Friday, April 30, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-LOOK TO THE SKY 68.6
6-TWODOLLARSTOWIN 68.1
5-ACUTE VELOCITY 61.6
3-ENLIGHTENED LADY 58.5
2-DANIELLA ROTH 58.0

RACE 2
9-DUKE OF ASPEN 59.0
3-B. I. GUY 56.5
8-MIKROMAN 56.5
7-STEEL BLUE 56.5
1-HIGH WAY SIXTY SIX 47.1

RACE 3
7-STANFORD DOLLY 88.8
4-LAUREN C 84.4
1-BURNA DETTE 79.6
6-VIKKILEE 78.4

RACE 4
5-WELLS FURGO 70.3
2-WARREN'S JUAN 65.9
6-ST. JOAL 59.6
4-ROAD TO THRONE 53.0
1-CANTONA 50.0

RACE 5
7-SIROCCO STRIKE 71.7
6-THERMAL WAVE 68.6 (steadied)
9-BRADIUM 67.5
2-ROYAL IMPORT 64.4
1-IMAGE AND LIKENESS 64.3

1st time starters - 5, 10, 3, 11, 8

RACE 6
7-WARREN'S RUBY 68.6
2-SHANTIKA'S DREAM 63.8
6-SAINT CINDY 60.6
1-FEED A FEVER 59.1

RACE 7
6-THORONDOR 90.7
1-TRULYMET'SMYDADDY 83.2
5-JACK'S WILD 79.6
3-SOUL CANDY 78.4

RACE 8
4-KALOOKAN COMMANDO 67.5
7-CYPRESS SAM 46.4
6-CAT BRANDO 44.6 (off slow)
14-PADRE JON 41.1
9-KOOLNQUICK 39.5

1st time starters - 13, 5, 3

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Thursday, April 29, 2010

 

KENTUCKY DERBY WEEKEND

Friday - I will post the entire Hollywood Park Program - 1st post 1:00 PM (Pacific).

Saturday - I will post the entire Kentucky Derby Program (Churchill Downs) - 1st post 7:30 AM (Pacific). The Kentucky Derby's Post time is scheduled for 3:24 PM (Pacific). I will not be posting the Hollywood Park Program for Saturday.

Sunday - I will post the entire Hollywood Park Program - 1st post 1:00 PM (Pacific).

BEST OF LUCK ON THE DERBY AND LET'S MAKE SOME MONEY.

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Wednesday, April 28, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-TALLAHSOCEAN 74.9
5-FIONA FREUD 73.7
6-PRINCESS SUSAN M 71.4
2-KAYLIE'S JOY 70.9

RACE 2
4-BONNIE BLUE FLAG 79.0
1-PURE CLASS 77.8 (off Oct. 09)
2-FOLK DANCER 72.6
3-RIVIERA CHIC 67.5
5-GHOST GIRL 64.0

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
NO SELECTIONS

RACE 4
8-OUR PARTNER 88.1
3-KING CONGO 85.0
7-FENICE 82.6
6-ABSOLUTE GLORY 79.0
2-AUTOCUE 78.4

RACE 5
3-HAWAIIAN SPRINGS 95.2
4-MINDBLOWER 88.1
2-GOLDEN ITIZ 85.7
5-CLOSE TO THE EDGE 82.6
6-TIZ A KNIGHT 76.0

RACE 6
6-SILVER HEAT 76.6
12-LAURA BEASLEY 62.5
5-TIZ SMOKE TIZ FIRE 61.0
2-WARRENS MATCHMAKER 54.2
8-MULTIPLYINGTHEHEAT 54.2

1st time starters - 1

RACE 7
6-WOMAN WARRIOR 94.6
2-BELLA ROJA 89.4
5-LEMON SUPREME 88.8
7-MOTHER RUTH 86.9
3-VIA VENETO 85.0
1-HEARTLESS VIXEN 84.4

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
NO SELECTIONS

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Tuesday, April 27, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each otherhas a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, April 26, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-This has happened 11 times that I know of in over 1629 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Saturday, April 24, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 1st time 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
NO SELECTIONS

RACE 2
1-SISTER DAWN 88.8
4-PINK BLOSSOM 83.8
6-PINCELADA 83.2
2-JAWS N' PAWS 83.2
3-SERIOUSLY 82.0

RACE 3
6-BULLFIGHTER 85.6
5-BELONGS TO GOTHAM 77.8
4-SAMMY'S A RUNNIN' 74.9 (off Aug. 09)
2-FULL ON 74.9
3-GRAY ZULU 73.7

