Tuesday, November 30, 2010
HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win.Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all-
GOOD LUCK
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win.Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all-
GOOD LUCK
Labels: betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Monday, November 29, 2010
HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 or 5 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 of 4 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting
.Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-This has happened 13 times that I know of in over 1837 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 or 5 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 of 4 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting
.Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-This has happened 13 times that I know of in over 1837 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, November 28, 2010
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-DERRICK DO 101.8
4-MARCY'S WOODS 84.4
3-QUINTONS FLASH 80.2
1-LUCKY FITZ 71.4
2-WARREN'S PRANCER 71.4
RACE 2
7-SEVEN SECRETS 88.8 (off Dec. 08)
6-VICTORIAN PRINCE 76.0
4-SURF TOWN 76.0
1-MARGARITA SHOT 68.6
RACE 3
2-AFLEET RULER 98.4
3-MY SUMMER SLEW 97.8
5-DILEMMA 96.5
1-SKY CAPE 93.9
6-DANCE WITH GABLE 93.9
RACE 4
3-LEMON 86.9
2-EXCLAMATION 82.6
5-PROUD CARDENAL 74.9
1A-ISLAND RUN 71.4 (entry)
1-EGYPT 67.2 (entry)
RACE 5
7-DUBAWI HEIGHTS 80.2
3-TIZALWAYSOMETHING 78.4
2-IRISH TORRENT 74.9
1-TASHZARA 74.3
4-CATCHY TUNE 68.6
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
1-PRIDE OF SILVER 79.0
9-ALL SLEWS STAR 67.0
5-OAKCREST DRIVE 65.2
8-ERIC THE RAM 62.2
1st time starters - 4, 3, 7, 6
RACE 7 (all 2yo. going 1 mile )
1-NEVERSAIDIWASSWEET 77.2
3-CALIFORNIA NECTAR 70.3
2-HOLIDAY FOR KITTEN 68.6
4-CLONEYLASS 64.8
RACE 8
1-ALCINDOR 102.5
3-SCOFIELD BARRACKS 101.8
7-CEE'S PRYME 97.8
4-NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR 94.5
8-SOLAR ROCKET 91.3
RACE 9
1-LIONS STORY 99.6
2-BLUE PANIS 95.2
7-FANTASTIC PICK 94.5
5-JAIRZIHNO 91.9
8-HAMISH HY 91.3
3-SEBASTIAN FLYTE 91.3
RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
7-BRYAN DANIEL 37.4
8-TRIBAL WISH 37.4
2-DOUBLE D'S DIAMOND 33.0
3-MONEY INCLUDED 30.4
5-ONE DAY LATE 27.2
1st time starters - 1A (entry)
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-DERRICK DO 101.8
4-MARCY'S WOODS 84.4
3-QUINTONS FLASH 80.2
1-LUCKY FITZ 71.4
2-WARREN'S PRANCER 71.4
RACE 2
7-SEVEN SECRETS 88.8 (off Dec. 08)
6-VICTORIAN PRINCE 76.0
4-SURF TOWN 76.0
1-MARGARITA SHOT 68.6
RACE 3
2-AFLEET RULER 98.4
3-MY SUMMER SLEW 97.8
5-DILEMMA 96.5
1-SKY CAPE 93.9
6-DANCE WITH GABLE 93.9
RACE 4
3-LEMON 86.9
2-EXCLAMATION 82.6
5-PROUD CARDENAL 74.9
1A-ISLAND RUN 71.4 (entry)
1-EGYPT 67.2 (entry)
RACE 5
7-DUBAWI HEIGHTS 80.2
3-TIZALWAYSOMETHING 78.4
2-IRISH TORRENT 74.9
1-TASHZARA 74.3
4-CATCHY TUNE 68.6
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
1-PRIDE OF SILVER 79.0
9-ALL SLEWS STAR 67.0
5-OAKCREST DRIVE 65.2
8-ERIC THE RAM 62.2
1st time starters - 4, 3, 7, 6
RACE 7 (all 2yo. going 1 mile )
1-NEVERSAIDIWASSWEET 77.2
3-CALIFORNIA NECTAR 70.3
2-HOLIDAY FOR KITTEN 68.6
4-CLONEYLASS 64.8
RACE 8
1-ALCINDOR 102.5
3-SCOFIELD BARRACKS 101.8
7-CEE'S PRYME 97.8
4-NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR 94.5
8-SOLAR ROCKET 91.3
RACE 9
1-LIONS STORY 99.6
2-BLUE PANIS 95.2
7-FANTASTIC PICK 94.5
5-JAIRZIHNO 91.9
8-HAMISH HY 91.3
3-SEBASTIAN FLYTE 91.3
RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
7-BRYAN DANIEL 37.4
8-TRIBAL WISH 37.4
2-DOUBLE D'S DIAMOND 33.0
3-MONEY INCLUDED 30.4
5-ONE DAY LATE 27.2
1st time starters - 1A (entry)
Labels: betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, November 27, 2010
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
NOTE: FRIDAY MY TOP PICKS WON 5 OF THE RACES.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
1-DANCING AT DARK 76.6
2-MEMO TO KATHY 73.1
4-BELLA PALOOZA 65.4
3-FUTURE READINGS 62.7
5-TONZATROUBLE 60.6
RACE 2
1-MISS PICABOO 66.4
4-ELEGANT 65.9
8-MARQUISITE 57.5
10-KISS MY SWISS 54.0
RACE 3
4-FLUKE 110.0
5-JERANIMO 107.3
3-ALLEGRE 96.5
1-NO INFLATION 95.8
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
4-MCDUFFIE 50.6
8-HOT TICKET 50.6
5-ONE BY ONE 45.5
7-SHE'SAWONTONTOMATO 45.5
2-STEPALIZE 39.4
1st time starters - 6
RACE 5
6-MR. CACHT 96.4
4-POSITION A 95.7
5-DAPPER GENE 92.6
2-MAUI MARK 85.6
7-SLAM SLEW 83.8 (off Sept. 09)
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
4-HIGHLY COMPOSED 82.5
2-LUNCH TIME DIVA 77.8
8-RIVER'S MAMBO 74.9
5-BORN FLIRT 69.8
1sttime starters - 6, 7, 3
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
8-COMMA TO THE TOP 111.6
4-SURREY STAR 84.5
9-DIVINE CHILD 74.8
5-GAB POWER 71.4
6-BOXEUR DES RUES 64.0
RACE 8
4-RED DEFENSE 102.5
5-ITALIAN RULES 98.4
6-NO GRANDE 98.4
3-RUNAWAY BANDIDO 86.3
9-ROARING TIMES 84.4
RACE 9
8-COURT VISION 111.4
10-ENRICHED 108.4
7-PROUDINSKY 105.9
9-COLGAN'S CHIP 105.2
6-VIOLON SACRE 105.2
RACE 10
3-WARREN'S MOON 68.6
6-SPACE AGE LOVESONG 63.2
10-LOST PROPHET 60.6
1-ATTA' GIRL 57.5
8-HOT LITTLE BUG 54.0
5-DERBY MEMO 54.0
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
NOTE: FRIDAY MY TOP PICKS WON 5 OF THE RACES.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
1-DANCING AT DARK 76.6
2-MEMO TO KATHY 73.1
4-BELLA PALOOZA 65.4
3-FUTURE READINGS 62.7
5-TONZATROUBLE 60.6
RACE 2
1-MISS PICABOO 66.4
4-ELEGANT 65.9
8-MARQUISITE 57.5
10-KISS MY SWISS 54.0
RACE 3
4-FLUKE 110.0
5-JERANIMO 107.3
3-ALLEGRE 96.5
1-NO INFLATION 95.8
