Sunday, November 30, 2014

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $130,534.

RACE 1
7-LET'S GET CRACKIN 84.4
3-VALENTINE BOY 80.8
1-AWESOME INDY 76.6
5-DEEP PLAY 75.8
4-CRAVING CARATS 75.3

RACE 2
8-ACT 82.0
4-FOREST CHATTER 80.3 (3 wide)
1-SPY GIRL 77.9
5-DOMINO JOHNSON 76.0
14-LOGAN'S MOON 75.0 (off Nov. 12)

1st time starters - 2, 3, 9, 13

RACE 3
6-PRIME ISSUE 97.1
7-IMAGE OF JOPLIN 88.8
5-PERFECT SET 85.0
4-FOOLHARDY 80.8
3-MISTAKEN IDENITY 79.6

RACE 4
13-TIGAH 95.2
5-LUCKY J LANE 93.2
3-PRESS BARON 90.7
10-CHRISTOPHER STREET 89.4
2-NUMBER FIVE 88.1
11-DECISIVE EDGE 88.1

RACE 5
1-HE'S A BLING 78.2
6-PROSPECTOR ALLEY 74.9
3-YES YES YES 70.4
5-MONSIEUR POWER 59.3
8-CRANE LODGE 58.0

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
8-STORMY LIBERAL 82.0
6-DADDY D T 81.4
10-CONQUEST TYPHOON 81.4
1-ST. JOE BAY 79.9
5-DIAMOND MAJESTY 74.6

1st time starters - 3 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 7
7-MY SLEW 99.1
8-MIDNIGHT HAWK 95.2
2-FEROCIOUS 87.5
9-MR. SEXY 86.9
4-CHIEF LION 86.3

RACE 8
5-DISCREET MARQ 105.9
2-STRATHNAVER 101.8
3-LA TIA 98.4
1-QUEEN OF THE SAND 97.8
4-KADAYA 95.2 (off Feb. 13)

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
4-FIRING LINE 92.6 (off slow, 3 wide)
10-VICIOUS 63.8
9-BIG HAT CHARLIE 63.2
2-CLEVER MOVE 62.2 (off slow)
11-PASSINAFLASH 56.5

1st time starters - 3, 5, 6, 1, 14, 8, 7

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Saturday, November 29, 2014

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles on turf)
8-KANTUNE 72.6
11-WILLING TO TRAVEL 69.8
2-ZIP IT UP 67.0
4-PRETENTIOUS 64.8
10-SECOND SUMMER 59.0 (off slow, 3 wide)

RACE 2
1-GALEHORN 51.1
6-HERE COMES BOBBIE 47.4
8-WARRENSDOLLARSIGNS 40.7
7-BEA'S BENCH 39.0
2-COUNCIL TALK 36.6

RACE 3
3-BLUE TONE 100.4
5-AVANZARE 98.4
1-BIG CAZANOVA 87.5
2-TAMARANDO 85.6
7-BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS 76.0
4-FLEET EAGLE 76.0

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles on turf)
3-GRAND SKY 74.0 (4 wide)
12-HARMONIC 69.5
10-METABOSS 67.6
2-KENJISSTORM 64.8
7-HOWDY 60.0

1st time starters - 4, 1

RACE 5
10-COUNTING DAYS 70.9
7-LASSIE'S REWARD 70.3
3-DESIGNATED 65.9
6-COLE COLE 63.8
1-WARREN'S CASPER 62.7
9-POWERFUL 62.7

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
10-DON'T BLAME ME 88.2
2-RAINHA DA BATERIA 77.2
7-BOBBI GRACE 74.9
11-BENNETT JEAN 65.6
5-BACKSTREET LISA 63.2

1st time starters - 3

RACE 7
1-DOODETTA 85.0
8-OSCILLATOR 82.6
4-MUM'S TRUCKEE 77.8
5-MAGIC LILLY 77.2
2-ONLY JOSIE KNOWS 74.9

RACE 8
5-CALIFORNIA CHROME 119.3
2-LEXIE LEW 99.8
4-SAWYER'S HILL 95.8
3-FLAMBOYANT 92.6
1-TALCO 90.0
6-CABRAL 89.4

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
4-DAD'S PRINCESS 72.0
3-ELLE SUENO 48.3
5-LILIES AND ROSES 45.5 (3 wide)
12-ASCENT 39.9
9-ERTE 32.6

1st time starters - 11, 10, 2, 6, 8, 7, 1, 13

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Friday, November 28, 2014

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $47,193.

