
5-JACK THE CLOSER 25.0
RACE 3
1-PEDRO CERRANO 89.4
4-LAST ONE STANDING 84.4
3-BOLITAR 79.6
5-EL KOREANO 77.2
6-JES JAA 68.6
RACE 4
6-ALGORHYTHMIC 75.4
8-SUMMER LADY 74.9
12-CUDDLE ALERT 73.1
13-SIDEPOCKET RUN 71.6
10-SEA SMOKE 71.4
RACE 5
6-FINALLYGOTABENTLEY 91.9
2-NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR 90.0
5-FOOLED AGAIN 85.0
3-BROTHER SOLDIER 67.0
4-SIDEPOCKET CHAMP 60.6
8-TEMPLAR 60.6
RACE 6
1-UNINVITED 88.1
3-PICTURE TUBE 79.0
2-ZEALOUS TALE 75.4
8-WESTWOOD'S WIZZARD 67.0
6-PAPA GULF 66.4
1st time starters - 7
RACE 7
10-AVANTI BELLO 103.1
9-CHIEF OF STAFF 102.5
8-ST. JOE BAY 100.0
6-SEMPER FORTIS 97.8
2-LUCKY J LANE 97.1
4-AFRICAN FIGHTER 93.9
RACE 8
4-TWENTYTWENTYVISION 110.7
5-DRUMMER 105.5
1-PERFECTLY MAJESTIC 103.1
6-PATRIOTS RULE 99.1
8-LITTLE CURLIN 98.4
RACE 9
6-THUNDER BASIN 73.7
4-LOOK TWICE 68.1
3-WHAT WE DOING 68.1
1-BLUEGRASS BRONCO 63.4
2-PROFOUND VISIONARY 58.8
8-DOTHRAKI 57.5
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICKSIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $67,117.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
13-KIOMBEAR 64.8
11-ICE KAT 61.1 (3 wide)
3-CUT 60.6
12-SWINGING STAR 54.5
2-VAN CORTLANDT 52.6
1st time starters - 1, 4, 7
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
3-PROUD OF OUR KIDS 42.9
6-CHASE THE MONEY 42.0
2-KENZOU'S RHYTHM 35.7
1-CREATIVE CROSSING 25.4
5-JACK THE CLOSER 25.0
RACE 3
1-PEDRO CERRANO 89.4
4-LAST ONE STANDING 84.4
3-BOLITAR 79.6
5-EL KOREANO 77.2
6-JES JAA 68.6
RACE 4
6-ALGORHYTHMIC 75.4
8-SUMMER LADY 74.9
12-CUDDLE ALERT 73.1
13-SIDEPOCKET RUN 71.6
10-SEA SMOKE 71.4
RACE 5
6-FINALLYGOTABENTLEY 91.9
2-NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR 90.0
5-FOOLED AGAIN 85.0
3-BROTHER SOLDIER 67.0
4-SIDEPOCKET CHAMP 60.6
8-TEMPLAR 60.6
RACE 6
1-UNINVITED 88.1
3-PICTURE TUBE 79.0
2-ZEALOUS TALE 75.4
8-WESTWOOD'S WIZZARD 67.0
6-PAPA GULF 66.4
1st time starters - 7
RACE 7
10-AVANTI BELLO 103.1
9-CHIEF OF STAFF 102.5
8-ST. JOE BAY 100.0
6-SEMPER FORTIS 97.8
2-LUCKY J LANE 97.1
4-AFRICAN FIGHTER 93.9
RACE 8
4-TWENTYTWENTYVISION 110.7
5-DRUMMER 105.5
1-PERFECTLY MAJESTIC 103.1
6-PATRIOTS RULE 99.1
8-LITTLE CURLIN 98.4
RACE 9
6-THUNDER BASIN 73.7
4-LOOK TWICE 68.1
3-WHAT WE DOING 68.1
1-BLUEGRASS BRONCO 63.4
2-PROFOUND VISIONARY 58.8
8-DOTHRAKI 57.5
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system
Saturday, October 29, 2016
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
3-SUDDEN SAM 91.9
7-FIRE TO THE WIRE 86.9
8-LAMBO LUXX 85.1
6-BRANDOTHEBARTENDER 81.4
5-LADIES MAN 80.3
RACE 2
1-WHO'S OUT 95.2
3-TEXAS TWO STEP 90.7
4-MESA SKY 86.9
5-BOLDLY TRUE 82.0
2-GUY CODE 79.0
RACE 3
4-WONDERFUL LIE 86.9
2-FRUITY 80.2
5-AREWEHAVINGFUNYET 78.4
1-BIG BREAK 78.4
6-PICO CHICK 73.7
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
3-ONE I'M RUNNING TO 49.7 (3 wide)
9-SAWBUCK 44.6 (5 wide)
1-PAY BACK 42.4
8-WELL REGARDED 41.1
5-WE GO NOW 40.3
1st time starters - 2, 6, 4
RACE 5
10-NAT'S NATION 82.6
7-JUNIOR GILLIAM 80.8
11-MAGIC TASTE 78.4
1-BRONZINO 76.0
4-UNCLE CHATO 76.0
9-SILVER SUMMER 76.0
RACE 6
1-TRIPLE CROWN 82.6
9-TRUMP DIESEL 72.0
5-REDNECK CRAZY 70.9
11-RIDEO 69.8
10-WEIRDHAIRCUT SETH 65.9
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
7-SONNETEER 69.8
2-BOBBY G 65.4
6-TROUBLEWITHATEE 61.6
4-COMMA SISTER 58.5 (off slow)
8-BIRD IS THE WORD 54.5
9-LYRICAL PASSAGE 53.5
1st time starters - 3, 5
RACE 8
10-BELVOIR BAY 95.7
5-BARLEYSUGAR 95.2
1-DANILOVNA 94.5
9-DREAMARHER 90.7
6-NODIAC 88.8
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
11-IRON CURTAIN 58.0
1-AMODEI 55.5
5-HE'S ALL THAT 50.6
4-IF UR NOT EARLY 49.2
10-WOODFOX 47.4 (bobbled start, 5 wide)
1st time starters - 7, 2
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
3-SUDDEN SAM 91.9
7-FIRE TO THE WIRE 86.9
8-LAMBO LUXX 85.1
6-BRANDOTHEBARTENDER 81.4
5-LADIES MAN 80.3
RACE 2
1-WHO'S OUT 95.2
3-TEXAS TWO STEP 90.7
4-MESA SKY 86.9
5-BOLDLY TRUE 82.0
2-GUY CODE 79.0
RACE 3
4-WONDERFUL LIE 86.9
2-FRUITY 80.2
5-AREWEHAVINGFUNYET 78.4
1-BIG BREAK 78.4
6-PICO CHICK 73.7
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
3-ONE I'M RUNNING TO 49.7 (3 wide)
9-SAWBUCK 44.6 (5 wide)
1-PAY BACK 42.4
8-WELL REGARDED 41.1
5-WE GO NOW 40.3
1st time starters - 2, 6, 4
RACE 5
10-NAT'S NATION 82.6
7-JUNIOR GILLIAM 80.8
11-MAGIC TASTE 78.4
1-BRONZINO 76.0
4-UNCLE CHATO 76.0
9-SILVER SUMMER 76.0
RACE 6
1-TRIPLE CROWN 82.6
9-TRUMP DIESEL 72.0
5-REDNECK CRAZY 70.9
11-RIDEO 69.8
10-WEIRDHAIRCUT SETH 65.9
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
7-SONNETEER 69.8
2-BOBBY G 65.4
6-TROUBLEWITHATEE 61.6
4-COMMA SISTER 58.5 (off slow)
8-BIRD IS THE WORD 54.5
9-LYRICAL PASSAGE 53.5
1st time starters - 3, 5
RACE 8
10-BELVOIR BAY 95.7
5-BARLEYSUGAR 95.2
1-DANILOVNA 94.5
9-DREAMARHER 90.7
6-NODIAC 88.8
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
11-IRON CURTAIN 58.0
1-AMODEI 55.5
5-HE'S ALL THAT 50.6
4-IF UR NOT EARLY 49.2
10-WOODFOX 47.4 (bobbled start, 5 wide)
1st time starters - 7, 2
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, thoroughbred
Friday, October 28, 2016
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-MIDNIGHT CANDY 69.8
2-OLOTTA SHAKEN 68.6
1-TRINITYS TURN 65.9
3-NAZARETH 59.3
6-PUBLIC HOUSE 56.5
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
6-VIBE 62.7
4-LOOKIN AT MOSSY 58.0
7-DATCATSA GEM 54.6
2-DIXIE PISTOL 45.2
1-SUPREME GIANT 43.8
RACE 3
2-SAINT LOUP 97.8
5-HAY DUDE 97.1
6-ALL CALL 85.6
1-BIRD E HOUSE 83.8
3-RPRETTYBOYFLOYD 81.4
RACE 4
1-ANKENY HILL 93.2
2-BLUE ANCHOR 89.4
4-DEAD EASY 89.4
5-GLACKEN TOO 88.8
3-LILLY'S FINALE 86.9
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
7-JILLY 79.0
3-MARLEY'S FREEDOM 56.0 (off slow)
9-LOVELY LINDA 54.0
6-CALL THE QUEEN 41.1
1st time starters - 2, 4, 1, 5, 8
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
2-DOWNSIDE UP 51.6
1-YIDELERS WAY 48.3
9-THREE ECLIPSE 42.0
4-CAMMY'S MUSIC 41.1
7-CAST AND BLAST 39.9
1st time starters - 8, 3, 10
RACE 7
5-VALE DORI 102.5
2-GLORY 88.2
3-CRONOLOGIC'SGHOST 85.6
4-ALL STAR BUB 84.4
1-MOYO HONEY 80.8
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
5-VIVA VEGAS 64.3
9-SPOOKY WOODS 56.5 (off slow, 3 wide)
6-DIAMONDINTHECENTER 53.5
1-LITTLE NATI 37.4
8-HOPEFULLY 31.5 (3 wide)
1st time starters - 3, 2, 7, 4
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-MIDNIGHT CANDY 69.8
2-OLOTTA SHAKEN 68.6
1-TRINITYS TURN 65.9
3-NAZARETH 59.3
6-PUBLIC HOUSE 56.5
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
6-VIBE 62.7
4-LOOKIN AT MOSSY 58.0
7-DATCATSA GEM 54.6
2-DIXIE PISTOL 45.2
