Friday, October 31, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $147,923.

RACE 1
4-JADE WITH ENVY 86.9
5-STARRY SKIES 86.9
11-INTOXICATING MOVE 85.0
3-BLINGISMYTHING 83.1 (off July 13)
6-ZANBO 80.8

RACE 2
3-IRISH SURF 107.9
5-BIG CAZANOVA 103.8
1-BIG KICK 103.8
9-CARY STREET 97.1
7-SKY KINGDOM 93.9

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
4-MY FIONA 83.2
9-TATUM'S GOLD 74.3
7-ASHLEY'S SASSY 72.0
5-EASTER FEVER 66.4
1-STORMY ADIEU 65.4

RACE 4
11-RING WEEKEND 110.0
12-YARD LINE 101.5
6-ENTERPRISING 97.1
1-SAWYER'S HILL 95.2
4-DIVINE OATH 93.2
10-LONG ON VALUE 93.2

RACE 5
11-BAHAMIAN SQUALL 109.3
9-BROADWAY EMPIRE 108.6
7-DECLASSIFY 107.9
2-MIDNIGHT HAWK 103.1
3-CHITU 101.8

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
5-HOOTENANNY 113.0
7-WAR ENVOY 102.8
4-COMMEMORATIVE 102.6
9-AKTABANTAY 96.9
15-FAITHFUL CREEK 95.4

RACE 7
1-GOLDENCENTS 129.0
4-PANTS ON FIRE 120.8
8-FED BIZ 115.7
2-CARVE 115.0
9-TAPITURE 114.3

1st time starters - 7 (in U.S.A., fgn.)

RACE 8
2-OSAILA 102.0
3-SUNSET GLOW 94.5
14-QUALIFY 91.2
6-SIVOLIERE 87.6
4-LADY ELI 84.4

RACE 9
11-CLOSE HATCHES 116.4
2-TIZ MIDNIGHT 114.3
3-IOTAPA 114.3
5-UNBRIDLED FOREVER 114.3
4-BELLE GALLANTEY 113.6

1st time starters - 8 (in U.S.A., fgn.)

RACE 10
2-DAY OF FURY 105.2
6-RPRETTYBOYFLOYD 101.1
1-APOLLO TEN 101.1
7-JIMMY BOUNCER 99.8
4-RANULF 99.8
13-CELEBRITY STATUS 97.1

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Thursday, October 30, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $32,990.

RACE 1
5-FLAT GONE 80.2
1-COUNTING DAYS 79.6
4-CAT MEETING 79.4
3-RUSTY ROAD 76.6
2-EXPO AND FIG 75.4

RACE 2
7-NEWFOUND GOLD 85.0
4-XUANG FENG 79.0
3-MUCHOS BESOS 76.6
5-BOB CONSULTATION 72.0
6-PEACENIK 70.3

RACE 3
10-RASPBERRY ALA MODE 88.1
3-KINGS ADVENTURE 86.9
5-SYNCHROTRON 80.2
2-ATHENS 77.2
9-MALIBU COLONY 75.4

RACE 4
12-VAVOOM 72.0
6-COTTON VALLEY 63.2
11-FAST MAST 61.1
13-CANOPUS 57.5
10-BERLUSCONI 56.5

RACE 5
11-ROSSI RESERVE 70.9
2-JETBIRD 63.8
4-GLORIOUS REBECCA 58.0
9-BIG HONNEY BEE 57.5
3-PUTTYBADSHARK 55.5

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2f. on turf)
14-INDIAN PRINCESS 57.0

1st time starters - NO SELECTIONS (13 1st timers)

RACE 7
8-INDIAN CLASSIC 79.0 (off Aug. 13)
2-PRESSURE TIME 68.6
9-MEMPHIS 68.1
10-EBONY GOLD 67.0
1-MAHALO ARTURO 65.4

RACE 8
6-STRYKER PHD 110.7
7-BLUE TONE 105.9
1-SOI PHET 97.8
2-SWEET SUNSHINE 96.5
8-REGALLY READY 95.4

RACE 9
8-TRIBAL SPY 96.5
10-COME TO HEEL 96.2 (off Sept. 13)
7-HEAT TRAP 94.5
1-GO WEST MARIE 91.9
5-HOME JOURNEY 90.0

RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2f.)
12-KAT'S HURRICANE 49.7
14-REALLY A PRINCESS 46.0
9-ILL TELL YOU WHAT 35.8
13-POWERFUL GIRL 35.0
5-AMERICAN CHARM 30.4
2-GOLD JOURNEY 30.0

1st time starters - 8, 1, 6, 11

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Wednesday, October 29, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR WEDNESDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
7-TIZ JOLIE 45.6
1-SLAPSHOT MAN 41.0
3-WHOYOUGONNACALL 41.0
8-KINSALE SAILOR 34.9
2-CONDITION 33.0

1st time starters - 4

RACE 2
2-WEST RIDING 95.8
1-YAHILWA 93.9
5-TASTE LIKE CANDY 90.7
4-MANGITA 90.7
3-FRONT RANGE 87.5

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2f. on turf)
7-DIAMOND MAJESTY 69.5
2-DREAM POLICE 67.5
5-JIMBARAN BAY 53.6
3-MASTERS CIRCLE 43.6
6-SECRETO PRIMERO 40.7

