Thursday, March 31, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
2-ZIM THE MAILMAN 77.2
7-WARREN'S WESLEY 76.0
5-UPBEAT TEMPO 73.7
4-GATO PIMIENTO 67.5
6-DESERT EXPRESS 66.4

RACE 2
3-STIPEND 71.4
4-BRIARTIC GAL 64.8
1-LIRICA HEAT 63.2
6-PRINCESS ASHLYN 62.7 (off Jan. 15)
2-ALLSQUARE 58.5

1st time starters - 9

RACE 3
5-WIFE APPROVED 62.2
2-PRINCESS KENDRA 50.6
9-STARDUST MELODY 50.2
8-JUST A GEM 42.9
4-CHARLIE MY LOVE 42.4

1st time starters - 7

RACE 4
5-EL HUERFANO 92.6
2-TRIBAL JEWEL 89.4
6-WHISKEY TICKET 88.1 (off June 15)
4-GROUND RULES 84.4
3-CONQUEST COBRA 77.6 (off July 15)

RACE 5
3-DOODETTA 90.0
9-VANLOSE STAIRWAY 90.0
7-LITTLE BIT LOVELY 86.3
6-PICA 80.2
5-INTOXICATING MOVE 77.8

RACE 6
7-BLACK TIE'N TALES 77.8
3-ANDROSA SKY 73.1 (off Sept. 15)
6-VISIBILITY 72.0
1-HE WILL 69.6 (off July 15)
8-LOYALIST 68.1

RACE 7
4-PEGGY SUE'S LOOSE 85.6
5-WEST COAST STORM 85.0
2-CHARMING STARLET 82.6
8-LILY KAI 80.2
6-SIDEPOCKET RUN 74.9

RACE 8
7-TURF CLUB QUEEN 54.5
10-DIXIE DAME 51.1 (off May 15)
5-WARREN'S HONEY BEE 46.4
6-LET THE GIRL GO 44.6
8-GYMNAST JADIE 42.0
1-SWEET LU 38.6

1st time starters - 4, 2

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Wednesday, March 30, 2016

 

SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA RACE TRACK TODAY

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, March 29, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,472 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, March 27, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
8-ATTACK 61.6
2-SPIRIT WORLD 59.0
4-ROCK'N HOME 50.6
1-WHAT WE DOING 50.2
6-CARULLI 33.8 (off June 15)

1st time starters - 5 (stumbled, lost jock), 3

RACE 2
5-CLICKJAB 88.1
7-TIZ NO BLUFF 76.6 (off slow)
3-OSO 70.9
2-D DAY DUDE 67.0
4-AWESOME DIAMOND 56.5 (off Sept. 15)

RACE 3
3-ELECTRIFYING 74.3
7-NUSRET 68.6
2-REDNECK CRAZY 62.2
6-GATHERING EVIDENCE 61.6 (3 wide)
4-FRAC CANDY 61.1
1-UNBRIDLED ROCKET 61.1

RACE 4
2-WITH A TWIST 91.3
5-AGUSTINA DE ARAGON 88.8
3-SORESCA 82.6
1-HANDFULL 82.0
4-BELLE ET BETE 76.0

RACE 5
4-CURLIN RULES 82.0
2-OSSETRA 81.4
3-RARE CANDY 77.0
1-BISTRAYA 74.9
6-FAST MUNNY 69.9

RACE 6
2-TOP DRAWER 82.6
4-BROTHER SOLDIER 78.4
1-GAMBLER'S ROLL 76.6
7-RAMBLING HOUSE 74.9 (off July 15)
6-PLAYER'S CHARM 73.7

RACE 7
2-UNCLE CHATO 71.4
3-HEAT 69.8
5-DANO'S DREAM 68.9
8-HE COULD 67.0 (off June 15)
1-CHEAP O CHARLIE 62.1 (off Feb 15)

1st time starters - 6, 7, 9

RACE 8
7-FERVENT FEMME 82.6 (4 wide)
1-EMMZY 80.8
5-LILY 51.6 (3 wide)
6-LISA'S JOY 47.8 (4 wide)
8-LATINA MO 30.4

1st time starters - 4, 2, 3, 9

RACE 9
8-SINGING KITTY 85.7
9-SHEER PLEASURE 80.2
3-SWISSARELLA 80.2
1-KISS AT MIDNIGHT 78.8
4-MELANISTIC 77.2

RACE 10
9-SILVER SUMMER 74.4
6-VOW TO BE TOPS 68.6
3-INSUBORDINATION 66.3
1-PAPA JOEY 61.0 (off slow, 5 wide)
2-CAPTAIN AKERS 50.3
7-NAT'S NATION 46.7

1st time starters - 4, 5

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Saturday, March 26, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $167,771.