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
4-MCDUFFIE 50.6
8-HOT TICKET 50.6
5-ONE BY ONE 45.5
7-SHE'SAWONTONTOMATO 45.5
2-STEPALIZE 39.4
1st time starters - 6
RACE 5
6-MR. CACHT 96.4
4-POSITION A 95.7
5-DAPPER GENE 92.6
2-MAUI MARK 85.6
7-SLAM SLEW 83.8 (off Sept. 09)
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
4-HIGHLY COMPOSED 82.5
2-LUNCH TIME DIVA 77.8
8-RIVER'S MAMBO 74.9
5-BORN FLIRT 69.8
1sttime starters - 6, 7, 3
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
8-COMMA TO THE TOP 111.6
4-SURREY STAR 84.5
9-DIVINE CHILD 74.8
5-GAB POWER 71.4
6-BOXEUR DES RUES 64.0
RACE 8
4-RED DEFENSE 102.5
5-ITALIAN RULES 98.4
6-NO GRANDE 98.4
3-RUNAWAY BANDIDO 86.3
9-ROARING TIMES 84.4
RACE 9
8-COURT VISION 111.4
10-ENRICHED 108.4
7-PROUDINSKY 105.9
9-COLGAN'S CHIP 105.2
6-VIOLON SACRE 105.2
RACE 10
3-WARREN'S MOON 68.6
6-SPACE AGE LOVESONG 63.2
10-LOST PROPHET 60.6
1-ATTA' GIRL 57.5
8-HOT LITTLE BUG 54.0
5-DERBY MEMO 54.0
Labels: betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, November 26, 2010
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-PERFECT FEAT 84.4
3-BAR ROCK OMAMA 79.0
4-THE GREAT ATLANTIC 70.3
5-KAHLUA MIST 63.8
2-DANCINCONESTRELLAS 58.0
RACE 2
2-MARK OF A WARRIOR 74.3
9-WARREN'S DOVE 73.1
5-GOOD BROTHER 71.4
3-PRIDE OF WILSHIRE 68.1
RACE 3
1-PATRIOTIC VIVA 94.5
4-APPEALING AFARE 92.6
2-GUILDED GEM 83.8
3-DISTINCTIVE 79.6
5-CHURCH CAMP 75.4
RACE 4
1-WINSOME CHARM 99.1
2-KRIS SILVER 94.5
4-GREAT SIEGE 93.2
6-YODELEN DAN 93.2
3-WALTZING WITH BLUE 91.9
RACE 5
4-C TIZZ RUN 86.3
1-MAGICAL INSTINCT 68.6
7-ARMENIAN STAR 68.1
6-URBAN HUNTER 60.6
3-THE UNUSUAL ONE 60.1
1st time starters - 8, 5, 2
RACE 6
1-ELUSIVE MOMENT 77.8
8-SOUTHERN VICTORY 73.1
7-RATHMAN 71.4
3-GREENWICH PARK 70.6
5-K K'S BRO 70.3
RACE 7
3-WAVELINE 97.1
2-GO ON BABE 93.8
6-REBA IS TOPS 92.6
5-RATED FIESTY 91.9
4-PINK DIAMOND 87.5
RACE 8
1-IRRIDESCENT RED 77.2
2-MARINO'S PROMISE 69.8
8-ASCOT'S HIGHFLYER 67.0
4-CANDY'S PLEASURE 66.4
7-PAY FOR PLAY 66.4
RACE 9
7-WASTED TEARS 112.9
6-SPECIAL DUTY 109.5
1-GYPSY'S WARNING 98.4
4-WESTWOOD PRIDE 97.8
5-GOFORTH NORTH 95.2
RACE 10
5-BATTLE SCHOOL 78.4
2-BATTLING ATTICUS 62.7
10-SECRET JACKPOT 61.1
1-PHILLY SLEW 53.5
6-SWONGS 52.6
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-PERFECT FEAT 84.4
3-BAR ROCK OMAMA 79.0
4-THE GREAT ATLANTIC 70.3
5-KAHLUA MIST 63.8
2-DANCINCONESTRELLAS 58.0
RACE 2
2-MARK OF A WARRIOR 74.3
9-WARREN'S DOVE 73.1
5-GOOD BROTHER 71.4
3-PRIDE OF WILSHIRE 68.1
RACE 3
1-PATRIOTIC VIVA 94.5
4-APPEALING AFARE 92.6
2-GUILDED GEM 83.8
3-DISTINCTIVE 79.6
5-CHURCH CAMP 75.4
RACE 4
1-WINSOME CHARM 99.1
2-KRIS SILVER 94.5
4-GREAT SIEGE 93.2
6-YODELEN DAN 93.2
3-WALTZING WITH BLUE 91.9
RACE 5
4-C TIZZ RUN 86.3
1-MAGICAL INSTINCT 68.6
7-ARMENIAN STAR 68.1
6-URBAN HUNTER 60.6
3-THE UNUSUAL ONE 60.1
1st time starters - 8, 5, 2
RACE 6
1-ELUSIVE MOMENT 77.8
8-SOUTHERN VICTORY 73.1
7-RATHMAN 71.4
3-GREENWICH PARK 70.6
5-K K'S BRO 70.3
RACE 7
3-WAVELINE 97.1
2-GO ON BABE 93.8
6-REBA IS TOPS 92.6
5-RATED FIESTY 91.9
4-PINK DIAMOND 87.5
RACE 8
1-IRRIDESCENT RED 77.2
2-MARINO'S PROMISE 69.8
8-ASCOT'S HIGHFLYER 67.0
4-CANDY'S PLEASURE 66.4
7-PAY FOR PLAY 66.4
RACE 9
7-WASTED TEARS 112.9
6-SPECIAL DUTY 109.5
1-GYPSY'S WARNING 98.4
4-WESTWOOD PRIDE 97.8
5-GOFORTH NORTH 95.2
RACE 10
5-BATTLE SCHOOL 78.4
2-BATTLING ATTICUS 62.7
10-SECRET JACKPOT 61.1
1-PHILLY SLEW 53.5
6-SWONGS 52.6
Labels: betting, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, November 25, 2010
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
NOTE: SUNDAY MY TOP PICKS WON 6 OUT OF THE NINE RACES.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
5-RIVETING REASON 83.8
3-CASH MICHAEL 56.0
4-STAKIN STEWART 49.2
1-JIM'S DECISION 44.6
2-WEGNER 37.4
RACE 2
5-LIVING OUR DREAM 79.0
3-BROOKE'S FANTASY 77.8
6-DAYLUMNEY 72.0
1-ROLLERSKATES 71.6
RACE 3
1-MOBILIZED 93.9
2-MUNY 91.5
3-DETAILS R SKETCHY 88.9
4-WHEN WE MET 85.7
5-J P JAMMER 78.4
RACE 4
1A-AFLEET DEAL 81.4 (entry)
7-CAFECON LECHE 80.8
6-TALL TEXAN 79.0
4-DON ELIAS M. 75.4 (off Oct. 09)
2-EASY ON THE EYE 73.7
RACE 5
1-WARRENSMYSTERYDICE 82.7
8-LADY LAZER 82.0
5-LIGHT OF A STAR 80.3
10-U TURN ME CRAZY 79.6
3-SHE'S NOT LION 77.2
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
5-LEMON DROP RIDGE 52.1
7-J'NOODLE 47.1
9-GOOD ACKTRESS 46.9
1-GO TENA GO 45.2
8-WARREN'S HANDFULL 44.2
RACE 7
6-E Z'S GENTLEMAN 119.3
2-COST OF FREEDOM 114.3
5-SCENIC BLAST 103.8
1-CANONIZE 103.8
4-SQUARE DEAL 103.1
RACE 8
5-UNCLE GREG 85.0
10-VALLEY CAT 84.4
3-NO STADIUM 81.5
6-SPECTACULAR SLEW 79.9
11-ANGA 79.9
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
NOTE: SUNDAY MY TOP PICKS WON 6 OUT OF THE NINE RACES.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
5-RIVETING REASON 83.8
3-CASH MICHAEL 56.0
4-STAKIN STEWART 49.2
1-JIM'S DECISION 44.6
2-WEGNER 37.4
RACE 2
5-LIVING OUR DREAM 79.0
3-BROOKE'S FANTASY 77.8
6-DAYLUMNEY 72.0
1-ROLLERSKATES 71.6
RACE 3
1-MOBILIZED 93.9
2-MUNY 91.5
3-DETAILS R SKETCHY 88.9
4-WHEN WE MET 85.7
5-J P JAMMER 78.4
RACE 4
1A-AFLEET DEAL 81.4 (entry)
7-CAFECON LECHE 80.8
6-TALL TEXAN 79.0
4-DON ELIAS M. 75.4 (off Oct. 09)
2-EASY ON THE EYE 73.7
RACE 5
1-WARRENSMYSTERYDICE 82.7
8-LADY LAZER 82.0
5-LIGHT OF A STAR 80.3
10-U TURN ME CRAZY 79.6
3-SHE'S NOT LION 77.2
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
5-LEMON DROP RIDGE 52.1
7-J'NOODLE 47.1
9-GOOD ACKTRESS 46.9
1-GO TENA GO 45.2
8-WARREN'S HANDFULL 44.2
RACE 7
6-E Z'S GENTLEMAN 119.3
2-COST OF FREEDOM 114.3
5-SCENIC BLAST 103.8
1-CANONIZE 103.8
4-SQUARE DEAL 103.1
RACE 8
5-UNCLE GREG 85.0
10-VALLEY CAT 84.4
3-NO STADIUM 81.5