1st time starters - 8, 9, 4, 1

RACE 4
5-SILK N SILVER 71.4
2-SIBERIAN WINTER 66.4
9-PUTAHEXONHER 64.8
4-MAGIC NUMBER 64.8
6-I'M NO PATSY 58.5

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-PARTYIN 62.7
3-DOCTOR SUSAN 44.6
5-FOREST TREES 42.4
10-BLOOMING HANNAH 33.4

1st time starters - 7, 6, 8, 2, 1, 9

RACE 6
1-SILVER TORCH 84.4
13-BABY SLAKE 81.9
5-JACKSON SUNDOWN 81.6
12-SIR MACHO 81.4
4-GALLANT CHARM 79.6

RACE 7
6-HOPPERTUNITY 101.1
4-KATE'S EVENT 95.8
9-DIAMOND BACHELOR 94.5
5-TANZANITE CAT 90.0
1-JUST FISHIN 84.9


RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
6-SIGNATURE CAT 91.3
5-KLUSZEWSKI 66.4
3-ZINVOR 56.0
9-SWISS SILVER 46.4
7-HOT LIGHTNING 41.6
4-ALL AROUND BROWN 38.2
11-MATTY'S TRIBAL 38.2

1st time starters - 8, 10, 1, 2, 13, 14



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Tuesday, October 28, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, October 27, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,048 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, October 26, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $166,604.

RACE 1
5-ROSEWHITENBLUE 77.8
1-WARREN'S ASSASSIN 66.4
4-ROMANTIC WISH 65.0
3-ELTONINADRESS 64.8
2-OSCILLATOR 58.0

RACE 2
1-SHE'S DESCREET 53.0
7-DESERT MADAM 46.4
9-HERE'S BELLA 44.6
5-SWISS PERFECTION 39.4
8-INDIAN PROOF 36.2

1st time starters - 10, 6, 2

RACE 3
6-CHICSDIGTHESHARK 91.9
2-FLY BLUE 86.3
3-BLUEGRASS REWARD 83.2
4-GRAEME CRACKERJACK 73.1
7-WELCOME HOME RYAN 72.6

RACE 4
3-DECISIVE EDGE 87.5
2-YES YES YES 81.4
14-J SERINO 77.8
9-WICKED FINANCE 77.2
7-PANTERA ROJO 76.0

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
6-PROSPECT PARK 81.4
5-BRONZE STAR 71.6
7-HAULER 68.6
3-MADIBA 67.6
2-PIONEEROF THE WEST 64.3

1st time starters - 1, 4

RACE 6
10-SMOOVE IT 82.6
3-DOCTOR GLYNIS 80.2
2-CHATI'S ON TOP 79.0
6-HANSERELLA 77.2
4-VEGAS RULES 75.4

RACE 7
3-PRESIDING JUSTICE 89.4
2-COMPULSIVE 82.0
1-HIDDEN ZENSATION 70.9
8-TWENTY PERCENT 65.4
5-MOSSO 65.4
10-ECHO ZULU 64.8

RACE 8
8-ARTEST 100.4
7-POWER PED 98.4
4-HEY DUDE 97.6 (off Nov. 13)
9-BOYETT 93.9
5-PURE TACTICS 87.6

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-SKY HEART 58.5
2-OH NEWMAN 56.5
3-BANDIDO TOO 54.0
10-LOVENSEEK 51.6
4-NO PROBLEM 51.1
8-GNARLY HARLY 49.4

1st time starters - 6, 9, 5

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Saturday, October 25, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $34,949.

RACE 1
5-BACKWOODS BELLE 82.0
1-MAHALO PRINCESS 77.2
3-LUST FOR LIFE 66.0
2-LINDZ WINZ 64.8
4-MISS AMERICAN PIE 64.8

RACE 2
4-SHEZA DISH 73.1
8-AFLEET ECHO 57.0
3-BETH'S MY BABE 52.1 (off Oct. 13)
7-SUNDAY STROLL 49.0
1-WARREN'S FANTASY 43.8

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
2-MIDNIGHT CANDY 63.8
7-SHEZAPIRANHA 51.0
5-AWE GEE 48.8
1-DEVIL'S BEAUTY 48.5
4-RACING FOR CHASEN 41.0

RACE 4
10-SIDEPOCKET RUN 71.4
5-FAST MAGOO 66.8
9-FLYIN FOR A LIVIN 65.7
2-SUSAN B GOOD 60.7
1-TEMEEKU 59.6

1st time starters - 8

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
11-REMO 61.6

1st time starters - (11 first time starters, no selections)

RACE 6
7-ROYAL F J 90.7
1-BACK OFF BUDDY 87.5
3-CARLOT COWBOY 86.3
8-BRANDO THE BIRDMAN 84.5
5-CONQUEST TWO STEP 82.6

RACE 7
5-KILL SHOT 94.5 (off Nov. 13)
1-NIGHT BADGER 80.8
8-JUSTIFICATION 79.0
3-EDDIE'S FIRST 77.8
2-EDDIE'S TURN 74.9

RACE 8
5-LEXIE LOU 97.1
1-THEGIRLINTHATSONG 90.6
3-SHEZA SMOKE SHOW 88.8
8-ZINDAYA 88.1
7-ALEXIS TANGIER 87.5

RACE 9
5-TASHA'S COURAGE 61.6
8-THE TWELFTH MAN 60.1
4-TAKEIT TOTHE LIMIT 60.1
14-BADASMYWIFELETSMEBE 54.0
1-LAY IT ON 47.4
12-OUR NEW FLASH 44.6
11-RARE PUNCH 43.3

