Tuesday, April 30, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOO PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,591 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, April 28, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $120,940


RACE 1
2-BOBBY HANDY 88.8
5-FORMAT V. 84.4
3-CANDY FOR DEBBIE 83.8 (off Aug. 12)
6-NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR 82.0
4-BIG NOTE 77.4

RACE 2
2-TRIBAL SPY 57.5
4-FULL'S FIGUREHEAD 53.0 (off July 12)
1-U R MY CANDY GIRL 50.2
5-AMULAY 43.3
7-CIRCULAR LOGIC 39.0

RACE 3
3-TIZ SNAZZY 76.0
1-PENNY MAKER 63.2
4-AERIAL ARTIST 59.8
2-SOLID SOUTH 59.0
5-EBONY GOLD 56.0

RACE 4
2-AMERICAN BLEND 104.1
3-POWER FOOT 93.9
4-DREAMCATCHER 92.6
7-BAROCCI 91.3
1-KEY DECISION 89.4

RACE 5
7-CHARLIE'SBOYWINS 83.2 (off Dec. 12)
5-ATTICUS JACK 80.7
4-HASTY TREND 74.0
3-PLENNY OF HENNY 72.6
2-IRON JOE T 68.1

RACE 6
7-JUST FISHIN 87.5
11-CORINTHIAN'S SONG 81.4 (off Aug. 12)
6-CACAU 70.3
8-UNBRIDLED GIANT 68.1
12-MAMBO MAN 62.5

1st time starters - 4

RACE 7
5-HOME JOURNEY 82.6
4-TIZ MOLLY 82.0
6-MISS AMERICAN PIE 77.8
3-BLUSHING ANGEL 73.7
1-ROSEWHITENBLUE 70.9

RACE 8
4-MOONE'S MY NAME 94.5
8-HALO DOLLY 88.1
1-PURIM'S DANCER 87.0
6-BYRONY 86.3
5-ESENTEPE 85.0

RACE 9
7-PATRIOTIC LION 69.2
5-WARREN'S WESLEY 59.0
6-I'LL RUN THE SHOW 52.6
10-ON HOLY GROUND 48.6
2-SOUTHERN HEART 47.4

1st time starters - 16, 4, 8

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Saturday, April 27, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






RACE 1
6-HAIL MARY 86.9
1-WILD IN THE SADDLE 71.4
3-HIDETHEGOODSTUFF 70.3
4-SECRET GENIUS 69.8
2-SWISS BLISS 66.4

RACE 2
7-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 60.1
2-GLORIOUS MEMORIES 58.5
3-SWEET NECTAR 57.0
5-HONEY DEUX 56.5
1-RUN CAPTIVE RUN 52.6

RACE 3
8-CELEBRITY STATUS 71.4
5-TRIBAL DUDE 67.8
4-ETHNIC DANCE 59.6
7-MEYDAN MAGIC 59.0 (4 wide)
1-SAINT LEO 52.6

1st time starters - 3, 2

RACE 4
3-DOINGHARDTIMEAGAIN 98.8
2-SWEET MARINI 94.8
4-UNUSUAL WAY 83.8
1-QIAONA 76.6
6-JADE WITH ENVY 67.6

RACE 5
1-MEL'S GAME 105.2
6-JOHN SCOTT 101.8
2-KATE'S EVENT 100.4
7-ROCK ME BABY 99.1
3-HOLLADAY ROAD 96.5 (off Oct. 12)

RACE 6
2-RED TESLA 86.3
7-INDIAN CLASSIC 85.6
3-SUPER ABILITY 82.0
5-DERBY GOLD 82.0
8-MEMPHIS 80.8

RACE 7
5-MEGA HEAT 94.5
3-DIAMONDSDIPLOMAT 93.9
8-MCALLISTER BOYS 91.9
1-YOU KNOW I KNOW 88.8
2-IVANHO 88.1

RACE 8
3-TEDDY'S PROMISE 108.6
11-WARREN'S BLOSSOM 92.7 (off July 11)
8-ISMENE 90.0
5-CURVY CAT 85.0
6-SUGARINTHEMORNING 82.0
7-MELANISTIC 82.0

RACE 9
8-TIZ A MINISTER 97.8
4-OMEGA STAR 84.4
3-NINA'S DRAGON 79.0
6-SURFCUP 77.2
2-FIGHTING HUSSAR 72.2

RACE 10
13-HANSERELLA 66.1
7-NORTHERN FLIGHT 61.6
9-LAKESIDE BRIDE 57.6
1-WARREN'S VENEDA 57.0
6-TICKLE AGAIN 52.0
11-LIL CHEYENNE 51.1

1st time starters - 3, 2, 12, 10, 5

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Friday, April 26, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $39,505.

