Saturday, October 31, 2015
DEL MAR & BREEDERS CUP CLASSIC (KEENLAND) FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
KEENLAND - RACE 11 BREEDERS CUP CLASSIC
1-TONALIST 126.0
9-HONOR CODE 125.3
4-AMERICAN PHAROAH 123.0
5-GLENEAGLES 122.5
6-EFFINEX 121.5
2-KEEN ICE 120.8
7-SMOOTH ROLLER 117.9
3-FROSTED 115.7
8-HARD ACES 105.9
DEL MAR
RACE 1
5-AMBERELLA 67.0
3-YET ANOTHERKAFWAIN 65.9
1-BOSSERETTE 64.5
6-NAZARETH 64.3
2-ALTAIRA 62.7
4-LA PIPITI NICE 62.7
RACE 2
2-HYE I'M JACK 82.0
6-PRAY HARD 77.8
3-TANNERSMYMUSCLE 73.1
1-HAZARDOUS 68.1
5-W. GILES 59.6
RACE 3
3-BARBARA BEATRICE 79.6
5-WEST COAST STORM 77.2
4-JADE WITH ENVY 73.7
1-STOLE A KISS 73.7
7-HANSERELLA 69.8
RACE 4
2-HALF DOME DUDE 69.8
5-MONUMENT 69.2
1-ULTIMATE LUCK 64.8
3-SUNRISE LEGACY 59.0
4-DRESS CODE 54.0
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
8-AWARD IT 66.1
7-MOKAT 49.7
9-CORONADO COOL 49.0
1-AMBER LOUISE 46.6
2-NOTORIOUS NICOLE 44.7
1st time starters - 5, 3, 4
RACE 6
5-AVO 53.5
2-CANADIAN EXCHANGE 49.7
8-BERT'S BABY 48.8
1-CATALINA BONITA 46.9
4-DAPHNE'S DAY 45.1 (off Oct. 14)
9-MOTUTAPU 45.1
1st time starters - 6
RACE 7
6-GROUND RULES 97.6
3-PERFECTLY MAJESTIC 90.7
2-CRITTENDEN 86.9
1-ACCEPTANCE 85.0
4-DADDFY D T 76.0
5-FULED BY BOURBON 74.3
RACE 8
1-FINEST CITY 90.7
5-PLEASANT AS PIE 83.8
2-STEALTH DRONE 82.6
6-BIG BREAK 63.2
3-LETS GET FRISKY 57.0
RACE 9
3-SHEEZA MILKY WAY 61.6
2-TWO STEPS OF GLORY 61.4
1-AGUACATE 59.0
8-DREAMARCHER 49.5
7-MIDNIGHT IN GIADA 49.2
10-LADY CHAIRMAN 46.0
1st time starters - 5 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
KEENLAND - RACE 11 BREEDERS CUP CLASSIC
1-TONALIST 126.0
9-HONOR CODE 125.3
4-AMERICAN PHAROAH 123.0
5-GLENEAGLES 122.5
6-EFFINEX 121.5
2-KEEN ICE 120.8
7-SMOOTH ROLLER 117.9
3-FROSTED 115.7
8-HARD ACES 105.9
DEL MAR
RACE 1
5-AMBERELLA 67.0
3-YET ANOTHERKAFWAIN 65.9
1-BOSSERETTE 64.5
6-NAZARETH 64.3
2-ALTAIRA 62.7
4-LA PIPITI NICE 62.7
RACE 2
2-HYE I'M JACK 82.0
6-PRAY HARD 77.8
3-TANNERSMYMUSCLE 73.1
1-HAZARDOUS 68.1
5-W. GILES 59.6
RACE 3
3-BARBARA BEATRICE 79.6
5-WEST COAST STORM 77.2
4-JADE WITH ENVY 73.7
1-STOLE A KISS 73.7
7-HANSERELLA 69.8
RACE 4
2-HALF DOME DUDE 69.8
5-MONUMENT 69.2
1-ULTIMATE LUCK 64.8
3-SUNRISE LEGACY 59.0
4-DRESS CODE 54.0
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
8-AWARD IT 66.1
7-MOKAT 49.7
9-CORONADO COOL 49.0
1-AMBER LOUISE 46.6
2-NOTORIOUS NICOLE 44.7
1st time starters - 5, 3, 4
RACE 6
5-AVO 53.5
2-CANADIAN EXCHANGE 49.7
8-BERT'S BABY 48.8
1-CATALINA BONITA 46.9
4-DAPHNE'S DAY 45.1 (off Oct. 14)
9-MOTUTAPU 45.1
1st time starters - 6
RACE 7
6-GROUND RULES 97.6
3-PERFECTLY MAJESTIC 90.7
2-CRITTENDEN 86.9
1-ACCEPTANCE 85.0
4-DADDFY D T 76.0
5-FULED BY BOURBON 74.3
RACE 8
1-FINEST CITY 90.7
5-PLEASANT AS PIE 83.8
2-STEALTH DRONE 82.6
6-BIG BREAK 63.2
3-LETS GET FRISKY 57.0
RACE 9
3-SHEEZA MILKY WAY 61.6
2-TWO STEPS OF GLORY 61.4
1-AGUACATE 59.0
8-DREAMARCHER 49.5
7-MIDNIGHT IN GIADA 49.2
10-LADY CHAIRMAN 46.0
1st time starters - 5 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, October 30, 2015
DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
5-KNIGHT OF DRAMA 64.3
1-CLASSICO 63.8
2-TWO THE PUNCH 55.0
3-STORMING CANDY 46.9
4-LORD SNOW 38.2 (off slow, 3 wide)
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
7-TURN YOUR EYES 67.0
2-MALIBU DUDE 48.3
1-SWISS MISSLE 45.5
6-SPEEDIN WITH EDDIE 27.9
3-PRAIRIE PIZZAZZ 21.9
1st time starters - 5
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-HAIL MARY PLAY 62.7
5-SHARP HOLIDAY 53.0
2-AIMING STRIGHT 50.2
1-PUBLIC HOUSE 44.3
6-MISS LORI 43.3
RACE 4
12-LUCKY STUDENT 85.6
3-NO COMPARISON 85.0
2-SILVER MOJAVE 80.2
7-EASTER FEVER 75.6
8-SKY FOREVER 74.3
RACE 5
3-WARREN'S PURRFECT 57.5
7-CHICAGO ANGEL 57.0
2-APPEALING LADY 51.6
8-MISS STAR MAKER 51.6
5-KATY'S PLUM 46.0
RACE 6
6-DYLAN WARD 82.6
7-BLUE LAW 82.0
1-ANOTHER HOUSE 80.8
5-FISHEL 76.6
3-ONE OF THE GREATS 69.9
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
2-SMOKEY IMAGE 91.9
7-FAMILY CODE 80.8
4-RECORD HIGHS 76.6
8-MANA STRIKE 70.9 (4 wide)
9-FOUND MONEY 67.5
5-BULLY PULPIT 66.4
RACE 8
1-BAL A BALI 107.3
8-BIG CAZANOVA 101.8
4-TEXAS RYANO 101.8
6-KULIK LODGE 100.4
2-LITTLE JERRY 97.8
RACE 9
8-MOTHERNATURESPELL 65.4
2-FAB FOUR EVER 64.3
4-SCATCHMEIFYOUCAN 63.8
6-PRIVATE TERRACE 59.6
10-MYRNA LOU 59.0
9-FLEXIBLE ETHICS 58.0
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
5-KNIGHT OF DRAMA 64.3
1-CLASSICO 63.8
2-TWO THE PUNCH 55.0
3-STORMING CANDY 46.9
4-LORD SNOW 38.2 (off slow, 3 wide)
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
7-TURN YOUR EYES 67.0
2-MALIBU DUDE 48.3
1-SWISS MISSLE 45.5
6-SPEEDIN WITH EDDIE 27.9
3-PRAIRIE PIZZAZZ 21.9
1st time starters - 5
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-HAIL MARY PLAY 62.7
5-SHARP HOLIDAY 53.0
2-AIMING STRIGHT 50.2
1-PUBLIC HOUSE 44.3
6-MISS LORI 43.3
RACE 4
12-LUCKY STUDENT 85.6
3-NO COMPARISON 85.0
2-SILVER MOJAVE 80.2
7-EASTER FEVER 75.6
8-SKY FOREVER 74.3
RACE 5
3-WARREN'S PURRFECT 57.5
7-CHICAGO ANGEL 57.0
2-APPEALING LADY 51.6
8-MISS STAR MAKER 51.6
5-KATY'S PLUM 46.0
RACE 6
6-DYLAN WARD 82.6
7-BLUE LAW 82.0
1-ANOTHER HOUSE 80.8
5-FISHEL 76.6
3-ONE OF THE GREATS 69.9
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
2-SMOKEY IMAGE 91.9
7-FAMILY CODE 80.8
4-RECORD HIGHS 76.6
8-MANA STRIKE 70.9 (4 wide)
9-FOUND MONEY 67.5
5-BULLY PULPIT 66.4
RACE 8
1-BAL A BALI 107.3
8-BIG CAZANOVA 101.8
4-TEXAS RYANO 101.8
6-KULIK LODGE 100.4
2-LITTLE JERRY 97.8
RACE 9
8-MOTHERNATURESPELL 65.4
2-FAB FOUR EVER 64.3
4-SCATCHMEIFYOUCAN 63.8
6-PRIVATE TERRACE 59.6
10-MYRNA LOU 59.0
9-FLEXIBLE ETHICS 58.0
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, October 29, 2015
DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-DOYOUKNOWSOMETHING 66.4
2-PLAYER'S CHARM 63.6
1-VARTAN 63.2
4-EXEMPLER 61.4
3-WARREN'S CASPER 58.5
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-PICO CHICK 48.3
5-EXIT SIXTY SLEW 35.4
4-AMARE 25.8
2-FEELING TALKATIVE 18.0
3-PROVOCATIVE SONG 9.4 (4 wide)
1st time starters - 6
RACE 3
5-FOLLOW ME CREV 88.8
2-ZIM N THE MAILMAN 79.9
1-BLACK TIE 78.4
6-VILLAGE KITTEN 76.6
8-MISTER BLUE 72.6
7-SUNBEAMSFROMHEAVEN 72.6
RACE 4
2-NEWFOUND GOLD 95.8
1-SURF N SKI 79.0
3-KARMA KING 77.2
4-SIR BARCLAY 72.6
6-RAZORBILL 68.1
RACE 5
2-LOVENSEEK 82.0
6-JOHN'S SUCCESS 78.4
