Wednesday, July 31, 2013

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR WEDNESDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $261,359.

RACE 1
1-IT DOESN'T ADD UP 79.5
5-LOVE THAT ACTION 75.9
4-AFLEET COWBOY 74.9
3-DOMONATION 71.4
6-TRAWEEK 70.3

RACE 2
1-CRAVIN' THE HEAT 58.0
3-MIRACLE MERGER 45.1
4-LITTLE BIT CACTUS 42.2
5-RSWEET SERENDIPITY 36.2
6-CLASSIC CANDY 33.4

1st time starters - 8, 2, 7

RACE 3
2-SOLID SOUTH 83.2
7-MAGNUM FORCE 81.4
6-AWESOME ADDRESS 74.9
4-LANGFURS LIGHTNING 69.8
8-ALYDIDIT 67.5
1-WARREN'S JEFF G. 67.5

RACE 4
10-JAY'S FIRETRUCK 82.6
4-LITE THAT BABY UP 69.8
9-ALMOST BETTER 67.5
1-BEAST OF BOURBON 66.1
12-EYESABLAZIN 65.9

RACE 5
4-VOLKONSKY 79.0
9-BRAVE ACT 73.1
7-HOTRADAMUS 72.6 (off Oct. 12)
5-RED GLOBE 71.4
3-LITTLE PROFESSOR 66.4

RACE 6
5-RELENTLESS HEAT 86.9
2-SOURDOUGH SAM 85.0 (off May 12)
8-MORNING FOG 83.2
4-MEMPHIS 80.2
6-PASSING GAME 79.0

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
9-WILLIE B AWESOME 72.6
2-SOLID WAGER 67.5
6-MOVING DESERT 59.6
1-GANGNAM GUY 59.0
3-BETTING MCCANN CAN 56.5

1st time starters - 5

RACE 8
8-ATHINA LEE 69.0 (off June 12)
2-PARTY BUS 55.0
14-FANNIE'SSPIRITTOO 52.1
5-TAP TAP UR IT 48.3
6-MATGIE'S RULE 44.6
12-FLAXEN MAIDEN 41.6
3-HUERA BONITA 41.6

1st time starters - 11, 10

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Tuesday, July 30, 2013

 

DEL MAR - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,675posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, July 28, 2013

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
2-ABIDE IN ME 68.6
1-SECRET COMPASS 63.2
6-SPY GIRL 48.3
5-COLONEL JOAN 43.8 (broke in)

1st time starters - 3, 4

RACE 2
4-TIZAPLAYER 87.5
3-LAUGH AT LIFE 79.5
8-DISARM 76.0
2-HUMOROUS 74.3
1-TOO FAST TO PASS 73.7
5-MYSTICAL MARK 73.7

RACE 3
5-COCONUT CREAM PIE 67.5
1-LITTLE UNUSUAL 59.0
4-KELDY 51.0
7-ROSIES RASCAL 50.6
3-HEAT DU JOUR 49.0

RACE 4
4-SCHERER MAGIC 88.1
5-I DON'T CARE WHO 82.6
8-DERRINGER 80.8
7-MUDFLATS 78.4
6-ANYTIME MAGIC 75.4

RACE 5
2-CAPTAIN BEAU 77.8
7-SCOFIELD BARRACKS 74.3
9-ARRAIGNMENT 74.0
3-ONLY THE GOLD 73.1
6-WHIPSTOCK 72.8

RACE 6
10-RANULF 107.9
2-GNARLY DUDE 102.5
3-REAL CONUNDRUM 97.8
5-GONNA FLY NOW 95.8
8-MARCHMAN 92.0

RACE 7
6-SMOOTH TALKER 85.6
11-BROKEN SWORD 82.0
7-BLINGISMYTHING 79.6
10-PONTCHATRAIN 79.6
4-BONNIE LESLEY 73.7

RACE 8
4-COMMA TO THE TOP 117.2
5-JIMMY CREED 114.3
6-POINTS OFFTHEBENCH 110.7
3-MAJESTIC CITY 101.8
2-GOLDENCENTS 101.8

RACE 9
6-TIZ THE ROUTE 67.5
10-SUANCES FLOWER 65.4
9-PINCELADA 63.8
8-CHERRY ON THE CAKE 63.8
7-FULL'S FIGUREHEAD 60.6
2-YOUTHEPRIZEANDI 60.6

RACE 10
3-ARTIC NORTH 90.0 (off slow)
1-LAYTON 85.0
9-MI HIP 82.6
10-MAXX THE GIANT 80.8
7-CORINTHIAN'S SONG 79.6
8-APOSTLE PAUL 76.6

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Saturday, July 27, 2013

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






RACE 1
5-LILLY'S PERFECT 86.3
2-NIGHT DANCE 76.0
1-INNER GROOVE 71.4
4-HEY COWBOY 62.7
7-ROMANTIC WISH 62.0

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
4-AMERICAN PRIDE 67.5
2-FOREVER JUANITO 62.3 (off slow)
5-BOND HOLDER 46.0

