Sunday, January 31, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
11-CAN CAN BABE 86.9
1-MCBOOMER 78.4
5-KADESHA 76.6
8-BELLE ET BETE 76.0
2-WEST COAST STORM 75.4
9-MARGIE'S MINUTE 75.4

RACE 2
4-ULTRA SHARP 69.9
3-RUN THE SHOW 68.7
1-RADIO SILENT 68.6
6-ARMORED CAR 68.6
2-UNUSUALLY BIG 59.6

RACE 3
4-REALLY A GEM 53.5
7-LADY CLOUD 51.1 (off June 15)
1-ANGEL LANE 43.3
3-CANDY BOSS 33.4

1st time starters - 6, 2, 5

RACE 4
4-AMBERELLA 70.9
3-IPRAY 64.5
7-EASTER FEVER 55.5
2-WILDY EXCESSIVE 53.5
6-MUDGE 52.1

RACE 5
4-MOANIN 91.9
13-CADET RONI 89.4
9-MINKS APRISE 86.3
8-MISS DOUBLE D'ORO 83.8
2-KOOL KAT 83.8

RACE 6
8-BLAZEINBLAIRSDEN 36.2
5-BLACK CLOVER 32.3
4-LADY WEDGE 30.4
6-B K MISS 23.8
7-HOW U BEAN 18.9

1st time starters - 1

RACE 7
4-EIGHTY THREE 102.5
3-KAFISTER 97.8
5-PAPA TURF 94.5
6-AMERICAN PRIDE 94.5
8-CHIEF LION 92.6

RACE 8
1-HUSBAND'S FOLLY 94.5
10-STORM COMIN THRU 88.1
7-SIZZLIN' JOE 86.3
13-MAHOGANY RUN 82.6
4-ROYALIST 82.0

RACE 9
12-GNARLY DUDE 86.9
6-I BUY GOLD 80.8
8-SIR BARCLAY 79.6
11-SO ELITE 77.8
3-EL NONO TERRIBLE 65.4
2-BRASS PLATE 61.1

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Saturday, January 30, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $176,971.

RACE 1
1-OUT OFTHE ORDINARY 72.0
5-HERES GEEGEES GIRL 66.8
8-AMITIE POUR LA VIE 65.4
2-STIPEND 62.7
6-MADAME MOUSSE 59.6

1st time starters - 7

RACE 2
7-LAKIA 73.7
4-ZUZU'S PETALS 71.4
3-JUST GOT LUCKY 69.8
5-WEST MID 68.1
6-PARASAIL 65.4

RACE 3
8-CASINO FEVER 44.2
2-HERUNBRIDLEDPOWER 42.4
6-BISHOPS OF COMPTON 41.1
4-LUCKY CHERRY 40.7
1-TOP NOTCH 39.0

1st time starters - 5

RACE 4
1-JUST GOOGLE ME 72.0
5-ROO'S VALENTINE 69.5
2-PATRIOTIC DIAMOND 65.6
7-PACIFIC HEAT 61.5
3-HURRICAINE CALLIE 59.6

RACE 5
2-SMOKEY IMAGE 85.0
5-GLORY BOUND 78.4
1-TOUGH IT OUT 71.4
6-XINGONTOTHEBONE 71.4
7-LOYALIST 64.8

RACE 6
1-SAN ONOFRE 112.2
7-PAY THE FINE 95.2
6-SUNDAY RULES 93.9
5-RAISED A SECRET 92.6
2-SOLID WAGER 91.9

RACE 7
3-SMOOVE IT 97.8
8-SINGING KITTY 97.8
11-QIAONA 95.8
7-VELVET MESQUITE 92.6
4-CHATI'S ON TOP 92.6

RACE 8
9-PRAY HARD 89.4
5-CITY STATE 86.3
2-JONNY'S CHOICE 84.4
1-W. GILES 80.8
6-ONE MORE ROLL 79.0

RACE 9
5-ALERT BAY 112.9
10-POSHSKY 105.9
2-G. G. RYDER 105.9
7-WHAT A VIEW 103.8
11-BOOZER 103.1

RACE 10
8-WHO SAID LUCKY 58.0
7-DESPERATE CHICK 55.5
4-DANCING SUNSET 45.5
2-MALIBU RUM RUN 27.2 (3 wide)

1st time starters - 10, 6, 9, 5, 1, 3


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Friday, January 29, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $32,553.

