Thursday, November 24, 2016
Major Notice from TIMS WHIMS
AFTER 11 YEARS OF POSTING MY BLOG ON SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA HORSE RACING, I HAVE DECIDED THAT I WILL NO LONGER BE POSTING ON A DAILY BASIS.
This was a very hard decision for me to make. I started posting my picks and selections in August of 2005 on the internet. It has always been free to the readers and I tried to keep it advertising free after a couple of years. My main goal was to help new players and to draw them into racing sport.
I have watched the decline of horse racing over the years and it is very sad to see. The quality of the horses is no longer there. The greed of the tracks in exotic betting has taken from the betting pools. Major races are moved so that they will not be in the pick six races. The major job is to "get a carryover" as that is where the tracks make the best and largest amount of money.
The win, place, and show pools have been depleted by various exotic pools. The smaller player is unable to bet the amount necessary in order to have a chance at winning.
When I watch on a daily basis and I see what some of the Jockey's are doing it is a disgrace to the sport. Pulling horses back, swinging very wide on the turns, taking a front runner to the back and the trying to make him close at the end. Taking a closer and pushing him to run out front for the race. The worst of all is when they are not going to be 1st or second they don't "ride the horse out". This hurts the players who bet a trifecta, super's, etc.
Entering horses just to "fill" races is now a regular event and often a race is used as a "prep" race with the betting public not knowing that there is no intention to try a win the race.
The stewards make more and more interesting calls on the races and seem to miss the obvious infractions that occur on a regular basis. They need to get rid of "did it cause him a position" rule. An infraction is all they should be looking for in the races. We need to get rid of the discretionary decision they are able to make. I HAVE WATCHED THIS DURING MY 59 YEARS OF RACE BETTING AND IT IS NOW AT IT'S WORST.
I WANT TO THANK MY WIFE WHO HAS HELPED ME EVERY DAY THAT I POSTED WITH THE PAPER WORK AND INFORMATION GATHERING AND GOING WITH ME TO WATCH THE RACES AT THE CASINOS OR TRACK. I WOULD NOT HAVE BEEN ABLE TO DO IT WITHOUT HER.
I WANT TO THANK YOU, THE READERS OF TIMS WHIMS. YOUR COMMENTS HAVE BEEN APPRECIATED, I HAVE MET SEVERAL OF YOU IN PERSON
AND HAVE BEEN ABLE TO HAVE A LOT OF FUN.
I MAY POST OCCASIONALLY IN THE FUTURE BUT NOT ON A REGULAR BASIS.
I WISH YOU THE BEST OF LUCK.
TIM (and my wife ANN)
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, November 23, 2016
DEL MAR - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 40 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 40 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 40 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 40 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, November 20, 2016
DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTION FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
NOTE: NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS FOR TODAY.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
NOTE: NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS FOR TODAY.
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, November 19, 2016
DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $33,871.
RACE 1
10-EL SUPER 86.9
2-TAIMA THE HAWK 79.4
1-MELVILLE 78.4
6-BLACK TIE 'N TAILS 78.1
11-RIVER ECHO 77.8
RACE 2
3-FINALLYGOTABENTLEY 85.0
5-SWISS CHEESE 78.4
8-SENATOR BOB 76.6
9-BROTHER SOLDIER 69.2
10-CHANGING KARMA 68.1
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
3-LAW ABIDIN CITIZEN 72.6
1-STONE HANDS 62.7
2-BLAME JOE 60.6
6-BIG HIT 58.0
7-VEGAS ITCH 46.4
1st time starters - 5, 8
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
1-SERGIO 69.8
10-MONSTER MAN 65.4
11-CEDAR RAPIDS 63.2
5-SWINGING STAR 61.6
6-ODYSSEY EXPLORER 61.6
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
3-MASTERY 101.1
5-CALIFORNIA DIAMOND 88.8
4-OOPPER WALLAH 76.0
2-BERNIN SENSATION 75.4
1-ANN ARBOR EDDIE 65.9 (3 wide)
RACE 6
3-REFLECTED STAR 99.1
6-WILLING TO TRAVEL 96.5
11-TERRYS TOM CAT 95.2
5-FRITZ JOHANSEN 92.6
7-LIAM THE CHARMER 91.3
1st time starters - 9 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
2-HONOR AND COURAGE 64.8
4-LOOKIN AT MOSSY 61.6
1-A. P. ZONA 56.5
7-GENTRIFIED 54.0
5-NIGHT'S WATCH 46.7
6-THE PARTY FACTOR 41.6 (5 wide)
1st time starters - 9, 8, 3
RACE 8
7-ITSINTHEPOST 109.3
9-PERFECTLY MAJESTIC 103.8
8-WANSTEAD GARDENS 102.5
4-LITTLE CURLIN 99.8
1-PLAY HARD TO GET 99.1
RACE 9
4-MOTUTAPU 56.0 (off Oct. 15)
5-WARREN'S HONEY BEE 50.2
3-TURF CLUB QUEEN 40.7
12-MADERA JUBILEE 36.2
11-CECILE'S DIAMOND 34.6
10-MISS NAPPER TANDY 34.2
1st time starters - 13, 6
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $33,871.