1st time starters - 3, 7, 6, 1, 8

RACE 3
10-U R MY CANDY GIRL 55.0
5-JULIO'S GOLD 54.5
8-MADDOG MADDIE 52.1
9-SCARY FAST 48.8
4-GLAD'S GALS 47.4

1st time starters - 11

RACE 4
6-DOINGHARDTIMEAGAIN 107.9
4-SWEET MARINI 99.8
3-ZUZU'S PETALS 86.3
7-QIAONA 82.2
2-TRIBAL PEACE 77.8

RACE 5
5-TWITCH 63.6
9-BAS 62.7
10-AMULAY 62.7
8-NOW HOPE 56.5
3-PATIENCEISAVIRTUE 51.0

RACE 6
2-QUALITY PLAN 64.4
7-POWER PED 51.1
6-PRACTICAL 12.5 (eased)

1st time starters - 8, 1, 3, 9, 4, 5

RACE 7
2-TOM'S TRIBUTE 107.9
5-SOMETHINGS UNUSUAL 90.7
7-SWIFT EAGLE 88.8
6-BIO PRO 88.1
1-MOTOWN MAN 85.0

RACE 8
3-PAYNTER 124.5
1-KETTLE CORN 118.6
4-LIAISON 117.9
6-CLUBHOUSE RIDE 117.8
5-CHIEF HAVOC 107.9

RACE 9
9-SEVEN BRIDGES 84.4
1-SOUTH FLOYD 74.9
6-JUDGE CARR 73.1
4-BEV'S FINALE 70.3
7-SALAH CHAMP 68.6 (off Dec. 12)

RACE 10
7-ICONIC SPIRIT 84.0
9-TAPPINGINTHERAIN 83.2
11-LAKE MARACAIBO 83.2
6-WINNING RHYTHM 77.8
12-GINGER TAP 74.3
10-PASSIONATE DIVA 70.9

1st time starters - 4, 2

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Friday, July 26, 2013

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.


RACE 1
8-WITH A MIRACLE 75.4
9-COCO DE CARCHY 73.1
1-WILLETTA 59.0
4-ONLY JOSIE KNOWS 58.5
3-WARREN'S ASSASSIN 57.0 (off July 12)

RACE 2
5-SIROCCO STRIKE 99.8
1-DISTINCTIV PASSION 97.0
2-CIRCA'SGOLDENGEAR 93.2
6-RAUSHENBERG 92.6 (off Aug. 12)
3-KOAST 89.4

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
5-SALT POWER 39.0
4-GOLDEN DYNAMO 23.1 (bobbled start)
7-BLACK TIE 20.0 (off slow, bumped)
6-PUNXSUTAWNEY PHIL 10.3 (eased)

1st time starters - 1, 8, 3, 2

RACE 4
1-MISS RADIANCE 85.0
3-BRANDING 74.3
6-ATLANTIC SWING 69.2 (off June 12)
4-LADY ASANO 67.0
5-SPECIAL CHARM 65.3

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
8-CHARISSA 42.6 (off slow)
7-BACK TO LIFE 10.3 (steadied)

1st time starters - 6, 1, 3, 9, 2, 4, 5

RACE 6
10-WARREN'S BLOSSOM 93.2
11-MADOFFWITHTHEMONEY 85.6
4-DARLING DODIE 84.4
8-LEMON HERO 83.8
6-MADRE LUNA 81.4
1-SWEET ASSAY 81.4

RACE 7
5-KETTLE CORN 122.3
6-SKY KINGDOM 113.6
3-OILSBLACKGOLD 107.3
10-ROUSING SERMON 98.4
11-BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS 92.0

RACE 8
3-HOLIDAY N NEWPORT 73.1
6-HERE'S TO ROSE 69.2
2-PEARL DE VERE 63.8
1-LUCKY STUDENT 59.6
5-ELEGANT BEL 58.5

1st time starters - 8, 10

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Thursday, July 25, 2013

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




NOTE: THERE WILL NOT BE ANY HORSE RACING PICKS OR HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS POSTED FOR THURSDAY. I WILL RETURN FRIDAY WITH MY PICKS AND SELECTIONS.

WEDNESDAY - I HAD FOUR TOP PICKS WIN ($3.00, 8.80, 11.80, 7.00) AND TWO TOP 1ST TIMERS WIN (9.60, 6.20).









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Wednesday, July 24, 2013

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR WEDNESDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $238,499.