RACE 1
5-NOBLE KENT 85.0
4-CARLSBAD MOUNTAIN 84.4
2-YOU KNOW I KNOW 81.4
3-MUCHOS BESOS 74.3
1-KNOCK EM FLAT 73.1

RACE 2
3-DIRT IN YOUR FACE 64.8
2-SPIRIT WORLD 62.2
6-UPBEAT TEMPO 60.6
1-WHAT WE DOING 43.3
4-TOMMY WEAVER 37.4 (off Dec. 14)

RACE 3
3-EDZACTLY 91.9
1-HILL FOUR ELEVEN 90.7
4-POYTHRESS 83.8
2-DYNAMITE RIDE 78.4
6-VISIBILITY 70.3

RACE 4
6-BOSSERETTE 65.9
7-ALTAIRA 64.3
2-CARRICK BAY 59.8
3-LUVURYAN 59.0
8-UNUSUAL STORM 58.0
5-KELBAKER 58.0

RACE 5
7-MIZ GRAYCEE 75.9
2-MISS STAR MAKER 75.3
8-BLONDY'S REWARD 71.4
5-SO GOLDEN 68.6
6-HOUSEMAKER 66.4

RACE 6
4-SKYE DIAMONDS 65.9
1-TEE EM EYE 60.6 (4 wide)
2-RECKLESS CHARM 60.1
5-DRAGON FLOWER 58.5
6-BE A LADY 58.0

RACE 7
2-SILVER MOJAVE 77.8
3-WARRENSCRYSTALIZED 76.0
1-Q' VIVA 73.7
4-MOONIE 71.4
5-WARRENS GOLDNUGGET 70.3

RACE 8
2-I'M NOT BULLISH 54.0
8-MOUNTAIN HERO 54.0
3-SAMMY WONDER STONE 49.7
1-TWO TEN 46.4
4-ALAMO PINTADO 36.2

1st time starters - 6, 5, 7, 9

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Thursday, January 28, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
5-WILLIAM CROTTY 62.7
2-TIMBER KING 48.3

1st time starters - 1, 3, 4, 6, 7

RACE 2
7-GARNET 67.0
6-AUDACIOUS ANGEL 63.8
4-SHE HAS CHARM 54.0 (off slow)
2-FAITHFULLY 50.6 (off slow)
5-NOT NOW CAROLYN 40.3

RACE 3
4-LEXIE ARLEEN 74.3
8-FAST MAGOO 69.2
5-ALOHA KE AKUA 63.2
6-TEASING MOMENT 62.7
2-FUNNY GAL 61.1

RACE 4
12-BOAT DRINKS 82.6
13-DIAL A DATE 77.8
10-OUR FIRST GIRL 71.4
6-SWEET AVA JANE 68.6
7-ZIP N BAYOU 68.1
3-EVERLOVIN WOMAN 65.9

RACE 5
4-MOTOWN MEN 93.2
6-A COLT FOLLOWING 87.5
7-DERBY GLASS 83.8
8-FANCY SHOES 81.4
5-ROMAN TIZZY 77.8

RACE 6
4-MOMENTS NOTIZ 96.5
9-GIANT EGO 92.7
6-BASMATI 90.7
1-PRAY HARD 87.5
3-DOOR'S OPEN 82.6

RACE 7
6-MARGARET REAY 89.4
3-TIZ A CLASSY LASS 86.3
11-CAN CAN BABE 84.4
4-GIFT OF A STAR 83.2
2-SOCIALIZED 79.6

1st time starters - 8 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)

RACE 8
3-MISS BLUE 71.4
11-SWEETER THANCANDY 61.1
10-LINDY HOPPIN 53.0
4-ROCKPORT DANCER 46.4
7-BOLT UP 42.9
6-SHESWILDNFREE 41.6

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Wednesday, January 27, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA RACE TRACK TODAY

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, January 26, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA PARK TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,418 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, January 24, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
4-TWO THE PUNCH 65.9
5-JES JAA 56.5
6-UNAPOLOGETIC 56.0
7-UBETTERECONIZESON 45.5 (off slow)
2-WASHINGTON ROAD 45.2

RACE 2
4-GOLDRUSHCAT 37.8
8-FEELING TALKATIVE 37.8
5-OLOTTA SHAKEN 36.6
6-LUCKY CHERRY 33.0
3-STARDUST MELODY 28.2

1st time starters - 1, 7

RACE 3
1-CORONADO COOL 55.5
4-GHOSTLY 52.1
5-EVERQUEEN 48.3

1st time starters - 6, 7, 3, 2

RACE 4
9-DANZING CANDY 90.8
1-ARABIAN LEOPARD 78.3
2-TUSK 70.9
4-MISHEGAS 70.9
5-IMPERIOUS ONE 70.3

1st time starters - 3 (in U.S.A.-fgn.)

RACE 5
4-ALL STAR BUB 82.0
1-SHOW STEALER 81.4
5-ACHIEVER'S LEGACY 77.2
3-BACKINTHEACADEMY 75.4
2-DIVINA COMEDIA 73.4

RACE 6
4-HOFFENHEIM 86.9
5-BISTRAYA 77.0
2-ERIC THE TROJAN 60.9
3-PRINCE OF ARABIA 57.2
10-COACH Q 56.0

RACE 7
8-HOME RUN KITTEN 105.9
7-COASTLINE 98.4
4-COUNTY LINEMAN 98.4
1-ROCKET HEAT 96.5
10-BENCH WARRANT 94.5

1st time starters - 3 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 8
6-DIXIE SPICE 58.5
7-STAR OF MUNSTER 56.5
3-RED STICH 52.6
5-EXACTAMENTE 51.6
4-YODELSONG 51.6

RACE 9
7-MISS GIFTED 83.2
13-RIDE THE WORLD 76.0
10-INTOXICATING MOVE 73.7
8-ON GOLDEN PAWN 73.1
2-WARREN'S TRICIA R. 67.8
3-SISTER OF MERCY 67.5

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Saturday, January 23, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $307,069.

