Saturday, February 28, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $48,472.

RACE 1
3-BLUE LAW 79.0
11-NAKAMOTO 69.2
10-MILTON 63.2
7-SOUTHEAST ASIA 61.0
1-ROCKIN ROBIN 60.6

RACE 2
6-LUST FOR LIFE 69.8
7-PATRIOTIC BROTHER 62.7
2-PAY THE DEBT 60.6
1-HOTALING HEART 56.5
3-SHY ROSA 56.0

RACE 3
4-NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR 92.6
1-SACRED OVATION 91.9
5-OLIGARCH 84.4
6-ENDLESS CRUISE 73.7
2-MAJESTIC KITTEN 72.4

RACE 4
8-SMOOVE IT 89.4
12-ARTISTIC CHARM 89.4
11-ANNIVERSARY KITTY 83.8
7-HUMORISTICA 80.2
5-VANLOSE STAIRWAY 79.6 (off Sept. 14)

1st time starters - 10 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.) 14 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 5
6-MASOCHISTIC - 111.4 (off Sept. 14)
3-RENO REBEL 88.1
4-PROTOCOL 83.8
1-AIRFOIL 81.4
2-SPUD SPIVENS 77.8

RACE 6
2-THE MAN 88.8
4-WABEL 79.0
1-NOB HILL 74.9
7-FORCE 72.6
9-IDEAL 67.6

RACE 7
7-LUMINANCE 88.2 (5 wide, off July 14)
8-WILD AT HEART 84.4
4-MISS MANDATE 77.8
6-LADY ZUZU 74.6
2-ALL STAR BUB 73.1

RACE 8
6-LIGHT THE CITY 88.1
7-RATTATAPTAP 86.3
9-GLORY 84.4
3-ENCHANTING LADY 83.1 (off June 14)
8-STELLER WIND 80.2

RACE 9
4-SWEET SENSE 68.6 (off June 14)
6-WARRENSDOLLARSIGNS 58.0
13-DULCEMIA 54.5
3-CINDYS SECRET 52.1
11-PREVARICATOR 49.2
1-RUBY N DIAMONDS 43.8

1st time starters - 5

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Friday, February 27, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
3-HIDDEN ZENSATION 72.0
7-LOLO EL CANONERO 70.3
1-CASUAL ATTIRE 68.1
6-MATZOH BALL MAGIC 67.5
5-RUSTY ROAD 66.4

RACE 2
4-ROSEWHITENBLUE 77.8
6-TOOMANYTOMATOES 67.5
2-SHEZA EYEOPENER 63.2
3-LAMAZONE 63.2
7-SHOPPING SAVANNAH 60.9

RACE 3
7-HORIZONTALYSPEAKIN 92.6
8-WHICH MARKET 88.1
5-TE RAPA 86.9
3-TRIBAL TRIBUTE 86.4
4-DEPUTY STRIKER 84.6

RACE 4
2-GOLD LOCKET 45.5 (3 wide)
3-DIXIE DAME 40.7
8-TAMKA 38.2
10-CODED MESSAGE 37.8 (off slow)
1-DELANEY'S JOY 36.2

1st time starters - 4 (refused break), 5, 6

RACE 5
8-ACE DUCE 77.8
11-THE CUSTODIAN 74.9
7-CHACO 70.9
12-FORT CADY 68.1
1-PAPA Z 64.3
4-HEAVENELEVEN 58.0

1st time starters - 6, 13

RACE 6
4-CYRUS ALEXANDER 84.4
2-HARMONIC 81.4
3-ECKERSLEY 78.2
5-VERRACO 74.9
1-BATTLE OF EVERMORE 69.9

RACE 7
1-JOES BLAZING ARON 103.1
4-DIAMOND BACHELOR 103.1
7-AWESOME RETURN 95.2
9-PLAY HARD TO GET 90.0
2-ALAKAZAN ALAKAZAN 88.1

RACE 8
3-WIN WISH 66.4
9-RARE PUNCH 66.4
1-ARCTIC CODE 62.7
2-CHAPO 56.0
8-SURFER MOON 55.5
6-SPECTACULARJOURNEY 52.1 (off April 14)