RACE 1
1-EDZACTLY 91.9
5-NIGHT BADGER 69.8 (off July 15)
4-THE CUSTODIAN 63.2
2-LAMU 60.6
3-OUTHINK'EM 53.5
7-ITALIAN MIRAGE 53.5

RACE 2
4-STEELY JACK 79.6 (off slow, steadied)
2-GAVIN STREETSENSE 60.6 (off Aug. 15)

1st time starters - 5, 1, 3, 6

RACE 3
6-REVENUE VIRGINIUS 87.5
4-MASTER THE BLUES 76.6
3-SWEET PROFIT 76.0 (off Aug. 15)
1-HENNYTHELOVEPENNY 73.1
5-AVICII 69.8

RACE 4
3-ROCKANTHAROS 65.4
6-CORONADO COOL 51.6
5-FRIED PICKLES 43.8 (off slow)
1-MADERA JUBILEE 34.6
7-RIVERKA 14.5

1st time starters 2, 4

RACE 5
1-HER EMMYNENCY 97.8
6-TUTTIPAESI 97.8
2-NANCY FROM NAIROBI 93.2
5-GLORY 88.8
4-FRESH FELINE 86.3

RACE 6
6-TWOSOME 67.5
5-AREWEHAVINGFUNYET 57.7
7-DEEDS NOT WORDS 50.6
8-TRINITYS TURN 50.6
4-RODEO DRIVE DIVA 48.8

RACE 7
1-Q'VIVA 78.3
4-QUEEN KATE 77.2
3-LETS GET FRISKY 72.0
7-WEST MID 72.0
5-SHE HUMS 70.9

RACE 8
2-KRISTI'S COPILOT 92.5
3-EIGHT SPOKES 87.5
8-THE LAST EXPRESS 83.2
6-TEMPLE KEYS 81.4
9-BENBA 77.2

RACE 9
9-CARLSBAD MOUNTAIN 99.8
8-BATTI MAN 94.5 (off July 15)
6-A COLT FOLLOWING 93.9
3-NOBLE KENT 91.9
7-PROHIBITION 86.3

RACE 10
4-JUSTONEMORETHING 86.3
5-TRIPSKI 85.6
6-TANNERSMYMISCLE 80.2
14-VALENTINE BOY 76.2
8-SIR BARCLAY 75.4

RACE 11
4-LAST RESORT
11-TINDERELLA 65.9
1-MISS INJUSTICE 64.3
6-LOTTIE 61.6
12-GOODLOOKINWIFE 61.6
8-MADAM BELLE 59.6

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Friday, March 25, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SLECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $37,289.

RACE 1
3-ZANBO 85.0
5-SWISS SKIMMER 83.2
4-MC BOOMER 80.2
1-DISSENSION 77.0
2-TOPPERS SUNSHINE 74.3 (off Aug. 15)

RACE 2
1-KAFISTER 100.4
3-RAISED A SECRET 100.4
4-SPIRIT RULES 95.8 (off Aug. 15)
5-YIANNIS 95.2 (off Aug. 15)
2-SOUPER KNIGHT 91.9

RACE 3
6-REAL BIG DEAL 94.5
4-TOUGH IT OUT 80.2
3-ULTIMATE LUCK 78.4
5-PULMARACK 76.4
1-RIGHTEOUS RULER 62.7 (3 wide)

RACE 4
4-UNINVITED 73.1
2-ZICONIC 67.5 (off slow)
6-INHIBITION 66.4
7-DALMORE 65.3
1-FELDINI 46.9

1st time starters - 5

RACE 5
9-ROYAL ALBERT HALL 101.1
5-DREAMING OD GOLD 93.9
2-MALKO 91.9
6-EXCESSIVE KID 86.9
3-TRIFECTA 86.3

RACE 6
10-SPEED SAVER 63.8
11-CALL SAUL 56.5
4-UBETTERECONIZESON 53.5
6-DINNER AT TRANI'S 53.0
7-VIEWFROMTHEPULPIT 49.2

RACE 7
6-AIN'T MISBEHAVIN 87.5
1-MR. CARTAGENA 82.6
8-FOOLHARDY 82.6
7-DEPUTY'S COMMAND 72.8
9-BOOK THIRTY FOUR 67.5

RACE 8
6-I'LL WRAP IT UP 91.3
10-FLY LEXIS FLY 86.3
14-PEPNIC 86.3
7-ZURI CHOP 82.0
9-BASMATI 79.7
3-RANGI 79.0

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Thursday, March 24, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
6-SELECTION 61.1
2-WALKING ON WATER 60.9
8-UNUSUALLY BIG 60.6
3-ANDA 59.0
1-FEYNMAN 58.8

