Saturday, December 31, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1
3-AMELIA ROSE 58.5
7-TIABELLE 52.1
2-MISS BOLD TOPPER 52.1
8-GOLDENTOUCH OF GIN 51.1
6-GAME CHARMER 42.4

RACE 2
6-MATTO MONDO 103.1
7-CROSSING THE LINE 91.5
9-MARK THE BENCH 90.2
5-STONESIDE 88.1
1-FANTASTIC PICK 84.4

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
2-MY SWEET CANDY 68.4
7-HIDINGINPLAINSIGHT 67.5
3-LOVE MY WAY 63.1
5-LOBSHOT 58.0
1-BONNIE PARKER 46.4

1st time starters - 4, 6

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
6-CALL ME KELLY 72.0
7-PLENNY OF HENNY 68.6
8-DANGER RANGER 67.0
1-RUNSTEVIERUN 62.9
5-WARREN'S CLYDE 60.6
2-POP THE CORK 60.6

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f. on turf)
8-CHICKIE CHARMS 82.6
7-LATE NIGHT SKY 73.6
9-UNUSUAL HEATWAVE 72.6
11-SPIT BALL 68.9
4-GURNICK 67.0

1st time starters - 6, 5, 10, 1

RACE 6
10-BOYCHIK 91.9 (off Oct. 10)
1-DELTA FIX 82.6
9-GOTHICS PEAK 78.4
7-QUINTONS DESTINY 76.0
6-DUBBER 70.9
5-CHARLIE'SBOYWINS 70.9

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
5-STONEY FLEECE 85.6
8-DADDY NOSE BEST 79.0
6-CHIPS ALL IN 78.4
1-SHEER TALENT 75.4
4-CHAMPIONS GATE 74.0

RACE 8
2-TURBULENT DESCENT 113.6
1-HOME SWEET ASPEN 99.1
3-MAY DAY ROSE 97.1
6-SUGARINTHEMORNING 92.6
4-INCLUDE ME OUT 92.6
9-TEDDY'S PROMISE 92.6

RACE 9
3-CAPITAL ACCOUNT 105.2
1-LEAVING NEW YORK 101.8
2-BELIEVE IN HOPE 101.8
5-MCKENZIES WAY 97.1
8-FRUMIOUS 96.5

1st time starters - 13 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

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Friday, December 30, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



NOTE: THURSDAY OUT OF THE 8 RACES 4 TOP PICKS WON ($20.80, 3.80, 2.80, 6.40) AND 1 TOP 1st TIMER WON (5.80).

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
4-CALL ME LUCY 43.8
7-GAMBLING COWGIRL 43.8
3-YA WANNA HUG 42.9
5-HERE COMES BONNIE 41.1
1-GLO JACK 14.3

1st time starters - 9, 8, 2, 6

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-ZACKN'MAT 74.0
5-BOAT TRIP 71.0
3-WHERE'S HENRY 70.4
7-INSIDEONDOUTSIDE 69.9
2-FED BIZ 63.6

RACE 3
4-WALL STREET WONDER 98.4
3-LORD AVALON 92.6
2-POSITION A 80.8
1-SLAM SLEW 75.4
6-MAUI MARK 75.4

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
1-CANDY'S JEWEL 83.8
8-TREACHEROUS 80.8
3-CLOUD HOPPER 77.8
2-CASTAWAY 72.8
5-GROOVIN' SOLO 55.1

1st time starters - 6

RACE 5
8-SPIRIT SEEKER 92.6
4-TRANSGRESSION 81.4
3-LOFTY AMBITION 77.6
6-SMART STRIKING 76.6
5-MISS RADIANCE 76.4

RACE 6
1-EMPEROR STONE 79.0
7-CARNIVORE 77.2
9-CRAGMONT 73.7
10-LANA'S SMILE 65.4
6-WARREN'S PATRON 64.3

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
9-COUP DE COEUR 77.0
7-STARSHIP FLARE 76.6
6-BATALHA 70.3
3-JUNE CLEAVER 69.9
5-LADY OF SHAMROCK 69.2

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
1-TEANCUM 54.5
5-MUSTACHE CHARLIE 47.6
7-I FEEL FREE 47.1
3-TAYLOR MARINI 45.2
4-FLYING MARINE 45.1

1st time starters - 6

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Thursday, December 29, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $148,184.