RACE 1
1-WARRIOR'S RIDGE 74.9
2-TAKEIT TOTHE LIMIT 70.9
3-BADASMYWIFELETSMEB 51.6
5-EXPONENTIALLY 46.4

1st time starters - 6, 4, 7

RACE 2
7-MR. ITKINS 79.6
8-CLICKJAB 77.8
5-GOLD CHASER 74.3
3-SNUGGLEY BEAR 73.7
2-TIZAPALOOZA 56.5 (off slow)

1st time starters - 4

RACE 3
8-SIR MACHO 84.4
3-SILVER TORCH 77.2
2-SYNNIN 72.8
7-ANXIOUS TIMES 70.6
9-GALLANT CHARM 70.3

RACE 4
1-FRIENDLY BANTER 85.6
8-WOODMANS LUCK 84.4
4-SHUN 83.2
3-BLUEGRASS REWARD 82.0
2-SENOR RAIN 80.8

RACE 5
10-CHATI'S ON TOP 85.6
7-INTOXICATING MOVE 85.0
3-BARUTA 85.0
9-MARGOT MACHANCE 83.8
8-JADE WITH ENVY 80.2

RACE 6
7-JUDY IN DISGUISE 92.6
9-MEINERTZHAGENI 91.3
4-UZZIEL 83.8
8-KATHLEEN ROSE 83.1
5-WARM BREEZE 80.8

RACE 7
8-TOM'S TRIBUTE 114.3
6-KAIGUN 110.0
10-BIG BANE THEORY 105.9
5-PURE TACTICS 102.5
2-ZA APPROVAL 100.4

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
12-LIFE ON RIVIERA 68.1
10-INCREASE 58.0
2-CAPTAIN CARCHY 57.5
4-DONJI 53.0
3-JET TRICK 49.2

1st time starters - 6 (stumbled & lost jock), 7



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Thursday, November 27, 2014

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
3-MAY B 90.0
4-U S CITIZEN 85.0
5-KINGS ADVENTURE 80.8
2-WATCH IT BUSTER 69.2
1-INSPIRED WISDOM 65.4

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-WINDY FORECAST 83.2
1-XOXO 70.9
6-STEALTH DRONE 67.5
7-HOLIDAY MAKER 62.2
5-DOCTOR SUSAN 62.2

RACE 3
5-BURNING 71.4
7-HE'S A REAL KEEPER 66.4
8-STORM THE CHANNEL 57.5
2-CURLIN IRON 55.5
9-CANOPUS 55.0

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
12-WHERE IS MY MIND AT 44.2
13-VICTORIA FALLS 40.3 (off slow)
14-COME AGAIN PLEASE 35.4 (3 wide)
5-IS THIS GEORGIA 32.6
2-VEGAS LUCK 31.1

1st time starters - 4, 1, 9

RACE 5
3-LADY ASANO 93.8
11-AGUAFRIA 85.6
5-ROYAL TEMPTRESS 85.6
1-STAR FIELD 85.6
2-BLINGISMYTHING 83.2

RACE 6
3-ALFA BIRD 87.6
6-NOWALKING 87.5
8-LITTLE CURLIN 77.0
1-NATIVE RIDE 71.4
5-ARLINGTON HOUSE 67.5 (off slow)

RACE 7
11-THE PIZZA MAN 107.3
2-HOLIDAY STAR 103.1
3-FINNEGANS WAKE 102.5
9-LITTLE JERRY 98.4
6-IRISH SURF 98.4

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
10-DREAM POLICE 68.1
12-SKY HEART 55.5
14-A COLT FOLLOWING 52.6
13-VERRACO 42.9
5-SUNBEAMSFROMHEAVEN 37.8 (slow start)
8-WOODY'S FOLLY 31.9 (4 wide)

1st time starters - 7, 6, 9, 2, 11, 1



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Wednesday, November 26, 2014

 

DEL MAR - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, November 25, 2014

 

DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,072 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, November 23, 2014

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $115,125.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-GUYFROMTHESKYFIVE 65.4
5-GUY CODE 27.9
3-TOMASINO 18.3 (off slow)

1st time starters - 6, 7, 4, 2

RACE 2
1-ZANBO 79.6
8-TANQUERRAY 79.0
7-LOVE BLIND 76.0
5-TEBOWING 76.0
6-BELONGING 73.1

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
5-WHOYOUGONNACALL 51.1
8-LITIGATION ROAD 48.0
7-SLAPSHOT MAN 46.9
2-HOT LIGHTNING 40.1
1-SACRED TEMPLE 39.6