6-SPECTACULAR SLEW 79.9
11-ANGA 79.9
Labels: betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horseracing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, November 24, 2010
INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win.Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all-
GOOD LUCK
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win.Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all-
GOOD LUCK
Labels: betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Monday, November 22, 2010
HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 or 5 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 of 4 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.Program number does not match horse's name-This has happened 12 times that I know of in over 1829 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 or 5 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 of 4 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.Program number does not match horse's name-This has happened 12 times that I know of in over 1829 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: betting, free, Hollywood Park, horseracing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, November 21, 2010
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-KING OF CALIFORNIA 89.4
3-BLAZING 85.0
6-THE UNUSAL ONE 74.9
4-SARBONNE 62.7
2-EMERALD ASSETS 62.2
1st time starters - 5
RACE 2
2-STEPHEN'S GOT HOPE 83.8
5-ALISAL 71.6
4-ISLE OF PRADO 70.9
3-VIVA MACHO 63.8
1-WILD HOMBRE 44.7
RACE 3
4-RULE THE STORM 97.1
2-CALLE VISTA 91.3
5-HEMERA 90.7
6-MALIBU PIER 89.4
1-CATSALOT 87.5
RACE 4
3-THREE POINTER 76.0
6-OBSESS 70.9
1-SCORSESE 68.6
5-TIME FOR ATONEMENT 67.0
2-SLEW CITY GOLD 65.4
RACE 5
1-STREETS OF HEAVEN 85.0
5-OH HOW NICE 76.0
6-MIND THE MINISTER 68.1
4-GOLD TRIM 65.9
7-SUPER HARMONY 65.4
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
1A-SCREAMING REGAL 72.0 (entry)
1-GOING FOR A SPIN 57.0 (entry)
6-BATHING BEAUTY 56.0
7-STING N STELLA 55.5
1st time starters - 9, 3, 4, 8, 2
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
5-TURBULENT DESCENT 97.1
2-SUGARINTHEMORNING 93.2
6-ZAZU 92.6
4-TALES IN EXCESS 79.0
1-WARREN'S FLYER 74.9
RACE 8
2-HUNCH 102.5 (off Dec. 09)
6-SEA RASCAL 101.8
4-THE BAT SIGNAL 98.4
3-EARNEDNEVERGIVEN 97.8
7-MR. BOSSY PANTS 94.0
RACE 9
6-TAKE A HARD LOOK 64.8
9-SOUVENIR SUMMER 55.5
1-BREAKMARK 52.6
11-REGAL FEVER 50.2
5-SOCIETY AT LARGE 38.6
1st time starters - 4
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-KING OF CALIFORNIA 89.4
3-BLAZING 85.0
6-THE UNUSAL ONE 74.9
4-SARBONNE 62.7
2-EMERALD ASSETS 62.2
1st time starters - 5
RACE 2
2-STEPHEN'S GOT HOPE 83.8
5-ALISAL 71.6
4-ISLE OF PRADO 70.9
3-VIVA MACHO 63.8
1-WILD HOMBRE 44.7
RACE 3
4-RULE THE STORM 97.1
2-CALLE VISTA 91.3
5-HEMERA 90.7
6-MALIBU PIER 89.4
1-CATSALOT 87.5
RACE 4
3-THREE POINTER 76.0
6-OBSESS 70.9
1-SCORSESE 68.6
5-TIME FOR ATONEMENT 67.0
2-SLEW CITY GOLD 65.4
RACE 5
1-STREETS OF HEAVEN 85.0
5-OH HOW NICE 76.0
6-MIND THE MINISTER 68.1
4-GOLD TRIM 65.9
7-SUPER HARMONY 65.4
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
1A-SCREAMING REGAL 72.0 (entry)
1-GOING FOR A SPIN 57.0 (entry)
6-BATHING BEAUTY 56.0
7-STING N STELLA 55.5
1st time starters - 9, 3, 4, 8, 2
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
5-TURBULENT DESCENT 97.1
2-SUGARINTHEMORNING 93.2
6-ZAZU 92.6
4-TALES IN EXCESS 79.0
1-WARREN'S FLYER 74.9
RACE 8
2-HUNCH 102.5 (off Dec. 09)
6-SEA RASCAL 101.8
4-THE BAT SIGNAL 98.4
3-EARNEDNEVERGIVEN 97.8
7-MR. BOSSY PANTS 94.0
RACE 9
6-TAKE A HARD LOOK 64.8
9-SOUVENIR SUMMER 55.5
1-BREAKMARK 52.6
11-REGAL FEVER 50.2
5-SOCIETY AT LARGE 38.6
1st time starters - 4
Labels: betting, free, handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, November 20, 2010
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-SWEET AND JAZZY 64.3
6-DOS VEINTE 60.1
5-MISS SEAMLESS 59.0
4-BINKY'S SISTER 58.0
3-LISA LULU 51.6
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
7-BIG SON OF A GUN 61.1
2-DOC CAN DANCE 55.5
4-TAK GAMO 46.4
6-WHAT'S THE RUMPUS 46.4
3-BIG KISS 44.2
RACE 3
7-EL MERITO 95.8
6-SWIFT WINDS 94.5
8-YVETT'S PRIDE 86.3
1-EQUIPARADO 80.0
2-GOLD STAR STATUS 79.3
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
8-THIRTYFIRSTSTREET 69.8
3-HUSBAND'S FOLLY 56.5
7-KALYRA CAT 49.7
2-TITIAN 35.8
1st time starters - 4, 1, 5, 6
RACE 5
3-HEWITTS 104.5
1-GALLETA MONSTRUO 93.2
5-NIKKI'SGOLDENSTEED 86.9
4-BULLFIGHTER 86.9
2-MR. MONKEY JONES 82.6
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
7-SHANE DANIEL 65.9
2-GREGOR 47.4
10-SPUD SPIVENS 46.9
8-GRAYDLE'S RED 37.0
1st time starters - 5, 1
RACE 7
3-PINK DIAMOND 92.6
8-HOT AFFAIR 85.1
2-LAVA GIRL 82.7
7-STUNNING ALLY 82.7
9-DANI REESE 82.6
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
4-HIGH LEVEL JEFF 98.4
5-PREMIER PEGASUS 97.1
2-INDUSTRY LEADER 85.6
1-AWESOME PATRIOT 78.4
RACE 9
9-LUTESS 74.3
6-MEADOW LAKE QUEEN 52.1
8-MISS ANDY KISS 50.6
11-DUBAI MACAU GIRL 45.1
12-WARREN'S GRANDSLAM 43.8
5-MISSTRAILCITYZONE 42.0
1st time starters - 7
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-SWEET AND JAZZY 64.3
6-DOS VEINTE 60.1
5-MISS SEAMLESS 59.0
4-BINKY'S SISTER 58.0
3-LISA LULU 51.6
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
7-BIG SON OF A GUN 61.1
2-DOC CAN DANCE 55.5
4-TAK GAMO 46.4
6-WHAT'S THE RUMPUS 46.4
3-BIG KISS 44.2
RACE 3
7-EL MERITO 95.8
6-SWIFT WINDS 94.5
8-YVETT'S PRIDE 86.3
1-EQUIPARADO 80.0
2-GOLD STAR STATUS 79.3
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
8-THIRTYFIRSTSTREET 69.8
3-HUSBAND'S FOLLY 56.5
7-KALYRA CAT 49.7
2-TITIAN 35.8
1st time starters - 4, 1, 5, 6