1st time starters - 10

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Thursday, February 26, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
3-JUSTONEMORETHING 55.0
2-ONE MORE ROLL 52.6
1-POISON PULPIT 42.9
5-I'M POPEYE 42.9
4-DR. VINCENTSTEIN 40.3

RACE 2
5-THESHEETSGUY 90.0
3-MUCHOS BESOS 85.6
1-I DON'T CARE WHO 80.8
2-ICE CREAM TRUCK 78.8
6-PERFECT SET 74.9

RACE 3
3-ELEKTRUM 89.4 (off slow)
4-AQUAFRIA 86.9
6-COLONEL JOAN 86.9
2-DIAMOND STILETTOS 86.3
5-SPELLING AGAIN 84.4

RACE 4
5-I HEART YOU 50.6
7-LOB CITY 47.8
3-KYANKES 47.6
1-SWISS JET 42.4
2-VALENTINE'S REWARD 34.2

1st time starters - 6

RACE 5
8-TAYLOR LANE 74.9
3-SEE THROUGH 65.4
2-KRISTINITE 63.8
4-KEEZHEEKONI 57.5
1-SEEK A STAR 56.0

RACE 6
6-MY JEALOUS 75.4
8-TRUCIAL STATE 74.3
5-QATAR'S PEARL 73.7
3-DRESS CODE 68.6
2-COOK INLET 61.1 (off Aug. 14)
4-CARAMURU 61.1

RACE 7
6-FANTASTIC STYLE 101.8
1-LONG HOT SUMMER 88.1 (off Aug. 14)
2-BAD JU JU 82.6
8-LADY LAKE 82.0
3-TALL AND SWEET 79.0

RACE 8
8-PRICE OF GLORY 50.6
7-SUNSHINE BANDIT 33.0
6-BERN 32.6

1st time starters - 5, 1, 4, 3, 2

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Wednesday, February 25, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, February 24, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,137 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, February 22, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
3-MAGNA WARRIOR 82.0
4-ECHO ZULU 74.9
5-W. GILES 71.4
1-OH BROTHER GO 64.8
6-MOSSO 63.2

RACE 2
5-FIFTYSHADESOFFUN 49.7
1-BERNIER 47.8
6-SHE'S DISCREET 45.5
8-PRIVATE MARINA 45.1
3-HONKY TONK DIVA 42.0

RACE 3
5-SPROUTS 67.5
3-A P PEPPER 61.1
4-SHE'S FLUSH 59.6
2-NORASTONE 59.0
1-INA MINA 57.5

RACE 4
8-WAR DESTINY 95.2
1-ALAMO 79.6
6-DEAD EASY 76.0
11-BELLAMY CONCERTO 74.9
10-J SERINO 74.5

1st time starters - 3, 9(hit rail, pulled up)

RACE 5
8-Z BESHA 63.8
10-PROFESSOR BERNS 58.5
5-CURLY ROAD 57.5 (3 wide)
12-MILHAUD 49.7
4-COMMUTE 35.0 (3 wide)

1st time starters - 1, 6, 3, 2, 7, 9

RACE 6
7-IANCOL 81.0
6-STORMY LIBERAL 78.4
3-DADDY D T 77.2
2-PAPACOOLPAPACOOL 74.9
8-BROUGHTON KITTEN 74.3

1st time starters - 1 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 7
10-SHORT HEAT WAVE 96.5 (off July 14)
1-ARLINGTON HOUSE 90.0
9-GOLD CHASER 85.0
2-WARREN'S T. BAZE 83.2
5-SILENT RULER 76.0

RACE 8
6-HOME RUN KITTEN 103.8
3-U S CITIZEN 103.1
4-DISTINCTIV PASSION 102.3
7-HAY DUDE 101.1
1-SWEET SWAP 99.1

RACE 9
8-CAPTAIN G 59.6
3-EMPIRE CAT 49.7
9-BOSSMON 46.9
4-YOKED 38.8
10-RODEADO 38.6
6-BOREALIS BREEZE 37.8

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Saturday, February 21, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
4-URBAN HUNTER 90.0
3-SKIP TONY 85.6
5-HADFUNLASTNIGHT 83.2
6-CRUSHED IT 80.8
2-KAFISTER 79.6

