Monday, August 31, 2015

 

DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,282 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Thursday, August 27, 2015

 

FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FREE

NOTE: AFTER 2 WEEKS OF TRYING TO REPAIR MY OLD COMPUTER I HAVE HAD TO BUY A NEW ONE. I HOPE TO HAVE MY PICKS AND SELECTIONS UP BY NEXT WEEK.

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Sunday, August 16, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




NOTE: NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY.

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Saturday, August 15, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-BELLAMY CONCERTO 74.9
8-CARSON CITY FIVE 67.5
5-ATTACK 65.4
6-MADIKWE 54.0
2-SAXON LORD 53.0

RACE 2
1-TANGELO 90.7
3-TIZ A KISS 90.6
6-HIKING 86.3
5-WARREN'S JEN FIZZ 80.8
2-SHOW STEALER 79.0

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
2-AMERICAN LEAGUE 58.0
6-BIG FINISH 24.1 (4 wide)

1st time starters - 7, 8, 4, 3, 5, 1

RACE 4
9-ALL SQUARED AWAY 88.8
11-AMERICAN BLEND 81.4
12-ACCELERANT 78.4
8-BECKER'S GALAXY 76.6
2-DRESS CODE 74.9

RACE 5
9-PUBLIC POLICY 77.8
10-GO JEREMIAH 65.4
7-DIVE DOWN 65.4 (off Dec. 14)
4-ARTIC WARRIOR 65.4
11-ULTIMATE LUCK 60.6
12-JUSTONEMOERTHING 60.6

RACE 6
11-JULES JOURNEY 100.4
3-WEEWINNIN 99.8
5-SURFCUP 96.5
6-PATRIOTS RULE 92.6
1-TOOWINDYTOHAULROX 91.9
1st time starters - 8 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
3-PLANE LUCKY 60.6
1-SHARPEST ONE 49.2
8-MILES SISTER 46.4
9-MC HOTTIE 32.3

1st time starters - 4, 2, 6, 7, 10, 5

RACE 8
6-PRIZE EXHIBIT 104.5
4-SHARA RAE 98.4
8-SUNSET GLOW 97.1
2-PAULINA'S LOVE 92.6
3-RATTATAPTAP 91.3
5-HER EMMYNENCY 91.3

RACE 9
8-DISTINCTIVE B 98.4
2-RULE HE WILL 98.4
4-WHINE FOR WINE 97.1
10-PAPA TURF 93.9
12-TANNERSMYMUSCLE 93.9

RACE 10
6-ILLUMINANT 77.0
3-GIRL DOWNSTAIRS 72.6
2-SWEETER THANCANDY 68.1
1-TIZ JOSSELYN 68.1
13-BOAT DRINKS 65.4
12-PERDONA 65.4

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Friday, August 14, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY EVE.

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $58,279.

RACE 1
5-WARREN'S WESLEY 72.0
2-PEFIOLO 71.4
4-DOYOUKNOWSOMTHING 67.0
7-TEN CARAT ROCK 61.6
3-ITALIAN MIRAGE 61.6

RACE 2
6-HOT LIGHTNING 76.6
1-DERBY GLASS 76.6
5-FAR OUT KAILEE 76.0
4-CINMARS DANCE 71.4 (off Oct. 14)
3-MISTER BLUE 69.3

RACE 3
6-SPIRIT OF XIAN 90.7
4-CURLIN'S FOX 79.6
1-HAVANNA BELLE 78.4
5-SINGING KITTY 78.4

1st time starters - 2 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
2-CARLOS DANGEROUS 54.5
12-CAPTAIN AKERS 52.6
9-SCATASTIC 43.3
3-DANO'S DREAM 42.9
11-MIDVALE MAGIC 25.4 (off slow, 3 wide)