RACE 4
1-NIGHTTIMING 82.0
8-ENDURING ERIN 73.1
6-BACKINTHEACADEMY 71.4
4-CRAVIN' THE HEAT 65.6
7-LETHAL STORY 63.8

RACE 5
1-GRANDSTAND 91.9
6-ALPINE LUCK 82.6
7-MIND THE MASTER 75.4
3-TRIBAL DUDE 75.2
5-MOONLIT METEOR 68.7

RACE 6
5-MY SAMURAI WARRIOR 99.8
2-APOLLO TEN 93.9
6-WHINE FOR WINE 91.9
7-EL NINO TERRIBLE 88.8
3-KRISTO 79.6
4-DERRINGER 79.6

RACE 7
4-DANCINGTHENIGHTAWAY 97.7
8-BACKWOODS BELLE 80.9
3-MOVING DESERT 71.4
1-HANSERELLA 70.9
7-SHE'S FLUSH 65.2

RACE 8
4-RED OUTLAW 103.1
6-BIG MACHER 102.5
5-SOI PHET 95.8
7-MAGIC MIKE 93.9
1-CELEBRITY STATUS 93.9

RACE 9
2-MICELI 87.5
6-EZIO 86.9
5-JOMELO 83.8
9-SIZZLIN' JOE 80.8
7-CRAVING CARATS 79.0
3-MAMBO MAN 73.1

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Saturday, November 22, 2014

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
2-TATUMS GOLD 71.4
3-PRINCESS BERTRANDO 67.0
1-EASTER FEVER 64.3
5-GRAND YODELER 63.2
4-DESERT THIEF 59.0

RACE 2
4-SHYSHEISNOT 80.8
1-DIAMINDA 78.4
3-PERFECTA 76.6
6-KADESHA 73.1
5-LUVLY RITA 68.6

RACE 3
6-CLOUD HOPPER 70.9
3-USBEK THUNDER 70.3
4-DEEP PLAY 65.4
1-CARDIO ROYALE 61.1
2-TRUCIAL STATE 61.1

RACE 4
4-AIR OF ROYALTY 93.8
8-MAHALO PRINCESS 88.8
3-LUCKY S. J. 82.7
10-MAGIC LILY 77.2
9-FAITH HOPE LOVE 76.8

RACE 5
8-SECRET COMMAND 80.8
3-TIZ FUTURITY 77.2
5-INTAXICATION 76.6
7-MAHALO ARTURO 72.0
1-RAISE THE HOOF 59.6

RACE 6
3-PERSUASIVE PAUL 93.9
7-LOS BAMBINOS 91.9
11-DRESS CODE 91.9
1-BENBA 86.3
10-BUYMEABOND 85.0

RACE 7
4-SECRETSATMIDNIGHT 90.7
6-NICKLUS WAY 90.7
2-BIRD E HOUSE 89.4
5-GOTHAM NEWS 83.2
1-BAILOUTBOBBY 82.5

RACE 8
1-APPEALING CAT 95.2
9-LADY PIMPERNEL 95.2
11-SCOOTER BIRD 91.3
6-BEE BRAVE 86.9
10-LADY OF GOLD 85.6

RACE 9
1-FARINGDON CIRCLE 86.9
2-TAP DANCING 65.4
4-TIZ ADDICTEDTOLOVE 56.0
6-CLASSY CHICK 42.6

1st time starters - 8, 5, 7, 3

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Friday, November 21, 2014

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $42,533.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf))
6-SEEK SAFE HARBOR 63.2
4-MIDNIGHT CANDY 59.6
3-WATIFENDZITMAKE 56.6
2-RACING FOR CHASEN 43.8
5-TRIBAL EXPRESS 34.2

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
5-CONQUEST SUPERSTEP 73.1
2-OLIVIA'S GREATDANE 63.2
1-BAYONET 58.0
6-SHOW STEALER 57.5
3-SCATTAGIRL 47.2 (off slow)

RACE 3
6-MEMPHIS 88.1
3-LUCKBOX SAM 86.9
1-WELL MEASURED 80.8
5-RELENTLESS HEAT 78.4
7-JUSTIFICATION 75.4

RACE 4
5-THREE BLONDES 70.9
2-BILGER'S SAPPHIRE 69.8
4-TEMEEKU 69.3
1-SIDEPOCKET RUN 68.6
9-CHARMING STARLET 63.6

1st time starters - 3, 8

RACE 5
4-I'M NO PATSY 61.6
3-CAYANNA 61.1
8-ROMANTIC WISH 57.2
9-SPIRIT OF TEN 55.1
5-GABBY'S PURIM 54.0
6-GIANIS 54.0

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-BENCH WARRANT 75.4
6-MISCHIEF CLEM 73.1
4-PEACENLUVPEACENLUV 71.4
3-BLUEGRASS SIGHT 68.6
2-INEXCESS TIME 68.6