RACE 1
10-EL SUPER 86.9
2-TAIMA THE HAWK 79.4
1-MELVILLE 78.4
6-BLACK TIE 'N TAILS 78.1
11-RIVER ECHO 77.8
RACE 2
3-FINALLYGOTABENTLEY 85.0
5-SWISS CHEESE 78.4
8-SENATOR BOB 76.6
9-BROTHER SOLDIER 69.2
10-CHANGING KARMA 68.1
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
3-LAW ABIDIN CITIZEN 72.6
1-STONE HANDS 62.7
2-BLAME JOE 60.6
6-BIG HIT 58.0
7-VEGAS ITCH 46.4
1st time starters - 5, 8
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
1-SERGIO 69.8
10-MONSTER MAN 65.4
11-CEDAR RAPIDS 63.2
5-SWINGING STAR 61.6
6-ODYSSEY EXPLORER 61.6
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
3-MASTERY 101.1
5-CALIFORNIA DIAMOND 88.8
4-OOPPER WALLAH 76.0
2-BERNIN SENSATION 75.4
1-ANN ARBOR EDDIE 65.9 (3 wide)
RACE 6
3-REFLECTED STAR 99.1
6-WILLING TO TRAVEL 96.5
11-TERRYS TOM CAT 95.2
5-FRITZ JOHANSEN 92.6
7-LIAM THE CHARMER 91.3
1st time starters - 9 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
2-HONOR AND COURAGE 64.8
4-LOOKIN AT MOSSY 61.6
1-A. P. ZONA 56.5
7-GENTRIFIED 54.0
5-NIGHT'S WATCH 46.7
6-THE PARTY FACTOR 41.6 (5 wide)
1st time starters - 9, 8, 3
RACE 8
7-ITSINTHEPOST 109.3
9-PERFECTLY MAJESTIC 103.8
8-WANSTEAD GARDENS 102.5
4-LITTLE CURLIN 99.8
1-PLAY HARD TO GET 99.1
RACE 9
4-MOTUTAPU 56.0 (off Oct. 15)
5-WARREN'S HONEY BEE 50.2
3-TURF CLUB QUEEN 40.7
12-MADERA JUBILEE 36.2
11-CECILE'S DIAMOND 34.6
10-MISS NAPPER TANDY 34.2
1st time starters - 13, 6
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, November 18, 2016
DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-YAVRIG 60.6
1-SANTA NELLA 53.5
7-SHE'S A TEN 47.8
5-NANYBELLE 42.8
6-PRINCESS YIZNOW 38.8
RACE 2
5-CHICAGO ANGEL 77.2
7-SIDEPOCKET RUN 67.0
3-FRANDONTJUDGE 64.8
2-STAUD'S SWISH 60.6
6-PAPASLILPRINCESS 56.6
RACE 3
2-SOUTHERN DRAWL 69.2
1-CORRELATION 65.4
4-SHEHASTHERITESTUFF 63.2
6-MY AUNT TILLIE 62.7
5-HAUTE STYLE 61.1
RACE 4
6-NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR 86.3
1-ACCELERANT 83.2
8-SUCCESS RATE 76.0
3-TEMPLAR 74.9
7-LIMITED RESPONSE 71.4
5-ATASCADERAN 71.4
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
13-BOLD PROPHET 63.2
4-MARCHTOTHEMUSIC 62.7
7-INVASION LOOMING 48.3
10-THIRTY PEPPERONIS 44.6
3-CALLE KINGPIN 30.0
1st time starters - 2, 9, 14, 1, 8. 6, 11
RACE 6
4-JIMMY BOUNCER 99.1
5-BOTTLE ROCKET 98.4
6-SECRETO PRIMERO 94.5
3-ERIC THE TROJAN 93.9
1-HORSE GREEDY 88.8
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
4-PRINCESS KAREN 78.4
3-FACT OF LIFE 70.3
1-LAKE TIME 68.6
2-AUNTJENN 64.8
6-ABEL TASMAN 60.6
5-CARRIE 59.0
RACE 8
10-ROYAL SEEKER 73.6
5-JET SKI 65.6
11-AMODEI 62.0
1-DR. TROUTMAN 53.5
4-SIX POINT RACK 49.7
14-BURNT COGNAC 46.0
1st time starters - 13
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-YAVRIG 60.6
1-SANTA NELLA 53.5
7-SHE'S A TEN 47.8
5-NANYBELLE 42.8
6-PRINCESS YIZNOW 38.8
RACE 2
5-CHICAGO ANGEL 77.2
7-SIDEPOCKET RUN 67.0
3-FRANDONTJUDGE 64.8
2-STAUD'S SWISH 60.6
6-PAPASLILPRINCESS 56.6
RACE 3
2-SOUTHERN DRAWL 69.2
1-CORRELATION 65.4
4-SHEHASTHERITESTUFF 63.2
6-MY AUNT TILLIE 62.7
5-HAUTE STYLE 61.1
RACE 4
6-NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR 86.3
1-ACCELERANT 83.2
8-SUCCESS RATE 76.0
3-TEMPLAR 74.9
7-LIMITED RESPONSE 71.4
5-ATASCADERAN 71.4
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
13-BOLD PROPHET 63.2
4-MARCHTOTHEMUSIC 62.7
7-INVASION LOOMING 48.3
10-THIRTY PEPPERONIS 44.6
3-CALLE KINGPIN 30.0
1st time starters - 2, 9, 14, 1, 8. 6, 11
RACE 6
4-JIMMY BOUNCER 99.1
5-BOTTLE ROCKET 98.4
6-SECRETO PRIMERO 94.5
3-ERIC THE TROJAN 93.9
1-HORSE GREEDY 88.8
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
4-PRINCESS KAREN 78.4
3-FACT OF LIFE 70.3
1-LAKE TIME 68.6
2-AUNTJENN 64.8
6-ABEL TASMAN 60.6
5-CARRIE 59.0
RACE 8
10-ROYAL SEEKER 73.6
5-JET SKI 65.6
11-AMODEI 62.0
1-DR. TROUTMAN 53.5
4-SIX POINT RACK 49.7
14-BURNT COGNAC 46.0
1st time starters - 13
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, November 17, 2016
DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-LATE 'N LEFT 64.3