1-SUPREME GIANT 43.8
RACE 3
2-SAINT LOUP 97.8
5-HAY DUDE 97.1
6-ALL CALL 85.6
1-BIRD E HOUSE 83.8
3-RPRETTYBOYFLOYD 81.4
RACE 4
1-ANKENY HILL 93.2
2-BLUE ANCHOR 89.4
4-DEAD EASY 89.4
5-GLACKEN TOO 88.8
3-LILLY'S FINALE 86.9
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
7-JILLY 79.0
3-MARLEY'S FREEDOM 56.0 (off slow)
9-LOVELY LINDA 54.0
6-CALL THE QUEEN 41.1
1st time starters - 2, 4, 1, 5, 8
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
2-DOWNSIDE UP 51.6
1-YIDELERS WAY 48.3
9-THREE ECLIPSE 42.0
4-CAMMY'S MUSIC 41.1
7-CAST AND BLAST 39.9
1st time starters - 8, 3, 10
RACE 7
5-VALE DORI 102.5
2-GLORY 88.2
3-CRONOLOGIC'SGHOST 85.6
4-ALL STAR BUB 84.4
1-MOYO HONEY 80.8
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
5-VIVA VEGAS 64.3
9-SPOOKY WOODS 56.5 (off slow, 3 wide)
6-DIAMONDINTHECENTER 53.5
1-LITTLE NATI 37.4
8-HOPEFULLY 31.5 (3 wide)
1st time starters - 3, 2, 7, 4
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, thoroughbred
Thursday, October 27, 2016
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
TODAYS PICK SIX CARRYOVER IS $69,959.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
2-UCANTHANKMELATER 47.8
1-BIG SHORTY 45.1
5-DYNAMIC RULER 39.9
4-MIZZEN ME 37.0
3-LONG GAME 35.0 (lacked room)
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
1-TELL ME A STORY 77.6
2-HOT SEAN 74.6
5-CURLY'S WATERFRONT 61.4
4-SECRET HOUSE 55.6
3-VENDING MACHINE 50.2
RACE 3
8-RESISTANCEISFUTILE 68.6
7-WOODSTOCK MEMORY 62.2
3-GOTTA GET LUCKY 61.6
2-CAN'R REMEMBER 52.1
9-SILVER CHROME 43.8
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
4-PERFECT COCKTAIL 53.5
2-HOLEY MOSEY 47.6
1-IT'S NOT SO EASY 43.3
3-RESKY BUSINESS 39.6
5-YOU'RE THE REASON 34.9
RACE 5
3-LADY PAMELA 81.4
6-SUGARY 76.6
5-ONZAWAY 73.7
12-GEORGIA BLUE 70.3
9-EILEEN'S GIRL 68.6
11-SUMERTIMEMISCHIEF 68.6
1st time starters - 4
RACE 6
1-AUTUMN TWILIGHT 78.4 (off Aug. 15)
5-SHESWILDNFREE 65.4
9-LOB CITY 64.3
2-ARCOBALENO 61.6
7-DESERT SMOKE 55.0
RACE 7
6-MANGITA 88.8
4-MOLLY'S HONOUR 85.6
8-FLAMINGO LANE 85.6
7-GIRL DOWNSTAIRS 85.6
2-LOVEINTHESHADOWS 81.4
3-BACKINTHEACADEMY 79.6
RACE 8
9-IF YOU BELIEVE 62.7
1-REALLY A GEM 58.0
6-JEOFFIE 57.5
7-GOLDEN MAMBA 57.5 (off July 15)
13-ROYAL RED 54.0
4-WARREN'S HONEY BEE 50.6
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
TODAYS PICK SIX CARRYOVER IS $69,959.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
2-UCANTHANKMELATER 47.8
1-BIG SHORTY 45.1
5-DYNAMIC RULER 39.9
4-MIZZEN ME 37.0
3-LONG GAME 35.0 (lacked room)
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
1-TELL ME A STORY 77.6
2-HOT SEAN 74.6
5-CURLY'S WATERFRONT 61.4
4-SECRET HOUSE 55.6
3-VENDING MACHINE 50.2
RACE 3
8-RESISTANCEISFUTILE 68.6
7-WOODSTOCK MEMORY 62.2
3-GOTTA GET LUCKY 61.6
2-CAN'R REMEMBER 52.1
9-SILVER CHROME 43.8
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
4-PERFECT COCKTAIL 53.5
2-HOLEY MOSEY 47.6
1-IT'S NOT SO EASY 43.3
3-RESKY BUSINESS 39.6
5-YOU'RE THE REASON 34.9
RACE 5
3-LADY PAMELA 81.4
6-SUGARY 76.6
5-ONZAWAY 73.7
12-GEORGIA BLUE 70.3
9-EILEEN'S GIRL 68.6
11-SUMERTIMEMISCHIEF 68.6
1st time starters - 4
RACE 6
1-AUTUMN TWILIGHT 78.4 (off Aug. 15)
5-SHESWILDNFREE 65.4
9-LOB CITY 64.3
2-ARCOBALENO 61.6
7-DESERT SMOKE 55.0
RACE 7
6-MANGITA 88.8
4-MOLLY'S HONOUR 85.6
8-FLAMINGO LANE 85.6
7-GIRL DOWNSTAIRS 85.6
2-LOVEINTHESHADOWS 81.4
3-BACKINTHEACADEMY 79.6
RACE 8
9-IF YOU BELIEVE 62.7
1-REALLY A GEM 58.0
6-JEOFFIE 57.5
7-GOLDEN MAMBA 57.5 (off July 15)
13-ROYAL RED 54.0
4-WARREN'S HONEY BEE 50.6
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, October 26, 2016
SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA RACE TRACK TODAY
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 40 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 40 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, October 25, 2016
SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,658 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,658 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, October 23, 2016
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-PAQUITA COQUETA 101.1
6-LILY POD 95.8
1-CINDYS SECRET 88.8
5-BARBARA BEATRICE 88.1
3-TOURNY 76.6
RACE 2
2-MARGIE'S MINUTE 79.6
3-HEAT ME 78.8
1-PLASTERED 74.5
4-WARREN'S TRICIA R. 70.9
6-QUINNETTE 64.8
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
5-AMERICAN GAL 86.9
1-BERNINA STAR 72.6
4-WOOT WOOT 60.1
3-VELVET JONES 50.2
2-STORMIN' PROMISE 42.0
RACE 4
1-BEDEVILED 85.6
5-PAPPOU 77.8
4-STUDENT BODY LEFT 74.2
3-UNCORK THE YORK 65.4
7-SUPER TOUCH 64.3
RACE 5
6-WARRENSDOLLARSIGNS 77.2
8-FILLY ON FIRE 74.3
3-ALTAIRA 74.3
2-ZUZU'S PETALS 71.4
5-EASTER FEVER 70.9
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
7-GO ARGENTO 58.5
4-GO BABY RUN 49.7
6-JOE'SGOLDENHOLIDAY 48.8
3-PADDY JEAN 46.9 (4 wide)
2-AMERICANA 46.9
RACE 7
6-TRIBAL TRIBUTE 93.9
2-STORM COMIN THRU 86.3
1-DR. GO 77.2
5-OVERCOMER 75.8
4-START A RUNNIN 69.8
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
10-FREEDOM JOURNEY 51.1 (3 wide)
3-QUEEN BEE TO YOU 45.5
6-DECODED 44.6
9-MEET'N ON HIGH 40.7
1st time starters - 5, 2, 1, 4, 7, 8
RACE 9
11-ZURI CHOP 99.1
6-PULMARACK 97.7
7-FOREST BLUE 97.1
8-TRIBAL FIGHTER 95.2
3-ZINVOR 93.9
10-GUTSY RULER 93.9
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-PAQUITA COQUETA 101.1
6-LILY POD 95.8
1-CINDYS SECRET 88.8
5-BARBARA BEATRICE 88.1
3-TOURNY 76.6
RACE 2
2-MARGIE'S MINUTE 79.6
3-HEAT ME 78.8
1-PLASTERED 74.5
4-WARREN'S TRICIA R. 70.9
6-QUINNETTE 64.8
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
5-AMERICAN GAL 86.9
1-BERNINA STAR 72.6
4-WOOT WOOT 60.1
3-VELVET JONES 50.2
2-STORMIN' PROMISE 42.0
RACE 4
1-BEDEVILED 85.6
5-PAPPOU 77.8
4-STUDENT BODY LEFT 74.2
3-UNCORK THE YORK 65.4
7-SUPER TOUCH 64.3
RACE 5
6-WARRENSDOLLARSIGNS 77.2
8-FILLY ON FIRE 74.3
3-ALTAIRA 74.3
2-ZUZU'S PETALS 71.4
5-EASTER FEVER 70.9
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
7-GO ARGENTO 58.5
4-GO BABY RUN 49.7
6-JOE'SGOLDENHOLIDAY 48.8
3-PADDY JEAN 46.9 (4 wide)
2-AMERICANA 46.9
RACE 7
6-TRIBAL TRIBUTE 93.9
2-STORM COMIN THRU 86.3
1-DR. GO 77.2
5-OVERCOMER 75.8
4-START A RUNNIN 69.8
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
10-FREEDOM JOURNEY 51.1 (3 wide)
3-QUEEN BEE TO YOU 45.5
6-DECODED 44.6
9-MEET'N ON HIGH 40.7
1st time starters - 5, 2, 1, 4, 7, 8
RACE 9
11-ZURI CHOP 99.1
6-PULMARACK 97.7
7-FOREST BLUE 97.1
8-TRIBAL FIGHTER 95.2
3-ZINVOR 93.9
10-GUTSY RULER 93.9
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, October 22, 2016
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $33,379.