RACE 7
4-SAM'S SISTER 97.7
7-BIORHYTHM 97.1
3-HEAT TRAP 96.5
2-MASTER THE BLUES 92.6
9-STARS ABOVE ME 90.7
8-LIANDUDNO 90.7

RACE 8
8-THESHEETSGUY 76.6
2-WARRIOR'S RIDGE 74.9
6-PLAY MAKER 63.8
3-DEAD EASY 58.0
5-CERNOBBIO 56.5
4-BROADCASTER 55.0

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Thursday, November 20, 2014

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
4-PRESIDING JUSTICE 87.5
6-ROCKED TWICE 79.6
1-VEGAS STREET 73.1
3-JEDI MIND TRICK 71.4
2-SHAKAHARI 70.9

RACE 2
1-SKI'S COPPER PENNY 57.0
6-HERE'S BELLA 55.5
7-QUEEN MAD 48.3
3-HOLLYWOOD ROYALTY 46.4
8-PRIVATE MARINA 45.5

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
4-GOLDS VENICE 67.0
2-LOOKIN FOR MONEY 46.4
7-SWISS JET 44.6
8-LADY DANGER 43.3
9-DANA'S DELIGHT 35.8

RACE 4
2-SIENA GRACE 80.3
1-PUSH GIRL 72.8
7-KOHALA 68.9
6-HUGH KNEW 67.5
3-SMOOTH TALKER 64.6

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
3-PIONEEROF THE WEST 81.4
1-CYRUS ALEXANDER 62.0
7-MADIBA 59.6
6-FOLLOW ME CREV 55.0
5-MILTON 47.1

RACE 6
8-COMIN'OFFTHEBENCH 74.9
3-Q'VIVA 72.0
5-ROCKIN GIRL 67.0
1-DENOTATION 66.4
2-WARREN'S CRACKER 64.8

RACE 7
7-TREND 93.2
2-SUPER ABILITY 90.7
5-BETTY'S BAMBINO 89.4
3-POWER PED 89.4
8-JULES JOURNEY 88.8

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
7-GOLD JOURNEY 53.0
6-SOUTH TEXAS 50.6
3-DIAMOND CUT 49.7 (3 wide)
1-ABETS ABET 48.8
4-CAPE'S ROCKETTE 41.1

1st time starters - 8, 2

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Wednesday, November 19, 2014

 

DEL MAR - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, November 18, 2014

 

DEL MAR- - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,066 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, November 16, 2014

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $599,483

RACE 1
3-PURSUITOFPARADISE 65.4
5-J AND S EXPRESS 61.6
8-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 55.5
4-ACUTE 53.0
6-COURAGEOUSANDBOLD 51.6

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
1-LIGHT THE CITY 83.2
2-MAYBELLENE 70.9
4-ACHIEVER'S LEGACY 68.1
3-INTO OBLIVION 68.1
5-XOXO 48.8

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
4-LOST IN D SHUFFLE 69.2 (off slow, 4 wide)
6-SERBIAN SYCLONE 43.8 (5 wide)

1st time starters - 1, 3, 5, 7, 2

RACE 4
2-TOSHEEN 83.2
1-CRUX 77.8
7-KOZANI 68.6
8-I'VEGOTAFEELING 60.1
5-SUDDEN RUMOR 58.5

RACE 5
10-SMOKEY'S LEGACY 68.6
9-BOSS CAT 62.2
3-ELEVEN ZIP 55.5
4-BITTER HEAT 51.1
8-MILITANT 49.2

RACE 6
8-W. GILES 75.4
7-DYNAMO DIXIE 71.4
4-SIR BARCLAY 67.5
5-MOSSO 64.3
2-BOURNE HOT 63.8

RACE 7
9-FAST MAGOO 68.1
4-FLYIN FOR A LIVIN 62.2
3-WILD AT BEST 42.0 (4 wide)

1st time starters - 2, 5, 7, 8, 6, 1

RACE 8
2-SIR KIP 84.5
10-WELL MEASURED 83.3
11-WE OWN THE NIGHT 83.2
6-EDDIE'S FIRST 81.4
4-HE'S ON HIS TOES 81.0

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
7-TOUGH SUNDAY 55.5 (steadied at start)
8-DR. SUER 55.0 (4 wide)
4-SWISS SILVER 39.4
10-PRICE OF GLORY 38.2

1st time starters - 1, 3, 2, 6, 9, 5

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Saturday, November 15, 2014

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.





