Tuesday, June 30, 2015

 

LOS ALAMITOS RACE COURSE - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT LOS ALAMITOS TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,237 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, June 28, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
1-PEFIOLO 73.7
4-SURFER MOON 69.8
6-WINGS OF MOJAVE 67.6
7-I ROCK PARTY 67.0
8-HE'S A REAL KEEPER 65.4

RACE 2
4-TALE OF PAPA NICK 86.9
5-ELEMENTAR 83.2
2-DOODETTA 82.0
6-CHILADA 75.4
3-MISSY MOUSE 74.9

RACE 3
4-PAT THE BEAR 86.3
2-FINAL STEP 86.3
7-I B MIKE 85.0
6-LIMITED RESPONSE 85.0
3-ROUGH PASSAGE 78.4
5-CHASINTHEACES 78.4

RACE 4
6-GOING SOMEWHERE110.0
2-DECISIVE EDGE 92.6
1-PATRIOTS RULE 92.6
4-CRUCERO 90.7
3-GOLDEN SOUL 87.5

RACE 5
2-I DON'T CARE WHO 112.9
8-IRON FIST 97.8
3-GRAZEN SKY 90.2
7-TRIED AND TRUE 86.9
4-SIZZLIN' JOE 85.0

RACE 6
8-AIR POCKET 80.8
2-PAYTHEBANK 80.8
7-PRETENTIOUS 77.2
4-FRITZ JOHANSEN 66.4
3-D DAY DUDE 63.5

1st time starters - 10

RACE 7
2-TAKE IT EASYPLEASE 53.0
7-CATTLE QUEEN 49.7
1-DESIGNATED ROYALTY 42.4
5-HI FEVER 40.3 (off slow, 3 wide)
6-JUST PEACHY 26.8 (bobbled start, 4 wide)

1st time starters - 8, 3, 4

RACE 8
2-BIG JOHN B 112.9
6-SALAH CHAMP 99.1
3-FRIENDSWITH K MILL 88.8
9-MACHO SOX 85.1
7-STREET MAVEN 83.2
8-HUNTSVILLE 83.2

RACE 9
2-EASTER LILLIAN 63.2
3-SWEET SILVER 61.1
8-ITALIAN BABA 60.2
1-KANTINA KOWGIRL 60.1
9-GOLD JOURNEY 59.6

RACE 10
13-KATY DRAMA 68.6
12-YA YA GIRL 62.2
5-BARBS ANGEL 58.8
8-SCUTI DE PATUTI 56.6
1-LUVURYAN 56.0
6-CARNIVAL LIGHTS 56.0

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Saturday, June 27, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
7-ENDLESS CRUISE 81.4
2-NO CONTINGENCY 76.0
5-PEACENIK 74.3
1-SIDEPOCKET CHAMP 72.0
4-FRENSHAM 69.2

RACE 2
7-ARCHITOP 74.9
4-BIG DISCOVERY 69.8
2-LARRY BIRDSTONE 68.7
3-BORN TO SERVE 59.0
8-ALL STAR PARADE 51.9

RACE 3
9-DIVINE TALE 56.5
4-MUDGE 50.2
10-EMOTIONAL DRIVE 44.2 (off April 14)
5-SWEET MZ. POPPET 42.0 (off July 14)
8-BERNIER 39.4

