Monday, January 31, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 or 5 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 of 4 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 13 times that I know of in over 1889 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, January 30, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-BELLA PALOOZA 75.4
1-GLADIATRIX 74.9
6-SEACHI 58.5
7-LA PINOT 58.5
4-BELLEOFTHEBRIDLE 56.5

1st time starters - 2 (won a 2f. race)

RACE 2
5-MORGANOUSKA 86.3
4-WARREN'S TONY R. 83.8
2-NO DREAM 82.5
1-BOOYAH 80.2
6-GILLIGAN 79.6

RACE 3
8-WOODMAN'S LASS 46.4
5-CHA DA BOOM 33.8
4-TUSUN 18.0

1st time starters - 1, 2, 3, 7, 6

RACE 4
4-MAGIC LAUNCH 91.3
6-FOLK DANCER 85.6
1-GLORY PRIDE 81.4
2-HAMEILDAEME 79.4

RACE 5
7-TORO TRIPPI 82.0
8-WARREN'S DOVE 74.9
3-THRICE THE VICE 74.3
4-MILTY WAY 74.0
2-SWISS ARROGANT 68.6

RACE 6
9-DANCING AT DARK 82.0
5-MILES LONG GONE 72.6
7-ALL ALEWS STAR 68.8
4-VOTE OF APPROVAL 67.7
3-EDGEWICK ROAD 64.3

RACE 7
8-SWITCH 112.9
5-MONA DE MOMMA 106.6
2-MOTHER RUTH 95.8
1-PINKARELLA 95.8
6-QUISISANA 95.2

RACE 8
5-REBA IS TOPS 98.4
7-HALLELUJAH TRAIL 93.2
4-GIVINE 89.8
8-SUBSIDIZED 88.8
6-CATCHY TUNE 88.8

RACE 9
3-BEAUTIFUL SUNDAY 77.8
9-BAUBLE QUEEN 69.2
8-GONELIKEAHURRICANE 68.6
2-TUESDAYS WITH P 65.9
4-MY DIANE 57.0

1st time starters - 5, 6, 1

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Saturday, January 29, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: FRIDAY 4 OF MY TOP PICKS WON OUT OF THE 8 RACES.

RACE 1
1-SWISS CHARM 66.4
5-WILD CAT LORE 23.8

1st time starters - 4, 3, 6, 7, 2

RACE 2
1-TOKUBETSU 76.0

1st time starters - 3, 2, 4, 6, 5

RACE 3
2-PIVOTAL QUEEN 74.3
6-CHAMPAGNEANDLILIES 64.3
4-MYSTERY BIRD 60.1
3-WARREN'S TOO COOL 58.2
1-SIMPLY PUT 56.0

RACE 4
1-HOSTILE WATERS 69.8
4-WARRENS WILD THING 55.5
6-K. JEMS 53.5
3-BOBBY'S N PARADISE 52.6

1st time starters - 9

RACE 5
3-COSTOF FREEDOM 119.3
6-QUICK ENOUGH 111.4
7-APRIORITY 107.9
2-CAYAMBE 105.9
1-AMAZOMBIE 104.5

RACE 6
4-SOUL CANDY 114.3
3-JERANIMO 111.4
7-THE USUAL Q. T. 110.7
5-CARACORTADO 108.6
6-NO INFLATION 102.4

RACE 7
6-ALL DUE RESPECT 103.8
3-BRIECAT 103.1
9-ULTRA BLEND 101.1
7-EVENING JEWEL 98.4
8-LADY RAILROADER 97.1

RACE 8
1-ATTICUS JACK 91.9
6-PACK YOUR BAGS 90.0
8-DOMONATION 89.4
2-DETROIT DONNIE 88.1
7-STERLING OUTLOOK 87.0

RACE 9
2-WORD ASSOCIATION 97.8
4-HOT AFFAIR 95.8
3-DANI REESE 86.9
1-SERENE SOPHIA 85.0

RACE 10
3-STONESIDE 94.5
4-DAPPER GENE 91.3
10-MOUDEZ 90.7
5-A LIL DUMAANI 90.0
8-CAPE TRUTH 85.0

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Friday, January 28, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-TEMP 84.4
4-SAINTLY SEOUL 78.2
5-CRAGMONT 76.0
2-THE UNUSUAL ONE 75.2
3-ONE NATION 72.8
1-REALITY RIDE 72.8

RACE 2
6-TRIBAL WISH 40.7
2-SPECTACULAR FUN 36.2
4-P R'S ORPHAN 35.8
5-FINE AND RARE 25.8

1st time starters - 1

RACE 3
6-BELO PURSE 83.2
3-DONTMESROUNDWITJIM 81.4
7-SWIFT WINDS 79.4
4-JOB BOSS 76.0
2-MARQUET REBEL 75.4
1-SEVEN SECRETS 75.4