1st time starters - 6

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Friday, October 24, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1
2-FAITH HOPE LOVE 73.7
1-PATRIOTIC BROTHER 67.5
5-WARREN'S CRACKER 64.3
4-PRINCESSKATIEBELLA 62.2
3-MORE STORMYWEATHER 60.1

RACE 2
6-GRANDSTAND 88.8
4-AMERICAN ACT 82.6
1-STONEY FLEECE 82.0
2-MAMBO MAN 76.6
5-GREELEY AWESOME 73.1

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
7-DAD'S PRINCESS 77.8
1-REDSHIRT 63.2
6-OLIVIA'S GREATDANE 62.2
4-MISS MANDATE 58.5
8-I HEART YOU 50.2

RACE 4
4-GO BLACK TIE 69.2
2-STOLEN PROPERTY 67.5
5-SECRET WITNESS 65.9
6-COLE COLE 63.8
1-TAKE A RISK 61.1

RACE 5
10-SMOKEY'S LEGACY 72.6
7-APERFECTDAYTOFLY 69.2
6-BITTER HEAT 67.0
9-INSPIRED WISDOM 64.3
4-FORT CADY 62.2

1st time starters - 1, 2, 5

RACE 6
3-ACT 83.2
5-SNUGGLEY BEAR 72.8
2-LINDANTE 72.6
6-TAP DANCING 64.3
10-DEAD EASY 60.5

1st time starters - 8, 9, 7, 4

RACE 7
5-SONGFORJOHNMICHAEL 94.5
2-MY JEALOUS 93.2
3-VALLEY CAT 85.0
6-DEATH STAR 75.4
4-TIMELESS INDY 74.9

RACE 8
11-ARIGATO 55.0
3-AARON'S THUNDER 43.8
8-JET TRICK 41.1
6-MCSWISS 41.1
1-LUCKY SHOES TO WIN 38.2 (4 wide)
4-DONJI 33.0

1st time starters - 7, 9, 5, 2



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Thursday, October 23, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.








RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-HOLIDAY MAKER 62.2
2-YES SHE'S A DANCER 51.1
3-DESERT THIEF 44.6
4-GLOBAL HART 38.6
5-LADY DASH 37.0

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
2-DON'T BLAME ME 90.0
3-MAYBELLENE 69.8
1-DADDY'S DUO 62.7
5-ACHIEVER'S LEGACY 58.2
4-MORNING COFFEE 49.2

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
4-ALL STAR BUB 51.5
6-BULLWINKLE BABE 51.1
5-APPEALING LADY 48.8
7-ABETS ABET 42.8
2-RITZY TAGS 40.5

RACE 4
8-FLOWINWITHTHEBREEZE 39.6
5-COUNCIL TALK 34.4
7-GOOFY RAINBOW 22.5
4-SEEKING BLISS 11.2

1st time starters - 2, 3, 1, 6

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/8 mile on turf)
1-MILTEE 63.2
5-WILLING TO TRAVEL 55.5
8-INCREASE 55.5
2-PRETENTIOUS 55.0
4-FILM FREAK 46.4

1st time starters - 9

RACE 6
2-BELONGING 75.4
3-GELILA 68.1
4-WILDY EXCESSIVE 65.4
7-HIGHLY RATED 64.3
1-SHEZA EYEOPENER 63.8

RACE 7
6-IRISH PRESENCE 91.9
2-SCOOTER BIRD 90.0
1-AGUAFRIA 86.3
3-PERFECTA 77.2
4-BUNAIRGEAD 68.1

RACE 8
3-NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR 83.8
6-WAITWAITDONTTELLME 72.6
2-WARREN'S COLE 71.4
8-CROWN OF ARAGORN 68.1
4-WARREN'S JEFF G. 64.3
5-PRIVATE BOUNTY 60.1




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Wednesday, October 22, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, October 21, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,043 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

Labels: bets, betting, Del Mar, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Los Alamitos, pick six, picks, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred

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Sunday, October 19, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
6-THREE BLONDES 76.0
8-SUSAN B GOOD 72.0
1-CEE'S TIZZY BELLE 70.3
5-BILGER'S SAPHIRE 65.4
2-HOT AND PLEASING 59.6

RACE 2
3-WHEN WE MET 91.3
4-SACRED OVATION 81.4
2-GAL HAS TO LIKE IT 80.8
5-W. GILES 76.6
1-VALDIRONE 76.0

RACE 3
2-HIGHER MANDATE 57.1
6-CERNOBBIO 47.8
3-WARREN'S SUNNY BOY 47.8
1-ILLYBILLY BOY 42.0
4-GREY IS BEST 34.2

RACE 4
2-SIZZLIN' JOE 86.3
3-BUYMEABOND 83.2
4-CRAVING CARATS 82.0
8-PROSPECTOR'S TRICK 79.6
5-JOMELO 78.4

RACE 5
6-PAPASLILPRINCESS 79.6
1-LOVE THE BREEDING 74.3
2-QUINNETTE 73.1
5-IT'S AINE 72.0
7-J AND S EXPRESS 65.9

RACE 6
5-STREET ICON 96.5
7-RED OUTLAW 93.2
8-HOME SCHOOL 91.9
2-FOREVER JUANITO 90.0
1-BOLITA BOYZ 88.1

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-WINDY FORECAST 70.9
8-SUVA HARBOR 70.9
9-GIRL DOWNSTAIRS 59.0
7-LA MEXICANA 17.4