RACE 1
3-WARREN'S HOPEFUL 61.1
6-PLAZARITA 60.6
7-LOVELY SOPHIA 53.5
8-FLAWLESSJEWEL 51.0
4-NANA BEACH 45.1

RACE 2
6-PINK LOLLIPOPS 92.6
3-ONE FAST FROG 72.0
1-SHOO GEE 69.8
4-VALERIA 59.2
2-AMOROUSLY 46.9 (off Nov. 10)

1st time starters - 5, 7

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-PUNCH DRUNK 61.1
1-WARRENS MAD DAWG 60.6
4-SILVER STREET 58.5
2-BACKWOODS BELLE 50.6
7-I SENSE YOUR LUCK 47.8

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
2-BEAUTIFUL STRIKE 67.5
4-CHAMPAGNEANDCAVIAR 34.2
1-NIFTY DREAM 20.3

1st time starters - 3, 6, 8, 5, 9, 7

RACE 5
10-RIBAT 88.1
8-PALIO PRINCE 84.5
1-METROPOLITAN MAN 84.4
5-WINTER WARLOCK 82.1
7-EVENING ISLAND 81.5

RACE 6
2-WAY TOO MUCH 76.0
7-MY BOY LUKE 73.1
4-MORGANOUSKA 70.3
8-SKIMMING SKIPPER 70.3
10-SKY'SQUICKSCORE 65.9

RACE 7
7-MEMPHIS 91.3
11-DANCE WITH GABLE 86.9
1-EARNEDNEVERGIVEN 86.3
2-HUSBAND'S FOLLY 82.0
10-DON PERICO 80.8

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
2-BELLA'S FANTASY 54.0
8-CHILLING COMMAND 46.0
1-JESSAKAR 42.9
10-MIL ESTRELLAS 38.2
7-SWEETSOUTHERNAMBAR 28.6

1st time starters - 6, 4

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Wednesday, December 28, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, December 27, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2182 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, December 26, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR MONDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
6-ISMENE 82.6
2-ALMOST A LADY 76.6
5-BELLOMA 76.6
3-WILLA B AWESOME 73.4
1-TANGERINE TICKLE 71.8

RACE 2
6-STREET TITAN 65.4
10-TRANDO'S TREMOR 64.8
5-WHAT A RUSH 63.2
4-ZAPEYE 60.4
2-ST. VALENTINO 47.8

1st time starters - 3, 7, 8

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
5-MIDNIGHT TRANSFER 73.7
3-UNMARKED BILLS 48.8

1st time starters - 2, 8, 1, 9, 7, 4, 6,

RACE 4
10-PERSONALITARY 79.3
7-SANIBEL SID 79.0
2-EL TANGO RAY 78.4
11-MY T QUICK 77.0
4-KING RED 73.1

RACE 5
6-FIARANO 95.2
10-DOUBLEDOWN ON TEN 86.9
2-SKY FOX 78.4 (off Sept. 10)
1-DEATH STAR 77.2
4-SPANKEY COME HOME 72.6

1st time starters - 7

RACE 6
5-MR. BOSSY PANTS 99.8
7-QUIETLY MINE 85.0
11-KELLY LEAK 84.4
4-INUIT FISHER 82.0
13-DRESS CODE 77.6

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
2-PASSING GAME 88.8
4-JOHNNY BE MINE 80.2
7-STONEY FLEECE 77.0
8-EXOTIC SLEW 73.1
5-MOTOWN MEN 68.1

RACE 8
4-MR. COMMONS 109.3
8-ULTIMATE EAGLE 106.6
2-VENOMOUS 94.5
1-COZY KITTEN 94.5
6-IRISH ART 91.9

RACE 9
8-SMASH 114.3
2-CENTRAL INTELIGENCE 106.6
9-ASSOCIATE 106.6
6-HOORAYFORHOLLYWOOD 104.6
4-ROTHKO 103.8

1st time starters - 1 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

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Sunday, December 25, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Saturday, December 24, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2180 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, December 18, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $93,036.
THE PICK 5 CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $183,593.


RACE 1
3-MARCH MARY 82.0
5-FOR YOU MY HEART 76.0
1-SO TEMPTED 72.6
2-SMOKEY LAKE 72.6
4-MEMO TO KATHY 62.7

RACE 2
2-WILLYCONKER 97.8
1-TAMARACK SMARTY 97.1
5-TIMES GONE BY 93.2
4-HOG'S HOLLOW 86.9
3-WHERE'S THE REMOTE 83.8

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
6-CHOLE W 58.5

1st time starters - 5, 2, 1, 4, 3, 7

RACE 4
1-RUSSIAN RIVER 85.7
3-HAMEILDAEME 76.0
2-VIKKILEE 73.7
6-PARTY WITH BRANDO 73.7
4-KATY'S KITTY 69.2

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
4-ATTA BOY PETE 76.0
7-I WILL FOLLOW 69.8
6-GOTHAM KNIGHTS 67.5
8-HADFUNLASTNIGHT 58.5
3-RINO U 47.4

