Wednesday, February 28, 2007
SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-DANCING GENERAL 98.5
2-NAUGHTY RAFAELA 95.8
4-FORTUNATE EVENT 90.7
1-EXCLUSIVE DANIELLE 88.1
RACE 2
4-EAGLE RIDGE 68.1
5-LIFE DIRECTIONS 65.4
6-ROAD TO THE THRONE 62.7
1-LOST IN LEXINGTON 56.5
RACE 3
5-WITNESS THIS 94.5
6-GOLDEN ARROW 92.6
7-KARN 85.0
3-BILLY'S ECHO 82.6
RACE 4
10-IT'S ANOTHER STORY 74.3
2-FOREST SPRITE 63.2
3-DAZZLING SKATES 46.0
5-RAZI'S STAR 45.5
1st time starters - 9, 11
RACE 5
5-DOVER DARE 95.8
2-RUNS IN THE FAMILY 87.5
1-NORWAY HOUSE 84.4
3-ENTER ANON 68.6
RACE 6
3-ONE DIXIE 93.9
2-EVALUATE 90.0
4-MASTER CAT 74.3
1A-WAY TO GO EDDIE 73.1 (entry)
1st time starters - 7, 5, 6 (in U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 7
6-RIVER GLOW 99.5
10-OL' RAZZLE DAZZLE 83.8
7-SHESALITTLE PISTOL 82.0
8-LADY LA BELLE 80.2
RACE 8
12-APOLLO'S HOPE 56.0
7-SHESALITTLEPISTOL 51.6
11-INAHEARTBEAT 46.5
8-KALADY 46.0
1st time starters - 2, 9, 14
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-DANCING GENERAL 98.5
2-NAUGHTY RAFAELA 95.8
4-FORTUNATE EVENT 90.7
1-EXCLUSIVE DANIELLE 88.1
RACE 2
4-EAGLE RIDGE 68.1
5-LIFE DIRECTIONS 65.4
6-ROAD TO THE THRONE 62.7
1-LOST IN LEXINGTON 56.5
RACE 3
5-WITNESS THIS 94.5
6-GOLDEN ARROW 92.6
7-KARN 85.0
3-BILLY'S ECHO 82.6
RACE 4
10-IT'S ANOTHER STORY 74.3
2-FOREST SPRITE 63.2
3-DAZZLING SKATES 46.0
5-RAZI'S STAR 45.5
1st time starters - 9, 11
RACE 5
5-DOVER DARE 95.8
2-RUNS IN THE FAMILY 87.5
1-NORWAY HOUSE 84.4
3-ENTER ANON 68.6
RACE 6
3-ONE DIXIE 93.9
2-EVALUATE 90.0
4-MASTER CAT 74.3
1A-WAY TO GO EDDIE 73.1 (entry)
1st time starters - 7, 5, 6 (in U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 7
6-RIVER GLOW 99.5
10-OL' RAZZLE DAZZLE 83.8
7-SHESALITTLE PISTOL 82.0
8-LADY LA BELLE 80.2
RACE 8
12-APOLLO'S HOPE 56.0
7-SHESALITTLEPISTOL 51.6
11-INAHEARTBEAT 46.5
8-KALADY 46.0
1st time starters - 2, 9, 14
Tuesday, February 27, 2007
SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -GOOD LUCK.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -GOOD LUCK.
Saturday, February 24, 2007
SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS
THERE WILL NOT BE ANY PICKS AND SELECTIONS UNTIL NEXT WEEK'S RACING.