RACE 5
3-HEWITTS 104.5
1-GALLETA MONSTRUO 93.2
5-NIKKI'SGOLDENSTEED 86.9
4-BULLFIGHTER 86.9
2-MR. MONKEY JONES 82.6
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
7-SHANE DANIEL 65.9
2-GREGOR 47.4
10-SPUD SPIVENS 46.9
8-GRAYDLE'S RED 37.0
1st time starters - 5, 1
RACE 7
3-PINK DIAMOND 92.6
8-HOT AFFAIR 85.1
2-LAVA GIRL 82.7
7-STUNNING ALLY 82.7
9-DANI REESE 82.6
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
4-HIGH LEVEL JEFF 98.4
5-PREMIER PEGASUS 97.1
2-INDUSTRY LEADER 85.6
1-AWESOME PATRIOT 78.4
RACE 9
9-LUTESS 74.3
6-MEADOW LAKE QUEEN 52.1
8-MISS ANDY KISS 50.6
11-DUBAI MACAU GIRL 45.1
12-WARREN'S GRANDSLAM 43.8
5-MISSTRAILCITYZONE 42.0
1st time starters - 7
Labels: betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horseracing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, thoroughbred
Friday, November 19, 2010
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-LATE CUDDLE 99.1
1-DANCE TO MY TUNE 87.5
4-FARLEY STAR 83.2
3-SPRING STYLE 80.8
2-WEST HOPE 70.3
RACE 2
7-DAVE'S RULER 76.0
2-WARREN'S TOMMY TOO 68.1
5-TRUENO 64.3
3-WARRENS TEMPTATION 56.5
RACE 3
4-WORKING CAPITAL 87.5
3-TWEEBSTER 86.3
1-FOG ALERT 80.8
5-OILISBLACKGOLD 80.8
1st time starters- 2 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 4
7-CONCERTO'S THUNDER 88.8
4-IMPONENTE PURSE 86.9
5-JAIRZIHNO 83.8
6-ROYAL F J 82.0
1st time starters - 3 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
9-SWISS HERO 55.0
10-WARREN'S GECKO 31.1
1-TEE MARTUNIS 30.4
2-CABO SAN LUCAS ? (eased)
1st time starters - 5, 11, 7, 6, 3, 4
RACE 6
7-SEATTLE RULER 82.6
4-KEEN BIDDER 81.4
2-GILLIGAN 81.4
5-COURTSIDE ACTION 81.0
3-OTTO VON VOOM 80.2
RACE 7
4-VIA VERDE 73.7
6-PLANTSITE 72.6
2-CAT BRANDO 70.0
5-PURSE LUVA 69.2
3-DALTON GANG 65.9
7-KIM'S LEADING MAN 65.9
RACE 8
7-STORMY SLEW 93.2
2-NEFARIOUS 71.7
5-CANDACE GOLD 71.7
8-MARRYMEONEMORETIME 70.9
3-SIBERSKY 65.9
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-LATE CUDDLE 99.1
1-DANCE TO MY TUNE 87.5
4-FARLEY STAR 83.2
3-SPRING STYLE 80.8
2-WEST HOPE 70.3
RACE 2
7-DAVE'S RULER 76.0
2-WARREN'S TOMMY TOO 68.1
5-TRUENO 64.3
3-WARRENS TEMPTATION 56.5
RACE 3
4-WORKING CAPITAL 87.5
3-TWEEBSTER 86.3
1-FOG ALERT 80.8
5-OILISBLACKGOLD 80.8
1st time starters- 2 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 4
7-CONCERTO'S THUNDER 88.8
4-IMPONENTE PURSE 86.9
5-JAIRZIHNO 83.8
6-ROYAL F J 82.0
1st time starters - 3 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
9-SWISS HERO 55.0
10-WARREN'S GECKO 31.1
1-TEE MARTUNIS 30.4
2-CABO SAN LUCAS ? (eased)
1st time starters - 5, 11, 7, 6, 3, 4
RACE 6
7-SEATTLE RULER 82.6
4-KEEN BIDDER 81.4
2-GILLIGAN 81.4
5-COURTSIDE ACTION 81.0
3-OTTO VON VOOM 80.2
RACE 7
4-VIA VERDE 73.7
6-PLANTSITE 72.6
2-CAT BRANDO 70.0
5-PURSE LUVA 69.2
3-DALTON GANG 65.9
7-KIM'S LEADING MAN 65.9
RACE 8
7-STORMY SLEW 93.2
2-NEFARIOUS 71.7
5-CANDACE GOLD 71.7
8-MARRYMEONEMORETIME 70.9
3-SIBERSKY 65.9
Labels: betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, November 18, 2010
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $99,993.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
4-WARREN'S LOVER 47.8
2-JENNY JENNY EMILY 47.8
3-BRAZZLE DAZZLE45.1
1-EXCELLENT POINT 45.1
5-SLY KITTY 41.1
RACE 2
7-ZIPPEN E. 67.5
8-LOVELY SOPHIA 56.0
11-LONG LEGGED LOVELY 52.1
6-PEGASTORM 48.3
10-IMAGE OF SUPER 46.1
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 f. on turf)
5-RIVER'S MAMBO 76.8
6-SHELTER COVE 68.9
1-RANSOM DEMAND 49.9 (entry)
2-COVERT REWARD 45.8
3-T. K. FORTYSIX 43.6
1st time starters - 1A (entry), 4, 7
RACE 4
4-OUR MINESWEEPER 99.8
3-INDIAN FIREWATER 97.1
2-PARIS VEGAS 91.3
1-LEOTHELION 90.0
5-THOMAS BAINES 88.1
RACE 5
4-OUR ROAD SCHOLAR 87.5
7-ENTABENI 84.4
6-FORTY DATES 84.4 (off July 09)
1-TAMERIN 82.0
RACE 6
4-SWEETSOUTHERNQUEEN 73.1
3-MUSICAL GRACE 72.6
6-TWODOLLARSTOWIN 71.4
1-SAINT CINDY 71.4
5-DIXIE UNIONESS 71.4
RACE 7
6-CHARLIE'S PRINCESS 85.6
3-I CAN HEAR 83.8
2-KICKEN OFF 77.2
8-RAINBOW LUCK 76.0
1-NAUGHTY MARIANA 75.2
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-SEAN S 46.9
2-THE ZAPANA 45.5
14-EMILY PEARL 43.3
3-PACIFIC COAST GIRL 42.4
5-KNOWHENTOHOLDEM 39.0
1st time starters - 10, 9, 12, 1, 13
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $99,993.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
4-WARREN'S LOVER 47.8
2-JENNY JENNY EMILY 47.8
3-BRAZZLE DAZZLE45.1
1-EXCELLENT POINT 45.1
5-SLY KITTY 41.1
RACE 2
7-ZIPPEN E. 67.5
8-LOVELY SOPHIA 56.0
11-LONG LEGGED LOVELY 52.1
6-PEGASTORM 48.3
10-IMAGE OF SUPER 46.1
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 f. on turf)
5-RIVER'S MAMBO 76.8
6-SHELTER COVE 68.9
1-RANSOM DEMAND 49.9 (entry)
2-COVERT REWARD 45.8
3-T. K. FORTYSIX 43.6
1st time starters - 1A (entry), 4, 7
RACE 4
4-OUR MINESWEEPER 99.8
3-INDIAN FIREWATER 97.1
2-PARIS VEGAS 91.3
1-LEOTHELION 90.0
5-THOMAS BAINES 88.1
RACE 5
4-OUR ROAD SCHOLAR 87.5
7-ENTABENI 84.4
6-FORTY DATES 84.4 (off July 09)
1-TAMERIN 82.0
RACE 6
4-SWEETSOUTHERNQUEEN 73.1
3-MUSICAL GRACE 72.6
6-TWODOLLARSTOWIN 71.4
1-SAINT CINDY 71.4
5-DIXIE UNIONESS 71.4
RACE 7
6-CHARLIE'S PRINCESS 85.6
3-I CAN HEAR 83.8
2-KICKEN OFF 77.2
8-RAINBOW LUCK 76.0
1-NAUGHTY MARIANA 75.2
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-SEAN S 46.9
2-THE ZAPANA 45.5
14-EMILY PEARL 43.3
3-PACIFIC COAST GIRL 42.4
5-KNOWHENTOHOLDEM 39.0
1st time starters - 10, 9, 12, 1, 13
Labels: betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, November 17, 2010
HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win.Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all-
GOOD LUCK
