Tuesday, May 31, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 or 5 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 of 4 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 13 times that I know of in over 1986 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, May 30, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR MONDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-FARLEY STAR 90.7
1-STARTJUMPIN MARNIE 89.4
4-WAKE ME NOW 84.4
5-SUPERMODEL 70.3
2-BAB AT THE BOWSTER 63.6

RACE 2
4-PRIVATE BOUNTY 79.0 (off Oct. 10)
8-MEADOW ROAD 77.8
6-SCREAMING DESTINY 75.4
7-CADILLAC COACH 69.8
1-COVERT REWARD 61.3

1st time starters - 3, 5

RACE 3
4-CATO MAJOR 79.6
5-FREQUENT FAME 74.7
8-QUEEN MARILES 72.0
1-WARREN'S SWAP FOX 69.8 (off Oct. 10)
7-LUTESS 66.4

RACE 4
6-BURNS 90.0
3-NAHEM 88.8
5-SMUG 85.0
2-GREAT WARRIOR 84.4
4-CAT IN THE FOREST 82.0

RACE 5
1-WARRENS WILD THING 68.6
4-CUT N' DEAL 65.9
2-CHI CHA CHA 61.6
7-BIG G'S DANCE 56.0
8-OUR SENIOR MOMENTS 53.5

1st time starters - 9

RACE 6
2-MARCY'S WOODS 84.4
5-TALES OF TIGGER 81.4
7-REQUISITION 80.2
4-BIG BURLY BOY 80.2 (off July 10)
3-HURRICANE HARBOR 74.9

RACE 7
5-ARTUYA 73.1
2-BLUE GRASS MUSIC 63.8
8-CANDYS GIRL 58.8
3-MAGIC LANTERN 58.5 (off Nov. 10)
9-ROXANNE O 51.6

RACE 8
7-COST OF FREEDOM 129.0
1-AMAZOMBIE 120.8
3-M ONE RIFLE 113.6
4-CAMP VICTORY 107.9
6-SUPREME SUMMIT 104.5

RACE 9
2-COZI ROSIE 101.8
7-MALIBU PIER 101.8
8-CELTIC PRINCESS 97.8 (off Dec. 10)
3-TURNING TOP 93.2
4-DUBAWI HEIGHTS 93.2

RACE 10
7-CLOCKER MOMENT 68.1
3-QUIETLY WAITING 67.0
1-CALL FOR JUSTICE 59.0
10-EXPENSIVE PENS 56.5
2-WARRENS TEMPTATION 49.7

1st time starters - 5

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Sunday, May 29, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $86,254.

RACE 1
5-SEPERATE FOREST 104.5
4-BROKEN DREAMS 97.1
1-LUNAR MIST 88.8
3-ULTRA AWESOME 77.2
2-GIVINE 62.2

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
6-WARREN'S FANCY 45.1
8-JOSEPH JOE 37.8
2-GOLDEN MIRACLE 19.4
3-AMAZING BLONDE 9.7

1st time starters - 11, 4, 12, 7, 5, 1, 10

RACE 3
7-SMASH 115.7
2-HORAYFORHOLLYWOOD 109.3
6-SAHARA SKY 88.8
1-CHINESE PRAISE 88.8
5-DIAMOND GEEZAH 85.0

RACE 4
10-THREE CUTIES 59.6
7-LILY AMORE 52.1
6-LIMERICK LANE 48.3
14-CONFECTIONIST 46.4
12-WHISKERS AND RYE 45.5

1st time starters - 11, 3

RACE 5
8-HOLLOWEEN CANDY 89.4 (off Dec. 10)
1-FIFIE'S FANTASY 85.6
5-COALBANKS LANDING 83.8
6-STORMY LINDA 79.7
3-PRYTANIA 75.4
4-MARRYMEONEMORETIME 75.4

RACE 6
6-JUDGE JOAN 74.3
5-STUNNINGLY 73.1
2-LED ADVANTAGE 73.1
7-LADY LAZER 71.2
8-WHAT'S THE PRIZE 62.7

RACE 7
7-COOLOFTHEEVENING 62.7 (off Dec. 10)
2-LULA TALULLAH 60.6
1-LYRICAL 56.5
10-HOLLYWOOD AFFAIR 49.7 (off July 10)
9-MISS LAKE 27.9

1st time starters - 8, 4, 5, 6, 3

RACE 8
1-WARREN'S KNOCKOUT 88.2
6-PRAYER FOR RELIEF 87.5 (off Nov. 10)
7-HOLLYWOOD HEIST 82.0
5-AMERICAN WILDCAT 70.3
2-KING COLA 69.8

RACE 9
14-CAPT. SPARROW 82.4
1-PURSE LUVA 77.2
4-MARK OF A WARRIOR 76.6
8-FLASHMANS PAPERS 73.1
9-POINT OF ORIGIN 69.9
10-JUSTICE REIGNS 69.2