8-SHAKE THINGS UP 76.6
3-HIGHWAY BOSS 74.3
5-ROCKIN ROBIN 73.7
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
7-PACIFIC HEAT 82.6
10-PATRIOTIC DIAMOND 74.3
14-JUST GOOGLE ME 69.2
13-FORTHENINETEEN 59.0
5-DRAGON FLOWER 58.0
6-RED STITCH 58.0
RACE 7
2-SALSITA 86.9
4-VANLOSE STAIRWAY 83.8
10-TIZ A KISS 82.0
5-FOOLISH WAYS 76.6
8-SHOW STEALER 73.7
RACE 8
10-ROB'S PAL 70.4
3-DIRT IN YOUR FACE 69.8
4-GHOST OF NAVIGATOR 53.5
1-PIPEDREAMS 51.6
11-AFFLUENT ASSET 51.1
7-BORN TO SERVE 50.5
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-DOYOUKNOWSOMETHING 66.4
2-PLAYER'S CHARM 63.6
1-VARTAN 63.2
4-EXEMPLER 61.4
3-WARREN'S CASPER 58.5
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-PICO CHICK 48.3
5-EXIT SIXTY SLEW 35.4
4-AMARE 25.8
2-FEELING TALKATIVE 18.0
3-PROVOCATIVE SONG 9.4 (4 wide)
1st time starters - 6
RACE 3
5-FOLLOW ME CREV 88.8
2-ZIM N THE MAILMAN 79.9
1-BLACK TIE 78.4
6-VILLAGE KITTEN 76.6
8-MISTER BLUE 72.6
7-SUNBEAMSFROMHEAVEN 72.6
RACE 4
2-NEWFOUND GOLD 95.8
1-SURF N SKI 79.0
3-KARMA KING 77.2
4-SIR BARCLAY 72.6
6-RAZORBILL 68.1
RACE 5
2-LOVENSEEK 82.0
6-JOHN'S SUCCESS 78.4
8-SHAKE THINGS UP 76.6
3-HIGHWAY BOSS 74.3
5-ROCKIN ROBIN 73.7
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
7-PACIFIC HEAT 82.6
10-PATRIOTIC DIAMOND 74.3
14-JUST GOOGLE ME 69.2
13-FORTHENINETEEN 59.0
5-DRAGON FLOWER 58.0
6-RED STITCH 58.0
RACE 7
2-SALSITA 86.9
4-VANLOSE STAIRWAY 83.8
10-TIZ A KISS 82.0
5-FOOLISH WAYS 76.6
8-SHOW STEALER 73.7
RACE 8
10-ROB'S PAL 70.4
3-DIRT IN YOUR FACE 69.8
4-GHOST OF NAVIGATOR 53.5
1-PIPEDREAMS 51.6
11-AFFLUENT ASSET 51.1
7-BORN TO SERVE 50.5
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, October 28, 2015
SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, October 27, 2015
DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,342 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,342 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, October 25, 2015
FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going1 mile)
2-SUGAR BUZZ 64.3
6-COURAGEOUS DAVE 63.1
4-MISHEGAS 59.3
5-GLORY BOUND 40.3
1-TRIBAL ROAR 36.1
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-TIZ PLEASANT 42.0
2-NINE POINT NINE 37.4
3-TRINITYS TURN 30.8
5-MARIAN KATHERINE 27.5
10-PULPIT RULES 25.4
1st time starters - 1, 7, 9
RACE 3
1-WHERE Y'AT JOE JOE 84.4
3-SMACK TALK 73.7
5-LAMBO LUXX 68.6
2-PERCY FAWCETT 68.1
7-SWISS SILVER 66.4
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
9-PIRATE FLAG 42.4
10-OLD FASHION HALO 42.0
4-BLESSHERHEART 40.3
5-MC HOTTIE 39.4
7-MEXICAT 38.2
1st time starters - 3, 6
RACE 5
5-SPIRIT OF XIAN 94.5
6-BARUTA 90.7
2-VELVET MESQUITE 88.1
1-CHATI'S ON TOP 88.1
3-KOOL KAT 83.8
1st time starters - 8 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 6
6-DEKKO 82.6
5-AMERICAN BLEND 79.0
4-CANT DO THE DANSE 71.4
8-CARLSBAD MOUNTAIN 70.9
10-QATAR'S PEARL 70.9
RACE 7
11-CHIEF OF STAFF 96.5
7-GOT EVEN 92.6
6-CHINA GIRL LOVER 91.9
5-YOU KNOW I KNOW 88.1
9-DREAM POLICE 85.0
RACE 8
2-ODIN 90.0
7-GLOBAL MAGICIAN 83.2
1-KNOW PLANS 82.6
9-SMOKEY'S LEGACY 80.2
4-WILDCAT SAILOR 75.6
6-CIRCLE THE MOON 75.6
RACE 9
2-TOMMY'S STYLIN 80.8 (off March 14)
6-LUCKY REALITY 74.3
14-WHERE'S BUBBA 67.5
5-TRAVEL BOUND 65.9
8-CASS IN STONE 64.8
9-RESISTANCEISFUTILE 64.8
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going1 mile)
2-SUGAR BUZZ 64.3
6-COURAGEOUS DAVE 63.1
4-MISHEGAS 59.3
5-GLORY BOUND 40.3
1-TRIBAL ROAR 36.1
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-TIZ PLEASANT 42.0
2-NINE POINT NINE 37.4
3-TRINITYS TURN 30.8
5-MARIAN KATHERINE 27.5
10-PULPIT RULES 25.4
1st time starters - 1, 7, 9
RACE 3
1-WHERE Y'AT JOE JOE 84.4
3-SMACK TALK 73.7
5-LAMBO LUXX 68.6
2-PERCY FAWCETT 68.1
7-SWISS SILVER 66.4
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
9-PIRATE FLAG 42.4
10-OLD FASHION HALO 42.0
4-BLESSHERHEART 40.3
5-MC HOTTIE 39.4
7-MEXICAT 38.2
1st time starters - 3, 6
RACE 5
5-SPIRIT OF XIAN 94.5
6-BARUTA 90.7
2-VELVET MESQUITE 88.1
1-CHATI'S ON TOP 88.1
3-KOOL KAT 83.8
1st time starters - 8 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 6
6-DEKKO 82.6
5-AMERICAN BLEND 79.0
4-CANT DO THE DANSE 71.4
8-CARLSBAD MOUNTAIN 70.9
10-QATAR'S PEARL 70.9
RACE 7
11-CHIEF OF STAFF 96.5
7-GOT EVEN 92.6
6-CHINA GIRL LOVER 91.9
5-YOU KNOW I KNOW 88.1
9-DREAM POLICE 85.0
RACE 8
2-ODIN 90.0
7-GLOBAL MAGICIAN 83.2
1-KNOW PLANS 82.6
9-SMOKEY'S LEGACY 80.2
4-WILDCAT SAILOR 75.6
6-CIRCLE THE MOON 75.6
RACE 9
2-TOMMY'S STYLIN 80.8 (off March 14)
6-LUCKY REALITY 74.3
14-WHERE'S BUBBA 67.5
5-TRAVEL BOUND 65.9
8-CASS IN STONE 64.8
9-RESISTANCEISFUTILE 64.8
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, October 24, 2015
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
3-TULIRA CASTLE 91.9
1-TOLEDO EDDIE 79.0
5-MISTAKEN IDENTITY 77.8
2-CITY STATE 76.6
6-COSTAL BREEZE 68.1
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-STUDENT BODY LEFT 47.4
1st time starters - 2, 1, 7, 5, 4, 8, 3
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
8-FRAC CANDY 57.5
6-I'MCOMINGTHROUGH 46.4
4-PURRIN' PROUD 39.4
3-UNCLE REID 22.5
2-HEMAKESMYHEARTSING 19.4 (4 wide)
1st time starters - 9, 7, 1
RACE 4
11-HAWKEDON 93.2
5-ROY H 91.3
12-KILL SHOT 90.7
6-INCLINE VILLAGE 88.1
13-QUICK SILVER 84.4
RACE 5
5-WARREN'S CRACKER 67.0
8-IMWITHTHEBLONDE 65.9
1-GOLDS VENICE 65.9
3-FAST MAGOO 62.7
6-EXFANOFSIXTIES 59.6
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-IRON ROB 70.9
2-ARABIAN LEOPARD 53.0
8-OPPIDUM 51.6 (3 wide)
5-PAPA PAPA PAPA 10.9
1st time starters - 1, 3, 7, 9, 6
RACE 7
3-OM 104.5
4-GROUND RULES 96.9
8-ROYAL ALBERT HALL 91.3
6-SOUL DRIVER 90.0
9-SECOND SUMMER 88.8
1st time starters - 2 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 8
5-DORTMUND 120.8
3-POINT PIPER 104.5
6-MYSTERY TRAIN 103.8
2-MOTOWN MEN 97.1
4-SOI PHET 94.6
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
5-STRONG VALUES 58.0
6-UNAPOLOGETIC 53.0
7-CANADA 52.1
10-BRITISH BULLDOG 48.3
8-QUALITY LINE 48.3
4-UNDENIABLE U 36.2 (off slow)
1st time starters - 9, 11, 1, 3, 2
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
3-TULIRA CASTLE 91.9
1-TOLEDO EDDIE 79.0
5-MISTAKEN IDENTITY 77.8
2-CITY STATE 76.6
6-COSTAL BREEZE 68.1
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-STUDENT BODY LEFT 47.4