1st time starters - 3, 14, 13, 7, 11, 12

RACE 4
4-NEXT RIGHT 85.6
6-I'LL WRAP IT UP 83.2
8-YES YES YES 79.0
7-SILVER TOUCH 76.0
9-ALL RUN 74.9

RACE 5
6-HOOK 'EM KURT 85.6
4-J SERINO 73.1
1-THE CUSTODIAN 72.0
9-MILTON 50.2
5-EXEMPLAR 49.7

1st time starters - 8, 7, 12, 10, 11, 2

RACE 6
4-CURLIN'S FOX 85.6
2-LONG HOT SUMMER 84.4
6-SCREAMING SKYLAR 82.6
1-RATTATAPTAP 82.5
8-AVENGE 80.6

RACE 7
5-MASOCHISTIC 111.4
2-SAN ONOFRE 107.9
4-SAHARA SKY 107.3
7-HOLY LUTE 107.3
6-WILD DUDE 102.5

RACE 8
7-FANTICOLA 101.1
4-BIRDLOVER 99.1
1-BLINGISMYTHING 97.8
3-STORMY LUCY 94.5 (off Sept. 14)
6-FAMOUS ALICE 92.6

RACE 9
8-MORENO 118.6
9-CATCH A FIGHT 117.9
5-MAJESTIC CITY 110.2
11-FINNEGANS WAKE 107.9
4-MOWTOWN MEN 107.3

RACE 10
8-DIABLO CABALLERO 83.9 (off Oct. 14)
5-HE COULD 68.6 (5 wide)
2-PROHIBITION REPEAL 63.2
12-CONTEMPLATE 63.1
7-STORMIN TRICK 60.6

1st time starters - 6, 11, 4, 3

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Friday, June 26, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY EVE.

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $50,304.

RACE 1
3-SIR MACHO 68.6
4-TOP DRAWER 63.6
5-MARKET NOTES 63.6
6-CLASSIC GENT 54.6
1-COUGAR COUNTRY 48.5

RACE 2
4-MATRICULATE 90.7
2-TANNERSMYUNCLE 89.4
1-ALPINE LUCK 85.6
3-TOUGH SUNDAY 76.0
6-LONDON LEGACY 75.4

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
8-FRAC CANDY 61.1 (3 wide)
7-HOT ORE 53.5
3-UNBRIDLED ROCKET 45.1
4-MR. GAME SEVEN 39.9
6-PHANTOM HEAT 31.9

1st time starters - 5, 2

RACE 4
5-NORASTONE 63.2
6-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 55.0
7-JETBIRD 50.6
4-NOTHING TO HIDE 49.7
3-LIL CHEYENNE 48.3

RACE 5
3-ALAMO 88.8
8-PERFECTLY MAJESTIC 83.8
4-TIRPITZ 71.4
1-HOMER MATT 68.9 (off July 14)
2-DARWINS'S DILEMMA 68.6

1st time starters - 5

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
10-TRUE BRILLIANCE 64.3
11-CAPTAIN AKERS 51.1 (4 wide)
3-SCATASTIC 44.6 (3 wide)
12-TIZ LOVE 39.9
13-COUNTERPLAY 39.4 (off slow)

1st time starters - 9, 1, 7, 6, 8, 14

RACE 7
1-ANYTIME ANYPLACE 91.3
7-GREAT LOU 91.3
2-ROCKET HEAT 88.8
12-EXTANT 81.5
4-DIAMOND MAJESTY 80.8
11-LOVENSEEK 80.8

RACE 8
1-WEST COAST STORM 54.5
4-CHICAGO ANGEL 47.4
5-KATY'S PLUM 47.4
7-CLASSY CHICK 39.4
2-VALENTINE'S REWARD 38.6






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Thursday, June 25, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
6-SALSITA 73.5
1-LUST FOR LIFE 68.6
2-PEPPY BOLLY 67.0
5-ROSEWHITENBLUE 63.2
3-I'M NO PATSY 53.5

RACE 2
7-WILD CAROLINE 71.4
6-ARTICULATE 66.4
2-DEL MAR DIXIE 62.2
4-PRIVATE MARINA 62.2
1-GARNISHEED WAGES 53.0
5-WILDY EXCESSIVE 53.0

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
6-GOMO 61.6
1-DO THE DANCE 37.0 (off slow)
3-RICH GIRL 36.6
7-JOAN OF ARCH 29.3
4-MY MOM 27.5

RACE 4
8-SOUL CRUSHER 63.2
10-NOBLE HAWK 49.7
2-RARE PUNCH 48.8
3-MASTERS CIRCLE 46.0
6-PAPA'S PLAYBOY 42.4

1st time starters - 7, 4

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
4-SHE SINGS ALONG 61.1 (3 wide)
13-AIMING STRIGHT 48.3
10-ESMERALDA BELLE 46.9
11-SOME CAAN JOB 42.9
3-GOOD LOOKING 37.4 (3 wide)

