Sunday, November 29, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1
4-DIABLO CABALLERO 65.9
6-COOL GREEN 64.8
2-SUNDAR DRUMS 63.8
5-OTTO'S ECHO 63.2 (off June 14)
3-SON OF A ROYAL 48.3

RACE 2
7-ARTISTIC CHARM 93.9
2-VANLOSE STAIRWAY 87.5
3-BOTTLE BLONDE 86.9
4-WITH A TWIST 83.8
8-INTOXICATING MOVE 83.1

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
7-WISE TALE 47.8
1-PURRIN' PROUD 47.1
4-START A RUNNIN 38.3
9-DEFIANT ONE 36.6
3-CHIEF WARRIOR 26.8

1st time starters - 5

RACE 4
5-UNUSUALLY GREEN 91.3
11-IT IS LIVING WATER 90.0
3-NAHEM 86.9
9-LIFE'S JOURNEY 86.9
1-BIRD E HOUSE 85.0

RACE 5
1-PERFECT SET 99.8
4-IKE WALKER 87.5
2-CHINA GIRL LOVER 86.3
3-GOLD TREASURE 78.4
6-CRUCERO 74.6

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
10-DRESSED IN HERMES 78.4
7-HOT ORE 74.9
12-STORMING CANDY 70.9
5-FRANK CONVERSATION 69.9
6-NINETY ONE ASSULT 69.8

1st time starters - 7 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-HOFFENHEIM 60.6 (off slow)
7-JES JAA 53.5
2-BISTRAYA 51.1
11-ARABIAN LEOPARD 49.7
12-ERIC THE TROJAN 44.6

1st time starters - 1, 4, 9, 10, 6, 8

RACE 8
9-FILIMBI 113.6
1-HARD NOT TO LIKE 113.6
3-RECEPTA 106.6
8-STELLAR PATH 104.5
6-CROWLEY'S LAW 103.8

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
11-MINER'S LIGHT 81.4 (5 wide)
2-UNCLE LINO 66.4
3-MIGHTY MOSES 58.0
12-AGRONOMY 58.0
5-FRENCH GETAWAY 54.5

1st time starters - 1, 6, 10, 7, 8, 9, 4

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Saturday, November 28, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1
7-ROPER 67.0
3-SPIRIT WORLD 59.0
2-WHAT WE DOING 51.1
5-FINANCIAL 50.6
4-SOUTHEAST ASIA 49.2

1st time starters - 8

RACE 2
4-TULIRA CASTLE 96.5
1-ALEX ROSSI 88.8
3-VOLKONSKY 75.4
2-FORT CADY 73.7
7-I'LL WRAP IT UP 72.0
6-AIRFOIL 72.0

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
8-PATH OF DAVID 65.4
4-UNDENIABLE U 65.4
2-SILENT MOVIES 62.2
12-ARCHAEO 60.6
14-STRONG VALUES 56.0

1st time starters - 7

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
6-LOYALIST 35.4

1st time starters - 2, 7, 5, 8, 3, 1, 4

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
2-COPPA 84.4 (off slow)
6-JEREMY'S LEGACY 80.8 (off slow)
3-RIRI 78.4
5-CORPS DE BALLET 77.2
10-MOKAT 74.9

RACE 6
8-STORM COMIN THRU 87.5
6-ROMAN TIZZY 80.8
7-TRIBAL JEWEL 80.2
2-TOLEDO EDDIE 78.4
3-CITY STATE 76.6

RACE 7
5-OM 108.6
8-CLOSING BELL 102.5
1-MISTER BRIGHTSIDE 101.8
12-ROYAL ALBERT HALL 100.4
4-CHIROPRACTOR 98.4

RACE 8
3-DORTMUND 117.9
7-IMPERATIVE 103.8
5-BIG CAZANOVA 103.6
4-IRON FIST 97.1
6-YAHILWA 90.0

RACE 9
7-WHAT A VIEW 102.5
11-SECOND SUMMER 93.8
9-UNUSUAL FLEET 92.6
1-SOMETHING UNUSUAL 91.9
6-HUNT 91.3
10-ROY H 91.3



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Friday, November 27, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
1-FAMILY CODE 82.6
5-TURN YOUR EYES 77.2
6-RECORD HIGHS 73.1
2-BULLY PULPIT 66.4
4-VIVIENDO EL SUENO 52.6