1st time starters - 2, 1, 7, 5, 4, 8, 3
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
8-FRAC CANDY 57.5
6-I'MCOMINGTHROUGH 46.4
4-PURRIN' PROUD 39.4
3-UNCLE REID 22.5
2-HEMAKESMYHEARTSING 19.4 (4 wide)
1st time starters - 9, 7, 1
RACE 4
11-HAWKEDON 93.2
5-ROY H 91.3
12-KILL SHOT 90.7
6-INCLINE VILLAGE 88.1
13-QUICK SILVER 84.4
RACE 5
5-WARREN'S CRACKER 67.0
8-IMWITHTHEBLONDE 65.9
1-GOLDS VENICE 65.9
3-FAST MAGOO 62.7
6-EXFANOFSIXTIES 59.6
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-IRON ROB 70.9
2-ARABIAN LEOPARD 53.0
8-OPPIDUM 51.6 (3 wide)
5-PAPA PAPA PAPA 10.9
1st time starters - 1, 3, 7, 9, 6
RACE 7
3-OM 104.5
4-GROUND RULES 96.9
8-ROYAL ALBERT HALL 91.3
6-SOUL DRIVER 90.0
9-SECOND SUMMER 88.8
1st time starters - 2 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 8
5-DORTMUND 120.8
3-POINT PIPER 104.5
6-MYSTERY TRAIN 103.8
2-MOTOWN MEN 97.1
4-SOI PHET 94.6
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
5-STRONG VALUES 58.0
6-UNAPOLOGETIC 53.0
7-CANADA 52.1
10-BRITISH BULLDOG 48.3
8-QUALITY LINE 48.3
4-UNDENIABLE U 36.2 (off slow)
1st time starters - 9, 11, 1, 3, 2
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, October 23, 2015
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-DERBY GLASS 79.6
5-GUNSLINGER 79.6
1-DAY IN THE SUN 72.0
3-L'S CHOICE 69.8
4-GOLD TREASURE 69.2
RACE 2
2-NEVER ENDS 99.1
1-GLORYZAPPER 88.8
3-TIZ KISSABLE 83.2
5-MELANISTIC 82.6
4-BOTTLE BLONDE 79.6
RACE 3
6-NOT TOO SHINY 88.8
3-RAMONA'S WILDCAT 88.1
1-INTOXICATING MOVE 84.4
2-DOODETTA 84.4
4-SAYES SO 83.8
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
8-MOR SPIRIT 82.5
4-NIGHTLY NEWS 72.0
1-URLACHER 71.6
2-WISE TALE 64.2
3-RECALIBRATING 52.5
RACE 5
3-SORESCA 82.6
7-WITH A TWIST 82.0
8-AGUSTINA DE ARAGON 82.0
2-ZANBO 81.4
1-KADESHA 80.2
RACE 6
5-CLASSIC GENT 81.4
8-TIZ JOLIE 69.8
4-AIN'T MISBEHAVIN 69.2
7-KENJIISLUCKY 68.1
6-FRAT BOY 65.4
RACE 7
10-HOBBITS HERO 90.7
1-I'LL WRAP IT UP 89.4
12-BUYMEABOND 88.8
2-ANYTHINGSCOOKIN 85.6
9-BACK TO BAKO 85.0
4-MAL VERDE 85.0
RACE 8
4-KISS MY FACE 56.5
7-FLOWINWITHTHEBREEZ 56.0 (off Oct. 14)
9-SEAWARD COTTAGE 49.2
2-BOLT UP 44.2
8-JAZZED 41.6
5-GEISTREITER 41.1 (off slow)
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-DERBY GLASS 79.6
5-GUNSLINGER 79.6
1-DAY IN THE SUN 72.0
3-L'S CHOICE 69.8
4-GOLD TREASURE 69.2
RACE 2
2-NEVER ENDS 99.1
1-GLORYZAPPER 88.8
3-TIZ KISSABLE 83.2
5-MELANISTIC 82.6
4-BOTTLE BLONDE 79.6
RACE 3
6-NOT TOO SHINY 88.8
3-RAMONA'S WILDCAT 88.1
1-INTOXICATING MOVE 84.4
2-DOODETTA 84.4
4-SAYES SO 83.8
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
8-MOR SPIRIT 82.5
4-NIGHTLY NEWS 72.0
1-URLACHER 71.6
2-WISE TALE 64.2
3-RECALIBRATING 52.5
RACE 5
3-SORESCA 82.6
7-WITH A TWIST 82.0
8-AGUSTINA DE ARAGON 82.0
2-ZANBO 81.4
1-KADESHA 80.2
RACE 6
5-CLASSIC GENT 81.4
8-TIZ JOLIE 69.8
4-AIN'T MISBEHAVIN 69.2
7-KENJIISLUCKY 68.1
6-FRAT BOY 65.4
RACE 7
10-HOBBITS HERO 90.7
1-I'LL WRAP IT UP 89.4
12-BUYMEABOND 88.8
2-ANYTHINGSCOOKIN 85.6
9-BACK TO BAKO 85.0
4-MAL VERDE 85.0
RACE 8
4-KISS MY FACE 56.5
7-FLOWINWITHTHEBREEZ 56.0 (off Oct. 14)
9-SEAWARD COTTAGE 49.2
2-BOLT UP 44.2
8-JAZZED 41.6
5-GEISTREITER 41.1 (off slow)
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, October 22, 2015
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $311,100.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
2-REDNECK CRAZY 53.5
7-SMALL TOWN SHUFFLE 46.9
4-FINNERTY'S FOLLY 39.9 (4 wide)
6-NUSRET 32.3
1st time starters - 3, 1, 5
RACE 2
5-SADIE CLARE 62.2
3-QUINNETTE 61.6
2-LUCKY S. J. 49.7
4-DESERT MADAM 48.8
1-TATUM'S GOLD 45.8
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
2-SUAVEMENTE 45.5
1-COLLECT THE DEBT 41.1 (3 wide)
5-STAR EXPRESS 37.8
3-DIXIE WRITER 31.9
6-DINNER AT TRANI'S 31.9
1st time starters - 4
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-HURRICAINE CALLIE 59.6
2-ROO'S VALENTINE 55.5
1-LATE'N LEFT
5-OLOTTA SHAKEN 37.0
8-EASY GRADER 36.2 (3 wide)
1st time starters - 6, 7
RACE 5
9-LAMAAN 72.6
10-I'LL PLAY MY HAND 72.5
7-BROKEN UP 69.2
2-SELECTION 69.2
8-UNUSUALLY BIG 69.2
RACE 6
6-PERFECT SET 105.2
8-IKE WALKER 88.1
2-PREACHER ROE 85.0
3-KNOCK EM FLAT 83.8
7-FANCY SHOES 79.6
RACE 7
2-WANSTEAD GARDENS 103.1
4-ABBEY VALE 100.4
6-SOUTHERN FREEDOM 93.9
5-FLAMBOYANT 86.3
3-PROCUREMENT 85.0
RACE 8
10-DEVIL RISING 80.8
5-MARKET NOTES 77.2
9-SYNDICATED 72.6
3-SECRET COMMAND 70.3
8-MR. ITKINS 70.3
4-GEORGE'S MAIN MAN 67.5
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $311,100.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
2-REDNECK CRAZY 53.5
7-SMALL TOWN SHUFFLE 46.9
4-FINNERTY'S FOLLY 39.9 (4 wide)
6-NUSRET 32.3
1st time starters - 3, 1, 5
RACE 2
5-SADIE CLARE 62.2
3-QUINNETTE 61.6
2-LUCKY S. J. 49.7
4-DESERT MADAM 48.8
1-TATUM'S GOLD 45.8
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
2-SUAVEMENTE 45.5
1-COLLECT THE DEBT 41.1 (3 wide)
5-STAR EXPRESS 37.8
3-DIXIE WRITER 31.9
6-DINNER AT TRANI'S 31.9
1st time starters - 4
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-HURRICAINE CALLIE 59.6
2-ROO'S VALENTINE 55.5
1-LATE'N LEFT
5-OLOTTA SHAKEN 37.0
8-EASY GRADER 36.2 (3 wide)
1st time starters - 6, 7
RACE 5
9-LAMAAN 72.6
10-I'LL PLAY MY HAND 72.5
7-BROKEN UP 69.2
2-SELECTION 69.2
8-UNUSUALLY BIG 69.2
RACE 6
6-PERFECT SET 105.2
8-IKE WALKER 88.1
2-PREACHER ROE 85.0
3-KNOCK EM FLAT 83.8
7-FANCY SHOES 79.6
RACE 7
2-WANSTEAD GARDENS 103.1
4-ABBEY VALE 100.4
6-SOUTHERN FREEDOM 93.9
5-FLAMBOYANT 86.3
3-PROCUREMENT 85.0
RACE 8
10-DEVIL RISING 80.8
5-MARKET NOTES 77.2
9-SYNDICATED 72.6
3-SECRET COMMAND 70.3
8-MR. ITKINS 70.3
4-GEORGE'S MAIN MAN 67.5
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, October 21, 2015
SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA PARK TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, October 20, 2015
SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA PARK TODAY
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,335 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,335 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, October 18, 2015
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $59,060.
NOTE: THERE WILL BE NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY. PICKS AND SELECTIONS WILL RETURN ON THURSDAY
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $59,060.
