Saturday, March 31, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $54,705.

RACE 1
1-PATRIOTIC LION 55.5
7-DEEJENERIT 44.2
4-DUTCH COURAGE 42.9
6-V.C. ALI MAC 40.7
2-CHAPITO 38.6

1st time starters - 12, 13, 9, 5

RACE 2
12-BEST PRESENT EVER 78.4
10-ANGEL'S MOON 72.0
11-ZANBO 70.3
8-THE GRANS 66.1
4-SATURDAY NITE WISH 61.1

1st time starters - 3, 13

RACE 3
3-MEMBER OFTHE TRIBE 83.2 (off Feb. 11)
4-BATTLE LOU 82.6
1-SIEMPRE MIO 77.7
7-BLAKE 73.7
8-WILD GRAY 73.1

RACE 4
1-EDEN'S MOON 105.9
2-RENEESGOTZIP 96.5
3-WILLA B AWESOME 90.7
5-CONJURE THE SPIRIT 69.8
4-BELLA'S FANTASY 67.5

RACE 5
5-ALIZA'S DREAM 85.7
2-STAR NICHOLAS 83.2
7-HUSBAND'S FOLLY 82.6
6-WARREN'S DR. YANG 81.4
4-DANCE WITH GABLE 81.4

RACE 6
7-SQUARE DEAL 85.6
11-HIDDEN BLESSING 77.2
4-BELL ZONE 77.2
10-PEACENIK 74.9
3-CLEAR TO CANADA 73.7

RACE 7
4-FLASHY DAME 82.6
3-MISS COMMUNICATION 73.4
12-LADY TEN 72.6
8-ASKRA 63.2
5-SABOULI 63.2

1st time starters - 2

RACE 8
6-STARLIGHT MAGIC 81.4 (off Oct. 11)
2-STARRY SKIES 80.7
11-CARIBAYA QUEEN 76.6
4-VICKI VICTORIA 74.3
1-HELEONOR RUGBY 74.3

RACE 9
4-MATTO MONDO 97.1
5-STONESIDE 94.5
1-SKY CAPE 86.3
3-THEY CALL HIM EL 85.6
9-IMPERIAL PRIDE 83.8

RACE 10
9-THREE VASES 85.0
8-COACH BOB 83.8
10-A TOAST TO YOU 83.2 (off June 11)
13-THE BLACK 80.2
7-PASSING GAME 78.4
4-PULPIT'S EXPRESS 76.0

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Friday, March 30, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




NOTE: THURSDAY MY TOP PICKS WON 5 RACES WITH 2 PLACES AND ONE 3RD.

RACE 1
2-TALKTOOMUCH 90.7
5-MIZZEN DONALD 86.3
6-MISSDEALORNODEAL 83.2
4-LINDA LOU 80.2
1-ARRIVEDERCI CARO 78.3

RACE 2
2-REALLY ELEGANT 81.4
5-TRIPPED THE LIGHT 69.8
3-MAGICAL ECLIPSE 69.3
1-LIVING OUR DREAM 64.8
4-REAL ROCKPORT 63.8

RACE 3
7-DEITY 97.1
4-ROMANTIC WISH 90.7
6-BENCH GLORY 88.8
5-SCHIAPARELLI 86.3 (off June 11)
3-PRINCESS SUANCES 78.4
1-ABELLA 78.4

RACE 4
6-STORM MAGIC 65.5
5-FOLK DANCER 62.7
3-FLASHY TRAVELER 56.5
2-MOON STONE MADNESS 42.4
1-SUMALEE 42.0

RACE 5
3-WARRENS WILD THING 76.0
2-THE FLYING WHIZZER 69.8
7-WARREN'S KONG 69.2
5-AFLEET COWBOY 67.5
4-BACK AT YOU 59.0

RACE 6
6-SALTY ROBBIN 67.0
3-SMART HOMBRE 64.3
8-KUMITE 62.2
7-DEL MAR JOHNNY 58.0
2-SWISS EMPEROR 57.5

1st time starters - 5, 4

RACE 7
3-CHOSEN MIRACLE 99.8
4-VICTORY PETE 95.2
7-SUPREME SUMMIT 91.9
8-RED DEFENSE 91.3
6-MOBILIZED 87.5

RACE 8
9-LUCKYVIC 67.5
4-EXCESSIVELY TRICK 67.5
3-ROYAL WEEKEND 64.3
8-BUD AND BRANDY 59.6
7-MARY CONTRARY 56.0

1st time starters - 1, 2, 6

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Thursday, March 29, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
1-SO TEMPTED 73.1
4-A NATURAL 69.8 (off Feb. 11)
3-ASHABU 59.0 (off Aug. 11)
5-TIABELLE 48.3
2-ROULETTE IT ROLL 45.5