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win.Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all-
GOOD LUCK
Labels: betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Monday, November 15, 2010
HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 or 5 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 of 4 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 12 times that I know of in over 1823 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 or 5 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 of 4 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 12 times that I know of in over 1823 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, November 14, 2010
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-NEVER 104.5
6-NO DREAM 78.4
5-ASPERITY 77.6
4-DYNAMIC HOST 76.6
RACE 2
4-CIRCA'SGOLDENGEAR 81.0
2-ABSOLUTLYPOSITIVLY 76.6
6-OUTRAGEOUS FORTUNE 76.4
1-PAPA LEV 76.0
RACE 3
1-IRREFUTABLE 101.8
7-STACY'S HOPE 94.5
2-WINTER CAMP 93.9
3-PACK YOUR BAGS 92.6
5-MOONLARK 88.1
RACE 4
1-WARRENS HIGHROLLER 64.8
3-SIMPLY PUT 64.3
4-ELLIE L. 60.6
5-HARMONY'S HOPE 58.0
2-MYSTERY BIRD 54.0
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
7-MRS. CARD 53.0
5-WILD AND GOTAWAY 47.8
4-DON'T TELL ME THAT 44.2
1- ONE MORE PALO 36.6
1st time starters - 8
RACE 6
5-FIGEAC 83.2
2-CANDY COAT 80.8
12-QUOTED 77.8
4-DEE DEE'S LEGACY 76.6
11-SWIFT DEMAND 76.0
RACE 7
8-CRUZIN TOPLESS 82.6
3-NOTHING TO FEAR 79.1
10-ROTE 78.5
9-GRAND MISCHIEF 74.9
4-MOON STONE MADNESS 70.6
1-SWEET PATRICIA 69.8
RACE 8
4-HOLDING HER GROUND 97.8
5-SUBSIDIZED 95.7
6-SILVER SWALLOW 93.8
7-MOTHER RUTH 90.0
3-SISTER DAWN 86.9
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
4-ORANGEBLACKANDGOLD 68.1
8-TOWN BELLE 63.8
9-BOUND FOR EDEN 60.1
13-RACHEL JONES 58.5
1st time starters - 2, 7, 5, 1, 6, 12
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-NEVER 104.5
6-NO DREAM 78.4
5-ASPERITY 77.6
4-DYNAMIC HOST 76.6
RACE 2
4-CIRCA'SGOLDENGEAR 81.0
2-ABSOLUTLYPOSITIVLY 76.6
6-OUTRAGEOUS FORTUNE 76.4
1-PAPA LEV 76.0
RACE 3
1-IRREFUTABLE 101.8
7-STACY'S HOPE 94.5
2-WINTER CAMP 93.9
3-PACK YOUR BAGS 92.6
5-MOONLARK 88.1
RACE 4
1-WARRENS HIGHROLLER 64.8
3-SIMPLY PUT 64.3
4-ELLIE L. 60.6
5-HARMONY'S HOPE 58.0
2-MYSTERY BIRD 54.0
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
7-MRS. CARD 53.0
5-WILD AND GOTAWAY 47.8
4-DON'T TELL ME THAT 44.2
1- ONE MORE PALO 36.6
1st time starters - 8
RACE 6
5-FIGEAC 83.2
2-CANDY COAT 80.8
12-QUOTED 77.8
4-DEE DEE'S LEGACY 76.6
11-SWIFT DEMAND 76.0
RACE 7
8-CRUZIN TOPLESS 82.6
3-NOTHING TO FEAR 79.1
10-ROTE 78.5
9-GRAND MISCHIEF 74.9
4-MOON STONE MADNESS 70.6
1-SWEET PATRICIA 69.8
RACE 8
4-HOLDING HER GROUND 97.8
5-SUBSIDIZED 95.7
6-SILVER SWALLOW 93.8
7-MOTHER RUTH 90.0
3-SISTER DAWN 86.9
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
4-ORANGEBLACKANDGOLD 68.1
8-TOWN BELLE 63.8
9-BOUND FOR EDEN 60.1
13-RACHEL JONES 58.5
1st time starters - 2, 7, 5, 1, 6, 12
Labels: betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, November 13, 2010
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-MOVIE DUTY 83.2
4-PRETTY KINZIE 67.0
3-MISS SEAMLESS 67.0
2-YASUDA 65.4
RACE 2
3-DREAMS AFLEET 71.4
6-MISINJENNUOUS 67.5
8-STROPPY 65.9
9-BOMBING TWO 65.4
RACE 3
4-VICTORY WITH HONOR 77.8
6-PLEASANT EARTH 67.0
2-INDIAN JONES 62.2
1st time starters -3, 5, 1
RACE 4
6-ALLEY HONDRO 89.4
8-UNUSUAL SMOKE 89.4
4-VALLEY CAT 85.7
1-SAMMARTINO 82.6
3-MIGUEL'S MASCOT 79.0
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
4-LOVE FIVE PLUS TWO 54.5
5-MARCOMAN 40.7
1-MI MARINO 39.4
8-BASIC STRATEGY 35.8
11-GOLDEN WARRIOR 35.4
1st time starters - 2, 6, 3, 14, 15
RACE 6
2-SMOKEY LONESOME 94.5 (off April 09)
1-BLUE JAY ATTACK 93.9
7-EL SCORPIO 88.8
6-SEA OF PLEASURE 83.8
4-MAUI MARK 82.0
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
1-SWITZERS DA MAN 76.0
11-ROBIE THE CAT 74.1
10-AROUSAL 70.3
6-SCHUYLKILL PUNCH 66.4
4-COIL 60.6
1st time starters - 2, 3, 5, 12
RACE 8
7-TEMPLE CITY 112.2
3-UNUSUAL SUSPECT 107.3
6-MARLANG 104.5
5-WHERE'S THE REMOTE 104.5
4-BUENOS DIAS 101.8
RACE 9
5-NIKKI'S CURFEW 63.2
6-TEENAGE DANCER 62.7
11-STORMY LINDA 59.0
9-INDIARA 58.5
2-SCENT OF CHRISM 53.0
1st time starters - 4, 12
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-MOVIE DUTY 83.2
4-PRETTY KINZIE 67.0
3-MISS SEAMLESS 67.0
2-YASUDA 65.4
RACE 2
3-DREAMS AFLEET 71.4
6-MISINJENNUOUS 67.5
8-STROPPY 65.9
9-BOMBING TWO 65.4
RACE 3
4-VICTORY WITH HONOR 77.8
6-PLEASANT EARTH 67.0
2-INDIAN JONES 62.2
1st time starters -3, 5, 1
RACE 4
6-ALLEY HONDRO 89.4
8-UNUSUAL SMOKE 89.4
4-VALLEY CAT 85.7
1-SAMMARTINO 82.6
3-MIGUEL'S MASCOT 79.0
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
4-LOVE FIVE PLUS TWO 54.5
5-MARCOMAN 40.7
1-MI MARINO 39.4
8-BASIC STRATEGY 35.8
11-GOLDEN WARRIOR 35.4
1st time starters - 2, 6, 3, 14, 15
RACE 6
2-SMOKEY LONESOME 94.5 (off April 09)
1-BLUE JAY ATTACK 93.9
7-EL SCORPIO 88.8
6-SEA OF PLEASURE 83.8
4-MAUI MARK 82.0
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
1-SWITZERS DA MAN 76.0
11-ROBIE THE CAT 74.1
10-AROUSAL 70.3
6-SCHUYLKILL PUNCH 66.4
4-COIL 60.6
1st time starters - 2, 3, 5, 12
RACE 8
7-TEMPLE CITY 112.2
3-UNUSUAL SUSPECT 107.3
6-MARLANG 104.5
5-WHERE'S THE REMOTE 104.5
4-BUENOS DIAS 101.8
RACE 9
5-NIKKI'S CURFEW 63.2
6-TEENAGE DANCER 62.7
11-STORMY LINDA 59.0
9-INDIARA 58.5
2-SCENT OF CHRISM 53.0
1st time starters - 4, 12
Labels: betting, Fairplex Park, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, pick-6, race track, racehorse, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, November 12, 2010
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TONIGHT IS $54,205.