1st time starters - 10, 2, 1, 5, 3, 6

RACE 8
2-GANGNAM GUY 93.2
1-EL TOVAR 89.4
3-LAW DOG 88.8
6-VALENTINE BOY 78.5
9-TURN ON THE PUMPS 78.4

RACE 9
1-JO'S APPROVAL 30.4
2-TURN ON 26.1
8-SOUTHERN OWAH 21.6 (off slow)
7-PUSH GIRL 21.6 (bumped)
3-PINK LACES 13.3
4-SHE'SMORETHANALADY 13.0

1st time starters - 5


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Saturday, October 18, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $37,607.

RACE 1
4-MARK OF THE AFFAIR 47.8
3-QUEEN MAD 47.8
6-YODELMESOMEMAGIC 44.6
2-WARRENSDOLLARSIGNS 37.8
1-TIZ BLISS 35.8

RACE 2
3-HADFUNLASTNIGHT 98.4
1-MY SAMURAI WARRIOR 89.4
2-APOLLO TEN 84.4
5-HEIR OF STORM 78.4
4-FINALLYGOTABENTLEY 63.2

RACE 3
5-TAMMARANDO 91.9
4-BOOZER 91.3
2-SUPPER ABILITY 88.1
1-AIN'T NO OTHER 86.9
3-HEAT FLASH 67.0

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
4-WATDIFRENZDZITMAKE 39.2
9-SEATTLE MUSIC 34.0 (off slow)
1-GEM OF A GAL 30.0
7-MISTY WARRIOR 26.9
2-DELANEY'S JOY 26.1

RACE 5
7-BALLARD RULER 79.0 (off Aug. 13)
6-RED MAN RUN 74.9
4-INDUSTRY LEADER 70.3
1-ZNELLE 69.8
2-BOURNE HOT 68.4

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
11-PURE 81.6
12-MADAM AAMOURA 78.4
3-VOW ME OVER 70.9
1-BACKSTREET LISA 50.6
8-SATIN CINNAMON 49.7

1st time starters - 6, 9, 14

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
6-KANTUNE 76.6
3-BELIEVE TOO 72.0 (forced, drifted out)
9-FAME AND POWER 57.0
7-UNBLUNTED 55.0
2-GHOST OF NAVIGATOR 42.4 (off slow)

1st time starters - 10, 5, 1, 4

RACE 8
8-WINNINGINFASHION 82.8
5-TANGELO 82.6
4-CHILADA 80.2
1-CASEY'S CLEM 75.4
2-FRANDONTJUDGE 72.6

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
8-ROPER 54.5
11-SONIC FEVER 43.8 (bumped)
1-CONDITION 38.2
6-CARLY P. 21.6
2-TIZ ALL THAT 20.6

1st time starters - 7, 4, 5, 10, 9

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Friday, October 17, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
2-LIFE ON RIVIERA 68.1
4-ST. JOE BAY 48.8
3-MR. CHASE 35.7 (off slow)
5-MAGNA REX 23.5 (off slow, bumped)

1st time starters - 1, 6

RACE 2
4-RED N BLACK ATTACK 79.0
5-PRINCE OF PARIS 67.0
1-THE MAD HUNGARIAN 64.8
3-VAN FRAASSEN 63.2
2-PAPA'S PAISLEY 59.0

RACE 3
1-CRAVIN' THE HEAT 74.3
5-UP THE ALLEY 68.6
4-FLY TO FREEDOM 62.5
6-NEW NATURE 60.1
2-WARREN'S TRICIA R. 56.1

RACE 4
4-NIGHTTIMING 80.2
1-STAR ACT 75.4
2-NICEGIRLSFINISHLAST 75.4
3-SEEK A STAR 70.9
5-CHARM CATCHER 68.1

1st time starters - 6

RACE 5
5-P CLUB 65.4
6-TEMPLE KEYS 47.4
8-FLEXIBLE 40.1
1-CAPTAIN CARCHY 31.6
2-HOWDY 30.8
7-QUIET THUNDER 30.8

RACE 6
7-LUST FOR LIFE 70.3
2-SHE'S FLUSH 70.3
4-MOSCATO GIRL 67.5
8-NOTHING TO HIDE 67.0
6-HANNA NO SIR 63.2

RACE 7
2-SHYSHEISNOT 84.0
3-TANQUERRAY 80.2
1-MARKET QUOTE 72.0
4-JENNWAY U WANT IT 72.0
8-KANA FLAVOR 69.2

RACE 8
11-BUNSKA 77.8
9-ACATEGORYFIVESTORM 61.1
7-A P PEPPER 60.6
8-SWISS HEART 57.5
3-BIRD IN LOVE 55.5
6-BRANDON'S PRINCESS 55.5
10-YODEL UP A STORM 55.0

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Thursday, October 16, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
4-COOLINGTON 64.3
1-THE TWELFTH MAN 59.0
2-BOSS CAT 54.0