RACE 2
5-LOTTAWAMPUM 82.0
6-ENDLESS FANCY 81.4
4-SISTER ESPERANZA 72.6
2-ELUSIVE COOKIES 70.6
3-ROCK AND GLORY 69.2 (off slow)

RACE 3
7-ANNA YOU'RE UP 70.3
6-HUNTINGTON HARBOUR 68.6 (off Oct. 11)
2-QUIET ADVICE 68.1
8-FLUXX 64.8
1-WARREN'S LOVER 58.5

RACE 4
5-WARREN'S HOPEFUL 62.2
2-PLAZARITA 56.0
1-BELLE GALLANTEY 55.6
3-SIEMPRE ESPERANZA 52.0
4-NEGRA TOMASA 51.0

RACE 5
7-NIHILIST 81.5
3-PERFECTA 74.9
9-SWINGAWAY 73.1 (6 wide)
5-SIDNEY'S DARLING 70.3
6-SISHEBA 66.4

1st time starters - 8

RACE 6
9-ARINYES LOVE 52.1
2-ZENETT 47.8
6-NIFTY DREAM 46.9
1-FLASHY RAE 46.4
10-VEGAS RULES 46.0

1st time starters - 3, 5

RACE 7
4-HOLLADAY ROAD 111.6
6-MASSONE 95.2
3-TIPPETY TAP TAP 94.5
2-FIRE WITH FIRE 93.2
1-TEN DEVILS 90.0

RACE 8
10-WARREN'S NICHOLAS 57.0
2-NEW HIRE 54.5
1-ALWORTH 47.4
9-DESTINO 25.4
5-CHITTAGONG 22.2

1st time starters - 4, 3, 8, 7, 11

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Wednesday, March 28, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, March 27, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2255 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, March 25, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
2-SALTY SARAH 82.6
4-HALFAPONDAROSA 80.8
5-LUNCH TIME DIVA 79.0
3-HIGH RESOLVE 77.2
1-ONE FAST FROG 68.6

RACE 2
6-LIQUID ASSET 73.7
2-CAPTURE THE CALL 72.0
4-NO STADIUM 65.4
1-MORGANOUSKA 64.8
5-ELUSIVE SCHEMES 57.0

RACE 3
1-TIZ LIBERTY 80.2
6-MILES HEIR 77.8
3-ROCKET ROAN 74.3
2-ALL MY CHIPS 74.3
4-HAMMURABI 71.0(off Aug. 10)

RACE 4
6-SLIM SHADEY 103.8
5-BOURBON BAY 96.5
3-PORFIDO 95.2
2-UTOPIAN 93.9
1-HOG'S HOLLOW 90.0

RACE 5
6-GALLANT GENT 76.0 (off May 11)
2-MY MAN SUMO 74.3
1-CUT FASTBALL 73.7
3-HIDDEN BLESSING 70.9
7-AFLEET DEAL 67.5

RACE 6
7-LOVELY SOPHIA 57.0
8-GAME CHARMER 51.1
1-BABENEAU 46.9
6-CANDY'S GIRL 46.4
5-SILVER LUNA 40.7

RACE 7
6-CAMELIA ROSE 96.5
9-BAUBLE QUEEN 95.8
11-CITY TO CITY 95.2
7-WILD MIA 91.9
2-CAMBINA 91.3
1-VAMO A GALUPIAR 91.3

RACE 8
3-BULL RING 92.6
5-LEAD BLOCKER 85.0 (off May 11)
2-BARON VON RED 83.2
1-SO TOUGH 73.1 (off Aug 11 - steadied)
7-PRIVATE BOUNTY 73.1 (off Nov. 11)

RACE 9
2-SMART HOMBRE 67.0
4-CRESTATORRE 65.9
9-FATHER PABST 61.6
8-JUST JUMPED IN 56.0
11-OUTTA SPLASH 45.5

1st time starters - 10, 6, 14

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Saturday, March 24, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
3-JACK O LYN 70.9
5-ALWAYS THE SAME 69.8
1-HADFUNLASTNIGHT 64.8
4-DANGER RANGER 62.7
6-FLOWER POWER 62.7