7-ROCKY'S RAINBOW 61.6
1-TINDERETTE 60.6
3-SOONER TIME 57.5
4-AMAZING LADY 56.5
RACE 2
4-BUTTERCUP GOLD 71.4
6-QUINNETTE 68.6
1-HAL'S BUDDY 67.5
7-WARRENSDOLLARSIGNS 67.5
2-INDIVIDUAL DESIGN 60.6
RACE 3
8-EAGLE SCREAMS 88.1
5-OVER PAR 82.6
7-TEMPLE KEYS 81.4
2-TRIBAL TRIBUTE 81.4
1-PLAIN WRAP 74.2
RACE 4
9-BIG BAD JON 66.4
7-ADIR 61.1
3-WILD MISCHIEF 57.0
5-SOLAR ZONE 56.6
1-MIMIS BIG BOY 55.5
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
8-PRINCESS ROI 67.5
3-MY PI ROMANCER 63.2
9-ADLER 56.5
7-TIZ SEEKING A WIN 47.8
10-STARR OF QUALITY 46.4
1st time starters - 4, 1
RACE 6
8-PICO CHICK 73.1
3-GYPSY'S RULE 72.0
4-KRISTIE'S HEART 69.8
2-MISS BIG STUFF 69.2
7-STAR OF MUNSTER 68.1
1-PASSIONATE EMOTION 68.1
RACE 7
6-LUCY DE 78.4
5-JENNYWAY U WANT IT 76.6
3-LOVEINTHESHADOWS 76.6
9-MAI TAI 76.0
1-ALMOST REALITY 69.8
2-SEA SMOKE 69.2
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-GIO'S LADY 50.5
8-PATTIN FOR A DANCE 50.2
1-ESKENFORANDREYA 39.9
5-PRINCESS MARIE 37.4
11-PRINCESS NICOLE 33.4
1st time starters - 10, 12, 6
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-LATE 'N LEFT 64.3
7-ROCKY'S RAINBOW 61.6
1-TINDERETTE 60.6
3-SOONER TIME 57.5
4-AMAZING LADY 56.5
RACE 2
4-BUTTERCUP GOLD 71.4
6-QUINNETTE 68.6
1-HAL'S BUDDY 67.5
7-WARRENSDOLLARSIGNS 67.5
2-INDIVIDUAL DESIGN 60.6
RACE 3
8-EAGLE SCREAMS 88.1
5-OVER PAR 82.6
7-TEMPLE KEYS 81.4
2-TRIBAL TRIBUTE 81.4
1-PLAIN WRAP 74.2
RACE 4
9-BIG BAD JON 66.4
7-ADIR 61.1
3-WILD MISCHIEF 57.0
5-SOLAR ZONE 56.6
1-MIMIS BIG BOY 55.5
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
8-PRINCESS ROI 67.5
3-MY PI ROMANCER 63.2
9-ADLER 56.5
7-TIZ SEEKING A WIN 47.8
10-STARR OF QUALITY 46.4
1st time starters - 4, 1
RACE 6
8-PICO CHICK 73.1
3-GYPSY'S RULE 72.0
4-KRISTIE'S HEART 69.8
2-MISS BIG STUFF 69.2
7-STAR OF MUNSTER 68.1
1-PASSIONATE EMOTION 68.1
RACE 7
6-LUCY DE 78.4
5-JENNYWAY U WANT IT 76.6
3-LOVEINTHESHADOWS 76.6
9-MAI TAI 76.0
1-ALMOST REALITY 69.8
2-SEA SMOKE 69.2
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-GIO'S LADY 50.5
8-PATTIN FOR A DANCE 50.2
1-ESKENFORANDREYA 39.9
5-PRINCESS MARIE 37.4
11-PRINCESS NICOLE 33.4
1st time starters - 10, 12, 6
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, November 16, 2016
DEL MAR - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 40 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 40 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,668 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,668 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, Santa Anita, selections, system
Sunday, November 13, 2016
DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $203,127.
RACE 1
1-MY PRINCE HARRY 87.5
2-WILLISTON DUDE 86.3
3-RIVER'S EDGE 77.2
7-SMUGGLER UNION 75.4
4-ELEGANT STREET 70.3
RACE 2
2-PLASTERED 85.8
5-OPTIMISM AND HOPE 73.1
8-DAME STREET 71.4
1-BROOKES ALL MINE 71.4
7-SPACE CADET 65.6
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-IRON CURTAIN 59.0
7-WOODFOX 49.2
2-LOUD STALKER 37.4 (steadied)
5-P TOWN TITAN 27.9 (3 wide)
1st time starters - 1, 4, 8, 6
RACE 4
3-LOYALIST 76.0
11-CAUSE I'M BAD 71.4
7-REDNECK CRAZY 70.3
2-SEATTLE BOOM 69.2
5-IT'S JUST BOB 67.0
RACE 5
11-RANGI 97.8
9-ZURI CHOP 97.1
6-SUDDEN SAM 97.1
1-CHIPS ALL IN 96.5
8-WILDFIRE KID 95.2
RACE 6
7-LEMON ORCHID 64.3
6-TO B. AVA 56.5
9-BELLA SIERRA 55.0
11-TIZ MAKIN MEMORIES 48.3
8-IRISH DEVIL 39.4
1st time starters - 2, 5, 4, 1, 3
RACE 7
7-UNTOUCHABLE U 89.4
9-ZIP N BAYOU 86.3
1-SHAZARA 86.3
8-DEL MAR ANN 85.6
2-MRS. NORRIS 84.4
4-LYNNE'S LEGACY 83.2
RACE 8
2-ENOLA GRAY 91.9
1-BARBARA BEATRICE 90.7
3-MY FIONA 87.5
6-HARLINGTON'S ROSE 81.4
5-CHAO CHOM 75.4
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles on turf)
4-CAMINO DE ESTRELLA 74.2
8-KONA DREAMS 73.1
6-KIMBEAR 65.9
2-COLONEL SAMSEN 64.3
14-BIG HIT 63.0
3-ICE KAT 62.2 (3 wide)
1st time starters - 5
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $203,127.
