Thursday, June 30, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
1-ATTA BOY PETE 85.0
3-PULMARACK 80.8
2-EIGHT SPOKES 77.7
5-SANATION 59.6
4-SCATASTIC 43.9

RACE 2
5-KAY KAY 91.9
1-EMMZY 86.9
2-MY FOOLISH HEART 77.8
4-PICO CHICK 63.4
3-TIZA DIVA 56.6

RACE 3
1-CHANGING KARMA 82.6
4-CLOSE TO THE EDGE 81.4
3-MAY B 80.8
5-FOUR GAELS 74.3
2-PEACENIK 67.0

RACE 4
4-TRINITAS SOLDIER 67.5
3-BERNARDJFORTUNATO 67.0
5-LORD SNOW 50.2 (off Oct. 15)
2-MULTIPLE SUNS 49.0
6-WILD MISCHIEF 45.5

1st time starters - 1

RACE 5
7-ALPENHORN 66.4
2-SCAVENGER HUNT 42.4
1-RADISH 39.4
4-CALIFORNIASUMMER 39.0

1st time starters - 5, 9, 3, 6, 8, 10, 11

RACE 6
5-ERIC THE TROJAN 77.8
3-GLORY BOUND 77.6
2-TOUGH BUT NICE 74.3
6-AMERICAN LEAGUE 70.3
4-CLASSICO 69.8

RACE 7
5-PAY THE FINE 95.2
7-TEXAS TWO STEP 90.0
1-BLUEGRASS BRONCO 87.5
4-SPIRIT RULES 85.0
2-KENJISSTORM 84.4

RACE 8
1-GOLIATH'S GIRL 52.6
6-LISA'S JOY 49.2
9-CALL MY BLUFF 42.0
3-DADDY PLEASE 38.2
8-TOO MUCH DRAMA 37.0 (off slow, 4 wide)
2-SILVER OAK 35.0 (off slow)
5-SNOBBY BRUMMIE 34.2

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Wednesday, June 29, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA RACE TRACK TODAY

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, June 28, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,550 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, June 26, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
1-PRINCE VALIANT 81.4
2-WADE 80.2
5-OUTTHINK'EM 70.9
3-AIKAU 61.6
4-TWO SIX WINS 57.0 (off Sept. 15)

RACE 2
4-IPRAY 71.4
1-CUDDLE ALERT 67.0
5-QUINNETTE 65.9
3-LIRICA HEAT 64.2
6-GUESSED RIGHT 63.2

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
3-SO HERES THE THING 29.7
6-KIMCHEE 24.4
4-CHOCOLATE GODDESS 16.1 (4 wide)
2-CINDY'S RING 12.8

1st time starters - 1, 5

RACE 4
4-CHRIS AND DAVE 83.2
1-QUE CHISTOSO 68.1
3-LAST ONE STANDING 64.2
6-GO LONG 63.2
5-TWO THE PUNCH 60.6

RACE 5
5-SENSITIVELY 110.0
2-SHH SHE'S OURS 94.5
3-LUMINANCE 87.5 (off May 15)
1-AVENGE 84.4

1st time starters - 4 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)

RACE 6
5-BIG BREAK 77.2
2-GRACIE RAGAZZA 66.4
6-AVICII 64.2
1-WATCH THIS CAT 63.1
3-MY SWEET AFLEET 60.6

RACE 7
5-SURFING THE MENU 70.3
7-PLUS PERFECT 66.4
4-ISH 65.4
3-DAPHNE'S DAY 57.0
6-DREAM NAVIGATOR 57.0

RACE 8
3-SOI PHET 107.9
4-AVANTI BELLO 101.8
2-SONGFORJOHNMICHAEL 99.8
1-HOWDY 98.4
5-EL HUERFANO 95.8

RACE 9
5-CANDY PROMISES 69.2
3-HANK THE TANK 67.5 (off Aug. 15)
2-FELDINI 62.7
7-GABO'S MACONDO 44.4 (off Nov. 15)
8-BRILLIANT LIGHT 39.0 (3 wide, steadied)

1st time starters - 6, 1, 4




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Saturday, June 25, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
5-CHRISY JACKSON 61.1 (off slow, 4 wide)
3-WHAT A STORMKAT 54.0
1-FLAMING VIXEN 49.2
7-UNCLE STEVE'S GIRL 35.0 (3 wide, off Oct. 15)
2-ASK ME I MIGHT 33.4