NOTE: THERE WILL BE NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY. PICKS AND SELECTIONS WILL RETURN ON THURSDAY
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, October 17, 2015
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-CALIFORNIA GIRL 65.4
3-WEST MID 63.8
1-JUST GOT LUCKY 61.6
4-WIRED FOR FUN 51.1 (off May 14)
7-PARASAIL 47.8 (off slow, 4 wide)
6-DON'T TELL JUDY 45.5 (steadied at start)
1st time starters - 5
RACE 2
4-JONNY'S CHOICE 79.0
3-GOLD CHASER 73.1
6-TOSHEEN 72.4
1-MUCHOS BESOS 71.4
8-LUCA 70.3
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
6-SHAKTI 69.8
1-SUTTON'S SMILE 55.0
3-ALBEIT 47.0
4-AND IN THE END 42.0
5-ADELINE MOON 31.9
1st time starters - 2, 8, 9
RACE 4
7-THE CLEANERS 82.0
2-SOUL CRUSHER 69.8
5-MAY B 68.6
10-DASHING ASH 65.4
8-HALF DOME DUDE 64.3
RACE 5
1-FORMALLY WILD 80.8
5-SWISS CHEESE 79.0
6-BOOMPA 63.8
9-KEEGERS 63.8
3-NEXT BOOK 62.7
RACE 6
9-IMAGE OF JOPLIN 88.8
8-OLD MAN LAKE 88.2
7-THE GOMPER 85.6
2-LIFE'S JOURNEY 85.0
5-BOAT TRIP 82.5
RACE 7
5-SKELTON PASS 101.8
8-SACRED OVATION 101.1
4-CAMINETTO 91.3
11-HACKLETON 90.0
7-SEEKING THE SHERIF 88.8
RACE 8
7-PAULINA'S LOVE 87.5
9-SINGING KITTY 86.9
1-MAJESTIC HEAT 86.3
4-BELLE HILL 85.8
6-ALL STAR BUB 84.0
1st time starters - 2 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
1-EXACTAMENTE 50.6
7-MINT JULEP TAFFY 47.4
6-LOV FOOL 34.2
5-PICO CHICK 25.4
11-AMARE 25.0
9-OF COURSE IT IS 21.9 (3 wide)
1st time starters - 3, 4, 2, 8
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-CALIFORNIA GIRL 65.4
3-WEST MID 63.8
1-JUST GOT LUCKY 61.6
4-WIRED FOR FUN 51.1 (off May 14)
7-PARASAIL 47.8 (off slow, 4 wide)
6-DON'T TELL JUDY 45.5 (steadied at start)
1st time starters - 5
RACE 2
4-JONNY'S CHOICE 79.0
3-GOLD CHASER 73.1
6-TOSHEEN 72.4
1-MUCHOS BESOS 71.4
8-LUCA 70.3
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
6-SHAKTI 69.8
1-SUTTON'S SMILE 55.0
3-ALBEIT 47.0
4-AND IN THE END 42.0
5-ADELINE MOON 31.9
1st time starters - 2, 8, 9
RACE 4
7-THE CLEANERS 82.0
2-SOUL CRUSHER 69.8
5-MAY B 68.6
10-DASHING ASH 65.4
8-HALF DOME DUDE 64.3
RACE 5
1-FORMALLY WILD 80.8
5-SWISS CHEESE 79.0
6-BOOMPA 63.8
9-KEEGERS 63.8
3-NEXT BOOK 62.7
RACE 6
9-IMAGE OF JOPLIN 88.8
8-OLD MAN LAKE 88.2
7-THE GOMPER 85.6
2-LIFE'S JOURNEY 85.0
5-BOAT TRIP 82.5
RACE 7
5-SKELTON PASS 101.8
8-SACRED OVATION 101.1
4-CAMINETTO 91.3
11-HACKLETON 90.0
7-SEEKING THE SHERIF 88.8
RACE 8
7-PAULINA'S LOVE 87.5
9-SINGING KITTY 86.9
1-MAJESTIC HEAT 86.3
4-BELLE HILL 85.8
6-ALL STAR BUB 84.0
1st time starters - 2 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
1-EXACTAMENTE 50.6
7-MINT JULEP TAFFY 47.4
6-LOV FOOL 34.2
5-PICO CHICK 25.4
11-AMARE 25.0
9-OF COURSE IT IS 21.9 (3 wide)
1st time starters - 3, 4, 2, 8
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, October 16, 2015
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $195,894.
RACE 1
5-STEALTH DRONE 80.8
1-INSIDE SCOOP 74.9
4-EXPOSURE 74.3
3-MASTER THE BLUES 71.4
2-FRISCO FOG 65.9
RACE 2
4-LUVURYAN 60.6
2-WATDIFRENZDZITMAKE 55.5
6-CLASS DIVINE 49.7
3-CHIA LOVE 44.2
5-AGUACITA 43.3
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f. on turf)
7-AMERICAN LEAGUE 59.0
6-TRISTAN'S TRIOLOGY 48.9
5-TRUST YOUR GUT 48.5 (stumbled at start)
10-FRANK CONVERSATION 35.4
4-ARCHAEO 32.6
1st time starters - 8, 3, 2, 9
RACE 4
4-LILY POD 72.6
6-UNTOUCHABLE U 71.4
1-SO SWEETITIZ 69.8
2-BACK BEAUTY 57.5
1st time starters - 3, 5
RACE 5
4-ALAMO 97.8
6-SLEEPWALKER 71.0
5-HEAT 67.9
3-ONE OF THE GREATS 67.5
8-FILM FREAK 65.9 (off Nov. 14)
1st time starters -7, 2
RACE 6
3-ENDURING ERIN 79.6
5-I'M NO PATSY 73.1
6-KRISTINITE 71.4
1-LUCK OUT 70.3
4-LIGHT STRIKER 69.2
RACE 7
6-CHAULK O LATTEY 92.6
1-CAUSEWAY CAROLYN 89.4
4-GUSTO DOLCE 89.4
2-RATTATAPTAP 87.5
5-HUG AND A KISS 80.2
RACE 8
7-THIRD DIVISION 59.0
5-CHROMIUM 52.6
6-SILVER SUMMER 44.6
4-CAPE ROYAL 39.9
8-EXTRA LUCKY 13.8
1st time starters - 2, 3, 1
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $195,894.
RACE 1
5-STEALTH DRONE 80.8
1-INSIDE SCOOP 74.9
4-EXPOSURE 74.3
3-MASTER THE BLUES 71.4
2-FRISCO FOG 65.9
RACE 2
4-LUVURYAN 60.6
2-WATDIFRENZDZITMAKE 55.5
6-CLASS DIVINE 49.7
3-CHIA LOVE 44.2
5-AGUACITA 43.3
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f. on turf)
7-AMERICAN LEAGUE 59.0
6-TRISTAN'S TRIOLOGY 48.9
5-TRUST YOUR GUT 48.5 (stumbled at start)
10-FRANK CONVERSATION 35.4
4-ARCHAEO 32.6
1st time starters - 8, 3, 2, 9
RACE 4
4-LILY POD 72.6
6-UNTOUCHABLE U 71.4
1-SO SWEETITIZ 69.8
2-BACK BEAUTY 57.5
1st time starters - 3, 5
RACE 5
4-ALAMO 97.8
6-SLEEPWALKER 71.0
5-HEAT 67.9
3-ONE OF THE GREATS 67.5
8-FILM FREAK 65.9 (off Nov. 14)
1st time starters -7, 2
RACE 6
3-ENDURING ERIN 79.6
5-I'M NO PATSY 73.1
6-KRISTINITE 71.4
1-LUCK OUT 70.3
4-LIGHT STRIKER 69.2
RACE 7
6-CHAULK O LATTEY 92.6
1-CAUSEWAY CAROLYN 89.4
4-GUSTO DOLCE 89.4
2-RATTATAPTAP 87.5
5-HUG AND A KISS 80.2
RACE 8
7-THIRD DIVISION 59.0
5-CHROMIUM 52.6
6-SILVER SUMMER 44.6
4-CAPE ROYAL 39.9
8-EXTRA LUCKY 13.8
1st time starters - 2, 3, 1
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, October 15, 2015
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $52,585.
RACE 1
5-STRONG LIKE A BULL 68.1
3-ULTIMATE LUCK 65.9
6-BLUEGRASS SIGHT 65.4
2-COMANCHE RULER 61.6
4-SILVERTRON 56.5
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
3-I'M A DRAMA MAMA 38.8
1-PIRATE FLAG 37.4
5-CHALKING IT UP 34.2
6-STREET GODDESS 30.0
4-AMERICAN LIONESS 10.5
1st time starters - 2
RACE 3
5-PEPNIC 91.3
1-CLEVER ROYAL 87.5
6-FUELED BY BOURBON 87.5
4-PURE LOYALTY 83.2
3-JAZZY JOSH 78.4
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
2-AFLEET DOMINATION 61.1
5-NICARDALIC ROCKS 43.8
4-STORM QUEST 30.4
6-MONEY MAKIN MIKE 27.6
3-I'M A SUSPECT 18.0
RACE 5
2-CARNIVAL LIGHTS 69.2
3-BIJOUX 68.1 (off Aug. 14)9
4-YA YA GIRL 67.0
6-SOCIALIZED 63.8
1-ART OF WAR 62.5
RACE 6
1-RUNNINGWITHTHELUTE 65.9
2-MOSCATO GIRL 61.1
6-SEEK SAFE HARBOR 52.1
5-LIL CHEYENNE 52.1
4-REALLY A PRINCESS 50.6
RACE 7
10-WHAT A VIEW 88.1
2-IT IS LIVING WATER 86.3
5-ELEVEN ZIP 84.4
9-DURANGO FLIER 83.8
4-RAINBOW NORTH 80.8
RACE 8
11-TAKE IT EASYPLEASE 60.1
9-ELIMINATION ROUND 56.0
3-MOOSSA'S LEGACY 52.1 (4 wide)
13-APARRI 46.4 (off Dec. 14)
7-CAPE'S ROCKETTE 41.1
12-KIANA'S DREAM 39.4
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $52,585.