RACE 1
5-WARREN'S ROSE 54.0
3-PHI BETA HEAT 52.1
4-GIVEME ONEREASON 50.2
6-KISS MY SWISS 48.8
1-ABOVETHEINFLUENCE 47.8
1st time starters - 2
RACE 2
5-FREQUENT FAME 74.9
2-BUTCH MARINO 69.2
6-MARINO'S PROMISE 68.6
7-EBO'S LOVE 67.5
3-OUR BELLINI BIKINI 67.0
RACE 3
4-TALE OF THE BAT 71.4
2-OBSESS 66.4
6-BATTLING ATTICUS 54.5
9-FORWARD COMMITMENT 52.1
1st time starters - 10
RACE 4
6-L'ENCHANTERESSE 77.2
5-RUBY LANE 76.0
7-TIZ A BUD GIRL 71.4
2-ATTA' GIRL 64.6
4-WARREN'S TOO COOL 64.3
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
1-PORTLAND 64.8
15-KNOWHENTOHOLDEM 39.0
10-REAL ROCKPORT 33.8
4-QUE PRONTO 26.8
7-FIL'SLASTSCORE 26.8
1st time starters - 5, 8, 16
RACE 6
5-DAPPER GENE 100.3
4-SASSOU 94.5
8-MAJESTIC DIAMOND 82.6
9-FOREST PRINCE 79.7
11-BEYOND LOADED 78.5
RACE 7
4-ELLAFITZ 83.8
2-WASHINGTON BRIDGE 82.6
1-IT TIZ 80.0
3-POINT OF REFERENCE 79.4
5-GRIPSHOLM CASTLE 77.6
RACE 8
2-FIVE A DAY 66.4
9-CYNICAL WAGER 63.2
11-BREAKMARK 55.5
3-WARREN'S CONCEPT 55.5
10-JOHNNIE GOLD 53.0
1st time starters - 7, 5
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TONIGHT IS $54,205.
RACE 1
5-WARREN'S ROSE 54.0
3-PHI BETA HEAT 52.1
4-GIVEME ONEREASON 50.2
6-KISS MY SWISS 48.8
1-ABOVETHEINFLUENCE 47.8
1st time starters - 2
RACE 2
5-FREQUENT FAME 74.9
2-BUTCH MARINO 69.2
6-MARINO'S PROMISE 68.6
7-EBO'S LOVE 67.5
3-OUR BELLINI BIKINI 67.0
RACE 3
4-TALE OF THE BAT 71.4
2-OBSESS 66.4
6-BATTLING ATTICUS 54.5
9-FORWARD COMMITMENT 52.1
1st time starters - 10
RACE 4
6-L'ENCHANTERESSE 77.2
5-RUBY LANE 76.0
7-TIZ A BUD GIRL 71.4
2-ATTA' GIRL 64.6
4-WARREN'S TOO COOL 64.3
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
1-PORTLAND 64.8
15-KNOWHENTOHOLDEM 39.0
10-REAL ROCKPORT 33.8
4-QUE PRONTO 26.8
7-FIL'SLASTSCORE 26.8
1st time starters - 5, 8, 16
RACE 6
5-DAPPER GENE 100.3
4-SASSOU 94.5
8-MAJESTIC DIAMOND 82.6
9-FOREST PRINCE 79.7
11-BEYOND LOADED 78.5
RACE 7
4-ELLAFITZ 83.8
2-WASHINGTON BRIDGE 82.6
1-IT TIZ 80.0
3-POINT OF REFERENCE 79.4
5-GRIPSHOLM CASTLE 77.6
RACE 8
2-FIVE A DAY 66.4
9-CYNICAL WAGER 63.2
11-BREAKMARK 55.5
3-WARREN'S CONCEPT 55.5
10-JOHNNIE GOLD 53.0
1st time starters - 7, 5
Labels: betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horseracing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, pick-6, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, November 11, 2010
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
1-MINUTESANDTOUCHES 62.2
2-CALL ME LATER 54.0
3-MILES LONG GONE 49.2
5-AIR UNION 32.3
1st time starters - 4, 6
RACE 2
1-DUBAI YOU X Y Z 76.0
6-LUCKY FITZ 73.7
5-LONE JUSTICE 67.5
2-CRAFTY HEDGER 67.5
3-MY LAST TYCOON 63.8
RACE 3
3-RESPLENDENTLY 76.6
6-JAKEY BOY 74.9 (off Nov. 08)
2-BIG WAGS 60.6
5-LOGICAL HABIT 59.6
4-WILD HOMBRE 52.1
RACE 4
2-LUV DRAGON 80.0
4-COURTSIDE ACTION 69.8
7-MANOFGOLD 66.4
5-MILTY WAY 62.7
1-PLANTSITE 60.9
RACE 5
3-RUSSIAN RIVER 94.5
2-AMERICAS DREAMING 85.6
4-KAYCE ACE 79.6
1-DOWNHILL DIVA 73.7
5-HOLY FLAPPER 69.9
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
3-WINNING DESIRE 66.4
2-SAMMY CHOI 63.8
7-TROUBLE RULES 61.6
4-EDGEWICK ROAD 54.5
RACE 7
4-DANCE WITH GABLE 103.1
7-AMAZOMBIE 101.8
9-STONESIDE 101.1
11-SIROCCO STRIKE 93.9
1st time starters - 10 (in U.S.A. - fgn., off Dec. 09)
RACE 8
1-PHELPS STREET 75.4 (off May 09)
9-BROOKIE GIRL 70.3
8-CHURCH AVENUE 69.2
2-ULTRA AWESOME 68.1
3-MISS SEAMLESS 68.1 (pulled up last)
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
1-MINUTESANDTOUCHES 62.2
2-CALL ME LATER 54.0
3-MILES LONG GONE 49.2
5-AIR UNION 32.3
1st time starters - 4, 6
RACE 2
1-DUBAI YOU X Y Z 76.0
6-LUCKY FITZ 73.7
5-LONE JUSTICE 67.5
2-CRAFTY HEDGER 67.5
3-MY LAST TYCOON 63.8
RACE 3
3-RESPLENDENTLY 76.6
6-JAKEY BOY 74.9 (off Nov. 08)
2-BIG WAGS 60.6
5-LOGICAL HABIT 59.6
4-WILD HOMBRE 52.1
RACE 4
2-LUV DRAGON 80.0
4-COURTSIDE ACTION 69.8
7-MANOFGOLD 66.4
5-MILTY WAY 62.7
1-PLANTSITE 60.9
RACE 5
3-RUSSIAN RIVER 94.5
2-AMERICAS DREAMING 85.6
4-KAYCE ACE 79.6
1-DOWNHILL DIVA 73.7
5-HOLY FLAPPER 69.9
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
3-WINNING DESIRE 66.4
2-SAMMY CHOI 63.8
7-TROUBLE RULES 61.6
4-EDGEWICK ROAD 54.5
RACE 7
4-DANCE WITH GABLE 103.1
7-AMAZOMBIE 101.8
9-STONESIDE 101.1
11-SIROCCO STRIKE 93.9
1st time starters - 10 (in U.S.A. - fgn., off Dec. 09)
RACE 8
1-PHELPS STREET 75.4 (off May 09)
9-BROOKIE GIRL 70.3
8-CHURCH AVENUE 69.2
2-ULTRA AWESOME 68.1
3-MISS SEAMLESS 68.1 (pulled up last)
Labels: betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, November 10, 2010
HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all-
GOOD LUCK
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.We all know the best horse does not always win.
Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all-
GOOD LUCK
Labels: betting, free, handicapping, horse racing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, November 09, 2010
HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 12 times that I know of in over 1816 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 12 times that I know of in over 1816 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, Oak Tree, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, November 07, 2010
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
2-METER ME GONE 63.8
5-MISS BUXLEY 60.6
3-BANANA CREAM PIE 55.0
6-WARREN'S LOVER 54.5
RACE 2
2-YODELEN DAN 95.8
3-JOB BOSS 93.8
1-SPORTING ART 91.3
5-LUCKY RAVE 86.9
4-JUNIPER PASS 85.6
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-HONEY'S PRIZE 79.6
3-STAR PRESENCE 71.4
2-TERODA 71.4
1-RICKETYRACKETYRUSS 66.1
1st time starters - 6
RACE 4
1-BROKEN DREAMS 93.9
6-REBA IS TOPS 93.2
3-PRECIOUS UNION 92.6
5-SOFTLY SINGING 85.0
2-MISS SILVER BROOK 80.2
RACE 5
4-BAD BOY 91.9
3-STREETS OF HEAVEN 80.8
8-SELF INSURED 77.8
7-BANDEIRA UNION 74.9
RACE 6
3-IRRIDESCENT RED 80.2
4-ROAD TO REASON 68.1
8-SWEET AND JAZZY 59.6
7-LISA LULU 58.0
2-NO SAINT BUT SWEET 54.0
RACE 7
2-MEDICI CODE 106.6
4-LIONS STORY 102.1
1-ACHAK 101.1
6-WHEN WE MET 93.2
5-UNIVERSAL PEACE 93.2
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
2-MAY DAY ROSE 77.0
1-BIG TIZ 72.6
4-TEDDY'S PROMISE 70.4
6-TRUE WAY OF GRACE 66.4
3-WALLSTREETER 61.4
RACE 9
2-CONTRACTUAL 87.5
9-INDIANISTA 77.2 (off Nov. 09)
4-GOOD VIBRATION 74.3
7-OFFICER LEAH 73.7
1-STEVE'S BLUE SKY 64.8
1st time starters - 6
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
2-METER ME GONE 63.8
5-MISS BUXLEY 60.6
3-BANANA CREAM PIE 55.0
6-WARREN'S LOVER 54.5
RACE 2
2-YODELEN DAN 95.8
3-JOB BOSS 93.8
1-SPORTING ART 91.3
5-LUCKY RAVE 86.9
4-JUNIPER PASS 85.6
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-HONEY'S PRIZE 79.6
3-STAR PRESENCE 71.4
2-TERODA 71.4
1-RICKETYRACKETYRUSS 66.1
1st time starters - 6
RACE 4
1-BROKEN DREAMS 93.9
6-REBA IS TOPS 93.2
3-PRECIOUS UNION 92.6
5-SOFTLY SINGING 85.0
2-MISS SILVER BROOK 80.2
RACE 5
4-BAD BOY 91.9
3-STREETS OF HEAVEN 80.8
8-SELF INSURED 77.8
7-BANDEIRA UNION 74.9
RACE 6
3-IRRIDESCENT RED 80.2
4-ROAD TO REASON 68.1
8-SWEET AND JAZZY 59.6
7-LISA LULU 58.0
2-NO SAINT BUT SWEET 54.0
RACE 7
2-MEDICI CODE 106.6
4-LIONS STORY 102.1
1-ACHAK 101.1
6-WHEN WE MET 93.2
5-UNIVERSAL PEACE 93.2
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
2-MAY DAY ROSE 77.0
1-BIG TIZ 72.6
4-TEDDY'S PROMISE 70.4
6-TRUE WAY OF GRACE 66.4
3-WALLSTREETER 61.4
RACE 9
2-CONTRACTUAL 87.5
9-INDIANISTA 77.2 (off Nov. 09)
4-GOOD VIBRATION 74.3
7-OFFICER LEAH 73.7
1-STEVE'S BLUE SKY 64.8
1st time starters - 6
Labels: betting, free, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, November 06, 2010
BREEDERS' CUP @ CHURCHILL DOWNS - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $817,642.
RACE 1
4-ITS ABOUT MIDNIGHT 82.0 (steadied)
6-SPEIGHTFUL LADY 76.0
1-GIBSON CRYSTAL 71.4
8-DEVILS HUMOR 69.8
7-DANCING DARCEY 65.9
RACE 2
2-NICHOLE H 104.5
1-RAPPORT 97.1
6-AEGEAN 86.9
9-HAPPY WEEK 82.6
3-HELEN BELEN 81.4
RACE 3
12-ALPHA KITTEN 99.8
3-ALWAYS A PRINCESS 99.1
11-DOUBLE ESPRESSO 94.5
2-BRONX CITY GIRL 90.8
8-DISTINCTIVE DIXIE 90.7
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
6-UTLEY 107.3
3-MANTOBA 102.3
5-MASTER OF HOUNDS 100.9
10-MADMAN DIARIES 95.2
12-HUMBLE AND HUNGRY 85.6
RACE 5
1-BIG DRAMA 122.3
11-ATTA BOY ROY 120.8
5-SMILING TIGER 118.6
7-KINSALE KING 117.9
4-HAMAZING DESTINY 115.0
RACE 6
11-GRAND ADVENTURE 119.3
5-SILVER TIMBER 114.3
8-QUICK ENOUGH 112.9
13-TROPIC STORM 112.9
2-CENTRAL CITY 112.2
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
7-UNCLE MO 105.2
1-BIONDETTI 103.8
2-BOYS AT TOSCONOVA 102.3
4-J P'S GUSTO 97.8
10-JAYCITO 96.5
RACE 8
6-PACO BOY 136.7
10-GOLDIKOVA 135.9
1-BEETHOVEN 123.9
4-COURT VISION 117.2
11-PROVISO 117.2
RACE 9
2-TIZWAY 123.0
5-HERE COMES BEN 122.3
6-GAYEGO 119.3
12-VINEYARD HAVEN 119.3
4-MAD FLATTER 117.9
RACE 10
7-BEHKABAD 137.5
6-WORKFORCE 127.1
8-DANGEROUS MIDGE 123.2
4-DEBUSSY 117.9
2-WINCHESTER 114.3
RACE 11
1-QUALITY ROAD 132.8
7-MUSKET MAN 126.0
11-ESPOIR CITY 125.3
5-BLAME 124.5
3-HAYNESFIELD 124.5
12-LOOKIN AT LUCKY 119.3
8-ZENYATTA 117.2
10-ETCHED 115.0
6-FLY DOWN 110.7
2-PADDY O'PRADO 110.7
4-FIRST DUDE 110.0
9-PLEASANT PRINCE 105.9
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $817,642.
RACE 1
4-ITS ABOUT MIDNIGHT 82.0 (steadied)
6-SPEIGHTFUL LADY 76.0
1-GIBSON CRYSTAL 71.4
8-DEVILS HUMOR 69.8
7-DANCING DARCEY 65.9
RACE 2
2-NICHOLE H 104.5
1-RAPPORT 97.1
6-AEGEAN 86.9
9-HAPPY WEEK 82.6
3-HELEN BELEN 81.4
RACE 3
12-ALPHA KITTEN 99.8
3-ALWAYS A PRINCESS 99.1
11-DOUBLE ESPRESSO 94.5
2-BRONX CITY GIRL 90.8
8-DISTINCTIVE DIXIE 90.7
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
6-UTLEY 107.3
3-MANTOBA 102.3
5-MASTER OF HOUNDS 100.9
10-MADMAN DIARIES 95.2
12-HUMBLE AND HUNGRY 85.6
RACE 5
1-BIG DRAMA 122.3
11-ATTA BOY ROY 120.8
5-SMILING TIGER 118.6
7-KINSALE KING 117.9
4-HAMAZING DESTINY 115.0
RACE 6
11-GRAND ADVENTURE 119.3
5-SILVER TIMBER 114.3
8-QUICK ENOUGH 112.9
13-TROPIC STORM 112.9
2-CENTRAL CITY 112.2
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
7-UNCLE MO 105.2
1-BIONDETTI 103.8
2-BOYS AT TOSCONOVA 102.3
4-J P'S GUSTO 97.8
10-JAYCITO 96.5
RACE 8
6-PACO BOY 136.7
10-GOLDIKOVA 135.9
1-BEETHOVEN 123.9
4-COURT VISION 117.2
11-PROVISO 117.2
RACE 9
2-TIZWAY 123.0
5-HERE COMES BEN 122.3
6-GAYEGO 119.3
12-VINEYARD HAVEN 119.3
4-MAD FLATTER 117.9
RACE 10
7-BEHKABAD 137.5
6-WORKFORCE 127.1
8-DANGEROUS MIDGE 123.2
4-DEBUSSY 117.9
2-WINCHESTER 114.3
RACE 11
1-QUALITY ROAD 132.8
7-MUSKET MAN 126.0
11-ESPOIR CITY 125.3
5-BLAME 124.5
3-HAYNESFIELD 124.5
12-LOOKIN AT LUCKY 119.3
8-ZENYATTA 117.2
10-ETCHED 115.0
6-FLY DOWN 110.7
2-PADDY O'PRADO 110.7
4-FIRST DUDE 110.0
9-PLEASANT PRINCE 105.9
Labels: betting, Churchill Downs, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, race track, racehorse, racetrack, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, November 05, 2010
BREEDERS' CUP LADIE'S CLASSIC & HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
CHURCHILL DOWNS -THE BREEDERS' CUP LADIES' CLASSIC
RACE 10
10-BLIND LUCK 116.4
11-HAVRE DE GRACE 115.7
1-LIFE AT TEN 112.9
8-UNRIVALED BELLE 110.7
3-MALIBU PRAYER 107.9
5-ACTING HAPPY 103.8
4-MILWAUKEE APPEAL 101.1
6-PERSISTENTLY 100.4
9-ACOMA 98.4
2-IT'S TEA TIME 96.5
7-SEEKING THE TITLE 94.5
NOTE: SATURDAY I WILL BE HANDICAPPING THE ENTIRE BREEDERS' CUP CARD FROM CHURCHILL DOWNS. I WILL NOT HANDICAPPING HOLLYWOOD PARK .