RACE 4
1-CANDACE GOLD 75.3
5-CUTE N SASSY 74.9
4-NEFARIOUS 66.4
3-STEVE'S BLUE SKY 65.9
6-LISA COZZENE 51.0

1st time starters - 2, 7

RACE 5
9-PRIMED 75.4
8-PRETTY KINZIE 71.4
4-OUR BELLINI BIKINI 70.9
6-WARREN'S ROCK ART 59.0 (off March 10)

RACE 6
4-SASSOU 97.1
1-QUIETLY MINE 92.6
7-DETAILS R SKETCHY 92.6
6-MR TOKYO 90.7
2-GET FUNKY 90.0

RACE 7
2-GUMPTION 85.0
3-LEA THE PUNISHER 84.4
6-SIBERIAN HEART 84.4
7-MADELINE RUBY 83.8
5-MAKOMA 82.6
4-PARTY WITH BRANDO 82.0

RACE 8
3-LONG LEGGED LOVELY 62.7
7-APRISA LUNA 58.5
1-SUITABLE ATTIRE 58.0 (entry)
5-GREAT BERNARDINE 53.0
2-GOOD FRIDAY GAL 52.1

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Thursday, January 27, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-SCHUYLKILL PUNCH 72.6
4-AQUA FEVER 69.8
2-BRYAN DANIEL 55.5
3-PALIO PRINCE 42.9

1st time starters - 5, 1

RACE 2
3-LUNCH TIME DIVA 74.3
1-AROUND THE TWIG 61.6
2-WITHGREATPLEASURE 53.5
5-LOVE THEWAY YOUARE 51.1
4-PAT'S DREAM 47.4

RACE 3
5-HEY ELVIS 105.9
6-WINSOME CHARM 97.1
3-SPORTING ART 95.8
2-KEEN BIDDER 85.0
4-WALTZING WITH BLUE 81.4

RACE 4
3-RED DOOR DRIVE 97.8
1-MYTHICAL POWER 95.1
5-KELLY LEAK 91.3
4-NOBLE COURT 86.9
2-TRUMPET PLAYER JAY 83.2

RACE 5
9-SELF INSURED 86.3
4-SUPER HARMONY 75.4
1-SKELLYTOWN 73.1
7-TROUBLETIMESTHREE 65.9
8-EGYPT 64.3

RACE 6
5-JORDANELLE 50.2 (off March 10)
6-ONCE IN AWHILE 49.2 (off July 10)
4-NIP OF GOLD 47.8
3-GUILDED REWARD 46.9
7-MISS BOLD TOPPER 44.6
1-WARREN'S HOPEFUL 44.6

RACE 7
7-WHEN WE MET 94.5
4-GAME ON DUDE 93.8
1-BELIEVE IN HOPE 91.9
6-J P JAMMER 83.2
5-ARCODORO 83.2
3-EL MARTILLO 83.1

RACE 8
1A-INTENTIONAL 63.8 (entry)
9-BANANA CREAM PIE 56.5
3-HANAKKUH 55.5
6-SOCIAL EVENT 55.0
1-FREE FROM SIN 46.9 (entry)

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Wednesday, January 26, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win.Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all-
GOOD LUCK

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Monday, January 24, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 or 5 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 of 4 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-This has happened 13 times that I know of in over 1888 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, January 23, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $104,449.

RACE 1
6-MARK OF A WARRIOR 86.9
2-ELUSIVE MOMENT 83.2
3-BERTRAN HILL 77.2
1-MR. SATURDAYNIGHT 70.9
4-CYNICAL WAGER 66.4

RACE 2
6-TEN DEVILS 84.4
3-GAB POWER 80.2
5-INCLUDING WARDO 76.6
2-DOMINATOR 67.0
4-RONIN DAX 61.5

RACE 3
2-SILVER LUNA 54.0
6-BENECIA 52.6
4-TOSCANOVA 45.1
1-HARBORTON 44.6

1st time starters - 3

RACE 4
7-GIVEME ONEREASON 64.8
5-MELTARIB 63.1
3-UNKNOWN HEAT 60.9
1-NANA BEACH 55.5

RACE 5
7-SUNNY PEACE 64.8
5-LUCY GOT LUCKY 63.8
3-SKY BRITE MISS 61.6
6-ENLIGHTENED 56.0
4-SKYLIGHTS 54.0

RACE 6
5-LEAD BLOCKER 69.5
8-WILD HOMBRE 58.0
6-SECRET JACKPOT 52.7
1-SWISS EMPEROR 51.1
4-WARREN'S MAGIC MAN 47.6

RACE 7
3-STREAKIN' MOHICAN 107.9
9-HOT DAMON 96.5
12-LEOTHELION 92.6
1-SCOFIELD BARRACKS 89.4
11-NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR 88.8