RACE 2
9-GIANT EGO 91.3
4-TOO FAST TO PASS 86.9
5-SECOND PROPOSAL 85.0
10-BACK TO BAKO 83.2
2-KILL SHOT 83.2

RACE 3
4-SECRET CHORDS 81.4
1-FLOWINWITHTHEBREEZE 52.6
9-BOLT UP 50.6
7-KATY'S PLUM 47.4
6-SARAH BELL 39.9

1st time starters - 8

RACE 4
9-TIZ A KISS 85.0
5-BELLE ET BETE 80.8
4-HOLOGRAEME 79.6
3-HALLJOY 76.6
7-AUTUMN FLOWER 74.9

RACE 5
7-FLEXIBLE ETHICS 67.0
4-AMBERELLA 64.8
3-SCATCHMEIFYOUCAN 62.2
2-KANTINA KOWGIRL 60.1
5-SAYITRIGHT KAT 51.1

RACE 6
1-AGUSTINA DE ARAGON 86.3
7-MISS BOOM BOOM 84.4
11-SALSITA 84.4
9-WARREN'S JEN FIZZ 82.6
5-BARBARA BEATRICE 80.8
14-ODISSEIA 80.8

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-SHE'S A WARRIOR 68.6
1-LUNAR EMPRESS 55.0
6-MOON FULL OF GOLD 52.1 (4 wide)
2-ANGEL LANE 43.8 (4 wide)
10-CUYATHY 28.2

1st time starters - 3, 4, 8, 9, 7

RACE 8
8-ALERT BAY 117.2
5-AVANZARE 112.9
4-SEEK AGAIN 108.6
3-BAL A BALI 107.9
6-ABBEY VALE 103.1

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
7-TWO STEPS OF GLORY 48.8
1-PASSIONATE EMOTION 48.8
4-FEELING TALKATIVE 46.4
9-KNIGHTWITHPUTNAM 39.1
11-TEN DOLLAR NOTE 38.6 (3 wide)

1st time starters - 8, 2, 10


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Thursday, November 26, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $102,968.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going1 mile)
3-EXIT SIXTY SLEW 42.4
6-GOOD LOOKING 41.0
5-SARNO'S B F F 36.2
2-HEED TO SPEED 34.2
7-MENDED 27.9

1st time starters - 1

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
1-NICARADALIC ROCKS 66.4
6-TWIRLING TIGER 65.4
3-SUGAR BUZZ 62.2
4-MISHEGAS 58.0
2-SCATASTIC 43.8

RACE 3
12-MARGARET REAY 80.8
6-UNTOUCHABLE U 80.2
2-GIFT OF A STAR 79.0
10-ALMOST GUILTY 67.7
1-YAFFE 67.5

RACE 4
4-SPICED LATTE 61.1
2-SMOOTH TALKER 56.5
5-MOSCATO GIRL 55.0
6-SHAKEITUPBETTY 54.5
8-WARRENSDOLLARSIGNS 54.5

RACE 5
2-TIZ A CLASSY LASS 82.0
4-PEGGY SUE'S LOOSE 80.8
6-DIAMOND CUT 80.8
7-JADE WITH ENVY 79.6
3-STOLE A KISS 70.3
9-AWESOME LUCK 70.3

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
9-PATRIOTIC DIAMOND 68.1
1-SAMBAMZAJAMMON 55.0
2-DRAGON FLOWER 54.0
3-RUN LIKE THE BOSS 47.4
4-STAR OF MUNSTER 47.4

RACE 7
6-THE PIZZA MAN 122.3
14-BIG JOHN B 112.9
2-UP WITH THE BIRDS 111.4
7-GANESH 110.7
12-POWER FOOT 105.2

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
5-AND THEN SOME 59.0
13-REDNECK CRAZY 52.1
3-LITTLEMUSTARD 46.9
11-NUSRET 45.1
8-H R EXPRESS 40.7 (3 WIDE)
6-FINNERTY'S FOLLY 37.8