1st time starters - 4, 6, 10, 8

RACE 5
10-TICABOO 71.4
4-BILGER'S SAPPHIRE 69.8
2-PEGGY SUE'S LOOSE 69.2
5-LILY KAI 66.4
1-WARREN'S PURRFECT 64.8

1st time starters - 3

RACE 6
8-BANDIDO TOO 79.6
3-WHERE Y'AT JOE JOE 76.0
5-PAT THE BEAR 75.4
4-BLUEGRASS SIGHT 72.0
2-AIN'T MISBEHAVIN 69.8

RACE 7
5-AWESOME RETURN 99.1
6-TEXAS RYANO 93.9
3-TERRYS TOM CAT 91.3
1-WANSTEAD GARDENS 90.0
7-KING OF JAZZ 87.5

RACE 8
3-SOUTHERN LOYALTY 74.3
4-PAPA'S PLAYBOY 52.1
8-I'M ZONIN 51.6
11-I'LL PLAY MY HAND 48.3
6-VAL DE METI 40.7

1st time starters - 5, 7

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Thursday, August 13, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-CANADIAN EXCHANGE 53.5
1-ALYESKA 53.5 (off slow)
6-JAZZED 50.6
2-ALTAIRA 47.4 (3 wide)

1st time starters - 7, 4, 5

RACE 2
5-LITTLE EMMA 74.0
6-SUMMER VEIL 68.1
7-LUVURYAN 67.5
4-TWINKLE TOES 60.6
3-QUEENOFHERCASTLE 56.6


RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
9-IMFLATOUTSWEET 69.2 (3 wide)
12-SHE'S ON THE LINE 57.0
5-STRIGHT N STRONG 56.5
1-SHEEZA MILKY WAY 55.0 (3 wide)
8-JOAN OF ARCH 48.3

1st time starters - 2, 10

RACE 4
8-ALPINE LUCK 82.0
6-JOHNS JOURNEY 80.8
9-SHAKAHARI 70.9
7-MIGHTY BROWN 69.8
4-LOVE DE CAR 63.2

RACE 5
3-INTOXICATING MOVE 87.5
4-FANTASTIC MIZZ 83.2
1-AGUSTINA DE ARAGON 82.6
5-TAYLOR LANE 77.2
8-ZANBO 76.6

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-SOONER TIME 65.9 (3 wide)
5-GYPSY'S RULE 58.5
7-AIMING STRIGHT 54.0
4-HEARTBREAK HONEY 53.5
8-SWISS AFFAIR 52.6

RACE 7
8-UNUSUALLY GREEN 88.1
6-RAINBOW NORTH 82.6
1-DURANGO FLIER 79.6
2-TIZ FUTURITY 78.4
9-TEMPLE KEYS 74.9
7-LOS GATOS 74.9

RACE 8
1-RELATIVE TIME 56.0
14-TRUE DEJA VU 45.1 (4 wide, off slow)
8-ROYAL GAMBLER 43.3
7-SON OF ELEANOR 32.3 (off Aug. 14)
3-LUCKY LOGAN 31.9

1st time starters - 9, 10, 12, 4

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Wednesday, August 12, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR WEDNESDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.


RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
8-WISH I UNDERSTOOD 55.0
6-MINT JULEP TAFFY 48.3
2-ONE PUTT PAR 39.0
1-RICH GIRL 35.0
3-MISS AMADOR 28.6

1st time starters - 5

RACE 2
3-CINDYS SECRET 77.2
6-DESERT STEEL 72.0
4-SKY FOREVER 70.9
7-RUNNINGWITHTHELUTE 66.3
5-CIN CITY LADY 66.1

RACE 3
5-MAGIC LILY 77.2
1-LUCKY STUDENT 77.0
2-SWEETRAYOFSUNSHINE 73.1 (off Aug. 14)
6-SEEKING SHAMROCKS 68.6
7-WINNING VISION 68.6

RACE 4
12-BELLA BREEZE 61.1
5-SCATCHMEIFYOUCAN 56.5
11-RUSH OF DAY 53.0 (off Nov. 14)
6-ELIMINATION ROUND 50.2
3-LET THE GIRL GO 46.4