RACE 2
6-OILISBLACKGOLD 93.1
1-GAB P[OWER 91.9
7-IMPONENTE PURSE 90.7
2-ERBEIA 88.1
4-DANDEREK 86.9

RACE 3
4-MIDNIGHT CON 71.4
2-JAY'S FIRETRUCK 58.5
10-RUDE BOBBY 53.5
8-RUN CHARLIE RUN 51.0
6-RON BURGUNDY 43.3

RACE 4
1-LISA LULU 77.2
9-LAUREN C 67.0
4-KIDS TABLE 67.0
7-AKEELA 65.4
3-MO CHEESE 63.8

RACE 5
12-CANULETMEDOWNEASY 95.8
11-CHICKIE CHARMS 83.8
9-FLEET EAGLE 82.1
1-CURRAHEE 76.8
4-BOAT TRIP 75.6

1st time starters - 8, 10, 3, 5, 7, 6

RACE 6
1-OBSESS 101.1
5-CHAPMAN'S PEAK 100.4 (off Dec. 10)
6-CLOSE TO THE EDGE 90.7
4-GNARLY DUDE 90.0
7-PRIVILAGED 85.6

RACE 7
3-WILD REVENGE 86.3
8-UNUSUAL JAZZ 83.8
5-GATHERATTHEALTER 82.1
7-ADRIATIC MOON 81.5
6-BEST VERSE 80.8
9-LETSGETITRIGHT 80.8

RACE 8
5-DHAAMER 98.4
2-GRAEME CRACKERJACK 96.5
8-DYNAMIC HOST 95.2
1-TWICE THE APPEAL 92.6
3-SKIPSHOT 88.8

RACE 9
13-SOI PHET 86.3
11-TURN ON THE PUMPS 75.6
2-MARY HELEN'S STORM 66.3
7-KING'S RED JOURNEY 63.8
6-SWIFT EAGLE 61.5

1st time starters - 10, 9

RACE 10
3-SOLAR ROCKET 99.8 (off Jan. 11)
7-WARREN'S PATRON 75.4
6-JUST METEOR 70.6
11-QUILLOTANO 70.3
12-ZOMBYSLAYERMRDARCY 68.6

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Friday, March 23, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




NOTE: THURSDAY MY TOP PICKS WON 4 RACES AND A TOP 1ST TIMER WON.

RACE 1
4-DUSTIN'S MAGIC 64.8
7-WARREN'S MORGAN 62.2
1-HELP ME HANNA 61.1
2-I SENSE YOUR LUCK 55.5
6-CALL ME CINDERELLA 45.1

RACE 2
3-SISTER MOON 87.5
2-WOEBEGON 76.6 (off Oct. 11)
1-HIDDEN PASSION 66.6
4-MAMMA KIMBO 55.0
5-VUKOVAR 37.8 (off Sept. 11)

RACE 3
4-BLUE SAMURAI 78.4
7-LAURA'S PLEASURE 74.9
6-ALALA 68.1
1-THREE CUTIES 65.4
5-LOVE MY WAY 63.2

RACE 4
5-HOLY CANDY 88.8
4-STRATIFY 75.2
1-EATON HALL 72.2
6-GOPHARI 64.2
2-SEAL THE DEAL 63.1 (off Aug. 11)

RACE 5
3-SURPLUS 96.5
6-EUROGLIDE 93.9
4-LET'S DO IT 90.0
8-FARMER GILES 86.3
1-AQUA FEVER 85.6

RACE 6
2-MR.NEWTON 58.0
5-AWESOME MIKE 43.8
7-OUTPERFORM 39.9

1st time starters - 6, 1, 13, 3, 10, 8, 4, 14

RACE 7
6-MIDNIGHT CROONER 98.2
9-BUFFALO BILLY 88.8
4-CHIPS ALL IN 85.0
10-STONEY FLEECE 80.8
7-VIBRATO JAZZ 79.6

RACE 8
9-FRECKLES GALORE 46.9
5-RICSPRETENTIOUSGAL 44.7
10-SINGMEASONG 42.4
1-WHATS UP BETTY 38.8
8-RAGGIN WOOD 35.4

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Thursday, March 22, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




NOTE: SUNDAY MY TOP PICKS WON 5 OF THE RACES WITH 3 in 2ND PLACE.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $94,094.


RACE 1
4-PURE STORM 61.1
6-MEMO TO KATHY 60.1
3-SI MAR'S DEAR 58.8
1-SEXY MELODY 41.1
5-WARREN'S MYSTERY 39.2

RACE 2
3-RAMONA'S RIDE 56.5
7-ARINYES LOVE 48.3
8-LADY VIVIEN 47.8
4-UNUSUAL JEWEL 39.9
2-LEWKODONIA 33.4 (off slow)

1st time starters - 5

RACE 3
6-CAVELLETTA 65.6
2-D'PRINCESS 63.2
8-TROIS AUREOLE 63.1
3-CALL ME LUCY 55.2
7-ROYALE LEGACY 50.5

RACE 4
3-DYNAMIC DIVA 68.1
9-CONKATE 54.5

1st time starters - 2, 1, 5, 4, 7, 6, 8

RACE 5
1-CROSSING THE LINE 93.2
9-LAMM 88.8
2-CIRCLE DRIVE 84.4
7-KELLY LEAK 83.2
10-FLOATING FEATHER 83.2

RACE 6
6-CENTRALINTELIGENCE 104.5
2-SAHARA SKY 103.1
3-LEGAL SEPARATION 94.5
7-ANTHONY'S CROSS 92.5 (off April 11)
4-C J RUSSELL 85.6 (off Oct. 11)