1st time starters - 12, 7 (stumbled, DNF), 9

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Wednesday, November 25, 2015

 

DEL MAR - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK



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Monday, November 23, 2015

 

DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the race books as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins a lot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,359 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, November 22, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1
2-HOME JOURNEY 105.2
5-SUNDAY RULES 93.8
3-VELVET MESQUITE 93.3
6-KOOL KAT 90.0
1-AMARANTH 88.1

RACE 2
8-SUNRISE LEGACY 78.4
3-RELENTLESS HEAT 76.0
4-ULTIMATE LUCK 71.4
1-MONUMENT 69.8
2-FORMALLY WILD 67.5

RACE 3
3-IPRAY 68.1
4-LUVURYAN 64.3
1-SUMMER VEIL 58.0
7-CHIA LOVE 57.0
5-GOLDS VENICE 54.6

RACE 4
6-MORE COMPLEXITY 103.8
8-UNFORGETTABLE U 102.3
5-DANCINTHENIGHTAWAY 98.4
2-DESERT STEEL 96.5
7-MINKS APRISE 92.6

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
11-CLASSICO 64.8
1-MOUNTAIN HERO 43.3
4-GONE WITH IT 43.3
5-DOMINIC'S WAY 27.9
6-TRIBAL TOUCH 26.5

1st time starters - 9, 10, 12

RACE 6
9-HANDFULL 81.4
3-KRISTINITE 80.8
4-LIGHT STRIKER 80.8
7-ENDURING ERIN 74.8
1-SWISSARELLA 73.1

RACE 7
4-YES YES YES 99.1
9-HOBBITS HERO 98.4
12-BACCELO 95.2
6-KING OF JAZZ 95.2
10-TATTENHAM 95.2

RACE 8
7-RED OUTLAW 100.4
5-BIG MACHER 97.8
8-FOREST CHATTER 95.9
4-SOI PHET 95.2
3-GOT EVEN 95.2

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
8-LOTTIE 88.1
7-SHAKTI 62.0
6-NIKKI'S FINE TIME 61.6 (4 wide)
11-AQUACATE 59.0
9-AMBER LOUISE 52.1
1-MIDNIGHT IN GIADA 51.6

1st time starters - 2 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.), 5

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Saturday, November 21, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $41,442.
RACE 1
1-CARLSBAD MOUNTAIN 80.8
3-LUCKBOX SAM 74.9
6-THE MAD HUNGARIAN 73.7
2-QATAR'S PEARL 68.1
4-PLANET SUNSHINE 62.2

RACE 2
9-AT EASE 73.7
5-ACE DEUCE 73.1
4-HEAT 71.4
6-CHANITO 63.8
3-DRUM ROLL PLEASE 62.7

RACE 3
8-DIRT IN YOUR FACE 64.8
5-TRAVEL BOUND 63.2
3-THREE RED SEVENS 56.0
1-GHOST OF NAVIGATOR 55.0
7-ROB'S PAL 49.7

RACE 4
1-CHIPS ALL IN 102.5
7-BOOZER 99.1
6-ROCKET HEAT 90.7
2-TIZCANO 90.0
5-SET OF J'S 87.5

RACE 5
2-RATTATAPTAP 86.9
7-LADY ASANO 84.4
3-GUSTO DOLCE 83.8
5-MELANISTIC 81.4
4-PRODICIOUS FACTS 77.2

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
7-THAT'S A LADY 59.0 (off slow, 4 wide)
6-WHISPERING SOFTLY 57.0
12-LYNNE'S LEGACY 56.5
9-SASSY ASHLEY 49.2
5-DEEDS NOT WORDS 48.8