Thursday, February 22, 2007
SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THUR.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
8-MADERA ROYAL 77.8
5-NEWWYN 61.1
7-ROSEMARY C 54.0
3-SIDEPOCKET WIN 52.6
1st time starters - 4
RACE 2
4-BEYONDCOMPREHNSION 94.5
2-OUTSIDE LOOKING IN 65.4
1-CHILEIAN GOLD 60.1
6-R. BEAU 51.6
RACE 3
6-TREBIA 87.5
13-EASY OBSESSION 85.6
7-TRICK A CAT 83.8
11-GUEST 82.6
RACE 4
8-LEESIDER 74.9
3-PEACE ACCORD 68.7
5-THE SUTPLY PROGRAM 63.2
7-DAWN'S EARLY SKY 63.2
1st time starters - 2
RACE 5
8-BEYOND BOUNDRIES 86.3
3-AMAZIN BLUE 79.5
7-EL FALCON 73.4
6-CALIFORNIA SKY 72.6
RACE 6
2-CELTIC FABLE 91.9
6-DIXIE'S RULER 90.7
4-A SPRING AFFAIR 89.4
3-HER RED 81.4
RACE 7
2-KALOOKAN DANCER 88.1
5-PERFECT RHYME 79.6
1-THE YELLOW SHEET 79.0
8-SPEEDY CAJUN 77.2
RACE 8
2-PARINAZ 60.6
9-HAPPYHOUR ATHEBRIG 60.1
11-YOUAREMYLUCKYSTAR 49.7
8-CANDYGRAM 46.0
1st time starters - 5, 1
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
8-MADERA ROYAL 77.8
5-NEWWYN 61.1
7-ROSEMARY C 54.0
3-SIDEPOCKET WIN 52.6
1st time starters - 4
RACE 2
4-BEYONDCOMPREHNSION 94.5
2-OUTSIDE LOOKING IN 65.4
1-CHILEIAN GOLD 60.1
6-R. BEAU 51.6
RACE 3
6-TREBIA 87.5
13-EASY OBSESSION 85.6
7-TRICK A CAT 83.8
11-GUEST 82.6
RACE 4
8-LEESIDER 74.9
3-PEACE ACCORD 68.7
5-THE SUTPLY PROGRAM 63.2
7-DAWN'S EARLY SKY 63.2
1st time starters - 2
RACE 5
8-BEYOND BOUNDRIES 86.3
3-AMAZIN BLUE 79.5
7-EL FALCON 73.4
6-CALIFORNIA SKY 72.6
RACE 6
2-CELTIC FABLE 91.9
6-DIXIE'S RULER 90.7
4-A SPRING AFFAIR 89.4
3-HER RED 81.4
RACE 7
2-KALOOKAN DANCER 88.1
5-PERFECT RHYME 79.6
1-THE YELLOW SHEET 79.0
8-SPEEDY CAJUN 77.2
RACE 8
2-PARINAZ 60.6
9-HAPPYHOUR ATHEBRIG 60.1
11-YOUAREMYLUCKYSTAR 49.7
8-CANDYGRAM 46.0
1st time starters - 5, 1
Wednesday, February 21, 2007
SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Tuesday, February 20, 2007
SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
Mon. recap- Race 1- Top Pick Won (22.00) 2nd pick 2nd (4.80) Ex (49.60) 5th pick 3rd (5.40) 3rd pick 4th, Top pick keyed- trifecta (263.00) superfecta (852.00). Race 2- 1 pick scratched, 3rd pick won (4.40) top pick 2nd (2.40) 2nd pick 3rd (no show) Ex (3.50) trifecta (4.80). Race 3- Top Pick Won (3.80) 3rd pick 2nd (3.60) 4th pick 4th, top pick keyed- Ex (6.90). Race 4- top pick 2nd (4.00) 3rd pick 3rd (4.20). Race 5- 1 pick scratched, Top Pick Won (6.60) 4th pick 3rd (3.80). Race 6- 1 pick scratched, 3rd pick won (6.00) 2nd pick 3rd (4.40). Race 7- 4th pick 2nd (5.00) 2nd pick 3rd (3.40) 3rd pick 4th. Race 8- 2 picks scratched, Only 1st timer won (6.00) 2nd pick 2nd (2.40) top pick 4th 1st timer keyed- Ex (5.60) trifecta (10.70). Race 9- 2 picks scratched, top pick 4th. Race 10- Top Pick Won "entry"and placed 2nd (5.00 and 4.60) 2nd pick 3rd (3.80) Ex (6.70) 3rd pick 4th fro trifecta (16.40).
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterdays post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only.Program number does not match horses name-This has happened three times that I know of in over 540 posts on the blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterdays post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only.Program number does not match horses name-This has happened three times that I know of in over 540 posts on the blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Monday, February 19, 2007
SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR MON.