RACE 1
4-INDIVIDUAL DESIGN 70.3
3-FRANDONTJUDGE 61.1
1-VERONICA BAY 52.6
5-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 49.5
6-PRIVATE TERRACE 44.2
RACE 2
1-HAWK'S EYES 86.3
5-INDYGO 85.0
3-DEEP CONSIDERATION 82.6
4-CARLSBAD MOUNTAIN 78.4
2-L'S CHOICE 73.7
6-PEYTON 73.7
RACE 3
1-SKYE DIAMONDS 76.6
5-SWEET HALORY 75.4
4-SPICY BLONDE 72.6
3-STAR MUNSTER 70.3
2-BROOKES ALL MINE 69.8
RACE 4
3-BOOZER 110.0
1-RICHARDS'S BOY 101.8
2-MCHEAT 85.6
7-BIG BANE THEORY 83.8
4-SOMETHINGS UNUSUAL 83.8
6-ACCEPTANCE 83.2
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
8-SHEER FLATTERY 68.6
5-POPULAR KID 47.4
1st time starters - 4, 7, 3, 6, 1, 2
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f. on turf)
14-BITTE 64.3
11-CUT 63.1
9-DUDE'S DUDE 53.1
13-DIXIE PISTOL 50.2
7-NIGHT'S WATCH 44.1 (steadied)
1st time starters - eight 1st time starters - NO SELECTIONS
RACE 7
3-ADAIR 85.6
7-APERFECTDAYTOFLY 77.2
8-SWISS CHEESE 74.9
1-MADELYN'S WILD MAX74.3
5-SUCCESS RATE 71.4
RACE 8
4-BOTTLE ROCKET 107.3
6-THE GOMPER 105.0
2-SECRETO PRIMERO 100.4
5-BANZE NO DESTE 99.1
7-HORSE LAUGH 96.5
RACE 9
6-RUNBRORUN 62.2
11-POP POP'S PIZZA 61.1 (off Sept. 15)
4-AND THE SOME 56.0
8-SPLENDID CAUSE 48.8
1-LUCKY DAYS AHEAD 46.9
9-JULIA'S SUMMER 46.4
5-GRANDPA A. C. 46.4
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $33,379.
RACE 1
4-INDIVIDUAL DESIGN 70.3
3-FRANDONTJUDGE 61.1
1-VERONICA BAY 52.6
5-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 49.5
6-PRIVATE TERRACE 44.2
RACE 2
1-HAWK'S EYES 86.3
5-INDYGO 85.0
3-DEEP CONSIDERATION 82.6
4-CARLSBAD MOUNTAIN 78.4
2-L'S CHOICE 73.7
6-PEYTON 73.7
RACE 3
1-SKYE DIAMONDS 76.6
5-SWEET HALORY 75.4
4-SPICY BLONDE 72.6
3-STAR MUNSTER 70.3
2-BROOKES ALL MINE 69.8
RACE 4
3-BOOZER 110.0
1-RICHARDS'S BOY 101.8
2-MCHEAT 85.6
7-BIG BANE THEORY 83.8
4-SOMETHINGS UNUSUAL 83.8
6-ACCEPTANCE 83.2
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
8-SHEER FLATTERY 68.6
5-POPULAR KID 47.4
1st time starters - 4, 7, 3, 6, 1, 2
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f. on turf)
14-BITTE 64.3
11-CUT 63.1
9-DUDE'S DUDE 53.1
13-DIXIE PISTOL 50.2
7-NIGHT'S WATCH 44.1 (steadied)
1st time starters - eight 1st time starters - NO SELECTIONS
RACE 7
3-ADAIR 85.6
7-APERFECTDAYTOFLY 77.2
8-SWISS CHEESE 74.9
1-MADELYN'S WILD MAX74.3
5-SUCCESS RATE 71.4
RACE 8
4-BOTTLE ROCKET 107.3
6-THE GOMPER 105.0
2-SECRETO PRIMERO 100.4
5-BANZE NO DESTE 99.1
7-HORSE LAUGH 96.5
RACE 9
6-RUNBRORUN 62.2
11-POP POP'S PIZZA 61.1 (off Sept. 15)
4-AND THE SOME 56.0
8-SPLENDID CAUSE 48.8
1-LUCKY DAYS AHEAD 46.9
9-JULIA'S SUMMER 46.4
5-GRANDPA A. C. 46.4
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, October 21, 2016
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-LIL MISS SAPHIRE 51.6
5-AURA ROSE 38.2
4-PRINCESS NICOLE 33.4
3-WAR FACTOR 33.0
6-NO SPIN ZONE 18.3
1st time starters - 2, 7
RACE 2
1-PARADISE 53.0
4-ALL FOR CHARITY 47.8
3-NIGHTY NIGHT 36.6
2-MISS NAPPER TANDY 35.4
5-GLORY RUN 34.2 (4 wide)
RACE 3
4-EL SUPER 91.3
5-RYE PATCH 88.8
2-SKY PREACHER 86.9
9-LAMAAN 85.6
3-TATTENHAM 82.0
8-INFINITE MAGIC 82.0
RACE 4
5-LATE 'N LEFT 74.3
3-TANGLED UP IN JU 65.4
1-SOONER TIME 64.3
4-STREET GODDESS 61.1
2-MISS BIG STUFF 56.0
RACE 5
8-BIG CHAMPION 86.9
6-STORM THE SHORE 75.4
2-ELEGANT STREET 69.2
7-SIXES 69.2
3-PAPA ROYLE 68.1 (off slow, 4 wide)
1st time starters - 10, 11
RACE 6
7-BIG BAD JON 60.6
8-WILD MISCHIEF 60.6
1-BUNDESLIGA 50.6
2-ALLEY BOSS 49.2
6-MIMIS BIG BOY 47.4
1st time starters - 4
RACE 7
6-OK DOLL 88.1
5-DO THE DANCE 84.4
3-NINE POINT NINE 81.4
4-MRS. NORRIS 81.4
2-WARM ENDOWMENT 79.0
7-CRIMSON AND GOLD 77.2
1st time starters - 8 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
6-PRINCESS MARIE 36.6
1-FELLINA 34.2
5-RCATCANSCAT 32.3
3-INFORMANT 28.9
8-LOVIN D'CAUSE 19.7
7-REWARD OF ROSES 19.7
1st time starters - 4, 9
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-LIL MISS SAPHIRE 51.6
5-AURA ROSE 38.2
4-PRINCESS NICOLE 33.4
3-WAR FACTOR 33.0
6-NO SPIN ZONE 18.3
1st time starters - 2, 7
RACE 2
1-PARADISE 53.0
4-ALL FOR CHARITY 47.8
3-NIGHTY NIGHT 36.6
2-MISS NAPPER TANDY 35.4
5-GLORY RUN 34.2 (4 wide)
RACE 3
4-EL SUPER 91.3
5-RYE PATCH 88.8
2-SKY PREACHER 86.9
9-LAMAAN 85.6
3-TATTENHAM 82.0
8-INFINITE MAGIC 82.0
RACE 4
5-LATE 'N LEFT 74.3
3-TANGLED UP IN JU 65.4
1-SOONER TIME 64.3
4-STREET GODDESS 61.1
2-MISS BIG STUFF 56.0
RACE 5
8-BIG CHAMPION 86.9
6-STORM THE SHORE 75.4
2-ELEGANT STREET 69.2
7-SIXES 69.2
3-PAPA ROYLE 68.1 (off slow, 4 wide)
1st time starters - 10, 11
RACE 6
7-BIG BAD JON 60.6
8-WILD MISCHIEF 60.6
1-BUNDESLIGA 50.6
2-ALLEY BOSS 49.2
6-MIMIS BIG BOY 47.4
1st time starters - 4
RACE 7
6-OK DOLL 88.1
5-DO THE DANCE 84.4
3-NINE POINT NINE 81.4
4-MRS. NORRIS 81.4
2-WARM ENDOWMENT 79.0
7-CRIMSON AND GOLD 77.2
1st time starters - 8 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
6-PRINCESS MARIE 36.6
1-FELLINA 34.2
5-RCATCANSCAT 32.3
3-INFORMANT 28.9
8-LOVIN D'CAUSE 19.7
7-REWARD OF ROSES 19.7
1st time starters - 4, 9
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, October 20, 2016
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
4-DUMONT 48.3
1-MEMORIES GALORE 42.4
5-GOLDEN SILENCE 37.4
6-JEANJEANNIE 36.6 (broke slow)
3-CROWN ON TOP 19.4
2-BLAZING MISS 19.4
RACE 2
3-G Q COVERGIRL 86.9
2-KRISTIE'SHEART 69.8
5-TIME FOR EBBY 62.2