RACE 1
2-PRETTY WONDER 83.3
1-CATIENUS GOLD 66.8
7-MICHAILASHEARTLITE 57.5
8-VEGAS RULES 56.5
10-BABS N MARTY 50.6 (off June 12)

RACE 2 (ALL 2YO. GOING 4 1/2 F.)

ALL 1ST TIME STARTERS - NO SELECTIONS

RACE 3
1-MALIBU LOVE 59.0 (off Aug. 12)
8-TORRE ITALIANA 55.0
2-BLAZEN ALL STAR 43.3
5-PAY THE CUTIE 42.9
3-WILLETTA 39.9

RACE 4
2-INCLUDE THE CAT 91.3
8-UBELONGTOMEMISSY 88.8
3-SATURDAY NITE RIDE 86.9
1-ROYAL TIGER 86.3
6-ROXELANA 81.3

RACE 5
1-SADDLERANCH 102.5 (off April 12)
6-TUMMEL 89.4
4-LUCKARACK 87.5
2-BENCH POINTS 85.0
7-COO CACHOO 85.0

RACE 6
9-THISONESFORRICKY 82.0
5-FARAYYA 78.4
4-TROJENNA 68.1
6-TIZ MIDNIGHT 65.9 (off slow)
1-PLAYFUL HUMOR 62.2

RACE 7
8-ZACKN'MAT 96.3
1-SAINT LOUP 94.5
3-AIN 90.2
5-UNUSUAL BEAM 79.6
6-TEAFATILLER 79.0

RACE 8
10-WHIPSTOCK 80.2
2-EVER ALERT 74.9
1-UNMARKED BILLS 69.8
5-APOLLO TEN 69.8
9-COLD BAY 67.5

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Thursday, April 25, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






RACE 1
3-JUDGE CARR 74.3
5-CLOUD TOP 73.1
6-NOME 71.8
2-EAST SKY 71.6
1-NOBLE KENT 61.1

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)

ALL 1ST TIMERS - NO SELECTIONS

RACE 3
6-BEST PRESENT EVER 89.4
3-UNUSUAL HOTTIE 83.2 (off Oct. 12)
2-SYDNEY'S DARLING 80.8
1-FUNNY BELLE 79.0
5-ROWDY GAL 78.4

RACE 4
2-ZEES CHRIS 79.6
3-SWEETRAYOFSUNSHINE 77.8
5-LILLY'S PERFECT 77.8
6-FLASHY DELIGHT 74.3
1-KATY'S KITTY 69.2

RACE 5
1-LORD VRONSKY 84.4
7-DON PERICO 77.8 (off June 12)
9-MAGIC BEAM 77.8
3-BARON VON RED 73.1
10-GENIUS LEVEL 71.2

RACE 6
1-KING MAYA 78.2 (off Sept. 12)
5-MAGNUM FORCE 76.6
4-R S WATSON 72.0
6-MILK MAN RAY 60.9
3-CHICO SUERTE 52.6

RACE 7
5-SUMMER EXCLUSIVE 90.0
2-SACRED OVATION 79.6
1-COLBURN 70.9
4-NO CONTINGENCY 70.3
3-MERINGUE PIE 60.5

RACE 8
4-HEDGER 56.5
1-TALK THE WALK 54.5
10-REGALLY SOUL 52.1
3-WILD TONY 46.9
5-CHECK OUT MY FACE 42.4
11-DRAMATIC ALLAN 36.6

1st time starters - 7, 2, 9, 6

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Wednesday, April 24, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, April 22, 2013

 

BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT BETFAIR HOLLYWOO PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,584 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, April 21, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