1st time starters - 11, 2, (both fgn. horses), 4

RACE 7
7-WHEATFIELD 85.0
3-STEALTH DRONE 82.6
4-SOUL FLYER 78.4
5-MASTER THE BLUES 74.9
1-CALL TO CONGRATS 65.9

RACE 8
9-ELEKTRUM 100.4
11-RUSTY SLIPPER 93.9
4-BEAT OF THE DRUM 90.7
5-TROPHEE 90.0
6-STAR ACT 89.4

RACE 9
4-NEWFOUND GOLD 96.5
5-PEPNIC 92.0
2-HADFUNLASTNIGHT 88.8
3-CAMINETTO 83.2
7-APOLLO TEN 78.4
9-I B MIKE 78.4

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Friday, November 20, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
2-SEMPER FORTIS 68.1
7-ALASKAN CRUISE 17.4 (steadied)
4-FIVE STAR JACK 15.5

1st time starters - 1, 6, 5, 3

RACE 2
3-BANDIDO TOO 84.4
2-JUSTONEMORETHING 80.2
4-CLASSIC GENT 74.3
5-GOTTA GET PAID 68.1
7-BLUEGRASS SIGHT 56.5

RACE 3
5-LOVENSEEK 91.9
2-RED BUTTON 85.0
7-I'LL PLAY MY HAND 82.2
3-ROCKIN ROBIN 80.8
4-JOHN'S SUCCESS 78.4

RACE 4
4-TIZ JOLIE 77.8
3-A COLT FOLLOWING 74.9
5-AIN'T MISBEHAVIN 72.6
1-DOYOUSOMETHING 67.5
8-MR.CARTAGENA 67.0

RACE 5
6-FISHEL 86.9
7-DAY IN THE SUN 85.8
10-BLACK TIE 79.6
5-DYNAMITE RIDE 77.2
2-SAXON LORD 76.6

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-FRAC CANDY 61.1
9-PANTHER CREEK 58.0
8-SUAVEMENTE 55.0
4-DERBY CHATTER 51.1 (3 wide)
2-TRIBAL ROAR 49.7

RACE 7
6-LUCKY STUDENT 85.6
3-NITE DELITE 82.0
9-NO COMPARISON 76.6
5-SHARAUN 75.4 (4 wide)
4-SILVER MOJAVE 75.4

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
2-HURRICAINE CALLIE 53.5
7-SHARPEST ONE 50.6
11-LUCKY TO WIN 46.4
13-DANCING SUNSET 39.9
5-SPREAD THE JOY 31.9
10-PASCHALITSA 17.7

1st time starters - 6, 9, 4, 8, 12


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Thursday, November 19, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1(all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
5-RED STITCH 47.4
8-BLUE CHAT 46.6
4-KELLIANNE CAN CAN 46.4
7-EXACTAMENTE 37.5
6-TWO STEPS OF GLORY 34.2
3-JUST A GEM 34.2

RACE 2
6-ACTION HERO 81.3
4-DREAM TEAM 80.0
5-SILVER SPIRIT 79.0
1-Y'S PASSION 61.8
2-ARMORED CAR 58.5

RACE 3
3-LOST BUS 68.1
6-TRAITEUSE 64.8
2-TRUE HISTORY 63.8
8-SISTER OF MERCY 61.6
1-MISSY MOUSE 59.6

RACE 4
7-DERBY GLASS 76.6
3-WARREN'S WESLEY 74.3
4-PROUD CAPTIVE 70.9
5-VARTAN 68.6
2-THUNDER BASIN 66.4

RACE 5
6-BLUE LAW 80.8
1-PRINCE OF PRAGUE 77.8
2-RUN THE SHOW 70.9
5-ARCHITOP 70.9
4-SPARTAN STRENGTH 70.4

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
2-PAGEANT MATERIAL 73.1
3-ANNIE'S CURLS 66.4
1-WELL ACQUAINTED 59.8
7-ESCALANTE 56.0
8-ESCAPEE 52.1

RACE 7
13-COMANCHE RULER 86.3
8-LAW DOG 78.4
2-BURNAROUNDTHEEDGES 77.9 (off April 14, 4 wide)
7-LAMBO LUXX 76.2
14-EDDIE'S FIRST 76.0

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
8-BE A LADY 54.5
1-MISS LORI 48.3
7-SOME CANN JOB 47.4
3-GRACEE HUNNY 46.0
2-SHARP HOLIDAY 40.3
6-OCTOFY 37.8

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Wednesday, November 18, 2015

 

DEL MAR - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK

Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horses, Los Alamitos, picks, pick six, racehorse, race track, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred

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Monday, November 16, 2015

 

DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,353 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, November 15, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $236,099.