RACE 1
1-COTTON'S POINT 69.2
2-CRAVIN' THE HEAT 66.1
9-HEAT DU JOUR 53.0
6-MIRACLE MERGER 49.2 (off Aug. 12)
5-SOPHIE'S SECRET 42.4

1st time starters - 4, 3

RACE 2
4-CAPTAIN CORRIGAN 73.7
3-EL SABIOS 70.9
1-PENNY MAKER 66.4
8-MY BEST BET 66.4
7-CHANGE OF PLAN 65.4

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
2-TAELYNS PRINCE 62.5
9-SUNNY KAT 55.6
4-MR. CACTUS 45.1 (4 wide)
7-SETTHEWORLDONFIRE 33.2 (off slow)
1-B. B.'S BANDMAN 24.4

1st time starters - 8, 3

RACE 4
8-BLAKE 79.6
1-STREETS OF HEAVEN 78.4
11-IRON JOE T 70.3
10-HONOUR FAMILY 70.3
13-SHEDIAK 68.1

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
1-TOM KHA 21.9 (5 wide)
8-MARCH MAJESTY 20.0 (squeezed at start)
9-SWEET G (steadied)
11-MONSTRO NESS 14.3
14-LOVELY INSTINCT 10.3

1st time starters - 4, 7, 10, 12, 5, 6, 2

RACE 6
3-SWEET LULU 94.1
4-BELLA VIAGGIA 90.8
8-ROYAL TIGER 90.0
1-ONDINE 88.1
5-SELF PRESERVATION 83.8

RACE 7
3-TIGAH 103.1
8-WILKINSON 102.5
7-CHIPS ALL IN 95.2
5-CORPORATE JUNGLE 92.6
6-MY BEST BROTHER 91.3

1st time starters - 2 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 8
11-TUCKERS POINT 77.8
2-WARREN'S CLIFF S. 73.1
1-INDYCOTT 52.0
9-ROCABAR 46.6
3-POINT HAPPY 43.8
8-DUTCH COURAGE 42.8

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Tuesday, July 23, 2013

 

DEL MAR - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, July 22, 2013

 

DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,668 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, July 21, 2013

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






RACE 1
5-BOLLER BOMB 80.8
7-JOEANDBETTY'SBABY 75.4
6-JOINT ATTEMPT 68.1
8-PRINCESS OF PEARL 68.1
9-TEBOWING 67.5

RACE 2
8-HUMOR ME 82.6 (off Dec. 12)
4-NICKELS WILD 78.4
6-FANTICOLA 65.4 (off July 12, off slow)
2-WISHCRAFT 64.3
3-SHE'S A MINX 58.6

1st time starters - 1, 7, 9

RACE 3
6-EVERTON 103.6
5-HOLY CANDY 101.8 (off July 12)
2-CURLY TOP 96.5
7-ANYTHINGSCOOKIN 92.6
8-GOD OF WAR 90.7

RACE 4
5-BETTER BET 50.2
13-GO FIRST 49.2
8-TAMARANDO 41.1
6-TRIBAL MYSTIC 38.2
9-TRIBAL AGAIN 38.2

1st time starters - 10, 2, 14, 7, 1, 12, 4

RACE 5
6-SUMMER HIT 105.2
3-COMPARI 98.4
8-ROCK ME BABY 96.5
9-HE BE FIRE N ICE 95.8
4-LUCKY PRIMO 95.2

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
2-MY LADY'S HOLIDAY 52.6
13-WIRED FOR FUN 42.9
6-OUR GLITTER BALL 9.4 (off slow)

1st time starters - 8, 7, 12, 10, 1, 4, 5, 9, 3

RACE 7
10-GUTSHOT STRIGHT 96.5
12-HIGH TEST 93.9
1-CHAPMAN'S PEAK 93.9
6-TIZ TEE TIME 92.6
2-WIREDFORTWOTWENTY 92.6

RACE 8
2-IOTAPA 102.8
1-UNUSUAL WAY 90.7
9-FOXY BOSS 87.5
8-CHARLIE EM 83.2
3-LIBOURNE ELIZA 80.2

RACE 9
7-VERY UNUSUAL 75.3 (off Oct.12)
8-HUSTLIN NU 74.9
12-ROBIE THE CAT 72.6
2-HEY YUP 67.0 (off Dec. 12)
4-FIGHTING ON 65.4
9-BIG HANDS AL 65.0

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Saturday, July 20, 2013

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
6-LICO 80.8
2-SHINING SON 76.0
3-CONGREGATIONALIST 74.3
1-SURF N SKI 73.1
5-ORANGEYOUACUTIE 70.3

RACE 2
7-AERIAL ARTIST 72.0
8-IMPERATIVE 70.9
6-TRICKY SHANE 70.3
9-AS GOOD AS GOLD 66.4
3-LONDINIUM 65.9

RACE 3
7-FREE RANGE 80.2
5-PURE BLUSH 76.0
4-STAR VISTA 72.6 (off Sept. 12)
8-LONG LEGGED LOVELY 65.4
6-BONITA STAR 54.0

RACE 4
7-SOI PHET 85.6
1-BROADWAY NIKA 77.6
3-EAST SKY 76.4
5-SIZZLIN' JOE 75.8
2-SLAMMER TIME 75.2

RACE 5
5-UNUSUAL HOTTIE 101.1
6-TOP KISSER 94.5
2-I DAZZLE 91.3
1-DANCINGTOTHESTARS 88.1
7-LONG FACE 84.4
9-APPEALING 84.4

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)