RACE 1
5-STRONG LIKE A BULL 68.1
3-ULTIMATE LUCK 65.9
6-BLUEGRASS SIGHT 65.4
2-COMANCHE RULER 61.6
4-SILVERTRON 56.5
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
3-I'M A DRAMA MAMA 38.8
1-PIRATE FLAG 37.4
5-CHALKING IT UP 34.2
6-STREET GODDESS 30.0
4-AMERICAN LIONESS 10.5
1st time starters - 2
RACE 3
5-PEPNIC 91.3
1-CLEVER ROYAL 87.5
6-FUELED BY BOURBON 87.5
4-PURE LOYALTY 83.2
3-JAZZY JOSH 78.4
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
2-AFLEET DOMINATION 61.1
5-NICARDALIC ROCKS 43.8
4-STORM QUEST 30.4
6-MONEY MAKIN MIKE 27.6
3-I'M A SUSPECT 18.0
RACE 5
2-CARNIVAL LIGHTS 69.2
3-BIJOUX 68.1 (off Aug. 14)9
4-YA YA GIRL 67.0
6-SOCIALIZED 63.8
1-ART OF WAR 62.5
RACE 6
1-RUNNINGWITHTHELUTE 65.9
2-MOSCATO GIRL 61.1
6-SEEK SAFE HARBOR 52.1
5-LIL CHEYENNE 52.1
4-REALLY A PRINCESS 50.6
RACE 7
10-WHAT A VIEW 88.1
2-IT IS LIVING WATER 86.3
5-ELEVEN ZIP 84.4
9-DURANGO FLIER 83.8
4-RAINBOW NORTH 80.8
RACE 8
11-TAKE IT EASYPLEASE 60.1
9-ELIMINATION ROUND 56.0
3-MOOSSA'S LEGACY 52.1 (4 wide)
13-APARRI 46.4 (off Dec. 14)
7-CAPE'S ROCKETTE 41.1
12-KIANA'S DREAM 39.4
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, October 14, 2015
SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA PARK TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, October 13, 2015
SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA PARK TODAY
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,329 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,329 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Monday, October 12, 2015
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR MONDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
3-GOLDEN ATLANTIC 63.8 (3 wide)
2-POWER OF HOPE 61.1
4-GEORGE ZIP 43.8 (4 wide)
1-KETCHUM 27.9 (5 wide, off June 14)
1st time starters - 6, 5
RACE 2
1-LEXIE ARLEEN 77.8
2-SUGAR SPICE 76.0
8-BEST IN CLASS 67.0
4-LUST FOR LIFE 64.8
7-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 52.6
RACE 3
4-BAYONET 59.6
7-WARREN'S PURRFECT 57.5
3-KATY'S PLUM 49.7
1-STICH AND RIP 49.2
6-DANCER'S KISS 48.3
RACE 4
1-AMBITIOUS BREW 105.2
6-FOREST CHATTER 104.5
2-ROCK ME BABY 95.2
4-SOMETHINGS UNUSUAL 88.1
3-K THIRTY EIGHT 84.4
RACE 5
3-SOUL FLYER 78.4
1-ROCKIN DORITA 70.3
6-ZUZU'S PETALS 69.8
7-Q'VIVA 68.1
2-SKY FOREVER 61.6
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2f. on turf)
1-TIZ A BILLY 61.1
12-TRISTAN'S TRIOLOGY 46.4 (4 wide)
4-SILENT MOVIES 39.0 (3 wide)
3-GOTNOQUIT 38.2 (3 wide)
9-BRUNTINO 37.4
1st time starters - 10, 6, 2, 7, 8
RACE 7
1-WARREN'S T. BAZE 69.8
7-JUANSAGAIN 68.6
3-EL MONTERY 67.5
9-NORTHERN IOWA 64.8
6-ZACKOS MY MAN 59.6
8-HEAVEMLY HAZE 59.6
RACE 8
7-JULES JOURNEY 97.1
3-CHIROPRACTOR 93.9
9-AOTEAROA 93.2
8-YES YES YES 91.3
6-PATENTAR 88.1
1st time starters - 10 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 9
12-WADE 78.4
11-THE CUSTODIAN 73.1
2-SUNDAR DRUMS 72.6
4-DIABLO CABALLERO 70.3
13-WHERE WAS EDDIE 65.9
8-ZIP THE MONKEY 57.5
1st time starters - 10
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
3-GOLDEN ATLANTIC 63.8 (3 wide)
2-POWER OF HOPE 61.1
4-GEORGE ZIP 43.8 (4 wide)
1-KETCHUM 27.9 (5 wide, off June 14)
1st time starters - 6, 5
RACE 2
1-LEXIE ARLEEN 77.8
2-SUGAR SPICE 76.0
8-BEST IN CLASS 67.0
4-LUST FOR LIFE 64.8
7-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 52.6
RACE 3
4-BAYONET 59.6
7-WARREN'S PURRFECT 57.5
3-KATY'S PLUM 49.7
1-STICH AND RIP 49.2
6-DANCER'S KISS 48.3
RACE 4
1-AMBITIOUS BREW 105.2
6-FOREST CHATTER 104.5
2-ROCK ME BABY 95.2
4-SOMETHINGS UNUSUAL 88.1
3-K THIRTY EIGHT 84.4
RACE 5
3-SOUL FLYER 78.4
1-ROCKIN DORITA 70.3
6-ZUZU'S PETALS 69.8
7-Q'VIVA 68.1
2-SKY FOREVER 61.6
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2f. on turf)
1-TIZ A BILLY 61.1
12-TRISTAN'S TRIOLOGY 46.4 (4 wide)
4-SILENT MOVIES 39.0 (3 wide)
3-GOTNOQUIT 38.2 (3 wide)
9-BRUNTINO 37.4
1st time starters - 10, 6, 2, 7, 8
RACE 7
1-WARREN'S T. BAZE 69.8
7-JUANSAGAIN 68.6
3-EL MONTERY 67.5
9-NORTHERN IOWA 64.8
6-ZACKOS MY MAN 59.6
8-HEAVEMLY HAZE 59.6
RACE 8
7-JULES JOURNEY 97.1
3-CHIROPRACTOR 93.9
9-AOTEAROA 93.2
8-YES YES YES 91.3
6-PATENTAR 88.1
1st time starters - 10 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 9
12-WADE 78.4
11-THE CUSTODIAN 73.1
2-SUNDAR DRUMS 72.6
4-DIABLO CABALLERO 70.3
13-WHERE WAS EDDIE 65.9
8-ZIP THE MONKEY 57.5
1st time starters - 10
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, October 11, 2015
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
5-UNBRIDLED ROCKET 51.6
2-EL LUCERO 42.9
6-GREYSON AND JOHN 37.8
4-KELLY WITH A TWIST 37.0
1-RINCON 30.0
1st time starters - 7
RACE 2
5-FAB FOUR EVER 66.4
3-FOXY LOVER 65.4
7-ALOHA KE AKUA 58.0
6-OLEANDERPOLARBEAR 53.5
2-FLEXIBLE ETHICS 50.6
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
9-UNBRIDLED SUMMER 70.9
6-GENUINE LUCK 39.4
5-PART OF THE CHARM 28.6
1st time starters - 7, 3, 4, 1, 2, 8
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f. on turf)
2-DREAMARCHER 56.0
6-LEMON DROP SIS 37.4 (4 wide)
1-WISHFUL WINKING 26.8
4-NOTORIOUS NICOLE 24.4 (5 wide)
8-TWO STEPS OF GLORY 24.4 (4 wide)
1st time starters - 10, 13, 9, 7, 5, 12, 14
RACE 5
7-LADIES MAN 62.2
4-SON OF ELEANOR 59.0
5-XERXES 57.0
8-WARREN MY BOY 56.0
11-OUR NEW FLASH 43.8 (off Oct. 14)
1st time starters - 3, 12, 1, 9
RACE 6
13-ODISSEIA 95.2
8-SWEET AS A ROSE 90.0
7-TIZ A KISS 85.0
6-SHOW STEALER 84.4
10-CIRCLING 83.8
1st time starters - 4
RACE 7
6-WELL MEASURED 97.8
5-KAFISTER 97.1
4-ATHENS 86.9
9-HORSE LAUGH 86.9
8-ALEX ROSSI 81.4
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
8-MISS BIG STUFF 86.3
1-LEMHILL BASR 80.2
4-SURFSIDE TIARA 77.8
2-MAGNOLIAS IN BLOOM 73.1
5-UNDISPUTED 72.6
RACE 9
1-TRAITEUSE 76.0
7-TICABOO 75.4
5-HOUSEMAKER 74.3
3-IVANA BEAT YABAD 73.1
8-MIA'S STORM 69.8
10-BLONDY'S REWARD 69.2
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
5-UNBRIDLED ROCKET 51.6
2-EL LUCERO 42.9
6-GREYSON AND JOHN 37.8
4-KELLY WITH A TWIST 37.0
1-RINCON 30.0
1st time starters - 7
RACE 2
5-FAB FOUR EVER 66.4
3-FOXY LOVER 65.4
7-ALOHA KE AKUA 58.0
6-OLEANDERPOLARBEAR 53.5
2-FLEXIBLE ETHICS 50.6
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
9-UNBRIDLED SUMMER 70.9
6-GENUINE LUCK 39.4
5-PART OF THE CHARM 28.6
1st time starters - 7, 3, 4, 1, 2, 8
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f. on turf)
2-DREAMARCHER 56.0
6-LEMON DROP SIS 37.4 (4 wide)
1-WISHFUL WINKING 26.8
4-NOTORIOUS NICOLE 24.4 (5 wide)
8-TWO STEPS OF GLORY 24.4 (4 wide)
1st time starters - 10, 13, 9, 7, 5, 12, 14
RACE 5
7-LADIES MAN 62.2
4-SON OF ELEANOR 59.0
5-XERXES 57.0
8-WARREN MY BOY 56.0
11-OUR NEW FLASH 43.8 (off Oct. 14)
1st time starters - 3, 12, 1, 9
RACE 6
13-ODISSEIA 95.2
8-SWEET AS A ROSE 90.0
7-TIZ A KISS 85.0
6-SHOW STEALER 84.4
10-CIRCLING 83.8
1st time starters - 4
RACE 7
6-WELL MEASURED 97.8
5-KAFISTER 97.1
4-ATHENS 86.9
9-HORSE LAUGH 86.9
8-ALEX ROSSI 81.4
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
8-MISS BIG STUFF 86.3
1-LEMHILL BASR 80.2
4-SURFSIDE TIARA 77.8
2-MAGNOLIAS IN BLOOM 73.1
5-UNDISPUTED 72.6
RACE 9
1-TRAITEUSE 76.0
7-TICABOO 75.4
5-HOUSEMAKER 74.3
3-IVANA BEAT YABAD 73.1
8-MIA'S STORM 69.8
10-BLONDY'S REWARD 69.2
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, October 10, 2015
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
3-SEND ME A SIGN 69.3
4-LOOKINADANGER 68.1
2-ALMOST GUILTY 66.4
5-ENTEBBE 64.8
1st time starters - 6, 1
RACE 2
10-ILLUMINANT 83.8
13-BOAT DRINKS 76.6