RACE 8
4-ECLAIR DE LUNE 103.1
2-BURG BERG 93.9
3-LILLY FA POOTZ 90.0
5-IT TIZ 86.9
1-SOUTHERN FIREBALL 85.0

RACE 9
6-DAVE'S PACEMAKER 93.9
5-EL SCORPIO 90.7
3-YES IT'S A CAT 88.1
1-REALLY UPTOWN 87.5
8-BRENTHURST 85.0
4-POSITION A 84.4

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Saturday, January 22, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-CALL ME LATER 59.0
7-VISUAL INTENSITY 57.7
6-MINUTESANDTOUCHES 56.5
2-BIG KISS 48.3

RACE 2
2-DEE DEE'S LEGACY 84.4
3-NITRO ACTIVE 82.0
7-CAJUN GENT 79.0
8-BEYOND LOADED 76.0
5-DESTINYS ROAR 76.0

RACE 3
9-ZEES CHRIS 49.2
6-LAKE OSCEOLA 42.0
8-COY PRINCESS 40.7
1-SEACRET DIVA 37.0

1st time starters - 4, 3, 7, 5, 2

RACE 4
1-THE UNUSUAL ONE 80.2
11-CRISPY COREY 68.6
9-LE' HEAT 66.6
4-MAGICAL INSTINCT 66.3
6-EXCUSEMECOMINGTHRU 64.4 (off Jan. 10)

1st time starters - 8, 7, 5, 2

RACE 5
9-ROYAL IMPORT 77.8
7-CANDY FOR PASEANA 76.0
3-SOUTHERN VICTORY 68.7
10-GOBBLER'S KNOB 68.6
5-WARREN'S GRIDLOCK 67.0

RACE 6
5-SAANNEEN 90.7
11-OUR ROAD SCHOLAR 86.3
7-TIZ A BUD GIRL 83.6
9-SHESOPROVOCATIVE 82.6
4-FULLBRIDLED'S SIS 82.1

RACE 7
1-SMILING TIGER 120.8
3-VENTANA 105.2
5-GATO GO WIN 102.5
6-HUNCH 101.8
4-CAPTAIN CHEROKEE 100.4

RACE 8
4-WALLSTREETER 90.0
5-BLOEMER GIRL 83.9
7-ADVANTAGE PLAYER 77.8
9-CAMBINA 74.3
3-RACHEL JONES 73.1

RACE 9
6-WHISPERS OF WAR 65.9
7-DOLCI DOMENICA 62.2 (off July 10)
4-SHOO GEE 59.6 (off May 10)
8-DOMINATING HOLIDAY 44.2
11-MAGICALLYTOWN 35.4

1st time starters - 2, 5, 10

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Friday, January 21, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-CAMICORY 78.4
5-WARREN'S DOVE 74.9
2-DAVE'S RULER 73.7
6-PLANTSITE 72.0
7-PURSE LUVA 69.8

RACE 2
5-THE GREAT ATLANTIC 72.0
6-LISA LULU 68.1
3-RUBY LANE 67.5
2-ELEGANT 66.8
1-FLASHY TRAVELER 65.4

RACE 3
8-LUTESS 66.4
4-ANNIE LOU 54.0
1-MISS ADDY KISS 49.7
7-MAGICAL GRACE 48.3

1st time starters - 6

RACE 4
5-REBA IS TOPS 100.4
2-CONNIPTION 87.4 (off Oct. 09)
6-BELLA ROJA 83.8
7-SOFTLY SINGING 83.2

RACE 5
2-ROCKIN HARBOR 60.1
6-REQUISITION 49.2
1-THUNDER OF ZION 49.2
8-BELL BLITZ 46.9

1st time starters - 7, 9, 4, 10

RACE 6
1-DOS VIENTE 79.6
7-LOST PROPHET 78.4
11-POETIC RICHES 65.9
3-MILLION TOWN 65.4
8-SUANCES ED ESPANA 62.2

RACE 7
1-DUBAI YOU X Y Z 90.0
7-ALLEY HONDRO 88.1
5-BRING IT HOME 88.1
10-RAUSCHENBERG 83.2
2-ROYAL F J 78.4
8-HONOUR FAMILY 78.4

RACE 8
6-BATHING BEAUTY 75.4
8-SCREAMING REGAL 68.6
10-CLUBHOUSE RULES 63.8
9-COOKINTHISORTHAT 58.0
2-FRIGID BRIDGET 55.1

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Thursday, January 20, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-TIZ TRUE 85.0
6-BUC THE SPARTAN 80.8
4-MARINO'S STAR 80.2
3-TROPICAL HEAT 70.3
1-VULCAN 69.3