RACE 1
1-SWINGAWAY 82.8
6-TANQUERRAY 68.1
8-BONITA SONADOR 65.4
3-BRITENESS 62.2
7-PURE BLUSH 60.6

RACE 2
3-PROCUREMENT 88.8
5-COUNTING DAYS 80.8
2-LITTLE JERRY 77.8
1-MICELI 77.8
4-COLLATION 67.0

RACE 3
2-STREETS OF HEAVEN 76.6
3-GUIDOPANZINI 73.7
4-HONOUR THE DEPUTY 71.4
1-COLOURSOFTHEGLEN 64.4
5-DRAW TWO BUCK 55.5

RACE 4
2-BABY BLAKE 79.6
5-GREYLAINE 78.5
3-ROBIE THE CAT 76.0
7-ONLY THE GOLD 63.8
6-PAPA LEV 61.6

RACE 5
3-DONATO 95.7
5-CIRCLE THE MOON 93.9
4-SMOKEY LONESOME 90.0
7-INSIDEONDOUTSIDE 90.0
1-POCKET PRINCE 79.6

RACE 6
2-CORINTHIAN MELODY 73.1
4-RIDINGWITHTHEDEVIL 67.0
6-KANOTWAIT 62.3
3-CORLETT DRIVE 62.2
1-LEGACY 53.5 (4 wide)

1st time starters - 5

RACE 7
6-OILSBLACKGOLD 112.9
5-SKY KINGDOM 110.0
2-ALL SQUARED AWAY 100.4
1-INTERACTION 99.1
3-FIRE WITH FIRE 97.8

RACE 8
7-CAPTAIN CORRIGAN 71.4
1-RIO HONDO 68.1
8-SWISS EMPEROR 66.4
2-EYESABLAZIN 61.1
6-ALREADY ROCKIN 51.1

RACE 9
8-SCOOTER BIRD 67.0
5-CHARM CATCHER 65.9
3-INDYGO F M A 64.8
6-JAZZ ON THE BEACH 62.5
4-FINE ASSAY 60.6
7-ELEGANT IN SILK 60.4

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Saturday, April 20, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






RACE 1
2-BROOKLYN ROSE 71.4
4-RACY ROSA 67.0
6-FIESTA EXPRESS 64.3
3-WARREN'S GOLDIE 56.0
1-ROSSI RESERVE 47.8

RACE 2
3-SALTY FORECAST 54.5 (off Sept 12)
4-BETTY PORTLOCK 40.7
5-FLOATTHRUTHEAIR 31.1 (bumped)
6-CHANTAL'S GIRL 25.4
7-CONSENT 24.8

1st time starters - 1

RACE 3
1-CANELO 91.3
3-FLY HIGH 81.4
5-BRANNAMAN 77.2
4-BOCELLI 77.2

1st time starters - 2, 6

RACE 4
4-LADY OF SHAMROCK 99.8
7-MOONE'S MY NAME 94.5
5-DOUBLE ANTE 89.4
1-THE ONLY KEY 86.3
2-CAELIS 85.6

RACE 5
7-WARREN'S OPERATOR 76.6 (off June 10)
6-A THOUSAND ACES 64.3
2-VALEN 63.2
5-BANGED HIS EYE 60.6
3-MAGIC CASTLE 55.5 (off July 12)

RACE 6
1-SASSY SUANCES 86.3
8-APPEALING 85.0
9-SWEET ASSAY 82.6 (drifted out)
7-TWELVE FOLDS 81.5
3-JET BLUE GIRL 79.6

RACE 7
3-FIELD REPORT 88.1
6-NOBLE EXCHANGE 86.9
2-DOOR'S OPEN 74.9
1-DERRINGER 70.3
4-BOB CONSULTATION 69.8

RACE 8
3-OBVIOUSLY 115.0 (off Nov. 12)
2-CHIPS ALL IN 105.9
6-DRILL 101.6
5-AIN'T NO OTHER 101.1
4-CHOSEN MIRACLE 95.8

RACE 9
8-SPORTS REPORT 65.9
11-KINGSBURY 64.8
1-TEN TEQUILAS 57.5
7-GAUL 57.5
12-CRUEL SPIRITS 51.6

1st time starters - 9

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Friday, April 19, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $370,763.