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FRIDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-SAMBA SCHOOL 86.1
2-WARRENSMYSTERYDICE 82.6
3-MALUSITA 82.4
5-GUMPTION 79.6
4-HIDDEN ROMANCE 61.6
RACE 2
2-GILLIGAN 74.3
4-E. P. BOMBAY 73.7
3-MILTY WAY 69.8
1-SPECTACULAR SLEW 67.6
5-CAME ABOARD 67.0
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-SILVER LUNA 51.1
7-HOT TICKET 41.6
4-MEMO TO KATHY 32.0
1-HEY SUGAR SUGAR 28.9
3-PACIFIC COAST GIRL 28.2
1st time starters - 2
RACE 4
5-DANA DYNAMO 83.2
6-SOUTHERN VICTORY 69.2
2-K K'S BRO 68.6
1-KIM'S LEADING MAN 65.4
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile on turf)
2-FAMILY PLAN 73.1
7-ANNIVERSARY GIRL 70.3
3-SO SHE DANCES 64.8
4-WEEKEND PARTY 62.2
6-SKY ANGEL 61.6
RACE 6
4-BRENTHURST 92.6
7-GALLETA MONSTRUO 91.9
3-AFLEET DEAL 84.4
1-TALL TEXAN 82.0
2-WARREN'S TONY R. 69.2
RACE 7
2-RED DOOR DRIVE 102.5
4-BLUE CHAGALL 97.8
3-MUNY 96.5
1-CLASSICAL SLEW 86.3
6-TRUMPET PLAYER JAY 86.3
RACE 8
5-WISEST CAT 61.3
7-BIG BAD BOO 60.6
1-EMERALD ASSETS 59.7
6-GIFTED STUDENT 58.5
2-BENNY'S BENCHMARK 42.4
1st time starters - 8
RACE 10
10-BLIND LUCK 116.4
11-HAVRE DE GRACE 115.7
1-LIFE AT TEN 112.9
8-UNRIVALED BELLE 110.7
3-MALIBU PRAYER 107.9
5-ACTING HAPPY 103.8
4-MILWAUKEE APPEAL 101.1
6-PERSISTENTLY 100.4
9-ACOMA 98.4
2-IT'S TEA TIME 96.5
7-SEEKING THE TITLE 94.5
NOTE: SATURDAY I WILL BE HANDICAPPING THE ENTIRE BREEDERS' CUP CARD FROM CHURCHILL DOWNS. I WILL NOT HANDICAPPING HOLLYWOOD PARK .
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FRIDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-SAMBA SCHOOL 86.1
2-WARRENSMYSTERYDICE 82.6
3-MALUSITA 82.4
5-GUMPTION 79.6
4-HIDDEN ROMANCE 61.6
RACE 2
2-GILLIGAN 74.3
4-E. P. BOMBAY 73.7
3-MILTY WAY 69.8
1-SPECTACULAR SLEW 67.6
5-CAME ABOARD 67.0
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-SILVER LUNA 51.1
7-HOT TICKET 41.6
4-MEMO TO KATHY 32.0
1-HEY SUGAR SUGAR 28.9
3-PACIFIC COAST GIRL 28.2
1st time starters - 2
RACE 4
5-DANA DYNAMO 83.2
6-SOUTHERN VICTORY 69.2
2-K K'S BRO 68.6
1-KIM'S LEADING MAN 65.4
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile on turf)
2-FAMILY PLAN 73.1
7-ANNIVERSARY GIRL 70.3
3-SO SHE DANCES 64.8
4-WEEKEND PARTY 62.2
6-SKY ANGEL 61.6
RACE 6
4-BRENTHURST 92.6
7-GALLETA MONSTRUO 91.9
3-AFLEET DEAL 84.4
1-TALL TEXAN 82.0
2-WARREN'S TONY R. 69.2
RACE 7
2-RED DOOR DRIVE 102.5
4-BLUE CHAGALL 97.8
3-MUNY 96.5
1-CLASSICAL SLEW 86.3
6-TRUMPET PLAYER JAY 86.3
RACE 8
5-WISEST CAT 61.3
7-BIG BAD BOO 60.6
1-EMERALD ASSETS 59.7
6-GIFTED STUDENT 58.5
2-BENNY'S BENCHMARK 42.4
1st time starters - 8
Labels: betting, Churchill Downs, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, November 04, 2010
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY NIGHT
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-SWEETSOUTHERNQUEEN 72.6
6-LOOK TO THE SKY 72.6
2-RECESS 64.3
3-FIRST QUEEN 63.2
RACE 2
4-FINISH RICH IN NYC 76.2
1-LADY LAZER 60.5
2-GOLDEN NIP 60.0
5-JAX EL 54.5
6-TOO MUCH XCITEMENT 52.6
RACE 3
7-CAJUN GENT 83.8
1-FULL ON 83.8
3-ESCAPING THE STORM 71.4
4-WARRING HEART 70.9
2-BRINSON 70.3
RACE 4
7-MISS PEANUT 69.8
2-SWEET PATRICIA 68.1
4-PRIMED 63.2
5-LOST PROPHET 62.2
1-WARREN'S MOON 59.6
RACE 5
3-SYLLABUS 102.5
7-RED DEFENSE 87.5
8-DERRICK DO 85.6
4-HONOUR FAMILY 78.4
1-D'ORO DANCER 77.8
RACE 6
8-TALKTOOMUCH 86.3
1-WALTZING SWAN 83.8
5-MADELINE RUBY 82.6
4-ROLLERSKATES 79.6
6-SINDYFROMSANTACRUZ 79.6
RACE 7
4-WORD ASSOCIATION 85.6
1-REBECCA 73.7
2-SHESOPROVOCATIVE 71.8
5-VICTORY DANCER 69.2
3-BONITA MONTANA 65.9
RACE 8
1-BINKY'S SISTER 54.5
8-RIDE A WAVE 53.0
4-SALLY'S BLADE 42.0
9-ITALIAN SPIRIT 39.0
6-HERECOMESBRIDGET 32.3
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
1-SWEETSOUTHERNQUEEN 72.6
6-LOOK TO THE SKY 72.6
2-RECESS 64.3
3-FIRST QUEEN 63.2
RACE 2
4-FINISH RICH IN NYC 76.2
1-LADY LAZER 60.5
2-GOLDEN NIP 60.0
5-JAX EL 54.5
6-TOO MUCH XCITEMENT 52.6
RACE 3
7-CAJUN GENT 83.8
1-FULL ON 83.8
3-ESCAPING THE STORM 71.4
4-WARRING HEART 70.9
2-BRINSON 70.3
RACE 4
7-MISS PEANUT 69.8
2-SWEET PATRICIA 68.1
4-PRIMED 63.2
5-LOST PROPHET 62.2
1-WARREN'S MOON 59.6
RACE 5
3-SYLLABUS 102.5
7-RED DEFENSE 87.5
8-DERRICK DO 85.6
4-HONOUR FAMILY 78.4
1-D'ORO DANCER 77.8
RACE 6
8-TALKTOOMUCH 86.3
1-WALTZING SWAN 83.8
5-MADELINE RUBY 82.6
4-ROLLERSKATES 79.6
6-SINDYFROMSANTACRUZ 79.6
RACE 7
4-WORD ASSOCIATION 85.6
1-REBECCA 73.7
2-SHESOPROVOCATIVE 71.8
5-VICTORY DANCER 69.2
3-BONITA MONTANA 65.9
RACE 8
1-BINKY'S SISTER 54.5
8-RIDE A WAVE 53.0
4-SALLY'S BLADE 42.0
9-ITALIAN SPIRIT 39.0
6-HERECOMESBRIDGET 32.3
Labels: betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, November 03, 2010
HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all
-GOOD LUCK
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 30 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all
-GOOD LUCK
Labels: betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, Oak Tree, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, November 02, 2010
HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.Program number does not match horse's name-This has happened 12 times that I know of in over 1816 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him. If my rated horses numbers are below 60 points I would also include the first timer in my bets.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.Program number does not match horse's name-This has happened 12 times that I know of in over 1816 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: betting, free, handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racehorse, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