1st time starters - 1, 5, 8, 2, 9

RACE 6
9-CHAULK O LATTY 93.2
5-ZANBO 91.3
6-ARTISTIC CHARM 90.0
8-SHAPELY 83.2
7-SWEET AS A ROSE 82.0

RACE 7
7-DESERT DYNAMO 102.5
6-ANXIOUS TIMES 99.1
5-YOU KNOW I KNOW 99.1
1-JULES JOURNEY 94.8
2-GOVENOR CHARLIE 93.2

1st time starters 8 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 8
13-YA YA GIRL 70.3
8-OUI BEAR 62.1
11-JAZZED 61.5
12-CANADIAN EXCHANGE 59.6
3-QUALITY CHIMES 58.5
4-ELIMINATION ROUND 56.5
1-COOL MOVES 50.6

1st time starters - 5, 2



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Wednesday, June 24, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, June 23, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,237 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, June 21, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS FOR TODAY - PICKS WILL RETURN THURSDAY

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Saturday, June 20, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
4-PAPA TURF 86.9
1-OIL 83.2
2-HOT LIGHTNING 75.4
3-CRIMSON GIANT 65.4
5-AIN'T MISBEHAVIN 64.8

RACE 2
1-HYE I'M JACK 63.2
2-PLAYER'S CHARM 60.6
6-LADIES MAN 50.2
4-CARULLI 42.4 (off slow)
7-VERY GOOD YEAR 33.8

1st time starters - 5, 8

RACE 3
6-BUCKLEBERRY GREY 82.6
3-PUBLIC POLICY 77.2
4-FLAT GONE 71.4
1-GO JEREMIAH 65.4
5-KEEGERS 59.0

RACE 4
5-KNOW PLANS 86.9
9-MOUSSED UP 85.6
10-FIELD REPORT 84.5
4-GANGNAM GUY 83.2
3-WITH THE BREEZE 82.6

RACE 5
4-MOYO HONEY 81.4 (off slow)
7-CADET RONI 76.6
5-EXPLICABLE 74.9
2-PERDONA 54.5 (off slow, steadied)

1st time starters - 1, 3, 6

RACE 6
7-MOLTEN IMAGE 73.1
5-TAKEM BY SUPRISE 67.5
6-GEORGE'S MAIN MAN 65.4
3-PREORDAINED 64.3
1-NOT ENOUGH EDDIE 58.5

RACE 7
3-HARMONIC 90.0
13-ROYAL ALBERT HALL 89.4
2-ALL INDIANS 88.1
7-CARDIAC 86.3
5-ZINVOR 85.0
1-SEVE'S ROAD 84.4

RACE 8
9-STELLER WIND 99.1
2-SHEER PLEASURE 91.9
6-TARA'S TANGO 90.2
5-ROKSANA 88.1
7-CONQUEST CURLGIRL 88.1

RACE 9
8-ACE DEUCE 79.0
2-OVER PAR 74.3
7-SIR CAL 70.9
9-LOS GATOS 65.4
1-SHANTY IRISH 64.2
11-UNUSUALY 64.2

1st time starters - 5

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Friday, June 19, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY EVE.

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
2-JEAN EDWARD 66.4
3-AWSOME LUCK 63.2
1-KISS MY FACE 63.2
4-PAUSE THE MEMORIES 49.1
6-UNSTOPPABLEPASSION 42.4 (off slow, 5 wide)

1st time starters - 5

RACE 2
6-MARLA HOOCH 79.0
2-ADDENDUM 69.8
1-MIDNIGHT LADY 69.8
5-ALWAYS AN ANGEL 58.0
4-DATWATDADDYDO 56.1

RACE 3
1-SECURE DIVDEND 58.5
8-SENOR PEGASUS 52.6
7-HONEY FEVER 40.3
6-RACING SPIRIT 30.4
4-SPIRITED JACOB 15.3

1st time starters - 5, 2

RACE 4
7-IT IS LIVING WATER 80.6
2-COMMANDER KING 75.4
1-BADASMYWIFELETSMEB 73.7
4-APOSTLE PAUL 73.7
6-MISTER BLUE 70.9

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)