RACE 7
3-INDIAN WINTER 95.1
1-SMOKEY LONESOME 93.9 (off July 11)
6-OBVIOUSLY 91.5 (off Oct. 11)
5-IRISH ART 91.4
8-LUNADA BAY 89.4

RACE 8
1-FLY SOLO 50.6
14-ZENETT 47.8
2-WILD IN THE SADDLE 45.5
13-H. J.'S KITTY 33.0
3-GLO JACK 31.5

1st time starters - 8, 7, 10, 6, 9

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Wednesday, March 21, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, March 20, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2255 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, March 18, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
1-ONEBADBOY 61.1
6-TWO PARTS 55.5
5-COLLEDIMEZZO 25.4
3-WIND IN MOTION 22.8
4-RESPECT LIFE 12.8

1st time starter - 2

RACE 2
6-FRENEMY 78.4
2-RISKY REWARD 63.8
3-DANTE'S STORM 60.1
4-BLAZING MARINO 51.6
1-V. C. ALI MAC 35.8

1st time starters -5

RACE 3
6-HE'S VERY RARE 75.4
5-DYLAN DONNELLY 71.4
2-FULL'S KRIS S. 67.0
1-ALL DE VICTORS 65.9
3-ELUSIVE JOURNEY 65.4

1st time starters - 11

RACE 4
1-DRESS CODE 88.8
5-ADAM SUANCES 79.4
6-WARNING SONG 78.2
4-BELO PURSE 76.0
3-TOMMY DANZIGGER 72.0 (off April 11)

RACE 5
11-BIG TSIMMIS 79.7
7-LAURA'S PLEASURE 77.2
12-GENIALITY 72.9
6-THREE CUTIES 72.0
2-ANNA YOU'RE UP 71.7

RACE 6
5-DELUXE BUS 84.4
2-DEVILS AFLEET 72.6
3-SUMMERS AT DEL MAR 66.4
1-CERTIFIED DIAMOND 65.9
6-FORWARD COMMITMENT 61.6

RACE 7
7-CANONIZE 99.5
2-TWEEBSTER 94.5
4-GLADDING 85.6
3-SPUD SPIVENS 83.8
1-WORTH REPEATING 80.0

RACE 8
3-WARREN'S RAIL BIRD 70.3 (off Sept. 11)
8-SARBONNE 60.1
1-DEL MAR JOHNNY 59.6
5-ON I WIN 46.4
4-MUCHO BRAVO 42.9
7-EAST SKY 42.4

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Saturday, March 17, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $81,797.

RACE 1
4-QUINTONS DESTINY 99.1
5-PALIO PRINCE 89.4
1-JIM'S NO PREACHER 88.1
3-THINKING OF GIRLS 82.0
2-LOS BOMBEROS 74.3

RACE 2
3-BLU JON 83.0
1-ROCK OFF 73.2
4-PATRIOT'S VOYAGE 70.9 (off June 11)
5-WORLD RENOWNED 67.0
6-R U EXPERIENCED 57.7

RACE 3
7-TRIBAL DREAMS 67.5
5-POP THE CORK 67.0
3-SKIP TONY 61.1
1-LOCKHEART 53.0
6-SUPER CANDY 50.6

RACE 4
1-UNZIP ME 99.1
3-ADVANCE TICKET 93.8
2-BENCH GLORY 86.3
5-SECRET COVE 85.6
6-HALO DOLLY 84.4

RACE 5
9-YOU KNOW I KNOW 57.0
4-CAST A DOUBT 53.0 (off Aug. 11)
6-EL BRONCO 40.3

1st time starters - 8, 1, 5, 2, 3, 10, 7

RACE 6
8-VISIBLE MARQ 61.1
4-CALL ME JONES 50.2
6-SWISS GAME 47.4
7-CHIBITA 36.6
9-TAYLOR MARINI 36.6

1st time starters - 5, 3

RACE 7
9-LUKE'S LEGACY 75.4
3-BRYAN DANIEL 74.9
4-GENERAL RULE 74.9
1-LANA'S SMILE 74.3
6-WARRENS HEARTTHROB 68.1

RACE 8
4-ELLAFITZ 97.8
5-INCLUDE ME OUT 92.6
6-AWESOMEMUNDO 92.6
1-MISS MITTAGONG 88.8
2-LOVE THEWAY YOUARE 79.6

RACE 9
10-DREAM CAUGHT 59.6
7-PATRIOTIC LION 53.0
9-RON BURGUNDY 52.6
5-TALE BE TOLD 52.1
3-TEASING BERNIE 46.0
1-RUN FOR MILES 45.5