NOTE: THERE WILL NOT BE ANY PICKS OR SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY.

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Saturday, November 14, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $39,655.

RACE 1
1-TALE OF A CHAMPION 94.5 (off Nov. 13)
2-HOME SCHOOL 88.1
3-UNUSUAL TASTE 85.0
4-DOWNTOWN C. T. 84.4
8-MAL VERDE 83.2

RACE 2
1-PARASAIL 79.0
3-BIG MOVE 77.8
6-ROCKIN DORITA 70.9
4-Q'VIVA 67.5
5-DESERT THIEF 60.6
2-LETS GET FRISKY 60.6

RACE 3
4-KISS MY FACE 65.5
5-TAKE IT EASYPLEASE 59.0
8-CATALINA BONITA 54.5
9-DANCER'S KISS 48.3
2-SAILOR'S CRY 41.9

RACE 4
6-SKY FOREVER 83.2
11-NOT TOO SHINY 82.6
8-LILY POD 81.5
2-RADIANT JOURNEY 79.6
5-MISS GIFTED 78.4

RACE 5
4-GOLD CHASER 79.6
5-MARKET NOTES 77.2
8-SWISS CHEESE 76.6
2-FLAT GONE 73.7
10-NO EZ MONEY 72.6

RACE 6
2-YA YA GIRL 70.9
8-ENTEBBE 69.3
4-AREWEHAVINGFUNYET 69.2
11-CARNIVAL LIGHTS 67.0
12-BIJOUX 65.9

RACE 7
7-BRIMSTONED 106.6
6-GRAZEN SKY 94.5
3-GOT EVEN 93.2
5-BETTER BET 93.2
2-BIG TIRE 90.0
4-DEAD EASY 85.0

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
4-TOEWS ON ICE 88.1
1-DR. DORR 80.8
3-STREET VISION 80.2
2-JURY 79.6 (3 wide)
5-MAC DADDY MAC 74.9 (3 wide)

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
13-BASINCA 79.0 (3 wide)
11-LEGITIMATE 79.0 (4 wide)
4-WATCH MY DUST 62.2 (4 wide)
7-DREFONG 57.5 (off slow)

1st time starters - 2, 3, 10, 12, 9, 5, 14

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Friday, November 13, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1
6-ATHENS 86.3
4-MOONLIGHT MEETING 77.8
3-NOBLE KENT 76.6
1-TOSHEEN 67.0
2-SEA PREACHER 55.5

RACE 2
1-JUANSAGAIN 74.9
5-PIPPAPPY 72.6
4-INSPIRED WISDOM 70.9
3-THE CUSTODIAN 69.2
7-PLAYER'S CHARM 64.8

RACE 3
6-CASS IN STONE 74.3
4-SUNBEAMSFROMHEAVEN 69.2
2-HENRY'S HOLIDAY 67.5
5-INEXCESS TIME 65.9
7-BLUE ANCHOR 61.6

RACE 4
1-OUT OF PATIENCE 89.4
2-SIZZLIN' JOE 86.9
3-ANYTHINGSCOOKIN 86.3
5-INFINITE MAGIC 84.4
8-YOU KNOW I KNOW 83.8

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
3-ONE BYE TWO 49.2
7-PASSIONATE EMOTION 45.5 (4 wide)
8-OF COURSE IT IS 38.2
2-OLOTTA SHAKEN 36.6
9-SWAG MONEY 33.0 (3 wide)

1st time starters - 5, 1, 4

RACE 6
11-EXPLICABLE 72.0
4-CARDINI 69.5
2-WHIM 64.3
6-STURDY ONE 62.7
1-ROCKPORT DANCER 58.5

1st time starters - 5

RACE 7
10-RUNAWAY CHERIE 81.4
4-SARAHLINE 79.6
11-ENDURING ERIN 79.0
9-CIRCLING 78.4
8-CADET RONI 76.4
5-SWEETRAYOFSUNSHINE 74.0

RACE 8
7-MY SILVER CAT 65.9
2-UNUSUAL STORM 61.6
5-MS. K J 60.6
4-FLEXIBLE ETHICS 59.6
6-SEAWARD COTTAGE 57.5
9-STICKTOTHESCRIPT 55.0

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Thursday, November 12, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.


