Wednesday, June 30, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each otherhas a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Monday, June 28, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 11 times that I know of in over 1680 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Sunday, June 27, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horse.

RACE 1
1-THUNDER AND ICE 87.5
5-HALFAPONDAROSA 79.6
3-ONEFUNSONOFAGUN 77.2
4-CARNIVAL QUEEN 73.7
2-HUMBLE MAGGIE GO 73.7

RACE 2
5-RACHEL JONES 41.6
2-STRIKE YOUR FANCY 41.1

1st time starters - 1, 4, 3, 6

RACE 3
5-LILLY FA POOTZ 93.9
2-MS. G. I. JANE 93.2
4-EXCELLENT NEWS 90.7
3-RUFFLED FEATHERS 89.4
1-OUI SAY OUI 88.8

RACE 4
3-WINTER CAMP 88.8
2-CALIFORNIA SOLDIER 83.2
4-REALLY UPTOWN 74.3
7-SWISS ARROGANT 73.1
6-LUCKY FITZ 72.0

RACE 5
3-THE USUAL Q. T. 112.2
5-AGGIE ENGINEER 99.1
2-DAKOTA PHONE 94.4
4-MARLANG 93.9 (off Sept. 09)
1-TIZ WEST 82.6

RACE 6
4-CIRCLE DRIVE 72.6
1-MR. SATURDAYNIGHT 70.9
7-PRECIOUS DUKE 70.9
5-FORTHREEFOREUCLID 68.6
2-SUMMERS AT DEL MAR 63.8

RACE 7
7-UNZIP ME 105.2
1-MY SUMMER SLEW 103.1
3-STONESIDE 99.7
4-NOBLE COURT 91.9
2-CAYAMBE 89.4

RACE 8
7-THE WHAMMER 82.6
5-SUFI DANCER 78.4
3-SAMMY'S A RUNNIN' 74.3
6-STICK TO THE PLAN 72.0
8-ARKHAM ASYLUM 67.5

RACE 9
7-NOT HERE 79.0
6-IRISH TORRENT 79.0
3-LAURA BEASLEY 76.6
5-GOOD VIBRATION 61.6

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Saturday, June 26, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horse.

RACE 1
4-NINTH INFANTRY 70.9
1-WORD ASSOCIATION 70.3
3-L'ENCHANTERESSE 69.2
5-MELBISHA 63.2

RACE 2
7-SUANCES DE ESPANA 83.8
4-FOUND IN DARK 79.6
6-MISSOULA 74.9
2-WADA FALLS 68.6
5-FIRST QUEEN 64.8

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-CLUBHOUSE RIDE 46.4
1-LUCKY SIS 42.4

1st time styarters - 3, 5, 6, 2

RACE 4
7-DIPLO 76.0
2-OTTO VON VOOM 74.9
5-SARAVAS WILD AGAIN 73.1
3-MINISTERS POWER 68.6
6-ROCK SOLID CHARM 68.1

RACE 5
4-DERIVE 90.7
2-VALKYRIE MISSILE 90.0
6-RAYMORRISON 90.0
3-MARGARITA SHOT 86.9
1-EQUIPARADO 82.0

RACE 6
6-BRING IT HOME 95.8
7-LUCKY PRIMO 92.6
5-SHEDIAK 86.3
3-LIFELINE 85.8

RACE 7
2-LONE JUSTICE 82.6
6-GALLATIN'S RUN 82.0 (off July 09)
8-SKY FOX 65.0
3-DISTORTED ECONOMY 63.9

1st time starters - 4, 5, 7

RACE 8
5-GENERAL CONSENSUS 94.5
6-RESTLESS SOUL 89.4
2-TURNING TOP 88.8
4-PRETTY KATHERINE 86.9

RACE 9
6-PRINCE OF GOTHAM 73.1
9-BOLD TYPE 63.2
3-INFLATABLE DREAMS 60.6
5-KIMS LEADING MAN 54.5
2-UNUSUAL SOUL 53.5 (off July 09)

1st time starters - 7, 1, 8

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Friday, June 25, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horse.