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Friday, March 16, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
3-FOR YOU MY HEART 68.6
4-QUEENIE MARINI 65.4
5-GIRLS LACROSSE 63.8
2-GOOD ACKTRESS 53.0
1-ROULETTE IT ROLL 50.6

RACE 2
4-MISSIE KY I YOU 48.8
3-KEY ALLEGRO 42.4
1-DEPISTRY 35.4
6-TUSUN 34.2
5-WHOLE ENCHILADA 33.4

RACE 3
1-FORDHAM ROAD 81.4
4-ON HOLY GROUND 67.5
3-DYNAMIZE 66.4
6-ANABAA PREMIUM 61.1
9-THIRTEEN BLACK 58.0
7-LETHAL INTENT 58.0

RACE 4
7-CONSULADO 90.7
1-HIERRO 90.7
6-HODGE 79.6
5-CONGRATS SKI 76.6
3-BRIGAND 74.9

RACE 5
6-CHARM THE CROWD 85.0
8-VAN BRIT 80.8
7-GOING FOR A SPIN 78.4
3-VICKKILEE 75.4
9-BELLA SWAN 74.3

RACE 6
9-CYCLOMETER 99.8
5-CAFFEINE HIGH 97.2
3-LIBERAL ARTS 95.1
6-DELTA FIX 86.3
7-ADAM SUANCES 85.6

RACE 7
10-BABY BLAKE 81.4
1-SHOWMETHEMONEYJIM 74.8
9-TIO VIC 66.7
3-WAR POLITICS 66.7
11-TIZPAT 65.6

RACE 8
8-WARREN'S PERFORMER 57.5
3-TORRE ITALIANA 49.2
2-WINFORLIN 40.3
11-RANDOM LUCK 39.0
1-ELUSIVE SPIRIT 37.4

1st time starters - 7, 12

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Thursday, March 15, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
1-A JEALOUS WOMAN 97.1
3-HEMERA 92.6
2-CAPITAL PLAN 91.9
4-SWEETLY PEPPERED 74.9
5-EQUITANA 70.9

RACE 2
1-GOGGLES MCCOY 96.5
2-MAUI MARK 88.8
3-QUIETLY MINE 85.0
4-POSITION A 85.0
5-BONBONI 54.5

RACE 3
4-METROPOLITAN MAN 93.2
7-MR. CANDY BAR 90.7
6-GOLDEN BOUNTY 90.0 (off Oct. 11)
3-SEEKING SOLACE 87.5
8-MOMENT OF WEAKNESS 78.4

RACE 4
3-ADMISSION 76.6
6-ALL SQUARED AWAY 67.0
5-MYHORSEOFCOURSE 63.8
1-TAKE NO PRISONERS 62.2
2-NOME 53.5

RACE 5
10-OUR MERV 77.6
5-ROCKET TRAIN 69.2
9-I FEEL FREE 67.7
4-LANGFURS LIGHTNING 67.0
11-GABBRO GLITZ 66.6

RACE 6
8-CHIMI DEE 58.5
7-TERELLA 44.6
2-ONE TOO MANY 41.6 (off slow)
3-SECRET GENIUS 37.4
5-BULLETGIRL 35.8

RACE 7
3-WOODMANSLUCK 97.6 (off June 11)
4-KINGPIN RYNO 93.2
9-VALLEY CAT 88.1
8-TRICKY MANDATE 84.4
5-IT'S NOT UNUSUAL 83.2

RACE 8
9-COPARCENARY 64.3
4-SOMETHINGABOUTERRI 62.7
2-SMOKEY LAKE 62.7
7-SIEMPRE ESPERANZA 61.1
6-UNDER WRAPS 60.1
10-CAPALATTE 60.1

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Wednesday, March 14, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Tuesday, March 13, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2249 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, March 11, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
1-RUNWAY WILDCAT 91.9
6-CUT FASTBALL 77.2
2-ME SALTY 74.3
4-LIME ROCK REVENGE 72.6
3-AMERICAN WILDCAT 70.3

RACE 2
7-SIDEPOCKET KID 65.4
5-HUSKY GLORY 51.6
3-BROKEN GLASS 50.0
6-MUCHO BRAVO 48.8
4-TIZ VICTORIOUS 43.8

RACE 3
6-GLAMORISTA 84.4
3-ZENIDEKKA 82.0
5-PRINCELADA 79.6
4-ALL ON THE TABLE 79.6
2-HOUT BAY 67.5

RACE 4
4-LADY TEN 72.0
6-CHESTNUT MOON 66.4
7-ASKRA 65.9
3-CONJURE THE SPIRIT 63.2
1-DIXIE IN PINK 62.7

RACE 5
4-LOW GEAR POWER 70.9
6-KWIK 67.5
5-ELUSIVE SCHEMES 67.0
3-MAN CHESTER MAN 66.4
1-CAPTURE THE CALL 63.2

RACE 6
3-RANCHERO 101.8
8-SOUTHERN SUNRISE 95.2 (off slow)
6-RANDAZO 68.1
2-NOBLE EXCHANGE 67.0
5-ERIC THE RAM 64.0 (off July 11)