NOTE: FOUR OF MY TOP HORSES WON IN THE EIGHT RACES FRIDAY, $4.60, 10.00, 20.60, AND 16.00.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $147,102.

RACE 1
3-FASCINATING 80.2
6-SKY MEGA 71.0
1-SEE THROUGH 69.9
2-ART OF WAR 63.2
5-GO GET EM BABE 56.1

RACE 2
6-MY MONET 92.6
4-SMOOVE IT 74.9
2-DOCTOR GLYNIS 74.9
3-SWEETEST SECRET 71.2
1-SUNSET SKYS 70.3
5-SEEKING SHAMROCKS 70.3

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
1-MR. CHASE 53.5
9-JIMBARAN BAY 51.1
6-OH NEWMAN 49.5
2-DONJI 49.0
10-DYNAMITE RIDE 48.0

RACE 4
9-DYLAN WARD 85.6
11-WICKED FINANCE 81.4
10-YES YES YES 78.4
13-ACT 77.6
6-J SERINO 76.0

1st time starters - 7

RACE 5
8-MEMPHIS 81.4
5-HEYYOUCAN 77.8
4-INDUSTRY LEADER 72.0
2-QATAR'S PEARL 70.9
1-FINALLYGOTABENTLEY 66.4

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
4-MEGYNS GOLD 60.1
8-MISS CENTERFOLD 55.0
7-EBONY PRINCESS 24.1
11-SHE'S A BIG WINNER 10.1 (awkward start)

1st time starters - 3, 6, 9, 2, 10, 5

RACE 7
2-TOLEDO EDDIE 93.9
6-HUSBAND'S FOLLY 93.2
9-PRESENCEOFAGENIUS 89.4
4-ISLAND FREEDOM 87.6
10-MACHO SOX 87.5

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
6-ALRIGHT ALRIGHT 91.9 (4 wide)
3-DIAMOND MAJESTY 76.0
9-ST. JOE BAY 74.9
1-SEBASTIAN'S HEART 74.3
5-EVERY MAY 74.3

RACE 9
4-HADFUNLASTNIGHT 93.2
10-PASSING GAME 91.3
6-RANULF 89.4
9-FIGHTING ON 86.3
12-REGALLY SOUL 86.3
5-ENDLESS CRUISE 84.4

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Friday, November 14, 2014

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $39,639

RACE 1
1-SALSITA 72.6
7-NEW NATURE 57.0
2-FULL OF SPICE 54.5
3-SHARED IMAGE 52.1
4-BUNUSKA 49.2

RACE 2
5-ANKENY HILL 108.4
2-SWEET SWAP 106.6
4-DISTINCTIV PASSION 106.3
1-BAHAMIAN SQUALL 104.5
3-GLOBAL POWER 73.1

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
2-AGUACITA 33.0
9-DISCREET FLIRT 26.8
7-FORTUNE'S DAUGHTER 22.8
3-LA MEXICANA 17.4
8-DUE RAE 13.5 (5 wide)

1st time starters - 4, 1, 11, 10, 6, 5

RACE 4
5-DARE ME DEVIL 97.8
1-LET'S GET CRACKIN 83.8
11-ZIP CAT 80.8
3-NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR 80.2
10-BROADWAY NIKA 74.9

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
3-ZINVOR 60.1
6-FLEXIBLE 55.2
12-TEMPLE KEYS 48.8
10-ROYAL JOURNEY 47.1
1-P CLUB 46.4

1st time starters - 4

RACE 6
7-SILVER TORCH 86.3
4-SHAKLEFORD BANKS 80.8
2-TUFF STORM 75.2
1-ZOOKS 70.3
5-MISTAKEN IDENTITY 63.3

RACE 7
3-TACIT APPROVAL 72.0
9-GABBY'S PURIM 68.6
4-KUKALUKA 66.4
7-WARREN'S TRICIA R. 64.8
2-PRACTISING 61.6

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
3-DR. VINCENTSTEIN 53.0
12-DANCE DEE A DOOR O 51.6
5-SPEEDY TORNADO 45.5 (bobbled after start)
10-JET TRICK 43.3
4-JUSTINEMORETHING 42.9 (steadied)
8-AARON'S THUNDER 42.0

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Thursday, November 13, 2014

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
1-BULLWINKLE BABE 60.5
7-FLAT FOOTED MAMA 57.0
2-DIXIE TWEET 53.5
8-HEKAWI 51.1 (3 wide)
6-OMORFI KOPELLA 51.0 (came out)