RACE 4
2-MERRYTAGIO 56.5
1-TOUCH LUCK 38.6
7-MS TREASURE HUNTER 37.8
4-SCENT OF CHRISM 33.4

1st time starters - 5, 6, 8

RACE 5
6-SUNNY PEACE 86.9
5-LE GRAND AMOUR 83.4
8-SINDYFROMSANTACRUZ 82.0
2-OPERETTA ITALIANO 79.6

RACE 6
10-PRIMED 71.4
8-THERE IS NO LIMIT 71.2
9-SCREEN GEM 60.6
5-LIFE WELL LIVED 59.6
3-HONEY BUNCH 58.5

1st time starters - 4, 7, 6, 2

RACE 7
2-BEST MON 96.5
1-RAYMORRISON 91.9
3-GOTMYMOJOWORKIN 91.3
7-DAVE'S PACEMAKER 90.0
5-SCHRAMSBERG 89.4

RACE 8
2-COMPARI 105.9
5-GREAT SEIGE 95.8
10-QUINDICI MAN 94.4
3-LEASE OF LIFE 91.9
9-RED ALERT DAY 91.3

RACE 9
6-STRAY CAT 77.2
1-WAAFI 75.4
2-SMOKENOMORE 74.9
11-MAJESTIC RUN 73.7 (off April 09)
8-PANDA 67.0

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HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-SIBERSKY 58.5
3-WARREN'S ROYAL MOM 57.1
6-FAVOLOSO 53.8 (off March 09)
5-MONEY LOVER 53.0

1st time starters - 2

RACE 2
7-UNCLE DON 96.5
5-REAGAN REPUBLICAN 96.5
3-SCOFIELD BARRACKS 84.4
2-DANZING TRIBAL 84.4

RACE 3
4-U R ALL THAT I AM 97.1
3-LADY ALEX 89.9
2-WITCHY MEETING 88.1 (off June 09)
5-BIG N SASSY 79.6
1-RUFFLED FEATHERS 79.0

RACE 4
2-LA NEZ 88.1
1-SALTY FRIES 76.6
6-CAMILLE C 75.2
7-BLIND OPTIMISM 64.8
3-SHE'S NOT LION 64.3

RACE 5
6-SILENT STALK 80.8
5-CARNIVAL QUEEN 80.1
7-BIRDIE BIRDIE 79.5
8-YASINISI 77.1
3-SQUEEZE ME TIGHT 72.9

RACE 6
2-ALPHIE'S BET 92.6
5-CAHILL COUNTRY 88.1
1-SELF MADE 79.6
4-WARREN'S KONG 73.4
7-LEAVING NEW YORK 71.4

RACE 7
12-EXCELLENT NEWS 85.6
14-BE DRIVEN 79.0
7-BLAME THE WINE 78.4
9-A CLEVER TEN 77.2
1-ASHEE 74.7

RACE 8
10-NOBLETY 96.5
5-RON ROB AND DAVE 93.2
2-WINSOME CHARM 91.9
8-GET FUNKY 86.9
4-NEW BAY 85.0

1st time starters - 3 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 9
2-RUSH WITH THUNDER 107.3
1-LIBERIAN FREIGHTER 104.5
4-STAR NICHOLAS 99.8
6-EARNDNEVERGIVEN 98.6
7-BESTDRESSED 97.1
8-MOBILIZED 97.1

RACE 10
4-DANA DYNAMO 72.0
2-PERFECT ENVOY 71.4
6-INTUITIVE NATURE 70.1
5-MY BOY WALSH 66.6
1-LODI RED 63.8

1st time starters - 10, 3

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Friday, April 23, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
8-LEYVA MAN 69.4
7-CALL ME HONCHO 62.2
3-AEROMON 58.0
6-SOUVENIR SUMMER 56.5

1st time starters - 9

RACE 2
4-SKY CHANT 64.8
1-WARREN'S WHISPER 62.9
3-JINX 62.7 (off Oct. 08)
2-SURE NICE 61.6 (off July 09)
5-HOLDING HER GROUND 58.6

RACE 3
5-IRISH TORRENT 83.2
8-ATTAR OF ROSE 72.6 (off Nov. 09)
6-GO FORTH NORTH 70.9
4-MARIA'S DANE 60.1

RACE 4
3-CHAMPAGNEANDLILIES 61.6
14-WARREN'S GRANDSLAM 53.5
12-NOTWITHSTANDING 53.0
5-JANA GAIL 50.2

1st time starters - 2, 4

RACE 5
5-THOMAS BAINES 90.6
1-HOCKLEY 85.0
3-THEATRICAL PRO 79.6
4-COLOURSOFTHEGLEN 75.4
7-GILLIGAN 73.1

RACE 6
2-PRETTY KINZIE 65.4
6-KRAKOW QUEEN 62.2
1-THE WOMEN'S DIVA 62.2
10-RIGHT TO WORK 60.1

RACE 7
5-RUINATION 93.2
1-BOEHLE 84.4
7-ALPINE YODEL 77.8
2-SAMANTHA'S RULE 77.2
4-ROLLERSKATES 77.2

RACE 8
4-TAXI FLEET 85.0
10-ACQUIRE THE FIRE 81.4
11-A CAT NAMED SNIPE 78.4
9-ONE VOTE 74.3
5-STORMY GAME 66.4
6-GET OFF THE SUGAR 64.8