1st time starters - 6, 8

RACE 2
2-ANGEL LANE 68.6
1-ADIOS PRINCESS 64.3
6-OCTOFY 56.0
3-PRINCESS KENDRA 54.0
5-GOLDEN BAYERS 39.4

RACE 3
1-CONCORD'S STAR 84.4
4-CONCORSO 79.6
3-PETE'S PLAY CALL 76.6
5-BASINCA 71.4
6-MIDNIGHT EDITION 60.6

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
9-FIRST CLASS BOY 32.6

1st time starters - NO SELECTIONS (11 horses)

RACE 5
3-FOREST BLUE 98.4
6-VICTORY CALL 98.4
5-JAZZY TIMES 93.9
2-GOLDEN ATLANTIC 93.9 (off Oct. 15)
4-WESTBROOK 88.8

RACE 6
7-TAMAN GUARD 80.2
6-PULLA TRAIN 79.0
2-SAM SLICK 78.4
5-ESPIRITO BUENO 76.6
1-HYE I'M JACK 73.1 (off Nov. 15)

RACE 7
7-GIANT EXPECTATIONS 92.6
2-WESTFEST 80.6
5-TIZ NO BLUFF 76.6 (off slow)
4-SUPER TOUCH 70.9
6-OSO 69.2

1st time starters - 3

RACE 8
2-KOBE'S BACK 113.6
6-SUBTLE INDIAN 112.9
5-AMBITIOUS BREW 106.0
8-COASTLINE 105.2
3-CAUTIOUS GIANT 103.1

RACE 9
7-MELATONIN 122.3
6-HOPPERTUNITY 115.7
3-HARD ACES 113.6
2-SECOND SUMMER 110.0
4-LIEUTENANT COLONEL 108.6
8-IMPERATIVE 104.5



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Friday, June 24, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
6-AIDAN'S HOPE 64.8
7-LUCKY TOMMY 46.0
3-SUPERB OWL 42.9
5-LUCKY DOUBLE 37.4
1-JULIA'S SUMMER 36.2

1st time starters - 4

RACE 2
1-ARROGATE 105.2
2-FUSAICHI SAMURAI 98.4
5-CHIEF OF STAFF 97.8
3-PRETENTIOUS 80.0
4-AFLEET DOMINATION 72.6

RACE 3
6-SUAVEMENTE 75.4
5-NICARADALIC ROCKS 73.1
2-SWISS MINISTER 72.6
3-FANS ON THE RUN 67.5
7-CAPTAIN AKERS 61.1

RACE 4
1-ACCELERANT 80.8
7-DUSTIN'S PASSION 77.8
8-BILTMORE BOOGIE 77.2
6-JUSTIFICATION 69.2
3-NORTHERN IOWA 62.2

RACE 5
6-SWISS SILVER 73.1
4-HE'S A REAL KEEPER 68.1
9-CARULLI 63.6
7-ANGELS JOURNEY 62.2
2-BADASMYWIFELETSMEB 56.1

RACE 6
4-MAI TAI 67.5 (3 wide)
2-HOTSY DOTSY 60.1
7-BRIATIC GAL 58.5
1-MALWARE 42.4 (3 wide)
6-TINIAN 40.3 (off slow)

1st time starters - 3, 5

RACE 7
2-WIFE APPROVED 72.6
7-SPICY CLONDE 68.1
4-STIR FRY 66.4
1-SHE'S MEMORABLE 59.6
5-GYPSY'S RULE 59.1

RACE 8
7-MICHIEVOUS BULL 65.9
4-JOHANN'S COMMAND 60.6
8-SPEEDIN WITH EDDIE 43.3
5-SUMMER CHAT 40.7
2-FOOTLOOS INDY LANE 37.0 (off Sept. 14)
3-GAME PIECE 32.3

1st time starters 1

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Thursday, June 23, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $64,204.