RACE 6
1-ALALA 64.8
7-PRETTY MUCH 64.8
8-ROLLING TIDE 62.1
6-DOT'S MARK 59.5
4-LUCKYVIC 53.6

1st time starters - 10

RACE 7
1-HIS BOY ELROY 83.2 (off Aug. 09)
5-ARRESTING OFFICER 74.9
2-CRESTON COWBOY 71.4
3-NUCLEAR MISSLE 69.2
4-LE' HEAT 67.8

RACE 8
7-HIGH TEST 91.9
3-RAUSCHENBERG 87.5
4-HOWMUCHISIT 86.9
5-MANDATED BLISS 85.0
2-INDUSTRY LEADER 84.5

RACE 9
6-MENSA HEAT 105.2
2-RED DEFENSE 97.1
7-CHILOQUIN 93.2
1-SPUD SPIVENS 90.7
3-SCOFIELD BARRACKS 87.5

RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
9-SCREAM QUEEN 58.0
1-WARREN'S MORGAN 40.7
8-SECRET GENIUS 38.6
10-GANA GATA 33.8
3-NEVER SHEA NEVER 31.1

1st time starters - 4, 7, 6, 2, 12, 11

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Saturday, December 17, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1
3-BRADIUM 94.6
6-MARK OF A WARRIOR 83.8
4-CLUE ME IN 80.2
2-LOOKING FOR CANDY 79.6
5-PREFERRED MANDATE 74.3

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
9-ALL SQUARED AWAY 56.0
5-HAVA CIGAR 48.8
12-RIO GOOD 46.4
2-TRAWEEK 43.8
8-JUAN'S TWIN 42.0

1st time starters - 11, 3

RACE 3
2-WILD ROSE 88.1
6-FARLEY STAR 88.1
5-IMPERIALISTIC DIVA 86.9
4-BORN LUCKY 83.2
1-SKINNY GENES 81.4

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
9-SPEEDWAY MONKEY 72.0
8-VICKI VICTORIA 62.2
2-PUFF PASTRY 61.6
4-RAGGIN WOOD 53.0
6-FAST MOKA TOO 40.3

1st time starters - 7, 1, 3, 5

RACE 5
1-MOUDEZ 98.4
6-DRESS CODE 95.8
7-VICTORIAN PRINCE 91.3
10-PORFIDO 88.8
4-SIR BELL 86.3

RACE 6
3-GENIUS 109.4
6-HOPE AND BELIEVE 98.4
1-WALL DANCE 93.2
4-KING OF CALIFORNIA 85.6 (off Nov. 10)
5-BLAKE 77.8

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
12-TENACIOUS THOMAS 63.2
10-CAT'S ENOUGH 58.0
6-CONGRATS SKI 40.7

1st time starters - 1, 9, 2, 11, 4, 5, 3, 8, 7

RACE 8
6-KILLER BEAR 89.4
3-COLUDA 87.5
2-ADMISSION 86.3
1-BLUEGRASS REWARD 85.6
7-BAY RUSH 83.2

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
6-SKY KINGDOM 91.3
11-MAJESTIC CITY 89.4
9-LIAISON 88.8
8-ROUSING SERMON 85.6
12-BASMATI 83.2

1st time starters - 13 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 10
5-SUBTLE GREEK 65.4
8-GOLDEN NIP 52.6
12-CRESTON CUTIE 49.2
13-RAGS FOR BEN 47.8
11-TORRE ITALIANA 32.9
7-CHANA'S GIRL 29.3

1st time starters - 6, 1

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Thursday, December 15, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




RACE 1
6-SI MAR'S DEAR 68.1
4-ANCIENT ARTIFACT 64.8
3-MAGICALLYTOWN 62.2
1-MICHAILASHEARTLITE 60.1
5-GOOD ACKTRESS 58.0

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
2-CANDY'S JEWEL 87.0
4-LATE NIGHT SKY 77.8
6-QATAR'S PEARL 73.1
7-OUR BOY BENJAMIN 68.6
1-THE BLACK 65.4

RACE 3
3-GENIALITY 62.7
1-WARREN'S HOPEFUL 61.1
4-WARREN'S BOOGIE 40.1
2-WARREN'S MY QUEEN 39.4
5-JM'S GOLDEN LEGACY 38.2

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
7-INQUISITIVE SON 65.9
5-WARREN'S MARSHALL 59.5
3-TIO VIC 54.0
1-ES LUNA 53.5
4-LOCKHEART 52.6

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
12-SPIRIT RULES 75.4
4-CORNER OFFICE 64.3
8-RUDE BOBBY 60.6
6-ALREADY THERE 58.0
10-CALIENTE CAT 50.6