RACE 2
9-CONGRATS SEATTLE 77.2
3-FABBER 60.6
11-CAPTAIN CARCHY 60.1
2-BETTER LUCK 56.5
1-CAL MCLISH 39.9

1st time starters - 12

RACE 3
5-WELL MAYBE 93.2
4-CONQUEST HARLANDAY 85.0
1-PAT THE BEAR 80.2
3-CHIEF OF STAFF 76.0
6-SWISS SILVER 63.8

RACE 4
4-WARREN'S GUSSIE 86.3
2-SPRAGUE RIVER 85.0
8-CHATI'S ON TOP 82.6
6-WARREN'S JEN FIZZ 77.2
9-DISCATSONTHESQUARE 74.9
10-SUSAN B GOOD 74.9

RACE 5
8-TIZ MY CHERRIE 81.4
5-BETH'S BLING 63.2
4-CANADIAN EXCHANGE 51.1
2-KATY DRAMA 40.7

1st time starters - 11, 9, 12, 10, 1, 3, 7, 6

RACE 6
3-TRIBAL CHATTER79.0 (off July 14)
8-LADY ASANO 77.8
4-TEBOWING 76.0
9-LOVE BLIND 74.3
10-ALWAYS A CHANCE 72.0

RACE 7
3-MY MONET 86.9
6-MEINERTZHAGENI 83.2
2-PICA 82.0
5-COURAGEOUS CALL 81.4
7-SAYES SO 79.6

RACE 8
4-BETTYS BAMBINO 104.5
6-AMBITIOUS BREW 102.5
2-BOOZER 102.5
5-BIG BANE THEORY 96.5
7-SPIRIT RULES 94.4

RACE 9
4-HOWDY 79.6
12-GIMME DA LUTE 73.1
3-LUCKY REALITY 59.6
1-LAMBO LUXX 55.5
6-VODKA TEXTED YOU 55.0 (stumbled at start)
11-EIGHT SPOKES 46.4

1st time starters - 10, 5, 7, 2, 9, 14

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Friday, February 20, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $91,365.


RACE 1
5-A COLT FOLLOWING 68.1
7-STERLING WAGER 61.1
1-SELECTION 59.0
3-UNUSUALLY BIG 50.2
2-SOUTHEAST ASIA 46.9

RACE 2
5-APPEALING TALE 97.1
1-MAGIC MARK 88.1
2-FLY LEXIS FLY 77.8
4-ROUSING SERMON 73.7
3-CRIMSON GIANT 71.6

RACE 3
2-QUICK NAVIGATOR 71.4
7-MAJESTIC MINISTER 69.2
3-CACICA DULIMA 68.1
6-KANTINA KOWGIRL 66.6
5-CIN CITY LADY 59.0

RACE 4
3-JUST BOOKIN 44.6
1-YES YES BARONESS 36.2
8-STARRY CIELO 36.1
4-FAB FOUR EVER 30.8
2-OFFICE CHATTER 29.3 (4 wide)

1st time starters - 6, 5

RACE 5
2-TIGAH 96.5
7-SOMETHINGS UNUSUAL 88.8
6-EZIO 87.5
10-I DON'T CARE WHO 85.8
1-SIZZLIN' JOE 80.8

RACE 6
7-TASTE LIKE CANDY 88.8
6-MAGNIFICENT SHRIL 82.6
5-MY SWEET ADDICTION 80.6
2-WILD IN THE SADDLE 75.2
4-MELANISTIC 73.7

1st time starters - 3 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 7
7-GAB POWER 94.5
1-BUYMEABOND 90.0
4-AVARE 90.0
10-TRIBAL TRIBUTE 87.6
5-ICE CREAM TRUCK - 86.9

RACE 8
5-FAITH PROOF 81.4
2-GOODHUMORGIRL 70.9
9-PEPPY BOLLY 67.0
1-FABULOUS FIT 65.4
10-MONSTRO NESS 64.8
4-SHARED IMAGE 63.2


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Thursday, February 19, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Wednesday, February 18, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,131 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Monday, February 16, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR MONDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
7-NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR 84.4
2-HOPE 'N PRAY 80.2
1-TRULEE SCRAPPIN 77.8
6-ATASCADERAN 76.6
4-SACRED OVATION 75.4