Sun. recap- Race 1- 3rd pick 2nd (4.80) 2nd pick 3rd (4.60) 4th pick 4th. Race 2- Top Pick Won (4.40 3rd pick 2nd (5.00) 4th pick 3rd (2.80) top pick keyed- Ex (9.50) trifecta (33.60). Race 4- 1 pick scratched, 3rd pick won (7.00) 2nd pick 2nd (4.00) 3 picks boxed- Ex (12.90). Race 5- top pick 2nd (3.40). Race 6- 2nd pick won (7.80) 3rd pick 2nd (5.60) top pick 4th, top 3 picks boxed- Ex (14.50). Race 7- Top 1st timer won (20.00) 4th pick 2nd (24.40) top 1st timer keyed- Ex (233.10). Race 8- Top Pick Won (3.80) 4th pick 3rd (3.80) 3rd pick 4th. Race 9- 2nd pick won (9.60) top pick 2nd (5.20) boxed- Ex (23.60) 3rd pick 4th. Race 10- 2nd pick won (14.00) 3rd pick 3rd (3.00) 2nd 1st timer 4th.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
16-SHEM 82.6
11-VICE ADMIRAL 80.6
5-GOT A QUESTION 74.6
12-BERTIE BOY 69.2
14-PAY THE VIG 68.6
1st time starters - 13, 10, 4, 1, 2, 3
RACE 2
4-TIZ ELEMENTAL 87.5
6-SWISS BLEND 83.2
3-SHORT SENTENCE 76.0
5-DOUBLE MAJOR 74.3
RACE 3
6-RATIBOR 92.6 (off slow)
2-KAILEE RUSH 90.0
5-KING PALM 82.6
1-TRUITTE 68.6
1st time starters - 3
RACE 4
6-TOPPERS MOMENT 53.5
5-TRULY MADERA 50.2
8-ASCOREINGLADY 48.8
7-TAULIN 48.3
RACE 5
12-STRUT YOUR STUFF 88.1
9-MOOGIE 88.1
3-SENECA SONG 86.9
5-RED OPAL 85.6
6-MAMA LULA 85.0
RACE 6
3-CAT OF FIFTY SEVEN 101.1
7-IZA GENERAL 97.8
9-SMOKIN FOREST 94.5
4-ONLY ONE WAY 94.5
RACE 7
9-GO RAY RAY 72.6
11-BLINGTOWN 72.6
3-REMEMBER MAGGIE 71.4
5-CHEYENNE QUEEN 67.0
10-JUMP ROPE GIRL 67.0
RACE 8
7-MR. SEKIGUCHI 110.0
4-BIG PICTURE 105.2
2-INDIAN CHANT 101.8
5-FRANKELSTEIN 86.9
1st time starters - 1 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 9
2-MEA DOMINA 105.2
6-GRANDE MELODY 99.8
1-BENEFICIAL BARTOK 99.1
11-CLINET 97.8
RACE 10
1-HIGHLY GALLANT 79.6 (entry)
10-RAPID SILVER 76.0
6-GOLDEN ROYAL 67.0
5-SMOKE'N BLOKE 66.0
1st time starters - 1A (entry), 9
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
16-SHEM 82.6
11-VICE ADMIRAL 80.6
5-GOT A QUESTION 74.6
12-BERTIE BOY 69.2
14-PAY THE VIG 68.6
1st time starters - 13, 10, 4, 1, 2, 3
RACE 2
4-TIZ ELEMENTAL 87.5
6-SWISS BLEND 83.2
3-SHORT SENTENCE 76.0
5-DOUBLE MAJOR 74.3
RACE 3
6-RATIBOR 92.6 (off slow)
2-KAILEE RUSH 90.0
5-KING PALM 82.6
1-TRUITTE 68.6
1st time starters - 3
RACE 4
6-TOPPERS MOMENT 53.5
5-TRULY MADERA 50.2
8-ASCOREINGLADY 48.8
7-TAULIN 48.3
RACE 5
12-STRUT YOUR STUFF 88.1
9-MOOGIE 88.1
3-SENECA SONG 86.9
5-RED OPAL 85.6
6-MAMA LULA 85.0
RACE 6
3-CAT OF FIFTY SEVEN 101.1
7-IZA GENERAL 97.8
9-SMOKIN FOREST 94.5
4-ONLY ONE WAY 94.5
RACE 7
9-GO RAY RAY 72.6
11-BLINGTOWN 72.6
3-REMEMBER MAGGIE 71.4
5-CHEYENNE QUEEN 67.0
10-JUMP ROPE GIRL 67.0
RACE 8
7-MR. SEKIGUCHI 110.0
4-BIG PICTURE 105.2
2-INDIAN CHANT 101.8
5-FRANKELSTEIN 86.9
1st time starters - 1 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 9
2-MEA DOMINA 105.2
6-GRANDE MELODY 99.8
1-BENEFICIAL BARTOK 99.1
11-CLINET 97.8
RACE 10
1-HIGHLY GALLANT 79.6 (entry)
10-RAPID SILVER 76.0
6-GOLDEN ROYAL 67.0
5-SMOKE'N BLOKE 66.0
1st time starters - 1A (entry), 9
Sunday, February 18, 2007
SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUN.