RACE 2
4-SPUD SPIVENS 63.6
3-BEV N BUD 58.8
2-ALL DE VICTORS 55.0
6-BURNS 52.1
1-STAKIN STEWART 50.6

RACE 3
6-WARREN'S GOT GAME 79.6
4-PHI BETA HEAT 70.4
3-PARTY WITH BRANDO 66.4
2-LADY LAZER 64.0
1-SUANCES FLOWER 60.4

RACE 4
3-POPULAR CAUSE 69.8
2-QUAIL HILL 66.4
1-RENEWING 64.8
6-VALUATION 62.0
5-ROBBIE'S WAR 52.8

1st time starters - 7

RACE 5
3-ASPERITY 92.6
9-LEASE OF LIFE 91.9
7-KRIS SILVER 90.0
4-GALLETA MONSTRUO 85.0
8-MR. KATZ 83.2

RACE 6
10-MONEY INCLUDED 62.7
6-DIAMOND TOUCH 56.5
4-COOKIE'S FROM TONY 55.1
7-CHAMPAGNE TOPPER 53.5

1st time starters - 9

RACE 7
6-CHURCH CAMP 85.0
4-CRISIS OF SPIRIT 82.6
2-WELL DESERVED 82.0
5-SALTY SARAH 81.4
1-PINCELADA 78.4

RACE 8
6-TRUENO 74.9
9-MATAMOR 72.0
3-CALL THE RIVER 71.4
1-OUTRAGEOUS FORTUNE 69.8
7-LOGICAL HABIT 61.6

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Wednesday, January 19, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win.Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all-
GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, January 18, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 or 5 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 of 4 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 13 times that I know of in over 1878 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, January 17, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR MONDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-UNIVERSALPEACE 93.2
5-WORTH REPEATING 90.7
1-JUNIPER PASS 90.0
6-JAIRZIHNO 90.0

RACE 2
1-WHEN WE MET 94.5
2-OILISBLACKGOLD 94.5
5-SETSUKO 93.9
3-ACCELERANT 90.7
4-PODE IR 80.2 (slow start)

RACE 3
8-OFFICERWASISPEEDIN 46.9
2-GOOD ACKTRESS 45.4
6-IRENES JACKPOT 42.0
1-ONE BYE ONE 38.6
3-EXPONENTIAL 35.8

1st time starters -4

RACE 4
7-BEAUTIFUL AMERICAN 81.5
2-ROLLERSKATES 80.3
3-AMERICAN DREAMING 79.9
4-STEVIE'S AFLEET 78.4

RACE 5
4-PREFERED MANDATE 56.0
1-WARREN'S KNOCKOUT 43.3
5-JACK REACHER 39.9

1st time starters - 2, 9, 3, 7, 8, 6

RACE 6
7-MARCY'S WOODS 85.7
3-LUCKY FITZ 80.9
8-TALE OF THE BAT 79.7
1-NO STADIUM 77.2
4-FANTANDO 72.6

RACE 7
7-ARCADIAN 99.1
3-SINAI 95.2
5-CITY COOL 91.9
6-MR ARTISTIC M D 85.0
1-INDUSTRY LEADER 83.2

RACE 8
11-CHAMP PEGASUS 112.2
3-UNUSUAL SUSPECT 105.9
6-BOURBON BAY 103.1
8-BUENOS DIAS 95.8
4-RIVIERA COCKTAIL 93.9

RACE 9
9-SYLLABUS 98.4
1-FIVE A DAY 75.4
7-BELL TONE 70.9
5-WANNA CHAT 67.0
4-MAKE IT A COUGAR 65.4
12-WARREN'S PRANCER 65.4

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Sunday, January 16, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-STRAIGHTOMIDNIGHT 86.3
6-COO CACHOO 79.6
3-COURTSIDE ACTION 74.3
2-CAHILL COUNTRY 72.0
5-LUV DRAGON 70.9