4-PRINCESS ASHLYN 49.7
1-STRIGHT N STRONG 46.4
RACE 3
2-AIR POCKET 93.2
6-DIRT IN YOUR FACE 85.8
7-BROKEN UP 76.6
5-MOTORING AROUND 75.9
4-YOKED 69.8
RACE 4
1-SALIENT 68.1
2-JUST A BIT OUTSIDE 65.0
6-CALIFORNIA SILVER 62.2
3-ROYAL REBEL 47.4
1st time starters - 4, 5
RACE 5
1-PONDER LEA 89.4
5-SEASIDE GLORY 88.8
3-BRAINSPIN 86.3
6-MY FIONA 83.8
2-ULTIMATE HOLIDAY 74.9
1st time starters - 4 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 6
1-MALKO 78.4
7-FIN DE SEMAINE 75.4
4-ROYALIST 74.9
8-MADIKWE 71.4
5-CERVARO 69.8
RACE 7
8-CHAO CHOM 74.3
4-DESERT THIEF 74.3
6-EASTER FEVER 70.9
5-PLANE LUCKY 70.3
2-TUSCANY BEAUTY 67.5
RACE 8
1-SPANISH HOMBRE 86.9
10-HANDFUL OF STRIPES 82.6
8-GLORY BOUND 80.8
9-DYNAMIC SCORING 79.3
4-IMPERIOUS ONE 79.0
6-LAUREN'S LADD 76.6
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
4-DUMONT 48.3
1-MEMORIES GALORE 42.4
5-GOLDEN SILENCE 37.4
6-JEANJEANNIE 36.6 (broke slow)
3-CROWN ON TOP 19.4
2-BLAZING MISS 19.4
RACE 2
3-G Q COVERGIRL 86.9
2-KRISTIE'SHEART 69.8
5-TIME FOR EBBY 62.2
4-PRINCESS ASHLYN 49.7
1-STRIGHT N STRONG 46.4
RACE 3
2-AIR POCKET 93.2
6-DIRT IN YOUR FACE 85.8
7-BROKEN UP 76.6
5-MOTORING AROUND 75.9
4-YOKED 69.8
RACE 4
1-SALIENT 68.1
2-JUST A BIT OUTSIDE 65.0
6-CALIFORNIA SILVER 62.2
3-ROYAL REBEL 47.4
1st time starters - 4, 5
RACE 5
1-PONDER LEA 89.4
5-SEASIDE GLORY 88.8
3-BRAINSPIN 86.3
6-MY FIONA 83.8
2-ULTIMATE HOLIDAY 74.9
1st time starters - 4 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 6
1-MALKO 78.4
7-FIN DE SEMAINE 75.4
4-ROYALIST 74.9
8-MADIKWE 71.4
5-CERVARO 69.8
RACE 7
8-CHAO CHOM 74.3
4-DESERT THIEF 74.3
6-EASTER FEVER 70.9
5-PLANE LUCKY 70.3
2-TUSCANY BEAUTY 67.5
RACE 8
1-SPANISH HOMBRE 86.9
10-HANDFUL OF STRIPES 82.6
8-GLORY BOUND 80.8
9-DYNAMIC SCORING 79.3
4-IMPERIOUS ONE 79.0
6-LAUREN'S LADD 76.6
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, October 19, 2016
SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA RACE TRACK TODAY
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 40 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 40 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, fairplex, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Monday, October 17, 2016
SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,652 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,652 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, October 16, 2016
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
The pick six carryover for today is $67,281.
NOTE: NO HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR TODAY.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
The pick six carryover for today is $67,281.
NOTE: NO HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR TODAY.
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, October 15, 2016
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
6-HE COULD 82.6
7-ELKHORN CROWN 78.4
8-MONTEREY SHALE 78.4
5-EVICTED 70.9
1-THE GOLDEN KID 59.0
4-AWESOME IMAGE 59.0
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
6-SANDY'S SURPRISE 60.6 (3 wide)
5-GO ON MARY 58.0
3-FORTUNATE QUEEN 57.0
2-MY ALCHEMIST 43.8
1st time starters - 4, 1
RACE 3
3-ENOLA GRAY 107.9
2-LONG HOT SUMMER 105.9
5-HOME JOURNEY 93.2
1-DESERT STEEL 85.6
4-OUT OFTHE ORDINARY 65.9
RACE 4
7-THANKSGIVING DAY 93.9
6-PERFECT SET 92.6
4-WINNING CAUSEWAY 86.3
9-ROMAN TIZZY 85.0
8-ACE DEUCE 83.8
RACE 5
3-PEDRO CERRANO 89.4
7-CLASSICO 83.8
5-FAMILY CODE 82.6
1-BOLITAR 82.0
2-KNIGHT OF DRAMA 80.8
RACE 6
2-SLEEPWALKER 83.2
7-MATRICULATE 80.8
5-DREAMY MARTINI 80.2
4-WRIGHTWOOD 75.4
6-SEATTLE BOOM 72.0
RACE 7
9-REFLECTED STAR 99.1
1-HE WILL 97.1
6-AMERICAN LEAGUE 97.1
12-FRITZ JOHANSEN 94.5
14-RYE PATCH 91.3
4-FABOZZI 89.4
RACE 8
9-SAINT DERMOT 97.1
1-SPUD SPIVENS 93.9
8-STREET MOXIE 91.3
4-CHINA GIRL LOVER 88.8
6-SILVER SPIRIT 86.9
RACE 9
10-YAVRIG 61.1
8-SUNDAR CREEK 46.4
7-PROWLING AROUND 44.2
1-CORRELATION 43.8
3-DARE TO IMPRESS 39.4 (broke in)
6-MADERA JUBILEE 34.6
1st time starters - 5
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
6-HE COULD 82.6
7-ELKHORN CROWN 78.4
8-MONTEREY SHALE 78.4
5-EVICTED 70.9
1-THE GOLDEN KID 59.0
4-AWESOME IMAGE 59.0
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
6-SANDY'S SURPRISE 60.6 (3 wide)
5-GO ON MARY 58.0
3-FORTUNATE QUEEN 57.0
2-MY ALCHEMIST 43.8
1st time starters - 4, 1
RACE 3
3-ENOLA GRAY 107.9
2-LONG HOT SUMMER 105.9
5-HOME JOURNEY 93.2
1-DESERT STEEL 85.6
4-OUT OFTHE ORDINARY 65.9
RACE 4
7-THANKSGIVING DAY 93.9
6-PERFECT SET 92.6
4-WINNING CAUSEWAY 86.3
9-ROMAN TIZZY 85.0
8-ACE DEUCE 83.8
RACE 5
3-PEDRO CERRANO 89.4
7-CLASSICO 83.8
5-FAMILY CODE 82.6
1-BOLITAR 82.0
2-KNIGHT OF DRAMA 80.8
RACE 6
2-SLEEPWALKER 83.2
7-MATRICULATE 80.8
5-DREAMY MARTINI 80.2
4-WRIGHTWOOD 75.4
6-SEATTLE BOOM 72.0
RACE 7
9-REFLECTED STAR 99.1
1-HE WILL 97.1
6-AMERICAN LEAGUE 97.1
12-FRITZ JOHANSEN 94.5
14-RYE PATCH 91.3
4-FABOZZI 89.4
RACE 8
9-SAINT DERMOT 97.1
1-SPUD SPIVENS 93.9
8-STREET MOXIE 91.3
4-CHINA GIRL LOVER 88.8
6-SILVER SPIRIT 86.9
RACE 9
10-YAVRIG 61.1
8-SUNDAR CREEK 46.4
7-PROWLING AROUND 44.2
1-CORRELATION 43.8
3-DARE TO IMPRESS 39.4 (broke in)
6-MADERA JUBILEE 34.6
1st time starters - 5
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, October 14, 2016
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $53,992.