1st time starters - 3, 6, 5

RACE 2
4-SURFCUP 95.8 (off July 13)
2-RANGI 93.9
1-BETTYS BAMBINO 91.9
3-FINAL STEP 91.3
6-JULES JOURNEY 87.5

RACE 3
6-KAFISTER 93.9
5-SENOR RAIN 80.2
2-AWESOME INDY 77.2
4-MCKENZIES WAY 73.1
3-OLIGARCH 67.8

RACE 4
1-NUMBER FIVE 88.8
3-TOSHEEN 80.2
4-FLAT GONE 79.6
5-MAGNA WARRIOR 79.6
6-SIR MACHO 73.1

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-NIASSA 59.6 (steadied)
7-HEAT THE ROCKS 57.0
4-PATSY G AND ME 51.6
2-HIGH INTENSITY 42.9
5-DIAMOND DEBBIE 39.4

1st time starters - 8

RACE 6
8-TRELAWNY 91.3
13-SIZZLIN' JOE 83.2
11-BUYMEABOND 83.2
7-LOS BAMBINOS 82.0
9-PROSPECTOR'S TRICK 79.6
4-FIGHTER SQUADRON 79.6

RACE 7
8-MY MONET 88.8
1-STEEL LADY 86.3
6-AIR OF ROYALTY 74.9
5-BONUS SPIN 74.3
7-MOVING DESERT 72.6

RACE 8
1-A B C ME AWESOME 51.6
9-INA MINA 48.8
4-INDIAN PROOF 42.0
7-STORED ATTAQ 36.6
2-LOVELY IN LAGUNA 35.4
6-GEORGIA'S NIECE 34.6

1st time starters - 8, 11, 12

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Wednesday, October 15, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT LOS SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, October 14, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,036 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Monday, October 13, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR MONDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $81,714.

RACE 1
4-HARLINGTON NIGHT 82.6
6-USBEK THUNDER 78.4
2-DIAMONDSDIPLOMAT 77.8
1-TUCKERS POINT 74.3
7-WARREN'S COLE 68.7

RACE 2
7-PROSPECTOR ALLEY 78.4
8-BURNING 75.4
4-SPRING ACTION 68.1
3-HE'S A REAL KEEPER 65.4
10-TRUE VISIONARY 62.2

RACE 3
2-NOWALKING 85.6
5-DAY OF FURY 84.4
1-DEPUTY STRIKER 82.6
9-BEACH FEVER 81.4
6-OPSEC 67.5

1st time starters - 4, 3

RACE 4
2-SAM'S SISTER 93.2
3-PROUD VIXEN 85.0
5-SUDDEN SUNDAY 84.4
1-LOOKIN FOR JONESY 83.8
8-MY SWEET ADDICTION 82.6
6-WASTED AT MIDNIGHT 82.6

RACE 5
8-ROSA DIVINA 58.0
9-CHAIN LIGHTNING 57.0
2-SKI'S COPPER PENNY 56.0
3-WARREN'S PURRFECT 54.0
11-FULL OF SPICE 53.0

1st time starters - 5

RACE 6
3-STYLISH IN BLACK 84.4
1-UPBEAT MOOD 83.2
6-REMARKABLE MOON 83.2
2-HALLJOY 80.8
4-DIAMINDA 78.4
7-NICKELS WILD 78.4
10-SWEET TESS 78.4

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
10-LORD NELSON 83.8
5-STORY TO TELL 77.8
6-ALL INDIANS 77.8
2-SEBASTIAN'S HEART 76.0
1-GRAND FULL MOON 70.9

1st time starters - 4 (had 4 1/2f. race at GP, won by 6 1/2)

RACE 8
8-FIGHTING ON 83.9
6-CRAVING CARATS 83.2
1-MOONLIT METEOR 79.6 (off Dec. 13)
3-MIND THE MASTER 79.0
4-FORMAT V. 78.5

RACE 9
2-WADE 82.0
11-FOREST CHATTER 77.8
6-BITTER HEAT 77.8
1-DIABLO CABALLERO 69.8
4-HE'S ON HIS TOES 67.0
8-FORT CADY 65.9

1st time starters - 9, 3, 5

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Sunday, October 12, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
4-XUANG FENG 82.6
2-ZIP CAT 82.0
5-TRAWEEK 78.4
7-NEWFOUND GOLD 77.2
6-HEYYOUCAN 70.9

RACE 2
5-ARMENSKY 54.5
2-BROADCASTER 54.5
3-HEAVENELEVEN 53.0
9-PLAY MAKER 51.1
7-TROY STORY 49.7

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
6-LIGHT THE CITY 80.2
5-SEDUIRE 78.4
3-XOXO 73.1
4-MOONS OVER ME 66.4
1-STARLET O'HARA 61.6

RACE 4
2-ITIS LIVING WATER 97.7
1-KINGS ADVENTURE 85.7
8-ISLAND FREEDOM 69.2
3-MOSSO 68.9
4-RAINBOW NORTH 65.2

RACE 5
2-WHEN I'M CALLING U 68.6
6-EDDIES CURL 64.8
5-ALISSA R N 62.2
4-SPECKLES 60.1
3-GLORIOUS REBECCA 57.5

RACE 6
3-SEE THROUGH 77.8
7-TAP DANCING 73.4
2-TEMEEKU 64.1
8-WILLIAMS BAY 63.2
11-CACICA DULIMA 62.7

1st time starters - 4, 9, 6

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
6-SHE'S READY 55.5
7-ONE GUN 55.0
3-SO YOU SAY 52.1
9-FATEER 48.3
8-HENNYTHELOVEPENNY 47.4

1st time starters - 1, 11, 2, 5, 4

RACE 8
1-HUSBAND'S FOLLY 94.5
4-PLAY HARD TO GET 92.6
5-LITTLE JERRY 91.9
3-ICE CREAM TRUCK 91.3
6-CHRISTOPHER STREET 88.8

RACE 9
3-CONCERT MAN 60.6
4-THE TWELFTH MAN 60.1
1-SALT OF THE EARTH 58.0
8-MILITANT 52.1
10-MATZOH BALL MAGIC 46.9
9-SHOCK WAVE 46.9

1st time starters - 11

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Saturday, October 11, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $110,484.