1st time starters - 2, 4, 9

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
3-DRESSED IN HERMES 59.0 (4 wide)
2-RIDEO 53.0
1-HOLLYWOOD DON 47.8 (3 wide)
8-PATH OF DAVID 46.0
4-IRISH 44.2 (off slow)

1st time starters - 10, 7

RACE 6
7-YIANNIS 90.0
8-QUICK AND SILVER 88.8
1-BOLD FANTASY 82.6
3-FOREVER JUANITO 82.6
6-DIAMOND BACHELOR 78.4

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
7-PRETTY N COOL 104.5
6-UPTOWN TWIRL 76.6
5-ONE TRUE KISS 65.4
2-GOMO 61.1
1-RIGHT THERE 60.1

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
11-NUKE LALOOSH 54.5
7-HANDFUL OF STRIPES 51.5
5-INCREDIBLE LUCK 46.6
8-DEFIANT ONE 38.2
10-PHANTOM HEAT 32.6

1st time starters - 1, 2, 6, 3, 9

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Tuesday, August 11, 2015

 

DEL MAR - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCKS

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Monday, August 10, 2015

 

DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,282 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, August 09, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-THUNDERING GALE 83.2
7-REDRESSTHEBALANCE 77.2
5-FOREVER A FAN 76.6
6-JADE WITH ENVY 75.4
4-CLEVERLY BEVERLY 72.0

RACE 2
3-NEW SUMMIT 86.9
4-HOMER MATT 64.3
6-ZENDAI 58.5
2-PAPA DE GATTO 56.0 (3 wide)

1st time starters - 1, 5

RACE 3
2-BEN'S DUCHESS 90.0
3-DOODETTA 81.9
4-DR. FAGER'S GAL 80.8
1-RAMONA'S WILDCAT 79.6
5-BIG BREAK 78.4

RACE 4
1-UNUSUAL TASTE 94.5
4-SIZZLIN' JOE 88.8
2-CHINA PRINCE 85.6
6-IMAGE OF JOPLIN 85.0
5-BEAST OF BOURBON 82.0

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
11-CARLOS DANGEROUS 54.5
2-COUNTERPLAY 45.1
9-RICKLES 37.4
6-TRIBAL ROAR 26.5
10-SLEW TO FLY 24.4

1st time starters - 1, 5, 7, 8, 3

RACE 6
10-HOLOGRAEME 83.2
8-MOYO HONEY 81.4
6-CAUSEWAY CAROLYN 77.2
1-MAJESTIC HEAT 76.6
7-PAMMY WHAMMY 73.1

RACE 7 (all 2yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
4-DREAMY ART 85.0
10-SURFSIDE TIARA 65.4
9-TREASURING 63.8
8-MIDNIGHT IN GIADA 31.5
3-ALBEIT 28.9 (off slow, 3 wide)

1st time starters - 7, 5, 2, 1

RACE 8
9-PROSPECT PARK 115.0
3-OM 98.4
5-CROSS THE LINE 97.6
6-PAPACOOLPAPACOOL 89.4
1-TRIED AND TRUE 89.4

RACE 9
13-LEXIE ARLEEN 68.6
9-IT'S AINE 58.0
4-PEPPY BOLLY 57.5
2-ROSEWHITENBLUE 57.5
12-LIL CHEYENNE 55.0
1-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 52.1

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Saturday, August 08, 2015

 
REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.
4-NAVY HYMN 53.0
1-PROUD ZONING 42.0 (off slow)

1st time starters - 7, 2, 6, 3, 5

RACE 2
4-WARREN'S DIXI BELL 64.8
7-FAB FOUR EVER 60.6
5-ILL TELL YOU WHAT 59.6
6-MUDGE 57.0
3-LADY DASH 50.2

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-LETITHAPPEN 48.8
3-TOEWS ON ICE 47.8
4-KELLY WITH A TWIST 37.8
2-IRON ROB 35.4 (4 wide)
6-SALUTATION 33.4