RACE 1
2-SUMMERTIMEMISCHIEF 73.1
6-TIZ ADORE 68.6
3-DUST IT 64.8
1-NANYBELLE 48.8
5-SAPODILLA 45.5
1st time starters - 8
RACE 2
3-EIGHT SPOKES 83.8
1-TENGAS RANSOM 76.6
4-PLAIN WRAP 76.0
6-EDDIE'S TURN 69.2
5-PACKIN HEAT 61.6
RACE 3
2-SPACE CADET 53.5
7-TINIAN 47.6
4-CURLINA CURLINA 44.6
3-MOTHER FLOWER 42.9
8-TRIXIE TOPPER 35.7
RACE 4
6-SID THE SQUID 73.1
5-HAYLEY'S COMMENT 60.1
3-SANTA NELLA 53.5 (off slow)
1-TO B. AVA 51.1 (off slow, 3 wide)
2-TOPAZ TIME 49.2
1st time starters - 7, 8
RACE 5
3-ITSINTHEPOST 105.2
6-HOBBITS HERO 103.1
2-ROYAL ALBERT HALL 103.1
7-LIFE'S JOURNEY 102.5
8-CROWN THE KITTEN 98.4
RACE 6
3-CONQUEST SO TRUE 77.2
2-ALBEIT 69.1
1-GENEROUS POUR 67.5
5-BUZZER BEATER 66.4
4-MARRIEDTOAMINISTER 60.1
RACE 7
9-DANAS BEST 99.1
5-CURLIN RULES 96.5
7-ATOMIC RULE 95.2
6-BARHANPOUR 94.5
3-LITTLE SCOTTY 88.1
1st time starters - 8, 2
RACE 8
5-CHICAGO ANGEL 81.4
2-NAZARETH 70.3
7-MISS BLISS 67.5
8-MISS BIG STUFF 65.9
9-RYDERROO 61.1
3-QUEENOFHERCASTLE 60.1
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $53,992.
RACE 1
2-SUMMERTIMEMISCHIEF 73.1
6-TIZ ADORE 68.6
3-DUST IT 64.8
1-NANYBELLE 48.8
5-SAPODILLA 45.5
1st time starters - 8
RACE 2
3-EIGHT SPOKES 83.8
1-TENGAS RANSOM 76.6
4-PLAIN WRAP 76.0
6-EDDIE'S TURN 69.2
5-PACKIN HEAT 61.6
RACE 3
2-SPACE CADET 53.5
7-TINIAN 47.6
4-CURLINA CURLINA 44.6
3-MOTHER FLOWER 42.9
8-TRIXIE TOPPER 35.7
RACE 4
6-SID THE SQUID 73.1
5-HAYLEY'S COMMENT 60.1
3-SANTA NELLA 53.5 (off slow)
1-TO B. AVA 51.1 (off slow, 3 wide)
2-TOPAZ TIME 49.2
1st time starters - 7, 8
RACE 5
3-ITSINTHEPOST 105.2
6-HOBBITS HERO 103.1
2-ROYAL ALBERT HALL 103.1
7-LIFE'S JOURNEY 102.5
8-CROWN THE KITTEN 98.4
RACE 6
3-CONQUEST SO TRUE 77.2
2-ALBEIT 69.1
1-GENEROUS POUR 67.5
5-BUZZER BEATER 66.4
4-MARRIEDTOAMINISTER 60.1
RACE 7
9-DANAS BEST 99.1
5-CURLIN RULES 96.5
7-ATOMIC RULE 95.2
6-BARHANPOUR 94.5
3-LITTLE SCOTTY 88.1
1st time starters - 8, 2
RACE 8
5-CHICAGO ANGEL 81.4
2-NAZARETH 70.3
7-MISS BLISS 67.5
8-MISS BIG STUFF 65.9
9-RYDERROO 61.1
3-QUEENOFHERCASTLE 60.1
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, October 13, 2016
SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA RACE TRACK TODAY
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 40 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 40 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, October 12, 2016
SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,645 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,645 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Monday, October 10, 2016
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR MONDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
10-SUMMER LADY 84.4
9-GODEN LIGHT 83.8
3-LA PREMIERE ETOILE 77.2
7-JENNYWAY U WANT IT 76.0
2-GYPSY'S RULE 73.1
14-CUDDLE ALERT 73.1
RACE 2
2-THAT'S A LADY 85.0
3-LUNAR EMPRESS 80.6
5-SAVANNAH SKY 80.2
4-ROO'S VALENTINE 77.8
1-PAGENT MATERIAL 73.7
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-YODDLERS WAY 44.2
7-THIRTY PEPPERONIS 40.3
1-KENZOU'S RHYTHM 35.8
9-MT. LEINSTER 35.0
5-FIRST CLASS BOY 25.8
1st time starters - 8, 10, 4, 2
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2f. on turf)
2-CIAO BELLA ROSA 58.8
4-WITH LOVE 56.5 (4 wide)
7-CYNTHIANA 51.5
8-OH SCATTY OH 47.1 (forced out)
3-DEMIGODDESS 46.9
1st time starters - 11, 10, 13
RACE 5
6-MOE CANDY 90.0
7-HOOK 'EM KURT 85.6
5-SENSE OF GLORY 71.4
4-SMUGGLER UNION 68.6 (off Nov. 14)
8-STATES HERO 26.8
1st time starters - 3, 2, 9, 1, 10
RACE 6
3-CON TE PARTIRO 75.8
2-DEER VALLEY 74.9
1-HAPPY MESA 72.8
7-MISS SOUTHERN MISS 71.4
9-SHY 67.5
1st time starters - 5, 8 (both are fgn. horses, 1st race in the U.S.A.)
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
2-BITTE 61.1 (4 wide)
1-INVASION LOOMING 33.8 (5 wide)
1st time starters - 8 horses, no selections
RACE 8
5-FAR OUT KAILEE 70.9
3-MOTORING AROUND 68.1
2-MONEY MAKIN MIKE 65.9
9-LAMU 62.7
7-CLAUDE 57.5
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
8-BOWIES HERO 88.1
4-RISER 86.9
12-BIG SCORE 81.4
11-SONIC BOOM 79.4
2-OOPPER WALLAH 76.0
5-SORRY ERIK 72.0
1st time starters - 10 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
10-SUMMER LADY 84.4
9-GODEN LIGHT 83.8
3-LA PREMIERE ETOILE 77.2
7-JENNYWAY U WANT IT 76.0
2-GYPSY'S RULE 73.1
14-CUDDLE ALERT 73.1
RACE 2
2-THAT'S A LADY 85.0
3-LUNAR EMPRESS 80.6
5-SAVANNAH SKY 80.2
4-ROO'S VALENTINE 77.8
1-PAGENT MATERIAL 73.7
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-YODDLERS WAY 44.2
7-THIRTY PEPPERONIS 40.3
1-KENZOU'S RHYTHM 35.8
9-MT. LEINSTER 35.0
5-FIRST CLASS BOY 25.8
1st time starters - 8, 10, 4, 2
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2f. on turf)
2-CIAO BELLA ROSA 58.8
4-WITH LOVE 56.5 (4 wide)
7-CYNTHIANA 51.5
8-OH SCATTY OH 47.1 (forced out)
3-DEMIGODDESS 46.9
1st time starters - 11, 10, 13
RACE 5
6-MOE CANDY 90.0
7-HOOK 'EM KURT 85.6
5-SENSE OF GLORY 71.4
4-SMUGGLER UNION 68.6 (off Nov. 14)
8-STATES HERO 26.8
1st time starters - 3, 2, 9, 1, 10
RACE 6
3-CON TE PARTIRO 75.8
2-DEER VALLEY 74.9
1-HAPPY MESA 72.8
7-MISS SOUTHERN MISS 71.4
9-SHY 67.5
1st time starters - 5, 8 (both are fgn. horses, 1st race in the U.S.A.)