RACE 1
6-HURRICANE LAKE 87.5
5-PERFECT SET 86.3
2-UNCLE DICK 84.4
4-CARLOT COWBOY 82.6
3-ATASCADERAN 86.6

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
8-ZENDAI 63.8
3-STAND AND SALUTE 57.0
6-DISCREET PRINCE 47.4
7-MASTERS CIRCLE 41.1

1st time starters - 2, 1, 4, 5

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-TOP DRAWER 60.6
2-I'M POPEYE 51.6
1-CLOUDY RIVER 50.2
5-ONE MORE ROLL 46.4
3-OUTTHINK'EM 43.3

RACE 4
3-DARE ME DEVIL 91.9
7-PRESS BARON 90.7
5-SIZZLIN' JOE 85.6
2-POLYTECHNICIEN 85.0
4-STONEY FLEECE 84.4
1-AMERICAN ACT 84.4

RACE 5
4-ALFA BIRD 88.8
7-WELL LAWYERED 88.1 (off Dec. 13)
5-HE'S A BLING 82.0
6-MR. ITKINS 71.4
3-SIMON KENTON 69.2 (3 wide)

1st time starters - 1

RACE 6
2-LUCKBOX SAM 91.9
9-LUCKY J LANE 86.3
7-UNUSUALLY GREEN 83.2
3-MAL VERDE 83.1
1-DERAPTOR 82.6

RACE 7
9-BARBS ANGEL 69.2
4-SPECTACULAR PROOF 65.9
2-WILD CAROLINE 61.3
5-HIDDEN REALITY 57.0
8-DENOTATION 56.0

1st time starters - 6, 1


RACE 8
6-PRIME ISSUE 94.5
1-GOT EVEN 92.6
8-FULL DANCER 91.9
7-CONSCIENCE 91.5
9-TOOWINDYTOHAULROX 91.3

1st time starters - 4 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 9
9-TRIBAL SPY 95.8
11-VELVET MESQUITE 92.6
7-CIAO BELLA LUNA 90.0
6-HEAT TRAP 90.0
4-QIAONA 88.1

RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-YES SHE'S A DANCER 56.0
7-HOLY ASCENTION 46.4
14-MAMA'S TRASHED 37.8
5-HONEY IN PARADISE 33.0
12-LAMIST 32.3
9-MARISKA NO MORE 26.5

1st time starters - 11, 10, 6

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Friday, October 10, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $37,028.

RACE 1
4-SILK IN SILVER 62.2
3-ASTUZIA 61.6
6-PUTAHEXONHER 61.1
5-PLAZARITA 60.6
2-SYDNEY'S DARLING 48.5

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
2-DR. VINCENTSTEIN 54.5
7-DANCE DEE A DOOR O 51.1
4-SPEEDY TORNADO 42.9
1-KARAOKE CAT 38.2 (off slow, 4 wide)
6-POP POP'S PIZZA 26.8

1st time starters - 8 (stumbled, lost jock), 5

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f. on turf)
1-BATTLE OF EVERMORE 75.1
5-DREAM POLICE 64.1
2-GNARLY HARLY 62.6 (4 wide)
6-STORMY LIBERAL 52.7
12-LOVENSEEK 51.6

1st time starters - 3, 9, 4, 7, 10, 11

RACE 4
1-FASCINATING 82.0 (off Sept. 13)
3-LIVE FOR NOW 80.2
8-KIROV 68.7
6-ART OF WAR 68.6
2-INTERJECT 53.2

RACE 5
8-LUCKY STUDENT 82.7
6-SUNSET SKIES 79.6
3-BRILLIANT MELODY 79.1
1-FANTASTIC MIZZ 78.3
4-DOCTOR GLYNIS 76.8

RACE 6
2-GELITA 73.7
1-TIM'S GO GIRL 72.0
5-NUEVA FORTUNA 70.3
10-SPIRIT OF TEN 69.8
4-PARADA 67.5

RACE 7
7-KULIK LODGE 99.8
3-MEGA HEAT 96.5
8-ETHNIC DANCE 94.5
4-TO RAPA 93.9
2-PURE LOYALTY 86.9

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
2-MIZ PENELOPE 57.0
9-FREEKIN AMAZING 42.9
3-COLLATERAL 42.9
5-HONEY NUGGET 39.9 (off slow)
1-SCATCHMEIFYOUCAN 35.0
8-LADY DANGER 33.8

1st time starters - 10

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Thursday, October 09, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
3-APPEALING LADY 42.4
2-TAKE BACK SPRING 41.0
1-ARTEMISIA 40.1 (squeezed, 4 wide)
4-ILL TELL YOU WHAT 33.6
5- MOONIE 31.2