RACE 2
4-HIDE MY HEART 70.9
2-WARRENSDOLLARSIGNS 70.3
6-LAROCCO 61.6
1-PAPASLILPRINCESS 59.0
5-I'M NO PATSY 58.0

RACE 3
5-GEORGIA BLUE 77.6
6-ENTEBBE 76.6
2-FAITHFULLY 75.4
7-CARADINI 70.3
1-DANCING AVA 69.2

RACE 4
2-ALL FOR CHARITY 54.5 (off slow)
1-SLEWS CHARM 33.0
8-FLAMING VIXEN 31.9 (off Sept. 15)
6-GOLDEN LIGHT 24.8 (off slow)

1st time starters - 4, 5, 9, 7, 3

RACE 5
4-DIAMOND CUT 85.0
5-SOCIALIZED 84.4
10-DRESSED TO A T 83.8
6-STYLISH IN BLACK 83.8
2-MARGARET REAY 83.2
8-YAFFE 83.2

1st time starters - 9 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)

RACE 6
6-MALIBU RUM RUN 52.1
9-REDEEMING QUALITY 48.8 (off slow)
3-ESMERALDA BELLE 43.3 (off July 15)
8-BRITE ECHO 34.6
4-SEATTLE SALT 19.4

1st time starters - 10, 1, 2, 5, 7

RACE 7
9-WARDEN OF THE WEST 80.8
2-=SECRET ROOM 74.9
4-TOUGH BUT NICE 74.6
1-AFLEET DOMINATION 71.4
8-TWO THE PUNCH 69.8

RACE 8
9-BIG DISCOVERY 86.4
1-ARMORED CAR 83.8
5-MOSTINTERESTINGMAN 74.3 (off slow)
12-RUN THE SHOW 74.3
10-TIZZING 69.3
4-SPECIMEN 67.6

1st time starters - 3

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Wednesday, March 23, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA RACE TRACK TODAY

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathematical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, March 22, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,466 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, March 20, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $90,668.

RACE 1
5-STORMIN TRICK 67.00 (off July 15)
3-BISTRO LIGHTS 57.5
6-WHAT WE DOING 45.1
7-CAPE ROYAL 37.8
8-SANCY 31.1

1st time starters - 4, 1

RACE 2
8-WONDERING WAYS 54.0
10-THE SILENT ONE 51.6
9-STAR EXPRESS 50.6
7-DEFIANT ONE 46.0
4-TOUGH EMBLEM 40.3

RACE 3
3-FANTASTIC STYLE 105.9(off July 15)
4-BEN'S DUCHESSS 105.9
6-CADET RONI 90.1
5-AMARANTH 88.8
2-SENSITIVELY 88.1

RACE 4
8-GUST 70.6
5-AMBER LOUISE 67.5
6-NEWCOMB 64.3
11-AUDACIOUS ANGEL 59.0
1-PROUD 'N' READY

1st time starters - 4, 9, 10

RACE 5
7-SEEKING THE SHERIF 103.1
4-AIRFOIL 93.9
8-PAPA TURF 90.7
2-CHIEF LION 88.1
5-STORY TO TELL 86.3

RACE 6
3-BOOZER 102.5
12-TRIBAL TRIBUTE 102.5
5-PERFECTLY MAJESTIC 98.4
8-ALFA BIRD 95.7
7-LITTLE CURLIN 94.5

1st time starters - 1 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)

RACE 7
4-FASHIONLY HANDSOME 69.2
6-LATEST CRAZE 68.1
8-OPPORTUNISTIC 68.1
1-PETE'S PLAY CALL 66.4
5-TRINITAS SOLDIER 64.3

RACE 8
5-DENMAN'S CALL 99.8
3-IRON ROB 93.2
6-TOEWS ON ICE 91.9
1-MT VEEDER 83.2 (off Sept. 15)
4-BOLDLY TRUE 73.7

RACE 9
4-FISHEL 92.6
7-BROKEN UP 86.9
3-AREN VAUGHN 83.1
6-WOODY'S FOLLY 82.0
8-VILLAGE KITTEN 81.4
1-LARRY BIRDSTONE 80.8

1st time starters - 9 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)

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Saturday, March 19, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
4-ALPINE LUCK 89.4
6-NO CONTINGENCY 89.4
7-GIANT EAGO 84.4
2-HADFUNLASTNIGHT 83.8
3-TIZ JOLIE 77.2

RACE 2
5-VELVERT MESQUITE 102.5
4-QIAONA 92.6
2-NITE DELITE 90.0
1-DEMONICA 84.4
3-SMOOVE IT 80.8

RACE 3
13-STIR FRY 60.6 (3 wide)
12-SUNSHINE LAURIE 46.0
2-EDGY GIRL 42.4
3-DANCING SUNSET 29.3
11-NAKOMA 28.6 (4 wide)