RACE 1
5-COURAGEOUSANDBOLD 77.2
2-ARINYES LOVE 61.1
1-GOOD ACKTRESS 60.6
3-REAL HOUSEWIFE 60.6
4-COTTON BELLE 44.6

RACE 2
5-SMIL'N FROM ABOVE 75.9
8-CARRIE ROSE 75.8
3-LUCKY VIC 72.0
2-BOLLER BOMB 69.9
4-DISTANT GLOW 63.2

RACE 3
1-BUDS PAL 82.6
2-COOK INLET 80.2 (off Oct. 12)
5-HASTY TREND 79.6
4-AQUA FEVER 73.1
3-BLAKE 59.3

RACE 4
12-HAIR ON FIRE 69.2
5-MILLE LUNA 68.7
3-PRINCESS OF PEARL 68.1
10-INTOXICATING MOVE 62.7
7-LORD KITRA 60.1

RACE 5
11-HERO'S MARINE 49.7
3-BLUEGRASS ELLIE 38.6
2-SOUTHERN JOURNEY 28.9 (off slow)
8-STAR OF THE NIGHT 25.8 (off Sept. 12)
9-UNDER THE MOON 11.8 (hit gate, off slow)

1st time starters - 4, 7, 1

RACE 6
1-MR. BOSSY PANTS 88.1
7-DISTORT THIS 85.6
4-ROCK THIS WAY 80.3
3-SHRED THE SECRETS 80.2
5-PASSING GAME 80.2

RACE 7
2-A DROP DEAD DIVA 83.8
7-PEPPY BOLLY 77.2
3-CASSANDRA LYNNE 74.9
8-LETS GET FRISKY 68.1
6-METAXA 56.5

RACE 8
5-INDIAN GODS 79.0
7-COPPER BAY 77.8
2-GRAND GIANT 69.2
10-MIKEY T 67.5
6-MOJAVE DESERT 66.4 (off Oct. 12

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Thursday, April 18, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $85,262.

RACE 1
2-I DON'T CARE WHO 80.2
4-TIZ SNAZZY 79.6
3-HIS ROYAL HIGHNESS 76.0
5-LANGFURS LIGHTNING 68.7
1-SOI PHET 67.0

RACE 2
6-FOUR BETTER 77.2
2-ENGLISH RHYTHM 77.2
3-SUANCES FLOWER 72.0
8-CEE'S THE YEAR 65.8
4-RUFFLED FEATHERS 65.4

RACE 3
6-PATRIOTIC LION 66.4
3-SOUTHERN HEART 54.5
7-KNUCKLEBUSTER 52.1 (off Feb. 12)
1-GREEN DOLPHIN 52.1 (off Nov. 12)
5-DARK TIMBERS 51.1

RACE 4
2-UNO DOS ADIOS 77.8
4-IN A WINE TIZZY 74.9
1-CACAU 68.4
3-MISDEED 61.1
7-CALL ME JET 38.7

1st time starters - 5, 8, 6

RACE 5
2-JUST BECAUSE 65.4
3-SAINT LEO 55.0 (off slow)
4-BONNIE'S BEARCAT 44.6 (off July 12)
7-HEAVENLY ROAD 39.4
6-SPEEDY'S MY NAME 23.5

1st time starters - 5, 1

RACE 6
5-PUSSYCAT LIPS 76.0
6-INCREDIBLE JOURNEY 73.7
3-MACHA 73.1
4-JOEANDBETTY'SBABY 71.0
8-BONNIE LESLEY 67.0

RACE 7
1-JESSE'S GIACOMO 79.0
4-WELLINGTON BEAUTY 57.0 (off Nov. 12)
5-SACRED DELIGHT 55.5
7-WINK AND WISH 54.0
2-SNACKABLE 51.1 (off Oct. 12)

RACE 8
1-LIGHT OF LIFE 72.6
5-CUVEE EXCHANGE 72.6
2-CAVALLETTA 68.6
6-CALLOUS EFFECT 66.4
9-MEDUSALINA 57.6
4-WARREN'S FLASHER 56.0

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Wednesday, April 17, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, April 16, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,573 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, April 14, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