ALL NINE HORSES ARE 1ST TIME STARTERS
NO SELECTIONS

RACE 7
10-OSTOURAH 92.6
3-HEAT TRAP 92.0
2-HAIL MARY 90.0
4-RAUCOUS LADY 89.4
6-IMWITHTHEBLONDE 77.8

RACE 8
1-BAROCCI 105.9
4-JERANIMO 100.4
9-LUCAYAN 97.1
3-FED BIZ 96.5
7-MIDDIE 94.5

RACE 9
1-JOE CARL 83.2
2-ROCK THIS WAY 81.4
3-WOULD YOU 80.8
5-SANDY'S DIAMOND 77.2
10-MR. CANDY BAR 75.8

RACE 10
5-PATRIOTIC LION 78.4
2-AFFIRMED ARCH 62.2
1-DARK TIMBERS 60.6
13-CHOCOLATIER 58.5
4-NEIL HEALY 53.0
3-DESTINO 52.6

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Friday, July 19, 2013

 

DEL MAR - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
7-CAMELIA ROSE 86.9 (off Dec. 12)
4-TOOMANYTOMATOES 82.0
2-SECRET COVE 79.6
3-DISTANT IMAGE 75.2
5-MELTARIB 73.7

RACE 2
6-SPACE RUNNER 76.0
4-LUZ ATTICUS 66.4
7-BILLY WIN 65.4
1-WILD TONY 60.6
2-MANEWAL 58.5

RACE 3
2-FREE TIME 87.5
8-FIELD REPORT 87.5
6-CAMMAZES 84.4 (off July 12)
7-DOOR'S OPEN 81.4
4-MY SLEW 81.4

RACE 4
3-BACKINTHEACADEMY 61.1
2-MAGIC NUMBER 54.0
6-HARD BUNS 52.5
7-JK'S MISCHIEF 47.6
5-PROUD BOK 46.9

1st time starters - 8

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-YODELMESOMEMAGIC 33.4
5-WATER ISSUES 29.3
1-SHE'S FLUSH 28.9
7-REJA'S ROSE 28.6
8-BETH'S MY BABE 15.8 (4 wide)

1st time starters - 2, 10, 3, 4, 11

RACE 6
4-R S WATSON 99.5
7-SURFCUP 96.4
10-ROOKIE SENSATION 94.4
3-LITTLE JERRY 91.9
8-PURE LOYALTY 88.8

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
1-SPROUTS 70.3
8-SMOOVE IT 57.5
5-TIME FOR ANGIE 54.0
6-HARLINGTON'S ROSE 53.5
3-EVENING NEWS 37.4

RACE 8
2-BRANNAMAN 76.6
12-TENKILLER 74.6
4-MAJOR AFFAIR 66.4
6-I BUY GOLD 61.1
8-SIR SEARSUCKER 56.0

1st time starters - 10, 5, 3, 11, 9

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Wednesday, July 17, 2013

 

DEL MAR AND SACRAMENTO - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




NOTE: I WILL NOT HAVE SELECTIONS FOR DEL MAR ON THURSDAY BUT WILL BE BACK FRIDAY.

SACRAMENTO PICKS FOLLOWS DEL MAR PICKS TODAY.


DEL MAR

RACE 1
7-GOLDEN MEXICO 83.2
8-SIR BELL 82.0 (off Jan. 12)
3-TITIAN 80.8
10-BEER MEISTER 80.8
2-HUSBANDS FOLLY 79.6

RACE 2
5-KEEP MOVIN' 90.6
7-SINFULLY 82.8
4-SCORCHER 74.9 (off Nov. 12)
2-THIS ONE'S FOR ME 73.7
6-BIPARTISAN 70.3

RACE 3
4- WINK AND WISH 67.5
2-KATY'S STAR 59.6
1-ANITA MARIE 58.0
5-BLUEGRASS ELLIE 57.5
7-SAY SAY 57.0

RACE 4
4-CYCLOMETER 96.5
1-IVANHO 95.8
6-DREAMCATCHER 92.6
7-GAB POWER 89.4
3-KINGPIN RYNO 86.9

RACE 5 (all 2 yo> going 5f.)
4-MOVING DESERT 47.4
2-CAUSE UR MY BABE 47.4
3-SKY FOREVER 29.7
11-OUR GLITTER BALL 9.4 (off slow)

1st time starters - 10, 6, 8, 9, 7, 12, 5, 1

RACE 6
5-UNDRAFTED 99.1
8-MANANDO 98.2
6-FREAKIN ROCKET 97.8
9-UNFETTERED 94.5
2-GERVINHO 86.9

RACE 7
6-ROYAL MERIDIAN 90.7
2-SIR ALLISON 88.1
4-DIAMOND OF BLUE 85.6
1-MAGIC BEAM 83.8
8-LEGAL SEPARATION 82.6

RACE 8
2-GENTLEMEN PETE 65.4
9-E K RULER 64.8
3-TRIAL SPIN 61.6
7-HOPE'N PRAY 59.0
4-BRO'S BRO 54.5

1st time starters - 5, 8, 6

RACE 9
6-SI SAGE 100.7
4-DEN'S LEGACY 96.9
9-ROSENGOLD 93.2
7-JOELITO 90.0
2-GABRIEL CHARLES 87.0 (off Dec. 12)