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
7-JET TRICK 49.2
4-EMPOWERING FORCE 43.3 (4 wide)
6-JIMBARAN BAY 41.9
8-MOMMA TRIED 40.3
3-AFLEET IN TIME 21.8

1st time starters - 5, 1

RACE 3
3-BARREL KNOT 93.2
6-ROYAL F J 91.9
4-REGALLY SOUL 88.8
5-MONUMENT 86.3
2-GREAT FRIENDS RULE 85.6

RACE 4
7-SALSITA 73.7
2-ADELLUSION 69.2
4-OEIGHTER 68.3
10-LA CASADORA 61.6
6-SWISSARELLA 60.1

RACE 5
5-GO BLACK TIE 70.9
1-COUNTING DAYS 69.8
6-GRAND HUMOR 68.6
4-VAN FRAASSEN 67.0
8-EBONY GOLD 65.5

RACE 6
8-STREET SERENADE 92.6
5-FRIENDLY BANTER 88.1
1-GOLD MEDALLION 85.6
7-DRESS CODE 85.6
3-TRES BORRACHOS 83.2

RACE 7
7-GRACIE RAGAZZA 83.2
9-BEST EFFORTS 79.6
4-BARUTA 79.4
2-TASTE LIKE CANDY 77.8
1-FLEET OF GOLD 73.7

RACE 8
7-WINNING RHYTHM 86.9
3-HIJRA 86.9
1-LADY ASANO 86.3
6-AGUAFRIA 85.6
5-TIZ THE KEY 82.6

RACE 9
8-SHE'S DISCREET 61.1
6-SUNDAY STROLL 56.5
12-KEEPNHERINTHEDARK 51.6
13-INA MINA 51.1
5-MANGO REWARD 48.8
7-THEATRICAL CAST 48.3

1st time starters - 4, 2, 9

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Wednesday, October 08, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT LOS SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, October 07, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 3,030 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, October 05, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
1-BRAZILLIAN COURT 79.0
6-HOLD EVERYTHING 69.2
7-MAPPING 68.1
2-TIZ FUTURITY 67.0
4-POINT HAPPY 67.0
5-CARAMURU 67.0

RACE 2
10-MONEY FAN 70.9
4-VAVOOM 69.2
2-SHAKLEFORD BANKS 68.6
9-FAST MAST 64.8
7-JUSTA SPLASH 61.6

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
3-RACING FOR CHASEN 55.5
5-ANITA SUNSET 48.3
8-CHAMPION RISK 46.0
7-LOVE THE KIDS 46.0
2-GLOBAL HART 42.9

RACE 4
5-SMART JOURNEY 83.8
13-BITTER HEAT 77.8
10-ITSGETTINHOTINHERE 62.7
9-THE CUSTODIAN 60.0
14-LINDANTE 60.0

1st time starters - 4, 8

RACE 5
3-OSCILLATOR 68.6
5-ELTONINADRESS 68.1
9-GOLDILOCKS PLANET 59.6
11-VERSYE 52.6
7-CAYANNA 49.7

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
6-DALLAS SKYLINE 74.3
4-LUCK OF THE KITTEN 73.1
7-REFLECTED STAR 69.2
1-ROWDY DYLAN 68.1
2-HIGHWAY BOSS 67.5

RACE 7
1-SWEET MARINI 92.6
11-WINNING VISION 81.4
8-ONLY JOSIE KNOWS 76.0
13-LEMON DE ORO 75.4
6-ALWAYS A CHANCE 75.2

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
6-SHE'S COMPLETE 87.5
5-HER EMMYNENCY 83.2
3-SEA MONA 82.0
11-BOBBI GRACE 76.6
8-CALL TO CONGRATS 76.0

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
12-FLEXIBLE 49.2 (5 wide)
6-PRICE OF GLORY 44.6
5-FRITZ JOHANSEN 41.1 (off slow)
8-HOT LIGHTNING 40.7
11-SWISS SILVER 33.0
10-GUY CODE 32.6

1ST TIME STARTERS - 4, 9 2, 1, 3

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Saturday, October 04, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-AWE GEE 41.1
6-REALLY A PRINCESS 38.6
5-ABETS ABET 35.8
4-LIBBY 33.8
7-SAINT MAMIE 28.9 (4 wide)
11-IS THIS GEORGIA 28.9

1st time starters - 10

RACE 2
3-JIMMY BOUNCER 95.8
6-JUSTIFICATION 85.0
5-TRIBAL DESERT 80.2
1-RELENTLESS HEAT 77.2
7-SATICOY 77.2

RACE 3
12-TASHA'S COURAGE 60.1
14-BOOM BOYS 55.5
8-PIONEER CHARLIE 52.1
6-BLAME IT ON TEKELA 51.6
2-ILLYBILLY BOY 50.6

1st time starters - 1, 4, 5

RACE 4
4-STOPSHOPPINGDEBBIE 94.5
1-TOP KISSER 91.3
5-TRIBAL GAL 86.9
2-UZZIEL 83.2
3-MAKER OR BREAKER 78.4

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f. on turf)
2-BENNETT JEAN 67.9
9-ALL STAR BUB 57.5
1-RED SOLE DIVA 56.0
13-MIZ PENELOPE 54.1
8-SLEW'S CHARM 52.1