RACE 1
3-TOTAL BULL 89.4 (off Nov. 12)
4-TOLEDO EDDIE 78.3
5-CHINESE PRAISE 74.3
1-FLOWER POWER 69.8
6-DOMONATION 67.0 (off Sept. 12)

RACE 2
6-I'M TOPS 95.2
5-PROMISCUOUSSUANCES 78.4
1-QUEEN MERCURY 77.2
7-LANIDA 75.4
10-SO SHE DANCES 74.9

RACE 3
4-MAKER OR BREAKER 99.1
5-EGG DROP 90.7
1-SISTER KATE 89.4
3-SISTER GLADY OH LA 87.5
2-CANDREA 76.6

RACE 4
1-SCORPION TIME 90.0
4-MORGANUSKA 86.3
5-ARCODORO 82.6
3-BEER MEISTER 74.9
7-VISIGODO 74.3

RACE 5
10-TOO MANY RULES 68.6
2-SIDEPOCKET RUN 64.3
9-DOW DIVA 63.2
1-GIA IS A BELLA 56.0
12-THE GRANS 56.0

1st time starters - 3

RACE 6
8-SCAT PATTY 52.1
7-PLAY MISTY FOR US 52.1 (off Jan. 12)
2-MIRACLE MERGER 50.2 (off Aug. 12)
5-GOODTOBEWILD 46.4
6-CAROLINA HONOR 36.6

1st time starters - 9, 1, 3

RACE 7
7-IVANHO 97.8
6-SWEET SWAP 96.5
5-ROYAL F J 96.5
8-RELENTLESS HEAT 95.2
3-BASMATI 93.9

RACE 8
6-ROUSING SERMON 91.3
3-CALL ME KELLY 88.1
1-ZACKN'MAT 86.9
2-HALF STRIKE 86.3
4-DEACON SPEAKIN' 84.4

RACE 9
11-BUCKLEBERRY GREY 76.6
3-BENEDICT AUDREY 71.2
5-REAL DEAL APPEAL 67.9
6-MAXX THE GIANT 63.2
4-BLUE CHEROKEE 60.1

1st time starters - 7, 9

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Saturday, April 13, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $52,727.

RACE 1
2-MASTEER APPEAL 101.6
7-DEL MAR SUNSET 80.2
5-MORENO 78.4
3-AIRFOIL 72.0
1-DEAD EASY 66.4

1st time starters - 6

RACE 2
8-GOLD MEDALLION 81.4
7-VIBRATO JAZZ 77.2
4-ATTICUS JACK 77.2
1-TEAFATILLER 73.1
2-ON HOLY GROUND 62.2

RACE 3
2-COURTSIDE 93.2
6-YES IT'S SNOWING 92.6
4-ERNIE OWL 80.8
1-WORLD RENOWNED 79.0
5-PLENNY OF HENNY 78.4

RACE 4
5-DISKO DASKO 86.3
3-NEED YOU NOW 83.4 (off Oct. 12)
6-JUBLIANT GIRL 81.4
4-WEDNESDAY 79.6
1-UPBEAT MOOD 76.0

RACE 5
2-RICH IN TRADITION 53.5
7-ROCKIN COWGIRL 53.0
8-TRIBAL CHATTER 48.8
3-DULCEMIA 43.8
1-CHANTAL'S GIRL 30.4

1st time starters - 6, 5, 4, 9

RACE 6
7-URBAN HUNTER 91.9
2-DIXIELAND BLUES 86.9
1-POCKET PRINCE 81.4
8-JOHNNY BE MINE 79.0
4-RED MAN RUN 77.8

RACE 7
7-ONE FAST FROG 76.6
6-NO TRICKS FOR JACK 70.9
4-MARY CONTRARY 69.2
8-MAGIC MAMA 60.1
5-ARINYYES LOVE 59.6

RACE 8
6-MIZDIRECTION 111.4
2-SCHIAPARELLI 97.8
1-PURIM'S DANCER 95.2
5-BENCH GLORY 91.3
3-DANCINGTOTHESTARS 85.0

RACE 9
6-SHACKBAMALAMA 63.8
10-OUR TROOPER 54.5 (off Oct. 12)
3-ALSACE 36.2
11-SHORT OF A MILLION 32.3
7-JUST YOUR SHADOW 27.5
8-WIN MACHINE 27.5