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
2-BITTE 61.1 (4 wide)
1-INVASION LOOMING 33.8 (5 wide)
1st time starters - 8 horses, no selections
RACE 8
5-FAR OUT KAILEE 70.9
3-MOTORING AROUND 68.1
2-MONEY MAKIN MIKE 65.9
9-LAMU 62.7
7-CLAUDE 57.5
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
8-BOWIES HERO 88.1
4-RISER 86.9
12-BIG SCORE 81.4
11-SONIC BOOM 79.4
2-OOPPER WALLAH 76.0
5-SORRY ERIK 72.0
1st time starters - 10 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, October 09, 2016
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
8-HOLY MOSEY 56.5
9-WOOT WOOT 53.0
5-VELVET JONES 49.7 (3 wide)
6-CHOCOLATE GODDESS 47.1
1-RESKY BUSINESS 44.6
RACE 2
7-ALSTON 58.5
1-MIMIS BIG BOY 55.5
2-GAVINATION 54.5
4-IOWA TIGER 43.3 (3 wide)
5-COUNTURLUCKYSTARS 27.6
RACE 3
2-MY UNCLE AL 75.4
6-SIR STUDLEIGH 60.1
1-HOT RODIN 59.0
4-FIRE TO THE WIRE 48.8 (off slow)
7-ADMIRAL'S CLUB 44.2
1st time starters - 3, 5
RACE 4
1-LITTLE BIT LOVELY 85.0
5-ROSARITA 84.4
7-DISSENSION 83.2
3-MOLLY'S HONOUR 83.1
2-PEARL DE VERE 82.6
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
10-HOTFLICKARUE 47.4
3-QUEEN BEE TO YOU 45.1
1-LAURA'S BABYDOLL 44.2
2-GO FOR BEAR 39.0
8-COUGAR CREEK 33.0
1st time starters - 5, 7, 4, 9
RACE 6
3-TEMPLE KEYS 85.0
6-GLORY BOUND 82.0
5-WARD 'N JERRY 81.4
12-JUNIOR GILLIAM 80.8
9-OVER PAR 79.0
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
11-CALIFORNIA CLONE 64.8
10-SUNDAY NAP 48.8
3-CLOSE TO MIDNIGHT 45.1
8-SIX POINT RACK 39.0 (off slow)
1-FANDAREL DANCER 22.8
1st time starters - 7, 4, 6, 5, 12, 2
RACE 8
4-LUMINANCE 103.8
3-PERFECT PIC 101.8
5-GLORYZAPPER 95.2
6-JUNO 92.6
1-WILD AT HEART 85.6
1st time starters - 2 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 9
10-ALASKAN SON 93.2
11-RYE 92.6
4-SPANISH HOMBRE 91.3
5-MITTERSILL 90.7
14-FABOZZI 90.7
7-LETITHAPPEN 90.0
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
8-HOLY MOSEY 56.5
9-WOOT WOOT 53.0
5-VELVET JONES 49.7 (3 wide)
6-CHOCOLATE GODDESS 47.1
1-RESKY BUSINESS 44.6
RACE 2
7-ALSTON 58.5
1-MIMIS BIG BOY 55.5
2-GAVINATION 54.5
4-IOWA TIGER 43.3 (3 wide)
5-COUNTURLUCKYSTARS 27.6
RACE 3
2-MY UNCLE AL 75.4
6-SIR STUDLEIGH 60.1
1-HOT RODIN 59.0
4-FIRE TO THE WIRE 48.8 (off slow)
7-ADMIRAL'S CLUB 44.2
1st time starters - 3, 5
RACE 4
1-LITTLE BIT LOVELY 85.0
5-ROSARITA 84.4
7-DISSENSION 83.2
3-MOLLY'S HONOUR 83.1
2-PEARL DE VERE 82.6
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
10-HOTFLICKARUE 47.4
3-QUEEN BEE TO YOU 45.1
1-LAURA'S BABYDOLL 44.2
2-GO FOR BEAR 39.0
8-COUGAR CREEK 33.0
1st time starters - 5, 7, 4, 9
RACE 6
3-TEMPLE KEYS 85.0
6-GLORY BOUND 82.0
5-WARD 'N JERRY 81.4
12-JUNIOR GILLIAM 80.8
9-OVER PAR 79.0
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
11-CALIFORNIA CLONE 64.8
10-SUNDAY NAP 48.8
3-CLOSE TO MIDNIGHT 45.1
8-SIX POINT RACK 39.0 (off slow)
1-FANDAREL DANCER 22.8
1st time starters - 7, 4, 6, 5, 12, 2
RACE 8
4-LUMINANCE 103.8
3-PERFECT PIC 101.8
5-GLORYZAPPER 95.2
6-JUNO 92.6
1-WILD AT HEART 85.6
1st time starters - 2 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 9
10-ALASKAN SON 93.2
11-RYE 92.6
4-SPANISH HOMBRE 91.3
5-MITTERSILL 90.7
14-FABOZZI 90.7
7-LETITHAPPEN 90.0
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, October 08, 2016
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $29,233.
RACE 1
6-HALO DARLIN 79.7
7-MIDNIGHT SWINGER 79.5
4-WATCH THIS CAT 77.7
13-GENEROUS POUR 71.1
1-LADY CLOUD 70.6
RACE 2
2-BAD JU JU 90.0
7-FANTASY OF LUCK 87.5
1-CALL TO CONGRATS 83.2
5-ROSA BRAVA 75.4
4-ALWAYS BELIEVE 74.9 (off Feb. 16)
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
3-TERM OF ART 67.5
4-A. P. ZONA 62.0
1-BIRD IS THE WORD 59.8
2-SONNETEER 56.1
8-CAMINO DE ESTRELLA 46.6
RACE 4
4-LORD NELSON 120.8
5-JAZZY TIMES 105.2
3-CAUTIOUS GIANT 99.1
1-ALL RUN 95.8
2-ANYTIME ANYPLACE 94.5
RACE 5
2-INTO THE MYSTIC 97.8
9-PRIZE EXHIBIT 97.1
1-QUEEN OF THE SAND 96.5
3-SALSITA 96.5
8-CURLIN'S FOX 95.8
1st time starters - 5 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 6
2-DERBY MUSIC 69.8
3-SIZZLIN SQUARE 59.0
7-DUTT BART 56.5
5-THE ALL BUTTON 55.5
6-EVOLVE 48.8
RACE 7
10-REDNECK CRAZY 72.6
2-BOOMPA 69.2
3-UNBRIDLED ROCKET 68.6
9-EXEMPLAR 68.1
6-RIDEO 67.0
RACE 8
8-OBVIOUSLY 121.5
4-OM 115.0
9-PERFECTLY MAJESTIC 106.6
10-VYJACK 105.9
6-HOOTENANNY 103.1
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
11-DOWNSIDE UP 46.0
9-WESTMONT 45.1
6-ENTER THE CODE 34.6
5-TOY'S PARTY 33.0 (broke slow)
2-IRON CURTAIN 27.9
1st time starters - 10, 12, 7, 8, 1
RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f. on turf)
10-PARTYINTHEPADDOCK 81.5 (3 wide)
13-CIAO BELLA ROSA 66.3
4-DIVA LA MOUSSE 55.1
11-GRAND PRIX 55.1
9-GIO'S LADY 54.5
6-GO BABY RUN 52.2
3-JAMI RACER 52.1
1st time starters - 2, 7, 12
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $29,233.