11-AUDRA 70.0
2-REDHEADS RULE 68.1
4-TAP DANCING 66.4
1st time starters - 9, 1
RACE 3
5-THREE RED SEVENS 55.5
1-LUCKY SHOES TO WIN 52.6
3-ALL STAR PARADE 51.6
2-PIPEDREAMS 51.6
6-FINANCIAL 47.8
RACE 4
2-PLEASANT AS PIE 94.5 (4 wide)
6-MOYO HONEY 82.6
7-DADDY'S DUO 79.6
1-RADIANT JOURNEY 78.4
5-FASHIONED GEM 74.9
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
9-DRESSED IN HERMES 77.2
5-BULLY PULPIT 74.9
7-I'MALREADYTHERE 73.1
10-LUCKY BRYAN 69.2
2-GETOFFMYBACK 64.8
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
2-FAMILY CODE 70.3
7-BROWNIE FINALE 63.2
6-CARLOS DANGEROUS 55.0
4-DR. CRABBY 54.5
3-COURAGEOUS DAVE 54.0 (off slow)
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
7-LUCKY FOLIE 90.0
5-JAKABY JADE 73.1
10-ONE LAST SHOT 65.9
2-STAYS IN VEGAS 62.2
8-IMFLATOUTSWEET 61.1
1st time starters - 3 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
11-MINER'S LIGHT 80.2 (5 wide)
5-IRON ROB 70.9
1-SHUT THE BOX 42.9 (3 wide)
1st time starters - 6, 4, 9, 8, 12, 7, 3, 10
RACE 9
5-BRIMSTONED 97.1
10-AVANTI BELLO 95.2
7-VOLKONSKY 88.1
8-TRIBAL AGAIN 85.0
4-ROMAN TIZZY 83.8
RACE 10
11-AIN'T NO OTHER 94.5
10-TURNOVER 94.4
6-GIANT EGO 92.6
5-TOLEDO EDDIE 92.6
3-ROYAL F J 90.7
2-SECOND PROPOSAL 90.6
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
3-SEND ME A SIGN 69.3
4-LOOKINADANGER 68.1
2-ALMOST GUILTY 66.4
5-ENTEBBE 64.8
1st time starters - 6, 1
RACE 2
10-ILLUMINANT 83.8
13-BOAT DRINKS 76.6
11-AUDRA 70.0
2-REDHEADS RULE 68.1
4-TAP DANCING 66.4
1st time starters - 9, 1
RACE 3
5-THREE RED SEVENS 55.5
1-LUCKY SHOES TO WIN 52.6
3-ALL STAR PARADE 51.6
2-PIPEDREAMS 51.6
6-FINANCIAL 47.8
RACE 4
2-PLEASANT AS PIE 94.5 (4 wide)
6-MOYO HONEY 82.6
7-DADDY'S DUO 79.6
1-RADIANT JOURNEY 78.4
5-FASHIONED GEM 74.9
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
9-DRESSED IN HERMES 77.2
5-BULLY PULPIT 74.9
7-I'MALREADYTHERE 73.1
10-LUCKY BRYAN 69.2
2-GETOFFMYBACK 64.8
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
2-FAMILY CODE 70.3
7-BROWNIE FINALE 63.2
6-CARLOS DANGEROUS 55.0
4-DR. CRABBY 54.5
3-COURAGEOUS DAVE 54.0 (off slow)
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
7-LUCKY FOLIE 90.0
5-JAKABY JADE 73.1
10-ONE LAST SHOT 65.9
2-STAYS IN VEGAS 62.2
8-IMFLATOUTSWEET 61.1
1st time starters - 3 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
11-MINER'S LIGHT 80.2 (5 wide)
5-IRON ROB 70.9
1-SHUT THE BOX 42.9 (3 wide)
1st time starters - 6, 4, 9, 8, 12, 7, 3, 10
RACE 9
5-BRIMSTONED 97.1
10-AVANTI BELLO 95.2
7-VOLKONSKY 88.1
8-TRIBAL AGAIN 85.0
4-ROMAN TIZZY 83.8
RACE 10
11-AIN'T NO OTHER 94.5
10-TURNOVER 94.4
6-GIANT EGO 92.6
5-TOLEDO EDDIE 92.6
3-ROYAL F J 90.7
2-SECOND PROPOSAL 90.6
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, October 09, 2015
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $21,342.
RACE 1
2-MIDNIGHT LADY 74.3
3-MUDGE 65.9
1-SHEZA EYEOPENER 63.8
5-ZEES CHRIS 46.4
6-NO TRICKS FOR JACK 43.3
RACE 2
4-SARAHLINE 80.8
5-NEVER ENDS 72.0
3-BLUSHING ANGEL 70.4
1-YANA 68.6
6-SHE'S REDDY 63.2
RACE 3
3-TRUE HISTORY 71.4
6-L.A. MAGIC 65.1
8-ABETS ABET 64.3
2-EVO CAMPO 63.2
4-SISTER OF MERCY 62.2
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-KNIGHT OF DRAMA 59.6
1-TWO THE PUNCH 56.5 (4 wide)
3-GONE WITH IT 46.0
1st time starters - 5, 7, 2, 4
RACE 5
7-PEARL DE VERE 85.6
8-FRANDONTJUDGE 81.4
5-AUNTY PEARL 80.8
4-AN UNUSUAL GROUP 72.0
6-VERONICA BAY 65.4
RACE 6
8-INDIAN NATE 76.6
4-ICE CREAM TRUCK 74.3
6-OKAAD 71.4
9-THE GOLD MONKEY 68.1
5-A COLT FOLLOWING 67.5
RACE 7
13-CHAULK O LATTEY 92.6
10-CAUSEWAY CAROLYN 90.0
9-GUSTO DOLCE 89.4
8-BEAT OF THE DRUM 85.6
3-DEL MAR ANN 81.4
2-COLONEL JOAN 80.2
1st time starters - 5 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 8
3-JUST BOOKIN 55.5
10-CATALINA BONITA 53.0
11-CANADIAN EXCHANGE 50.2
5-MIDNIGHT LIEN 49.7
6-JAZZED 43.3
4-TWISTED 34.6
1st time starters - 8, 7
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $21,342.
RACE 1
2-MIDNIGHT LADY 74.3
3-MUDGE 65.9
1-SHEZA EYEOPENER 63.8
5-ZEES CHRIS 46.4
6-NO TRICKS FOR JACK 43.3
RACE 2
4-SARAHLINE 80.8
5-NEVER ENDS 72.0
3-BLUSHING ANGEL 70.4
1-YANA 68.6
6-SHE'S REDDY 63.2
RACE 3
3-TRUE HISTORY 71.4
6-L.A. MAGIC 65.1
8-ABETS ABET 64.3
2-EVO CAMPO 63.2
4-SISTER OF MERCY 62.2
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-KNIGHT OF DRAMA 59.6
1-TWO THE PUNCH 56.5 (4 wide)
3-GONE WITH IT 46.0
1st time starters - 5, 7, 2, 4
RACE 5
7-PEARL DE VERE 85.6
8-FRANDONTJUDGE 81.4
5-AUNTY PEARL 80.8
4-AN UNUSUAL GROUP 72.0
6-VERONICA BAY 65.4
RACE 6
8-INDIAN NATE 76.6
4-ICE CREAM TRUCK 74.3
6-OKAAD 71.4
9-THE GOLD MONKEY 68.1
5-A COLT FOLLOWING 67.5
RACE 7
13-CHAULK O LATTEY 92.6
10-CAUSEWAY CAROLYN 90.0
9-GUSTO DOLCE 89.4
8-BEAT OF THE DRUM 85.6
3-DEL MAR ANN 81.4
2-COLONEL JOAN 80.2
1st time starters - 5 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 8
3-JUST BOOKIN 55.5
10-CATALINA BONITA 53.0
11-CANADIAN EXCHANGE 50.2
5-MIDNIGHT LIEN 49.7
6-JAZZED 43.3
4-TWISTED 34.6
1st time starters - 8, 7
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, October 08, 2015
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-DIVE DOWN 70.9
6-DOYOUKNOWSOMETHING 68.1
3-WARREN'S WESLEY 66.4
1-DR. VICENTSTEIN 54.6
2-WILD 53.5
RACE 2
4-SOLID WAGER 97.1
5-GROUND RULES 95.2
6-SAMMY MANDEVILLE 94.5
2-HOME SCHOOL 84.4
3-INFINITE MAGIC 81.9
RACE 3
4-LUCKY STUDENT 79.6
1-ALWAYS A CHANCE 77.2
2-HIDE MY HEART 68.6
7-SHARED IMAGE 67.5
3-LAROCO 64.8
RACE 4
9-JOURNEYONTHEMOVE 64.3
1-SLEW'S CHARM 58.0
12-OMORFI KOPELLA 57.5
7-APPEALING LADY 54.6
2-DIAMOND DEBBIE 54.5 (off Oct. 14)
1st time starters - 13
RACE 5
10-WOODY'S FOLLY 73.1
4-ARCHITOP 69.9
3-POYTHRESS 69.8
8-DIRT IN YOUR FACE 69.8
11-AFFLUENT ASSET 67.6
RACE 6
4-ZANAB 76.0
5-YET ANOTHERKAFWAIN 69.8
7-HENNYTHELOVEPENNY 66.4
8-NITE DELITE 63.2
6-ALYESKA 62.2
RACE 7
3-AWESOME LOOKIN 78.4
7-MINSTER'SADVENTURE 76.6
5-PEGGY SUE'S LOOSE 69.2
2-WILD BELLA 68.6
4-WEST COAST STORM 68.2
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
4-REINAHERMOSA 37.0
3-GUSTO'S GAL 26.8
12-JASE'S AUNTY AIMEE 24.4
5-HENNESSY STORM 24.1 (3 wide)
2-PULPIT RULES 20.6
8-BE A LADY 19.7 (off slow, 4 wide)
1st time starters - 10, 6, 11
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-DIVE DOWN 70.9
6-DOYOUKNOWSOMETHING 68.1
3-WARREN'S WESLEY 66.4
1-DR. VICENTSTEIN 54.6
2-WILD 53.5
RACE 2
4-SOLID WAGER 97.1
5-GROUND RULES 95.2
6-SAMMY MANDEVILLE 94.5
2-HOME SCHOOL 84.4
3-INFINITE MAGIC 81.9
RACE 3
4-LUCKY STUDENT 79.6
1-ALWAYS A CHANCE 77.2
2-HIDE MY HEART 68.6
7-SHARED IMAGE 67.5
3-LAROCO 64.8
RACE 4
9-JOURNEYONTHEMOVE 64.3
1-SLEW'S CHARM 58.0
12-OMORFI KOPELLA 57.5
7-APPEALING LADY 54.6
2-DIAMOND DEBBIE 54.5 (off Oct. 14)
1st time starters - 13
RACE 5
10-WOODY'S FOLLY 73.1
4-ARCHITOP 69.9
3-POYTHRESS 69.8
8-DIRT IN YOUR FACE 69.8
11-AFFLUENT ASSET 67.6
RACE 6
4-ZANAB 76.0
5-YET ANOTHERKAFWAIN 69.8
7-HENNYTHELOVEPENNY 66.4
8-NITE DELITE 63.2
6-ALYESKA 62.2
RACE 7
3-AWESOME LOOKIN 78.4
7-MINSTER'SADVENTURE 76.6
5-PEGGY SUE'S LOOSE 69.2
2-WILD BELLA 68.6
4-WEST COAST STORM 68.2
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
4-REINAHERMOSA 37.0
3-GUSTO'S GAL 26.8
12-JASE'S AUNTY AIMEE 24.4
5-HENNESSY STORM 24.1 (3 wide)
2-PULPIT RULES 20.6
8-BE A LADY 19.7 (off slow, 4 wide)
1st time starters - 10, 6, 11
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, October 07, 2015
SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA PARK TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).