RACE 1
7-WARD BOSS 65.6
5-ALSTON 65.4
6-MONEY MAKIN MIKE 63.2 (off Oct. 15)
2-CHIEF DAN 61.1
4-BIG DISCOVERY 59.0

RACE 2
1-LUCKY STUDENT 73.1
3-MISS LOUJEAN 72.4
2-QUEENOFHERCASTLE 65.4
5-FANTASY OF LUCK 50.6
4-FAITH PACER 50.6

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
3-YOU MISSED IT 67.5

1st time starters - 4, 2, 6, 5, 1

RACE 4
6-TURF CLUB QUEEN 54.0
3-TOOLUCKYSUPERMOON 52.6
1-LADY PRISCILLA 35.8
8-MADERA JUBILEE 31.9
2-AZADEH 31.1

RACE 5
6-INDIVIDUAL DESIGN 68.6
4-LAROCCO 60.9
5-CHICAGO ANGEL 57.2
7-VERONICA BAY 54.0
3-CHIA LOVE 53.5

RACE 6
6-BROTHER SOLDIER 79.0
1-HAWK'S EYES 76.0
4-I B MIKE 74.9
7-MAGNA WARRIOR 72.0
2-GIANT EGO 68.1

RACE 7
3-DIRT IN YOUR FACE 85.6
5-J SERINO 82.0
2-TOUGH EMBLEM 70.9
1-BROKEN UP 67.5
4-ARMORED CAR 60.9

RACE 8
5-PATIENCE LADY 50.6
1-WARREN'S HONEY BEE 50.2
3-TRULY PONTI 43.8
6-MUM'S FOREST 28.9 (off May 15)
2-PAPA'S LADY 27.5
4-SONG FOR JADE 24.8

1st time starters - 8

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Wednesday, June 22, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA RACE TRACK TODAY

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, June 21, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,544 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, June 19, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
5-ALL STAR PARADE 87.6
2-BRONZINO 87.5
1-NEW SUMMIT 85.0
8-SECRETO PRIMERO 83.1
6-SEA CAT 82.0

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
3-FLY TO MARS 39.0
7-I'D BE SAD AN BLUE 36.6
1-GRASS AND CACTUS 35.8

1st time starters - 4, 2, 5, 6

RACE 3
8-SINGING KITTY 98.4
4-LONG HOT SUMMER 97.1
7-MY YEAR IS A DAY 88.8
6-OFF THE ROAD 87.6
2-FASNACLOICH 86.9
3-HIJRA 86.9
1-GRANDMA'S HANDS 86.9

RACE 4
5-AUDACIOUS ANGEL 82.6
4-HOLIDAY MOVIE 67.5
6-ALWAYS DANGEROUS 67.0
7-SWEETWATER GAL 59.0 (off slow, 3 wide)
1-REALLY GEM 57.8

1st time starters - 3, 2

RACE 5
5-SPANISH HOMBRE 73.7
8-STORM THE SHORE 67.5 (off Oct. 15)
1-YES MASTER 62.2 (off Sept. 15)
4-ALASKAN CRUISE 56.5
2-CEE THE PREACHER 54.0

1st time starters - 6, 3

RACE 6
3-NOT NOW CAROLYN 77.2
1-COVER SONG 77.0
7-MRS. NORRIS 76.0
8-PATRIOTIC DIAMOND 74.9
9-SWEET QUEEN 73.7 (off Dec. 15)

RACE 7
3-AIN'T MISBEHAVIN 85.0
6-COUGAR COUNTRY 79.0
2-NO CONTINGENCY 76.6
5-MY SAMURAI WARRIOR 76.0
4-JUSTONEMORETHING 75.4

RACE 8
6-BE MINE 94.5
4-DECKED OUT 93.2
3-STAYS IN VEGAS 92.6
7-JEREMY'S LEGACY 90.0
1-LADY VALEUR 90.0

RACE 9
2-CHANITO 56.5
5-CHEAP O CHARLIE 51.6
7-MY SON JOHN 50.2
9-DIG FOR GOLD 44.6 (off slow, 4 wide)
10-VIA FERMATO 43.3 (off slow)
4-DINNER AT TRANI'S 43.3

1st time starters - 13, 11, 12


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Saturday, June 18, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
7-BEDEVILED 81.6
8-NAME FOR BLAME 78.2
3-SILENT MOVIES 74.9
5-TIZZING 70.9
2-RUN THE SHOW 67.5