1st time starters - 1, 10, 7

RACE 4
1-SECOND SUMMER 95.2
8-IANCOL 90.0
6-FUSAICHI SAMURAI 88.9
7-CAPTAIN TIM 84.4
2-J SERINO 83.2

RACE 5
11-COOL GREEN 95.8
13-INDYGO HOLIDAY 85.8
6-HEAT 74.9
3-COUNTRY ROAD 67.0
5-QUE CHISTOSO 67.0

1st time starters - 10

RACE 6
5-PRINCESS KINDRA 55.5
13-LADY'S DISCRETION 45.1
10-JUST A GEM 44.6
7-APRIL FOOLS 42.9
6-LIL JESSICA 42.9

1st time starters - 9, 2, 8, 1, 14, 11

RACE 7
6-CACICA DULIMA 69.8 (off Feb. 15)
8-ALYESKA 64.8
10-SECRET CHORDS 64.3
5-APARRI 63.0
4-ZEEKID 61.1

RACE 8
6-STORMY LIBERAL 100.4
1-CHIPS ALL IN 97.1
8-HUNT 96.5
9-HAWKEDON 94.5
3-K THIRTY EIGHT 93.2

RACE 9
2-TARA'S TANGO 101.8
7-TARIS 99.8
3-PENWITH 95.8
1-LIVING THE LIFE 91.9
5-MOYO HONEY 84.4

RACE 10
2-READY TO HULA LULA 53.5
8-WATCH ME NOW 50.2 (off slow, 5 wide)
4-MANHATTAN FASHION 36.2

1st time starters - 7, 10, 5, 11, 3, 6, 1

RACE 11
11-TATTENHAM 89.4
4-SMALL TOWN COP 88.8
12-BUYMEABOND 88.8
1-ROYAL BANKER 88.1
7-IT IS LIVING WATER 86.3
2-TE RAPA 86.3


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Friday, March 18, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
1-LA BOHEME 93.2 (of slow)
2-RUE DE CRY 81.4
7-SHEZROXIIE 74.4
4-LOOKINFORADANGER 62.7
6-EXUBERANTE 61.6

1st time starters - 3

RACE 2
1-SUGAR SPICE 80.8
4-LEXIE ARLEEN 72.0
2-FAST MAGOO 69.2
6-FUNNY GAL 66.4
3-OLEANDERPOLARBEAR 53.0

RACE 3
1-TANNERSMYMUSCLE 82.6
5-AIN'T NO OTHER 78.9
6-MOONLIGHT MEETING 68.6
2-MR. ITKINS 63.8
3-I B MIKE 62.7

RACE 4
9-RIGHT THERE 81.6
6-SHEEZA MILKY WAY 76.0
2-WISHFUL WINKING 72.6
5-GONE TO BALI 70.9
3-FOURTH WATCH 65.3

RACE 5
8-LEGITIMATE 70.3
9-MICHIEVOUS BULL 62.2
11-GRAMSSON 59.0 (steadied)
2-ERIC THE TROJAN 56.5
6-IRISH 54.5

1st time starters - 4, 3, 10, 5

RACE 6
3-TREASURING 78.4
2-BELLAMENTARY 78.4
6-OK DOLL 78.4
4-INSTANT DRAMA 62.2
1-PRINCESS KATIE 59.6

1st time starters - 8 (had a 4 1/2f. race at Gulfstream Park, won)

RACE 7
7-DREAMOLOGIST 93.2
4-MY YEAR IS A DAY 86.9
9-MISS GIFTED 85.6
2-KOOL KAT 84.4
5-MISS DOUBLE D'ORO 83.8

RACE 8
6-CRUSHIN CANDY 68.1
4-MR. CONGRATS 55.0 (off slow)
10-CALVERT STREET 48.3
11-DISCREETLYHUMORNE 44.2
8-MR. STONER 34.2
9-REMEMBER CLEMENT 33.8

1st time starters - 5, 1

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Thursday, March 17, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $548,671.