1st time starters - 1, 7

RACE 4
13-RUSH OF DAY 50.6 (off Nov. 14)
3-ROCKIN RHYTHM 49.7 (3 wide)
4-SAYITRIGHT KAT 43.3 (off Sept. 14)
6-CLASSY CHICK 39.4
2-CATALINA BONITA 37.0

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-NYQUIST 90.0
4-SWIPE 84.4
1-FOUND MONEY 81.4
2-PAYNES PRAIRIE 79.6
6-ANNIE'S CANDY 78.4

RACE 6
4-FOREST BLUE 99.8
9-THE GOMPER 90.7
10-TRIED AND TRUE 90.0
5-SEVE'S ROAD 88.8
8-CHIROPRACTOR 86.3

RACE 7
5-PEARL DE VERE 83.1
8-FAST AND FOXY 82.0
7-DISCATSONTHESQUARE 79.0
9-BLACK BETSY 72.0
6-POWER OF TEN 70.9

RACE 8
3-FANTICOLA 103.1
9-BLINGISMYTHING 97.1
7-QUEEN OF THE SAND 96.5
4-STORMY LUCY 95.8
2-EMOTIONAL KITTEN 95.8

RACE 9
7-NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR 97.1
6-SACRED OVATION 95.2
1-WAR ACADEMY 89.4
5-SAINT PRADO 86.9
2-REAL HEAT 86.3

RACE 10
2-BARBS ANGEL 65.4
12-CHICAGO ANGEL 59.6
3-MY MOMENT TOO 52.1
5-LADY JULIET 49.7
7-MISS GREEN POND 43.3
6-UNION BLAZE 39.9

1st time starters - 9, 10

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Friday, August 07, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
6-TRUE RANGER 47.8
4-PANTHER CREEK 42.9 (4 wide)
3-LAST ONE STANDING 37.4 (3 wide, off slow)
5-KEEPIN IT LUCKY 32.8 (squeezed at start)
1-TWISTED EARL 20.6

1st time starters - 2

RACE 2
8-LIGHT STRIKER 74.9
1-PRIVATE MARINA 68.1
5-ENDURING ERIN 65.6
4-DEL MAR DIXIE 64.8
3-WILDY EXCESSIVE 62.7

RACE 3
2-DESERT GEM 60.1
6-RARE PUNCH 60.1
1-VARTAN 56.0
9-CYBER STAR 53.5
5-DOTHRAKI 52.6

1st time starters - 7

RACE 4
1-SADIE CLARE 65.9 (off slow)
2-JEAN EDWARD 63.2
10-CALIFORNIA CURL 52.6 (off slow)
7-SOUL FLYER 51.1 (off July 14)
6-URLOVEENEVERFAILS 48.3

1st time starters - 5, 8, 3

RACE 5
11-ANYTHINGSCOOKIN 91.3 (off feb. 14)
10-FRIENDSWITH K MILL 89.4
7-ROYAL BANKER 88.1
4-SINFULLY 87.5
2-HUNTSVILLE 87.5

RACE 6
9-BLONDY'S REWARD 85.0
6-SILVER MOJAVE 78.3
3-TIZ SWEET BLISS 73.1
4-ALEXITA 70.3
8-DADDY'S DUO 69.6

RACE 7
5-BIRDLOVER 109.3
9-HOME JOURNEY 107.9
1-SHRINKING VIOLET 97.1
7-AMARANTH 84.5
6-WINDY FORECAST 79.0

RACE 8
2-BANANAPPEAL 58.5
1-SHOW AND TELL 54.5
5-MYDANCINGSHADOW 44.6
3-THE GRUMBLER 43.8
8-MR. PETE GOT EVEN 30.4
7-TIZMATIC 25.1

1st time starters - 10, 6

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Thursday, August 06, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $63,706

RACE 1
4-ALWAYS A CHANCE 81.4
6-TWO STEP FLOR 74.9
3-AVICIL 69.8
1-LAROCCO 69.2
5-SWISSARELLA 55.0

RACE 2 (all 1st time starters going 5 f.)
3-SCARLET EMERALD 26.5 (steadied)