RACE 1
4-CONCERTO'S THUNDER 81.4
5-EXUMA 70.3
3-LAKE MEZA 67.5
2-TRULYMET'SMYDADDY 66.4
1-DYNAMIC HOST 62.7

RACE 2
3-LUNADA BAY 82.7
7-INTUITIVE NATURE 74.3
4-BLAZING 69.8
1-TITUS AURELIUS 61.5

RACE 3
7-BIG WAGS 63.2
2-WASH PARK 62.7
3-LYONS BARTON 58.8
4-UNDAUNTED RALLY 49.0

1st time starters - 8

RACE 4
6-SIDEPOCKET LOU 90.0
4-INDIANSKI 84.4
2-DOLRDOLRBILLYALL 83.2
7-TALK CIRCUIT 81.4
5-TAXI FLEET 80.2

RACE 5
4-SCOTTISH DIAMOND 100.4
6-ALL MAN 99.1
3-BAD BOY 86.9
2-TUDOR BLUE 77.8
5-PARTYWITHLARRYZ 76.6

RACE 6
5-OLIVER 82.0
6-WARRING HEART 78.2
4-PANDA 68.1
7-SHEEKY 62.7
2-ROMANCE IS FAMILY 62.2

RACE 7
2-RUSH WITH THUNDER 102.3
6-BRUCE'S DREAM 101.8 (off Sept. 09)
3-AFLEET RULER 97.7
4-SKY VICTOR 91.9 (off Nov. 09)
5-HIDDEN BLESSING 91.3

RACE 8
9-SONGFOYA 70.9
5-DANGEROUS CURVES 57.5
6-TRIBUNAL BLUES 56.5
12-BRIANVILLE 56.0
7-SILVER STYLE 53.5

1st time starters - 15

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Thursday, June 24, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horse.

RACE 1
5-MISS PICABOO 67.0
1-HOLLOWEEN CANDY 65.4
6-CHOBE CHIKA 59.6

1st time starters - 2, 3, 4

RACE 2
1-LIONS STORY 87.5
4-JUST MAGIC 79.4
3-MILTY WAY 71.4
2-BOULDER CREEK 71.0
5-GILLIGAN 67.0

RACE 3
1-RULE THE STORM 91.9
6-OPERETTA ITALIANO 81.4
7-GIRL OF PANGAEA 79.6
2-TALKTOOMUCH 77.8
3-ROLLERSKATES 77.2
4-LULLABYTIME 77.2

RACE 4
3-ST. JOEL 69.8
4-SPINCO BOB 64.8
7-GREELY'S GHOST 61.4
9-ZILARATOR 60.4
2-BODY BUILDER 60.1

RACE 5
2-A SASSY FUSAICHI 83.2
6-KAYLIE'S JOY 82.1
1-WALTZING SWAN 79.4
7-BURNA DETTE 74.3
3-MISSION VIEJO HALO 73.1 (off Sept. 09)

RACE 6
1-WARREN'S SWAP FOX 68.6
8-MISS OLIVIA K 66.4
7-BLIND OPTIMISM 64.5
5-ANN'S SEVEN 63.8
13-PRETTY KINZIE 63.8

RACE 7
6-AMINA 88.1
2-GOOD NIGHT GYRENE 86.3
4-TRIBALICIOUS 76.5
1-TENACIOUS TINA 71.4 ( off Dec. 09)

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-GEORGIE'S SWEETIE 52.6
7-ARTA B TAPPIN 50.6
1-COOKINTHISORTHAT 50.2
9-TWISP 31.1
6-LAKE OSCEOLA 28.6

1st time starters - 2, 3, 10, 11, 8

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Wednesday, June 23, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horse.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $136,973.

RACE 1
5-MISINJENNUOUS 65.3
3-TEQUILA TONIGHT 57.7
4-LISA LULU 49.7
2-WARREN'S NINA 43.3

RACE 2
7-SAMBA ROOSTER 105.9 (off May 08)
4-SMOKENOMORE 74.9
2-DEE DEE'S LEGACY 72.6
3-SHARK CITY 71.4

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
5-MR. GENNARO 46.9
8-HECTOR 38.6
1-GOLDEN WARRIOR 18.6
6-BUDDHA BELLY 13.3