RACE 2
5-VALLEY CAT 90.0
6-LUCKBOX SAM 88.1
4-BRAVE ACT 82.0 (off June 14)
2-DYNAMO DIXIE 79.6
3-MEMPHIS 77.0

RACE 3
2-INTERJECT 85.6
3-FASCINATING 83.2
8-GRANDIOSE TACTICS 79.6
5-HONEY RIDE 72.6
7-SHEZA EYEOPENER 70.3

RACE 4
5-ANTINANCO 66.4
8-PRACTICAL 65.4 (off April 14)
9-EL MONTEREY 63.8 (off slow)
6-WEEKENDWITHBERNIE 59.0
7-SENOR PEGASUS 58.0

1st time starters - 2, 1

RACE 5
8-BERT'S MELODY 82.6
3-TANGELO 81.4
2-SPIRIT OF TEN 73.1
4-FRANDONTJUDGE 72.6
1-MARKET QUOTE 70.9

RACE 6
5-ELUSIVE JOURNEY 77.2
9-HIDDEN ZENSATION 74.3
10-MATZOH BALL MAGIC 70.3
8-RAMBLING HOUSE 68.1
4-LOLO EL CANONERO 66.4

RACE 7
1-LA TIA 104.5
6-ANNECODTE 94.5
4-BLINGISMYTHING 93.9
3-DIVERSY HARBOR 90.0
2-WINNING RHYTHM 89.4

RACE 8
7-PAPAS CIERVA 63.8
1-PEACHES N' BRANDY 63.2
11-KISS AT MIDNIGHT 61.6 (squeezed at start)
4-SEEK SAFE HARBOR 59.0
3-RACING FO CHASEN 58.5

RACE 9
11-ODIN 80.2
9-THE CUSTODIAN 73.7
7-FORT CADY 67.5
4-HAZARDOUS DREAMS 63.8
12-TIZAPALOOZA 63.8
5-RANGER SCHOOL 63.2 (off June 14)

1st time starters 13

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Sunday, February 15, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
2-ENCHANTED FORTUNE 61.6
5-EXPLICABLE 58.5 (bobbled, 4 wide)
4-VIVACIOUS BEAUTY 48.3 (drifted in)

1st time starters - 6, 3, 1

RACE 2
1-LUCKY TO STAY HOME 67.0
4-ACUTE 63.2
6-MARLA HOOCH 63.2
5-INCREDIBLE JOURNEY 54.5
3-ALICE ROADTRAIN 52.5

RACE 3
5-LOTTA ATTITUDE 79.0
7-PRIVILEGED ONE 79.0
1-BIG BREAK 70.9
2-SPY GIRL 68.1
4-HUGH KNEW 67.3

RACE 4
5-LUCKY J LANE 95.8
3-LITTLE CURLIN 90.6
2-OPSEC 84.4
9-CERVARO 83.8 ( off March 14)
1-ROUGH PASSAGE 80.4

RACE 5
8-CRUCERO 77.2
1-STARZILLA 72.6
6-SWING FOR DEFENCE 61.1
7-HE'S A REAL KEEPER 56.0
2-FAITHFUL TRUTH 52.6

RACE 6
4-GOUYEN 68.9
6-CHARMING STARLET 68.6
12-ONEDEWOMAN 67.0
3-BILGER'S SAPHIRE 65.7
11-MAD MELINDA 65.2

1st time starters - 2, 1

RACE 7
5-AMERICAN ACT 84.4
7-RAINBOW NORTH 76.6
9-APERFECTDAYTOFLY 71.6
4-JACKSON SUNDOWN 69.2
3-JUSTA GUSTA 68.6

RACE 8
4-SERBIAN SYCLONE 95.1
2-BENCH WARRANT 86.3
6-JAZZY JOSH 83.2
5-PAIN AND MISERY 77.9 (off Oct. 14)
1-DIAMOND MAJESTY 77.8

RACE 9
8-BERT'S BABY 54.5
9-RACING HOPE 41.6
5-GOLD JOURNEY 39.4
1-LUCKY ILLUSION 39.4
6-SWEET MAMA NOW 10.9 (off slow)

1st time starters - 2, 3, 7, 4

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Saturday, February 14, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
5-VEGAS BOUND 62.7
2-AMINA PERFECT 55.5
6-LOVELY INSTINCT 50.2 (off April 14)
4-ROCK N BUNNY 46.9
1-MIA LUCCIA 42.4