ALL 8 HORSES ARE 1ST TIMERS - NO SELECTIONS

RACE 6
3-PERSUASIVE PAUL 90.0
2-DRESS CODE 90.0
7-RUSH IN 85.6
5-SMALL TOWN COP 82.0
9-CRUSHER 81.0

RACE 7
4-SKY MEGA 90.0
1-FRONT RANGE 88.1 (off Oct. 14)
5-HONEY RIDE 88.1
3-GUSTO DOLCE 65.4

1st time starters - 2 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 8
2-TANGELO 82.0
6-TIZ A CLASSY LASS 81.4
1-SIDEPOCKET RUN 79.4
8-AWESOME LOOKN 78.7
4-STOLE A KISS 74.9
3-WILD BELLA 72.0

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Thursday, June 18, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $113,444.

RACE 1
2-PURE 82.0
3-MELANISTIC 77.8
5-DIVINA COMEDIA 77.4
1-PAMMY WHAMMY 68.1
4-DIVINA COMEDIA 61.1

RACE 2
1-WOODY'S FOLLY 62.3
7-AARON AGAIN 49.2
5-EMPIRE CAT 46.4
3-THE GOLD MONKEY 46.1
8-ILLYBILLY BOY 41.6

RACE 3
5-AFLEET IN TIME 69.8
2-TIZ JOLIE 68.1
4-HIGHWAY BOSS 65.4
1-LAMBO LUXX 61.6
3-SIGNATURE CAT 61.4

RACE 4
5-LIGHT STRIKER 75.3
1-CLEVERLY BEVERLY 74.9
7-FOUR TIMES LUCKY 72.0
4-SPIRIT OF TEN 69.2
3-HIDDEN REALITY 67.0

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
8-RIGHT THERE 54.0 (3 wide)
3-SHARPEST ONE 51.6
7-FAST ESCAPE 50.6

1st time starters - 9, 6, 2, 4, 5, 1

RACE 6
6-MY SWEET AFLEET 74.3
2-DIAMOND CUT 72.0
8-MIA'S STORM 66.4
7-TRUE HISTORY 63.8
1-WATDIFRENZDZITMAKE 63.0

RACE 7
6-CHERUBIM 103.1
5-HEIR OF STORM 99.8 (off Dec. 14)
9-KAFISTER 93.9
2-YIANNIS 93.2
3-DROVER CRAZY 91.7

RACE 8
7-QUEEN'S BALLADIER 49.1
9-CRYSTAL HARBOR 48.3
8-SLU DIXIE 47.4 (off Aug. 14)
6-OLEANDERPOLARBEAR 44.6
3-SPARKLING PEG 43.3

1st time starters - 1, 4



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Wednesday, June 17, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, June 16, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,231 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, June 14, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
2-BANDIDO TOO 73.7
4-VISIBILITY 73.7
5-ZARQA STAR 62.2
1-BEST TWO MINUTES 56.0
6-WARREN MY BOY 46.4 (off slow)

RACE 2
6-PEARL DE VERE 82.6
5-PICA 82.1
2-DISSENSION 80.8
1-VANLOSE STAIRWAY 79.6
3-TWO STEP FLOR 73.7

RACE 3
4-WILD CAROLINE 60.6
6-I HEART YOU 57.5
3-AMINA PERFECT 50.0
5-FLYIN FOR A LIVIN 39.2
1-LADY COMIC 37.4

RACE 4
4-FIGHT THRU 74.3
7-SEEDSANDSTEMSAGAIN 72.6
3-JENS DE VILLE 62.7
6-BOLD PAPA 58.8
5-SILVER SPIRIT 56.1

1st time starters -2

RACE 5
5-FAST TRACK 93.9
6-SINFULLY 90.7
1-JOMELO 89.4
9-EMPTY HEADED 86.3
4-THIS ONE'S FOR MEL 85.6

RACE 6
1-BEN'S DUCHESS 88.8
2-MY FIONA 83.2 (off Dec. 14)
4-FRENCH PRESS 83.2 (off June 14)
6-MEINERTZHAGENI 82.6
11-BLACK BETSY 82.0