RACE 1
1-MY PRINCE HARRY 87.5
2-WILLISTON DUDE 86.3
3-RIVER'S EDGE 77.2
7-SMUGGLER UNION 75.4
4-ELEGANT STREET 70.3
RACE 2
2-PLASTERED 85.8
5-OPTIMISM AND HOPE 73.1
8-DAME STREET 71.4
1-BROOKES ALL MINE 71.4
7-SPACE CADET 65.6
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-IRON CURTAIN 59.0
7-WOODFOX 49.2
2-LOUD STALKER 37.4 (steadied)
5-P TOWN TITAN 27.9 (3 wide)
1st time starters - 1, 4, 8, 6
RACE 4
3-LOYALIST 76.0
11-CAUSE I'M BAD 71.4
7-REDNECK CRAZY 70.3
2-SEATTLE BOOM 69.2
5-IT'S JUST BOB 67.0
RACE 5
11-RANGI 97.8
9-ZURI CHOP 97.1
6-SUDDEN SAM 97.1
1-CHIPS ALL IN 96.5
8-WILDFIRE KID 95.2
RACE 6
7-LEMON ORCHID 64.3
6-TO B. AVA 56.5
9-BELLA SIERRA 55.0
11-TIZ MAKIN MEMORIES 48.3
8-IRISH DEVIL 39.4
1st time starters - 2, 5, 4, 1, 3
RACE 7
7-UNTOUCHABLE U 89.4
9-ZIP N BAYOU 86.3
1-SHAZARA 86.3
8-DEL MAR ANN 85.6
2-MRS. NORRIS 84.4
4-LYNNE'S LEGACY 83.2
RACE 8
2-ENOLA GRAY 91.9
1-BARBARA BEATRICE 90.7
3-MY FIONA 87.5
6-HARLINGTON'S ROSE 81.4
5-CHAO CHOM 75.4
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles on turf)
4-CAMINO DE ESTRELLA 74.2
8-KONA DREAMS 73.1
6-KIMBEAR 65.9
2-COLONEL SAMSEN 64.3
14-BIG HIT 63.0
3-ICE KAT 62.2 (3 wide)
1st time starters - 5
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, November 12, 2016
DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $55,930.
RACE 1
6-KLONDIKE CREEK 85.0
4-DARK ENERGY 82.0
5-AZTEC WARRIOR 81.4
8-EVICTED 80.2
3-PAPPOU 79.6
RACE 2
1-LUNAR EMPRESS 90.0
4-THAT'S A LADY 88.8
3-SAVANNAH SKY 80.2
5-CALL TO CONGRATS 74.0
6-MISS STAR MAKER 73.7
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
8-GO ON MARY 67.0
7-STREET LOVE 57.0
4-SABI SANDS 57.0 (4 wide)
1-MOPOTTISM 53.5 (4 wide)
5-HONOR MAKER 25.8 (3 wide)
1st time starters - 3, 6, 2
RACE 4
3-CURLIN RULES 97.1
1-CAMINO DEL PARAISO 96.9
2-LITTLE SCOTTY 95.8
6-MITTERSILL 92.6
5-BARHANPOUR 91.3
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-LIL MISS SAPPHIRE 68.6
6-VELVET JONES 65.4
7-SAUSALITO SUNSET 57.5
9-FEEL FREELY 54.0
1-PROUD CAT 53.5 (6 wide)
RACE 6
8-BUYMEABOND 90.7
9-KRISTI'S COPILOT 88.8
6-INDYGO BO 83.2
5-INFINITE MAGIC 83.2
10-TATTENHAM 82.6
RACE 7
7-ANTHONYSGOTGAME 82.0
3-PEDRO CERRANO 77.8
4-THUNDER BASIN 74.3
9-MAJESTIC KITTEN 74.3
2-EXEMPLAR 72.0
5-HYE I'M JACK 71.4
RACE 8
6-HOBBITS HERO 104.5
3-CROWN THE KITTEN 102.5
9-HE WILL 100.4
10-SOMETHINGS UNUSUAL 93.2
5-BIG BANE THEORY 89.4
RACE 9
10-ZEALOUS TALE 73.7
6-WOODSTOCK MEMORY 69.8
5-JOHANN'S COMMAND 67.0
13-LITTLE MUSTARD 66.4
12-GAVIN STREETSENSE 63.2
7-FOOLISH TO DECEIVE 58.0
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $55,930.