1st time starters - 4

RACE 2
7-DESIGNATED 66.4
3-COUNTING THE DAYS 66.4
6-BERLUSCONI 64.8
1-CARAMURU 63.8
5-PRINCE OF PARIS 62.2

RACE 3 (all 2 yo going 5 1/2 f.)
2-KAT'S HURRICANE 50.6
10-HOLY ASCENSION 43.3
5-SIMPLY IN AWE 38.6
1-MAMA'S TRASHED 37.8
4-ILL TELL YOU WHAT 35.4

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
8-VOW ME OVER 63.9
9-DOELING 61.8
3-HERE COME CHOLE 53.5
7-RUSH OF DAY 52.6
4-SATIN CINNAMON 49.7

1st time starters - 6, 10

RACE 5
3-MOSCATO GIRL 69.8
2-SHE'S FLUSH 65.9
5-HOTALING HEART 65.9
4-SWEET PIZAZZ 60.1
7-NOTHING TO HIDE 60.1

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
6-GREAT LOU 67.0
5-GLOBAL MAGICIAN 62.2
1-CLOUDY RIVER 60.6
3-ONE MORE ROLL 58.0
4-WILDCAT SAILOR 56.5 (3 wide)
9-FERRERO 56.5

RACE 7
8-WINNINGINFASHION 86.9
7-DEMONICA 83.8
5-TANGELO 80.2
3-CASEY'S CLEM 74.3
11-KANA FLAVOR 74.3

RACE 8
4-STORM THE CHANNEL 75.8
3-VAVOOM 74.3
8-TRUE VISIONARY 69.8
10-BURNING 65.4
13-CANOPUS 57.5
2-CONCERT MAN 57.5
6-WHOLE LOTTA RUN 48.0 (off slow)

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Wednesday, November 12, 2014

 

DEL MAR - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, November 11, 2014

 

DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,061 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, November 09, 2014

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $80,414.

RACE 1
8-PULLA TRAIN 94.5
9-RANGI 93.9
6-MY SLEW 88.1
7-OLIGARCH 88.1
3-FRENSHAM 83.8

RACE 2
5-GOLD MEDALLION 84.4
4-HARLINGTON NIGHT 75.4
1-SECOND CITY 75.4
6-GRAEME CRACKERJACK 71.4
3-UNCLE DICK 68.6

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
2-ROPER 48.8
1-SONIC FEVER 40.7
4-GUYFROMTHESKYFIVE 38.6 (4 wide)
5-CAPTAIN CARCHY 36.6
7-CORNBREAD RED 18.0 (off slow)

1st time starters - 3, 6, 8

RACE 4
10-COMPARI 90.0
5-TRELAWNY 88.1
7-MICELI 87.5
12-TIGAH 86.9
11-LOS BAMBINOS 86.9

RACE 5
6-SIENA GRACE 65.4
3-SHEZA DISH 64.3
4-HOME MAID BROWNIE 61.1
1-BLONDY'S REWARD 60.6 (3 wide)
2-BENCH RULING 56.0

RACE 6
3-SUNDAY STROLL 54.0
1-ROSA DIVINA 48.8
4-SOUTHERN OWAH 43.8
6-HERE COMES BOBBIE 41.1
9-PRECIOUS CAROLINE 40.7

RACE 7
4-CHILADA 85.0
5-SWEET TESS 81.4
7-LOAN SAVANT 80.8
1-KADESHA 78.4
8-CHARLIE'S ANGEL 73.7

RACE 8
9-TRIBAL GAL 93.2
4-WARREN'S VENEDA 93.2
3-QIAONA 89.4
2-MORE COMPLEXITY 86.3
1-MEINERTZHAGENI 84.4

RACE 9
4-ITSGETTINHOTINHERE 67.0
3-SYNNIN 66.4
6-FORT CADY 62.7
2-CITY STATE 60.1
7-THE CUSTODIAN 59.0
12-MR. PETE GOT EVEN 57.0
5-NATURAL STRIDE 56.5

1st time starters - 10, 11

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Saturday, November 08, 2014

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
7-TEBOWING 76.6
3-BELONGING 75.4
4-LOVE BLIND 68.1
2-BURNS TURN 65.9
6-WARRENS ASSASSIN 65.4

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
6-HOLIDAY MAKER 67.5
2-GRAND YODELER 58.0
1-RACING FOR CHASEN 53.0
4-DO THE DANSE 48.8
3-CRUSINGTHEHARBOR 48.8