I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, October 06, 2015
SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA PARK TODAY
Some questions answered-
I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).
I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,318 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck
Labels: bets, betting, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, October 04, 2015
SANTA ANITA -FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $227,157.
RACE 1
6-FAST MAGOO 73.1
4-PRIVILEGED ONE 67.5
5-UNUSUAL STORM 65.9
2-NAZARETH 65.4
3-SAYITRIGHT KAT 58.5
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2f.)
4-TURN YOUR EYES 55.5 (4 wide)
1-RECORD HIGHS 53.5 (3 wide)
6-AND THEN SOME 45.5 (3 wide)
5-DR. PFEIFER 42.4 (off slow)
3-BROLAZZA 40.7 (3 wide)
1st time starters - 2
RACE 3
1-UNFORGETTABLE U 108.6
5-TARIS 101.1
2-BEN'S DUCHESS 100.4
4-UZZIEL 97.8
3-WASTED AT MIDNIGHT 76.6
RACE 4
2-NOOTEN 76.6
5-UNUSUALY 74.3
8-AT EASE 74.3
1-PYROTECHNICS 64.6
7-CHANITO 63.2
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
7-TIZ PLEASANT 42.0
4-CORDIALITY 39.4 (tight, 3 wide)
5-RED STICH 36.1
1-MEXICAT 26.1
6-TRINITYS TURN 24.8
1st time starters - 2
RACE 6
7-VERRACO 86.4
8-JOHN'S SUCCESS 80.2
2-BANDIDO TOO 78.4
10-ROCKIN ROBIN 76.0
9-TRIFECTA 73.1
RACE 7
8-MATRICULATE 86.9
4-REAL BIG DEAL 86.9
1-HYE I'M JACK 82.0
6-THIS CAT'S AWESOME 77.2
3-TOUGH SUNDAY 73.1
5-SIR BARCLAY 72.6
RACE 8
7-HOME JOURNEY 107.9
2-VELVET MESQUITE 89.4
5-OUR PURE CREATION 83.8
4-CHAULK O LATTEY 83.2
1-MISSY MOUSE 76.6
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
6-JOAN OF ARCH 37.0
8-RUN BRIONIE RUN 26.5
5-KELLIANNE CAN CAN 23.9 (4 wide)
2-FEELING TALKATIVE 23.6
7-NINE POINT NINE 23.2
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $227,157.
RACE 1
6-FAST MAGOO 73.1
4-PRIVILEGED ONE 67.5
5-UNUSUAL STORM 65.9
2-NAZARETH 65.4
3-SAYITRIGHT KAT 58.5
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2f.)
4-TURN YOUR EYES 55.5 (4 wide)
1-RECORD HIGHS 53.5 (3 wide)
6-AND THEN SOME 45.5 (3 wide)
5-DR. PFEIFER 42.4 (off slow)
3-BROLAZZA 40.7 (3 wide)
1st time starters - 2
RACE 3
1-UNFORGETTABLE U 108.6
5-TARIS 101.1
2-BEN'S DUCHESS 100.4
4-UZZIEL 97.8
3-WASTED AT MIDNIGHT 76.6
RACE 4
2-NOOTEN 76.6
5-UNUSUALY 74.3
8-AT EASE 74.3
1-PYROTECHNICS 64.6
7-CHANITO 63.2
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
7-TIZ PLEASANT 42.0
4-CORDIALITY 39.4 (tight, 3 wide)
5-RED STICH 36.1
1-MEXICAT 26.1
6-TRINITYS TURN 24.8
1st time starters - 2
RACE 6
7-VERRACO 86.4
8-JOHN'S SUCCESS 80.2
2-BANDIDO TOO 78.4
10-ROCKIN ROBIN 76.0
9-TRIFECTA 73.1
RACE 7
8-MATRICULATE 86.9
4-REAL BIG DEAL 86.9
1-HYE I'M JACK 82.0
6-THIS CAT'S AWESOME 77.2
3-TOUGH SUNDAY 73.1
5-SIR BARCLAY 72.6
RACE 8
7-HOME JOURNEY 107.9
2-VELVET MESQUITE 89.4
5-OUR PURE CREATION 83.8
4-CHAULK O LATTEY 83.2
1-MISSY MOUSE 76.6
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
6-JOAN OF ARCH 37.0
8-RUN BRIONIE RUN 26.5
5-KELLIANNE CAN CAN 23.9 (4 wide)
2-FEELING TALKATIVE 23.6
7-NINE POINT NINE 23.2
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, race track, racehorse, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, October 03, 2015
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRY OVER FOR TODAY IS $31,579.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-STRIGHT N STRONG 57.5
6-STORMY ANGEL 34.2 (off slow, 4 wide)
7-SOLFEGE 12.5 (steadied at start)
1st time starters - 5, 1, 2, 4
RACE 2
1-ITALIAN BABA 65.9
5-WILD STREET PARTY 64.8
6-KANTINA KOWGIRL 57.0
3-FLAT FOOTED MAMA 53.5
4-BEYOND LUCKY 48.8
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f. on turf)
1-CORPS DE BALLET 57.0
14-DREAMARCHER 56.0
11-SUTTON'S SMILE 52.5
8-GOOD LOOKING 51.1
9-ACTIVE RUNNER 45.1 (4 wide)
1st time starters - 10, 3, 6, 12, 13
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
3-NIGHTLY NEWS 65.4 (3 wide)
1-QUALITY LINE 59.8
2-SOUTH DETROIT 54.0
6-SEMPER FORTIS 51.5
5-NATE'S TIZZY 50.2
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-I'MCOMINGTHROUGH 48.3 (3 wide)
9-START A RUNNIN 44.6
8-TOO MUCH CHATTER 42.9
2-COUNTERPLAY 42.0
4-GREYSON AND JOHN 39.9
1st time starters - 7, 5
RACE 6
3-MIDNIGHT STORM 112.9
1-JIMMY BOUNCER 99.8
9-CHIPS ALL IN 93.9
10-SAFETY BELT 93.2
6-NO SILENT 90.7
RACE 7
1-BIG TIRE 95.8
9-CHIEF OF STAFF 95.2
6-SKIP TONY 90.7
2-GOT EVEN 89.4
5-TRIED AND TRUE 88.8
RACE 8
2-MASOCHISTIC 118.6
6-WILD DUDE 115.7
8-GIMME DA LUTE 115.0
4-KOBE'S BACK 105.9
5-DISTINCTIV PASSION 103.1
RACE 9
3-GENDER AGENDA 93.9
9-INTOCICATING MOVE 91.9
8-TIZ KISSABLE 88.8
10-FULL RANSOM 88.1
5-ALEXIS TANGIER 85.6
4-SALSITA 85.6
1st time starters - 7 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 10
12-WHERE Y'AT JOE JOE 84.4
13-GREAT LOU 82.6
9-HENRY'S HOLIDAY 80.8
1-WELL MAYBE 79.0
3-MR. JAY D 77.8
2-KRSTO SKYE 76.6
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRY OVER FOR TODAY IS $31,579.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-STRIGHT N STRONG 57.5
6-STORMY ANGEL 34.2 (off slow, 4 wide)
7-SOLFEGE 12.5 (steadied at start)
1st time starters - 5, 1, 2, 4
RACE 2
1-ITALIAN BABA 65.9
5-WILD STREET PARTY 64.8
6-KANTINA KOWGIRL 57.0
3-FLAT FOOTED MAMA 53.5
4-BEYOND LUCKY 48.8
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f. on turf)
1-CORPS DE BALLET 57.0
14-DREAMARCHER 56.0
11-SUTTON'S SMILE 52.5
8-GOOD LOOKING 51.1
9-ACTIVE RUNNER 45.1 (4 wide)
1st time starters - 10, 3, 6, 12, 13
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
3-NIGHTLY NEWS 65.4 (3 wide)
1-QUALITY LINE 59.8
2-SOUTH DETROIT 54.0
6-SEMPER FORTIS 51.5
5-NATE'S TIZZY 50.2
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-I'MCOMINGTHROUGH 48.3 (3 wide)
9-START A RUNNIN 44.6
8-TOO MUCH CHATTER 42.9
2-COUNTERPLAY 42.0
4-GREYSON AND JOHN 39.9
1st time starters - 7, 5
RACE 6
3-MIDNIGHT STORM 112.9
1-JIMMY BOUNCER 99.8
9-CHIPS ALL IN 93.9
10-SAFETY BELT 93.2
6-NO SILENT 90.7
RACE 7
1-BIG TIRE 95.8
9-CHIEF OF STAFF 95.2
6-SKIP TONY 90.7
2-GOT EVEN 89.4
5-TRIED AND TRUE 88.8
RACE 8
2-MASOCHISTIC 118.6
6-WILD DUDE 115.7
8-GIMME DA LUTE 115.0
4-KOBE'S BACK 105.9
5-DISTINCTIV PASSION 103.1
RACE 9
3-GENDER AGENDA 93.9
9-INTOCICATING MOVE 91.9
8-TIZ KISSABLE 88.8
10-FULL RANSOM 88.1
5-ALEXIS TANGIER 85.6
4-SALSITA 85.6
1st time starters - 7 (in the U.S.A.-fgn.)