RACE 1
6-KLONDIKE CREEK 85.0
4-DARK ENERGY 82.0
5-AZTEC WARRIOR 81.4
8-EVICTED 80.2
3-PAPPOU 79.6
RACE 2
1-LUNAR EMPRESS 90.0
4-THAT'S A LADY 88.8
3-SAVANNAH SKY 80.2
5-CALL TO CONGRATS 74.0
6-MISS STAR MAKER 73.7
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
8-GO ON MARY 67.0
7-STREET LOVE 57.0
4-SABI SANDS 57.0 (4 wide)
1-MOPOTTISM 53.5 (4 wide)
5-HONOR MAKER 25.8 (3 wide)
1st time starters - 3, 6, 2
RACE 4
3-CURLIN RULES 97.1
1-CAMINO DEL PARAISO 96.9
2-LITTLE SCOTTY 95.8
6-MITTERSILL 92.6
5-BARHANPOUR 91.3
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-LIL MISS SAPPHIRE 68.6
6-VELVET JONES 65.4
7-SAUSALITO SUNSET 57.5
9-FEEL FREELY 54.0
1-PROUD CAT 53.5 (6 wide)
RACE 6
8-BUYMEABOND 90.7
9-KRISTI'S COPILOT 88.8
6-INDYGO BO 83.2
5-INFINITE MAGIC 83.2
10-TATTENHAM 82.6
RACE 7
7-ANTHONYSGOTGAME 82.0
3-PEDRO CERRANO 77.8
4-THUNDER BASIN 74.3
9-MAJESTIC KITTEN 74.3
2-EXEMPLAR 72.0
5-HYE I'M JACK 71.4
RACE 8
6-HOBBITS HERO 104.5
3-CROWN THE KITTEN 102.5
9-HE WILL 100.4
10-SOMETHINGS UNUSUAL 93.2
5-BIG BANE THEORY 89.4
RACE 9
10-ZEALOUS TALE 73.7
6-WOODSTOCK MEMORY 69.8
5-JOHANN'S COMMAND 67.0
13-LITTLE MUSTARD 66.4
12-GAVIN STREETSENSE 63.2
7-FOOLISH TO DECEIVE 58.0
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, November 11, 2016
DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
3-ROUGH PASSAGE 90.0
2-PERFECT SET 89.4
6-OUT OF PATIENCE 82.6
1-ROMAN TIZZY 79.6
5-DADTAUGHTMEWELL 78.4
RACE 2
4-DESERT MADAM 95.8
2-ENDURING ERIN 90.0
3-ROO'SVALENTINE 88.8
6-ALL STAR BUB 79.6
5-PONDER LEA 78.2
RACE 3
3-TRIBAL JEWEL 93.2
5-FOREST BLUE 88.8
2-CURLIN ROAD 88.1
4-CITY STREET 85.0
6-SPUD SPIVENS 84.4
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
2-GO ARGENTO 73.1
11-SHY 69.8
8-CIAO BELLA ROSA 64.8
1-AMERICANA 62.7
12-CYNTHIANA 57.5
1st time starters - 7, 9
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
7-DYNAMIC RULER 59.0
9-DOWNSIDE UP 55.5
4-DIXIE PISTOL 51.1
8-FIRST CLASS BOY 20.9
1st time starters - 10, 6, 3, 2, 5, 1
RACE 6
8-RYE PATCH 93.9
1-RYE 91.3
5-COMES THE DREAM 88.8
3-ALL CALL 84.4
6-JACKSON SUNDOWN 84.0
RACE 7
10-ADMIRAL'S CLUB 82.6
7-COUNTRY ROAD 71.2
1-KENNY BENNY 68.6
4-SALIENT 68.6
5-MONTERY SHALE 67.5
2-HOT RODIN 67.0
1st time starters - 9, 3
RACE 8
5-SOBRADORA INC 102.5
1-AMBOSELI 95.8
2-KERI BELLE 94.5
6-GLORY 92.6
3-DRESSED TO A T 87.5
RACE 9
8-BUZZER BEATER 72.0
12-ATLANTIC SLEW 61.6
14-FLOWINWITHTHEBREEZ 60.6
3-AIMING STRIGHT 59.0
10-ZANAB 57.5
2-WAKE THE DAWN 54.0
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
3-ROUGH PASSAGE 90.0
2-PERFECT SET 89.4
6-OUT OF PATIENCE 82.6
1-ROMAN TIZZY 79.6
5-DADTAUGHTMEWELL 78.4
RACE 2
4-DESERT MADAM 95.8
2-ENDURING ERIN 90.0
3-ROO'SVALENTINE 88.8
6-ALL STAR BUB 79.6
5-PONDER LEA 78.2
RACE 3
3-TRIBAL JEWEL 93.2
5-FOREST BLUE 88.8
2-CURLIN ROAD 88.1
4-CITY STREET 85.0
6-SPUD SPIVENS 84.4
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
2-GO ARGENTO 73.1
11-SHY 69.8
8-CIAO BELLA ROSA 64.8
1-AMERICANA 62.7
12-CYNTHIANA 57.5
1st time starters - 7, 9
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
7-DYNAMIC RULER 59.0
9-DOWNSIDE UP 55.5
4-DIXIE PISTOL 51.1
8-FIRST CLASS BOY 20.9
1st time starters - 10, 6, 3, 2, 5, 1
RACE 6
8-RYE PATCH 93.9
1-RYE 91.3
5-COMES THE DREAM 88.8
3-ALL CALL 84.4
6-JACKSON SUNDOWN 84.0
RACE 7
10-ADMIRAL'S CLUB 82.6
7-COUNTRY ROAD 71.2
1-KENNY BENNY 68.6
4-SALIENT 68.6
5-MONTERY SHALE 67.5
2-HOT RODIN 67.0
1st time starters - 9, 3
RACE 8
5-SOBRADORA INC 102.5
1-AMBOSELI 95.8
2-KERI BELLE 94.5
6-GLORY 92.6
3-DRESSED TO A T 87.5
RACE 9
8-BUZZER BEATER 72.0
12-ATLANTIC SLEW 61.6
14-FLOWINWITHTHEBREEZ 60.6
3-AIMING STRIGHT 59.0
10-ZANAB 57.5
2-WAKE THE DAWN 54.0
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, November 10, 2016
SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 40 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 40 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, thoroughbred
Wednesday, November 09, 2016
DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,668 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,668 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system
Sunday, November 06, 2016
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-LUCKY DOLLY 46.9
6-LOFTY CAUSE 41.6
3-BONA FIDE IMAGE 37.8 (squeezed at start, 4 wide)
5-SORRYTOBUGYOU 19.2
1st time starters - 2, 7, 1
RACE 2 all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f. on turf)
12-YUVETSI 69.8 (5 wide)
10-TRUE TESTAMENT 67.3
4-DIVA LA MOUSSE 66.4
1-TAP IT ALL 59.0
7-JAMI RACER 58.0
1st time starters - 3, 9
RACE 3
10-TRIXIE TOPPER 58.0
7-HAYLEY'S COMMENT 49.7
8-LIANA SKYE 45.1
2-PROWLING AROUND 45.1
4-MADERA JUBILEE 41.1
RACE 4
8-LAMU 74.3
4-SCATASTIC 69.8
7-GAVINATION 67.5
3-BLANKET OF ICE 64.8
2-UNBRIDLED ROCKET 64.3
RACE 5
6-MAGIC TASTE 86.9
5-NUKE LALOOSH 85.0
3-BLACK TIE 'N TALES 79.6
8-ALRIGHT ALRIGHT 78.4
1-SLEEPWALKER 77.8
RACE 6
5-ZINDAYA 109.3
1-NANCY FROM NAIROBI 101.8
4-MAJESTIC HEAT 101.1
7-TIZ A KISS 100.4
6-HILLHOUSE HIGH 97.1
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
6-SEAU 75.4
2-ELEUTHEROS 73.1
7-CISTRON 71.4 (4 wide)
10-ROYAL MO 68.6 (3 wide)
5-ANTIOCH 64.3
1st time starters - 4, 11, 12, 9
RACE 8
9-FANTASY OF LUCK 90.0
10-BAD JU JU 90.0
6-SKYE DIAMONDS 82.0
7-DASHIN ASHEN 78.4
5-CONQUEST SO TRUE 77.8
RACE 9
11-I'MALREADYTHERE 100.4
14-WILLING TO TRAVEL 98.4
9-AIR POCKET 91.9
5-ON DRAFT 90.7
13-INFOBEDAD 88.8
7-PRETENTIOUS 85.0
1st time starters - 12 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-LUCKY DOLLY 46.9
6-LOFTY CAUSE 41.6
3-BONA FIDE IMAGE 37.8 (squeezed at start, 4 wide)
5-SORRYTOBUGYOU 19.2
1st time starters - 2, 7, 1
RACE 2 all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f. on turf)
12-YUVETSI 69.8 (5 wide)
10-TRUE TESTAMENT 67.3
4-DIVA LA MOUSSE 66.4
1-TAP IT ALL 59.0
7-JAMI RACER 58.0
1st time starters - 3, 9
RACE 3
10-TRIXIE TOPPER 58.0
7-HAYLEY'S COMMENT 49.7
8-LIANA SKYE 45.1
2-PROWLING AROUND 45.1
4-MADERA JUBILEE 41.1
RACE 4
8-LAMU 74.3
4-SCATASTIC 69.8
7-GAVINATION 67.5
3-BLANKET OF ICE 64.8
2-UNBRIDLED ROCKET 64.3
RACE 5
6-MAGIC TASTE 86.9
5-NUKE LALOOSH 85.0
3-BLACK TIE 'N TALES 79.6
8-ALRIGHT ALRIGHT 78.4
1-SLEEPWALKER 77.8
RACE 6
5-ZINDAYA 109.3
1-NANCY FROM NAIROBI 101.8
4-MAJESTIC HEAT 101.1
7-TIZ A KISS 100.4
6-HILLHOUSE HIGH 97.1
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
6-SEAU 75.4
2-ELEUTHEROS 73.1
7-CISTRON 71.4 (4 wide)
10-ROYAL MO 68.6 (3 wide)
5-ANTIOCH 64.3
1st time starters - 4, 11, 12, 9
RACE 8
9-FANTASY OF LUCK 90.0
10-BAD JU JU 90.0
6-SKYE DIAMONDS 82.0
7-DASHIN ASHEN 78.4
5-CONQUEST SO TRUE 77.8
RACE 9
11-I'MALREADYTHERE 100.4
14-WILLING TO TRAVEL 98.4
9-AIR POCKET 91.9
5-ON DRAFT 90.7
13-INFOBEDAD 88.8
7-PRETENTIOUS 85.0
1st time starters - 12 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, November 05, 2016
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $511,261.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f. on turf)
6-SWORD FIGHTER 85.6 (3 wide)
7-OPPER WALLAH 82.0
11-DERBY MUSIC 79.1 (6 wide)
4-HARBOUR MASTER 79.0
1-CON TE PARTIRO 77.8
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
4-CALIFORNIA DIAMOND 89.4
2-SIZZLIN SQUARE 83.2
3-CALIFORNIA CLONE 74.3
5-CLOSING TIME 69.8
6-HARVEST A STORM 68.1
RACE 3
8-MEHRONISSA 113.0
12-FAIR POINT 103.1
9-PRIZE EXHIBIT 101.1
13-LADY SHIPMAN 97.1
1-WILD AT HEART 95.1
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
7-JAMYSON 'N GINGER 117.9
12-AMERICAN GAL 86.9
10-NOTED AND QUOTED 86.9
2-WITH HONORS 83.8
9-UNION STRIKE 83.1
RACE 5
8-LADY ELI 117.9
3-SEVENTH HEAVEN 116.8
7-SENTIERO ITALIA 112.9
11-QUEEN'S TRUST 112.3
1-SEA CALISI 110.0
5-AL'S GAL 110.0
1st time starters - 9 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 6
7-MASOCHISTIC 126.8
5-A. P. INDIAN 124.5
4-JOKING 121.5
6-LORD NELSON 121.5
2-DREFONG 119.3
RACE 7
2-OBVIOUSLY 123.0
4-HOME OF THE BRAVE 122.3
1-PURE SENSATION 121.5
12-OM 120.8
8-WASHINGTON DC 119.7
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
7-GORMLEY 103.8
9-PRACTICAL JOKE 97.1
5-CLASSIC EMPIRE 97.1
1-KLIMT 96.5