RACE 1
4-GIANT EGO 94.5
1-SWEET DADDY 90.0
13-I'LL WRAP IT UP 88.1
8-TRIPSKI 86.9
3-MR. SEXY 85.6

RACE 2
7-BLUE LAW 79.0
5-CAPTAIN CARCHY 64.8
2-TRAVEL BOUND 63.8
3-WHERE'S BUBBA 55.5
1-FEYNMAN 48.3

RACE 3
10-ROLO TAMACI 73.7
6-XERXES 71.4
4-KENJIISLUCKY 68.6
9-HEAVENLY HAZE 66.4
8-BOOKWORM 64.8

RACE 4
11-UNDENIABLE U 77.2
7-UNINVITED 74.8
4-BASINCA 65.3
8-AGRONOMY 62.5
13-DECISIVE TRIUMPH 61.1

RACE 5
12-AIRFOIL 87.5
10-JUANSAGAIN 86.9
6-PRIME ISSUE 82.6
7-LONDON LEGACY 78.4
11-KARMA KING 77.2

RACE 6
9-IT IS LIVING WATER 91.3
7-MR. COUNT ON ME 82.6
13-ELEVEN ZIP 82.6
14-LUCKBOX SAM 77.2
4-KRISTI'S COPILOT 76.0

RACE 7
5-LOGAN'S MOON 94.5
1-AVANTI BELLO 93.2
8-WOLF MAN ROCKET 93.2
9-BIG TIRE 88.8
7-J SERINO 88.2

RACE 8
3-KISS AT MIDNIGHT 100.4
1-PRIZE EXHIBIT 99.3
7-LIVING THE LIFE 97.8
6-ROOM FOR ME 95.2
2-BEN'S DUCHESS 94.5

RACE 9
12-TRUE BRILLIANCE 67.0
8-LYMEBYRD 64.3
1-ETAILER 62.2
9-RELIABLE SOURCE 61.1 (off slow)
4-WOODIE B AWESOME 52.1
6-KEEPING THE FAITH 48.8 (3 wide)

1st time starters - 10, 5, 2, 7

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Friday, January 22, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $59,291.

RACE 1
7-SWISS MINISTER 64.2
5-READY CAT 55.5
6-GREYSON AND JOHN 53.5
2-REDNECK CRAZY 50.2
1-ZORRO'S STORM 44.2

RACE 2
3-WISE TALE 57.0
2-ROALN WITH BOLEN 38.6
6-SILVER CHROME 37.8
5-SHORT OF MONEY 27.2 (off slow, bumped)
1-CRUSHIN CANDY 11.4 (bumped at start)

1st time starters - 8, 7, 4

RACE 3
4-PERFECT SET 99.8
2-ANXIOUS TIMES 92.6
5-TRIBAL JEWEL 85.6
6-GOT EVEN 83.8
1-YOU KNOW I KNOW 78.8

RACE 4
7-MIDNIGHT LADY 61.6
5-NO TRICKS FOR JACK 61.1
3-HIDDEN REALITY 59.6
6-ABETS ABET 59.0
2-I'M NO PATSY 54.5

RACE 5
3-WHISPERING SOFTLY 61.6
7-AGUACATE 56.0
2-MAJESTIC FANTASY 51.6 (steadied)
5-CANDY GENOVESA 50.2
12-REALLY A GEM 48.0

1st time starters - 8, 9

RACE 6
2-TAKE IT EASYPLEASE 83.2
3-SECRET APPEAL 67.5
9-SHE HUMS 66.4
6-CLEM JUICE 65.9
7-LETS GET FRISKY 64.8
1-TATUM'S GOLD 64.8
8-TEMPERATURE RUNNIN 64.3

RACE 7
1-GO LONG 72.6
9-FRAC CANDY 71.4
2-SUGAR BUZZ 70.3
4-STORMING CANDY 63.1
7-NICARDALIC ROCKS 62.7

RACE 8
2-ELEGANT STREET 79.6
1-CLICKJAB 79.1
8-TRUE IMAGE 76.6
3-CALDERA 72.0
5-FILM FREAK 67.0
4-LIRICA HEAT 59.6

1st time starters 6, 10

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Thursday, January 21, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA RACE TRACK TODAY

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK

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Wednesday, January 20, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED


THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA PARK TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,412 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Monday, January 18, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR MONDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
2-ASIAN'S WAY 82.0 (4 wide)
5-UPTOWN TWIRL 66.4
3-DECKES OUT 60.1
1-CONIAH 58.5
4-PRINCESS KATIE 56.0