RACE 3
4-CACAU 76.0
7-RED MAN RUN 70.9
5-ELLE STREET 70.3
1-DRAMATICAT 60.6 (off Nov. 12)
6-TRIBAL DUDE 60.1

RACE 4
6-SNAPS 94.5
4-LITTLE JERRY 93.9
7-GOTHAM NEWS 92.5
1-PRESS BARON 91.3
3-ETHNIC DANCE 90.7

RACE 5
9-STREET SERENADE 91.3
5-PERFECT SET 85.6
8-DRESS CODE 84.4
4-FLY BLUE 78.4
2-WELCOME HOME RYAN 76.6

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
12-SUVA HARBOR 73.1
8-PURE 65.6
4-PAULINA'S LOVE 63.2 (3 wide)
9-DYNA STAR 61.6 (3 wide)
2-MIZ GRAYCEE 51.6

1st time starters - 1

RACE 7
6-KIROV 90.0
1-FLEET OF GOLD 87.5
9-GRAZENETTE 86.9
4-PRETTYPRICEYGIRL 84.4
5-PROUD VIXEN 84.4

RACE 8
2-HOME SCHOOL 94.5
6-AWESOME RETURN 91.9
5-I'LL WRAP IT UP 91.3
3-NUMBER FIVE 90.7
1-FOREVER JUANITO 87.5

1st time starters - 8 (in the U.S.A., fgn.)

RACE 9
7-WIN WISH 64.8
4-INTAXICATION 61.1 (wkened, vanned)
3-TAKEIT TOTHE LIMIT 60.1
6-WARREN'S SUNNY BOY 59.0
8-ILLYBILLY BOY 52.1

1st time starters - 9

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Friday, November 07, 2014

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
5-WILD CAROLINE 65.4
3-ANN'S GOLD 55.5
2-DIAMOND FLUSH 55.0
6-MANGO REWARD 52.6
7-WARREN'S PURRFECT 51.1

RACE 2
7-BENBA 88.8
5-LUCKY J LANE 88.8
2-UNUSUALLY GREEN 79.6
3-DEEP PLAY 74.3
4-TURN ON THE PUMPS 73.7

RACE 3
3-ADRIATIC SKYE 71.4
2-MIDNIGHT LADY 70.9
4-WARREN'S GUSSIE 67.5
5-JETBIRD 64.8
1-CLEARLY ANOINTED 57.5

RACE 4
4-ELTONINADRESS 67.0
1-OSCILLATOR 62.2
3-MARLA HOOCH 61.1
6-MISS AMERICAN PIE 60.1
5-J AND S EXPRESS 59.6

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
1-BATTLE OF EVERMORE 76.4
10-HARMONIC 73.6
13-KANTUNE 73.1
2-SELECTION 69.8
5-KENJISSTORM 69.8

1st time starters - 9, 11, 4, 12

RACE 6
3-UP THE ALLEY 60.6
8-TIZ ZOE CEE 56.5
6-SKYROSE 53.5
7-SMOOTH TALKER 51.1
4-ADELLUSION 51.0

RACE 7
1-GOT EVEN 93.2
4-ASHLEYLUVSSUGAR 90.7
3-TOOWINDYTOHAULROX 89.4
5-TIMELESS INDY 77.2
2-VEGAS STRIP 72.8

RACE 8
8-WISHING GATE 95.8
2-QUEEN OF THE SAND 95.8
10-KITTEN'S POINT 90.0
5-KATHLEEN ROSE 90.0
1-BEE BRAVE 90.0

RACE 9
8-HEAT THE ROCKS 65.9
9-STIPEND 35.8 (off slow)
11-THIS IS GEORGIA 23.5
5-CHEXCESS 20.9
6-ELUSIVE MISTRESS 20.0

1st time starters - 3, 2, 4, 1, 7, 10

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Thursday, November 06, 2014

 

SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Wednesday, November 05, 2014

 

SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,054 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, November 02, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $1,335,505.