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Saturday, May 28, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: FRIDAY NIGHT MY TOP PICKS WON 5 RACES -

RACE 1
7-MARK THE BENCH 88.9
2-DONTMESROUNDWITJIM 83.2
6-RED SCARE 79.6
1-CAHILL COUNTRY 77.8
5-GAB POWER 76.6

RACE 2
4-PARK TIME LUCK 76.0
6-MISS ADDY KISS 67.5
7-SMALL BUT MIGHTY 66.4
8-MANHATTAN BEACH 65.0
2-LIT DE BET 64.8

RACE 3
2-KINGPIN RYNO 86.9
6-BRITTS BROTHER 83.9
7-NONREFUNDABLE 79.1
1A-LORO 72.0 (off July 10)(entry)
5-ERIC THE RAM 64.8

1st time starters - 1, 3, 8

RACE 4
7-LEASE OF LIFE 82.6
9-KINGSVILLE 77.6
8-JOE CARL 77.2
4-MR. SATURDAYNIGHT 74.3
6-SCORED 74.0

RACE 5
5-HEIDI MARIA 77.8
6-JAREDELLA 75.2
8-WORKING AT NIGHT 72.6
1-SEEKITANA 71.4
9-IZSHELEGAL 64.3

RACE 6
2-MAYOR MARV 105.2
3-GALLETA MONSTRUO 93.9
1-SCOREWITHCATER 92.8
6-NIKKI'SGOLDENSTEED 91.3
7-BESTDRESSED 90.4

RACE 7
6-AMERICAN LADY 107.9
3-ALASKA MISS 94.5
7-RUMOR 91.9
1-MOONSTRUCK MAYA 81.4
2-TOP DEBUTANTE 71.4

RACE 8
2-LIBERIAN FREIGHTER 114.3
4-THE USUAL Q. T. 110.7
1-RYEHILL DREAMER 110.0
6-GOLDWAKI 103.0 (off Oct. 10)
7-SIDNEY'S CANDY 102.3

RACE 9
4-FORTUNATE APPEAL 80.8 (off Sept. 10)
9-SIR ED 72.6
7-GREENSPAN 69.8
6-BOLD TYPE 68.1
5-IMAGE AND LIKENESS 66.4

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Friday, May 27, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-BALBOA BAY 73.7
4-MONEY INCLUDED 66.4
5-LEYVA MAN 65.4
1-FIRST STRIKE 63.1
2-BRASS PLATE 59.6

RACE 2
1-TWODOLLARSTOWIN 69.8
8-APPEALING AFARE 61.6
3-REV HER UP 60.1
5-JUSTINCREDIBLE 58.5
4-SIMPLY PUT 46.0

RACE 3
6-WARREN'S BLOSSOM 98.4
2-DOWNHILL DIVA 91.3 (off Dec. 10)
5-PINCELADA 90.0
1-EXCELLENT NEWS 89.4
4-CATCH LORRAINE 79.4

RACE 4
8-SHESKEY 64.3
5-MAKE SOMEONE HAPPY 59.6
1-DRAMATIC REWARD 52.6
3-WICKED TRIP 46.9
4-DUSTBOWL 43.8

RACE 5
4-FIRE BREAK 91.3
1-ADVICE 90.7
7-TIZ TRUE 83.8
2-STREETS OF HEAVEN 82.0
3-BIG WAGS 80.2

RACE 6
7-ROMEO ROYALE 77.2
9-MINISTER D'ORO 76.0
2-CAT TALK 68.6
5-WARREN'S BIG CAT 59.0
3-COLD BAY 59.0

1st time starters - 1

RACE 7
4-KINGSFORD DRIVE 79.0
1-FREE POURIN 78.4
6-STAR NAVIGATOR 68.6
5-COURTSIDE 67.0
3-EDGEWICK ROAD 67.0

RACE 8
4-A MOMENT IN TIME 82.0
8-BESAME SUANCES 75.4
9-TRIBAL DESERT 70.3
5-WHAT A RUSH 70.3
2-SILENCIO GATO 63.8

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Thursday, May 26, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-TRUMPET PLAYER JAY 84.4
5-CHARLIE AND CHRIS 82.6
6-TWOATTEN TENATTWO 81.4
1-AFLEET DEAL 80.2
4-SERRA SONG 68.1

RACE 2
6-NANA BEACH 65.9
5-MAGIC SCHOOL 61.1 (off slow)
1-SWEET BAGUETTE 55.1
3-ALALA 54.5 (off July 10)(slow start)
4-MY JOYCIE 47.4

1st time starters - 8, 2

RACE 3
2-CHARLIE'SBOYWINS 65.9
1A-WARRENS TIGER 64.3 (entry)
3-TAPFORTEXAS 55.0
6-RED DWARF 51.6 (off slow)
4-WARREN'S TOMMY TOO 51.6