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Wednesday, April 21, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. 1st time starters going 4 1/2 f.)
NO SELECTIONS

RACE 2
1-ORIENTATION HALL 88.1
5-CHANGING 84.4
2-MY MAN SUMO 82.0
6-SAINT CHOCOLATE 77.2
4-NERICON KING 75.4

RACE 3
3-JOB BOSS 88.8
2-RUMBA ALONG 85.0
9-EL INDY 83.8
7-SHEDIAK 80.8
1-HISTORY BOY 80.8
6-JOURNEYMAN 80.8

RACE 4
8-SH SH SHAKIN' 57.7
9-MS MARGARITAVILLE 56.6
3-NUBIAN PRINCESS 54.0
4-JACKY'S SKIPPING 52.6

RACE 5
8-SURFER GIRL 93.9
7-BROOKIE GIRL 91.9
6-SABINA FAY 87.5
3-WARREN'S R READY 85.6
4-TERRIFY 85.0

RACE 6
4-ISHMAEL 77.2
8-DAYS OF LIGHTNING 65.4
7-UR TURN DUBAI 63.2
6-TOWSER 59.6

RACE 7
10-BIG MAN HAS A SIGN 89.4
8-HOLLYWOOD HARBOR 87.5 (off Aug. 09)
5-FACE AND AN ACE 86.3
9-DIXIE TROUPER 85.0 (off Nov. 09)
2-SMILING TIGER 84.5 (off Sept. 09)

RACE 8
3-GOSHAWK 70.3
16-COOKINEXPRESSO 59.0
15-WHO'S YOUR WIDADY 56.1
14-HOLLYWOOD MOGUL 53.5
4-SLEW CITY GOLD 46.9

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Tuesday, April 20, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each otherhas a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.

Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, April 19, 2010

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 11 times that I know of in over 1624 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, April 18, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-EZE DOES IT 61.6
3-PRIDE OF WILSHIRE 60.6
6-KIM'S LEADING MAN 59.6
7-SHERRY'S TOPPER 35.0

1st time starters - 4, 8

RACE 2
4-FULL MANDATE 96.6
1-CONNIPTION 83.2
3-HARD WAY TEN 80.2
2-I'MNEVERWRONG 67.5
5-BONITA SONADOR 66.4

RACE 3
6-SO HOTTIE 88.1 (off May 09)
7-SISTER LUCY 69.2
4-GOTHAM SPIRIT 63.2
2-WHAT'S THE PRIZE 61.1

RACE 4
6-MY SECRET LIFE 60.1
8-BOSTON BAKED BEAN 42.4
9-MANDO 40.3
3-ZING ZING 39.9 (off slow)

1st time starters - 1, 4, 7, 2, 5

RACE 5
6-IMPREGNABLE 86.3
3-BALLESTERO 81.8 (off Dec. 08)
9-DON'T ANSWER 79.6
2-STRAY CAT 78.4
8-INDY RIDE 75.4

RACE 6
5-BRADIUM 80.3
12-PREAMBLE 76.0
7-TWEEBSTER 73.7 (off Aug. 09)
6-KING RED 70.3

1st time starters - 3, 9, 2, 8, 11

RACE 7
2-WELLS FURGO 72.0
10-STEEL BLUE 63.4
13-STARCATTER 62.2
1-CASA O 57.5
7-SELF DEFENSE 57.0

RACE 8
2-INCURRABLE LOU 96.5 (off June 08)
3-GIGANTICUS 95.8
11-MAJOR GENERAL 86.9
8-YOUTHFUL AMBITION 85.0
5-HEWITTS 84.4

RACE 9
3-STREET CAR 93.9 (off May 09)
7-GOLD TRIM 90.0 (off Sept. 08)
2-MR. HOT STUFF 88.8
5-UNIVERSAL PEACE 83.8
4-RED DOOR DRIVE 82.0

RACE 10
10-BOURBON BAY 106.6
11-STALINGRAD 103.8
9-TAP IT LIGHT 101.8
4-FALCON ROCK 97.2
7-QUINDICI MAN 96.9

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Saturday, April 17, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-SMOKEY BEAU 73.1
2-WARRING HEART 70.3
1-NATHANIEL 64.8
3-WARREN'S OPERATOR 63.2
4-HASTY TREND 61.6