Sat. recap- Race 1- Top 1st time starter won (32.60) 4th pick 2nd (8.40) 2nd pick 3rd (7.40) top 1st timer keyed with picks- Ex (175.90) Trifecta (1,457.10). Race 2- 1 pick scratched, 2nd pick 2nd (3.80) toppick 3rd (2.20). Race 3- 2nd pick won (19.40) top 1st timer 2nd (4.60) top pick 3rd (2.40) 3rd pick 4th, top 1st timer keyed or boxed with top 2 picks- Ex (50.00) trifecta (154.30). Race 4-3rd pick 2nd (8.00). Race 5- Top Pick Won (6.40) 2nd pick 2nd (8.40) Ex (36.20) 3rd pick 3rd (3.00) Trifecta (153.10). Race 6- 3rd pick won (4.20) top pick 3rd (3.80) 2nd pick 4th. Race 7- 3rd pick won (9.20) 2nd pick 2nd (4.80) top pick broke down, top 3 picks boxed- Ex (21.00). Race 8- 2nd pick won (11.60) 4th pick 3rd (3.80). Race 9- 2nd pick won (4.00) 3rd pick 2nd (4.60) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (8.60). Race 10- 3rd pick won (13.20).
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-ANTIFREEZETTE 92.6
2-ADANCE 83.2
4-GOTTA GO GAL 83.2
6-GIRL GIRL 69.2
RACE 2
1-GREG'S GOLD 124.5
4-DIAMOND FURY 108.6
3-BROOKER 101.1
6-BARBER 100.4
RACE 3
7-SILVER SWALLOW 79.6
5-AFTER CURFEW 76.0
1-POULE D'EAU 68.6
4-JUNGLE GIRL 61.6
1st time starters - 6, 2
RACE 4
5-PROUD TOWER TOO 115.0
8-EPIC POWER 100.4
6-AREYOUTALKINTOME 91.3
2-BEDLAM BERTIE 89.4
RACE 5
1-CANTBEATWHATUCANTC 79.0
6-BRIGHT PREDICTION 70.3
8-THREEATONCE 68.1
3-CAN'T STOP SLEW 67.0
RACE 6
1-MAJOR PLEASURE 99.8
6-LEVEL RED 89.4
4-DEE RAIN 82.6
2-PANTHER SPRINGS 65.9
RACE 7
6-SAINT CHI CHI 67.5
3-CELERITAS 64.3
11-QUIDDITY 62.4
7-OAKHILL GIRL 61.6
1st time starters - 1, 9, 12
RACE 8
2-FLEETHEART 99.1
5-PROMISE OF SPRING 78.4
3-MISS LOLA LA DARE 72.6
8-TIZ NEXT 72.0
RACE 9
7-HURRY UP AUSTIN 92.6
6-DESERT CODE 90.6
1-BLACK HILLS 80.4
10-PROPAGANDA 79.6
RACE 10
10-SUMMER GAL 62.7
12-MEAN HEAT 62.2
1-WARREN'S ADVENTURE 58.0 (entry)
4-CHEESE FACE 54.5
5 A MUST SEE 54.5
1st time starters - 2, 9, 1A (entry), 13
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-ANTIFREEZETTE 92.6
2-ADANCE 83.2
4-GOTTA GO GAL 83.2
6-GIRL GIRL 69.2
RACE 2
1-GREG'S GOLD 124.5
4-DIAMOND FURY 108.6
3-BROOKER 101.1
6-BARBER 100.4
RACE 3
7-SILVER SWALLOW 79.6
5-AFTER CURFEW 76.0
1-POULE D'EAU 68.6
4-JUNGLE GIRL 61.6
1st time starters - 6, 2
RACE 4
5-PROUD TOWER TOO 115.0
8-EPIC POWER 100.4
6-AREYOUTALKINTOME 91.3
2-BEDLAM BERTIE 89.4
RACE 5
1-CANTBEATWHATUCANTC 79.0
6-BRIGHT PREDICTION 70.3
8-THREEATONCE 68.1
3-CAN'T STOP SLEW 67.0
RACE 6
1-MAJOR PLEASURE 99.8
6-LEVEL RED 89.4
4-DEE RAIN 82.6
2-PANTHER SPRINGS 65.9
RACE 7
6-SAINT CHI CHI 67.5
3-CELERITAS 64.3
11-QUIDDITY 62.4
7-OAKHILL GIRL 61.6
1st time starters - 1, 9, 12
RACE 8
2-FLEETHEART 99.1
5-PROMISE OF SPRING 78.4
3-MISS LOLA LA DARE 72.6
8-TIZ NEXT 72.0
RACE 9
7-HURRY UP AUSTIN 92.6
6-DESERT CODE 90.6
1-BLACK HILLS 80.4
10-PROPAGANDA 79.6
RACE 10
10-SUMMER GAL 62.7
12-MEAN HEAT 62.2
1-WARREN'S ADVENTURE 58.0 (entry)
4-CHEESE FACE 54.5
5 A MUST SEE 54.5
1st time starters - 2, 9, 1A (entry), 13