1st time starters - No Selections for 6 horses

RACE 3
1-TRIBALIST 84.4 (off July 14)
4-KNOW PLANS 83.2
5-CONTEMPLATE 79.6
3-GUTSY RULER 78.5
9-LAW DOG 77.2

RACE 4
4-THE CLEANERS 91.3
8-JET WARRIOR 87.5 (off Feb. 14)
7-CHASING THE HEAT 85.0
5-FIGHTING ON 79.0
3-CHAPMAN'S PEAK 77.2 (off April 14)

RACE 5
12-BLUE LAW 76.0
3-NAKAMOTO 75.3
1-ALLTHELEAVESRBROWN 74.9 (off Sept. 14)
14-ZARQA STAR 69.8
6-ARCHITOP 69.2
8-LOVE ON THE ROAD 68.1

1st time starters - 4, 11

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
8-BRIANA JEAN 42.9
4-PRINCESS KENDRA 42.4
5-TIZ PLEASANT 38.2 (3 wide)
10-ALIZARIN BEAUTY 36.6
3-GRACEE HUNNY 31.1

RACE 7
2-INDECISE 97.8
5-FAMOUS ALICE 92.6
4-ISTANFORD 91.3
6-SHE'S NOT HERE 82.0
3-KOOL KAT 78.2

RACE 8
5-MILTEE 67.0
3-JENS DE VILLE 65.9
2-SOUTHEAST ASIA 60.1
9-ILLYBILLY BOY 49.7
4-GHOST OF NAVIGATOR 46.9
6-OUT OF MISCHIEF 45.1

1st time starters - 1


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Wednesday, August 05, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR WEDNESDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-BOBBY Z MAN 91.9
9-GIANT EGO 89.4
8-U S CITIZEN 86.9
4-EMBELLISHING BOB 86.9
2-PAT THE BEAR 82.6

RACE 2
6-CONGREGATIONALIST 73.7
9-JUSTIFICATION 68.1
5-MEMPHIS 67.5
8-DEEP PLAY 67.3
4-HOJAS 63.8

RACE 3
8-PROUD CAPTIVE 77.2
6-MARKET NOTES 70.9
1-BOOK THIRTY FOUR 68.6
3-LASSIE'S REWARD 65.9
2-FORT CADY 60.1

RACE 4
14-EMYVALE COURT 73.7
1-KATY DRAMA 63.8
3-THREE BLONDES 62.7
11-BAYONET 61.6
7-AUTUMN FLOWER 61.1
9-YA YA GIRL 61.1
10-CARNIVAL LIGHTS 61.1

RACE 5
1-EXPLICABLE 74.3
8-LILY POD 68.6
11-MICROBURST 67.5
3-STURDY ONE 67.0
4-ROCKPORT DANCER 57.0

1st time starters - 5, 9, 7

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
1-MRAZEK 77.8
2-RAILS 66.4
4-XINGONTOTHEBONE 64.3
3-GETOFFMYBACK 58.0
5-VIVENDO EL SUENO 57.5

RACE 7
8-TARA'S TANGO 95.8
9-CONQUEST CURLGIRL 86.9
7-SAVANNAH SKY 82.6
1-SHAPELY 82.6
4-YANA 82.0

RACE 8
2-DIVINE TALE 65.4
3-TAKE IT EASYPLEASE 54.5
5-SPARKLING PEG 50.2
4-AVO 49.2
11-LANA CAPRINA 39.9
7-HEAT TO PERFECTION 33.0

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Tuesday, August 04, 2015

 

DEL MAR - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCKS

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Monday, August 03, 2015

 

DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,275 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, August 02, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $151,427.