RACE 2
6-RIZZI'S HONORS 65.4
4-LA GALY 63.2
7-MR. GUTY 59.6
3-PRINCESS ASHLYN 45.8
2-TANGLED UP IN JU 45.5

1st time starters - 5

RACE 3
5-OUT OF PATIENCE 100.2
6-COMES THE DREAM 95.8
9-OLD MAN LAKE 91.5
8-IT BEHOOVES ME 87.0
12-PERSUASIVE PAUL 84.4

RACE 4
3-KARMA KING 103.1
4-SOUPER KNIGHT 97.8
5-HEAD SOUTH 93.9 (off July 15)
6-BIG TIRE 89.4
1-HEIR OF STORM 80.8

RACE 5
3-VINZ CLORTHO 95.2
1-ACCELERATE 83.2
2-IDEAL 81.4
4-UNINVITED 77.8
8-SENSE OF GLORY 70.3

1st time starters - 6

RACE 6
6-ARCATURE 97.1
2-PRINCE OF ARABIA 93.9
8-UNDENIBLE U 92.6
9-LITTLE SCOTTY 92.6
10-RALIS 91.3

RACE 7
1-TENGAS RANSOM 77.2
7-LOVELY ANZI 55.5
9-LOST DUTCHMAN 54.0 (off Dec. 15)
6-GIO MIO 42.4
4-SQUASH 18.3

1st time starters - 5, 2, 3, 8, 10

RACE 8
4-SONGBIRD 105.2
5-COPPA 89.5
1-THAT'S A LADY 86.3
7-SUTTON'S SMILE 76.4
2-BELLAMENTARY 74.9

RACE 9
5-GOLDEN LIGHT 70.9
11-STARLITE STYLE 67.5
4-WARM ENDOWMENT 64.8
14-LETHAL LEGACY 63.8
9-STARRING ROLE 57.5
1-REBARULES AGAIN 55.6

1st time starters - 8, 3, 12

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Friday, June 17, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
4-TRYST 88.1
1-SEASIDE GLORY 68.1 (off Sept. 15)

1st time starters - 3, 5, 2

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
7-HARVEST STORM 40.3
1-WILL TELL 27.2

1st time starters - 3, 6, 4, 2, 5

RACE 3
9-MANGITA 93.2 (off Aug. 15)
6-MAJESTIC HEAT 92.6 (off Oct. 15)
2-QIAONA 90.7
4-LITTLE BIT LOVELY 90.0
8-SWEET 88.8

1st time starters - 1 (in U.S.A.-fgn.)

RACE 4
1-LOOK QUICKLY 80.2
5-PICA 79.0
6-WEDDING BLUSH 78.4
3-BAD JU JU 77.2
2-FLEXIBLE ETHICS 76.0

RACE 5
3-SCATTAGIRL 80.8
9-UNUSUAL STYLE 75.4
6-LOB CITY 72.0
2-BROOKES ALL MINE 67.6
4-ARCOBALENO 65.9 (off June 15)

RACE 6
4-IANCOL 81.4
1-ELECTRIFYING 81.4
3-ZIM N THE MAILMAN 77.2
5-SADDLE SOAR 76.6
7-DESERT EXPRESS 74.3

RACE 7
7-SUMMER LADY 81.4
8-FRENCH ALPS 80.2
1-SAINT MAMIE 79.6
2-HACKTIVISM 77.8
9-TOPPERS SUNSHINE 76.6

RACE 8
5-DIXIE DAME 54.0
13-MARRIEDTOAMINISTER 52.6
6-WATCH ME NOW 47.4
8-IF YOU BELIEVE 43.8
9-PAM'S JOY 42.0
12-SNOBBY BRUMMIE 41.6

1st time starters - 3, 2

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Thursday, June 16, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $68,569.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
5-STORMY ENDEAVOR 44.6
7-OCEAN DREAM 39.0
2-YOU'RE LATE 38.2 (3 wide)
8-KIMCHEE 12.3 (broke slow)

1st time starters - 3, 4, 1

RACE 2
4-LIFE'S JOURNEY 103.8
3-LITTLE CURLIN 99.1
2-FINNEGANS WAKE 97.8
1-ANYTHINGSCOOKIN 97.0
5-TEXAS RYANO 96.5

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
7-MY CALIFORNIA 42.0
3-SO HERES THE THING 24.4 (lost whip)
2-LOFTY CAUSE 24.4
5-CINDY'S RING 12.8