RACE 10
14-SINGLE LAUNCH 65.9
3-IN A WINE TIZZY 60.7
12-SPRING UP 60.1
11-BLUE CHEROKEE 55.0
7-GRAND GAMBLER 54.5
10-SLIGHT EDGE 54.0

1st time starters - 6



SACRAMENTO

RACE 1 (quarter horse race)
6-BARBARO EL TEXANO 97.8 (off Sept. 12)
5-LATIGO SPECIAL 97.8
1-HAWKISH KNOGHT 88.1
2-JW THE LAST ONE 85.0
7-ROMANCE N RHYTHM 82.6

RACE 2
1-YERKILLINMESMALLS 64.8
5-MISSDANG SALLY 64.3
4-SOPHISTICATED 58.1
6-EASY GOES BY 57.5
3-WILD BELLA 53.5

RACE 3
5-REAGAN REPUBLICAN 72.0
6-DEFYING LOGIC 68.1
7-LOOKN WILD 68.1
1-A PINT FOR MARY 64.3
2- FIRE IN EXCESS 62.7

RACE 4
4-RUNNINFORBACKPAY 72.6
7-CAFFINE HIGH 63.8
5-ALL ABOUT ADAM 56.5
3-AUTISM AWAKENESS 56.0
2-LE' HEAT 51.6

RACE 5
9-ARCH YOUR BACK 66.4
1-RAHY'S REFLECTION 64.3
7-GOOD TO BE KING 56.5
2-PELITO 55.0
5-EL POCHO 47.8

RACE 6
8-LUCKYWITHTHELADIES 81.4
7-FAST TRACKING 78.4
6-SIX VOTES 73.7
2-MAN FROM LAGOS 72.0
1-ONE MO 71.4

RACE 7
6-FOOL ME ONCE 62.7
8-RAMBLE ON ROSE 61.6
2-REIGNING RUBIES 58.5
10-S S TRIBAL GIRL 56.5
9-MISS NIKKI 56.5
5-HANDFUL OF PEARLS 56.5
1-NEW HAVEN LINE 56.5

RACE 8
2-SANDOR 86.9
6-PEPNIC 86.3
4-WHEN WE MET 83.8
5-EZIO 79.0
1-POSSE POWER 79.0

RACE 9
6-CHARMING TOPPER 49.7
8-SARSFIELD'S RIDE 39.9
1-JOEYSBURG 37.0
3-JANS COM 32.3
2-JESSIE WAS MINE 30.4

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Tuesday, July 16, 2013

 

DEL MAR - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, July 15, 2013

 

DEL MAR - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,662 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, July 14, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $127,566.

RACE 1
4-TIZ THE ROUTE 74.3
6-METAXA 73.1
2-ONE MAGICAL GIRL 66.5
3-BUTCH MARINO 65.9 (off Jan. 12)
5-GHOST N YOUR HEART 63.2

RACE 2
5-BRANDON'S PRINCESS 50.6
4-HUERA BONITA 45.1
10-RAGS FOR BEN 43.8
9-SPRING SARAH 42.1
8-DIXIE DEVILLE 32.3 (off slow)

1st time starters - 3, 7

RACE 3
1-MIDNIGHT LADY 75.6
3-UNSEEN VISITOR 75.4
2-LIL BARBIE DOODLE 62.0
6-WALLLULA BLUFFS 55.5
4-GOLDILOCKS PLANET 51.7

RACE 4
3-PEPPY BOLLY 81.4
4-FREEWAYRACER 70.9
1-FIRENDESIRE 69.2
2-BRILLIANT MELODY 66.4
5-TRIBAL PEACE 64.8

RACE 5
2-MARKETING MIX 107.9
1-DHAAMER 105.2
6-WHY NOT BE PERFECT 86.3
4-EXTENSIVE 82.0
3-ONLY THE GOLD 46.4

1st time starters - 5 (in the U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 6
1-ST. VALENTINO 46.0 (off Jan. 12)
11-SOFOS QUICK LOGIC 45.1
8-BUCK'S TORNADO 42.9
5-INDIAN SPIRIT 37.8
3-LUCKBOX SAM 37.4

1st time starters - 6, 9, 10

RACE 7
8-ETHNIC DANCE 82.0
2-VOLKONSKY 77.8
7-ELUSIVE JOURNEY 76.0
4-OUGHT TO WIN 61.6
6-MR. CAPPUCCINO 61.4

1st time starters - 3, 1

RACE 8
5-KINGMAN KID 82.6
9-MEMPHIS 80.2
4-NIGHT BADGER 79.0
8-INDIAN CLASSIC 76.0
6-HUGO PIRATE 69.8

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)