1st time starters - 2, 3, 4

RACE 4
2-A LIL DUMAANI 88.2 (off Oct. 09)
1-TRIUMPHANT FLIGHT 86.9 (off June 09)
3-LT. HOPEFUL 73.1
5-LOCKSLEYHALL 73.0

RACE 5
7-GLASS OF RED 72.0
6-JANA GAIL 69.8
5-WESTWOOD PRIDE 67.0
2-DANIELLA ROTH 61.6

RACE 6
4-MIND THE MINISTER 85.6
6-WAAFI 82.0
3-REMUS 79.0
1-TONY THE PONY 76.6
8-FULL ON 76.0

RACE 7
4-BROOKIE GIRL 88.8
8-VIA VENETO 86.3
7-CAME WEST 86.3
2-ULTRA BLEND 84.4 (off Aug. 09)
5-ROYAL TAAT 82.0

RACE 8
5-MISTER JAZZ 69.8
15-OLYMPIC MAGIC 69.2
10-AEROMON 63.8
7-CONNAGHER 63.2
2-JUSTICE REIGNS 58.5

1st time starters - 1

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Tuesday, June 22, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each otherhas a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Monday, June 21, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOMEQUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 11 times that I know of in over 1680 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, June 20, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horse.

RACE 1
5-WEEKEND MAGIC 69.8
3-MAGIC LANTERN 61.4
2-TIZ MISTY 58.8
6-TIZ SMOKE TIZ FIRE 52.0

RACE 2
1-LUTESS 77.2 (off slow)
6-HONEY BUNCH 74.9
2-ZOHRAH 70.3
4-MARIA'S DANE 59.6

1st time starters - 3, 5

RACE 3
6-MALIBU ARTISTE 86.3
1-MALUSITA 81.4
5-FOREVER MY LOVE 73.7
3-WOOD ART 71.4
2-MY AUNT FANNY 68.7

RACE 4
4-NEVADA WORRIER 90.0 (off Dec. 08)
1-HASTY TREND 86.9
3-LORD IN COMMAND 85.1
7-BRENTHURST 82.0

RACE 5
5-J P JAMMER 90.7
6-MENSA HEAT 86.9
7-THE BAT SIGNAL 85.0
4-OUR SHORTY 83.2
2-SCOFIELD BARRACKS 82.6

RACE 6
4-JAWS N'PAWS 81.5
7-SHESOPROVOCATIVE 74.9
5-ROMAN CHARITY 73.7
6-FAIR KISSES 69.8
3-PAY FOR PLAY 68.6

RACE 7
7-DOMONATION 93.9
3-THOMAS BAINES 86.3
1-GRAY ZULU 85.0
8-FORMAT V. 83.8
6-BIG MAN HAS A SIGN 83.2

RACE 8
4-DREAM NETTIE 95.2
8-BOGIE 91.3
5-HUDSON LANDING 88.1
2-WHO'S UP 87.5
1-UKANDOIT 86.9

RACE 9
4-KAHLUA MIST 50.6
2-BLUE TANGO 44.6
8-LOADED GUN 42.0
9-NOTHING TO FEAR 40.3
11-MISS DREAMER 38.2

1st time starters - 5, 12

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Saturday, June 19, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND HANDICAPPING SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horse.

RACE 1
3-BIG WIG 96.5
4-VICTORIAN PRINCE 95.8 (off June 09)
2-SKELLYTOWN 91.9
5-CONCERTO'S THUNDER 80.2

RACE 2
1-GIRLWITHEGOLDHOOF 67.0
4-MELON UP 56.5
7-SKYPIRATE 55.5
6-SAANNEEN 37.0 (off Sept. 09)

1st time starters - 5, 2

RACE 3
2-ROYAL F J 77.8
6-MILYONE 76.6
7-UZZIAH 72.6
5-ROYAL DREAM 72.6

RACE 4
2-SO HOTTIE 68.6
5-CELEBRATION 56.2
6-JINX 55.0
3-HOSTILE REACTION 53.0

RACE 5
4-SO NICE 78.4
6-MARRYMEONEMORETIME 70.9
7-PLATINUM MINE 67.0
3-COME HOME LADY 48.4

1st time starters - 1, 9, 8

RACE 6
6-DISH THE DIRT 78.9
10-COSTA MARTA 72.0
8-MEILI 69.6
4-SUGAR SPIKE 66.4
5-VICTORY DASH 63.2

RACE 7
8-ALWAYS IN STYLE 90.7
7-BRAN JAMMAS 87.5
2-MY MALOOF ROCKER 86.9
4-EL NADIA 86.3
5-SURFER GIRL 85.0

RACE 8
1-SKIPSHOT 91.3
2-GOLDEN ITIZ 90.7
6-ALPHIE'S BET 89.4
7-THOMAS BAINES 80.8
5-DISTORTED DAVE 80.2

RACE 9
9-REVITALIZATION 56.0
6-EMINENT HONOR 55.5
10-MINISTERFROMMIAMI 55.5
3-HONOUR FAMILY 54.0 (off Oct. 09)
2-COURTSIDE ACTION 53.5
7-BATLE POINT 52.6