1st time starters - 7

RACE 4
3-DESPERATE MEASURES 77.8
7-FORTY PACES 73.1
8-NO AFILLYATION 70.6
2-CLOSER TO LOVE 67.3
6-NICE MEIDEL 63.6

RACE 5
4-RANCHERO 98.1
3-COOK INLET 97.8
10-BIG BUSINESS 74.9
8-PATRIOT'S VOYAGE 72.0
6-EXTRA FIFTY 67.6

1st time starters - 11

RACE 6
7-THE HUNT IS ON 83.2
8-HIATUS 80.2
3-PREFERRED BEHAVIOR 73.1
6-TRUENO 72.6
4-ATTICUS POMPONIUS 69.8

RACE 7
5-STREAMLINE BABY 79.6
3-DONNER WASSER 75.4
4-SUBPONEA THE DRESS 75.2
2-BURTON'S ANGEL 65.1
1-MAVICSA 64.3

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
9-SUPER CANDY 44.6
8-RESPUESTA SOLIDA 38.6
4-ALL SQUARED AWAY 33.0
5-NEBIKON 19.7 (off slow)
6-DEEJENERIT 9.9

1st time starters - 1, 7, 10, 2, 3

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Wednesday, May 25, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people. My system does not use computer generated selections.

All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, May 24, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 or 5 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 of 4 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 13 times that I know of in over 1986 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, May 22, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-ONE BAD ROMANCE 65.6
1-ZEES CHRIS 54.5
2-MEAN SARA JEAN 48.8
4-SHAME ON LILLY 43.8
3-NAPOTE 41.6

RACE 2
3-VAN BRIT 93.9
1-GUMPTION 84.4
2-GRANITE GIRL 82.6
5-INITIAL IMPRESSION 77.8
6-SHEEZA BEAST 74.3

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
1-SILENT SUE 60.6
3-BULLETGIRL 45.5

1st time starters - 2, 6, 5, 4

RACE 4
3-SPECTACULAR SKY 86.9
1-TORO BONITO 78.4
4-HOPEFUL UNION 77.0
2-PURE CLASS 75.4 (off Aug. 10)
6-SECRET OATH 73.1

RACE 5
2-ALLEY HONDRO 106.6
3-NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR 100.4
9-RENEGADE STORM 91.3
4-TEAFATILLER 91.3
5-TRIBAL NATION 86.9

RACE 6
3-CANTONA 67.5
2-RIGHTFUL IMAGE 67.0
1-DANCING JOY 64.3
6-POINT MUGU 57.7
5-BOBBY'S N PARADISE 47.8

RACE 7
4-LADY RAILRIDER 105.4
2-LOGICAL SINGLE 93.9
7-U R ALL THAT I AM 91.9
5-JAX EL 91.3
3-WARREN'S JITTERBUG 86.3

RACE 8
6-ORIENTATIOUS 101.8
7-NO MISTRESS 73.1
8-FOREVER NEDA 70.9
1-BORN LUCKY 67.0 (off slow)
4-STARY LIGHT 61.6 (off Oct. 10)

1st time starters - 2

RACE 9
11-B'S LUCKY STRIKE 75.2
3-REGAL FEVER 70.9
8-LOOKING FOR CANDY 70.3
4-COLOURSOFTHEGLEN 69.4
6-STARCATTER 67.5
1-CHOP HOUSE GEORGE 67.2 (off April 10)

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Saturday, May 21, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK & PIMLICO "PREAKNESS" - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.


PIMLICO - RACE 12 "THE PREAKNESS"
11-ANIMAL KINGDOM 113.6
9-MUCH MACHO MAN 108.6
5-SHACKELFORD 106.6
6-SWAY A WAY 105.9
10-DIALED IN 105.2
7-MIDNIGHT INTERLUDE 103.1
14-MR. COMMONS 102.5
4-FLASH POINT 101.8
3-KING CONGIE 101.8
8-DANCE CITY 101.1
1-ASTROLOGY 100.4
2-NORMAN ASBJORNSON 93.2
13-CONCEALED IDENTITY 92.6
12-ISN'T HE PERFECT 86.9


HOLLYWOOD PARK

RACE 1
1-TWODOLLARSTOWIN 66.4
4-FIRST QUEEN 61.6
6-MERRYTAGIO 56.0
2-IT'S D'LOVELY 52.6
3-DERBY MEMO 47.4

RACE 2
2-WANTED POSTER 65.9
3-ROCK SO HARD 63.6
6-PHOTO SHOPPED 60.0
5-PARABLE 54.6

RACE 3
2-QUICK ENOUGH 107.9
4-EARNEDNEVERGIVEN 102.5
1-DON TITO 98.3
3-RAINBOW GOOSE 81.4

RACE 4
3-MASTER CHEF 104.5
5-AWESOME INDY 101.8
2-MAGNIFICENT BLEND 99.1
1-PATRIOTIC SOLDIER 87.5
8-BIG BAD LEROYBROWN 85.0