RACE 7
7-PEPNIC 99.1
3-CLEVER ROYAL 98.4
6-HORSE LAUGH 95.8
2-HEAD SOUTH 95.7
4-CAUTIOUS GIANT 93.9

RACE 8
4-LIVING THE LIFE 100.4
8-SAM'S SISTER 99.1
6-WINNING VISION 91.9 (off Oct. 14)
3-CAST IN SILVER 91.3
5-WASTED AT MIDNIGHT 89.4

1st time starters - 1 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 9
6-NAKAMOTO 77.8
3-CURRENCY EXCHANGE 72.6
9-TRUE IMAGE 71.4
5-RELATIVE TIME 63.2
4-BLACK TIE 59.5
7-PYROTECHNICS 55.0

1st time starters - 8

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Saturday, June 13, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








TODAYS PICK SIX CARRYOVER IS $57,859.

RACE 1
1-WONDERFUL LIE 86.9 (off July 14)
6-THERMODYNAMICS 73.1
3-KANA FLAVOR 73.1
4-BIG BOOK 65.9
2-WARREN'S TRICIA R. 62.2

RACE 2
4-SOUL CRUSHER 64.3
8-DISTINCTIVE B 63.1 (off Oct. 14)
3-DOTHRAKI 60.6
7-ARTIC WARRIOR 55.5
1-COACH JOHN 46.0

1st time starters - 2, 5

RACE 3
3-MAJESTIC MINISTER 77.2
7-HUGH KNEW 74.5
1-SALISTA 74.3
6-FRANDONTJUDGE 71.4
4-MOSCATO GIRL 70.6

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
4-CASTLE 56.5
8-RALIS 56.0
1-HOT ORE 44.2
2-CARLOS DANGEROUS 32.6
6-PHANTOM HEAT 27.2

1st time starters - 5, 7, 3, 9

RACE 5
3-MIDNIGHT STORM 120.1
5-BAL A BALI 114.3
2-TALCO 109.3
1-WINNING PRIZE 101.1
4-SEEK AGAIN 99.1

RACE 6
5-RELENTLESS HEAT 82.6
8-DEKKO 79.6 (off June 14)
7-MY SLEW 79.0
9-COOLINGTON 78.4
6-FRENSHAM 78.4

RACE 7
8-BRAVE ACT 97.1
7-LABOUR 96.5
4-SOMETHINGS UNUSUAL 95.2
6-EDDIE'S FIRST 91.9
1-UNUSUAL TASTE 91.3

RACE 8
4-BEHOLDER 112.2
5-WARREN'S VENEDA 107.9
1-MY MONET 95.8
2-GRANDOISE TACTICS 93.2
6-WILD IN THE SADDLE 90.7

RACE 9
9-TICABOO 88.8
7-BIG MOVE 73.1
6-TAKE IT EASYPLEASE 53.0
3-LILY KAI 49.7 (off slow, 4 wide)
1-UNUSUAL STORM 45.8
2-DIXIE TWEET 45.8

1st time starters - 4, 8, 10

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Friday, June 12, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY EVE.

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
3-LOOKIN FOR MONEY 73.1
5-BACKSTREET LISA 71.4
6-HOUSEMAKER 68.6
1-WON'T BE SHAKEN 65.4
4-SOUND CITY 63.2

RACE 2 ( all 2 yo. going 5f.)
6-TIME FOR EBBY 39.4 (4 wide)
1-PRINCESS KENDRA 34.2 (off slow, 4 wide)
2-ONE BYE TWO 23.8

1st time starters - 7, 4, 3, 5, 8

RACE 3
5-LONG HOT SUMMER 87.5
1-SEA MONA 82.6
4-BELLE ET BETE 73.7
3-GRAND YODELER 71.7
6-STEALTH DRONE 70.9

1st time starters - 2 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 4
8-BELLE OF THE FLEET 82.6
3-LAROCCO 78.4
6-SEA JOHN'S SPIRIT 78.4
2-LUCKY STUDENT 76.6
4-CRAZY ABOUT HIM 73.7