Wednesday, February 14, 2007
SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
7-ONE MILE BELLE 70.9
2-BRANDI'S STARLITE 69.8
6-ALPENWALD 68.6
1-KLEVEN'S VERBATIM 61.1
RACE 2
2-CAN THIS BE TRUE 76.6
3-LARRY BY THE LAKE 73.7
4-STREET LIGHTS 72.6
5-PAWNEE 72.0
RACE 3
7-THEVERYTHOUGHTOF U 101.8
4-SWEET TRAVEL 81.7
6-LIGHTMYFIREBABY 81.4
1-UZUME 80.3 (off slow)
1st time starters - 3
RACE 4
4-JUST A TWITT 70.9
1-QUIPPI 66.4
6-WATCH ME WIN 61.1
8-TOPPER'S GOLD 60.9
7-LUPITA'SLUCKYANGEL 60.1
RACE 5
4-CHOCOLATE HEAVEN 57.0
5-CLASSY DISH 54.5
8-PALM BREEZE 53.0
14-MOLLIE MOOMOO 45.5
1st time starters - 15, 10
RACE 6
6-TOP EMBLEM 83.8
3-SOMTHINTOMAKIMRUN 79.6
4-TAYLOR'S ROUTE 74.3
5-PAUL'S HOPE 69.2
RACE 7
7-BARYNYA 96.5
6-FUN LOGIC 88.1
5-GUEST 85.0
4-FORTHEWRONGREASON 84.4
RACE 8
10-GREEN EYED LYDIA 72.0
3-CAMBRIA BREEZE 62.2
8-FUEGO DE LUNA 58.5
2-MIMITHEMIDGET 57.0
1st time starters - 4, 12
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
7-ONE MILE BELLE 70.9
2-BRANDI'S STARLITE 69.8
6-ALPENWALD 68.6
1-KLEVEN'S VERBATIM 61.1
RACE 2
2-CAN THIS BE TRUE 76.6
3-LARRY BY THE LAKE 73.7
4-STREET LIGHTS 72.6
5-PAWNEE 72.0
RACE 3
7-THEVERYTHOUGHTOF U 101.8
4-SWEET TRAVEL 81.7
6-LIGHTMYFIREBABY 81.4
1-UZUME 80.3 (off slow)
1st time starters - 3
RACE 4
4-JUST A TWITT 70.9
1-QUIPPI 66.4
6-WATCH ME WIN 61.1
8-TOPPER'S GOLD 60.9
7-LUPITA'SLUCKYANGEL 60.1
RACE 5
4-CHOCOLATE HEAVEN 57.0
5-CLASSY DISH 54.5
8-PALM BREEZE 53.0
14-MOLLIE MOOMOO 45.5
1st time starters - 15, 10
RACE 6
6-TOP EMBLEM 83.8
3-SOMTHINTOMAKIMRUN 79.6
4-TAYLOR'S ROUTE 74.3
5-PAUL'S HOPE 69.2
RACE 7
7-BARYNYA 96.5
6-FUN LOGIC 88.1
5-GUEST 85.0
4-FORTHEWRONGREASON 84.4
RACE 8
10-GREEN EYED LYDIA 72.0
3-CAMBRIA BREEZE 62.2
8-FUEGO DE LUNA 58.5
2-MIMITHEMIDGET 57.0
1st time starters - 4, 12
Tuesday, February 13, 2007
SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Monday, February 12, 2007
SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
Sun. recap-Four top picks and one top 1st timer won Sunday. Race 1- Top Pick Won (5.80) 3rd pick 2nd (3.80) 4th pick 4th, top pick keyed- Ex (11.80). Race 2- 2 picks scratched, Top Pick Won (6.00) Daily Double (24.40) 2nd pick 4th. Race 3- Top Pick Won (5.60) Daily Double(17.20) Pick-3 (33.10) 4th pick 3rd (3.40). Race 4- 3 picks scratched leaving 1 pick and 1 st timer left. Top 1st timer won (34.00) Daily Double (80.60) Pick-3 (281.30) Early Pick-4 (861.60). Race 5- 2nd pick won (10.80) Top pick 2nd (9.00) boxed- Ex (41.50). Race 6- 3rd pick won (8.40) 2nd pick 2nd (7.20) 4th pick 3rd (5.80) top 4 picks boxed- Ex (33.70) Trifecta (333.70). Race 7- 2 picks scratched leaving two picks, 2nd pick won (3.60). Race 8- One pick scratched, Top pick 3rd (4.00) 3rd pick 4th. Race 9- Top Pick Won (3.60) 3rd pick 2nd (6.00) only 1st timer 3rd (6.40) Top pick keyed- Ex (7.80) Trifecta (119.10)
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterdays post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only.