RACE 1
4-START A RUNNIN 76.4
6-TWIRLING TIGER 73.1
9-ET TOI 65.4
1-BULLY PULPIT 57.0
7-NICARDALIC ROCKS 56.5

RACE 2
1-KNOCK EM FLAT 74.3
4-LUCKBOX SAM 72.6
6-MALTES 70.0
2-SAINT DERMOT 64.3
5-OUT OF PATIENCE 61.6

RACE 3
1-OH GREAT IDEA 58.5 (off Sept. 15)
3-FOXY FRESH 38.2
2-PAM'S JOY 36.2 (bumped at start, 3 wide)
4-NOBLE PERFECTION 21.9

1st time starters - 6, 5

RACE 4
7-ALGORHYTHMIC 80.8
6=-LUCY DE 76.0
9-STYLISTIC 67.5
4-DORIS JOHNSON 64.8 (off March 15)
2-LIRICA HEAT 60.6

RACE 5
6-ALMOST REALITY 80.8
2-TAKE IT EASYPLEASE 72.8
3-STOLE A KISS 69.9
7-CHEEKABOO 59.7
1-JUST GET LUCKY 58.8

RACE 6
6-SHINY NUGGET 69.2
2-REDNECK CRAZY 56.0
5-MEDIA MELEE 54.0
8-GREYSON AND JOHN 49.7
3-CHRIS AND DAVE 45.1

RACE 7
3-BIG MOVE 85.6
6-MADAME MOUSSE 82.6
1-WARRENSCRYSTALIZED 76.0
4-MISS LOUJEAN 75.6
7-MOONIE 72.6

RACE 8
3-TURF CLUB QUEEN 54.5
7-MAID EASY 50.2
4-OUR CANDY CHARMS 49.6
9-LIZZY'S TIZZY 39.9
8-MISS NAPPER TANDY 35.9
5-RACING HOPE 31.1

1st time starters - 1, 10

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Wednesday, March 16, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ABOUT MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA RACE TRACK TODAY

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, March 15, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,460 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, March 13, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA -FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $166,119.

RACE 1
2-SON OF A ROYAL 68.1
3-PLAIN WRAP 67.0 (4 wide)
5-JAZZIE CAT 67.0 (off March 15)
6-RIVER HOSS 53.0
7-PHANTOM HEAT 36.2

1st time starters - 4

RACE 2
9-BACK STREET CAT 56.5
4-WARREN'S HONEY BEE 54.5
7-LET THE GIRL GO 52.1 (off Aug. 15)
8-WARREN'S SUPER CAT 52.1 (of Sept. 14)
1-SEATALPHA 41.1

1st time starters -6, 2

RACE 3
1-DRESSED IN HERMES 90.0
4-MARQULA 87.5
2-IT'S THE ICE 77.8
3-MR. ROARY 71.4
5-SORRYABOUTNOTHING 69.2

RACE 4
9-WARREN'S WESLEY 76.6
4-WHERE'S BUBBA 71.4
5-THE CUSTODIAN 66.4
3-KEEGERS 63.2
7-GAMBLER'S ROLL 61.1

RACE 5
4-WILD AT HEART 89.4 (off April 15)
3-ALWAZABRIDESMAID 79.0
6-CONQUEST FLATTERME 77.8
5-JENNA'S FAITH 77.7
7-BLUSHING ANGEL 75.4

RACE 6
2-MY SECRET AFFAIR 96.5
8-DOOR'S OPEN 87.5
3-OLIGARCH 84.4
7-APOLLO TEN 82.0
6-DISTINCTIVE B 77.2

RACE 7
7-INEXCESS TIME 80.8
6-MY OLE BUD 70.9
3-WRIGHTWOOD 65.4
1-KENJIISLUCKY 65.4
2-PROUD CAPTIVE 62.7

RACE 8
11-BIG JOHN B 106.6
2-QUICK CASABLANCA 101.1
1-SOUTHERN FREEDOM 99.8
3-POWER FOOT 95.8
4-GOING SOMEWHERE 95.2

RACE 9
9-MOUNTAIN HERO 57.0
7-NAVY HYMN 56.5 (off Aug. 15)
11-GONE WITH IT 55.0
14-CALVERT STREET 54.0
10-BULLISH ON STEVE 41.6
2-BLUE RIDGE MTN 41.1

1st time starters - 1, 4, 6, 12

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Saturday, March 12, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
2-SHH SHE'S OURS 75.3
3-SWEETER THANCANDY 73.7
1-WEST MID 73.1
7-MISS BLISS 73.1
6-PASCHALISTA 63.2

RACE 2
9-SO SWEETITTIZ 96.5
8-VANLOSE STAIRWAY 94.5
2-QUEENOFTHEPALACE 90.7
11-REVENUE VIRGINIUS 88.1
6-PEARL DE VERE 88.1

RACE 3
8-BAYONET 73.4
6-ABETS ABET 71.7
5-DESERT MADAM 67.0
9-MIDNIGHT LADY 66.3
10-INDIVIDUAL DESIGN 65.7

RACE 4
5-CRIMSON AND GOLD 70.3 (bumped)
8-RIZZI'S HONORS 66.4
1-ANGEL LANE 64.3
10-SMART WIN 58.5
9-REALLY A GEM 58.5

1st time starters - 2, 4, 3

RACE 5
6-MUCHO CHROME 76.0
12-GIANT EXPECTATIONS 67.0 (off slow)
13-HANDFUL OF STRIPES 51.5 (off Aug. 15)
7-SEVENTH SENSE 49.7 (4 wide)
10-THE NATURAL (3 wide)