RACE 5
5-ATTA BOY PETE 93.9
6-CHOSEN EMPIRE 93.9 (off Jan. 13)
8-MISTAKEN IDENTITY 86.3
9-ROCKED TWICE 84.5
7-MOBILIZED 83.2
4-SHAKAHARI 83.2

RACE 6
6-COWTOWNMARY 51.0 (off May 14)
7-MASTERS CIRCLE 46.3 (off Oct. 13)
5-PAPA'S PLAYBOY 46.0
9-HALLUCINATOR 42.9
12-PRINCESS BROOKLYN 28.9

1st time starters - 8, 2, 3

RACE 7
7-KULIK LODGE 101.8 (off Oct. 14)
2-TWENTYTWENTYVISION 99.1
5-AMBITIOUS BREW 96.8
6-BOBBY Z MAN 93.4
3-GLOBAL VIEW 84.4

RACE 8
11-ROMAN WILD 60.6
7-LANA CAPRINA 60.1
3-KENNY'S GIRL 46.9
5-STUNNING TASTE 37.4
2-LUCKY MO 34.6
4-QUEEN KHALEESI 32.6

1st time starters - 8, 12, 13

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Thursday, June 11, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
4-K THIRTY EIGHT 99.1
1-MICKS MIRACLE 93.2 (3 wide)
3-STRINGENT 91.9
5-GOLD CHASER 90.0
2-UNBLUNTED 77.8

RACE 2
7-Q'VIVA 80.2
6-SILVER MOJAVE 77.8
3-CINDYS SECRET 73.7
2-L X SUNRISE 68.9
1-CLEM JUICE 62.2

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
3-HEARTBREAK HONEY 28.9 (bumped at start)
6-RICH GIRL 26.8
4-MY MOM 20.6 (bumped at start)
5-SEASIDE FANTASY 18.0 (3 wide)

1st time starters - 1, 8, 2, 7, 9

RACE 4
4-AN UNUSUAL GROUP 68.1
10-AMELIATHEAVIATOR 67.6
8-CARRICK BAY 63.2
5-MANGO REWARD 62.7
6-WARRENS GOLDNUGGET 61.6

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
5-STAR EXPRESS 41.6
4-QUICK LOUDER 31.9

1st time starters - ( 7 1st timers, NO SELECTIONS)

RACE 6
4-BARUTA 88.8
1-MAIBABY 86.3
5-CAMPIONESSA DOLCE 84.5
2-MARK OF A GEM 83.8
3-KOOL KAT 83.2

RACE 7
3-AMERICAN ACT 85.6
6-FONZ 80.2
5-MACHO SOX 76.5
2-FINALLYGOTABENTLEY 75.2
1-RAMBLING HOUSE 74.3
8-CELTIC MOON 74.3

RACE 8
2-CHARMING STARLET 75.4
9-BIG MOVE 68.1
5-WEST MID 67.7
10-REDO IT 62.5
7-WARREN'S PURRFECT 62.2
3-BILGER'S SAPPHIRE 57.0
4-IT GIRL 57.0

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Wednesday, June 10, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, June 09, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,225 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, June 07, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
4-LONDON LEGACY 77.8
7-BRIMSTONED 70.9
1-CONTEMPLATE 60.6