RACE 1
3-PICASSO'S MANDOLIN 83.8
6-POWER OF HOPE 74.3
2-STATESMAN 58.5
1-AWESOME OCEAN 36.6

1st time starters - 4, 5

RACE 2
5-NO TRICKS FOR JACK 75.7
6-TELL HER YES 72.6
1-MIDNIGHT LADY 69.2
2-MUDGE 58.0
3-FLYIN FOR A LIVIN 58.0

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-STRAIGHT N STRONG 59.6

1st time starters - 3, 7, 5, 8, 6, 4

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
5-COURAGEOUS DAVE 64.3
4-GREYSON AND JOHN 50.2
7-DR. CRABBY 48.3
3-BROWNIE FINALE 42.9
1-CARLOS DANGEROUS 41.6
6-STORY OF HER LIFE 41.6

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
5-AND THEN SOME 58.0
1-ASIAN SUN 50.6
2-TOUGH IT OUT 46.9
8-GIO MIO 46.4
9-SPEEDIN WITH EDDIE 46.4

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
3-ONE LAST SHOT 88.8
1-UPTOWN TWIRL 74.9
6-MY DYNAMO 67.5
2-MISS BIG STUFF 64.3
4-SOONER TIME 61.1

RACE 7
5-HAY DUDE 102.5
2-HOLY LUTE 102.5
7-AOTEAROA 95.8
6-DI GIORGIO 93.2
8-RICHARD'S BOY 90.7
4-TOOWINDYTOHAULROX 89.4

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
11-PRINCESS KENDRA 46.0
6-TIZ PLEASANT 45.1
10-CORDIALITY 44.2
1-JUJU'S MOJO 31.5
4-PULPIT RULES 26.1

1st time starters - 7, 5, 8

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Wednesday, November 11, 2015

 

DEL MAR- SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK

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Monday, November 09, 2015

 

DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,353 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, November 08, 2015

 

DEL MAR FREE - HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $75,858.

RACE 1
8-IMAGE OF JOPLIN 89.4
4-CRUCERO 88.8
5-CHINA GIRL LOVER 88.1
7-SMALL TOWN COP 86.3
2-IT IS LIVING WATER 83.2

RACE 2
3-WEST MID 72.6
2-AMITIE POUR LA VIE 61.3
4-SLEW'S CHARM 56.5
5-LUCY DE 50.6 (off slow, off Dec. 14
6-MOONIE 41.6

1st time starters - 1

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
8-CHALKING IT UP 44.6
3-EXACTAMENTE 37.4
6-BLUE CHAT 36.2
4-KNIGHTWITHPUTNAM 32.4 (4 wide)
2-GENUINE LUCK 32.4

RACE 4
2-GREAT LOU 88.1
6-LONDON LEGACY 77.8
8-KAABRAAJ 72.6
1-MR. JAY D 70.3
7-HOT LIGHTNING 69.2

RACE 5
3-PAPA'S PLAYBOY 72.6
2-NEXT BOOK 70.3
8-EAGLE ROCK 70.3
6-FORMALLY WILD 67.0
4-I'M ZONIN 67.0
5-EL MONTEREY 67.0

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
8-IRON ROB 73.7
3-TUSK 73.1
7-OSCEOLA POND 62.7
4-ARABIAN LEOPARD 53.8
2-PHANTOM HEAT 44.6

1st time starters - 5, 1, 9

RACE 7
10-POWER JAM 101.8
1-LOGAN'S MOON 99.8
5-OLIGARCH 93.9
8-GOLDEN ATLANTIC 90.0
3-KILL SHOT 82.5
6-ROCKINATTEN 77.2

RACE 8
3-OUR PURE CREATION 86.9
5-MY MONET 85.0
4-WILD IN THE SADDLE 84.4
2-WONDERFUL LIE 79.0
6-YANA 77.2

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
2-ARCHAEO 75.2
3-TRUST YOUR GUT 72.2
7-TRISTAN'S TRILOGY 70.4
4-STRONG VALUES 59.6
8-GOT NO QUIT 57.7
10-SAN DIMAS 56.0