1st time starters - 14, 9, 11, 1, 8, 2, 5

RACE 6
4-BOLO 118.6
6-MIDNIGHT STORM 112.9
3-BAL A BALI 110.7
1-OM 110.7
2-WHAT A VIEW 110.0

1st time starters - 7 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)

RACE 7
3-MOR SPIRIT 105.2
2-DANZING CANDY 101.1
7-EXAGGERATOR 99.8
1-UNCLE LINO 96.4
5-I WILL SCORE 94.5

RACE 8
7-BEACH PATROL 76.6
14-PRINCE OF ARABIA 75.9
12-DECISIVE TRIUMPH 75.4
9-TRISTAN'S TRILOGY 65.9
11-SIXES 64.8 (3 wide)

1st time starters - 6, 3

RACE 9
8-KOBE'S BACK 111.4
3-WILD DUDE 110.0
4-SAN ONOFRE 103.1
5-CAUTIOUS GIANT 100.4
1-CALCULATOR 99.8
6-MYSTERY TRAIN 99.8

RACE 10
5-EFFINEX 123.8
8-IMPERATIVE 115.0
3-DONWORTH 112.9
4-GENERAL A ROD 104.3
7-HARD ACES 103.8

RACE 11
9-PACIFIC HEAT 91.9
5-KISS N SCAT 83.8
1-LADY VALEUR 80.8
7-NODIAC 76.4
11-MIRAGE 75.4
4-DECKED OUT 75.2

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Friday, March 11, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
4-MISSY MOUSE 70.3
3-FILLY ON FIRE 68.6
5-SHE HUMS 65.4
6-AMBERELLA 63.2
1-SHAKEITUPBETTY 60.1

RACE 2
4-DOODETTA 90.0
5-DISSENSION 80.8
9-SILVER MOJAVE 80.8
2-Q'VIVA 80.2
3-INTOXICATING MOVE 73.7

RACE 3
3-LOST BUS 93.9
4-DANCINTHENIGHTAWAY 83.2
5-PICA 79.0
1-STEALTH DRONE 78.4
6-BIG BREAK 76.6

RACE 4
3-LADY'S DISCRETION 45.1
6-SHORT MEMORIES 40.3
1-EVENING AGAIN 31.1
7-TINDERETTE 20.3
5-TRULY YOURS 15.5

1st time starters - 8, 2, 4

RACE 5
4-SYNDICATED 76.0
9-JOHNS JOURNEY 72.6
1-TRELAWNY 68.6
7-SCIATICA 65.9
5-CLOSE TO THE EDGE 54.5

RACE 6
9-FREEMARK 68.6
10-ERIC THE TROJAN 60.5
13-GRAMSSON 59.0 (steadied)
6-JAMIE SAID NO 43.6 (off June 15)
14-THE TOPESTER 37.4

1st time starters - 1, 4, 7, 5, 8

RACE 7
12-SUGAR SPICE 78.4
3-WARRENSDOLLARSIGNS 72.0
11-FUNNY GAL 67.5
8-CLEM JUICE 66.4
2-FAST MAGOO 65.9

RACE 8
5-DENMAN'S CALL 99.8
3-TOEWS ON ICE 93.9
4-MT VEEDER 77.2 (off Sept. 15)
6-HE'S A TIGER 72.0
2-BOLDLY TRUE 68.6

RACE 9
6-EASY GOING EVENING 28.9
7-B K MISS 28.9
8-NAKOMA 28.6 (4 wide)
5-LATINA MO 26.8 (4 wide)
1-LETMETAKEASELFIE 18.0

1st time starters - 2, 3, 9, 4

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Thursday, March 10, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
9-RARE INTEGRITY 59.0
1-STARLITE STYLE 58.5 (steadied)
2-LYNNE'S LEGACY 53.5
5-HACKTIVISM 53.5
6-LETHAL LEGACY 44.6

1st time starters - 3

RACE 2
5-WALKING ON WATER 67.0
4-DEEP CONSIDERATION 55.5
3-TOSSIN BULLETS 54.5
2-DIABLO CABALLERO 54.5
1-WHAT WE DOING 44.6