RACE 5
5-ST TRINIANS 103.1
1-TANDA 100.2
6-AMERICAN STORY 97.1
2-WASHINGTON BRIDGE 90.7
3-CHURCH CAMP 90.7

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
8-UNHITCHTHETRAILOR 45.5
3-SHERIFF HUTTON 41.6

1st time starters - (No selections made for the 8 horses)

RACE 7
4-BOEHLE 87.5
1-CAITIE'S SECRET 86.9
3-LAURA BEASLEY 84.4 (off Oct. 10)
6-MUTUALLY BENEFIT 83.2
5-CUTE N SASSY 76.6

RACE 8
2-CIRCLE THE MOON 90.7
10-FULL EFFECT 81.4
6-JACK REACHER 80.8
9-NOFTY 79.0
3-ASHEN 69.2

1st time starters - 4, 5, 8, 12

RACE 9
2-THE WHAMMER 98.3
1-MENSA HEAT 90.0
8-BRADIUM 85.6
5-LEANDROS 83.8
7-OUR SHORTY 82.6
3-HIDDEN BLESSING 82.6

RACE 10
2-PEDALTOTHEMEDAL 102.5
6-BIG TIZ 94.5
9-MAY DAY ROSE 81.4
7-HOUT BAY 80.8
5-ADVANTAGE PLAYER 79.6

RACE 11
14-CRISPY COREY 72.0
11-PERSONALITARY 63.8 (off July 10)
4-TUBA MAN 59.0
3-BIG MAN IN TOWN 53.5
7-TITIAN 53.0

1st time starters - 6, 1, 12, 16

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Friday, May 20, 2011

 

FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: SATURDAY I WILL HAVE THE ENTIRE HOLLYWOOD PARK CARD AND ALSO THE "PREAKNESS" FROM PIMLICO.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TONIGHT IS $59.009.


RACE 1
5-ROMAN CHARITY 73.7
3-JUDGE JOAN 69.2
6-THE GREAT ATLANTIC 62.3
1-ABOVETHEINFLUENCE 58.0
4-J AND S EXPRESS 57.0

RACE 2
2-ONEFUNSONOFAGUN 88.1
5-YOU CAN DREAM 86.3
4-SPARKLING STYLE 84.4
6-LINE ONE 74.9
3-ZENIDEKKA 72.6

RACE 3
5-MALAGA COVE 60.6
7-FULL STRENGTH 59.6
6-WON'T STOP DANCIN' 58.0
2-TRASTEVERE 56.1
3-GO GO OLMO 56.0

RACE 4
1-HONOR AMONG US 76.6
2-EL GAUCHO 75.4
7-TONZATROUBLE 70.3
4-REGROUP 69.2
5-WHOLELOTACONGRATS 68.6

RACE 5
4-MUNY 97.1
7-CALIFORNIA SOLDIER 97.1
1-TIMES GONE BY 95.2
2-CARDIFF GIANT 94.5
6-JAIRZIHNO 91.9

RACE 6
3-BELS DREAM CASTLE 61.6
7-SCENTOF CHRISM 57.6
6-LUCKYVIC 53.5
1-TEAM BUILDER 52.5
2-KRASAVITSA 30.4

1st time starters - 8

RACE 7
6-CHEROKEE HEAVEN 102.5
3-VADERTORE 101.6
4-STREAKIN' MOHICAN 100.3
2-RAETODANDTY 93.9
5-GOLDEN WINNER 92.5 (off July 10)

RACE 8
2-ONE BAD TEXTER 45.1
1-SWEET CONSOLIDATOR 41.1
8-WARREN'S EXTRASILK 40.3
6-JACK'S GLO 27.5
3-SOMEENCHANTED EVENIN 23.1

1st time starters - 9, 7, 4, 5

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Thursday, May 19, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK -FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-ROLLERSKATES 74.0
2-JANA GAIL 64.3
4-TOO PINK 61.6
1-ZIPPEN E 60.1
3-SOLDIER BETTY 48.8

RACE 2
1-DANGEROUS ANGEL 69.2
6-MAKE MINE REMY 49.7
3-TORRE ITALIANA 40.8
4-SWIFT BEAUTY 40.7

1st time starters - 2, 5

RACE 3
6-TIPPETY TAP TAP 85.0
7-CHECKMARK 77.2
4-BELLINGHAM 67.6
3-R U EXPERIENCED 65.9
1-SEEKING SOLACE 63.8

1st time starters - 2

RACE 4
2-SEACHI 61.1
7-BANANA CREAM PIE 59.6
5-MISSILETTE 56.0
4-DIAMOND JOURNEY 54.0
1-LADY FOR A DAY 50.6

RACE 5
7-WEST RULER 93.9
1-CANDY'S PLEASURE 91.9
2-TENACIOUS TINA 87.5 (off July 10)
5-PINK LENINADE 85.6
6-ENGLISH ROYAL 83.3