1st time starters - 7, 4

RACE 7
3-TIMES GONE BY 91.3
2-VICTORIAN PRINCE 89.4
7-JAIRZIHNO 86.3
9-MARK THE BENCH 84.4
1-THEY CALLHIM EL 82.0

RACE 8
2-IZZY RULES 103.8
4-HOME SWEET ASPEN 95.8
1-SHE'S CHEEKY 91.9
6-SPECTACULAR SKY 91.3
3-VELOCE CANZONE 89.4

RACE 9
8-BLUE SAMURAI 75.9
1-SCREAM QUEEN 69.2
4-HEY I'M SOBAA 68.1
6-SONG GIRL 67.5
5-AFTER LATER 67.5

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Saturday, March 10, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $59,436.

RACE 1
5-COOK INLET 79.0
4-KE KUKUI 55.6 (off Oct. 11)
3-LETHAL INTENT 55.6
6-STONEWALL JACKSON 47.1
2-SOI PHET 30.4

RACE 2
6-BROTHER FRANCIS 97.6
2-NO SILENT 84.4
7-LATE NIGHT SKY 76.6
5-SOLID SOUTH 67.0
3-A DAY AWAY 62.7

1st time starters - 1

RACE 3
2-FILLY POWER 66.4
5-FOLK DANCER 63.8
3-FIVE STAR CRUISE 60.1
9-IM A SALTY BELFAST 57.5
4-SMALL BUT MIGHTY 57.0

RACE 4
6-CONFUCIUS JUNIOR 79.0
2-A LITTLE HOT SAUCE 76.6
1-WARREN'S KONG 73.1
3-RELENTLESS HEAT 72.8
5-WILD GRAY 70.9

RACE 5
5-SEEK THE LIGHT 68.1
10-THE HUNT IS ON 68.1
9-QUILLOTANO 66.4
2-MEGARIDE 64.3
7-SPICY BEAU 63.8

RACE 6
4-STORMBERG 90.7
2-MR. MAKE BELIEVE 88.1
8-DON PERICO 87.5
10-KUMIVA 86.9
9-TRIBAL NATION 83.2
1-KING LEDLEY 83.2

RACE 7
6-FLY SOLO 63.2
9-MAGIC FIRE 20.3

1st time starters - 5, 1, 8, 2, 7, 3, 4, 10

RACE 8
7-LADY OF FIFTY 91.3
2-LADY OF SHAMROCK 88.8
4-GRASER 82.6
3-INDIGO RIVER 81.3
1-VIA VILLAGGIO 79.3

RACE 9
2-BODEMEISTER 112.2
7-CREATIVE CAUSE 100.4
3-AMERICAN ACT 96.1
4-MIDNIGHT TRANSFER 96.1
6-LIAISON 95.8

RACE 10
7-ALREADY THERE 64.8
11-WARREN'S WESLEY 46.9
3-CHAPITO 40.7
10-DR. EVIL 39.0 (off Aug. 11)
1-MASTER RUDY 38.2

1st time starters - 2, 6, 8

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Friday, March 09, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
6-LT. HOPEFUL 85.6
3-GENTLE ROMEO 85.0 (off Oct. 10)
5-DEVILS AFLEET 74.9
2-WOOMBROOM EXPRESS 72.0
1-USURP 62.7

RACE 2
3-WARREN'S JAZZ WALK 55.5
4-SUBTLE GREEK 53.0
2-GOLDEN NIP 50.6
1-ALOKEE 46.0
5-SILVER LUNA 42.4

RACE 3
6-HIDINGINPLAINSIGHT 79.7
7-MISS COMMUNICATION 76.0
5-SYDNEY'S DARLING 62.2
3-TROIS AUREOLE 60.0
1-MY SWEET CANDY 55.5

1st time starters - 2, 4

RACE 4
2-HALFAPONDAROSA 83.8
3-SHE'S VERY RARE 80.2
1-SUBPONEA THE DRESS 74.9
4-CLASSY ATTRACTION 74.9
7-YOU CAN DREAM 69.8