1st time starters - 6, 4, 8, 1

RACE 4
6-TRIBAL TRIBUTE 98.4
5-BATTI MAN 98.4
4-NEVERADOUBT 91.3
3-TERRYS TOM CAT 88.1
2-COUNTY LINEMAN 84.4

RACE 5
6-MISS STAR MAKER 82.6
4-DIS SMART CAT 80.8
2-SIDEPOCKET RUN 77.8
7-SHESWILDNFREE 67.5
5-APPEALING LADY 63.8

RACE 6
2-AMIRA J 91.9 (off Aug. 15)
8-SWISSARELLA 86.3
4-DISCATSONTHESQUARE 85.6
1-DISTINGUISHABLE 82.0
6-WEST MID 79.6

RACE 7
3-SWEETER THANCANDY 76.6
9-VOW ME OVER 74.7
5-CONQUEST SO TRUE 73.7
8-SPIRITUAL 66.4
2-TIZ SWEET BLISS 64.3

RACE 8
8-LORD OF CHAOS 75.4
3-ANATOLIAN HEAT 71.6
1-HE COULD 68.6
7-MONTERY SHALE 64.8
4-NATURAL STRIDE 64.8
2-WARD'N JERRY 62.2

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Wednesday, June 15, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA RACE TRACK TODAY

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, June 14, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,538 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, June 12, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
7-HIGH CLASS TASTE 33.8
1-SURVIVEDDANDTHRIVED 17.2 (3 wide)
5-NORMA MY BRIDE ? (trailed in 2f. race)

1st time starters - 3, 4, 2, 6

RACE 2
1-MAY B 92.6
4-CLOSE TO THE EDGE 77.8
5-BACKSTREET BOSS 73.7
2-CHANGING KARMA 72.6
3-JUSTIFICATION 71.4 (off Nov. 15)

RACE 3
3-DOLLEMMA 64.3
2-SPARKLING PEG 62.2
5-MYHEARTSINTHECITY 55.0
1-B K MISS 46.0
6-STREET GODDESS 41.6

RACE 4
6-OHIO 109.3
3-ITSINTHEPOST 102.5
7-HAY DUDE 99.1
5-SAMMY MANDEVILLE 91.9
2-EBADAN 88.2

1st time starters - 4 in the U.S.A.-fgn)

RACE 5
4-TAKE IT EASYPLEASE 82.0
5-LIGHT STRIKER 76.6
3-KRISTINITE 76.6
6-MARGIE'S MINUTE 75.2
8-STOLE MY'ART 74.3

RACE 6
2-DEEP CONSIDERATION 88.8
4-LOS GATOS 83.2
5-ANTHONYSGOTGAME 82.6
1-SKY PREACHER 80.8
8-APOSTLE PAUL 77.2

RACE 7
8-MINSTER'SADVENTURE 87.5
2-KISS AT MIDNIGHT 86.9
7-MELANISTIC 75.4
3-MY FIONA 74.6
1-LADY TAPIT 73.1

RACE 8
2-ENERGIA FRIBBY 100.4
6-SHARLA RAE 91.9
3-EVE CAMPO 91.9
7-CHOCOLATIER 91.3
1-HIKING 86.3

RACE 9
8-GOLDRUSHCAT 57.0
7-TRINITYS TURN 53.0
6-IT'SALLYOURSBABY 51.6
9-C W ROAD 49.7
2-MAJESTIC FANTASY 49.7
5-BASIE BOOTS 49.0

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Saturday, June 11, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA & THE BELMONT STAKES RACE - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
5-MIDNIGHT HAWK 88.1
3-FLY LEXIS FLY 87.5
2-DAY IN THE SUN 80.2
1-ROMAN TIZZY 79.6
4-SPIN FORTY 58.5

RACE 2
3-ASHLEYLUVSSUGAR 108.6
5-ALERT BAY 107.3
4-BOOZER 107.0
6-SPIRIT RULES 96.9
1-POSHSKY 91.3

RACE 3
3-MAGICAL TOUCH 84.4
1-SWEET PROFIT 74.9
4-BLOOMING HANNAH 68.6
5-AUDRA 68.1
2-L.A. MAGIC 65.4

RACE 4
10-AJAC 56.5
6-LUCKY LOGAN 53.0 (off Sept. 15)
7-WARREN MY BOY 51.1
1-HOOSIER ROAD 50.6
3-JULIA'S SUMMER 48.3

1st time starters - 2

RACE 5
2-ROCKPORT BABE 90.7
7-DIAMOND CUT 87.5
3-LA BOHEME 86.3
4-WEST COAST STORM 85.6
1-VANLOSE STAIRWAY 84.4

1st time starters - 10 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 6
1-WORLDWIDE 76.6
6-LOOK ME IN THE EYE 61.6
10-RICKLES 56.5
8-SKOOKUM SPIRIT 56.0
5-ROYAL PRIVACY 56.0