RACE 6
6-DELUXE BUS 80.2
1-OMINOUS THOMAS 80.2
2-DANNY Q 78.4 (off April 09)
7-BULLYBULLYBULLY 73.7
5-TRUCKIN 67.0

RACE 7
5-ON MY HONOR 83.8
4-SPUD SPIVENS 80.8
1-WOODMANS LUCK 79.0
3-SENATOR BOB 76.0
2-EXCELLING 66.4

RACE 8
2-BAY RUSH 73.7
9-WARRENS WILD THING 70.3
1-MAGIC SPIRIT 69.2
3-MAGICAL INSTINCT 66.4
6-CUT N' DEAL 66.4
4-MY BOY LUKE 61.6

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Wednesday, May 18, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people. My system does not use computer generated selections.

All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, May 17, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 or 5 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 of 4 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 13 times that I know of in over 1980 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, May 15, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $80,019.

RACE 1
1-DAVE'S REVENGE 75.4
3-TRIPPED THE LIGHT 73.1
2-RAINBOW LUCK 72.2
4-CHURCH AVENUE 70.9
5-MALUSITA 66.4

RACE 2
4-ETERNALLY FAST 82.6 (off March 10)
7-FIRE GLOW 81.4
5-RIBALD 76.0
8-FLASHMANS PAPERS 75.4
1-A CAT NAMED SNIPE 70.9

RACE 3
1-RUNFLATOUT 105.9
4-AIN'T NO OTHER 105.9
2-FLIGHTOFALIFETIME 100.4
5-BENCH POINTS 96.5
3-SINAI 82.6

RACE 4
6-MISS GEORGIE GIRL 86.3
1-PLEASING SUNRISE 79.0
2-FULLBRIDLED'S SIS 75.4
3-LUCKY TIMING 72.0
4-NANA BEACH 69.8

RACE 5
8-SILVER LUNA 65.4
7-SHE'SAWONTONTOMATO 60.6
5-PET ME PET ME 59.0
6-GREAT BERNARDINE 49.7
4-RUNNING ISABELLA 48.3

1st time starters - 3

RACE 6
6-RED ALERT DAY 94.5
5-VERY FAIR 89.4
2-CONTROL SEEKER 86.3
1-KRIS SILVER 85.6
4-SANQUINE 83.2

RACE 7
6-MATLOW 85.6 (off Sept. 10)
7-CLINTON 74.3 (steadied)
5-FORWARD APPEAL 63.8
1-INDIAN KNIGHT 60.6
4-MUCHO BRAVO 58.0

1st time starters - 8, 2, 3

RACE 8
6-OFF THE WALL 105.2
2-ITALIAN RULES 103.8
3-LUNADA BAY 96.5
7-SEA RASCAL 95.8
5-DETAILS R SKETCHY 95.8

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
5-MR. CAPPUCCINO 39.0 (off slow)
2-UNCOMMON SENSE 37.8
7-DUTCH LAKE 35.4
3-NO TEAM SPIRIT 31.9

1st time starters - 6, 4, 1, 8, 9

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Saturday, May 14, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK- FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horses that are rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

Note: Friday night out of the 8 races my top pick won 4 of the races and were second in the other 4 races. (This would have given you the place all).

RACE 1
1-LIBERAL ARTS 97.0
3-DANCE WITH GABLE 91.3
2-WARRENS SUMMERGOLD 88.8
4-SHU BIZ DANNY 82.0
7-LE'HEAT 79.0

RACE 2
2-RIGHT ON RENEE 53.5
3-YOUVEGOTTHATRIGHT 49.2
8-WARREN'S RUHLARA 46.4
1-JUNES BLUE MOON 43.8
6-COSTAL CATHY 43.3

1st time starters - 5

RACE 3
3-HAIMISH HY 93.2
6-ALL SAINT 87.5
5-ACCLAMATION 86.9
2-BUENOS DIAS 86.9
1-FALCON ROCK 85.6

RACE 4
7-WARREN'S SALLY 34.2
4-BLACK SOX 31.5 (squeezed at start)
2-CHEEKY CHANGA 14.8
1-R C MAGIC AMY 10.1 (off slow)