RACE 1
5-WOODMANS LUCK 83.8
2-TUCKERS POINT 80.2
7-HARLINGTON NIGHT 77.2
1-MALIBU WAY 70.9
3-SQUAWK ONE 66.4

RACE 2
5-SKY MEGA 81.3
10-FARINGDON CIRCLE 73.4
11-KEEZHEEKONI 55.6
12-ENCHANTED FORTUNE 53.5
3-OUR LOVE AFFAIR 53.5

1st time starters - 1, 7, 4, 2, 9, 6

RACE 3
11-BOOKWORM 68.1
5-JUSTA SPLASH 57.5
12-THESHEETSGUY 57.0
9-PLAY MAKER 50.2
10-BLAME IT ON TEKELA 47.4

1st time starters - 14

RACE 4
3-PEPNIC 93.8
5-GRACHUS THE HUNTER 85.6
8-MACHO SOX 84.5
4-PERSUASIVE PAUL 77.2
2-KESSABTSI 75.4

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2f.)
10-DA JENIS 67.0
3-MILTON 25.1

1st time starters - NO SLECTIONS, (9 1st timers)

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
10-MAKE THE SUN SHINE 70.9
11-NATALIE'S WONDER 61.6
13-SHOW STEALER 57.5
5-INDIAN PRINCESS 57.0
14-MISS CENTERFOLD 55.0

1st time starters - NO SELECTIONS (8 1st timers)

RACE 7
7-BOW TIE BELLE 82.2
11-PATRIOTIC BROTHER 74.9
2-HUGH KNEW 72.6
4-MIA'S STORM 68.6
12-ENDURING ERIN 68.1
10-LETHAL STORY 68.1

RACE 8
1-GLOBAL HOTTIE 90.0
2-LEMON DE ORO 81.4
13-TAPPINGINTHERAIN 77.8
6-DOODETTA 75.9
12-CLASSY AVA 75.4
11-MISS SUPER QUICK 75.4

RACE 9
1-FILIMBI 106.6
8-PONTCHATRAIN 106.6
2-WALL OF SOUND 101.1
6-I'M ALREADY SEXY 100.4
4-STRATHNAVER 93.9
9-QUEEN OF THE SAND 93.9

RACE 10
11-ALFA BIRD 90.0
1-CAUTIOUS GIANT 89.4
13-ROUGH PASSAGE 89.4
5-LITTLE CURLIN 88.8
3-SNUGGLEY BEAR 68.6
2-RELATIVE TIME 62.3

1st time starters - 7

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Saturday, November 01, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
3-OCHO OCHO OCHO 86.9
1-COOL COMFORT 76.0
2-METABOSS 70.3
8-WAR ALERT 69.0
5-CROWN THE KITTEN 67.5

1st time starters - 10 (in the U.S.A., fgn.)

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
1-ACCEPTANCE 81.4
2-WAKE UP NICK 75.4
6-MISCHIEF CLEM 70.9
4-SMACK TALK 68.6
5-COMANCHE RULER 65.9

RACE 3
2-BIORHYTHM 94.5
4-VELVET MESQUITE 93.9
6-RICHIES PARTY GIRL 93.2
11-FANTICOLA 92.6
9-LIANDUDNO 89.4

RACE 4
2-ANGELA RENEE 95.2
4-CONQUEST ECLIPSE 90.0
8-PUCA 86.9
11-TOP DECILE 86.3
12-BY THE MOON 83.8

RACE 5
5-SECRET GESTURE 126.0
3-DANK 123.0
2-JUST THE JUDGE 116.4
4-DAYATTHESPA 116.4
10-STEPHANIE'S KITTEN 109.3

RACE 6
5-ARTEMIS AGROTERA 113.6
3-STONETASTIC 110.0
7-JUDY THE BEAUTY 108.6
6-LEIGH COURT 104.5
1-SWEET REASON 103.1

RACE 7
2-SILENTO 115.0
1-RENEESGOTZIP 114.8
13-CASPAR NETSCHER 113.6
3-SWEET SWAP 111.4
7-MARCHMAN 110.7

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
12-DAREDEVIL 123.8
5-AMERICAN PHAROAH 115.0
13-UPSTART 114.3
11-ONE LUCKY DANE 106.6
1-CALCULATOR 103.8

RACE 9
1-TELESCOPE 133.5
7-FLINTSHIRE 129.4
4-BROWN PANTHER 123.1
12-MAIN SEQUENCE 120.8
2-TWLIGHT ECLIPSE 116.4
3-IMAGINING 116.4

RACE 10
5-PRIVATE ZONE 126.0
6-RICH TAPESTRY 123.8
8-PALACE 120.8
9-SALUTOS AMIGOS 120.8
7-MICO MARGARITA 117.9
13-WORK ALL WEEK 117.9

RACE 11
5-TORONADO 134.3
8-TRADE STORM 133.6
2-OBVIOUSLY 126.0
4-MUSTAJEEB 124.7
6-TOM'S TRIBUTE 120.8

RACE 12
6-SHARED BELIEF 127.5
9-TOAST OF NEW YORK 127.5
13-CALIFORNIA CHROME 122.3
8-ZIVO 120.1
14-MAJESTIC HARBOR 119.3


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