RACE 2
4-ACTION HERO 67.0 (off slow)
1-BOLD BID 10.7 (off June 14)

1st time starters - 2, 3, 6, 5

RACE 3
2-GALLANT CHARM 80.2
9-EL VAGURO 79.6
4-BROADCASTER 65.9
5-CUT TO RUN 58.5
6-COLE COLE 57.0
7-BALLARD RULER 57.0

RACE 4
4-TWENTY ELEVEN 65.9
5-LYLA DELLA 65.9
7-DULCEMIA 52.6
6-BEYOND LUCKY 43.8
1-CHRISTMAS SECRET 41.1

1st time starters - 8, 10

RACE 5
6-TURN ON THE PUMPS 88.8
7-BLACKFORD 86.4
5-DURANGO FLIER 84.0
4-DEPUTY HEAT 78.4
1-UNUSUAL FLEET 76.4

RACE 6
6-WHERE IS MY MIND 56.5
3-TAKE BACK SPRING 52.6
4-AWE GEE 49.7
5-ERTE 48.8
2-CITY RIDE 48.3

RACE 7
12-AVENGE 82.7
8-ENTRECHAT 77.8 (5 wide)
6-BOAT DRINKS 74.3
11-IVANA BEAT YABAD 57.5 (squeezed, 4 wide)
7-ZIP N BAYOU 56.0
2-OMORFI KOPELLA 56.0

1st time starters - 10, 4

RACE 8
2-THEGIRLINTHATSONG 102.5
6-WARREN'S VENEDA 99.8
1-YAHILWA 99.1
7-SWEET MARINI 85.0
5-LEGACY 85.0

RACE 9
3-MINKS APRISE 84.5
1-MAYBELLENE 77.9
10-SHE'S A BIG WINNER 77.8
2-BOBBI GRACE 76.6
5-WEDDING BLUSH 76.2
6-MIO ME 74.3

1st time starters - (in U.S.A.) 4 (fgn.), 11 (fgn.), 12 (fgn.)

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Friday, February 13, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
5-EMPOWERING FORCE 72.6
4-LATIGATION ROAD 63.8
2-AFLEET IN TIME 61.1
3-TIZ JOLIE 57.0
1-VISITATION 53.0

RACE 2
4-GRAMMY TIMES SIX 69.2 (off May 14)
3-QUAY FACTOR 67.0
1-NATURE'S ALLEY 66.4
2-BELLE OF THE FLEET 63.1
6-WARREN'S DIXI BELL 58.0

RACE 3
5-POWERFUL GIRL 49.7
1-ZIPPINAROUNDTOWN 43.3
2-SHE GOT AWAY 42.0
8-CODED MESSAGE 37.8 (off slow)
7-TWINKLE TOES 35.8

1st time starters - 3, 4

RACE 4
3-CATCH A FLIGHT 101.8
1-PRETTYBOYFLOYD 101.1
8-WELL MEASURED 93.2
7-THESHEETSGUY 83.2
5-MOTOWN MEN 82.0

RACE 5
10-JOSHIE HIT A HOMER 60.6
5-P CLUB 60.1
9-TEMPLE KEYS 57.0
3-UPBEAT TEMPO 53.0
1-MCHEAT 52.6 (off slow)

RACE 6
6-PERSUASIVE PAUL 97.5
8-FRIENDLY BANTER 85.6
7-CARLOT COWBOY 81.4
5-GLOBAL STAGE 73.7
1-MUCHOS BESOS 69.9

RACE 7
9-SKYLANDER 91.9
8-BERNSTER 89.4
6-BOBBY Z MAN 89.4 (off June 14)
3-CORINTHIAN'S SONG 88.8 (off Oct. 13)
5-GUGGENHEIM 88.8

RACE 8
10-RITZY TAGS 55.0
7-OLEANDERPOLARBEAR 39.4 (drifted out)
4-BIG WAVE BETTY 26.8 (steadied)
2-CLARET COVE 16.9 (4 wide)
3-PUNK FEVER 12.5 (off slow)
11-THINGY 8.8 (off slow)