1st time starters - 3, 6, 8, 5

RACE 5
6-SAMMY'S A RUNNIN' 96.5
9-FORWARD COMMITMENT 83.8
7-UNCLE GREG 82.0
1-LEAD BLOCKER 73.7
8-GAME A. P. 71.4

RACE 6
7-MY BRITE CAROLINE 60.6
5-SWISS GEM 58.5
3-ON YOUR MARK 55.7
9-ASHABU 52.6

1st time starters - 1, 6, 10, 2, 4

RACE 7
2-ANTIDOTE 92.5
6-PURELY AWESOME 86.3
10-CAUSEITHERTZ 83.2
13-SMUG 82.8
8-LEMOU 76.6

1st time starters - 9, 5

RACE 8
2-LEGAL SEPARATION 104.5
1-PRICE 91.9 (off Oct. 10)
4-EYE ON JACOB 89.9 (off May 09)
3-DEMONATION 87.5
6-KORBAN 85.0

RACE 9
9-HAVENS LAKE 74.9
10-FLASHY TRAVELER 69.2
8-ANN'S SEVEN 67.5
5-FORTY DATES 67.0
1-SHAWKLIT SUNDAE 62.7
6-DUBAI MACAU GIRL 61.1

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Friday, May 13, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: SORRY FOR THE LATE POSTING OF PICKS. BLOGGER SITE WAS DOWN MANY HOURS FOR REPAIRS.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
4-JOSEPH JOE 41.1
2-CAYANNIE 21.9
3-CROSS THE RIVER 20.3
1-KVELL 18.9

1st time starters - 5 (had 2f. races), 6

RACE 2
2-BIG SON OF A GUN 80.8
4-WINNING DESIRE 68.1
6-WELCOME HOME RYAN 65.4
1-BELL BLITZ 61.1
3-BRONSTER 59.3

RACE 3
5-DAPPER GENE 97.8
2-GET FUNKY 95.8
4-VIA VERDE 95.1
1-SHADOW OF ILLINOIS 86.9 (off Aug. 10)
3-ALIZA'S DREAM 84.4

RACE 4
5-HUNTER CREEK 87.5
6-ROCK SOLID KING 81.4
4-LUCKY FITZ 79.6
2-MANOFGOLD 71.4
7-OH HOW NICE 60.1

RACE 5
5-MELTARIB 68.1
6-DOT'S MARK 67.5
4-TIZ ZOE 65.9
10-BRAVE JOURNEY 63.2
2-COOKINTHISORTHAT 59.6

1st time starters - 8

RACE 6
6-AMERICAS DREAMING 71.4
2-HOT TICKET 67.0
5-ANCIENT HOLIDAY 63.1
8-S C SONG GIRL 62.7
4-GOOD FRIDAY GAL 62.2

RACE 7
3-VAUNDELL 97.1
1-SAMMARTINO 85.6
2-CAUGHT A FLYER 83.2
5-WAR PILOT 81.9 (off June 09)
4-SHEDIAK 81.4 (off Sept. 10)

RACE 8
8-RED TESLA 63.8
9-DANCING YODELER 63.8
4-CRESTON COWBOY 63.2
2-LOS BOMBEROS 50.2

1st time starters - 1, 10, 7, 3, 5, 6

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Thursday, May 12, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $91,681.

RACE 1
1-METER ME GONE 70.9
5-ROULETTE IT ROLL 67.0
3-DESPERATE MEASURES 65.9
2-TAKETHEMONEYANDRUN 60.1
6-DIAMOND JOURNEY 51.6

RACE 2
4-ALL THE LOVE 87.5
6-GOING FOR A SPIN 81.4
3-MOONSTRUCK MAYA 77.2
1-MISS PEANUT 72.0
5-MISS MITTAGONG 56.6 (off Nov. 10)

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
5-GOGI 62.2
7-BULLETGIRL 41.1
2-DOLPHIN BAY 28.2
6-STRAWBERRY ROUTE 15.0

1st time starters - 9, 4, 8, 3, 1

RACE 4
1-WARREN'S CLOSER 64.3 (off Oct. 10)
4-NISUS 61.6
7-FREE TIME 57.5
8-FREE FROM MY EX 52.6
6-PARTY RULER 51.1

1st time starters - 9, 2, 3, 10

RACE 5
8-VIKKILEE 83.8
3-SLEEP TIGHT 80.2
9-MARRYMEONEMORETIME 77.8
4-FREQUENT FAME 77.2
2-ENTABENI 75.4

RACE 6
9-MARGARITA SHOT 91.9
5-STREETS OF HEAVEN 87.5
2-DANA DYNAMO 81.4
3-STAR NICHOLAS 81.4 (off Oct. 10)
1-AFLEET DEAL 81.4

RACE 7
6-UH OH BANGO 93.9
4-BURJ DUBAI 89.5
2-CIGAR MAN 88.3
3-KATE'S EVENT 88.2
5-BOGIE 86.9

RACE 8
3-GUTSHOT STRAIGHT 78.4
1-BLIND MAGIC 71.4
10-CABO SAN LUCAS 64.3
2-GIFTED STUDENT 64.3
6-NATURALISTE 58.5

1st time starters -9

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Wednesday, May 11, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people. My system does not use computer generated selections.