1st time starters - 10, 3, 6, 12, 14

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
1-ONE LUCKY DANE 79.0
7-SECRETO PRIMERO 79.0
9-HARMONIC 68.6
6-SELECTION 56.5
3-HAULER 53.0

1st time starters - 8

RACE 7
2-HEAT DU JOUR 99.8
7-KATHLEEN ROSE 97.8
5-PREMIER STEPS 91.9
8-THEATRE STAR 91.9
3-RHAGORI 86.9

RACE 8
3-GOLDEN CENTS 124.5
1-SECRET CIRCLE 117.2
2-RICH TAPESTRY 103.3
6-ANKENY HILL 99.8
5-INDEXICAL 97.1

RACE 9
12-ROCK ME BABY 102.5
4-BIG BANE THEORY 101.8
3-AVANZARE 99.1
10-PEPPER CROWN 97.8
6-TREND 95.8

RACE 10
4-SIDEPOCKET CHAMP 71.4
10-TANCRED 71.4
9-FLY HIGH 69.8
5-CLUBHOUSE ROCK 68.6
1-PRESSURE TIME 67.5
8-MEMPHIS 66.4


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Friday, October 03, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
2-LAMAZONE 64.8
3-AFLEET ECHO 56.5
4-ANN'S GOLD 55.0
5-DIAMOND FLUSH 54.0
1-ITALIAN HARMONY 54.0

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
7-LIFE ON RIVIERA 69.2
3-SEBASTIAN'S HEART 54.0 (3 wide)
1-SKY HEART 37.8 (slow start, 4 wide)
6-DYNAMITE RIDE 33.8
4-CONGRATS SEATTLE 33.8

1st time starters - 2, 5

RACE 3
6-PONTCHATRAIN 104.8
2-LIANDUDNO 86.3
3-INDECISE 81.3
7-FANTICOLA 79.6
4-MORNING FIX 75.8

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
2-NOT ENOUGH EDDIE 72.6
3-MISCHIEF CLEM 71.4
1-GLOBAL MAGICIAN 69.8
5-CARDIAC 65.9
4-NAOMI'SGIFT 44.2

RACE 5
2-IN EXCESSIVENESS 80.2
5-POWERFUL 79.0
9-GALLANT CHARM 79.0
6-CINMARS DANCE 77.8
4-CRUX 76.6

RACE 6
6-LADY BUGATTI 77.8
2-LARIA 76.0
8-SILVER SAILS 72.0
7-DOODETTA 69.2
3-GO GET EM BABE 63.2

1st time starters - 9, 5, 1

RACE 7
4-KUKALUKA 79.6
6-LOAN SAVANT 76.0
9-GEORGE'S PEACH 74.9
2-UNUSUAL STYLE 73.7
5-CARRICK BAY 70.3
11-GABBY'S PURIM 70.3


RACE 8
7-SECRETSATMIDNIGHT 103.8
8-KATE'S EVENT 99.8
3-YARD LINE 95.8
2-SWEET SUNSHINE 95.2
5-ALPHA BULLET 91.9

RACE 9
10-MOM'S WINNER 79.6
5-Q'VIVA 75.6
3-FLY TO FREEDOM 74.9
12-HUGH KNEW 72.6
7-LETHAL STORY 72.6
11-CRAVIN' THE HEAT 69.8

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Thursday, October 02, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
2-SLAPSHOT MAN 52.6
1-BANDIDO TOO 47.8
4-MCSWISS 34.2
7-WHOYOUGONNACALL 31.1
3-EMPIRE CAT 23.5

1st time starters - 6

RACE 2
3-NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR 76.6 (off Sept. 13)
1-ZIP CAT 75.4
6-TRUCO LATINO 73.1
4-VALENTINE BOY 67.5
2-WORLD FAMOUS SAM T 67.5

RACE 3
1-WOODMANS LUCK 75.4
7-THIRTYFIRSTSTREET 74.9
3-CARDIO ROYALE 72.6
6-USBEK THUNDER 71.4
8-TUCKERS POINT 70.9
4-BARDY 70.9

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
5-STORMY ADIEU 76.0
4-EASTER FEVER 61.6
2-PRINCESS BERTRANDO 53.5
1-ASHLEY'S SASSY 52.6
6-CITY RIDE 49.7

RACE 5
9-TOPPERS SUNSHINE 79.0
6-FLASHY DAME 74.9
5-BURNS TURN 73.4
4-SILVER HUSTLER 70.9
1-HIGHLY RATED 70.9
7-COOKIELAMOUR 70.9

RACE 6
8-CONSTANTINE 68.1
1-APERFECTDAYTOFLY 66.4
2-ARCTIC CODE 61.6
9-CURLIN IRON 59.0
5-ATHENS 55.6

1st time starters - 4, 3

RACE 7
1-ASHLEYLUVSSUGGAR 100.8
10-SAMMY MANDEVILLE 93.9
8-NUMBER FIVE 93.2
6-I'LL WRAP IT UP 91.9
9-PATRIOTS RULE 88.1

RACE 8
10-STEEL LADY 74.3
5-FAST MAGOO 72.6
3-OUR LOVE AFFAIR 67.5 (3 wide)
1-CHARMING STARLET 58.0
8-DESERT MADAM 57.5
2-PRIVATE MARINA 54.0

1st time starters - 4, 6

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Wednesday, October 01, 2014

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT LOS SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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