RACE 2
3-ALMOST REALITY 73.7
4-HEAT 68.6
2-DRUM ROLL PLEASE 65.4
9-AT EASE 64.3
5-COOL GREEN 64.0

RACE 3
4-TOUGH SUNDAY 80.2
1-GUY CODE 79.0
6-ST. JOE BAY 78.4
2-SILENT BIRD 77.2 (steadied)
5-IANCOL 76.0

RACE 4
7-DESERT EXPRESS 63.8
6-MY OLE BUD 60.1
4-ATTACK 52.6
2-BISTRO LIGHTS 52.1 (off slow)
5-DRYLIGHTNING 51.6

RACE 5
10-BRIMSTONED 107.5
7-DREAMING OFGOLD 95.8
12-CHINA GIRL LOVER 91.9
5-DURANGO FLIER 90.0
14-LIME RICKEY 88.1

1st time starters - 3 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)

RACE 6
5-MR. COKER 88.1 (3 wide)'
10-INHIBITION 69.2
7-WATCH MY DUST 60.6
6-HORSE GREEDY 52.1

1st time starters - 2, 8, 4, 1, 9, 3

RACE 7
3-COUGAR COUNTRY 77.2
1-MONSIEUR POWER 77.2
9-GLITTER OF SILVER 74.3
12-EAGLE ROCK 71.4
8-COWTOWNMARY 70.9

RACE 8
9-STORMY LUCY 104.5
8-GENDER AGENDA 99.1
2-GLORY 97.1
4-THEATRE STAR 97.1
10-CHAULK O LATTEY 93.2

RACE 9
9-TRIBE OF GAMBLERS 58.5
8-STAR EXPRESS 52.6
3-REMEMBER CLEMENT 46.4
5-BOBBY Z 44.6 (3 wide)
11-CALVERT STREET 42.4
10-BLIX CURVE 40.3

1st time starters - 6, 12

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Sunday, January 17, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
2-NO CONTINGENCY 88.8
4-SACRED OVATION 88.1
1-SECRET COMMAND 86.3
5-LUCA 68.6
3-FINALLYGOTABENTLEY 63.2

RACE 2
3-ENDURING ERIN 74.3
4-KRISTINITE 72.0
1-QUINNETTE 69.8
2-SWISSARELLA 68.1
5-LIGHT STRIKER 65.4

RACE 3
1-RYDERROO 75.4 (off Sept. 14)
4-SECRET CHORDS 56.5
3-JUST BOOKIN 55.0
6-BACK STREET CAT 42.0
7-WARREN'S HONEY BEE 16.9

1st time starters - 5

RACE 4
9-PEGGY SUE'S LOOSE 84.4
6-DRESSED TO A T 80.8
1-TOOMANYTOMATOES 74.8
7-JADE WITH ENVY 73.1
5-STOLE A KISS 70.3

RACE 5
5-NARDO 68.6
4-JAZZIE CAT 65.9
1-DIABLO CABALLERO 64.8
2-MIGHTY MOUSSE 57.0 (off Sept. 14)
3-SEATTLE SALT 53.5

RACE 6
5-VISITATION 73.7
4-EXEMPLAR 73.1
7-IT BEHOOVES ME 73.1
8-L'S CHOICE 72.6
6-BLACK TIE 72.6

RACE 7
2-GAGA A 98.4
9-SWEET AS A ROSE 86.3
8-NANCY FROM NAIROBI 85.0
5-GENEROSIDADE 84.4
1-FRESH FELINE 83.8

RACE 8
9-PICO CHICK 67.5
10-TRIBAL HEADRESS 60.6
2-ONE BYE TWO 51.6
3-SOONER TIME 50.6
8-HEED TO SPEED 49.7

RACE 9
2-NODIAC 70.9
13-NEWCOMB 63.2
12-CORONADO COOL 58.0
5-AMBER LOUISE 55.5
9-ALBEIT 48.8
11-MISS INJUSTICE 47.4

1st time starters - 7 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.), 6, 3, 4, 1 8,

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Saturday, January 16, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
6-CANDY FOR DEBBIE 77.2
7-DIVE DOWN 76.0
5-VOLKONSKY 73.1
2-DRESSCODE 67.5
3-FORT CADY 64.8

RACE 2
3-FREEMARK 74.9
8-TIZ A BILLY 74.3
1-ARCHAEO 73.1
2-PETE'S PLAY CALL 37.4

1st time starters - 7, 5, 6, 4

RACE 3
6-HOLOGRAEME 80.8
2-MELANISTIC 79.0
7-BIG BREAK 78.4
5-WONDERFUL LIE 74.9
1-HENNYTHELOVEPENNY 74.3
4-GUILD 74.3

RACE 4
7-HADFUNLASTNIGHT 77.2
5-HEAR THE FOOTSTEPS 76.6
10-SYNDICATRD 68.1
2-ALPINE LUCK 65.9
4-WARREN'S WESLEY 65.4

RACE 5
3-LA GALY 61.1
1-ADIOS PRINCESS 61.1
4-INSTANT DRAMA 52.6 (off slow)
2-OK DOLL 51.1 (4 wide)