1st time starters - 7, 3, 11, 2, 5, 1

RACE 6
4-GLORIFIED 76.6
3-COSSET 76.6
7-CHARM THE CROWD 74.9
1-PHI BETA HEAT 70.3
8-SHESKEY 68.6

RACE 7
1-THERE IS NO LIMIT 85.0
4-BLUE TAMBOURINE 80.8
2-TERODA 78.9
3-ALL ON THE TABLE 76.5
7-SCREAMING REGAL 75.4

RACE 8
8-SKIPPY DUE 86.9
10-DEVILS AFLEET 76.0
3-COAL REGION KID 74.3
6-CLEAR TO CANADA 69.8
1-NITRO ACTIVE 69.8
5-HIGH SUCCESS 66.4

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HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.




NOTE: MY TOP PICKS WED. WON 5 RACES AND MY 2ND PICKS WON 2 RACES.

RACE 1
4-ROMAN CHIC 82.0
2-REALLY ELEGANT 76.0
5-TRIPPED THE LIGHT 73.7
3-L'ENCHANTERESSE 59.6
1-ATTAR OF ROSES 58.8

RACE 2
3-JIM'S DECISION 73.7
5-DUPLO RAPIDO 58.5
1-UNDAUNTED RALLY 47.4
2-RIVERSMITH 28.4
6-YOU BETTER RUN 11.4 (eased)

1st time starters - 4

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
1-WARREN'S GOLDIE 44.2
4-TERELLA 34.2
5-BULLETGIRL 30.8
2-ANNALILI 30.0

1st time starters - 6, 3, 7

RACE 4
5-LIBERAL ARTS 80.2
3-CLASEY LION 62.7
2-ROCKIN HARBOR 55.5
1-MARVIN'S MAGIC 55.0
4-POLLY'S DANCER 46.4

RACE 5
3-GLOBAL DOMINATION 83.2
2-FULL INSTINCT 77.9
8-BARON VON RED 72.3
1-ROCK OFF 69.8
11-STONEWALL JACKSON 58.5

1st time starters - 7, 4, 10

RACE 6
3-DYNAMIC HOST 96.5
4-BALLADRY 93.9
2-BONFIRE KNIGHT 92.6
1-UNCLE SAM 86.3
5-MEGASTAR 78.2

RACE 7
4-SUANCES FLOWER 67.9
3-MY LITTLE MORGAN 65.9
6-TAKETHEMONEYANDRUN 65.9
5-GLADIATRIX 65.2
1-THREE CUTIES 51.6

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-TROPILUK 60.6
3-FINEGAN AGAIN 50.6
7-POP THE CORK 43.3
4-UNCOMMON SENSE 40.3
8-MR. PADRE 33.4

1st time starters - 2, 6

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Wednesday, December 14, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1
1-LISA LULU 61.1
5-SAINT CINDY 55.5
3-MOONSHINE ALICE 49.7
6-KAHLUA MIST 46.0
2-GALLANT VICTORY 46.0

RACE 2
1-ROWDY GAL 86.9
2-TREATHERLIKEALADY 67.3
5-WOEBEGONE 63.1
3-ONE MAGICAL GIRL 58.0
4-TASTY TREAT 55.5

RACE 3
6-BIG TSIMMIS 72.6
2-METER ME GONE 69.5
1-WARREN'S FLYER 69.2
4-SAMBORA 67.0
3-HI HO YODLER 54.5

RACE 4
1-THE DIRECTOR 93.2
6-CRESTATORRE 60.1
3-DEL MAR JOHNNY 59.0
7-ON I WIN 56.5
4-LINCECUM 34.2

1st time starters - 8, 2

RACE 5
2-TORO BONITO 86.3
4-CAPITAL PLAN 84.4
3-SO BELLE 79.4
1-STAR PRESENCE 77.2
5-EVITA'S SISTER 62.0

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile on turf)
1-TWITCH 65.4
7-LA MALAGUENA 60.4
2-REAL SHARP 54.0
3-CAVALLETTA 53.5
4-MS. SWEET FREEDOM 30.0

1st time starters - 6

RACE 7
5-FILLY POWER 69.5
1-QUEENIE MARINI 65.9
3-PORTFOLIO 65.9
4-SUGAR SPIKE 65.6
2-MAGGIE MCGOWAN 65.4

RACE 8
8-WARREN'S PATRON 59.1
3-HUSKY GLORY 51.6
2-KING OF SWING 50.2
7-NONREFUNDABLE 49.2
5-ONEINAMILLIONYOU 45.5

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Tuesday, December 13, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new handicappers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, December 12, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2173 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, December 11, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1
5-RUSSIAN RIVER 97.8
6-VIKKILEE 74.3
3-ENTABENI 71.4
2-MAYA ANGELINA 64.3
1-KISS MY SWISS 57.0