RACE 2
5-CHILOQUIN 84.4
2-TONZATROUBLE 74.3
1-LUCKARACK 70.3
3-KALYRA CAT 70.3
4-DRINK AT BUSTER'S 66.4

RACE 3
5-CALIFORNIA SOLDIER 91.3
7-FOG ALERT 87.5
1-STEPHEN'S GOT HOPE 85.6
3-BUYER'S REMORSE 83.2
6-INDIAN JONES 82.6

RACE 4
5-BRANNIGAN 51.1

1st time starters - 1, 7, 3, 2, 4, 6

RACE 5
6-NO AFILLYATION 70.3
7-BELLA PALOOZA 69.2
3-DESPERATE MEASURES 65.9
1-INTENTIONAL 61.6
2-METER ME GONE 58.5

RACE 6
7-MALUSITA 83.8
5-TRIPPED THE LIGHT 82.0
6-SWEETSOUTHERNQUEEN 73.1
1-MISINJENNUOUS 69.8
8-HARMONY'S HOPE 67.5

RACE 7
2-CALLE VISTA 92.5
3-ANDINA 91.3
6-HEMERA 88.1
1-MICHAEL'S ROSE 87.5
7-I CAN HEAR 83.2

RACE 8
2-BLIND LUCK 117.2
3-MALIBU PIER 100.4
6-ALWAYS A PRINCESS 89.4
4-FASHION TREND 82.0

RACE 9
1-RESPLENDENTLY 75.4
6-GIFTED STUDENT 63.8
2-JAKEY BOY 61.1
5-RENTED COP 59.0 (off Sept. 09)
9-MR. NIGHT RIDER 52.6

1st time starters - 10, 3

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Saturday, January 15, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-GIRLWITHEGOLDHOOF 70.9
7-PAT OLCOTT 65.9
4-KAHLUA MIST 63.8
5-WARREN'S ROSE 62.2
2-ANGEL BEFORE US 60.6

RACE 2
2-AROUSAL 92.5
7-ERIC THE RAM 78.5
5-MR. COMMONS 72.8
6-LULA TALULLAH 64.8

1st time starters - 1, 8

RACE 3
1-CLUBHOUSE RIDE 86.3
2-UNCLE SAM 80.8
4-TAPIZAR 77.8
5-PRIDE OF SILVER 77.2
3-ANTHONY'S CROSS 70.9

RACE 4
5-MINER PIC 73.1
3-IRRIDESCENT RED 70.3
4-OUR BELLINI BIKINI 68.1
6-SAINT'S CROWN 64.3

RACE 5
4-KUMIVA 81.4
6-SCREAMING DESTINY 80.2
1-UZZIAH 79.0
9-ISLE OF PRADO 71.4

1st time starters - 8

RACE 6
3-ZAZU 86.3
1-CALIFORNIA NECTAR 82.0
2-STAR PRESENCE 80.8
4-PLUM PRETTY 78.4
7-TERODA 78.4

RACE 7
3-EARNEDNEVERGIVEN 105.6
7-CONNAGHER 96.5
1-BELIEVE IN HOPE 96.4
5-SMOKEY LONESOME 92.6
4-RED ALERT DAY 92.5

RACE 8
7-INDIAN FIREWATER 99.1
4-HAIMISH HY 97.8
1-TWEEBSTER 96.5
6-THISKYHASNOLIMIT 95.2
5-DO IT ALL 90.0

RACE 9
4-ULTIMATE QUESTION 56.5
7-CABO SAN LUCAS 53.0
9-DA MARSHALL 46.9
6-PURE DISTINCTION 43.3
1-GOLDENWARRIOR 29.3

1st time starters - 3, 2, 5, 11, 8

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Friday, January 14, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-ALL SLEWS STAR 67.5
2-REGROUP 65.4
5-VOTE OF APPROVAL 63.2
4-TOY 58.2
3-TWICE THE APPEAL 58.0

RACE 2
5-LEMON DROP RIDGE 57.5
6-L'ANCH 53.0
2-WARREN'S HANDFUL 46.4
1-CONFECTIONIST 44.2

RACE 3
2-GRAND MISCHIEF 76.0
3-SEPARATE FOREST 74.9
4-CHAMPAGNEANDLILIES 68.6
1-ALL THE LOVE 64.8

RACE 4
1-RECIPIENT 74.9
2-YELLOW SLICKER 65.9
5-SECRET COVE 54.7
6-EMILY PEARL 54.0
3-GHOST N YOUR HEART 49.7
4-EZ RACHEL 49.7

RACE 5
1-SWEET CONSOLIDATOR 49.7
2-DIAMOND JOURNEY 43.8
7-ONE MORE PALO 35.8
3-HOMEWORK 34.6

1st time starters - 5, 6

RACE 6
1-TASHZARA 80.2
8-KHENDUM 78.7
3-ALL STAR HEART 74.8
6-UNKNOWN HEAT 73.7
4-MUTUALLY BENEFIT 70.9

RACE 7
1-STACY'S HOPE 101.1
2-MOONLARK 97.8
7-YANKEE STATION 97.1
4-SQUARE EDDIE 93.9 (off Dec. 09)
6-BRADIUM 83.2

RACE 8
8-MO CHEESE 56.0
6-TRUCKEE THRUST 51.6
12-NANA BEACH 50.2
7-MISS BOLD TOPPER 49.7
5-SALLY'S BLADE 47.4

1st time starters - 11

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Thursday, January 13, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-MARRYMEONEMORETIME 76.0
5-ZOHRAH 74.6
3-MILLIONDOLLARBILL 62.9
4-APRISA LUNA 62.7
1-SUBTLE GREEK 61.1