1st time starters - 8, 5, 6, 10, 9, 7

RACE 6
6-VANLOSE STAIRWAY 87.5
8-DOODETTA 85.6
9-AGUSTINA DE ARAGON 85.0
7-BOTTLE BLONDE 80.8
4-LOOKIN FOR MONEY 76.6

RACE 7
7-TARIS 97.1
5-YAHILWA 96.5
1-TARA'S TANGO 88.1
6-BIRDATTHEWIRE 87.5
2-ILLUMINANT 81.4

RACE 8
11-DEMONICA 87.5
2-HARD NIGHT'S DAY 86.3
10-SEA MONA 85.0
5-ENTRECHAT 84.4
9-WHISK 82.6

RACE 9
11-TWO STEPS OF GLORY 49.2
10-OLD HOLLYWOOD 43.8
9-AVAUDREY 41.6
4-SHARPEST ONE 39.9
7-PRINCESS KENDRA 36.6
12-DEATH VALLEY GIRL 36.6

1st time starters - 1

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Friday, January 15, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $45,040.


RACE 1
3-GONE TO BALI 61.6
2-ROOM ON THE BROOM 53.0
6-KELLIANNE CAN CAN 51.6
4-WILANNAMOON 43.8
1-MENDED 42.0

RACE 2
2-DAUPHINE RUSSE 89.4
3-PEARL DE VERE 86.3
8-MISS DOUBLE D'ORO 84.4
1-CODACIOUS 83.2
7-STEALTH DRONE 82.7

RACE 3
7-SUGAR SPICE 79.6
2-FAST MAGOO 72.6
3-DESERT MADAM 66.4
4-SMOOTH TALKER 61.1
6-FUNNY GAL 58.5

RACE 4
8-CORDIALITY 50.6
4-VRONSKY'S DEVKA 45.1
5-BLUE CHAT 42.9
6-FAMILY FOREVER 39.0
7-TRINITYS TURN 38.6

RACE 5
4-CALDERA 91.4
5-DYLAN WARD 87.5
7-BIG DISCOVERY 77.2
3-SEEDSANDSTEMSAGAIN 74.9
8-SHORTSTORMINGCOMING 74.3

RACE 6
6-MY SAMAURAI WARRIOR 99.1
7-BASMATI 91.3
5-GRAZEN'S HOPE 88.8
4-TOO FAST TO PASS 82.0
2-SEEKING THE SHERIF 79.6

RACE 7
10-CORPS DE BALLET 90.7
4-JEREMY'S LEGACY 70.9
2-SWIFT LADY 69.8
8-SPICY BLONDE 68.1
3-MAGNOLIAS IN BLOOM 67.5

1st time starters - 7 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 8
3-SOAP BOX 59.0
1-GONE WITH IT 56.0
2-SUNNY TRUCE 47.8
10-MEDIA MELEE 43.8
4-PASSAU 42.4
8-ULUCKYDEVIL 40.3

1st time starters - 9, 6, 5

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Thursday, January 14, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
6-CANT DO THE DANSE 78.4
4-FORMALLY WILD 77.8
5-EL NINO TERRIBLE 77.8
1-KNOCK EM FLAT 75.4
3-SAINT ADALBERT 64.2

RACE 2
5-CARLOT COWBOY 88.1
1-OUT OF PATIENCE 74.9
6-BACK TO BAKO 72.4
3-CITY STATE 72.0
2-BLUEGRASS SIGHT 71.4

RACE 3
1-MARGARET REAY 80.8
8-BOAT DRINKS 75.4
7-AREWEHAVINGFUNYWT 71.4
6-RUE DE CRY 71.4
4-LOOKINFORADANGER 69.2

1st time starters - 3 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 4
5-DINNER AT TRANI'S 55.0
4-MR. GAME SEVEN 53.0
3-IMCOMINGTHROUGH 47.4
7-LITTLE MUSTARD 41.9
2-SUPERSIDE 41.4

RACE 5
11-GUNS LOADED 103.1
4-GUGGENHEIM 97.8
5-BACCELO 95.2
6-BLUEGRASS BRONCO 95.2
13-CHIEF LION 95.1

RACE 6
3-FAMILY CODE 74.3
4-EDDIE HASKELL 73.7
2-TURN YOUR EYES 73.1
5-SHRED THE RULES 72.6
6-VIVIENDO EL SUENO 68.1

RACE 7
7-HAY DUDE 105.9
2-SPRING UP 102.5 (off July 14)
3-SOI PHET 101.8
8-BIG BANE THEORY 99.8
9-QUICK CASABLANCA 99.8

RACE 8
6-PROFOUND VISIONARY 77.7
1-RUNNAMUCK CHUCK 67.5
8-SELECTION 60.1
2-WHAT WE DOING 60.1
7-UPBEAT TEMPO 59.6
3-RANGER SCHOOL 52.1