Program number does not match horses name-
This has happened three times that I know of in over 535 posts on the blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterdays post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only.
Program number does not match horses name-
This has happened three times that I know of in over 535 posts on the blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Friday, February 09, 2007
SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRI.
Thur. recap- Race 1- Top Pick Won (6.40) 3rd pick 2nd (3.00) 4th pick 3rd (2.80) top pick keyed- Ex (9.00) Trifecta (18.90). Race 2- top 1st timer won (9.60) top pick 2nd (2.10) 3rd pick 3rd (2.40) 2nd pick 4th, Top 1st timer with top 3 picks- Ex (9.60) trifecta (34.50) Superfecta (295.34). Race 3-Top Pick Won (4.00) 3rd pick 2nd (3.20) top pick keyed to next 2 picks- Ex (5.00). Race4- 3rd pick won (14.40) 2nd pick 2nd (2.80) top pick 3rd (3.40) top 1st timer 4th, top 3 picks boxed- Ex (23.70) trifecta (133.20) with top 1st timer- Superfecta (962.00). Race 5- 1 pick scratched, Top Pick Won (5.60) 2nd pick 2nd (2.80) Ex (8.20) 3rd pick 3rd (2.20) trifecta in order (17.00). Race 6- 2nd pick won (6.60) top pick 2nd (5.60) boxed- Ex (20.00). Race 7- 1 pick scratched, top pick 3rd (3.60). Race 8- 3rd pick won (9.80) 2nd pick 2nd (5.00) top pick 3rd (2.60) 1st timer 4th, top 3 pick boxed- Ex (25.40) trifecta (60.00) with 1st timer- Superfecta (1,441.70).
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
8-TWIGHTLIGHTSPIRIT 74.3
4-BERTERA 70.0
5-ELIGANT WAGER 61.1
1-THE CASE QUEEN 60.6
RACE 2
5-PIECES OF PARADISE 72.6
2-OLDCOURT 66.4
7-GOLD ON GOSSAMER 61.2
6-FOREST SPRITE 55.7
1st time starters - 1, 4
RACE 3
8-ACCOUNTABLE EVENT 85.0
6-ZACKARY'S VERBATIM 70.3
7-MAMMOTH POWER 66.4
5-FROST POINT 62.2
RACE 4
6-TOTALLY PHAT 79.0
3-VOTSI 77.2
2-KOKOPELLI TRAIL 70.9
8-HIGH REV BEV 66.4
RACE 5
4-GRINDING IT OUT 116.4 (off April 06)
8-JACK'S KID 107.9
7-DATTICUS 104.5
2-WIND WATER 103.8
RACE 6
2-GETNHOTNHERE 77.8
4-PRIVATE HALL 75.4
8-DEE'S A LEGEND 71.4
1-EVENING ESCORT 64.6
3-OL' RAZZLE DAZZLE 64.3
RACE 7
6-TWO TIMES WOW 80.2
1-DARKNESS NIGHT 75.4
8-ROYAL PRANA 75.3
10-USK POPPY 74.8
RACE 8
7-UNUSUAL MEN 47.8
3-STERN WHEELER 40.3
2-R. BEAU 30.0
1-BIG CASCADE 19.2
1st time starters - 5, 9, 6, 8
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
8-TWIGHTLIGHTSPIRIT 74.3
4-BERTERA 70.0
5-ELIGANT WAGER 61.1
1-THE CASE QUEEN 60.6
RACE 2
5-PIECES OF PARADISE 72.6
2-OLDCOURT 66.4
7-GOLD ON GOSSAMER 61.2
6-FOREST SPRITE 55.7
1st time starters - 1, 4
RACE 3
8-ACCOUNTABLE EVENT 85.0
6-ZACKARY'S VERBATIM 70.3
7-MAMMOTH POWER 66.4
5-FROST POINT 62.2
RACE 4
6-TOTALLY PHAT 79.0
3-VOTSI 77.2
2-KOKOPELLI TRAIL 70.9
8-HIGH REV BEV 66.4
RACE 5
4-GRINDING IT OUT 116.4 (off April 06)
8-JACK'S KID 107.9
7-DATTICUS 104.5
2-WIND WATER 103.8
RACE 6