1st time starters - 4

RACE 7
7-STORY TO TELL 99.8
1-GUY CODE 94.5
2-CLEVER ROYAL 92.6
5-ALEX ROSSI 90.7 (off Nov. 15)
4-PAPA TURF 88.1

RACE 8
7-MACRO ACCESS 105.2
2-HORIZONTALYSPEAKIN 86.9
3-BRAVE ACT 85.7 (off July 15)
5-RYE PATCH 79.0 (off July 15)
9-MADIKWE 77.2

RACE 9
1-CHASINTHEACES 88.1
10-ODIN 85.6
8-WARREN'S T. BAZE 69.2
9-PROHIBITION REPEAL 69.2
6-UNBRIDLED ROCKET 67.0
7-EL KOREANO 67.0

RACE 10
10-STORMIN TRICK 84.4
2-SPIRIT WORLD 65.4
6-REDNECK CRAZY 64.8
4-NIGHT BADGER 63.2
5-CLUDE 59.6

RACE 11
7-CRIMSON AND GOLD 76.4
10-TINDERELLA 72.6
2-VICTORIA FALLS 71.4
4-SASSY ASHLEY 70.9
3-KIHEI SUNSET 65.4 (off Nov. 15)
6-ALBEIT 59.0

THE BELMONT - BELMONT PARK

RACE 11
11-EXAGGERATOR 117.2
5-STRADIVARI 110.0
3-CHERRY WINE 108.6
2-DESTIN 107.9
1-GOVERNOR MALIBU 105.9
13-CREATOR 105.2
4-SUDDENBREAKINGNEWS 102.5
7-SEEKING THE SOUL 99.8
10-LANI 97.1
12-BRODY'S CAUSE 94.5
6-GETTYSBURG 93.9
9-TROJAN NATION 90.7
8-FOREVER D'ORO 90.7







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Friday, June 10, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
5-COMPEL 64.3
2-JOAN OF ARCH 64.3
1-RECKLESS CHARM 63.6
3-DO THE DANCE 63.2
4-OK DOLL 61.1

RACE 2
6-SOUTHERN PHARAOH 73.7
4-HANDFUL OF STRIPES 70.9
1-INHIBITION 67.2
5-GAVIN STREETSENSE 59.5
3-AGRONOMY 38.6

1st time starters - 2

RACE 3
1-CARADINI 80.2
5-EMMZY 62.0
2-EILEEN'S GIRL 60.9
3-HAYLEY'S COMMENT 54.0
4-WARRIOR VIXEN 50.5

RACE 4
7-MR. CARTAGENA 80.8
4-LUCKY SHOES TO WIN 78.4
1-NATIVE RIDE 73.1
6-BEING THERE 73.1
5-VALENTINE BOY 72.6

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
4-EVOLVE 28.6
10-ICEBERG SLIM 26.1 (off slow)

1st time starters - 5, 12, 3, 8, 9, 6, 1, 2, 7

RACE 6
4-ENDURING ERIN 78.7
5-INTOXICATING MOVE 78.4
7-SO GOOD TO GO 76.6
1-ZANBO 74.3
8-MIDNIGHT CANDY 74.3

RACE 7
4-DREAM TEAM 110.7
3-BACCELO 101.8
6-DESERT DYNAMO 100.4
1-TRIBAL JEWEL 99.8
2-KRISTO 93.2

RACE 8
3-REDEEMING QUALITY 56.5
2-PATIENCE LADY 55.5
7-HILDA 51.6
6-ALEYSIA EH 37.4
1-GOLIATH'S GIRL 33.0
4-LITTLE LIKE ANA 16.9 (off July 15)

1st time starters - 8

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Thursday, June 09, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $82,920.