1st time starters - 1, 12, 2, 9

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Friday, April 12, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
2-MORENO'S MINE 70.9
5-WINE STOCK 41.1 (4 wide)
4-LORD OFBALLANDRAE 20.6

1st time starters - 3, 6, 1

RACE 2
2-ROYAL WEEKEND 63.8 (off March 12)
3-STRACCIATELLA 34.6 (off Aug. 12)

1st time starters - 4, 6, 5, 1

RACE 3
2-FAST N FURIUS CAT 97.7
3-D' OBSESSION 95.2
6-GUEST STAR 93.2
4-BIG NOTE 91.3
1-MOTOWN MEN 90.7

RACE 4
3-ONDINE 80.2
5-ICONIC SPIRIT 74.9
2-UNBRIDLED WEE 60.4
1-ILLICIT AFFAIR 47.6
6-J K'S MISCHIEF 42.4

RACE 5
2-MIND THE MASTER 78.7
3-HIS ROYAL HIGHNESS 76.4
9-OUR BABY BENJAMIN 75.4
7-WARREN'S JEFF G. 74.9 (off Sept. 12)
10-ME LIKLEY MIKEY 74.5

RACE 6
7-LAUGH AT LIFE 72.0
3-SILK INDIAN 66.4
2-J J BE CHILLIN 64.3
6-PRIME ISSUE 54.5
1-GO GREEN GO 52.1

RACE 7
3-MY PHILLY GIRL 99.1
5-CONKATE 93.8
6-QUIZZICAL 86.3
2-MAGICAL BAND 85.6
1-BIG HONEY BEE 85.6 (off July 12)

RACE 8
6-BURNS TURN 72.6 (3 wide)
1-DEVIOUS CHIC 65.4
3-LUCKY STUDENT 58.5
8-HEAT DU JOUR 58.0
2-MISS E U 54.5
12-COCONUT CREAM PIE 53.5

1st time starters - 11, 7

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Thursday, April 11, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
7-TIZ ANNA 50.2
6-NONNA REESE 49.2
5-ROLANDA 49.1
1-JANES SHIP 42.9
3-PAY THE CUTIE 39.9

RACE 2
5-TREATHERLIKEALADY 82.6 (off May 12)
2-MONA STORM 79.0
4-GRANNY CALLING 77.8
3-INNER GROOVE 59.6
1-PRINCELADA 52.1

RACE 3
4-WARREN'S DR. BOO 75.4
1-HIDDEN BLESSING 67.5
5-AGILITY 65.9
6-SUN'S OUT 65.4
3-ALWAYS THE SAME 62.2

RACE 4
4-AMULAY 56.5
6-ALISSA G 47.8
2-PROUD BOK 45.1
5-CHARLSIE'S SONG 43.8
1-MISS JUDGED 37.8

1st time starters - 3

RACE 5
2-IDONTROLLONSHABBOS 76.0
8-CRAGMONT 74.9
3-VAUNDELL 70.3
7-KURO 69.2
4-KEY REVERSAL 68.1

RACE 6
9-REGIME 87.5 (driftedout) 87.5
10-NORTHERN FLIGHT 61.6
7-SWIMMIN INSUNSHINE 46.4

1st time starters - 2, 5, 3, 8, 4, 6, 1

RACE 7
7-MISS WELL MOLDED 89.4
1-MELANISTIC 88.8
3-TOP KISSER 87.5
8-EX LOVER 87.5 (off April 12)
11-MISS PIPPA 86.9

RACE 8
9-J MAN 62.7
5-QUICK CENIZAS 52.1
8-GLORIA'S LUCKY ONE 51.6
6-WARREN'S BUGLER 48.3
1-KING OF RAP 46.0 (off Nov. 11- off slow)

1st time starters - 4, 2

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Wednesday, April 10, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,573 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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Sunday, April 07, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.