1st time starters -11, 8, 5, 4

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Friday, June 18, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horse.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $63,149.

RACE 1
4-PINK DIAMOND 74.3
6-MISS ANIME 70.9
5-POKOMOKE 70.3
1-FIRST QUEEN 63.2
2-DOLLY DAGGERS 62.7

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
6-LUCKY SIS 48.3
3-LESLIE RULES 41.1
2-LAKOTA CASH 39.9
8-GOOD ACKTRESS 35.0
4-QUEEN OF TAHOE 34.6

1st time starters - 7

RACE 3
2-HEWITTS 93.9
3-BEST MON 87.5
1-GET FUNKY 85.6
5-POSITION A 85.6

RACE 4
6-PREMIERE FLYER 80.8
7-SUPER HARMONY 79.4
3-SOUVENIR SLEW 75.4
4-DON'T YA LOVETT 74.3

RACE 5
4-DONTMESROUNDWITJIM 73.1
2-DANA DYNAMO 71.7
10-SYNCOBEAT 68.6
1-MINISTER D'ORO 68.1
3-BESAME SUANCES 61.6

RACE 6
5-FULL EFFECT 64.3
3-VALLEY CAT 61.6
2-WYLIE N WYATT 60.6
4-HUGS TO ALL 60.1

1st time starters - 7, 6

RACE 7
3-JACK'S WILD 86.9
8-TEAFATILLER 80.2
1-ONE MAN'S DELIGHT 77.8
5-POP'SHANDS ARE HOT 75.4
4-DANZING TRIBAL 72.0

RACE 8
1-GOLD SCHLEIGER 72.0 (off May 09)
5-STORMY AMBITION 63.4
11-WARREN'S CONCEPT 60.1
8-SELF DEFENSE 55.0
13-WARRENS WILD THING 52.6 (off May 09)

1st time starters - 9, 4, 12

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Thursday, June 17, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horse.

NOTE: HORSE RACING FOR THURSDAY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. RACING WILL RESUME FRIDAY NIGHT.

Wednesday, June 16, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-PLANTSITE 89.4
1-DAYS OF LIGHTNING 79.0
2-TOWSER 68.6
5-SEEUAT STICKNSTEIN 61.1 (off Dec. 09)
3-FERMELIA 58.5

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
1-HOLLYWOOD AFFAIR 46.4
2-ADVANTAGE PLAYER 39.4

1st time starters - 3, 4, 5

RACE 3
1-HOG'S HOLLOW 86.3
2-GOBBLER'S KNOB 76.6
5-PREMIER CRU 74.9
6-ISLE OF PRADO 73.7
4-SAND SEAS 72.0

RACE 4
1-GHOST SHADOW 49.7
3-SEDUCTIONIST 49.7
7-HERMONY'S HOPE 47.4
4-BINKY'S SISTER 42.9

RACE 5
4-GOTHAM DEVIL 86.4
8-COME IN ALMIGHTY 82.0 (off Dec. 09)
6-CALL ME HONCHO 77.6
1-EZE DOES IT 76.0

RACE 6
4-WENDEN 92.6
5-RAPPORT 89.4
6-MADEL 79.0
1-OUR ROAD SCHOLAR 77.8
2-TORO BONITO 77.2

RACE 7
3-TEAMWORK 95.8
5-DERIVE 91.9
2-HAMMURABI 86.9 (off Dec. 09)
1-GRACE UPON GRACE 86.9
4-EL SCORPIO 83.8

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
1-EL VALENTIN 38.6
5-BOURNE TO ROMP 28.2
2-LIME ROCK REVENGE 25.1
8-BABY FACE ASSASSININ 21.6