1st time starters - 6, 9, 5, 8





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Thursday, February 12, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
7-SPIRIT OF TEN 69.2
6-LUST FOR LIFE 65.4
1-SILK IN SILVER 64.3
3-BELONGING 63.2
2-PAPASLILPRINCESS 62.2

RACE 2
1-HOLY LUTE 103.8
2-U S CITIZEN 101.8
3-WHICH MARKET 93.2
4-FOREVER JUANITO 92.6
5-PEPNIC 90.7

RACE 3
2-BURNING 69.2
4-CITY STATE 61.1
7-SALT OF THE EARTH 60.1
5-OSO SMART 59.6
10-MILITANT 57.5

RACE 4
3-TOOMANYTOMATOES 65.4
7-J AND S EXPRESS 64.8
5-ADELLUSION 60.6
1-SUMMERS DIGNITY 59.6
2-SPA CITY LOVER 51.6

RACE 5
3-EGYPTIAN EMPIRE 79.0
7-LOUFOQUE 75.4
1-NICEGIRLSFINISHLAST 72.6
6-LINDY HOPPIN 69.8
2-TIZ ADDICTEDTOLOVE 65.4

RACE 6
12-PRICE OF GLORY 51.1
11-GUYFROMTHESKYFIVE 51.1
8-SOUTHEAST ASIA 49.7
6-TIZ ALL THAT 49.7
2-DOG DAY 40.3

1st time starters - 4

RACE 7
3-HARLINGTON'S ROSE 83.2
4-MAGIC LILY 82.6
1-WASTED AT MIDNIGHT 80.8
5-CLEARLY CONFUSED 77.2
2-RAMONA'S WILDCAT 71.4
6-TEMPE 71.4

RACE 8
1-TOSHEEN 87.5
8-MONSIEUR POWER 83.9
6-SYNNIN 83.8
9-PETE'S SLEW 82.1
4-SUDDEN RUMOR 80.9
3-FRIENDSWITH K MILL 80.8

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Wednesday, February 11, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, February 10, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,125 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, February 08, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
2-BLOOMING HANNAH 66.4
3-SUMMER VEIL 37.4 (steadied)
7-STUNNING TASTE 25.8
1-HIGHLY ELUSIVE (4 1/2f. race, 5th by 19 3/4)

1st time starters - 4, 5, 6

RACE 2
3-ONNA BUGEISHA 91.4 (off July 14)
1-MARK OF A GEM 91.3 (off July 14)
2-ROYAL TEMPTRESS 83.2
5-STAR FIELD 82.0
7-FREE MONEY 80.2

RACE 3
5-NEVER ENDS 93.8 (3 wide)
8-WILD AT HEART 86.3 (3 wide)
2-MISS CENTERFOLD 62.6
7-DAD'S PRINCESS 61.6
1-HARRIET TUBMAN 61.6

1st time starters 6, 4

RACE 4
8-ZUZU'S PETALS 76.6
3-YANA 76.5
7-FAST MAGOO 72.6
4-TWELVE FOLDS 72.0
5-RADIANT JOURNEY 70.3

RACE 5
7-MADAM AAMOURA 77.4
3-REDHEADS RULE 69.9
6-PAULINA'S LOVE 64.3
4-BAYONET 64.0
11-FOOLISH WAYS 63.2

RACE 6
5-QUALITY PLAN 79.6
8-NIGHT BADGER 72.0
1-RAMBLING HOUSE 69.8
6-ADVISORY 68.6
7-RASPBERRY ALA MODE 64.8

RACE 7
2-I B MIKE 88.1
8-FRENSHAM 85.0
10-SIR BARCLAY 81.4
3-LUCKARACK 81.4
6-ROLO TAMACI 80.2

RACE 8
5-FANTICOLA 95.8
9-BIRDLOVER 92.6
3-SKY TREASURE 88.8
1-INDECISE 88.8 (off Jan. 14)
6-GLOBAL HOTTIE 87.5

RACE 9
8-CRIMSON GIANT 88.8
4-THIS TIME I WIN 76.6
10-SUM MIDNIGHT STAR 75.4
5-BABY BLAKE 74.9
6-COOLINGTON 74.3
11-TAKEIT TOTHE LIMIT 69.8
3-HEAD SOUTH 69.2

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Saturday, February 07, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.