ALL 1ST TIME STARTERS - NO SELECTIONS

RACE 10
2-U S CITIZEN 95.8
6-SPIRIT RULES 94.4
4-SYNDICATED 92.6
3-DIXIELAND BLUES 90.0
7-LUCKARACK 87.5

RACE 11
2-DRAMATIC ALLAN 67.5
11-SAINT LEO 56.5
3-THE GATEKEEPER 52.6
4-EL TOVAR 46.4
7-WAVE CATCHING 45.5

1st time starters - 1, 9, 5

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Saturday, July 13, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






RACE 1
1-LORD VRONSKY 86.9
6-MR. BOSSY PANTS 85.6
5-D'PENDABLE 82.0
3-OLIGARCH 78.4
2-YES IT'S SNOWING 76.0

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
4-SHE'S A TIGER 70.9
3-SOUTH SOUND 66.4
2-E EQUALSMCSQUARED 60.6
6-PLEASANT MISS 56.5
5-GAGAOVERYOU 54.5

RACE 3
4-LAKESIDE BRIDE 75.5
7-GYPSY FRIDAY 70.3 (off June 12)
8-HANSERELLA 67.0
2-HEAT DU JOUR 56.5
3-FLATTER THECOWGIRL 51.6

1st time starters - 5, 9

RACE 4
6-WILLIE B AWESOME 65.9
2-ALPINE LUCK 61.6
5-SOLID WAGER 57.5
1-ONTOLOGY 56.5

1st time starters - 3, 4, 7

RACE 5
10-GLAD'S GALS 53.0 (off July 12)
5-HELLO STORMY 42.4
4-CLASSIC JOURNEY 37.8
11-SHIMMERING STAR 35.4
9-TEASING MOMENT 33.8

1st time starters - 3, 6, 1, 8

RACE 6
5-DINVAR DIVA 85.0
1-FANTASTIC MIZZ 83.8
2-HEART STEALER 81.0
6-KANOTWAIT 73.1
7-RUNNING FOR JAKOB 72.6

RACE 7
2-STARRY SHARK 46.4
5-SALT OF THE EARTH 38.2 (off April 12)
7-STORM CAUTION 35.0
4-CALIENTE CAT 32.6

1st time starters - 3, 8 (refused to break), 6, 1

RACE 8
5-TEDDY'S PROMISE 103.8
2-BYRAMA 97.1
6-RUMOR 94.5
8-MAKER OR BREAKER 94.5
7-BOOK REVIEW 93.9

RACE 9
3-EMOLLIENT 98.4
5-SCARLET STRIKE 90.0
4-EMOTIONAL KITTEN 86.3
6-BECKY LOU 84.4
2-MACHA 84.4

RACE 10
8-CITIZEN JANE 50.2
10-HARLAN'S TRICK 44.2
1-ALISSA G 42.9
4-CALAMEERA 37.4 (off Nov. 12)
5-BENSANNA 36.6 (off June 12)

1st time starters - 12, 11, 9

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Friday, July 12, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
5-STONESIDE 75.4
2-INFLAMED SPIRIT 72.5
3-BIG NOTE 72.0
6-RED DEFENSE 65.9
4-WAR POLITICS 60.0

RACE 2
4-MISS ELLANY 95.2
5-FREEDOM REIGNS 83.2
2-CREDITCARDROULETTE 72.2
1-KOKO LOCA 71.4

1st time starters - 3 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
4-WESTERN SHOWDOWN 36.2
5-CHARLIE THOMAS 16.9
3-GRAND PULPIT 15.3

1st time starters - 7, 1, 6, 2

RACE 4
6-OUR LUCKY SON 82.0
7-HORIZONTALYSPEAKIN 73.7
1-MIKEY T 69.2
5-DONTEXTNDRIVE 67.5
2-CINCO DE MARIO 64.8 (off Dec. 12)

RACE 5
2-TIZ ANNA 61.6
6-SALT TEQUILA LIME 59.0
3-FLAZEN MAIDEN 48.1
7-MY BEST TEN 40.7 (slow start)
1-PARTY BUS 39.9

1st time starters - 5, 4

RACE 6
2-GLORIOUS LUCK 83.8
4-LUCKYVIC 82.0
5-SUDDEN SUNDAY 78.5
1-TANGERINE TICKLE 77.2 (off Dec. 11)
3-LUXURIANCE 69.2

RACE 7
6-TWIN SIX 83.8
3-A DAY AWAY 74.3 (off Sept. 12)
2-AMP AND ADRENALIN 72.6
4-ALMOST BETTER 65.9
5-LOCALSUCESS 57.5

RACE 8(all 2 yo. goin 5f. on turf)

all 1st time starters - no selections

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Thursday, July 11, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
3-BEER MEISTER 89.4
2-COLOURSOFTHEGLEN 74.3
6-SCOFIELD BARRACKS 73.1
1-BAY RUSH 69.2
4-WARRENS WILD THING 64.2