1st time starters - 4, 3, 7, 6

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Tuesday, June 15, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each otherhas a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Monday, June 14, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.Program number does not match horse's name-This has happened 11 times that I know of in over 1676 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, June 13, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-SIDEPOCKET LOU 87.5
4-LEAD STEALER 86.3
8-TALK CIRCUIT 70.9
5-SWIFT DEMAND 69.2 (off Aug. 09)

RACE 2
9-FLEET RYAN 58.5
3-OUR BELLINI BIKINI 58.0
5-MISS PEANUT 50.2
8-SWEET PATRICIA 44.6

1st time starters - 10

RACE 3
8-BROOKE'S FANTASY 77.2 (off Dec. 09)
6-VICTORY DANCER 76.0
1-VICTORIA REEL 75.4
5-CORACAO BEIJO 74.3
7-BIRDIE BIRDIE 72.0

RACE 4
1-FIERY TRIPPI 91.3
2-SKIPPY DUE 78.4
5-MARQUET REBEL 77.2
6-JOURNEYMAN 72.3

RACE 5
7-EARNEDNEVERGIVEN 104.5
5-RIDGE DANCE 99.8
4-SWIFT WINDS 97.1
6-PLEASURE TO RIDE 93.2
1-WORTH REPEATING 90.0

RACE 6
6-GREAT BERNARDINE 49.2
9-WATERSIDE ROSE 44.6
8-SEARFAVORITESECRET 32.3
1-SPORTINA 31.5

1st time starters - 4, 10, 11, 5

RACE 7
7-DOPPIO 95.7 (off July 09)
8-LEANDROS 92.6
5-MAUI MARK 92.0
3-MAJESTIC DIAMOND 83.8
6-VALIANT EFFORT 83.8 (off May 09)

RACE 8
5-ZENYATTA 129.0
2-ST TRINIANS 105.2
3-ZARDANA 93.2
6-CHERRYBLOSSOMMISS 88.1

RACE 9
4-SWISS SKI 80.8
3-ONE VOTE 80.8
13-TAXI FLEET 80.2
11-BEYOND LOADED 79.5

RACE 10
7-LAURA BEASLEY 76.6
5-DONNER WASSER 69.8
10-CAITIE'S SECRET 62.2
3-MS TREASURE HUNTER 61.1
2-TIZ SMOKE TIZ FIRE 58.5

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Saturday, June 12, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $95,019.

RACE 1
7-FIRE BREAK 91.3
4-YVETT'S PRIDE 91.3
1-DEVIL ON THE ROOF 82.6
6-DAY WITH DESI 79.9
5-OLIVER 77.6

RACE 2
8-DELAHOOSEE 86.8 (off Feb. 09)
4-RAUSCHENBERG 85.6
1A-MOONLARK 82.6 (entry)
5-GOOD TO GO 55.5

1st time starters - 1 (entry) 7, 3

RACE 3
1A-TARO 99.5 (entry)
1-HARMONIOUS 82.0 (entry)
4-HARD WAY TEN 79.6
6-HASTY 79.0
5-TURNS MY HEAD 77.8

RACE 4
5-FREE FLYING SOUL 103.1
2-ALPHA KITTEN 97.1
1-SWEET AUGUST MOON 94.5
6-FUND RAISER 88.1

RACE 5
4-SEA RASCAL 91.3
6-SELF INSURED 90.7
2-HIHO GERONIMO 85.0
7-RUMMYSECRET WAR 70.8
5-REALLY UPTOWN 70.3

RACE 6
9-INDIARA 73.1
2-REAL OBVIOUS 56.5
3-L'ENCHANTERESSE 54.5
5-SWEETLY 50.1

1st time starters - 6, 4, 8, 10

RACE 7
4-YODELEN DAN 94.5
6-RUMBA ALONG 93.2
5-TAMARACK SMARTY 91.3
1-CHAMP PEGASUS 89.4

RACE 8
4-MISSDEALORNODEAL 86.9
10-MAGIC LAUNCH 85.6
5-MONEY LOVER 84.4
6-ANGI'S WILD CAT 82.6

RACE 9
7-RAIL TRIP 111.4
3-ONE TRICK MIND 103.8
1-AITCHO 99.8
6-SANGAREE 95.2

RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
6-AMERICAN WILDCAT 69.8
11-LANA'S SMILE 61.1
9-DOUGHBOY 59.6
7-SWISS TART 58.0
1-COMMA TO THE TOP 57.0