RACE 1
2-ROBIE THE CAT 79.5
4-VALENTINE BOY 73.7
3-WORLD RENOWNED 72.6
1-COLD BAY 72.0
6-GREYLAINE 64.3

RACE 2
4-REAL HOUSEWIFE 67.5
5-COURAGEOUSANDBOLD 66.4
2-WARREN'S MORGAN 65.4
1-BOO WHO WHO 61.1
3-MICHAILASHEARTLITE 60.6

RACE 3
2-IN THE STARS 95.8
1-LITTLE EMILY 94.5 (off Oct. 12)
5-MOONE'S MY NAME 93.6
4-I DAZZLE 86.3
3-BYRONY 83.2

RACE 4
6-YES IT'S SNOWING 88.1
4-AFLEET COWBOY 86.3
1-FORMAT V. 82.0
2-NATIONAL 79.0
5-ET TU WALKER 69.2

RACE 5
5-FUNNY BELLE 82.6
1-NOISE OF THE CROWD 81.4
3-GITTEL 79.0
2-GEM OF SOUL 77.8
6-ROMANTIC WISH 77.2

RACE 6
2-BEV'S FINALE 68.6 (off June 12)
4-SURF N SKI 60.1 (bobbled start)
5-WARREN'S TYLER S. 53.0
6-GADZOOKS 42.4

1st time starters - 7, 3, 1

RACE 7
8-PURE LOYALTY 91.3
5-R S WATSON 81.0
7-LICO 76.0
6-ALEANDER 74.2
1-SAY OW 69.2

RACE 8
4-ITALIAN RULES 115.0
1-AMERICAN ACT 97.8
2-HAVERHILL 97.8
3-INNOCENT MAN 95.3
7-ROYAL MERIDIAN 94.5 (off Aug. 12)

RACE 9
1-IN A WINE TIZZY 81.4
6-SUPER ABILITY 80.8
11-WARREN'S NICHOLAS 76.6
10-TROY STORY 74.3
5-JACO RED 67.5
7-REAL HEAT 67.0

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Saturday, April 06, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $42,339.

RACE 1
2-BRAVE ACT 76.0
4-TRIBAL DUDE 71.4
3-ON THE FENCE 69.2
7-GENTLEMEN PETE 67.8
1-SINGLE LAUNCH 61.5

1st time starters - 8, 5, 9

RACE 2
7-EULA B. 62.7
11-CHERRY ON THE CAKE 61.6
4-METAXA 60.1
10-HOLIDAY ROSE 56.5
9-ROCK U UP 55.0

RACE 3
7-NAJRAN 64.8
3-MR. SEXY 54.0
1-REGALLY SOUL 10.1 (pulled up - off Aug. 12)

1st time starters - 4, 2, 8, 5, 6

RACE 4
9-GRAND GIANT 75.4
8-APOSTLE PAUL 68.6
2-BUCKLEBERRY GREY 67.0
4-PERFECT SET 67.0
12-BOSS OF ME 61.4

RACE 5
6-BEHOLDER 107.3
4-FIFTYSHADESOFHAY 98.4
2-SPELLBOUND 81.4
1-BLACK WITCH 80.8
5-IOTAPA 79.4

RACE 6
7-FED BIZ 103.1
5-WILLYCONKER 95.8
1-BATTLE FORCE 95.2
6-CAUSEITHERTZ 92.6
3-CHILOQUIN 90.2

RACE 7
8-JIMMY CREED 109.3
6-UNBRIDLED'S NOTE 105.9
2-COMMA TO THE TOP 105.2
3-CAMP VICTORY 95.2 (off Nov. 12)
4-SECOND CITY 80.8

RACE 8
7-MAGNIFICENT SHIRL 83.2
5-BIRDLOVER 82.6
6-SCARLET STRIKE 80.7
3-SARACH 79.0
8-FLASHY WAYS 76.6
4-SWEET RED CAT 76.6

RACE 9
5-GOLDENCENTS 103.1
1-FLASHBACK 102.5
6-SUPER NINETY NINE 97.8
4-TIZ A MINISTER 97.8
7-SUMMER EXCLUSIVE 93.2

RACE 10
9-OLIVER'S TALE 112.2
4-POINTS OFFTHEBENCH 101.8
10-WALL DANCE 97.8
12-GONNA FLY NOW 95.2 (off May 12)
6-TUMMEL 92.6

RACE 11
9-RUSSEL'S RUN 88.1
2-BIO PRO 84.4
4-EAST SKY 79.6
7-WARREN'S RAIL BIRD 74.3
1-AFFRETTANDO 69.8
3-SQUARE DANCER 69.2