2-GETNHOTNHERE 77.8
4-PRIVATE HALL 75.4
8-DEE'S A LEGEND 71.4
1-EVENING ESCORT 64.6
3-OL' RAZZLE DAZZLE 64.3
RACE 7
6-TWO TIMES WOW 80.2
1-DARKNESS NIGHT 75.4
8-ROYAL PRANA 75.3
10-USK POPPY 74.8
RACE 8
7-UNUSUAL MEN 47.8
3-STERN WHEELER 40.3
2-R. BEAU 30.0
1-BIG CASCADE 19.2
1st time starters - 5, 9, 6, 8
Wednesday, February 07, 2007
SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-NASHOBA'S KEY 87.5
1-FILM EDITOR 83.2
3-MADAME BLACKFOOT 80.8
8-SILBER 78.4
RACE 2
6-CRAFTY ROLE 74.3
1-AMERICA'S FRIEND 57.5
5-T'S ICECOLDBEER 55.0
2-LITTLEJO'S SPECIAL 50.6
1st time starters - 4, 8
RACE 3
1-MR. ATTRACTION 85.6
3-FRENCH SOUVENIR 83.8
4-ROYAL FALCON 80.2
5-CLAN CHIEF 80.2
RACE 4
6-SAIL ON SUNSHINE 62.7
2-MY PERFECT PATTI 60.1
5-LARRY'S GIRL 54.5
8-BRAVE CINDERELLA 46.9
9-YOUR HIGHNESS LEIA 46.5
RACE 5
5-VICTORIAN PRINCE 84.2
7-BITTER BILL 83.8
1-STELLA MARK 82.0
3-STEADY DEMAND 78.8
RACE 6
5-VOULEZ VOUS 72.0
4-CORAGE 69.2
1st time starters - 2, 3, 7, 6, 1, 8
RACE 7
5-QUEMAR 96.5
2-VANGUARDA 92.6
1-SILK KERCHIEF 91.3
7-MAKE MINE MINNIE 85.0
6-BOSSET 85.0
RACE 8
4-EXCESS DIXIE 55.5
2-SIDEPOCKET CAT 53.0
8-BROTHER MAN 53.0
9-MY MAN SAM 52.6
1st time starters - 11, 1
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-NASHOBA'S KEY 87.5
1-FILM EDITOR 83.2
3-MADAME BLACKFOOT 80.8
8-SILBER 78.4
RACE 2
6-CRAFTY ROLE 74.3
1-AMERICA'S FRIEND 57.5
5-T'S ICECOLDBEER 55.0
2-LITTLEJO'S SPECIAL 50.6
1st time starters - 4, 8
RACE 3
1-MR. ATTRACTION 85.6
3-FRENCH SOUVENIR 83.8
4-ROYAL FALCON 80.2
5-CLAN CHIEF 80.2
RACE 4
6-SAIL ON SUNSHINE 62.7
2-MY PERFECT PATTI 60.1
5-LARRY'S GIRL 54.5
8-BRAVE CINDERELLA 46.9
9-YOUR HIGHNESS LEIA 46.5
RACE 5
5-VICTORIAN PRINCE 84.2
7-BITTER BILL 83.8
1-STELLA MARK 82.0
3-STEADY DEMAND 78.8
RACE 6
5-VOULEZ VOUS 72.0
4-CORAGE 69.2
1st time starters - 2, 3, 7, 6, 1, 8
RACE 7
5-QUEMAR 96.5
2-VANGUARDA 92.6
1-SILK KERCHIEF 91.3
7-MAKE MINE MINNIE 85.0
6-BOSSET 85.0
RACE 8
4-EXCESS DIXIE 55.5
2-SIDEPOCKET CAT 53.0
8-BROTHER MAN 53.0
9-MY MAN SAM 52.6
1st time starters - 11, 1
Tuesday, February 06, 2007
SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Monday, February 05, 2007
SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
Sun. recap- Race 1- 3rd pick won (6.60) top pick 2nd (3.80) 3rdpick 4th. top 3 picks boxed- Ex (10.70). Race 2- Top pick won (6.80) 2nd pick 2nd (3.20) Ex (7.60) 3rd pick 3rd (2.60) trifecta (21.60) 4th pick 4th. Race 3- 3rd pick won (6.40) 2nd pick 2nd (2.60) 4th pick 3rd (2.80) picks boxed- Ex (7.60) trifecta (21.70). Race 4- 1 pick scratched, Top Pick Won (2.80) 3rd pick 3rd (3.00) 2nd pick 4th. Race 5- Top pick won (5.20) Daily Double (5.80) Race 6-Top pick won (4.80) pick-3 (9.90) daily double (10.80) 2nd pick 2nd (4.00) Ex (8.50). Race 7- 4th pick 2nd (8.40). Race 8- 1 pick scratched, 3rd pick 2nd (7.60) top pick 4th. Race 9- top pick 2nd (3.80) 4th pick 4th.