1st time starters - 2, 10, 5, 8

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Friday, June 11, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-PRIDE OF WILSHIRE 64.3
5-BRING IT 58.5
7-BIG WAGS 58.5
3-SOUTHERN VICTORY 57.8

1st time starters - 2

RACE 2
4-LUCY GOT LUCKY 80.8
1-LOOK TO THE SKY 80.2
2-TWODOLLARSTOWIN 68.6
9-SAINT CINDY 68.1
8-ACUTE VELOCITY 67.5

RACE 3
7-I CAN HEAR 83.8
1-SILVER HEAT 75.4
2-WARRENS HIGHROLLER 72.6
5-ROAD TO REASON 69.2

RACE 4
1-HALO'S LAW 91.3
10-BANDEIRA UNION 76.4
8-WELLS FURGO 75.2
2-CANDY COAT 73.1

RACE 5
8-KRIS SILVER 101.8
7-CROSSING THE LINE 95.8
2-ASPERITY 95.2
1-ACHAK 91.3

RACE 6
3-LEYVA MAN 64.8
7-CANTONA 59.0
1-CAMICORY 54.0
10-OUTRAGEOUS FORTUNE 50.5
2-SKY'SQUICKSCORE 49.2

RACE 7
9-HOCKLEY 85.0
2-FANTASTIC PICK 84.4
6-VERY FAIR 83.8
3-BOULDER CREEK 77.8
4-JAIRZIHNO 77.2

RACE 8
10-THE SKINNY MAN 67.0
3-SWINGIN JIM 60.1
6-SINGLE SHOT 55.5
4-TEQUILA BLUES 53.5
9-HIGH WAY SIXTY SIX 51.1

1st time starters - 2, 8, 12

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Thursday, June 10, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $93,572.

RACE 1
5-ULTRA AWESOME 74.9
4-FOR SURE FOR SURE 73.7
7-DOLLY DAGGERS 73.1
2-DONA MARY 64.8
3-FIRST QUEEN 62.9

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
8-GATOR AT FONZ'S 59.0
1-MISSILETTE 42.0
2-NEGRA TOMASA 40.3
7-TABLE FOR ONE 35.8

1st time starters -3, 4

RACE 3
5-LEASE OF LIFE 94.5
2-FALCON ROCK 92.6
4-ROMP 85.6
3-BUENOS DIAS 85.6
1-MUHANNAK 55.5

RACE 4
2-FEED A FEVER 60.6
4-BACK NINE DOC 55.1
5-RIGHTEOUSLY 53.0
8-DANIELLA ROTH 52.6
7-WARREN'S WHISPER 51.1

RACE 5
5-BUCK'S BRO 95.2
1-CANDY LION 93.9
2-PATRIOTIC SOLDIER 90.7
6-DARK AND DEEP 85.6

RACE 6
5-MALUSITA 73.4
2-HALFAPONDAROSA 72.0
1-KAYLIE'S JOY 72.0
4-PRINCESS SUSAN M 71.4
7-CHERIE'S DREAM 70.9

RACE 7
2-SIROCCO STRIKE 93.9
7-PRIVILAGED 86.9
3-LOCKSLEY HALL 83.8
1-BRADIUM 83.2
4-FANDINO 82.0

RACE 8
2-ROCKSTAR BEN 66.4
1-TRIBUNAL BLUES 55.5
7-RAYMANJJOHNSONJR 53.5
6-TIZEXCHANGE 53.0
3-CASA O 51.1

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Wednesday, June 09, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-SIMPLY PUT 58.5
5-MADDYABOUTYOU 56.5
1-AFLEET BREEZE 54.5
3-LISA LULU 50.2

RACE 2
8-SISTER LUCY 69.2
4-SUBPOENA THE DRESS 66.4
6-WARREN'S R READY 65.6
5-OUR TRICK OR TREAT 65.4

RACE 3
4-APPEALING AFARE 84.5
5-PRIVALOVA 83.8
2-RICHELLE'S JOY 82.6
1-A CLEVER TEN 81.4

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
9-ON A HI 44.6
2-SUCCESS AGAIN 35.8
4-GEORGIA'S FRIEND 30.8
8-MUSTBE AVICTORY 12.1