RACE 2
6-MENTIDOSO 80.8
4-EDGEWICK ROAD 75.4
1-BRYAN DANIEL 73.1
5-ORBACH 64.8
2-STORMIN PROUD PAPA 62.7

RACE 3
1-HEDI MARIA 77.2
6-LET'S GO CHEYENNE 73.1
4-ROXANNE O 68.1
5-BOUND FOR EDEN 59.6
3-LAURENSTHREEWISHES 46.4

RACE 4
1-JAIRZIHNO 86.9
6-ACHAK 85.0
7-ADRIATIC MOON 80.6
4-THEY CALL HIM EL 79.4
5-VALLEY CAT 78.4

RACE 5
1-CEE CEE SEATTLE 74.9
2-VICTORY CUP 72.0
5-PERFECT ENVOY 63.8
9-HEATED PRISM 63.8
3-ONEBADBOY 63.2

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
1-LOVESTEALER 77.6
10-MY BASHERT 67.6
3-SAGE D'ORO 63.2
8-BELLE GALLANTY 61.6
7-DANCE THEWAYYOUARE 60.4

RACE 7
3-INDIAN FIREWATER 103.8
2-CANONIZE 92.6
1-SKIPSHOT 80.8
4-COMMA TO THE TOP 64.3
5-SHEDIAK 41.6

RACE 8
2-DOWNHILL DIVA 93.2
8-SALTY SARAH 92.6
9-CALIFORNIA NECTAR 88.1
3-TIZ FLIRTATIOUS 85.6
5-GOING FOR A SPIN 81.2

RACE 9
4-LOVELY SOPHIA 61.1
7-HIGHLY COMPOSED 53.5
14-GOLDENTOUCH OF GIN 52.1
2-SATIN BOUQUET 48.8
12-GAME CHARMER 47.8

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Saturday, December 10, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1
6-SHE'S VERY RARE 72.6
3-INDIARA 69.8
5-DISH THE DIRT 68.1
4-BALLISTIC BLONDE 67.8
1-PERFECT FINISH 65.4

RACE 2
1-LADY LOHR 69.2 (off Nov. 10)
8-MY BRITE CAROLINE 62.2
2-SEAN S 61.6
3-L'ENCHANTERESSE 60.6
6-LILY AMORE 60.1

RACE 3
3-DAYLIGHT STORM 100.4 (off Oct. 10)
6-CARDIFF GIANT 95.2
5-SLAM SLEW 90.7
4-SQUARE DEAL 88.8
1-USURP 87.5

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
9-J MAN 69.6
5-BLING CHA BLING 67.0
7-AMERICAN ACT 60.6 (in tight)
6-SMOKING G 55.0
8-MON COEUR 54.0 (off slow)

1st time starters - 4, 2, 3, 1

RACE 5
2-OBSESS 95.8
5-BAILMEOUTBUGSY 87.5 (off Nov. 09)
9-SUN'S OUT 86.9
8-SAMMY'S A RUNNIN' 86.9
1-IT'S NOT UNUSUAL 85.0 (off Dec. 10)

RACE 6
4-JOE CARL 86.3
8-MAN CHESTER MAN 83.2
7-GUIDING HAND 82.6
2-JOYFUL SUCCESS 75.4
6-TIME FOR ATONEMENT 74.9

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 7f.)
4-FLEET EAGLE 68.1
9-OUT OF BOUNDS 64.3
7-TUMMEL 63.8
5-BRANNAMAN 62.2
2-WHERE'S HENRY 60.6

1st time starters - 3, 1, 8

RACE 8
6-HOLLADAY ROAD 100.4
9-SURPLUS 96.5
3-GAB POWER 91.3
12-ROMEO ROYALE 88.1
8-BAILOUTTHEMMINISTER 86.3

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
2-CHARM THE MAKER 85.0
1-WEEMISSFRANKIE 82.6
4-KILLER GRACES 73.1
3-LADY PECAN 70.9
6-SELF PRESERVATION 68.1

RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
9-FEAR THE BEARD 54.0
5-CAPTAIN MAGIC 49.2
3-SWISS GAME 48.3
8-AT LAST A WILDCAT 48.3
11-WAR POLITICS 47.6

1st time starters - 10, 4, 6

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Friday, December 09, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1
6-NICE MEIDEL 87.5
1-BROWN IS BEIGE 82.7
2-SKIPTON CREEK 76.5
3-MIZZEN DONALD 64.8
4-BLUE SAMURAI 63.9