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Saturday, November 07, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.
4-ESPOSITO 77.2
3-LET'S MEET IN RIO 67.0 (off slow)
1-GOOD FOR IT 64.3
7-MIGHTY MOSES 58.5
2-MAD BUM 28.6 (broke in)

1st time starters - 6, 5

RACE 2
8-LIGHT STRIKER 87.0
4-WITH A TWIST 82.6
5-THUNDERING GALE 80.8
6-ODISSEIA 78.4
3-ZANBO 77.2

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
6-MIKE'S BENCHMARK 48.3 (off slow)
2-STAR EXPRESS 42.9
3-NUSRET 37.8
1-RINCON 35.4

1st time starters - 9, 8, 7, 4, 5

RACE 4
4-WHAT A VIEW 97.8
2-SOMETHINGS UNUSUAL 95.8
8-RED BUTTON 91.9
1-UNUSUAL FLEET 85.6
3-GRACHUS THE HUNTER 83.2

1st time starters - 5 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 5
10-DIVE DOWN 76.6
1-ANTINANCO 75.4
4-THE GOLD MONKEY 73.1
7-ICE CREAM TRUCK 72.0
9-JACKSON SUNDOWN 67.0

RACE 6
7-SPIRIT OF TEN 91.9
1-CAUSEWAY CAROLYN 90.0
5-GLORY 89.4
8-LAST KISS 86.9
3-INTOXICATING MOVE 83.8

RACE 7
6-KAFISTER 95.8
5-ALL RUN 95.2
4-CATIOUS GIANT 88.8
1-PAPA TURF 88.8
2-PRIME ISSUE 88.1
3-STORY TO TELL 86.9

RACE 8
7-CHAULK O LATTEY 95.2
5-BEAT OF THE DRUM 93.2
2-THREE HEARTS 93.2
4-CAST IN SILVER 91.3
6-ENERGIA FRIBBY 90.7

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
12-UNBRIDLED ROCKET 57.5
2-SMALL TOWN SHUFFLE 47.4 (3 wide)
1-SUPERSIDE 46.4 (3 wide)
10-PURRIN' PROUD 46.4
8-TWISTED EARL 45.1
11-PALAMON 45.1

1st time starters - 9, 3, 4

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Friday, November 06, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.


THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $39,886.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
3-RIRI 73.1 (3 wide)
5-BROOKYS STAR 70.4
4-OPTIMISM AND HOPE 69.8
2-DO THE DANCE 67.5
1-MAGNOLIAS IN BLOOM 57.5

RACE 2
2-ROCK N BUNNY 69.5
7-ZUZU'S PETALS 63.8
5-REALLY A PRINCESS 59.6
3-RACING FOR CHASEN 58.5
4-BAR CAR 58.0
1-RUNNINGWITHTHELUTE 58.0

RACE 3
2-SILVER SUMMER 50.2
6-STORMIN SWISS 40.7
1-THE BENCH RULES 34.2
3-A NEW TREND 24.8
5-ONE SMOOTH INDIAN 21.3

1st time starters - 7, 4

RACE 4
6-AVANTI BELLO 95.2
2-STORM COMIN THRU 86.3
1-CITY STATE 82.6
3-TRIBAL JEWEL 82.6
5-FORT CADY 79.6

RACE 5
10-TIZ A CLASSYLASS 72.0
6-CUDDLE ALERT 71.4
3-BLONDY'S REWARD 70.3
11-HOUSEMAKER 68.1
8-MIA'S STORM 64.3
5-THREE BLONDES 64.3

RACE 6
4-LUCKY REALITY 72.0
7-KRONWALL 50.2
6-CAPE ROYAL 50.2
1-XERXES 40.3
5-EXTRA LUCKY 29.7

1st time starters - 8

RACE 7
4-POSHSKY 98.4
3-JULES JOURNEY 93.9
10-HORIZONTALYSPEAKIN 93.2
5-ATOMIC RULE 93.2
9-KING OF JAZZ 91.9
7-HUSBAND'S FOLLY 90.7