1st time starters - 7, 3, 5, 1, 11

RACE 5
7-DIFERENTKINDAGREAT 102.5
3-RED EYE EXPRESS 99.1
1-WARREN'S PEPE 97.8
5-POKER DAVE 97.8

RACE 6
5-SHE'S NOT LION 59.0
2-MOVE ON GYPSY 56.5
4-TWISTNTHENIGHTAWAY 56.0
1-CARRIE ROSE 39.4 (off Oct. 09)

1st time starters - 8, 3

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f. - stks.)
4-HI HO YODELER 78.4
3-SWISS WILD CAT 59.6
2-TRICK SKATE 58.5
7-SEETHE GIRLGO 53.5
6-WARREN'S LEADGIRL 52.6

1st time starters - 1 (won 4/12 f. race at Keenland), 8 (won 2 f. race at SA)

RACE 8
4-MS MARGARITAVILLE 65.0
5-GOTHAM SPIRIT 64.8
9-FLASH THE SILVER 57.5 (off Aug. 09)
3-TRIBUL WITCH 56.0
7-ESMERALDA'S GIRL 54.0

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Tuesday, June 08, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each otherhas a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Monday, June 07, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 11 times that I know of in over 1670 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Sunday, June 06, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-DEO'S SECRET 65.4
4-CHK CHK BOOM 48.8
5-CAYANNA 46.4
7-STRIKE YOUR FANCY 41.1

1st time starters - 1, 3

RACE 2
1-ALL DUE RESPECT 87.5
4-BROKEN SILENCE 87.5
5-KAYCE ACE 76.0
2-OUR ROAD SCHOLAR 72.2
3-CALLE VISTA 65.4

RACE 3
6-COO CACHOO 74.9
7-LUCKY FITZ 68.6 (off Dec. 09)
3-MR. SATURDAYNIGHT 67.2
4-STRIKINGLY SINFUL 64.8
1-JACOB'S TIGER 64.8

RACE 4
1-BLUE TAMBOURINE 80.8
5-GOOD VIBRATION 77.8
4-EMPRESS WAY 74.9
7-FIRST SETTLER 67.5

RACE 5
1-BESTDREDSSED 102.5
3-CHARM N CHUCK 90.0
6-CAPE TRUTH 88.1
4-TRUMPET PLAYER JAY 84.4
5-DETAILS R SKETCHY 84.4

RACE 6
7-DETROIT DONNIE 79.6
6-LIMITED WILL 77.2 (off Aug. 09)
8-SAMMY'S A RUNNIN' 76.0
4-EZE DOES IT 72.6
5-SKY SEARCHER 72.6

RACE 7
6-RIVIERA COCKTAIL 103.1
1-TEMPLE CITY 101.1 (off Aug. 09)
5-VICTORY PETE 101.1 (off Sept. 09)
3-RED DOOR DRIVE 101.1
8-GREAT SIEGE 98.4

RACE 8
3-BLIND LUCK 104.5
4-ANTARES WORLD 87.5
1-SWITCH 85.0
2-CAMILLE C 85.0
5-VISION IN GOLD 76.6

RACE 9
8-THE FULL LAVINO 62.7
12-SCRUTINIZING KAT 61.1
2-OUR JUKE BOX HERO 60.1
1-FLAMING EYES 48.8
9-ROCK 'N RULE 43.3 (off April 09)

1st time starters - 7, 10, 3

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Saturday, June 05, 2010

 

BELMONT PARK - HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

BELMONT PARK - THE BELMONT 1 1/2 MILE

RACE 11
6-ICE BOX 114.3
5-FLY DOWN 108.6
8-GAME ON DUDE 105.2
11-FIRST DUDE 104.5
4-MAKE MUSIC FOR ME 103.8
12-INTERACTIF 101.8
9-STATELY VICTOR 100.4
7-DROSSELMEYER 99.1
3-UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN 98.4
10-STAY PUT 97.1
1-DAVE IN DIXIE 87.5
2-SPANGLED STAR 84.4

HOLLYWOOD PARK
RACE 1
1A-SAXOPHONE 95.2 (entry)
6-GOTMYMOJOWORKIN 91.9
5-INDIANSKI 84.4
3-YOUNG JOE 76.6
2-WITHIN REASON 72.0