RACE 3
6-REGAL LADY 61.1
2-ART OF WAR 56.0
4-LOB CITY 56.0
1-RODEO DRIVE DIVA 51.1
3-COMEALONGWITHME 47.8

RACE 4
4-MISS GIFTED 83.2
7-NAZARETH 76.0
2-AUDRA 72.6
1-JENNYWAY U WANT IT 68.6
10-TAKE BACK SPRING 67.0

RACE 5
6-MR. CARTAGENA 81.4
2-ROB'S PAL 79.6
7-RAINBOW NORTH 77.6
5-DERBY GLASS 76.0
1-ULTIMATE LUCK 72.2

RACE 6
4-DYLAN WARD 89.4
7-GRAZEN SKY 88.1
6-DOYOUKNOWSOMETHING 85.0
2-ACTION HERO 83.8
1-TALE OF LIFE 78.2

RACE 7
10-JOURNEY ON 91.9
1-ILLUMINANT 90.0
4-CHATI'S ON TOP 90.0
2-TIZ A KISS 89.4
6-SCREAMING SKYLAR 87.5

RACE 8
5-HAIL MARY PLAY 54.5
9-JOVIAL JEWEL 53.5
6-ONE BYE TWO 51.6
2-HEED TO SPEED 47.4
8-FEELING TALKATIVE 44.2
10-STREET GODDESS 43.3

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Wednesday, March 09, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA RACE TRACK TODAY

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, March 08, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA PARK TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,454 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, March 06, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
1-ATTA BOY PETE 92.0
4-W. GILES 91.3
6-ALPINE LUCK 88.8
5-JUSTONEMORETHING 85.0
2-I BUY GOLD 73.7

RACE 2
1-MR. SEXY 98.4
7-INFINATE MAGIC 92.6
9-I'LL WRAP IT UP 91.3
4-EDZACTLY 90.7
11-KARMA KING 87.5

RACE 3
4-TOLEDO EDDIE 100.4
3-PERFECT SET 93.2
2-TRIBAL JEWEL 91.9
7-PROHIBITION 85.6
6-ROMAN TIZZY 83.8

RACE 4
5-KEEPING THE FAITH 62.7
1-CEE THE PREACHER 53.0
2-CAPTAIN AKERS 49.2
7-GRAND COMMAND 42.9
8-HAWKEYE PRIDE 28.6 (off slow)

1st time starters - 4, 6, 9, 3

RACE 5
2-JUST KIDDING 100.4
1-LIEUTENANT COLONEL 99.8
3-IKE WALKER 96.5
7-EL HUERFANO 92.6
8-SOI PHET 89.4

RACE 6
9-HOFFENHEIM 90.0
5-INHIBITION 84.4
6-TROJAN NATION 74.3
3-FELDINI 64.3
4-JES JAA 59.6

1st time starters - 1

RACE 7
9-SO ELITE 77.2
3-CAN'T DO THE DANSE 74.9
10-WINGS OF MOJAVE 74.9
8-BEING THERE 73.7
6-CELEBRITY STATUS 72.6

RACE 8
5-LATER MY LOVE 81.4 (off Aug. 15)
2-SKYE DIAMONDS 69.8
3-STAR OF MUNSTER 67.5
4-SHY CARMELITA 67.0 (4 wide)
11-DRAGON FLOWER 67.0

RACE 9
2-CHEAP O CHARLIE 58.5 (off Feb. 15)
8-GOT TOBE AWESOME 46.9
3-BLIX CURVE 40.3
7-MULTIPLE SUNS 26.8

1st time starters - 5, 6, 1, 4, 9

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Saturday, March 05, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.










RACE 1
10-KETOS 79.7
8-HEAT 78.4
3-TRUE IMAGE 77.2
9-TIZZING 74.3
5-SILVER SUMMER 73.1

1st time starters - 4, 6, 2

RACE 2
9-BROTHER SOLDIER 82.0
5-TOP DRAWER 81.4 (off Sept. 15)
8-LONDON LEGACY 77.8
2-SYNDICATED 77.2
6-PLAYER'S CHARM 76.6

RACE 3
1-IT'S JUST BOB 56.5
6-TIMBER KING 50.6
2-HOOSIER ROAD 49.2 (off slow)
5-FANS ON THE RUN 46.9 (4 wide)
3-STARDUST MOON 37.1

1st time starters - 4, 7, 8

RACE 4
7-SHE'S A WARRIOR 81.0
9-QUEEN SCHEHERAZADE 69.0
12-AWARD IT 66.4
13-TINDERELLA 65.9
1-QUIGLEY'S CORNER 57.6
11-THATS A LADY 57.0

1st time starters - 8

RACE 5
6-SONGBIRD 105.2
1-MY DYNAMO 83.2
2-LAND OVER SEA 82.0
3-STREET FANCY 80.2
9-NOT NOW CAROLYN 79.0

RACE 6
1-TWO TAPS 84.4
10-SWISSARELLA 81.4
3-SAVANNAH SKY 80.8
2-GRACIE RAGAZZA 79.6
4-TOOMANYTOMATOES 77.8

RACE 7
7-ROYAL ALBERT HALL 99.1
3-DREAMING OF GOLD 93.2
11-JOHN'S SUCCESS 90.0
9-ITSINTHEPOST 90.0
2-EXCESSIVE KID 86.9 (off April 14)