RACE 2
2-KING BILL 76.0
6-BLAKE 73.1
5-LINCECUM 69.8
4-RUN'N ON RESIDUALS 67.5
7-SMOKING G 60.1
3-SKYSPY 60.1

RACE 3
9-MIRANDA ROSE 54.0
4-KANA FLAVOR 40.4
6-CLASSIC CANDY 40.3
7-SUNSET SKIES 37.8
2-REST LAKE 31.5

1st time starters - 1, 8, 5

RACE 4
6-BLUE TONE 105.2
5-PROUD BOSS 83.2
7-CORINTHIAN'S SONG 77.7
4-AIRFOIL 70.9
2-SMOKIN' BERNIE 66.4

1st time starters - 1, 3

RACE 5
6-PROMISCUOUSSUANCES 83.8
3-QUEEN MERCURY 73.7
8-SLEEP TIGHT 73.7
5-FUNNY BELLE 70.9
7-TENER GUSTO 57.5

RACE 6
3-PROVEN WARRIOR 103.8
9-KILL SHOT 92.6
1-JUSTA RUNNER 87.5
6-STORM POWER 59.0

1st time starters - 5, 4, 2, 7, 8

RACE 7
3-TURN ON THE PUMPS 89.4
1-PULPIT'S EXPRESS 88.8
4-MEYDAN MAGIC 84.4
7-TOLEDO EDDIE 79.0
2-UNUSUAL JAZZ 79.0

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
9-DAYLIGHTFULLY 31.9
6-INHERIT THE THRONE 31.9
3-SILVER N SASSY 31.5
8-VEGAS BOUND 28.6
1-SHE'S HOLY 20.6

1st time starters - 5, 7, 2, 11, 10, 12

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Wednesday, July 10, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, July 08, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOO PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,656 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, July 07, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
4-BURNS TURN 86.9
6-ILLICIT AFFAIR 48.3

1st time starters - 1, 2, 5, 3

RACE 2
1-LADY KATFISH 77.2
6-BOTTLE BLONDE 69.2
7-CASSANDRA LYNNE 66.4
2-SULTRY SEASON 62.2
5-SALLYANA 62.2

RACE 3
6-JUDY IN DISGUISE 80.2
2-NEED YOU KNOW 79.6
1-WEDNESDAY 79.4
3-LADY ROSAMOND 77.6
4-TRAVESURA 77.2

RACE 4
8-TAP IT IN 68.6 (off April 12)
1-CATATONIC CAT 59.0
5-DARK TIMBERS 56.5
3-I BUY GOLD 51.1
2-FAR ROCKAWAY 50.2

RACE 5
4-ELEGANT 82.6
5-SMART STRIKING 77.2
7-TANQUERRAY 76.0
1-PRETTYPRICEYGIRL 73.7
2-LOVE TALE 73.7
8-TRIBALICIOUS 73.7

RACE 6
8-DECOY 67.5
1-RALPHY GIRL 63.8
9-ABELLA 55.5
6-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 55.5
3-GLORIOUS MEMORIES 55.5

RACE 7
4-LEMON HERO 82.0
5-MADRE LUNA 81.4
1-LLANDUDNO 76.6
3-WITH A MIRACLE 76.0 (off Sept. 12)
8-RHODIUM 75.3 (off Dec. 12)
2-BIORHYTHM 75.1

RACE 8
7-ROUSING SERMON 101.8
1-YOU KNOW I KNOW 99.1
2-GOLDEN ITIZ 99.1
4-HALF STRIKE 97.1
6-ROCK ME BABY 86.9

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
10-CELTIC MOON 43.3
4-GELDAUTOMAT 40.3

1st time starters - 8, 11, 13, 5, 7, 15, 1, 6, 14, 2, 3, 9

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Saturday, July 06, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
2-STREET CAR 82.6 (off Oct. 12)
6-PLENNY OF HENNY 82.0
1-ME LIKEY MIKEY 76.6
4-HASTY TREND 74.3
3-GALLANT GENT 72.6

RACE 2
5-IRISH SURF 76.6
6-APOSTLE PAUL 74.9
2-ANGEL CHARGE 68.1
3-INDYCOTT 64.3
7-MOJAVE DESERT 64.3

RACE 3
4-GNARLY DUDE 96.5
3-DRESS CODE 94.5
5-COUIRTSIDE 91.3
1-COO CACHOO 83.8
6-HADFUNLASTNIGHT 77.5

RACE 4
9-CAST A DOUBT 94.5
4-FLY HIGH 74.3
3-CARLSBAD MOUNTAIN 67.5 (off Jan. 12)
2-SPIRITED TOUCH 65.9
1-PROMISSORYEXCHANGE 55.5

1st time starters - 6, 7, 5

RACE 5
6-I DAZZLE 96.5
3-SCHIAPARELLI 92.2
5-EGG DROP 91.3
1-STORMY LUCY 89.4
4-MY GI GI 88.8

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
8-ONE MORE 47.4 (bumped at start)
4-SOAR HOME 22.8