RACE 2
2-YOU'LLALWAYSBEMINE 69.2
4-BROOKLYN ROSE 68.6
3-MAYAKOBA MESA 62.5
6-MAMA JANKA 59.8
5-REAL ROCKPORT 54.5

RACE 3
8-SMALL BUT MIGHTY 73.1
4-CAN'T TOPPER 70.3
3-IRRIDESCENT RED 70.3
5-DUBAI MACAU GIRL 68.1
6-CRUZ'N KITTY 66.4

RACE 4
5-GATHERATTHEALTER 87.0
1-HURRICANE LAKE 83.8
6-FIFTH DIMENSION 82.0
4-BRONSTER 80.2
2-EVERY EGO 72.0

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
2-BEAUTIFUL STRIKE 48.3
6-CANDY AND NUTS 46.4
4-ONE LUCKY LADY 34.6
5-SWEETSOUTHERNAMBAR 28.2
3-ELIVETTE 22.5

1st time starters - 1, 8

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
4-CHAMPIONS GATE 72.3
3-SWEET SWAP 66.3
8-RUNSTEVIERUN 64.5
6-GOT EVEN 64.3
2-CRIMSON GIANT 57.0

RACE 7
7-SEA RASCAL 101.1
3-VALKYRIE MISSILE 93.2
6-SCOFIELD BARRACKS 90.7
5-EL MARTILLO 84.4
4-FRUMIOUS 83.2

RACE 8
9-OUR LAST MONTE 68.1
2-CENTENARIO DE ORO 67.5
7-GHOST RIDE 57.5
4-MUDD PIE 55.0
5-REMEMBER MIKE 54.5 (off Dec. 09)
6-BLUFFSIDE 53.0 (off slow)

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Thursday, December 08, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1
1-MY DIANE 58.5
6-FLAWLESS JEWEL 54.5
4-TIABELLE 51.6
3-SWISS GEM 46.0
2-MIRACLE MERGER 41.6

1st time starters - 7

RACE 2
4-GILLIGAN 90.0
5-MY BOY LUKE 75.4
8-LUV DRAGON 63.2
6-REGAL FEVER 62.7
2-TUCKY 62.2

RACE 3
4-PRINCESS SUANCES 86.9
1-CAYANNA 86.3
2-THERE IS NO LIMIT 83.8
6-HAKUCHI 82.0
7-TECHNICALITY 71.7

RACE 4
9-ME SALTY 74.3
6-SIR ED 70.9
3-STAR DANCE M D 68.1
1-ASHEN 65.4
2-LIME ROCK REVENGE 65.4
4-GIBSON HOME RUN 65.4

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6f. on turf)
6-SALAH'S DANCER 63.8
1-PEPPY BOLLY 55.5
4-SPRING BLOOM 54.6
5-GYPSY FRIDAY 46.4
11-YA WANNA HUG 42.9

1st time starters - 3, 7, 8, 2

RACE 6
7-BOYCHIK 93.2 (off Oct. 10)
2-CARNIVORE 83.2
8-IMPERIAL PRIDE 81.4
4-GOTHICS PEAK 78.3
6-ARRESTING OFFICER 77.8
1-MR. SIERRA 77.8

RACE 7
2-WHISPER LOUISE 91.3
3-CELESTIAL KITTEN 90.0
1-LONG LAKE KRISTA 88.8
4-ANNIVERSARY GIRL 86.9
5-TRUE WAY OF GRACE 76.4

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
10-MUSICAL ARTS 67.0
3-NICOS MEMORY 61.1
11-SILVER STREET 59.6
2-UNDER PROTEST 56.5
4-PURPLE STARDUSTER 55.5

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Wednesday, December 07, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



NOTE: SUNDAY MY TOP PICKS WON SIX RACES.

RACE 1
6-DR. SMARTY JACK 95.2
3-EL GATO MALO 92.1
2-LIFE IS A ROCK 88.8
5-POSSE POWER 84.4
1-FANTASTIC PICK 83.2

RACE 2
1-SI MAR'S DEAR 67.0
5-WOODMAN'S LASS 65.9
2-GOOD ACKTRESS 55.0
3-CLEVER CHLOE 53.5
4-LITTLE EMILY 49.6

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
1-EXOTIC SLEW 70.0
9-UNUSUAL HEATWAVE 60.9
2-NEUROSURGEON 40.7
4-G'NIGHT 30.7

1st time starters - 7, 10, 6, 3, 5, 8

RACE 4
8-BRUNO'S WAGER 80.2
9-DEVILS AFLEET 69.8
5-THRICE THE VICE 65.9
4-SEA VIPER 63.8
2-WILD AND TRUE 59.6
1-A PINT FOR MARY 59.6