RACE 1
7-CHEAP O CHARLIE 54.5
3-ROYAL GAMBLER 43.8
8-ROPER 39.9
4-LUCKY VINTAGE 35.4
11-SIGNATURE CAT 34.2

1st time starters - 1

RACE 2
5-AMERICAN ACT 79.6
7-INDUSTRY LEADER 78.4
10-LIMITED RESPONSE 77.8
6-SHEER TALENT 77.2
3-PRAY HARD 75.4
9-ZIPPINGAROUNDTOWN 75.4

RACE 3
7-CYRUS ALEXANDER 79.0
8-NOB HILL 73.1
9-FORCE 71.4
4-SECRETO PRIMERO 63.2
6-MAGIC TASTE 59.0

RACE 4
3-BATTLE OF EVERMORE 81.4
13-HAULER 62.7
5-ANYTIME ANYPLACE 62.2
7-DISCREET PRINCE 60.6
14-SOUTHEAST ASIA 56.0

1st time starters - 12, 1, 10

RACE 5
6-DORTMUND 105.9
5-FIRING LINE 96.5
2-ROCK SHANDY 95.2
4-HERO TEN ALL 77.2
3-SEBASTIAN'S HEART 67.0

RACE 6
9-PULLING G'S 104.5
2-WHINE FOR WINE 98.4
5-KRISTO 97.1
3-GOT EVEN 97.1
7-MY SAMURAI WARRIOR 96.5

RACE 7
1-FINNEGANS WAKE 113.6
2-PATRIOTICANDPROUD 107.3
8-DYNAMIC SKY 104.5
4-POWER PED 101.1
3-MAJESTIC HARBOR 97.6

RACE 8
5-SHARED BELIEF 117.9
8-CALIFORNIA CHROME 115.0
1-HOPPERTUNITY 112.9
9-ALFA BIRD 105.9
4-IMPERATIVE 101.8

RACE 9
5-SMOOVE IT 93.9
14-FASCINATING 88.2
11-SKY MEGA 88.2
10-INTOXICATING MOVE 86.3
2-DEMONICA 85.0
13-FELINE FORUM 82.6

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Friday, February 06, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $49,133.

RACE 1
4-KATTERRIFIC 62.7
1-WARRENSDOLLARSIGNS 48.3
8-L X SUNRISE 47.4
7-HERE COMES BOBBIE 47.4
6-TAKE IT SLOWLY 38.6 (off July 14)

1st time starters - 2

RACE 2
1-I DON'T CARE WHO 80.8
7-BLUEGRASS REWARD 79.6
2-PERFECT SET 78.4
8-VALENTINE BOY 76.0
6-THE MAD HUNGARIAN 70.9

RACE 3
9-DISCATSONTHESQUARE 70.9 (off June 14)
8-SEATTLE SALT 60.6
10-JEAN EDWARD 55.0
1-CINDYS SECRET 52.1
5-CHAULK O LATTEY 44.6 (3 wide)

1st time starters - 4, 7, 3, 6

RACE 4
2-JOMELO 91.3
6-SMOKEY LONESOME 83.8 (off April 13)
5-FIGHTER SQUADRON 82.6
4-CIRCA'SGOLDENGEAR 82.0 (off June 14)
10-MAXX THE GIANT 81.4
11-LUCKARACK 81.4

RACE 5
6-NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR 83.8
1-NO CONTINGENCY 77.8
7-SENOR RAIN 73.7
4-PRESIDING JUSTICE 70.3
9-RELENTLESS HEAT 69.8

RACE 6
2-STORM FIGHTER 105.9 (off July 14)
7-SNUGGLEY BEAR 97.1
3-PRIME ISSUE 97.1
6-MR. SEXY 90.7
5-AMERICAN PRIDE 88.8

RACE 7
8-DAY OF FURY 102.1
1-CHRISTOPHER STREET 91.3
2-WRIGHTWOOD 86.4
5-WANSTEAD GARDENS 86.3
9-STREET MAVEN 85.0

RACE 8
10-SKY HEART 59.6
7-BANDIDO TOO 47.4
12-PURE THUNDER 46.4
11-MUZZLED MOUSSE 40.3
13-ARTIC WOLFE 39.9
14-RIVER DISTRICT 38.2