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterdays post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only.
Program number does not match horses name-
This has happened three times that I know of in over 525 posts on the blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterdays post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only.
Program number does not match horses name-
This has happened three times that I know of in over 525 posts on the blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Sunday, February 04, 2007
SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUN.
No recap for Sat.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-CROSS 95.8
2-UNUSUAL SPRING 92.1
3-BELLA BANISSA 87.5
7-LOYAL BOUNTY 85.7
1st time starters - 6 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 2
6-YMUSTICHASETHECAT 62.2
3-ARE YOU POSITIVE 58.2
1-DON'T JINX IT 56.0
2-DIXIE MUSIC ROLL 55.1
RACE 3
2-BARDY WOMAN 95.7
6-STRONG FAITH 94.5
5-CHRISTMAS STOCKING 85.0
8-BRAG 85.0
RACE 4
5-AIR COMMANDER 90.7
8-MORE SHINE 72.8
4-DART RIVER 68.1
2-AMAZIN BLUE 67.0
1st time starters - 1
RACE 5
7-C'MON TIGER 101.8
2-PHAR TO WIN 99.8
4-NONSENSICAL 97.8
8-TICE 95.2
1st time starters - 6 (in U.S.A. - fgn)
RACE 6
2-BLUES STREET 77.2
10-MIND THE MINISTER 77.0
5-PRIVATE WIND 76.6
6-MOSTACOLLI MORT 72.6
1st time starters - 13
RACE 7
7-TRAFFIC UPDATE 93.9
10-DEPUTY LAD 90.0
3-DIXIELAND WELLS 82.0
6-KEY MAKER 82.0
RACE 8
2-PREACHINATTHEBAR 105.9
7-FAIRBANKS 103.8
1-BACKUS 103.1
4-BALL FOUR 99.1
RACE 9
13-RAPID SILVER 83.2
2-JELLO IS JIGGLING 62.2
11-ZIG TOWN 61.1
10-CHAMP OF GOLD 59.0
1st time starters - 5, 14
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-CROSS 95.8
2-UNUSUAL SPRING 92.1
3-BELLA BANISSA 87.5
7-LOYAL BOUNTY 85.7
1st time starters - 6 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 2
6-YMUSTICHASETHECAT 62.2
3-ARE YOU POSITIVE 58.2
1-DON'T JINX IT 56.0
2-DIXIE MUSIC ROLL 55.1
RACE 3
2-BARDY WOMAN 95.7
6-STRONG FAITH 94.5
5-CHRISTMAS STOCKING 85.0
8-BRAG 85.0
RACE 4
5-AIR COMMANDER 90.7
8-MORE SHINE 72.8
4-DART RIVER 68.1
2-AMAZIN BLUE 67.0
1st time starters - 1
RACE 5
7-C'MON TIGER 101.8
2-PHAR TO WIN 99.8
4-NONSENSICAL 97.8
8-TICE 95.2
1st time starters - 6 (in U.S.A. - fgn)
RACE 6
2-BLUES STREET 77.2
10-MIND THE MINISTER 77.0
5-PRIVATE WIND 76.6
6-MOSTACOLLI MORT 72.6
1st time starters - 13
RACE 7
7-TRAFFIC UPDATE 93.9
10-DEPUTY LAD 90.0
3-DIXIELAND WELLS 82.0
6-KEY MAKER 82.0
RACE 8
2-PREACHINATTHEBAR 105.9
7-FAIRBANKS 103.8
1-BACKUS 103.1
4-BALL FOUR 99.1
RACE 9
13-RAPID SILVER 83.2
2-JELLO IS JIGGLING 62.2
11-ZIG TOWN 61.1
10-CHAMP OF GOLD 59.0
1st time starters - 5, 14