RACE 2
1-WARREN'S WILLTOWIN 57.0
6-WILLOW MISS 37.0
5-SIMPLY SUBLIME 34.2
7-LONG LEGGED LOVELY 30.8
3-MABEEAWISHCOMETRUE 30.0

1st time starters - 4, 9

RACE 3
5-GOLD TRIM 88.8
3-LUCKY PRIMO 86.9
1-LIFELINE 86.9
2-TIZ TRUE 86.3

RACE 4
4-CZECHERS 99.8
5-EXQUISITE 95.8
7-TURNING TOP 93.2
6-ANNIHILATION 86.3

RACE 5
4-NICHOLE H 77.2
1-HOLLOWEEN CANDY 69.2 (off Aug. 09)
7-SAINT ISABELLE 64.8 (off Sept. 09)
3-MY ROMANCE 61.3

1st time starters - 2, 5, 6

RACE 6
3-DIPLO 73.7
6-SARAVAS WILD AGAIN 73.1
8-CAME ABOARD 72.0
2-SUMMERS AT DELMAR 72.0

RACE 7
3-COST OF FREEDOM 117.9
6-JIGGLY 103.8
8-M ONE RIFLE 103.1
7-E Z'S GENTLEMAN 97.8
5-STONESIDE 97.1
4-BET ON VICTOR 96.5

RACE 8
5-PACK YOUR BAGS 93.2
4-DANNY Q 87.5 (off April 09)
8-DOLRDOLRBILLYALL 86.9
6-RAETODANDTY 81.5

RACE 9
3-CAN'T TOPPER 89.4
1-LYRICAL GODDESS 84.4
4-MOVIE DUTY 72.0
7-NAUGHTY MARIANA 69.2
9-HOLDING HER GROUND 68.1

RACE 10
5-LOUP BRETON 107.9
1-ACCLAMATION 105.9
11-BATTLE OF HASTINGS 101.1
10-CARRY GULCH 96.5
2-RENDEZVOUS 93.2

RACE 11 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
7-OFFLEE WILD BOYS 59.0
11-MR. GENNARO 46.9
6-NORMAN CONQUEROR 44.2
4-TRIBAL WISH 32.3 (steadied)

1st time starters - 3, 5, 10, 2, 8, 9, 1, 12

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Friday, June 04, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TONIGHT IS $150,594.

RACE 1
2-GOOD NIGHT GYRRENE 79.6
5-LAVENDER TOUCH 77.8
1-CARNIVAL QUEEN 76.0
4-SUANCES DE ESPANA 73.7
6-ONEFUNSONOFAGUN 70.9

RACE 2
7-ISLE OF PRADO 78.1
6-DUCANE 77.8
4-JUNIPER PASS 72.0
3-MILYONE 71.4

1st time starters - 2

RACE 3
8-FANTANDO 64.8
3-IOTABGREY 55.5
4-FIONNAUR 53.5
6-COOKIN EXPRESSO 46.4
9-DECARCHY FEVER (off May 09)

RACE 4
6-WELKEN 95.8
2-LILLY FA POOTZ 93.2
1-OUI SAY OUI 89.4
4-ZILLA 88.1

RACE 5
7-FREQUENT FAME 62.2
1-CENIZO 60.6
8-THIS TIME BABY 59.0
5-ANN'S SEVEN 55.5
3-WARREN'S SWAP FOX 51.6

RACE 6
2-WARREN'S TOMMY TOO 77.0
6-STICK TO THE PLAN 71.4
9-SPEEDY MARINI 65.4
1-BRIANVILLE 60.6
12-BOLD TYPE 59.0

1st time starters - 4

RACE 7
3-SISTER DAWN 91.9
4-FULL MANDATE 74.3
6-KALANETTA 71.2 (off Sept.09)
1-SWEET HANNI 70.9
2-REAL HOUSEWIFE 70.0

RACE 8
7-SOUVENIR SUMMER 56.5
3-EMINENT HONOR 56.0
9-TITUS AURELIUS 55.0
1-ROOS ON THE LOOSE 54.5
5-SUREFIRE 53.5

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Thursday, June 03, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each otherhas a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK

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Wednesday, June 02, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 11 times that I know of in over 1665 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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