All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, May 10, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 or 5 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 of 4 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 13 times that I know of in over 1974 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, May 08, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
7-BAYONA 63.2
5-BROOKLYN ROSE 59.0
4-HELLO WALLS 51.0
6-JUDY'S MY ANGEL 50.6
3-MY JOYCIE 42.4

RACE 2
6-NO MISTRESS 73.7 (off April 10)
8-PLATINUM MINE 68.9 (off June 10)
1-HOLY SCRIPT 56.0
3-SO TEMPTED 47.4 (off Dec 10)
7-MIZDIRECTION 46.4

1st time starters - 4

RACE 3
5-UNCLE SAM 93.2
2-CLARKE LANE 91.9
3-BURNS 83.8
4-RED SHARP HUMOR 82.6
1-AWESOME PATRIOT 76.0

RACE 4
6-LIVING OUR DREAM 87.5
1-SAMBA SCHOOL 83.2
4-ATTAR OF ROSE 77.2 (off Aug. 10)
8-GUMPTION 73.6
7-BELLINI BLISS 72.0

RACE 5
4-REALITY RIDE 86.3
2-COAL REGION KID 79.6 (off April 09)
5-MELO LASER 79.5 (off Aug. 10)
9-CHARLIE'SBOYWINS 68.6
10-PREFERRED MANDATE 65.4

1st time starters - 12

RACE 6
3-BELLA SWAN 94.5
8-MEGASPIEL 92.6
6-STARTJUMPIN MARNIE 90.7
2-JET BLUE GIRL 88.1
5-JAX EL 87.5

1st time starters - 1 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 7
7-FAIRWAY ROAD 79.6
6-CATO MAJOR 76.6
5-FLASHY TRAVELER 69.2
3-LIT DE BET 67.5
9-MOON STONE MADNESS 66.4

RACE 8
1-RED SUN 103.8 (off April 10)
3-RUN IT 103.1
5-COFFEE BOY 99.1
2-COMPARI 97.1
6-SMOKEY LONESOME 92.1

RACE 9
8-LEASE OF LIFE 85.0
1-CAPT. SPARROW 84.4
12-JUST HEAT 80.8
9-EASY ON THE EYE 80.2
6-SEVEN SECRETS 78.4

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Friday, May 06, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK & THE KENTUCKY OAKS FROM CHURCHILL DOWNS

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: TODAY I WILL HAVE THE COMPLETE HOLLYWOOD PARK CARD AS WELL AS THE "OAKS" FROM CHURCHILL DOWNS. SATURDAY I WILL HAVE THE COMPLETE KENTUCKEY DERBY CARD FROM CHURCHILL DOWNS. I WILL NOT BE DOING ANY RACES SATURDAY AT HOLLYWOOD PARK.

CHURCHILL DOWNS - THE KENTUCKY OAKS

RACE 11
6-ZAZU 96.5
3-SUMMER SOIREE 96.5
12-PLUM PRETTY 95.2
4-KATHMANBLU 93.9
2-LILACS AND LACE 93.2
9-DAISY DEVINE 88.1
1-JOYFUL VICTORY 88.1
7-HER SMILE 86.3
13-ST. JOHN'S RIVER 85.0
8-BOUQUET BOOTH 82.0
10-STREET STORM 80.2
11-HOLY HEAVENS 77.2
5-SUAVE VOIR FAIRE 75.4

HOLLYWOOD PARK

RACE 1
6-THE HUNT IS ON 85.0
4-VULCAN 77.8
3-TRUENO 73.7
2-B'S LUCKY STRIKE 72.6
1-THEY CALL HIM EL 65.9

RACE 2
3-YOU CAN DREAM 88.1
5-PARK TIME LUCK 86.9
4-HIGHER INCENTIVE 75.9
6-MANHATTAN BEACH 66.7
2-INDIARA 65.9

RACE 3
7-CHEROKEE HEAVEN 99.1
1-POSITION A 96.4
6-STEARLING OUTLOOK 90.0
5-HE'S A DANCE STAR 87.5
2-MARK THE BENCH 84.4

RACE 4
4-BOBBY'S N PARADISE 53.5
8-FAITHFUL SECRET 53.0
1-OUR SENIOR MOMENTS 49.2
6-EVERY EGO 48.3
5-SEANY'S COURAGE 44.9

RACE 5
3-NORVSKY 101.1
4-SCOREWITHCATER 101.1 (off Aug. 09)
9-EUROGLIDE 97.8
5-UNIVERSAL PEACE 96.5
1-DO IT ALL 95.8

RACE 6
7-SERRA SONG 100.4 (off Jan. 09)
3-CARBONITE 98.4 (off Nov. 10)
1-DAVE'S PEACEMAKER 97.8
9-HARD BILL 96.5
8-THE WHAMMER 86.9