RACE 2
7-AIN 75.3
1-MILYONE 73.7 (entry)
1A-SARBONNE 72.6 (entry)
4-BLAZING 69.8

1st time starters - 3

RACE 3
2-SPECTACULAR SLEW 77.2
6-OBSESS 76.6
7-RIBALD 76.0
3-PEACOCK ALLIANCE 72.6
5-THREE POINTER 69.8

RACE 4
4-FLEET CONTINENTAL 81.4
7-ESPIRITO SANTO 62.2
5-JEFFERY'S GROOVE 42.4
6-CHARLIE'SBOYWINS 35.4

1st time starters - 3, 2

RACE 5
8-WORKING AT NIGHT 79.6
2-LULA TALULLAH 74.9
6-RICKETYRACKETYRUSS 68.6
1-TOWN BELLE 67.0
5-CADAZZLE 63.8

1st time starters -4, 7, 10

RACE 6
8-SKELLYTOWN 78.4
1-OH HOW NICE 71.4
2-SUPER HARMONY 67.5
7-TROUBLETIMESTHREE 66.4
4-FIGEAC 60.1

RACE 7
5-DIME 83.8
3-CELESTIC NIGHT 73.4
4-OFFLEE WILD BOYS 70.0
6-DIAMOND GEEZAH 70.0

RACE 8
3-FORWARD COMMITMENT 64.8
9-BREAKMARK 64.3
6-PLEASANT EARTH 62.7
8-COFFEE GOSSIP 49.7
1-GUADALUPE LUPE 42.9

1st time starters - 7

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Wednesday, January 12, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win.Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all-
GOOD LUCK

Monday, January 10, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 or 5 horses for each race?

I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 of 4 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.Program number does not match horse's name-This has happened 13 times that I know of in over 1876 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, January 09, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-SPECTACULAR SKY 81.4
3-HARD TO RESIST 74.3

1st time starters - 2, 4, 5

RACE 2
1-RAINBOW LUCK 83.8
2-SIBERIAN HEAT 80.8
7-BELLINI BLISS 77.2
3-CHARLIE'S PRINCESS 76.6
6-HOLY FLAPPER 73.7

RACE 3
4-MAY DAY ROSE 92.6
3-ZAZU 89.4
5-PLUM PRETTY 78.4
1-BLUEGRASS CHATTER 76.6
2-SCARLET STARLET 69.8

RACE 4
2-BELO PURSE 84.4
6-JOB BOSS 80.8
5-TROPICAL HEAT 76.0
1-MARQUET REBEL 76.0
3-CAPTURE THE CALL 76.0

RACE 5
2-ABSOLUTLYPOSITIVLY 80.8
6-EXCELLING 73.1
5-CANTONA 70.9
7-NOFTY 67.0
4-LE' HEAT 66.4

RACE 6
4-BAD BOY 97.8
3-SELF INSURED 84.4
2-NITRO ACTIVE 83.8
6-PROUD CARDENAL 82.0

RACE 7
5-RUSSIAN RIVER 86.9
3-MONEY LOVER 83.8
7-WAKE ME NOW 83.8
6-ROYAL TIGER 77.8
4-GOOD VIBRATION 77.4
2-ROTE 76.8

RACE 8
5-NO GRANDE 95.2
8-HOT DAMON 93.9
4-A PLUS TOPPER 91.3
6-C TIZZ RUN 89.4
1-HE'S A DANCE STAR 85.0

RACE 9
9-GLORY PRIDE 83.2
1-MOON STONE MADNESS 79.6
6-FAIRWAY ROAD 78.4
5-FINALITY PHILLY 72.6
8-NOTHING TO FEAR 71.1

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Saturday, January 08, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-TOKUBETSU 76.0
1-CABO SAN LUCAS 67.5
2-HOLLYWOOD HEIST 52.6

1st time starters - 7, 5, 6, 3

RACE 2
6-WINNING DESIRE 70.9
7-DEVOUR 66.4
5-THE PHENOM 63.8
1-EDGEWICK ROAD 60.6
3-STORMIN PROUD PAPA 55.5

RACE 3
6-DREAMY KID 87.5
4-UNEX DALI 79.6
1-PARABLE 67.0 (entry)
5-WEGNER 66.4
1A-WORLD RENOWNED 64.3 (entry)
2-T. K. FORTYSIX 64.3

RACE 4
3-RIVERS MAMBO 69.2
6-GLADIATRIX 67.5
8-BENECIA 59.0
2-TUESDAYS WITH P 53.0
4-READY INTEREST 52.0

1st time starters - 7

RACE 5
3-BETTYBOOMBOOM 78.4
2-ULTRA AWESOME 68.1
1-SUBPOENA THE DRESS 66.4
8-CATO MAJOR 65.4
4-FORTY DATES 64.3
6-POETIC RICHES 64.3