6-THREE RULES 95.8
RACE 9
12-HIGHLAND REEL 141.8
10-FOUND 139.3
4-FLINTSHIRE 129.0
3-ECTOT 125.3
9-MONEY MULTIPLIER 123.8
RACE 10
2-HAVEYOUGONEAWAY 113.6
6-BY THE MOON 108.6
12-FINEST CITY 107.9
7-GLORYZAPPER 104.5
9-PAULASSILVERLINING 103.8
8-CARINA MIA 103.8
RACE 11
13-MIDNIGHT STORM 128.3
2-ALICE SPRINGS 124.7
9-IRONICUS 123.0
14-COUGAR MOUNTAIN 123.0
10-LIMATO 122.3
RACE 12
4-CALIFORNIA CHROME 135.9
10-ARROGATE 132.1
6-MELATONIN 123.8
3-KEEN ICE 119.3
9-HOPPERTUNITY 118.6
1-EFFINEX 118.6
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $511,261.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f. on turf)
6-SWORD FIGHTER 85.6 (3 wide)
7-OPPER WALLAH 82.0
11-DERBY MUSIC 79.1 (6 wide)
4-HARBOUR MASTER 79.0
1-CON TE PARTIRO 77.8
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
4-CALIFORNIA DIAMOND 89.4
2-SIZZLIN SQUARE 83.2
3-CALIFORNIA CLONE 74.3
5-CLOSING TIME 69.8
6-HARVEST A STORM 68.1
RACE 3
8-MEHRONISSA 113.0
12-FAIR POINT 103.1
9-PRIZE EXHIBIT 101.1
13-LADY SHIPMAN 97.1
1-WILD AT HEART 95.1
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
7-JAMYSON 'N GINGER 117.9
12-AMERICAN GAL 86.9
10-NOTED AND QUOTED 86.9
2-WITH HONORS 83.8
9-UNION STRIKE 83.1
RACE 5
8-LADY ELI 117.9
3-SEVENTH HEAVEN 116.8
7-SENTIERO ITALIA 112.9
11-QUEEN'S TRUST 112.3
1-SEA CALISI 110.0
5-AL'S GAL 110.0
1st time starters - 9 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 6
7-MASOCHISTIC 126.8
5-A. P. INDIAN 124.5
4-JOKING 121.5
6-LORD NELSON 121.5
2-DREFONG 119.3
RACE 7
2-OBVIOUSLY 123.0
4-HOME OF THE BRAVE 122.3
1-PURE SENSATION 121.5
12-OM 120.8
8-WASHINGTON DC 119.7
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
7-GORMLEY 103.8
9-PRACTICAL JOKE 97.1
5-CLASSIC EMPIRE 97.1
1-KLIMT 96.5
6-THREE RULES 95.8
RACE 9
12-HIGHLAND REEL 141.8
10-FOUND 139.3
4-FLINTSHIRE 129.0
3-ECTOT 125.3
9-MONEY MULTIPLIER 123.8
RACE 10
2-HAVEYOUGONEAWAY 113.6
6-BY THE MOON 108.6
12-FINEST CITY 107.9
7-GLORYZAPPER 104.5
9-PAULASSILVERLINING 103.8
8-CARINA MIA 103.8
RACE 11
13-MIDNIGHT STORM 128.3
2-ALICE SPRINGS 124.7
9-IRONICUS 123.0
14-COUGAR MOUNTAIN 123.0
10-LIMATO 122.3
RACE 12
4-CALIFORNIA CHROME 135.9
10-ARROGATE 132.1
6-MELATONIN 123.8
3-KEEN ICE 119.3
9-HOPPERTUNITY 118.6
1-EFFINEX 118.6
Labels: bets, betting, Breeder's Cup, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, November 04, 2016
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $39,979.
RACE 1
4-FOREST BLUE 101.8
8-DISTINCTIVE B 100.4
2-INDYGO HOLIDAY 93.9
5-BLAMEITONTHELAW 92.6
10-TOUGH IT OUT 91.9
RACE 2
3-WATCH THIS CAT 102.5
6-PARASAIL 90.7
7-MY PALMILLA 87.5
12-LONGSTOCKING 86.9
5-TRYST 85.7
1st time starters - 13 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 3
1-SCUBA 107.9
4-MELMICH 105.9
2-QUICK CASABLANCA 104.5
8-HARD ACES 102.5
7-COWBOY RHYTHM 93.2
1st time starters - 3 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 4
3-JAZZY TIMES 105.9
8-PROSPECT PARK 105.2
5-SILENT BIRD 105.2
9-NAVY HYMN 102.5
2-KAFISTER 100.6
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
8-VAI 70.3
9-MY PI ROMANCER 68.6
4-ISA FIRECRACKER 67.5
11-MS WAKAYA 67.5
5-R SUNDAY SURPRISE 63.8
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
11-GOOD SAMARITAN 105.2
6-BIG SCORE 93.9
3-CHANNEL MAKER 91.9
13-OSCAR PERFORMANCE 90.7
9-WELLABLED 89.4
1st time starters - 1 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 7
3-DORTMUND 128.3
1-VYJACK 115.0
9-GUN RUNNER 112.9
8-TAMARKUZ 112.5
6-TEXAS CHROME 108.6
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
1-HYDRANGEA 96.9
13-ROLY POLY 94.7
14-LA CORONEL 94.5
7-INTRICATELY 91.9
5-VICTORY TO VICTORY 90.7
RACE 9
8-BEHOLDER 127.5
5-STELLAR WIND 123.0
3-CURALINA 118.6
7-I'M A CHATTERBOX 112.9
1-SONGBIRD 112.9
6-FOREVER UNBRIDLED 112.9
1st time starters - 4 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 10
1-FREE ROSE 109.3
5-MONSTER BEA 99.8
6-BLACKJACKCAT 99.8
4-OSCAR NOMINATED 98.4
8-DRESSED IN HERMES 98.4
12-GOLD RUSH DANCER 96.5
11-CURLIN RULES 95.2
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $39,979.