1st time starters - 6, 2, 7, 1, 10, 5, 12, 3, 13

RACE 7
2-KNUCKLEBUSTER 79.6
9-PRIME NUMBER 64.3
12-SUANCES CANDY 61.6
3-MAGIC CASTLE 59.6
6-CENTENARIO DE ORO 54.0

RACE 8
4-SUPER ABILITY 103.1
1-SWIFT EAGLE 94.5
2-GUEST STAR 88.9
8-AMERICAN TANKER 84.4 (off Aug. 12)
7-DESORMAIS 80.8 (off Sept. 12)

RACE 9
2-GAME ON DUDE 134.4
1-CLUBHOUSE RIDE 117.9
5-SKY KINGDOM 105.9
4-KETTLE CORN 105.2
3-OILSBLACKGOLD 105.2

RACE 10
10-BARDY 69.5 (off Aug. 12)
14-SUPER DICE 63.8
4-CHICAGO HERO 63.2
2-DRAMATIC ALLAN 57.5
11-ALSACE 56.0
5-COSMIC HEAT 55.0


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Friday, July 05, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
8-U R MY CANDY GIRL 60.1
7-DISCO LEMONADE 54.0
6-RICH IN TRADITION 39.9
9-DULCEMIA 39.5
3-LOVE SALAH DANCER 25.8

1st time starters - 4

RACE 2
2-FOUR BETTER 67.8
7-ROSSI RESERVE 56.5
4-WRINKLE ROOM 53.5
1-NEGRA TOMASA 42.4
6-MEMO TO KATHY 42.0

RACE 3
3-TUCKERS POINT 67.5
5-STAYO 59.0
6-ONE MINT JULEP 49.0
1-SMART'N FAIR 48.0
7-ON HOLY GROUND 45.2

RACE 4
6-BAROCCI 104.5
4-BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS 104.5
3-COMPARI 95.8
2-TEMPLE'S DOOR 86.9
5-OLD TIME HOCKEY 83.2

RACE 5
1-BLUE TONE 93.2
6-MIDNITE VIEW 88.1
4-MI HIJO 87.5
8-TOM'S TRIBUTE 86.3
5-OKAAD 72.6

RACE 6
10-CURRAHEE 86.9 ((off Oct. 12)
3-LANGFURS LIGHTNING 76.0
7-BEV'S FINALE 71.4
2-STRICKLY CLASS 69.8 (came out)
6-DASHING ASH 68.6

RACE 7
1-MISS PIPPA 88.8
4-MIDNIGHT MUSIC 88.1
5-CUSTOMER BASE 86.9
2-CAELIS 85.6
3-MADERA CASTANA 67.0

RACE 8
9-SCARY FAST 47.4 (off April 12)
8-MARGIES RULE 42.4
2-CHANTAL'S GIRL 42.4
1-BEAUTIFUL SPIRIT 38.6
4-ROYAL WEEKEND 33.8

1st time starters - 10, 3

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Thursday, July 04, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
5-MARKET QUOTE 86.3
3-LADY'S PLAN 78.4
2-KRAZYPAPAYA 74.9
1-ANOTHER FLASHBACK 74.3
6-AKISS FORAROSE 71.4

RACE 2
6-LIAR LIAR LIAR 62.2
5-TAFFETA DISASTER 50.6
7-MY PAL ARIANA 46.1
1-BAS 44.2
2-WARREN'S MY QUEEN 37.8

RACE 3
3-CHIEF HAVOC 103.8
4-JAVA'S WAR 99.1
2-TIZ A MINISTER 88.8
1-DICE FLAVOR 87.5

RACE 4
6-CEE'S THE YEAR 70.9
5-TOWN BELLE 69.8
3-FIESTA EXPRESS 61.6
4-UNKEPT RENDEZ VOUS 60.4
1-HAWFINCH 57.2

RACE 5
5-BLUEGRASS REWARD 85.5
3-SHEDIAK 73.7
11-BARON VON RED 73.1
9-MARINE FOG 71.4
7-CRAGMONT 67.0

RACE 6
14-PRINCESS OF PEARL 75.4
6-SMOOTH TALKER 73.1
7-MILLE LUNA 72.6
5-WINNING RHYTHM 69.2
3-GINGER TAP 62.2

RACE 7
2-RUSSEL'S RUN 65.4
4-MAYAN EYES 61.1
5-LOVEMEISTER 60.1
3-TALK THE WALK 55.0
1-ERIC THE RAM 53.0

RACE 8
5-ET TU WALKER 101.8
1-EL MIRAGE KING 96.5
6-SIROCCO STRIKE 95.8
2-SMUG 92.1 (off May 12)
8-ZUBOFF 92.0

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 5f.)
5-EXPONENTIALLY 33.4
6-MOSSO 31.5
8-ANYTHINGTOGETEVEN 31.5
3-B. B.'S BANDMAN 26.8 (off slow)
4-CHARLIE THOMAS 24.4 (broke in)

1st time starters - 7, 9, 2

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Wednesday, July 03, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, July 02, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOO PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,650 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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