RACE 6
7-DERRICK DO 102.5
6-THOMAS BAINES 92.5
4-MR TOKYO 90.7
3-FANDINO 88.1
9-REALLY UPTOWN 86.3

RACE 7
1-AGGIE ENGINEER 112.2
4-DAKOTA PHONE 110.7
5-SPURRIER 104.5
6-RED DOOR DRIVE 96.5
2-QUINDICI MAN 92.6

RACE 8
5-CONTROL SEEKER 88.1
8-SHORT MEMO 85.0
3-RENEGADE STORM 82.6
7-SAMMARTINO 81.4
6-MIGUEL'S MASCOT 79.6

RACE 9
5-MCDUFFIE 49.2
4-HARBORTON 44.6
6-WOODMAN'S LASS 43.8
12-STEPALIZE 40.7
8-LOVE YOU SO 36.2

1st time starters - 3

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Friday, January 07, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-MEMO TO KATHY 67.5
3-MISS BUXLEY 58.0
1-TABLE FOR ONE 47.8
6-BANANA CREAM PIE 46.0
2-EXCELLENT POINT 43.8

RACE 2
4-SAMBA SCHOOL 82.0
6-ALPINE YODEL 78.2
3-STEVIE'S AFLEET 77.8
5-BROOKE'S FANTASY 76.0
1-LIVING OUR DREAM 74.9

RACE 3
4-QUISISANA 105.9
5-MOTHER RUTH 95.2
1-GILDED GEM 88.8
3-DISTINCTIVE 85.0
6-SUBSIDIZED 85.0

RACE 4
5-TEMP 93.9
1-CRAGMONT 76.0 (entry)
2-BRACE YOURSELVES 68.1
1X-RACHELS MOON 67.0 (entry)
4-TUXEDO BLUES 51.1

1st time starters - 6, 3, 7

RACE 5
8-RULE THE STORM 93.2
5-VAN BRIT 86.3
4-WALTZING SWAN 86.3
1-STARTJUMPIN MARNIE 85.0

RACE 6
3-ROLLING TIDE 71.4
5-NO APOLOGY 61.1
7-A NATURAL 59.0
4-EXCESSIVELY TRICK 58.0
2-COOKINTHISORTHAT 55.5

1st time starters - 11, 10, 9, 6

RACE 7
4-MOBILIZED 102.1
5-BLUE CHAGALL 99.1
7-RIVIERA COCKTAIL 97.1
3-SKY CAPE 93.2
2-UNBRIDLE'S DREAM 93.2

RACE 8
2-THUNDER OF ZION 50.6
13-WARREN'S A LEGEND 50.5
7-MERLIN Z 48.8
14-SPECTACULAR FUN 44.6

1st time starters - 6, 1 (had 2 f. races - April 10) 3, 11, 5, 8

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Thursday, January 06, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-LICHTENSTEIN 103.1
3-SAINTLY SEOUL 58.9
5-MR. NIGHT RIDER 56.5
1-GAELIC GLORY 53.0
2-EL VINO 42.4

1st time starters - 4

RACE 2
6-TAKETHEMONEYANDRUN 76.6
5-LIFT OUR LUCK 65.9
4-SAMBORA 62.3
2-GHOST N YOUR HEART 59.0
1-SOCIAL EVENT 54.5

RACE 3
2-YODELADY O 90.0
3-ENTABENI 83.8
8-BELLA ROJA 82.6
7-MADELINE RUBY 82.5
4-MAGIC LAUNCH 80.1

RACE 4
2-MARQUISITE 49.2
4-GREAT BERNARDINE 46.4
10-RIO'SFAVORITEONE 44.6
11-SCENT OF CHRISM 44.2
7-SLEEPY TIME GIRL 42.0 (off Sept. 09)

1st time starters - 5, 1

RACE 5
7-BITT A HEAT 70.9
5-UNKNOWN HEAT 67.0
4-FAVOLOSO 54.0
8-SITTYTWOFITTY 53.0
3-PHI BETA HEAT 47.6

1st time starters - 9

RACE 6
4-SERENE SOPHIA 84.4
2-OUR ROAD SCHOLAR 82.6
3-FREQUENT FAME 80.2
7-SHESOPROVOCATIVE 79.5
1-TORREY CLIFFS 77.1

RACE 7
4-YODELEN DAN 93.9
7-NO DREAM 93.2
1-GET A GRIP 91.3
3-SPORTING ART 90.7
2-TIZ ARGENT 86.3

RACE 8
8-WARRENS HIGHROLLER 63.8
6-LED ADVANTAGE 61.6
3-ELLIE L. 56.5
9-MARINO'S PROMISE 56.1
1-MYSTERY BIRD 54.0

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Wednesday, January 05, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win.Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all-
GOOD LUCK

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Tuesday, January 04, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 or 5 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 of 4 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.Program number does not match horse's name-This has happened 13 times that I know of in over 1885 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?

GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, January 02, 2011

 

FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $120,599.

RACE 1
3-DEAR MARIA 40.7
6-REAL ROCKPORT 39.9
2-FREEWAY RACER 39.0
1-ALEXANDRIA MARIE32.3
4-OFFICERWASISPEEDIN 28.9

RACE 2
4-UNZIP ME 105.2
2-EVENING JEWEL 97.9
6-REBA IS TOPS 96.5
1-BROKEN DREAMS 93.9
8-GILDED GEM 90.0

RACE 3
1-SUANCES FLOWER 62.2
6-GIVEME ONEREASON 60.6
5-FINISH RICH IN NYC 59.6
3-EVER ASK ME AGAIN 54.5

1st time starters - 2, 4

RACE 4
8-RED DEFENSE 107.7
3-BLUE JAY ATTACK 94.5
7-PACK YOUR BAGS 91.3
9-DETROIT DONNIE 90.6
12-KILLER BEAR 88.8

RACE 5
8-PRIMED 79.0
2-CRUZIN TOPLESS 77.8
5-SHE'S NOT LION 70.6
10-ISLAND SHINE 62.7
3-PRETTY KINZIE 61.6
1-RAEBELLA 61.6

RACE 6
3-LULA TALULLAH 73.4
7-ANNIVERSARY GIRL 72.6
8-HIGHLY COMPOSED 64.8
5-SKY ANGEL 64.8
1-MRS. ROSA 61.4 (off slow)

1st time starters - 6, 2 (in U.S.A. -fgn.)

RACE 7
4-POINT ATTENDED 91.3
1-RUMMYSECRET WAR 89.4
8-LIT'SGOODLOOKNGRAY 87.5
10-POSITIVE FORCE 83.8
7-THE WHAMMER 79.6
6-DEVILS AFLEET 79.0

RACE 8
4-VALIANT EFFORT 85.6
2-MCMURTRY 84.4
1-IT'S NOT UNUSUAL 83.8
3-LODI RED 81.4
6-ACCELERANT 81.4

RACE 9
4-TRUENO 75.4
6-CALL THE RIVER 71.4
3-VIVA MACHO 71.4
9-OUTRAGEOUS FORTUNE 70.3
11-CAPTAIN BEAU 68.6
2-MATAMOR 67.5

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Saturday, January 01, 2011

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
7-WARREN'S DOVE 74.3
4-GOOD BROTHER 73.1
1-THRICE THE VICE 69.8
2-TOWSER 68.6
5-MILANS SUN 63.8

RACE 2
2-SUMMERS AT DELMAR 94.5
7-GILLIGAN 80.0
1-COO CACHOO 77.8
4-TIME FOR ATONEMENT 74.9
5-DUKE OF ASPEN 70.9

RACE 3
3-ECLAIR DE LUNE 103.1
5-HARMONIOUS 100.4
1-GO FORTH NORTH 97.8
4-SPRING STYLE 83.8
2-POWEROFVOODOO 68.6

RACE 4
4-WARREN'S TOMMY TOO 63.9
8-SECRET JACKPOT 63.2
1-WARREN'S CONCEPT 57.5
6-WARRENS WILD THING 57.0
9-OH MIGHTY DOLLAR 52.1

RACE 5
5-CHURCH AVENUE 80.0
6-TAMERIN 78.9
2-RIVER GLOW 77.8
4-GRAND MISCHIEF 68.1
7-BUCH MARINO 67.5

RACE 6
2-SHRED THE SECRETS 70.3
3-SHELTER COVE 65.4
1-FULL INSTINCT 64.3
6-STAR NAVIGATOR 60.1

1st time starters - 5, 4, 7, 8

RACE 7
6-IRREFUTABLE 99.8
10-DERRICK DO 99.8
2-CATALAN 92.6
3-SOLAR ROCKET 89.4
1-SCOFIELD BARRACKS 88.1
8-KORBAN 87.5

RACE 8
6-QUICK ENOUGH 112.2
5-REGALLY READY 101.8
1-DANCE WITH GABLE 99.1
2-AFLEET RULER 97.1
7-DILEMMA 96.5

RACE 9
14-TWO VIOLINS 88.1
12-CANDY COAT 83.2
5-CAJUN GENT 79.0
3-CAFE CON LECHE 77.8
13-BEYOND LOADEED 76.0

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