1st time starters - 6 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 8
8-SEATTLE SERENADE 98.4
7-SOLID WAGER 98.4
12-AMERICAN PRIDE 97.1
2-AVANTI BELLO 96.5
9-SOUPER KNIGHT 90.7

RACE 9
8-LUCKY SHOES TO WIN 80.8
4-ZIM N THE MAILMAN 75.4
10-UPBEAT TEMPO 72.6
9-LADIES MAN 72.0
6-BOOK THIRTY FOUR 69.2
3-DA JENIUS 68.6


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Friday, March 04, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $40,304.

RACE 1
2-HOBBITS HERO 91.3
3-GLOBAL MAGICIAN 88.8
4-HUSBAND'S FOLLY 86.3
6-TALE OF A CHAMPION 80.2
8-COMES THE DREAM 76.6

RACE 2
4-UPTOWN RYTHEM 78.4
3-PRINCE VALIANT 76.6
6-ANTHONYSGOTGAME 73.1
5-KRONWALL 67.5
1-BLUE LAW 63.8

RACE 3
2-RYDERROO 63.2
1-LOB CITY 60.6
5-WARREN'S PURRFECT 59.0
6-SHESWILDNFREE 56.5
7-S'MORE FUNNY FEVER 48.3

RACE 4
4-SPOT SPECIAL 71.6
5-APPEALING LADY 65.9
6-CUDDLE ALERT 58.5
3-HAYYOUWAITFORME 48.8
1-SO GOLDEN 48.0

RACE 5
7-DIVE DOWN 84.6
4-COASTAL BREEZE 83.2
2-PEPNIC 82.5
6-ROCKIN ROBIN 79.0
8-BACK TO BAKO 77.2

RACE 6
5-HUNTED GUY 86.3
9-ONE MORE ROLL 86.3
7-GUTSY RULER 82.0
8-NARDO 79.0
2-MATRICULATE 67.5

RACE 7
1-CHOCOLATIER 97.8
6-CHAULK O LATTEY 97.1
2-NANCY FROM NAIROBI 94.5
7-GLORY 93.9
4-HIJARA 91.3

RACE 8
2-UNBRIDLED ROCKET 49.2
1-LITTLE MUSTARD 46.9
3-MESA VIEW 46.4
9-LUCKY PROSPECTOR 39.4
8-OH MERCY ME 35.0 (off July 15)
7-AWESOME JOURNEY 25.4 (off slow)

1st time starters - 6, 4, 5

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Thursday, March 03, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
1-EXACTAMENTE 58.2
5-PICO CHICK 56.1
2-KELLIANNE CAN CAN 54.0
3-OCTOFY 50.6
4-CHALKING IT UP 49.2

RACE 2
3-BIG DISCOVERY 78.4
4-RADIO SILENT 77.2
5-PRINCE OF PRAGUE 71.0
1-ARMORED CAR 70.3
2-RUN THE SHOW 69.2

RACE 3
5-ICONA 46.9
4-MAJESTIC FANTASY 46.6
7-GOLDRUSHCAT 41.4
3-JUST A GEM 34.2
6-CHARLIE MY LOVE 33.0

1st time starters - 1

RACE 4
5-FOOLHARDY 82.0
6-LUCKBOXX SAM 79.6
4-OUT OF PATIENCE 77.0
2-GREELY AWESOME 69.8
7-THANKSGIVING DAY 69.8

RACE 5
4-BOAT DRINKS 81.4
1-DIAL A DATE 77.8
9-LOOKINFORADANGER 68.6
8-MYSTERIOUS MIRACLE 67.5
6-SILVER STARLIGHT 66.7 (off Jan. 15)

1st time starters - 3

RACE 6
8-MAKENA 86.9
9-FAITHFULLY 73.1
6-CARADINI 71.4
5-CANDY GENOVESA 67.5
1-BLACKGLAMA 64.3

RACE 7
4-CHINA GIRL LOVER 101.1
1-OPSEC 97.1
6-PROCUREMENT 96.5
7-TATTENHAM 95.8
5-BACCELO 92.6

RACE 8
12-DEEDSNOT WORDS 53.0
9-CORDIALITY 51.6
6-EDGY GIRL 50.2
11-ZIRA GOLD 49.2
10-TRINITYS TURN 45.1
1-FAMILY FOREVER 39.44
3-BLAZINBLAIRSDEN 35.8

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Wednesday, March 02, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA RACE TRACK TODAY

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK


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Tuesday, March 01, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA PARK TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,448 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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