1st time starters - 5

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Wednesday, January 13, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA RACE TRACK TODAY

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK

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Monday, January 11, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA PARK TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,406 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, January 10, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
5-CHEEKABOO 54.6
3-CLARA'S DREAM 46.9
1-AND IN THE END 46.4
6-ALLSQUARE 26.1 (off slow)

1st time starters - 2, 4

RACE 2
5-MISS STAR MAKER 74.3
2-BIJOUX 67.5
4-BLONDY'S REWARD 65.9
7-EMOTIONAL DRIVE 54.5
6-NAZARETH 53.5

RACE 3
3-DUSTIN'S PASSION 82.0
1-SIZZLIN' JOE 80.0
4-SHAKE THINGS UP 74.5
2-MUCHOS BESOS 74.3
5-FLY LEXIS FLY 65.9

RACE 4
3-VARTAN 77.2
7-COMMANDER KING 72.0
2-ROB'S PAL 71.4
4-HE'S A REAL KEEPER 68.1
5-PROUD CAPTAIVE 65.9

RACE 5
3-DYNAMITE RIDE 77.2
4-THE CUSTODIAN 74.3
1-BORN TO SERVE 73.1
6-INEXCESS TIME 67.5
7-HENRY'S HOLIDAY 67.0

RACE 6
6-CADET RONI 83.2
7-BAD JU JU 76.0
1-SO SWEETITIZ 73.1
3-YANA 72.6
2-BLUSHING ANGEL 69.8

RACE 7
3-VOLKONSKY 76.6
5-AVENTADOR 76.4
2-AIN'T MISBEHAVIN 72.6
6-BENBA 72.0
8-THE GOLD MONEY 68.6

RACE 8
9-LILY POD 85.6
1-PLEASANT AS PIE 83.2
5-GRACIE RAGAZZA 82.0
6-MY FIONA 80.2
8-SHEER PLEASURE 80.2

RACE 9
10-CHALK OF THE TOWN 66.4
7-BALLERINA HEADLINE 64.8
9-MOONIE 64.3
5-HERES GEEGEES GIRL 52.6 (off slow)
8-MAJOR RAGER 50.6
6-BRIARTIC GAL 45.8

1st time starters - 4, 3

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Saturday, January 09, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $56,040.

RACE 1
7-PAGEANT MATERIAL 67.0
4-SHAKTI 60.6
10-ZIRA GOLD 58.5
8-TAFFETA 50.6
2-THAT'S A LADY 50.0

RACE 2
3-LOYALIST 73.7
5-COURAGEOUS DAVE 68.1
4-CLASSICO 66.4
6-TOUGH BUT NICE 64.3
7-TRIBAL ROAR 59.6

RACE 3
1-BRIMSTONED 92.6
5-ACCEPTANCE 86.3
3-RED OUTLAW 85.0
13-LIMITED RESPONSE 84.4
9-NEW SUMMIT 83.8

RACE 4
3-RIM NICK 70.9
8-LEGITIMATE 70.9
7-CUPID 65.9
6-BULLISH ON STEVE 45.1 (3 wide)
11-TRIPLE CLOWN 34.6

1st time starters - 10, 5, 9, 2, 4, 1, 12

RACE 5
6-BIG TIRE 82.0
10-WOODY'S FOLLY 80.2
9-FISHEL 80.0
5-JOHN'S SUCCESS 77.6
3-BROKEN UP 74.0

RACE 6
3-LET'S MEET IN RIO 83.2
9-COLLECTED 81.3
5-SEMPER FORTIS 80.8
2-DRESSED IN HERMES 79.4
4-FOUND MONEY 78.4

RACE 7
2-MOTOWN MEN 105.2
5-ROCKPORT KAT 100.4
7-BOOZER 100.2
6-FOLLOW ME CREV 99.1
10-LITTLE JERRY 97.8

RACE 8
5-HOPPERTUNITY 115.7
4-CALIFORNIA CHROME 111.4
3-POINT PIPER 106.6
8-IMPERATIVE 102.5
6-HARD ACES 100.4

RACE 9
6-JUSTONEMORETHING 81.4
14-GNARLY DUDE 78.4
13-RAZORBILL 74.3
9-QARTAR'S PEARL 70.9
4-LOVE DE CAR 69.8
5-SIR BARCLAY 69.8
3-HALF DOME DUDE 69.8

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Friday, January 08, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






RACE 1
6-CHALKING IT UP 46.4
3-MENDED 45.5
5-OCTOFY 37.0
4-GRACEE HUNNY 37.0
2-SEASIDE FANTASY 35.0

RACE 2
1-GOLDRUSHCAT 44.6
4-REINAHERMOSA 42.9
5-SWAG MONEY 35.4
6-BLAZEINBLAIRSDEN 35.4
8-BETTY'S JOY 34.2
3-SARNO'S B F F 34.2