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Friday, April 05, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






RACE 1
1-THISONESFORRICKY 88.8
7-FANTISTIC MIZZ 77.8
4-TROJENNA 75.4
6-PLAYFUL HUMOR 67.5
5-LIAR LIAR LIAR 63.8 (off slow)

RACE 2
2-CHINESE PRAISE 79.6
5-MUCHOS BESOS 77.8
1-STREETS OF HEAVEN 74.3
6-MACIAS 70.3
3-CLASSY LION 70.3

RACE 3
1-SPRING BLOOM 84.4
3-TOOMANYTOMATOES 81.4
6-FOUR BETTER 78.4
5-LOVE TALE 77.4
8-COSSET 76.0

RACE 4
3-ABELLA 79.0
1-SWEET NECTAR 69.2
6-BIKINI BOTTOM 64.3
5-SPRING GAL 58.0
4-SAMURAI JESS 56.5

RACE 5
1-NOBILIS 86.1
3-LA ZUBIA 86.1
7-ROXELANA 83.8
4-THE ONLY KEY 83.2
2-WARREN'S GOT GAME 80.2

RACE 6
6-FAST STOP 52.1
2-CHECK OUT MY FACE 49.2
1-EL SABIOS 46.4 (off Aug. 12)
5-WARRENS HORNBLOWER 44.2
3-A THOUSAND ACES 43.3

RACE 7
11-MINT HUMOR 81.4
6-HE BE FIRE N ICE 79.3
1-SIZZLIN' JOE 79.0
3-PULPIT'S EXPRESS 78.4
5-UNUSUAL BEAM 75.4

RACE 8
3-SWISS EMPEROR 68.1
7-EVER ALERT 62.5 (off Aug. 12)
1-PATRIOTIC LION 60.6
4-EVERLASTING MAN 54.5
9-CAPTAIN CORRIGAN 53.0

1st time starters - 2

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Thursday, April 04, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.






THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR FOR TODAY IS $88,542.


RACE 1
1-ROCABAR 82.6 (off June 12)
2-CHIEF HAVOC 64.3
4-ROMAN TIZZY 63.1
6-MY DIVIDEND 60.6 (off May 12)
3-MORENO 58.8

RACE 2
4-BAS 63.2 (off Oct. 12)
6-JULIO'S GOLD 58.0
1-GOING BACK TO CALI 50.2
5-FIRENDESIRE 46.4
3-REALLY IMA BLONDE 13.5

1st time starters - 2

RACE 3
7-MY CINSATION 82.0
2-WILD IN THE SADDLE 74.5
5-LUXURIANCE 74.3
3-HIDETHEGOODSTUFF 71.7
1-SWISS BLISS 68.4

RACE 4
1-SPIT BALL 97.8
2-JOE CARL 95.2
6-BLUEGRASS REWARD 93.9
3-GUIDOPANZINI 86.3
5-ERBEIA 79.0 (off May 12)

RACE 5
7-UNUSUAL JAZZ 88.8
2-MIDNIGHT CROONER 87.5 (off Dec. 12)
8-MR. MAKE BELIEVE 86.3
1-MR. CANDY BAR 80.2
4-ALLEY HONDRO 74.9

RACE 6
2-DESTINO 67.5
3-WARREN'S PAROLEE 64.3
6-UNMARKED BILLS 60.6
5-RUN CHARLIE RUN 55.0
1-WARREN'S WESLEY 50.6

RACE 7
1-DISARM 91.3
7-NO CONTINGENCY 83.3
2-HORIZON SKY 79.6 (off slow)
5-GREELEY AWESOME 77.2
4-SACRED OVATION 76.8

RACE 8
6-GREAT FRIENDS RULE 57.0
7-FULL FARE 55.5
1-STORMIN CITY 48.8
5-SHADOW HALL 38.2 (off slow)
10-FIGHTING ON 37.4
3-CUT TO THE FRONT 37.4

1st time starters - 11, 12

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Wednesday, April 03, 2013

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 35 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

I have been asked to make a pick six selection for the races. A pick six can be made by using my selections and 1st timers that are listed. I list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2,567 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
Good Luck

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