RACE 1
6-KISS MY FACE 61.1
10-BLUE CILANTRO 54.5 (3 wide)
13-YET ANOTHERKAFWAIN 54.5
2-BERT'S BABY 52.6
11-JUST BOOKIN 46.9

1st time starters - 7, 8

RACE 2
6-SMART N DREAMY 80.8
8-TIZ PARTNERS 77.6
7-WARREN'S TRICIA R. 70.9
1-MISS ELLANY 68.6
2-ENDURING ERIN 64.8

RACE 3
4-LONDON LEGACY 88.8
7-TOUGH SUNDAY 84.4
5-PULLA TRAIN 82.0 (off Dec. 14)
3-CELEBRITY STATUS 81.4
6-ROMAN TIZZY 80.2

RACE 4
13-JENS DE VILLE 65.9
4-PYROTECHNICS 55.5
9-WARREN MY BOY 50.5
7-GUNSLINGER 50.2 (off slow)
10-IN DEFIANCE 45.1

1st time starters - 6

RACE 5
6-GIMME DA LUTE 110.7
2-ROCKO'S WHEEL 95.8
4-GRAZEN SKY 95.2
1-RICHARD'S BOY 90.7
3-NEVERADOUBT 80.8

RACE 6
9-I'LL WRAP IT UP 83.8
12-DERBY GLASS 82.2
6-CERVARO 77.8
3-FANCY SHOES 75.9
1-APOSTLE PAUL 74.9
2-SILVER TOUCH 74.9

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-PHANTOM HEAT 39.9

1st time starters - NO SELECTIONS (8 horses)

RACE 8
1-ARTISTIC CHARM 95.8
4-ROYAL TEMPTRESS 86.9
6-MANGITA 86.9
7-ONE MORE 85.8
2-MAIBABY 83.8

RACE 9
5-FLAT GONE 79.0
3-WITH THE BREEZE 71.2
2-STENOA 68.1
12-GO FIRST 64.3
9-SECURE DIVDEND 63.2
4-BIG HAT CHARLIE 62.2
13-DIVE DOWN 62.2

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Saturday, August 01, 2015

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-AMERICAN ACT 93.2
1-INDIAN NATE 89.4
2-CHINA GIRL LOVER 79.6 (off July 14)
4-MOONLIGHTING MEETING 66.4
6-MAXX THE GIANT 55.6

RACE 2
1-WARREN'S RAIL BIRD 90.0
11-AMERICAN BLEND 81.4
2-KNOBLE KENT 76.6
8-ACCELERANT 76.0
5-TESTER 75.4

RACE 3
9-CARDIAC 83.8
2-GLOBAL MAGICIAN 82.0
4-CURRENCY EXCHANGE 72.2
1-JAZZY JOSH 72.0
3-NUTTY FUTTY 72.0

RACE 4
2-YES YES BARONESS 68.1
8-MOTHERNATURESPELL 67.0
3-CAN CAN BABE 65.4
7-HIGHLY ELUSIVE 61.1
5-HOLD ME FAST 60.6

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
7-TENGAS RANSOM 56.0
8-CAPTAIN AKERS 53.5
5-LOOK ME IN THE EYE 49.7
6-BULLY PULPIT 47.4
3-TIZ LOVE 37.8

1st time starters - 4, 1, 2, 10, 9, 11

RACE 6
4-SENSITIVELY 95.8
7-SWEET SPELL 92.6 (off March 14)
9-TALE OF PAPA NICK 79.6
5-KEEZHEEKONI 76.8
1-LAMONTAGNE 74.3

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
7-MARIAN KATHERINE 28.9 (3 wide)
6-CUYATHY 22.8 (bumped)

1st time starters - no selections (11 horses)

RACE 8
1-BEHOLDER 110.7
4-WARREN'S VENEDA 104.5
3-MY SWEET ADDICTION 101.8
8-THEGIRLINTHATSONG 95.2
7-YAHILWA 94.5

RACE 9
8-SMOOTH ROLLER 95.2
3-OLD MAN LAKE 95.2
4-SEEKING THE WEST 90.7
6-DOWNTOWN C. T. 90.7
7-PERFECT SET 90.0

RACE 10
1-ROSICKY 90.7
7-DYLAN WARD 81.4 (off Nov. 14)
11-TIRPITZ 75.2
9-BORN TO SERVE 72.6
8-LAMAAN 72.0
3-ELEGANT STREET 71.6

1st time starters - 5, 10

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