RACE 1
6-HALO DARLIN 79.7
7-MIDNIGHT SWINGER 79.5
4-WATCH THIS CAT 77.7
13-GENEROUS POUR 71.1
1-LADY CLOUD 70.6
RACE 2
2-BAD JU JU 90.0
7-FANTASY OF LUCK 87.5
1-CALL TO CONGRATS 83.2
5-ROSA BRAVA 75.4
4-ALWAYS BELIEVE 74.9 (off Feb. 16)
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
3-TERM OF ART 67.5
4-A. P. ZONA 62.0
1-BIRD IS THE WORD 59.8
2-SONNETEER 56.1
8-CAMINO DE ESTRELLA 46.6
RACE 4
4-LORD NELSON 120.8
5-JAZZY TIMES 105.2
3-CAUTIOUS GIANT 99.1
1-ALL RUN 95.8
2-ANYTIME ANYPLACE 94.5
RACE 5
2-INTO THE MYSTIC 97.8
9-PRIZE EXHIBIT 97.1
1-QUEEN OF THE SAND 96.5
3-SALSITA 96.5
8-CURLIN'S FOX 95.8
1st time starters - 5 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 6
2-DERBY MUSIC 69.8
3-SIZZLIN SQUARE 59.0
7-DUTT BART 56.5
5-THE ALL BUTTON 55.5
6-EVOLVE 48.8
RACE 7
10-REDNECK CRAZY 72.6
2-BOOMPA 69.2
3-UNBRIDLED ROCKET 68.6
9-EXEMPLAR 68.1
6-RIDEO 67.0
RACE 8
8-OBVIOUSLY 121.5
4-OM 115.0
9-PERFECTLY MAJESTIC 106.6
10-VYJACK 105.9
6-HOOTENANNY 103.1
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
11-DOWNSIDE UP 46.0
9-WESTMONT 45.1
6-ENTER THE CODE 34.6
5-TOY'S PARTY 33.0 (broke slow)
2-IRON CURTAIN 27.9
1st time starters - 10, 12, 7, 8, 1
RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f. on turf)
10-PARTYINTHEPADDOCK 81.5 (3 wide)
13-CIAO BELLA ROSA 66.3
4-DIVA LA MOUSSE 55.1
11-GRAND PRIX 55.1
9-GIO'S LADY 54.5
6-GO BABY RUN 52.2
3-JAMI RACER 52.1
1st time starters - 2, 7, 12
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, October 07, 2016
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
7-LOUDEN'S GRAY 76.0
5-MAJESTIC KITTEN 72.0
4-DORTHRAKI 71.4
2-CAPTAIN AKERS 70.9
6-HYE I'M JACK 67.0
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
8-BEANTOWN BOYS 48.3
4-THE COMMON MAN 41.4
6-CHASE THE MOBNEY 40.3
9-UCANTHANKMELATER 38.6
7-POWER OF FOURTEEN 37.8
RACE 3
6-TRIBAL JEWEL 96.5
2-HEIR OF STORM 94.5
5-CAPE WOLFE 92.1
3-MADIBA 90.0
4-CELEBRATED TALENT 90.0
RACE 4
5-ALTARIA 73.7
4-TRUST UR INTUITION 73.7
7-PAPASLILPRINCESS 71.4
10-AUDRA 66.4
2-FAST MAGOO 66.4
RACE 5
11-PEARL DE VERE 86.9
2-REVENUE VIRGINIUS 85.7
5-LONGSTOCKING 85.6
7-EASY GRADER 82.0
1-COMPLIMENTARY 79.1
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
5-CLOSING TIME 62.5
2-JET SKI 49.0
1-AMODEI 46.6
4-DRINKS AT SUNSET 42.4
6-WE GO NOW 42.4
1st time starters - 9
RACE 7
7-CHIEF OF STAFF 97.1
4-AVANTI BELLO 93.9
6-SAMMY MANDEVILLE 92.6
2-JUST KIDDING 91.9
3-POSHSKY 89.4
RACE 8
3-MERILORE 79.0
12-WARREN'S JEN FIZZ 74.9
11-OPTIMISM AND HOPE 73.1
6-WAHINE WARRIOR 72.5
8-SHYSHEISNOT 70.9
2-SO GOOD TO GO 70.9
10-WITH A TWIST 69.8
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
7-LOUDEN'S GRAY 76.0
5-MAJESTIC KITTEN 72.0
4-DORTHRAKI 71.4
2-CAPTAIN AKERS 70.9
6-HYE I'M JACK 67.0
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
8-BEANTOWN BOYS 48.3
4-THE COMMON MAN 41.4
6-CHASE THE MOBNEY 40.3
9-UCANTHANKMELATER 38.6
7-POWER OF FOURTEEN 37.8
RACE 3
6-TRIBAL JEWEL 96.5
2-HEIR OF STORM 94.5
5-CAPE WOLFE 92.1
3-MADIBA 90.0
4-CELEBRATED TALENT 90.0
RACE 4
5-ALTARIA 73.7
4-TRUST UR INTUITION 73.7
7-PAPASLILPRINCESS 71.4
10-AUDRA 66.4
2-FAST MAGOO 66.4
RACE 5
11-PEARL DE VERE 86.9
2-REVENUE VIRGINIUS 85.7
5-LONGSTOCKING 85.6
7-EASY GRADER 82.0
1-COMPLIMENTARY 79.1
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
5-CLOSING TIME 62.5
2-JET SKI 49.0
1-AMODEI 46.6
4-DRINKS AT SUNSET 42.4
6-WE GO NOW 42.4
1st time starters - 9
RACE 7
7-CHIEF OF STAFF 97.1
4-AVANTI BELLO 93.9
6-SAMMY MANDEVILLE 92.6
2-JUST KIDDING 91.9
3-POSHSKY 89.4
RACE 8
3-MERILORE 79.0
12-WARREN'S JEN FIZZ 74.9
11-OPTIMISM AND HOPE 73.1
6-WAHINE WARRIOR 72.5
8-SHYSHEISNOT 70.9
2-SO GOOD TO GO 70.9
10-WITH A TWIST 69.8
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, October 06, 2016
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
5-VAI 78.4
4-CASH PRIZE 59.6
1-ISA FIRECRACKER 58.5
3-START TO FINISH 55.5
2-SHARI 40.3
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
2-WARRIORESS 46.4 (3 wide)
6-PATTIN FOR A DANCE 42.0
4-FEEL FREELY 34.6
1-TOM'S GOLDEN GIRL 32.3
5-COCO SMOOCHES 24.8
1st time starters - 7, 8
RACE 3
3-SHE'S GOT STYLE 74.9
1-LUCY DE 73.1
6-SOUTHERN DRAWL 62.7
7-HAUTE STYLE 56.0
5-MY AUNT TILLIE 44.6
1st time starters - 4
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. 6f.)
8-DATCATSA GEM 52.1
4-HUEVOS RANCHEROS 46.0
7-BOLD PROPHET 42.0 (off slow)
1-GEMSTORM 39.0
5-TELL ME A STORY 9.040 (off slow)
1st time starters - 2, 3, 6
RACE 5
9-MY SAMURAI WARRIOR 93.2
5-LIMITED RESPONSE 86.3
1-DROVER CRAZY 84.4
4-SECOND PROPOSAL 82.6
6-MOMENTS NOTIZ 81.4
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-RINSE AND REPEAT 67.0
3-MILTON FREEWATER 66.4
2-UPSTAGING THE CAST 64.8
6-ELWOOD J 62.2
4-HOT SMOKE 61.6
RACE 7
2-HILLHOUSE HIGH 96.5
9-SALSITA 95.8
7-AMBOSELI 93.9
5-BARLEYSUGAR 93.9
4-BARBARA BEATRICE 91.9
6-FLAMINGO LANE 90.7
RACE 8
9-PRINCE VALIANT 77.2
7-NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR 73.7
12-PROFOUND VISIONARY 73.7
2-MADELYN'S WILD MAX 70.3
3-SKOOKUM SPIRIT 69.2
1-SECRET COMMAND 67.0
10-TRIPSKI 67.0
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
5-VAI 78.4
4-CASH PRIZE 59.6
1-ISA FIRECRACKER 58.5
3-START TO FINISH 55.5
2-SHARI 40.3
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
2-WARRIORESS 46.4 (3 wide)
6-PATTIN FOR A DANCE 42.0
4-FEEL FREELY 34.6
1-TOM'S GOLDEN GIRL 32.3
5-COCO SMOOCHES 24.8
1st time starters - 7, 8
RACE 3
3-SHE'S GOT STYLE 74.9
1-LUCY DE 73.1
6-SOUTHERN DRAWL 62.7
7-HAUTE STYLE 56.0
5-MY AUNT TILLIE 44.6
1st time starters - 4
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. 6f.)