1st time starters - 2

RACE 3
2-SOUTHERN FREEDOM 100.4
5-CLASS LEADER 92.6
1-MIDNIGHT HAWK 90.7(off March 15)
3-CYRUS ALEXANDER 90.7
4-SOLID WAGER 87.5

RACE 4
5-FUGACIOUS DANCER 70.3 (off slow)
3-ZIP N BAYOU 67.8 (off March 15)
6-ROCKPORT DANCER 58.0
1-PEGASUS PRINCESS 54.5
4-BLACK BEAUTY 53.5

1st time starters - 2, 7

RACE 5
8-KELBAKER 67.5
5-SUMMER VEIL 61.6
1-UNUSUAL STORM 59.0
6-FLOWINWITHTHEBREEZ 58.0
3-STELLATA 57.0

RACE 6
7-VOCALIST 80.2
1-SWEETRAYOFSUNSHINE 75.4
6-PRIVILEGED ONE 73.1
3-SKY FOREVER 72.6
2-FAB FOUR EVER 68.6

RACE 7
4-MOKAT 75.2
6-ANNIE'S CURLS 74.9
1-MRS. NORRIS 68.6
3-DARING DARLING 68.1
2-RIGHT THERE 67.5

RACE 8
7-SWEETER THANCANDY 68.1
6-SECRET CHORDS 56.0
1-MAD MANGO 52.5
10-JAZZED 46.0
9-DANCER'S KISS 45.1
3-LIZZY MARINI 38.6

1st time starters - 2

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Thursday, January 07, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.





THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $378,188.

RACE 1
5-SWEET INVENTION 53.0
2-HELL ON HEELS 43.3
1-PATIENCE LADY 34.6

1st time starters - 4, 3

RACE 2
3-HOWDY 92.6
7-TOLEDO EDDIE 90.7
5-IT IS LIVING WATER 86.9
6-SIR CAL 69.9
1-WINGS OF MOJAVE 69.8

RACE 3
7-MIZ GRAYCEE 64.3
6-APPEALING LADY 57.0
2-RODEO DRIVE DIVA 47.4
1-BOLT UP 44.6
8-DARLING GRACE 43.3

RACE 4
1-TOUCHED BY AUTISM 67.5
2-GOT TOBE AWESOME 58.2
4-SPEEDIN WITH EDDIE 56.1
6-SMALL TOWN SHUFFLE 51.0
8-AND THEN SOME 50.2

RACE 5
7-AUDRA 77.8
1-PONDER LEA 75.4
3-WEST MID 75.4
4-BLOOMING HANNAH 66.4
5-JUST GOT LUCKY 64.8

RACE 6
4-BACKINTHEACADEMY 77.8
1-AMBERELLA 67.5
8-BAYONET 66.4
3-VEGAS BOUND 62.7
6-HIDDEN REALITY 62.7

RACE 7
3-EASTER FEVER 72.0
5-SHARAUN 68.4
9-CAUSE UR MY BABE 68.1
4-DESERT THIEF 67.5
1-ZUZU'S PETALS 67.0

RACE 8
6-I'M NO PATSY 70.3
9-MYBABYKIM 67.0
12-MIDNIGHT LADY 65.4
7-MELANIE ROSE 64.8
4-RACING FOR CHASEN 55.5
8-SEA SIDE STORY 54.0

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Wednesday, January 06, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA RACE TRACK TODAY

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK

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Monday, January 04, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA PARK TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
NO - I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,400 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, January 03, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SLECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






TODAYS PICK SIX CARRYOVER IS $80,409.

RACE 1
2-CASINO FEVER 86.3
4-STARDUST MELODY 46.4
6-DEATH VALLEY GIRL 43.3
5-PASCHALITSA 42.9
8-LADY WEDGE 41.6

1st time starters - 7, 3

RACE 2
2-REVENUE VIRGINIUS 70.3
7-TAKE IT EASYPLEASE 69.8
4-ALWAZABRIDESMAID 67.0
3-ALTAIRA 65.9
5-BOSSERETTE 63.8

RACE 3
8-GOOD SCUFFLER 86.4
4-ALASKAN CRUISE 54.0
2-REDREAM 46.4
5-ELECTRIFYING 29.7
7-IT'S JUST BOB 22.5 (broke out, 4 wide)