RACE 8
2-SECRET CHORDS 85.6 (bobbled start, off Nov. 14)
1-SILVER SCORE 75.4
3-MAKENA 63.4 (broke slow)
4-EVERLOVIN WOMAN 62.2
6-MISS BLISS 60.6
10-BAMBOCHE 57.5

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Thursday, November 05, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1
5-BAYONET 60.6
1-WATDIFRENZDZITMAKE 53.0
4-SAYITRIGHT KAT 44.6
3-CLASS DIVINE 40.3
2-LUVURYAN 37.8

RACE 2
1-I'LL PLAY MY HAND 79.0
4-ZARQA STAR 57.5
3-RUN THE SHOW 55.5
6-INCREASE 55.5
2-YOKED 39.6
5-ROTH 35.4 (off slow, steadied)

RACE 3
3-ACHIEVER'S LEGACY 83.2
5-DISTINTA 80.2
1-SENZA FINA 78.4 (off Sept. 14)
4-ULTIMATE HOLIDAY 70.9
2-PICA 63.8

RACE 4
6-UNUSUALLY GREEN 91.3
3-GIN RIKI 87.5
5-EMPIRE KNIGHT 85.6
2-NAHEM 84.4
1-MR T BIRD 80.8
4-THANKSGIVING DAY 59.6

RACE 5
6-HENNYTHELOVEPENNY 76.0
5-VOCALIST 76.0
4-PONDER LEA 73.7
3-ALYESKA 69.8
2-STELLATA 56.5
1-ANNISQUAM 49.2

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
2-CHEEKABOO 64.8
4-ROO'S VALENTINE 59.0
6-LYNNE'S LEGACY 55.5
3-GOOD LOOKING 51.6
5-CALIFORNIASUNSHINE 49.2

RACE 7
8-BASMATI 86.9
3-AIRFOIL 82.6
2-HACKLETON 79.6
6-SEEKING THE SHERIF 78.4
4-I BUY GOLD 69.8
1-SPUD SPIVENS 65.9

RACE 8
5-SEND ME A SIGN 84.0
6-BOAT DRINKS 77.2
9-LOOKINFORADANGER 73.1
7-AUTUMN FLOWER 67.5
1-RASTANORA 67.2

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Wednesday, November 04, 2015

 

DEL MAR - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, November 03, 2015

 

DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,348 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, November 01, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.


THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $59,754.

RACE 1
7-WILD STREET PARTY 72.0
1-WARRENSDOLLARSIGNS 64.5
2-SUGAR SPICE 64.3
3-LUST FOR LIFE 61.1
5-LEXIE ARLEEN 57.5

RACE 2
2-IRON FIST 104.5
3-SOLID WAGER 93.2
4-JUST KIDDING 92.6
6-SAMMY MANDEVILLE 87.5
1-ALEX ROSSI 77.8

RACE 3
1-AT EASE 74.3
3-HEAT 61.1
5-ACE DUCE 59.6
6-CHANITO 58.0
7-COWBOY 57.0

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
6-MRS. NORRIS 56.0
2-CANDY GENOVESA 39.4

1st time starters - 7, 1, 3, 4, 5

RACE 5
8-PEPNIC 90.0
7-GIANT EGO 86.3
5-CHIPS ALL IN 83.2
3-SECOND PROPSAL 82.6
4-FEROCIOUS 76.0

RACE 6
7-PIPPAPPY 62.7
5-WARREN MY BOY 55.0
3-MR. PETE GOT EVEN 40.3
6-SOUTHEAST ASIA 39.9
8-WHAT WE DOING 31.5

1st time starters - 4

RACE 7
6-ELEKTRUM 101.1
2-STORMY LUCY 95.2
5-LIVING THE LIFE 95.2
4-UZZIEL 93.2
1-GENDER AGENDA 92.6

RACE 8
6-HIDE MY HEART 86.9
4-TOOMANYTOMATOES 73.7
5-WILD CAROLINE 68.1
8-IPRAY 64.3
1-SWISSARELLA 62.7
3-LAROCCO 60.1

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