RACE 1
7-MIMIS BIG BOY 65.3
3-MONEY MAKIN MIKE 64.8 (off Oct. 15)
5-FASHIONLY HANDSOM 60.1
2-SILVER CHROME 56.5
4-GOLDRUSHER 55.0

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
6-TAP IT ALL 53.0
3-HOLY MOSEY 48.8 (3 wide)
9-COACH HOUSE GIRL 16.1

1st time starters - 8, 2, 4, 7, 5, 1

RACE 3
4-THANKSGIVING DAY 95.2
1-BROADWAY NIKA 88.1
5-NAHEM 83.2
3-DIVE DOWN 80.2
2-ATASCADERAN 77.2

RACE 4
3-MISS GIFTED 81.3
1-ENTEBBE 78.5
2-SOUND CITY 74.3 (off Aug. 15)
8-DRAGON EYES 71.4
7-OLOTTA SHAKEN 62.5

RACE 5
6-JAN'S SPIRIT 71.4 (off July 15)
8-GIRL DOWNSTAIRS 63.8
5-STIR FRY 61.6
7-HI FEVER 58.5
2-EDGY GIRL 54.0

RACE 6
10-CLEM JUICE 65.9
4-MUDGE 64.3
8-TRAVEL FREE 63.8
2-GOLD JOURNEY 63.2
9-FUNNY GAL 62.2

RACE 7
2-PRIME ISSUE 92.6
4-MATRICULATE 90.0
1-SILVER SPIRIT 79.0
5-START A RUNNIN 78.4
6-DR. GO 69.8

RACE 8
3-CARNIVAL LIGHTS 72.6 (off Nov. 15)
9-DIAL A DATE 68.6
2-STYLISTIC 65.9
10-ANGEL ON POINT 65.4
4-DORIS JOHNSON 64.3
8-LOOKINFORADANGER 61.6

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Wednesday, June 08, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA RACE TRACK TODAY

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, June 07, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,534 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, June 05, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
3-TOOWINDYTOHAULROX 103.8 (off Dec. 15)
1-HUNT 101.1
2-MISS DOUBLE D'ORO 97.1
4-OPSEC 87.5
5-ACT 82.0

RACE 2
2-ZICONIC 89.4
6-GIANT EXPECTATIONS 87.5
3-ARROGATE 82.0 (off slow)
1-BEDEVILED 74.9
5-SALTINI 68.1

RACE 3
2-BISTRO LIGHTS 57.0
1-LITTLE MUSTARD 51.6
5-DONJIISLUCKY 48.8
3-RACING SPIRIT 42.9
6-LUCKY TOMMY 41.1

1st time starters - 4

RACE 4
6-DOODETTA 95.8
2-SHYSHEISNOT 93.9
3-WITH A TWIST 91.9
4-SALSITA 83.8 (off Nov. 15)
5-FRUITY 78.4

RACE 5
2-ASIAN SUN 60.6
7-MY SON JOHN 48.3
1-CHANITO 44.6
4-JASON X L 42.0
3-BLUE RIDGE MTN 34.6

1st time starters - 6

RACE 6
5-GIANT INFLUENCE 85.7
6-SCUDERIA 83.8
9-BLACKJACKCAT 79.7 (3 wide)
2-AIRLITE 70.3
3-GUAPO DIABLO 54.5

1st time starters - 7. 8, 1

RACE 7
10-DUSTIN'S PASSION 75.4
6-CELEBRITY STATUS 70.3
3-BLACK TIE 69.8
1-MISDEED 69.2
8-NORTHERN IOWA 63.2

RACE 8
3-NAVY HYMN 97.1
6-WHO'S OUT 88.8 (off Aug. 15)
4-CLASSICO 76.6
1-ANNIE'S CANDY 72.6 (off Sept. 15)
5-BIG FINISH 59.0 (off Nov. 15)
2-G. A. BETTING 59.0

RACE 9
8-INFINITE MAGIC 87.5
1-SECOND PROPOSAL 86.3
7-PRAY HARD 83.3
4-RANGI 82.0
6-ATTA BOY PETE 81.4
9-EDDIE'S FIRST 77.2 (off Oct. 15)
5-INCLINE VILLAGE 77.2

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Saturday, June 04, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
5-WARREN'S HONEY BEE 54.0
3-WONDEROUS CAT 46.9
4-TURF CLUB QUEEN 45.1
8-PLUS PERFECT 39.0
1-TOOLUCKYSUPERMOON 37.0