RACE 5
6-THE GRANS 68.4
3-WILLOW SWITCH 64.3
7-OUR HEAT 60.6
8-VONN NEZ 60.6
2-WARREN'S MY QUEEN 60.6

1st time starters - 1

RACE 6
5-SAGE D'ORO 80.2
7-JEMIMA'S PEARL 72.6 (off Oct. 11)
4-INDECISE 71.6
2-SPEEDWAY MONKEY 67.6
6-GITTEL 67.0

RACE 7
5-SUANCES FLOWER 85.6
8-MISS BECCA 83.2
1-MELISSA ROSE 81.5
4-ABELLA 76.6
2-LIL MISS MACKY 75.6
6-BODIE GIRL 75.5

RACE 8
8-MAGIC BEAM 79.6
7-MEADOW ROAD 77.2
2-SIR HAMILTON 76.5
5-BACK AT YOU 73.7
3-LINCECUM 69.2

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Thursday, March 08, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
2-FLUXX 67.5
3-CLEARLY CASUAL 49.2
1-FRECKLES GALORE 46.4
6-SINGMEASONG 41.1
4-MS. SWEET FREEDOM 28.2

RACE 2
8-OUR LAST MONTE 57.5
5-GOUX WOULD DO 56.5
2-OWN IT 46.4
1-CUT N' DEAL 35.8
3-LATECOERE 33.4

1st time starters - 6

RACE 3
1-BRITENESS 79.6
3-HELEONOR RUGBY 76.6 (off Sept. 11)
5-VICKI VICTORIA 68.6
2-RIVER KISS 64.8 (off Aug. 11)
4-TWELVE FOLDS 64.8

RACE 4
5-LEMON HERO 54.0
7-FLASHY RAE 46.9
4-WHATS A REBAH 42.4
2-RALPHY GIRL 41.6
3-NIFTY DREAM 37.0

1st time starters - 6

RACE 5
3-ADIOS PROBLEMAS 72.8
5-LOVE MY WAY 71.7
1-BELLE GALLANTEY 67.3
7-BACKWOODS BELLE 65.2
2-CANDY AND THUNDER 61.1

RACE 6
5-ROMAN CHIC 86.3
1-MEMO TO KATHY 67.0
4-BLUE TAMBOURINE 64.2
7-LAUREN C 57.2
3-R VICARIOUS GIRL 55.5

RACE 7
3-MIZZEN DONALD 88.1
2-MELTARIB 83.8
8-LET'S GO CHEYENNE 82.0
7-LAST STING 79.6
5-CAELIS 79.6

1st time starters - 6 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 8
9-ALWORTH 77.2
7-VERY UNUSUAL 56.0
1-BRINGON THE WAIN 54.0
2-GIFTED MONARCH 43.8
11-SALT OF THE EARTH 33.0 (off slow)

1st time starters - 5, 3, 4, 10

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Wednesday, March 07, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer).

I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, March 05, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED ABOUT MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2242 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, March 04, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.





THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $430,581.


RACE 1
3-GENIALITY 76.0
6-MAGICAL ECLIPSE 72.6
7-WARREN'S LOVER 62.7
2-WOODMAN'S LASS 60.1
5-STORMY ANNA 51.6 (off Sept. 11)

RACE 2
2-ITSSULTRYINTHE CAPE 87.5
7-SLAM SLEW 86.3
4-STORMIN PROUD PAPA 80.2
5-HASTY TREND 77.2
3-BRADY BLUE EYES 71.4

RACE 3
4-ROMANTIC WISH 92.6 (off Oct. 11)
2-LOFTY AMBITION 86.9
5-BENCH GLORY 82.0
1-MONA STORM 79.0
3-DIETY 73.3 (off Oct. 11)

RACE 4
3-RED TESLA 72.6 (off July 11)
2-MARY HELEN'S STORM 66.4
6-ENDURING PROMISE 65.9
7-UNSTOPPER TOPPER 60.1
1-GOODBYE CHARLIE 58.5

1st time starters - 4

RACE 5
2-CAPITAL ACCOUNT 113.6
4-ITALIAN RULES 107.9
1-COURTSIDE 104.5
3-M ONE RIFLE 101.1
6-INDIAN FIREWATER 100.4
5-GALIENTOS 99.8

RACE 6
5-WARREN'S MO MONEY 58.0 (off Aug. 11)
4-TERELLA 45.1
6-ROSES FOR JONI 44.6
3-RAGGIN WOOD 35.0
1-SEXY MOBILE 16.1

1st time starters - 7, 2, 8, 9

RACE 7
8-FLOWER POWER 90.0
1-BABY BLAKE 77.8
6-OH RIGHTY 75.4
4-CLOUD TOP 74.9
3-THE BLACK 70.9

RACE 8
2-MR GRUFF 108.6
9-MENSA HEAT 103.0
5-CHOSEN MIRACLE 94.5
3-PRESSDAY 93.9
6-GIG HARBOR 90.6

RACE 9
4-I FEEL FREE 61.1
11-VICTORIASUGRDADDY 58.6
10-CHEEZY BREEZY 57.5
1-BESPOKE SUIT 49.2
2-PAPA P B 42.8

1st time starters - 5

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Saturday, March 03, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
1-PACIFIC ADVENTURE 84.4 (off Feb. 11)
6-BARAJA DE ORO 68.1
3-JACK REACHER 62.7
5-RINO U 56.5
2-RUN CANDY RUN 53.0