1st time starters - 6, 3, 1

RACE 4
14-HEAT 67.0
5-DIABLO CABALLERO 64.3
4-AT EASE 61.8
3-VOW TO BE TOPS 60.6
7-CHANITO 58.1

1st time starters - 13, 2, 9

RACE 5
1-I WILL SCORE 85.6
7-STREET VISION 82.6
4-UNCLE LINO 82.0
3-FRAC CANDY 75.4
5-IRON ROB 74.9

RACE 6
4-DREAMY ART 71.4
9-ROCKANTHAROS 64.3
2-EDGY GIRL 59.0
7-REALLY A GEM 55.5
6-AUDACIOUS ANGEL 55.0

1st time starters - 1, 5

RACE 7
11-AGELESS 110.0
6-SHRINKING VIOLET 102.5
1-SINGING KITTY 101.8
12-BARUTA 99.8
5-PRIZE EXHIBIT 95.3

RACE 8
4-REAL BIG DEAL 84.4
1-APOLLO TEN 83.8
5-GUTSY RULER 79.0
3-SUNDAR DRUMS 75.4
9-ROLO TAMACI 75.4

RACE 9
2-IMAGE OF JOPLIN 97.8
4-YES YES YES 97.1
10-HOBBITS HERO 95.8
1-HUSBAND'S FOLLY 95.2
5-LOVENSEEK 93.2
7-TATTENHAM 90.0

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Saturday, January 02, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






RACE 1
3-ANXIOUS TIMES 93.9
5-ATHENS 93.9
4-HOT LIGHTNING 86.9
1-NAHEM 83.8
6-ROMAN TIZZY 77.2

RACE 2
13-UNDENIABLE U 77.2
4-GIO MIO 73.4
10-WATCH MY DUST 65.6
9-PACKIN HEAT 64.3
8-DIPLODOCUS 59.6

1st time starters - 12 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 3
6-CODE WARRIOR 83.2
8-FOREVER DARLING 79.0
4-TREASURING 78.4
7-PRETTY N COOL 77.2
1-MY DYNAMO 69.8

RACE 4
3-A LUCKY CARRY 48.3 (4 wide)
6-SPREAD THE JOY 46.0
8-DANCING SUNSET 45.1

1st time starters - 4, 5, 2, 9, 1, 7

RACE 5
9-TIZ A CLASSY LASS 83.8
12-BARBARA BEATRICE 82.6
6-EVO CAMPO 82.0
3-WARREN'S JEN FIZZ 82.0
7-GIFT OF A STAR 80.8

1st time starters - 1 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 6
7-SALUTOS AMIGOS 106.6
4-PULLING G'S 106.6
6-ALL RUN 105.9
2-SAN ONOFRE 103.1
1-SEATTLE SERENADE 96.5

RACE 7
5-BLACK TIE 76.0
2-BOOKWORM 76.0 (off Nov. 14)
8-PLAYERS CHARM 74.3
11-WHISKEY WILD 73.7
3-WARREN'S WESLEY 70.9

RACE 8
8-OBVIOUSLY 109.3
10-CHIROPRACTOR 108.6
2-BIG JOHN B 107.9
7-BAL A BALI 106.6
3-POSHSKY 103.8

RACE 9
1-TRAVEL BOUND 63.8
4-LUCKY SHOES TO WIN 59.0
11-ALLTHELEAVESRBROWN 58.0
12-MAGIC MOON 56.5
10-WHERE'S BUBBA 55.6
3-FEASIBILITY 54.5

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Friday, January 01, 2016

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






RACE 1
2-STORM COMIN THRU 92.5
13-DURANGO FLIER 90.0
3-PREACHER ROE 88.1
12-LOS GATOS 80.8
9-RAINBOW NORTH 80.2
6-SMOKIN' STEVE 77.8

RACE 2
3-SEND ME A SIGN 79.0
7-CARADINI 67.5
4-UNTOUCHABLE U 65.3
2-RASTANORA 60.6
5-TWOSOME 58.2

RACE 3
7-ZARQA STAR 69.8
4-ONE OF THE GREATS 65.9
5-ULTRA SHARP 63.4
1-VODKA TEXTED YOU 55.0

1st time starters - 3, 2, 6

RACE 4
9-I'LL WRAP IT UP 91.9
7-GIANT EGO 90.0
3-SMOKEY'S LEGACY 86.9
5-PURE LOYALTY 83.2
8-HEAR THE FOOTSTEPS 82.6

RACE 5
3-MOUNTAIN HERO 63.2
5-BOLITAR 59.6
7-FIN DE SEMAINE 52.6
8-ULUCKYDEVIL 46.0
2-WILLIAM CROTTY 39.2

1st time starters - 4

RACE 6
8-NOBLE EDITION 61.6 (5 wide)
6-BE A LADY 57.0
7-STAR OF MUNSTER 57.0
4-RED STICH 56.5
3-MISS FIREBALL 56.0

RACE 7
9-PEARL DE VERE 89.4
3-GRAZENETTE 84.4
10-DISSENSION 81.4
2-INTOXICATING MOVE 76.0
11-L. A. MAGIC 69.8

RACE 8
12-KAFISTER 100.4
5-CAUTIOUS GIANT 90.7
4-PAPA TURF 88.8
10-PAY THE FINE 86.3
11-TIZCANO 85.6

RACE 9
4-I'M NO PATSY 70.3
1-BENCH RULING 67.5
3-FLYIN FOR A LIVIN 65.9
5-TELL HER YES 64.3
6-INDIVIDUAL DESIGN 63.8
11-HIDDEN REALITY 61.6

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