1st time starters - 3, 9, 6



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Thursday, February 05, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
1-WARREN'S PURRFECT 52.6
6-HONKY TONK DIVA 50.2
2-HOT AND PLEASING 47.2
7-PRIVATE MARINA 46.9
5-SWEET TABOO 44.2

1st time starters - 3

RACE 2
3-PAT THE BEAR 74.9
5-GREAT LOU 65.9
4-POCKETBALL 63.2
2-TOP ESTATE 49.7
1-GAMBLER'S ROLL 34.5

RACE 3
5-STYLISH 83.8
2-KADESHA 77.8
1-DIAMINDA 75.4
8-LADY'S PLAN 75.4
4-PRACTISING 58.0

1st time starters - 7 (in U.S.A.-fgn.) 3-(in U.S.A.-fgn.)

RACE 4
5-VOW ME OVER 61.6
7-VALENTINE'S REWARD 55.5 (bumped, 3 wide)
3-STELLA MOON 55.0 (3 wide)
1-LILIES AND ROSES 49.2
2-OUI BEAR 47.1 (off slow)

RACE 5
6-DOCTOR GLYNIS 82.0
8-SPRAGUE RIVER 69.8
10-JADE WITH ENVY 66.4
1-ACATEGORYFIVESTORM 65.9
9-A P PEPPER 64.1

RACE 6
8-RUN LIKE A MILLION 79.6
1-BIG SWAG 74.9 (off May 14)
10-GUY CODE 72.6
9-RICHARD'S BOY 70.3
3-WILDCAT SAILOR 68.6

RACE 7
10-JOES BLAZING AARON 103.1
1-PLAY HARD TO GET 93.9
6-SOFAST 93.3 (post, off July 13)
7-HELM 93.2
4-BAILOUTBOBBY 91.3

1st time starters - 2 (in U.S.A.-fgn.)

RACE 8
9-MEDICINE BUTTE 70.3
6-AUTUMN TWLIGHT 56.5
2-THERMODYNAMICS 53.5
11-BARBARA BEATRICE 49.2
12-LUCY IN DIAMONDS 47.8
10-SCUTI DE PATUTI 45.5

1st time starters - 4, 8, 1, 7

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Wednesday, February 04, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,119 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Tuesday, February 03, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Sunday, February 01, 2015

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $95,169.

RACE 1
3-QATAR'S PEARL 71.4
6-UNMATCHED FORCE 71.4
7-TAMA COUNTY 67.0
4-TRUCIAL STATE 62.7
1-JUSTA GUSTA 62.2

RACE 2
6-SEEKING THE SHERIF 91.9
1-ATHENS 91.3
5-GIANT EGO 84.4
2-HORSE LAUGH 81.4
3-DIAMOND BACHELOR 65.9

RACE 3
7-GENDER AGENDA 90.7
6-HIJRA 87.5
3-AGUAFRIA 86.9
4-MISS LAFAYETTE 83.4
8-BLACK BIRD ROCK 77.8

RACE 4
1-MOONLIGHT MEETING 64.3
7-CINEMATIC CAT 60.1
6-WIN WISH 48.8
5-WARREN'S SUNNY BOY 47.4
10-CHAPO 41.6

1st time starters - 9

RACE 5
13-AWESOME DIAMOND 57.5
3-REVENUE VIRGINUS 56.5
10-SATIN CINNAMON 50.2
8-SCATTAGIRL 49.2
11-SCREEMING SKYFAR 42.0 (3 wide)

1st time starters - 9, 7, 4, 5, 2, 12

RACE 6
4-TEXAS RED 110.7
1-LORD NELSON 96.5
2-SERBIAN SYCLONE 95.2
3-JAZZY JOSH 82.6
8-SIR SAMSON 82.0

RACE 7
11-PERSUASIVE PAUL 95.8
3-PRESS BARON 93.2
10-BUYMEABOND 93.2
8-EMPTY HEADED 90.0
1-MISTAKEN IDENTITY 86.4

RACE 8
12-DIXIE DAME 58.0
2-FROGGY FRESH 47.8
6-JUST BOOKIN 45.5
13-ILL TELL YOU WHAT 40.3
11-FAB FOUR EVER 30.0 (4 wide)

1st time starters - 8, 7, 9, 3

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