1st time starters - 3, 5, 2, 6

RACE 2
3-JAN'S SPIRIT 75.4
2-POCKETFULLOFGREEN 64.8
4-SWEET SILVER 61.6
5-SUMMER LADY 59.6
6-MIZ PENELOPE 56.5

RACE 3
5-PROSPECT PARK 105.9
1-GIMME DE LUTE 94.5
4-OM 92.1
3-CROSS THE LINE 89.4
2-CYRUS ALEXANDER 88.1

RACE 4
8-HARD NIGHT'S DAY 73.1
5-MARGARET REAY 72.0
9-GENTLE HUMOR 69.5
1-ENTEBBE 57.0
2-HALF PAST MIDNIGHT 54.5

1st time starters - 4, 6, 3

RACE 5
5-SUGAR SPICE 69.8
4-QUEEN OF THE HILL 68.6
3-MISSDANG SALLY 63.8
1-NOTHING TO HIDE 50.2
2-A P PEPPER 49.7

RACE 6
1-1-GAS TOTAL 91.9
5-SCOOTER BIRD 88.8
6-CUSTOMER BASE 85.6
4-COLONEL JOAN 80.2
7-HALLJOY 74.9

1st time starters - 2 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 7
9-LUST FOR LIFE 73.7
2-PAY THE DEBT 69.8
3-DEMOCRACY RULES 65.9
8-WATER ISSUES 63.6
6-SENSATIONAL NIKKI 61.6

RACE 8
5-TURN ON THE PUMPS 83.8
6-DURANGO FLIER 82.0
7-KNOW PLANS 80.2
9-UNUSUALLY GREEN 79.6
12-FREDDIES DREAM 78.4
4-THE LAST EXPRESS 78.4

RACE 9
2-BERT'S BABY 52.6
5-ANNISQUAM 44.6
3-CLAUDITA 14.8 (5 wide)

1st time starters - 8, 9, 10, 6, 4, 1, 11, 7

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Saturday, June 06, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA AND BELMONT STAKES - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







SANTA ANITA

RACE 1
1-SAINT DERMOT 84.4
6-NORTHERN IOWA 82.0
4-FANCY SHOES 80.8
3-DERBY GLASS 79.0
2-DOYOUKNOWSOMETHING 77.8

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
3-SUAVEMENTE 45.5
1-RICKLES 38.2

1st time starters - 5, 7, 4, 6, 2, 10, 9

RACE 3
5-MR. PUCCI 79.6
3-HOOK 'EM KURT 77.2
4-LAMU 31.5 (7 wide)

1st time starters - 2, 7, 6, 1)

RACE 4
7-WEEWINNIN 102.5
3-AWESOME RETURN 101.8
5-LUCKY J LANE 100.4
6-FOREST CHATTER 97.5
1-PATRIOTS RULE 91.3

RACE 5
7-TITLED NOBILITY 77.2
2-ACCELERANT 74.9
10-FIT TO RULE 74.3
6-COOK INLET 68.6
8-DEEP PLAY 67.5

RACE 6
5-U S CITIZEN 93.9
2-ROYAL F J 93.9
1-HAWKEDON 90.0
4-AIN'T NO OTHER 88.8
3-CHIPS ALL IN 88.1 (off June 14)

RACE 7
5-PRETTYPRECIOUSHEIR 69.2
7-BEYOND LUCKY 57.0
3-ILL TELL YOU WHAT 56.5
10-KANTINA KOWGIRL 55.0
9-WILD HEART RUN 54.0

RACE 8
5-ATTACK 82.8
2-AJAC 79.3
13-MILTEE 64.8
11-PASSINAFLASH 62.2
7-UNUSUALLY BIG 61.6

1st time starters - 4

RACE 9
1-AUTUMN TWILIGHT 73.1
5-SWISSARELLA 72.0
9-MISSY MOUSE 69.5
7-LETS GET FRISKY 68.1
8-IT'S AINE 66.4

RACE 10
14-ALL SQUARED AWAY 103.1 (off June 13)
2-TOOWINDYTOHAULROX 95.7
6-SON OF WAR 92.6
5-LUCKY VIEWS 92.6
7-ROYAL BANKER 88.8

RACE 11
10-MR. CARTAGENA 65.6
4-CRAWFORD THE CROOK 64.5
2-UPBEAT TEMPO 54.5
1-STENOA 49.2 (off March 14)
12-GEMMABETO 48.8
9-ILLYBILLY BOY 39.9

1st time starters - 6

BELMONT PARK - THE BELMONT STAKES

RACE 11
8-MATERIALITY 125.3
5-AMERICAN PHAROAH 121.5
6-FROSTED 114.3
3-MADEFROMLUCKY 102.5
2-TALE OF VERVE 102.5
7-KEEN ICE 97.8
4-FRAMMENTO 91.9
1-MUBTAAHIJ 90.0

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Friday, June 05, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY EVE.