RACE 7
4-METROPOLITAN MAN 93.9
6-LIME ROCK REVENGE 91.9
1-COIL 90.0 (off Nov. 10)
3-RUNAWAY WILDCAT 89.4
2-SMASH 80.8 (off July 10)
5-STAR DANCE M D 77.2 (steadied)

RACE 8
7-WARRENS WILD THING 70.3
9-QUIETLY WAITING 61.6
8-NATURALISTE 61.6
3-POPULAR CAUSE 57.5
1-SWISS HERO 56.0 (off Dec. 10)

1st time starters - 2, 5, 6

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Thursday, May 05, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: FRIDAY I WILL HAVE THE COMPLETE HOLLYWOOD PARK CARD AS WELL AS THE "OAKS" FROM CHURCHILL DOWNS. SATURDAY I WILL HAVE THE COMPLETE KENTUCKEY DERBY CARD FROM CHURCHILL DOWNS. I WILL NOT BE DOING ANY RACES SATURDAY AT HOLLYWOOD PARK.

RACE 1
5-CAPTURE THE CALL 75.4
1-JOE CARL 72.6
3-SANQUINE 71.4
6-TAMBORIM 70.3
4-BLAME THE JOCKEY 65.4

RACE 2
6-MISS ADDY KISS 71.4
2-SUNNY PEACE 64.3
3-TIZ O' GOLD 61.1
8-POWEROFVOODOO 60.6
1-TWODOLLARSTOWIN 59.6

RACE 3
7-KATELYN N' JENNA 46.9
3-TOUCH LUCK 37.4
2-WARREN'S SALLY 37.0
4-GIVEITUPFORTHELADY 33.0
1-BORN TO BREED 31.9

RACE 4
2-TWOATTEN TENATTWO 78.4
6-BIG BAD BOO 77.2
5-CLUE ME IN 69.8
7-STARCATTER 69.2
8-ROMAN COUNSEL 64.3 (off May 10)

RACE 5
6-CHINESE PRAISE 89.4
2-DANCING AT DARK 88.1
4-GNARLY DUDE 81.4
1-LUCKARACK 78.4
5-AQUA FEVER 70.3

RACE 6
3-DEPTH 75.9
5-CANTONA 69.2
4-KESSABTSI 67.0
8-FULL DEPUTY 58.2
1-LORD VRONSKY 57.2

RACE 7
3-FOOLISH COMMENT 86.3
6-VICTORIAN PRINCE 83.2
4-DUCANE 82.8
1-TEMPLE'S DOOR 81.4 (off slow)
5-PORFIDO 81.4

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
NO SELECTIONS

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Tuesday, May 03, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people. My system does not use computer generated selections.

All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish. We all know the best horse does not always win.

Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Monday, May 02, 2011

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 or 5 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 of 4 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts -
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives).

I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time? I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 13 times that I know of in over 1939 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, May 01, 2011

 

HOLLYWOODPARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule- Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
NO SELECTIONS

RACE 2
3-COALBANKS LANDING 89.4
2-RUSSIAN RIVER 87.5
6-FIFIE'S FANTASY 85.1 (off June 10)
5-SO NICE 82.1
4-SUBPOENA THE DRESS 76.6

RACE 3
9-RACHELS MOON 74.9
7-CLOCKER MOMENT 62.0
2-PREFERRED BEHAVIOR 61.1
6-GO GO OLMO 58.5
3-WARREN'S MAGIC MAN 55.5

RACE 4
5-FIRE BREAK 89.4
2-JOB BOSS 85.0
4-ACHAK 84.4
6-TIME FOR ATONEMENT 82.0
3-WOODLAND FLOOD 76.0

RACE 5
1-EXCLAMATION 91.3
7-RAINBOW GOOSE 90.0
5-BRADIUM 86.3
6-VIA VERDE 83.2
2-CAHILL COUNTRY 82.6

RACE 6
1-HEIDI MARIA 79.6
7-JAREDELLA 76.6
2-FOREVER NEDA 72.0
6-MY JOICIE 60.1
5-BOUND FOR EDEN 51.3

1st time starters - 3, 8, 9

RACE 7
2-SAANNEEN 93.9
7-PINCELADA 91.3
5-SARAH'S SECRET 86.9 (off Oct. 10)
3-ELVIES LANE 85.7
6-SUGARINTHEMORNING 84.4

RACE 8
3-SEPARATE FOREST 105.2
4-SAINT ISABELLE 103.1
1-IRISH GYPSY 91.3
6-CANDY'S PLEASURE 89.4
7-SHAKENWITHAOLIVE 88.8

RACE 9
9-OUR BELLINI BIKINI 73.7
1-TRIPLE STAR 70.3 (off April 10)
8-MISS ANIME 68.1 (off June 10)
4-FORTY DATES 66.4
5-BANANA CREAM PIE 62.2

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