RACE 2
2-MR. ROARY 85.0
1-RAL RUE 77.8
8-PAPPOU 77.2
5-LEGAL AUTHORITY 76.6
6-DARK ENERGY 74.9

RACE 3
6-ADAIR 91.9
4-PRINCE VALIANT 90.0
3-BROTHER SOLDIER 83.2
1-BANDIDO TOO 80.2
5-MY OLE BUD 77.2

RACE 4
8-ANGEL LANE 56.5
3-CANDY TALE 48.3 (squeezed at start)
1-U GO GAL 45.5
2-MISS NAPPER TANDY 39.0
5-PAPA'S LADY 33.0 (off slow)

1st time starters - 9, 6

RACE 5
8-GIANT EGO 94.5
2-WILDFIRE KID 87.5
5-COYOTE FLY 86.9
6-NO CONTINGENCY 86.9
4-TOO FAST TO PASS 86.3

RACE 6
1-HEART TO HEART 118.6
3-TOURIST 112.2
2-TWENTYTWENTYVISION 107.9
6-MIDNIGHT STORM 103.8
5-CAPE WOLFE 97.1

RACE 7
2-BEHOLDER 123.8
1-STELLAR WIND 106.6 (off Oct. 15)
4-TARIS 105.2
5-LOST BUS 96.1
7-FINEST CITY 88.2

RACE 8
2-NAT'S NATION 81.4
3-DREAM POLICE 80.3
10-BROKEN UP 80.2
11-SCHILLAIRESS 78.4 (off June 15)
8-ARMORED CAR 77.9

RACE 9
9-WESTFEST 86.3
8-HORSE GREEDY 81.4
10-JAW DROPPER 78.4 (off slow)
1-MUCHO CHROME 71.4
4-MAGIC TASTE 65.9

1st time starters - 2, 5, 7, 3, 6

RACE 10
7-DREAMING OF GOLD 98.4
2-FUSAICHI SAMURAI 98.4
9-STORM COMIN THRU 94.5
1-MISSING GROOM 89.4
5-CARLSBAD MOUNTAIN 88.1

RACE 11
8-HOBBITS HERO 110.7
2-FILM FREAK 91.9
5-JOHN'S SUCCESS 90.7
11-ST. JOE BAY 88.1
1-TRISTAN'S TRILOGY 87.5
14-AWESOME RETURN 83.8
7-TO THE BAR 83.8

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Friday, June 03, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
5-BEDEVILED 74.9
4-ZORISTO 70.3
7-LATEST CRAZE 68.1
3-OSO 66.7
2-SUPER TOUCH 65.3

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
7-CARVILLE 53.5
3-YODELERS WAY 39.4
2-BIC MITCHEM 18.3

1st time starters - 5, 6, 1, 4

RACE 3
4-SPICY BLONDE 84.4
2-HAIL MARY PLAY 64.3
5-PRINCESS KENDRA 62.1
1-DANCING SUNSET 49.7
3-SOONER TIME 46.0

RACE 4
6-CHICAGO ANGEL 62.2
5-SMOOTH TALKER 61.6
7-LAROCCO 61.6
3-VERONICA BAY 55.5
8-AMBERELLA 55.0

RACE 5
6-BIG MOVE 93.2
2-ENTRECHAT 84.4
4-HUNDI 83.8
5-BOAT DRINKS 82.6
9-MYSTERIOUS MIRACLE 78.7

RACE 6
4-LEVELER 73.1
2-C.C. ZIP 70.9 (off Oct. 15)
3-LATINA MO 60.1
6-COMPLIMENTARY 58.0 (4 wide)

1st time starters - 8, 7, 1, 5

RACE 7
1-KAFISTER 101.8
5-GLACKEN TOO 101.1
2-RAISED SECRET 97.8
3-LORD NELSON 95.8 (off Dec. 15)
4-CHERUBIM 95.8

RACE 8
9-MY PALMILLA 100.4
10-SUMMER WINE 91.9
8-RADIANT JOURNEY 85.6 (off Nov. 15)
4-Q' VIVA 82.6
2-SILVER MOJAVE 80.8
7-ALGORHYMIC 76.6

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Thursday, June 02, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA RACE TRACK TODAY

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK.

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Wednesday, June 01, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,527 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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