RACE 5
5-CROSSING THE LINE 96.5
3-DANCE WITH GABLE 95.2
1-TOP FEELING 92.8 (off April 10)
9-STAR NICHOLAS 87.5
11-AFLEET DEAL 77.4

RACE 6
3-FRISCO KID 85.0
10-LIBERAL ARTS 71.4
2-CODYS A BOBCAT 71.1
8-DEPTH 68.1
4-CHARLIE'SBOYWINS 67.0
1-NUCLEAR MISSLE 67.0

RACE 7
3-HOME SWEET ASPEN 102.9
7-GIVINE 100.4
1-BRIECAT 95.4
2-RARE SUNSET 87.5
4-A JEALOUS WOMAN 84.4

RACE 8
14-WHAT A RUSH 66.4
6-ST. JOEL 65.5 (off June 10)
15-FINE AND RARE 65.4
2-CLEARLYALUCKYGUY 61.6
1-SEEK THE LIGHT 60.1
10-CHEERS TO BOOGIE 59.6

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Tuesday, December 06, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 5 horses for each race?
I post 5 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 4 selections for superfectas. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 15 times that I know of in over 2166 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, December 04, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



NOTE: SATURDAY MY TOP PICKS WON 4 RACES, TOP 1ST TIMER WON 1 RACE, 2ND PICKS WON 2 RACES. EVERY TOP PICK IN ALL 9 RACES HIT THE BOARD.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
6-CALL ME KELLY 63.2
1-HAMMER THE BAY 60.6
4-TALE BE TOLD 59.3
5-MIDNIGHT CON 57.6

1st time starters - 3, 2

RACE 2
4-MIZDIRECTION 91.4
2-SILVER ROCK 83.8
1-BELLA SWAN 82.6
5-SLEEP TIGHT 82.0
3-BERG BAHN 81.9

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-TWELVE FOLDS 75.4
1-MANGO TART 61.1
3-NIGHT TELLER 40.3

1st time starters - 4, 2, 6

RACE 4
5-GRAEME CRACKERJACK 74.9
7-THE HUNT IS ON 71.4
3-WARREN'S DR. YANG 65.9
6-WARREN'S KONG 65.9
4-MONEY INCLUDED 63.2

RACE 5
10-VISUAL INTENSITY 86.9
2-SYNCOBEAT 76.0
9-DOC CAN DANCE 73.7
5-UZZIAH 73.1
8-EMPEROR STONE 72.2

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
5-ALMOST A LADY 72.6
2-WARREN'S AMBER 70.9
3-TEARDROPS ON FIRE 69.8
1-PUNCH DRUNK 60.6
4-SONG GIRL 60.6

RACE 7
3-JAW'S N'PAWS 83.2
7-MY UNTAMED HEART 80.1
8-IZZY RULES 78.4
2-ALL THE LOVE 68.1
6-SO TEMPTED 67.5

RACE 8
3-ELLAFITZ 99.1
7-CITY TO CITY 88.2
2-WASHINGTON BRIDGE 85.0
4-MISS MITTAGONG 83.8
6-BAUBLE QUEEN 82.5

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
3-GAMBLING COWGIRL 50.2
14-BEAUTIFUL STRIKE 48.3
5-TERRELLA 39.9
10-CAL BAYERS 33.4
6-BULLETGIRL 31.1

1st time starters - 8, 12, 7, 1

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Saturday, December 03, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1
6-FARLEY STAR 98.4
5-JEOPARDY LADY 83.8
3-HAMELDAEME 82.6
4-FAST EYDIE 75.4
2-PRECIOUS UNION 65.9

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-JACK O LYN 71.4
2-DANGER RANGER 67.0
6-INQUISITIVE SON 59.6
5-BIG HANDS AL 55.5
7-RINO U 48.3