RACE 10
12-WHERE Y'AT JOE JOE 84.4
13-GREAT LOU 82.6
9-HENRY'S HOLIDAY 80.8
1-WELL MAYBE 79.0
3-MR. JAY D 77.8
2-KRSTO SKYE 76.6
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, picks, race track, racehorse, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, October 02, 2015
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-TOOMANYTOMATOES 68.1
2-SMOOTH TALKER 67.5
6-PAPASLILPRINCESS 65.9
5-SEEK SAFE HARBOR 64.3
3-MOSCATO GIRL 63.2
RACE 2
4-VISIBILITY 65.9
1-GHOST OF NAVIGATOR 47.4
8-WHAT WE DOING 46.9
9-RESISTANCEISFUTILE 45.5 (steadied, 4 wide)
5-SOUTHEAST ASIA 44.6
RACE 3
2-FOLLOW ME CREV 87.5
3-SUNBEAMSFROMHEAVEN 79.9
10-SILVER TORCH 79.0
4-LOVENSEEK 77.2
5-COMMANDER KING 76.6
RACE 4
1-CARLSBAD MOUNTAIN 85.6
5-SYNDICATED 80.2
7-SIDEPOCKET CHAMP 74.3
8-MOONLIGHT MEETING 69.2
2-ALPINE LUCK 68.1
RACE 5
2-DYNAMITE RIDE 79.0
7-DOYOUKNOWSOMETHING 75.3
5-BLACK TIE 75.3
9-GLOBAL MAGICIAN 74.3
1-SAXON LORD 67.5
RACE 6
2-AMERICAN BLEND 90.0
8-NOBLE KENT 77.2
7-WARREN'S RAIL BIRD 72.6
5-CONGRATIONALIST 72.2
9-THE MAD HUNGARIAN 71.4
RACE 7
6-KING OF JAZZ 91.3
1-UNUSUALLY GREEN 90.7
5-FREDDIES DREAM 87.5
2-NAHEM 86.3
7-SHAKE THINGS UP 79.6
RACE 8
2-PONDER LEA 68.6 (squeezed at start)
3-DARLING GRACE 56.5
5-BERT'S BABY 52.6
6-BETTERLETHERGO 53.5
4-KIANA'S DREAM 53.0
1-SEAWARD COTTAGE 51.1
1st time starters - 8
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-TOOMANYTOMATOES 68.1
2-SMOOTH TALKER 67.5
6-PAPASLILPRINCESS 65.9
5-SEEK SAFE HARBOR 64.3
3-MOSCATO GIRL 63.2
RACE 2
4-VISIBILITY 65.9
1-GHOST OF NAVIGATOR 47.4
8-WHAT WE DOING 46.9
9-RESISTANCEISFUTILE 45.5 (steadied, 4 wide)
5-SOUTHEAST ASIA 44.6
RACE 3
2-FOLLOW ME CREV 87.5
3-SUNBEAMSFROMHEAVEN 79.9
10-SILVER TORCH 79.0
4-LOVENSEEK 77.2
5-COMMANDER KING 76.6
RACE 4
1-CARLSBAD MOUNTAIN 85.6
5-SYNDICATED 80.2
7-SIDEPOCKET CHAMP 74.3
8-MOONLIGHT MEETING 69.2
2-ALPINE LUCK 68.1
RACE 5
2-DYNAMITE RIDE 79.0
7-DOYOUKNOWSOMETHING 75.3
5-BLACK TIE 75.3
9-GLOBAL MAGICIAN 74.3
1-SAXON LORD 67.5
RACE 6
2-AMERICAN BLEND 90.0
8-NOBLE KENT 77.2
7-WARREN'S RAIL BIRD 72.6
5-CONGRATIONALIST 72.2
9-THE MAD HUNGARIAN 71.4
RACE 7
6-KING OF JAZZ 91.3
1-UNUSUALLY GREEN 90.7
5-FREDDIES DREAM 87.5
2-NAHEM 86.3
7-SHAKE THINGS UP 79.6
RACE 8
2-PONDER LEA 68.6 (squeezed at start)
3-DARLING GRACE 56.5
5-BERT'S BABY 52.6
6-BETTERLETHERGO 53.5
4-KIANA'S DREAM 53.0
1-SEAWARD COTTAGE 51.1
1st time starters - 8
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, October 01, 2015
SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $62,473.
RACE 1
3-ZENDAI 59.0
2-CASUALITY 54.0 (squeezed at start, 4 wide)
4-MAGIC MOON 44.2
1-CHROMIUM 44.2
5-ROYAL REBEL 37.8
RACE 2
2-GOLDS VENICE 67.5
5-MISS STAR MAKER 51.1
7-CHICAGO ANGEL 51.1
4-PARALYZING EYES 37.8
8-SHE'S MOJA 36.6
RACE 3
3-MARKET NOTES 81.4
1-OUT OF PATIENCE 73.7
2-MUCHOS BESOS 66.4
5-LIMITED RESPONSE 64.8
6-CHIEF LION 61.6
RACE 4
1-TULIRA CASTLE 92.6
6-WARREN'S NICHOLAS 74.9
5-BROADWAY NIKA 74.9
2-I DON'T CARE WHO 70.9
3-VOLKONSKY 69.9
RACE 5
6-BIG DISCOVERY 80.8
1-BOONE DOCKS 77.8
2-PAY THE BANK 71.4
8-JUNIOR G MAN 67.0
7-BROKEN UP 66.4
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
7-BELLAMENTARY 77.6 (off slow)
8-SHAKTI 49.2
3-EXACTAMENTE 45.6
5-MIDNIGHT IN GIADA 44.2
6-STRUCTURE 41.1
RACE 7
2-NO COMPARISON 88.1
4-CODACIOUS 83.2
1-LOST BUS 82.6
7-THUNDERING GALE 82.0
10-GLORY 81.5
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
9-AIMING STRIGHT 55.5
4-DRAGON FLOWER 55.0
3-PUBLIC HOUSE 49.2 (3 wide)
10-PRETTY ENUFF 49.2
1-VOODOO DOLL 47.4
7-SHARP HOLIDAY 46.4
ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $62,473.
RACE 1
3-ZENDAI 59.0
2-CASUALITY 54.0 (squeezed at start, 4 wide)
4-MAGIC MOON 44.2
1-CHROMIUM 44.2
5-ROYAL REBEL 37.8
RACE 2
2-GOLDS VENICE 67.5
5-MISS STAR MAKER 51.1
7-CHICAGO ANGEL 51.1
4-PARALYZING EYES 37.8
8-SHE'S MOJA 36.6
RACE 3
3-MARKET NOTES 81.4
1-OUT OF PATIENCE 73.7
2-MUCHOS BESOS 66.4
5-LIMITED RESPONSE 64.8
6-CHIEF LION 61.6
RACE 4
1-TULIRA CASTLE 92.6
6-WARREN'S NICHOLAS 74.9
5-BROADWAY NIKA 74.9
2-I DON'T CARE WHO 70.9
3-VOLKONSKY 69.9
RACE 5
6-BIG DISCOVERY 80.8
1-BOONE DOCKS 77.8
2-PAY THE BANK 71.4
8-JUNIOR G MAN 67.0
7-BROKEN UP 66.4
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
7-BELLAMENTARY 77.6 (off slow)
8-SHAKTI 49.2
3-EXACTAMENTE 45.6
5-MIDNIGHT IN GIADA 44.2
6-STRUCTURE 41.1
RACE 7
2-NO COMPARISON 88.1
4-CODACIOUS 83.2
1-LOST BUS 82.6
7-THUNDERING GALE 82.0
10-GLORY 81.5
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
9-AIMING STRIGHT 55.5
4-DRAGON FLOWER 55.0
3-PUBLIC HOUSE 49.2 (3 wide)
10-PRETTY ENUFF 49.2
1-VOODOO DOLL 47.4
7-SHARP HOLIDAY 46.4
Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