RACE 2
3-HOLY CANDY 90.7
2-STIRRED UP 83.8
5-UNMARKED BILLS 77.8
6-CAT'S ENOUGH 73.4
7-HIS ROYAL HIGHNESS 51.8

RACE 3
5-MR. BOSSY PANTS 97.1
4-CROSSING THE LINE 93.2
6-OAK KYE WHY 91.9
3-MUNY 86.9
7-SKY CAPE 85.0

RACE 4
6-MILE HIGH MAGIC 78.4
8-TREACHEROUS 72.4
4-EATON HALL 69.8
9-CAROL'S LEGACY 63.2 (off Nov. 11)
7-STRATIFY 60.1 (off slow)

1st time starters - 3, 2, 5

RACE 5
9-LIBERAL ARTS 95.8
2-ULTIMATE DECISION 94.5
7-GRAEME CRACKERJACK 91.9
6-KILLER BEAR 90.0
10-AMERICAN BLEND 89.4

RACE 6
6-LOBSHOT 72.3
9-SPECIAL CHARM 70.9
14-MY SWEET CANDY 60.6
1-GOLD SHINE 26.1

1st time starters - 4, 11, 8, 10, 2, 13, 3, 7, 5, 12

RACE 7
2-DA RULER 105.9 (off June 11)
7-VIA VERDE 104.5
11-HOORAYFORHOLLYWOOD 95.2
6-SCOFIELD BARRACKS 88.8
10-MANDATED BLISS 85.6

RACE 8
10-TWIN SIX 91.3
4-LUCKY RAVE 88.8 (off Nov. 10)
6-QUAIL HILL 88.8 (off April 11)
2-CAT TALK 88.1 (off Aug. 11)
11-TIZ A TRIP 86.3

RACE 9
7-RENEESGOTZIP 104.3
5-EDEN'S MOON 93.2
4-KILLER GRACES 86.9
8-OPEN WATER 85.0
2-CHARM THE MAKER 84.4

RACE 10
1-MR. COMMONS 111.4
2-JIMMY SIMMS 110.2 (off Oct. 11)
3-WILLYCONKER 107.3
5-JERANIMO 103.8
6-MASSONE 102.5

RACE 11
2-ULTIMATE EAGLE 109.3
3-RON THE GREEK 104.5
12-HOLLADAY ROAD 101.8
1-UH OH BANGO 99.1
8-GLADDING 96.5 (off Nov. 11)
10-NORVSKY 95.4

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Friday, March 02, 2012

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
2-ARRAIGNMENT 79.6
5-STONE HOT 79.0
6-WARREN'S DR. YANG 75.4
3-MACKS GOLD BULLET 73.1
7-JUST METEROR 71.6

RACE 2
1-BEST VERSE 91.3
3-BRASS PLATE 79.0
2-COLUDA 70.9
5-HIDDEN BLESSING 69.3
4-TEMERITY 56.1

RACE 3
8-WARREN'S ASSASSIN 64.7
10-OUR HEAT 58.8
7-SATURDAY NITE WISH 57.0
4-FABULOUS FASHION 50.6
9-GYPSY FRIDAY 50.2

1st time starters - 5, 3

RACE 4
2-CLEAR TO CANADA 76.0
9-STEEL BLUE 73.1
1-SUMMERS AT DELMAR 68.1
7-TRUMPET PLAYER JAY 58.0
5-CHOP HOUSE GEORGE 56.5

RACE 5
1-WILLOW SWITCH 63.6
10-FAST MOKA TOO 61.1
5-DULCEMIA 50.6
7-AUTUMN VIEW 50.2
6-PATTY'S PULPIT 46.0

1st time starters - 4, 9, 8, 2

RACE 6
9-TRAWEEK 54.5
3-PATRIOTIC LION 48.3
11-THIEF RIVER 37.0
8-RUN FOR MILES 37.0 (off Sept. 11)
6-MR. CAPPUCCINO 30.8

1st time starters - 7, 2, 1, 10, 12

RACE 7
2-LEROY'S DYNAMEAUX 92.6
1-RED DEFENSE 86.3
3-SAYIF 85.6
5-SUPREME SUMMIT 83.2
6-PATHFORK 82.6
4-DREAMINOFTHEWIN 80.0

RACE 8
5-DANI'S SIS 51.6
1-GAME CHARMER 51.1
4-SWISS CHARM 44.9
11-LORENBRAY 43.8
3-TWO PER CENT 42.9

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