8-DATCATSA GEM 52.1
4-HUEVOS RANCHEROS 46.0
7-BOLD PROPHET 42.0 (off slow)
1-GEMSTORM 39.0
5-TELL ME A STORY 9.040 (off slow)
1st time starters - 2, 3, 6
RACE 5
9-MY SAMURAI WARRIOR 93.2
5-LIMITED RESPONSE 86.3
1-DROVER CRAZY 84.4
4-SECOND PROPOSAL 82.6
6-MOMENTS NOTIZ 81.4
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-RINSE AND REPEAT 67.0
3-MILTON FREEWATER 66.4
2-UPSTAGING THE CAST 64.8
6-ELWOOD J 62.2
4-HOT SMOKE 61.6
RACE 7
2-HILLHOUSE HIGH 96.5
9-SALSITA 95.8
7-AMBOSELI 93.9
5-BARLEYSUGAR 93.9
4-BARBARA BEATRICE 91.9
6-FLAMINGO LANE 90.7
RACE 8
9-PRINCE VALIANT 77.2
7-NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR 73.7
12-PROFOUND VISIONARY 73.7
2-MADELYN'S WILD MAX 70.3
3-SKOOKUM SPIRIT 69.2
1-SECRET COMMAND 67.0
10-TRIPSKI 67.0
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, October 05, 2016
SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA RACE TRACK TODAY
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 40 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 40 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, October 04, 2016
SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,639 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,639 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, October 02, 2016
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-SPITFIRE 81.4
3-RADIO SILENT 80.8
2-KENNJI'S GIANT 80.8
4-CANDY COWBOY 73.7
5-AWESOME ENCOUNTER 49.0
RACE 2
4-BASIE BOOTS 68.1
1-SHANGHAI BEAUTY 67.5
3-FASHIONED GEM 66.4
5-PAPA MAMBO 62.7
2-BAKO SWEETS 55.0
RACE 3
3-BOONE DOCKS 88.8
4-GLACKEN TOO 88.1
5-SERBIAN SYCLONE 83.2
2-ANKENY HILL 77.2
7-EDDIE'S FIRST 75.4
1-SMACK TALK 75.4
RACE 4
14-BEDEVILED 83.8
9-PAPPOU 79.0
5-AZTEC WARRIOR 75.4
2-WESTWOOD'S WIZZARD 74.9
1-DARK ENERGY 73.1
11-UBER STAR 73.1
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
8-RUN MACHO RUN 45.2
5-VENDING MACHINE 40.5
4-DYNAMIC RULER 38.8
3-SUPREME GIANT 35.3
1-BIG SHORTY 33.6
RACE 6
6-ASHLEYLUVSSUGAR 117.2
8-MESSI 115.7
7-METABOSS 113.6
10-TEXAS RYANO 106.6
5-A RED TIE DAY 105.2
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-BERNINA STAR 70.9 (4 wide)
6-TRUE TESTAMENT 69.8 (4 wide)
5-VIVA VEGAS 64.8
2-JILLY 56.5
9-AMERICANA 46.9 (4 wide)
1st time starters - 7, 11, 8, 3, 4
RACE 8
4-ROCKET FUEL 99.8
5-FOREST BLUE 99.1
3-SILENT BIRD 97.8 (off Jan. 16)
7-SCHILLAIRESS 95.2
1-COLDSPELL 91.9
RACE 9
8-OK DOLL 89.4
10-SHE'S A WARRIOR 87.0
6-DO THE DANCE 86.3
4-SUTTON'S SMILE 83.8
9-LEVELER 80.2
11-DASHIN ASHEN 79.6
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-SPITFIRE 81.4
3-RADIO SILENT 80.8
2-KENNJI'S GIANT 80.8
4-CANDY COWBOY 73.7
5-AWESOME ENCOUNTER 49.0
RACE 2
4-BASIE BOOTS 68.1
1-SHANGHAI BEAUTY 67.5
3-FASHIONED GEM 66.4
5-PAPA MAMBO 62.7
2-BAKO SWEETS 55.0
RACE 3
3-BOONE DOCKS 88.8
4-GLACKEN TOO 88.1
5-SERBIAN SYCLONE 83.2
2-ANKENY HILL 77.2
7-EDDIE'S FIRST 75.4
1-SMACK TALK 75.4
RACE 4
14-BEDEVILED 83.8
9-PAPPOU 79.0
5-AZTEC WARRIOR 75.4
2-WESTWOOD'S WIZZARD 74.9
1-DARK ENERGY 73.1
11-UBER STAR 73.1
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
8-RUN MACHO RUN 45.2
5-VENDING MACHINE 40.5
4-DYNAMIC RULER 38.8
3-SUPREME GIANT 35.3
1-BIG SHORTY 33.6
RACE 6
6-ASHLEYLUVSSUGAR 117.2
8-MESSI 115.7
7-METABOSS 113.6
10-TEXAS RYANO 106.6
5-A RED TIE DAY 105.2
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-BERNINA STAR 70.9 (4 wide)
6-TRUE TESTAMENT 69.8 (4 wide)
5-VIVA VEGAS 64.8
2-JILLY 56.5
9-AMERICANA 46.9 (4 wide)
1st time starters - 7, 11, 8, 3, 4
RACE 8
4-ROCKET FUEL 99.8
5-FOREST BLUE 99.1
3-SILENT BIRD 97.8 (off Jan. 16)
7-SCHILLAIRESS 95.2
1-COLDSPELL 91.9
RACE 9
8-OK DOLL 89.4
10-SHE'S A WARRIOR 87.0
6-DO THE DANCE 86.3
4-SUTTON'S SMILE 83.8
9-LEVELER 80.2
11-DASHIN ASHEN 79.6
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, October 01, 2016
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
7-PACIFIC COAST HWY 93.9
1-COLONEL SAMSEN 66.4
11-CURLY'S WATERFRONT 60.6
3-ARCH PRINCE 58.0
5-LORD ADMIRAL 56.0 (4 wide)
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.
8-HOT SEAN 81.4 (off slow)
4-WHERESTHEMONEYJACK 40.7
5-MONSTER MAN (hopped, off slow)
7-ROCK ON DUDE 19.7 (steadied)
1st time starters - 3, 1 ,2, 6
RACE 3
6-IF YOU BELIEVE 58.5
1-REALLY A GEM 58.0
10-DIXIE DAME 57.0
3-REDEEMING QUALITY 52.6
9-TIME FOR EBBY 51.6
1st time starters - 8
RACE 4
7-BASINCA 86.9
9-MAGIC TASTE 86.3
2-GOLDEN ATLANTIC 83.2
1-BIG CHAMPION 82.6
8-SPECIAL STORY 80.2
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
1-CEDAR RAPIDS 58.0
4-IRISH GOODBYE 56.5
10-LUCKY BODE 54.5
2-FARLEY 52.1
9-KIMBEAR 51.6
1st time starters - 3, 8, 12
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
6-KLIMT 100.2
5-STRIGHT FIRE 91.3
4-MIDNIGHT PLEASURE 79.4
2-PLUM DANDY 74.9
7-VIBE 64.8
RACE 7
1-CALIFORNIA CHROME 133.6
2-DORTMUND 120.1
3-HOPPERTUNITY 116.4
4-WIN THE SPACE 114.3
7-HARD ACES 105.2
5-SOI PHET 104.5
RACE 8
14-SOBRADORA INC 103.8
4-AVENGE 101.8
2-FRENZIFIED 101.8
13-ELEKTRUM 101.1
10-NANCY FROM NAIROBI 100.4
12-ZIPESSA 100.4
RACE 9
2-BEHOLDER 115.7
5-STELLAR WIND 115.0
4-TARA'S TANGO 105.9
3-VALE DORI 102.5
1-OFF THE ROAD 79.0
RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
4-ZAPPERKAT 80.6
1-WITH HONORS 78.4
3-CHAMPAGNE ROOM 76.4
5-AMERICAN CLEOPATRA 75.2
6-BITZKA 68.7
RACE 11
12-COPPA 98.3
9-CHEEKABOO 97.7
10-SWIFT LADY 97.1
3-BELVOIR BAY 93.9
7-MISS KATIE MAE 93.2
6-NODIAC 89.4
1st time starters - 11 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
7-PACIFIC COAST HWY 93.9
1-COLONEL SAMSEN 66.4
11-CURLY'S WATERFRONT 60.6
3-ARCH PRINCE 58.0
5-LORD ADMIRAL 56.0 (4 wide)
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.
8-HOT SEAN 81.4 (off slow)
4-WHERESTHEMONEYJACK 40.7
5-MONSTER MAN (hopped, off slow)
7-ROCK ON DUDE 19.7 (steadied)
1st time starters - 3, 1 ,2, 6
RACE 3
6-IF YOU BELIEVE 58.5
1-REALLY A GEM 58.0
10-DIXIE DAME 57.0
3-REDEEMING QUALITY 52.6
9-TIME FOR EBBY 51.6
1st time starters - 8
RACE 4
7-BASINCA 86.9
9-MAGIC TASTE 86.3
2-GOLDEN ATLANTIC 83.2
1-BIG CHAMPION 82.6
8-SPECIAL STORY 80.2
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
1-CEDAR RAPIDS 58.0
4-IRISH GOODBYE 56.5
10-LUCKY BODE 54.5
2-FARLEY 52.1
9-KIMBEAR 51.6
1st time starters - 3, 8, 12
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
6-KLIMT 100.2
5-STRIGHT FIRE 91.3
4-MIDNIGHT PLEASURE 79.4
2-PLUM DANDY 74.9
7-VIBE 64.8
RACE 7
1-CALIFORNIA CHROME 133.6
2-DORTMUND 120.1
3-HOPPERTUNITY 116.4
4-WIN THE SPACE 114.3
7-HARD ACES 105.2
5-SOI PHET 104.5
RACE 8
14-SOBRADORA INC 103.8
4-AVENGE 101.8
2-FRENZIFIED 101.8
13-ELEKTRUM 101.1
10-NANCY FROM NAIROBI 100.4
12-ZIPESSA 100.4
RACE 9
2-BEHOLDER 115.7
5-STELLAR WIND 115.0
4-TARA'S TANGO 105.9
3-VALE DORI 102.5
1-OFF THE ROAD 79.0
RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
4-ZAPPERKAT 80.6
1-WITH HONORS 78.4
3-CHAMPAGNE ROOM 76.4
5-AMERICAN CLEOPATRA 75.2
6-BITZKA 68.7
RACE 11
12-COPPA 98.3
9-CHEEKABOO 97.7
10-SWIFT LADY 97.1
3-BELVOIR BAY 93.9
7-MISS KATIE MAE 93.2
6-NODIAC 89.4
1st time starters - 11 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
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