RACE 1
4-FOREST BLUE 101.8
8-DISTINCTIVE B 100.4
2-INDYGO HOLIDAY 93.9
5-BLAMEITONTHELAW 92.6
10-TOUGH IT OUT 91.9
RACE 2
3-WATCH THIS CAT 102.5
6-PARASAIL 90.7
7-MY PALMILLA 87.5
12-LONGSTOCKING 86.9
5-TRYST 85.7
1st time starters - 13 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 3
1-SCUBA 107.9
4-MELMICH 105.9
2-QUICK CASABLANCA 104.5
8-HARD ACES 102.5
7-COWBOY RHYTHM 93.2
1st time starters - 3 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 4
3-JAZZY TIMES 105.9
8-PROSPECT PARK 105.2
5-SILENT BIRD 105.2
9-NAVY HYMN 102.5
2-KAFISTER 100.6
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
8-VAI 70.3
9-MY PI ROMANCER 68.6
4-ISA FIRECRACKER 67.5
11-MS WAKAYA 67.5
5-R SUNDAY SURPRISE 63.8
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
11-GOOD SAMARITAN 105.2
6-BIG SCORE 93.9
3-CHANNEL MAKER 91.9
13-OSCAR PERFORMANCE 90.7
9-WELLABLED 89.4
1st time starters - 1 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 7
3-DORTMUND 128.3
1-VYJACK 115.0
9-GUN RUNNER 112.9
8-TAMARKUZ 112.5
6-TEXAS CHROME 108.6
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
1-HYDRANGEA 96.9
13-ROLY POLY 94.7
14-LA CORONEL 94.5
7-INTRICATELY 91.9
5-VICTORY TO VICTORY 90.7
RACE 9
8-BEHOLDER 127.5
5-STELLAR WIND 123.0
3-CURALINA 118.6
7-I'M A CHATTERBOX 112.9
1-SONGBIRD 112.9
6-FOREVER UNBRIDLED 112.9
1st time starters - 4 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 10
1-FREE ROSE 109.3
5-MONSTER BEA 99.8
6-BLACKJACKCAT 99.8
4-OSCAR NOMINATED 98.4
8-DRESSED IN HERMES 98.4
12-GOLD RUSH DANCER 96.5
11-CURLIN RULES 95.2
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, November 03, 2016
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
7-CAPE WOLFE 96.5
1-JAZZY JOSH 85.0
3-INCLINE VILLAGE 85.0
2-EDDIE'S FIRST 81.4
4-LOUDEN'S GRAY 80.3
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
7-SANDY'S SURPRISE 68.1
8-CZARINA 59.6
6-MISTRESSOFTHENIGHT 58.8
4-GOSEECAL 57.5
5-MAJESTIC QUALITY 55.0
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
2-VENDING MACHINE 66.4
6-SORRY ERIK 62.2
7-BEANTOWN BOYS 61.6
8-POPULAR KID 57.0
4-THE ALL BUTTON 55.6
RACE 4
2-BACK BEAUTY 88.8
3-REVENUE VIRGINUS 77.2
4-LITTLE BIT LOVELY 77.2
1-JOSEPHINE'S MOMENT 71.1
6-SIDEPOCKET RUN 70.4
RACE 5
1-PAPASLILPRINCESS 72.0
2-SEEKING SHAMROCKS 71.4
4-AUDRA 67.5
6-ALTARIA 65.4
5-SWEETEST SECRET 64.3
RACE 6
7-IMPERATIVE 110.7
2-CONQUEST COBRA 109.3
1-SOI PHET 107.3
8-MAGIC MARK 105.2
3-DREAM TEAM 99.8
RACE 7
4-UNDENIBLE U 93.9
3-CHRIS AND DAVE 91.3
2-FELDINI 87.5
1-G. A. BETTING 85.0
5-TOP OF THE GAME 84.0
6-MISHEGAS 83.2
1st time starters - 8 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
8-PATTIN FOR A DANCE 46.0
2-WARRIORESS 46.0
14-PASSION FOR PAPA 41.6 (6 wide)
9-WILD CAUSE 40.7
5-SHE LOOKS PROUD 33.8 (4 wide)
1st time starters - 1, 4
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
7-CAPE WOLFE 96.5
1-JAZZY JOSH 85.0
3-INCLINE VILLAGE 85.0
2-EDDIE'S FIRST 81.4
4-LOUDEN'S GRAY 80.3
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
7-SANDY'S SURPRISE 68.1
8-CZARINA 59.6
6-MISTRESSOFTHENIGHT 58.8
4-GOSEECAL 57.5
5-MAJESTIC QUALITY 55.0
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
2-VENDING MACHINE 66.4
6-SORRY ERIK 62.2
7-BEANTOWN BOYS 61.6
8-POPULAR KID 57.0
4-THE ALL BUTTON 55.6
RACE 4
2-BACK BEAUTY 88.8
3-REVENUE VIRGINUS 77.2
4-LITTLE BIT LOVELY 77.2
1-JOSEPHINE'S MOMENT 71.1
6-SIDEPOCKET RUN 70.4
RACE 5
1-PAPASLILPRINCESS 72.0
2-SEEKING SHAMROCKS 71.4
4-AUDRA 67.5
6-ALTARIA 65.4
5-SWEETEST SECRET 64.3
RACE 6
7-IMPERATIVE 110.7
2-CONQUEST COBRA 109.3
1-SOI PHET 107.3
8-MAGIC MARK 105.2
3-DREAM TEAM 99.8
RACE 7
4-UNDENIBLE U 93.9
3-CHRIS AND DAVE 91.3
2-FELDINI 87.5
1-G. A. BETTING 85.0
5-TOP OF THE GAME 84.0
6-MISHEGAS 83.2
1st time starters - 8 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
8-PATTIN FOR A DANCE 46.0
2-WARRIORESS 46.0
14-PASSION FOR PAPA 41.6 (6 wide)
9-WILD CAUSE 40.7
5-SHE LOOKS PROUD 33.8 (4 wide)
1st time starters - 1, 4
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, November 02, 2016
SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA RACE TRACK TODAY
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 40 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 40 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,658 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,658 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