RACE 3
6-DELTA FIX 91.3
2-LORD VRONSKY 86.9
1-INDIAN GAMING 78.4
3-EL TANGO RAY 72.6
5-CRESTON COWBOY 62.7

RACE 4
6-SENTRY DUTY 69.2
5-WARREN'S PATRON 61.6
12-NUTMEG NED 55.5
3-DEL MAR JOHNNY 52.6
7-ZOMBYSLAYERMRDARCY 52.6

RACE 5
5-SPECTACULAR SKY 91.3
1-KINDLE 85.0
7-LADY LIAM 85.0
4-PERFECT FEAT 85.0 (off Nov. 10)
6-BLUE TAMBOURINE 84.4

RACE 6
3-SIR BELL 89.4
1-LODI RED 86.9
5-MOSCATO 85.0
2-UNUSUAL JAZZ 83.1
6-STARSPANGLED HEAT 81.4

RACE 7
4-POSITION A 86.9
6-ELUSIVE MOMENT 82.6
2-HASTY TREND 82.0
3-LOOKING FOR CANDY 80.8
8-SUMMERS AT DEL MAR 80.2

RACE 8
6-TRES BORRACHOS 102.5
7-MASSONE 100.4
3-TWEEBSTER 99.8
1-KETTLE CORN 93.9
2-ELDAAFER 88.1
5-SUMMER MOVIE 88.1

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
5-LOVE MY WAY 77.4
1-MY SWEET CANDY 73.1
6-SHE'S A MINX 63.8
2-RICA'S READY 38.2
10-SABOULI 34.8 (bumped at start)

1st time starters - 4, 11, 3, 9

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Friday, December 02, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 7 1/2 f.)
6-KVELL 46.9
7-MALIBU LOVE 46.4
4-BULL RUSH 46.0
3-WARREN'S ASSASSIN 40.3
2-WILD DATE 38.6

RACE 2
6-MISS BECCA 83.2
5-MIRACULOUS BABY 79.6
3-SKY ANGEL 76.0
2-CHOCOLATE CALLIENTE 70.9
4-KIDS TABLE 70.9

RACE 3
2-ALALA 67.0
5-THE GRANS 67.0
1-WARREN'S MY QUEEN 64.3
7-BENCH BEAUTY 60.6
3-SWISS CHARM 60.6

1st time starters - 6

RACE 4
3-RAINBOW LUCK 69.3
4-DAVE'S REVENGE 64.3
2-POWEROFVOODOO 59.0
5-DANCE LITTLE ANGEL 54.5
6-DYNAHERE 54.0

RACE 5
2-GOLDEN MEXICO 99.1
3-MR. BOSSY PANTS 95.2
6-WILLYCONKER 93.9
5-BIG SKY POSSE 93.9
7-STONESIDE 87.5

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
4-WILLIAM WALLACE 49.7
10-SABE 47.1
5-TRUCIAL STATE 46.0
2-VICTORIASUGRDADDY 46.0
6-YANKEE DAN 44.7

RACE 7
7-SUNBURN 85.0
5-MELTARIB 84.4
2-EVASIVE CHARMER 73.7
1-CALIFORNIA HEAT 73.1
4-MO CHEESE 70.3

RACE 8
6-AMELIA ROSE 62.2
5-SONG BY WEST 56.5
4-KAYSA DEEYA 56.0 (off Aug. 10)
3-NEZI O'S GOLD 56.0
1-ANNIE LOU 48.8

1st time starters - 7 (had 1 DNF)

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Thursday, December 01, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER - 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER - The 5 point difference between horses rule - Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.



RACE 1
3-MY T QUICK 77.8
5-JOY BOY 76.0
6-PANTHER'S CLAW 72.6
1-CLEARANCE CLARENCE 65.9
4-FULL EFFECT 65.9

RACE 2
8-BARON VON RED 77.2
5-CELTIC CHARMER 75.4
2-ULTIMATE DECISION 70.3
1-STREET TITAN 67.5
6-WILD GRAY 67.5

1st time starters - 3

RACE 3
11-CERTIFIED DIAMOND 79.6
8-ROYAL IMPORT 73.7
9-COAL REGION KID 67.5
1-IT'S SUPERMAN 65.4
3-REGAL FEVER 61.1

RACE 4
1-PERSONALITARY 70.3
5-SIDEPOCKET KID 61.1
4-ALL DE VICTORS 57.5
6-RED MOUNTAIN 55.0
7-SPICY BEAU 52.0

RACE 5
5-GUTSHOT STRIGHT 89.4
2-LUCKARACK 88.8
6-WARREN'S KNOCKOUT 78.4
4-PALIO PRINCE 77.8
8-QUINTONS DESTINY 77.2

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
7-RUN CHARLIE RUN 47.8
8-BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS 47.4
3-SKY LARKIN 43.3
12-DINOSAUR CLUB 42.4
2-I FEEL FREE 42.0
4-SOLANA SOLLEIL 42.0

1st time starters - 5, 9

RACE 7
1-LA SOMBRE 89.4
9-MISS SEA CUP 84.5
8-SHESOPROVOCATIVE 82.1
2-PLEASING SUNRISE 80.8
3-CACTUS FLYER 74.3

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
9-D'WILDBUNCH 58.0
5-I WILL FOLLOW 57.0
2-TAYLOR MARINI 54.5
3-ARATHORN 54.0
8-MUSTACHE CHARLIE 53.0

1st time starters - 1

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