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
5-OLIGARCH 100.4
4-I B MIKE 80.2
1-MY SECRET AFFAIR 79.6
2-BOOMPA 73.1 (off Dec. 14)
3-JEDI MIND TRICK 73.1

RACE 2
6-SAVANNAH SKY 79.6
2-MAHEE 71.4
3-BOAT DRINKS 67.3
4-HOLOGRAEME 61.6 (off slow, steadied)
5-SWEETER THANCANDY 61.1

RACE 3
5-HUG AND A KISS 88.8
4-ROYAL TEMPTRESS 87.5
1-ONE MORE 85.0
3-BACKINTHEACADEMY 81.0
6-ARETHUSA 79.0

RACE 4
1-BLAME IT ON TEKELA 63.8
3-SETTHEBIGBOYSFREE 62.2
8-ROB'S GOLDEN TOUCH 59.0
7-ARCHIE BUNKER 55.6
4-HAZARDOUS DREAMS 49.0

RACE 5
1-HOUSEMAKER 65.4
2-KATY DRAMA 62.7
8-SOCIALIZE4D 60.6
10-LUVURYAN 58.5
6-BETTERLETHERGO 51.5

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 2f.)
9-ANNIE'S CANDY 72.0 (3 wide)
4-XINGONTOTHEBONE 40.7 (4 wide)
3-BENESH 40.7 (4 wide)
6-PHANTOM HEAT 30.0
5-TWISTED EARL 20.6

1st time starters - 2, 1, 10, 8, 7, 11

RACE 7
9-MISS BOOM BOOM 83.8
7-PAULINA'S LOVE 77.2
4-SHOW STEALER 72.6
3-FROSTY FRIDAY 72.6
6-MORNING COFFEE 69.9

RACE 8
4-NEWFOUND GOLD 85.0 (off Oct. 14)
8-LIMITED RESPONSE 80.2
2-ENDLESS CRUISE 79.0
3-NORTH PACIFIC 73.1
1-GLADDING 71.4
9-PUT IT THERE 69.8

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Thursday, June 04, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
1-WARREN'S DIXI BELL 73.1
2-FLYIN FOR A LIVIN 64.8
5-GRAMMY TIMES SIX 62.7
6-HIDE MY HEART 60.1
3-YAWANNAGOKID 57.5

RACE 2
2-OLD MAN LAKE 93.9
1-MISSING GROOM 82.6
3-WITH THE BREEZE 81.3
6-STORM COMIN THRU 74.9
4-ROLO TAMACI 71.6

RACE 3
2-PEFIOLO 75.4
5-ANTINANCO 70.3
7-CHESTER B 64.8
1-I ROCK THE PARTY 60.4
3-PAX TECUM 54.0

RACE 4
7-CURLY ROAD 51.6
4-GRAVITY FORCE 51.1
1-POPSRACER 41.6 (off July 14)
3-BORN TO SERVE 34.2
6-I'M ZONIN 17.4

1st time starters - 5, 2

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
3-MINT JULEP TAFFY 53.5
6-MISS GRIDLEY 41.6
7-SHE'S ON THE LINE 37.8

1st time starters - 5, 4, 8, 1, 2

RACE 6
1-IVANA BEAT YABAD 80.8
2-ZUZU'S PETALS 66.4
4-EASTER LILLIAN 64.8
5-MOTHERNATURESPELL 63.8
3-BLIND DREAMS 63.1

RACE 7
8-JULES JOURNEY 97.8
1-FOOTSTEPSINBRONZE 97.1
4-BENCH LIGHT 94.5
5-CALM PACIFIC 92.7
3-DOCS LEGACY 91.9

RACE 8
4-CHICAGO ANGEL 53.5
9-IPRAY 46.4
6-CHRISTIANAS MIRAGE 41.1
3-NOT TONIGHT 40.3
2-WEST COAST STORM 40.1
8-HONKY TONK DIVA 34.2

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Tuesday, June 02, 2015

 

SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Monday, June 01, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,219 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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