RACE 2
7-SALTY SARAH 80.2
6-MAGIC LAUNCH 79.4
3-CORACAO BEIJO 76.0
1-WARRENSMYSTERYDICE 69.8
5-GLASS OF RED 67.0

RACE 3
6-FOR SURE FOR SURE 74.3
1-DESPERATE 70.9
2-HAVENS LAKE 68.1
4-ROCKIN ROSE 67.0

RACE 4
2-TUSCAN EVENING 106.6
1-CAT BY THE TALE 97.1
5-GENERAL CONSENSUS 92.6
3-RESTLESS SOUL 87.5
6-ECLAIR DE LUNE 81.4

RACE 5
7-POCATELLO WILD KAT 60.6
9-AFLEET BREEZE 55.0
4-IF YOU KNEW SUSIE 54.0
3-MUSICAL GRACE 52.6
1-LISA LULU 52.5

RACE 6
1-AFLEET RULER 97.1
5-VALKYRIE MISSLE 87.5
7-BELIEVE IN HOPE 85.5 (off Sept. 08)
3-TRIBAL JUSTICE 83.2
6-KANAN DUME 80.8

RACE 7
6-MONZANTE 97.8
8-HYADES 97.1
2-UNUSUAL SMOKE 95.2
1-BUENOS DIAS 93.2 (off Dec. 09)
4-DEWEY'S SPECIAL 91.9

RACE 8
7-LIGHT OF A STAR 82.6
5-WADA FALLS 82.0
2-PARTY WITH BRANDO 71.4
4-SUBPOENA THE DRESS 70.9
9-MISS ANIME 68.6

RACE 9
5-CANONIZE 108.4
4-MR GRUFF 105.2
3-EVER A FRIEND 105.2
1-CHEROKEE HEAVEN 103.8

RACE 10
9-WAYMAN 77.2
6-ERIC'S REVENGE 76.6
10-SILVER STYLE 74.3
8-LUNADA BAY 51.1 (off July 09)
2-ELUSIVE MOMENT 48.8

1st time starters - 4, 7, 5, 1, 3

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Friday, April 16, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-LUCY GOT LUCKY 73.7
2-THE LEGAL BLONDE 66.4
3-JOINT AGREEMENT 62.5
7-LACEY LEILAH 62.0

RACE 2
7-CHOBE CHIKA 72.0 (off Dec. 08)
6-KAHLUA MIST 55.5
2-HARD EIGHT 49.2
3-LIL TROUBLEMAKER 47.8 (off March 09)

1st time starters - 5, 1

RACE 3
5-WYNNING RIDE 86.3 (off Aug. 09)
4-MADEL 83.8
1-MUSIC MAGIC 82.6 (off Nov. 09)
2-RICHELLE'S JOY 78.9
6-STEVIE'S AFLEET 77.2

RACE 4
6-DASH DOT DASH 85.0
2-WARREN'S APPEAL 83.8
3-CONNIE THE QUEEN 83.8
5-LIVING OUR DREAM 82.6
7-OPERETTA ITALIANO 81.4

RACE 5
7-TORO TRIPPI 74.3
6-ARKHAM ASYLUM 73.7
2-DRIVELIKETIGER 67.5
5-CAT CALLOWAY 62.7

RACE 6
6-STANFORD DOLLY 86.9
9-DAVE'S REVENGE 84.6
2-SUNNY PEACE 83.4
1-SINDYFROMSANTACRUZ 83.2
12-LILLY FA POOTZ 79.6

RACE 7
3-CHERRYBLOSSOMMISS 93.2
4-DANCE TO MY TUNE 92.6
1-MADE FOR MAGIC 91.9
2-THIRD DAWN 91.3 (off Sept. 09)

RACE 8
8-MISTY MISS JOANNA 54.0
12-DOS VEINTE 51.6
11-GHOST SHADOW 48.8
2-MOVIE DUTY 44.2

1st time starters - 7, 6, 9, 1

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Thursday, April 15, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-GENERAL DAN 83.2
5-SWISS SKI 81.4
4-NIMA'S PAD 77.2
1-STELLA MARK 70.9

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 2 f.)
NO SELECTIONS

RACE 3
3-APPEALING AFARE 72.6
2-MARRYMEONEMORETIME 69.8

1st time starters - 4, 6, 1, 5

RACE 4
1-COOKIE'S JEWEL 65.4
5-SYNCOBEAT 63.8
2-COUNTRY IMPACT 58.5
6-BETTINGONTHEFLY 49.7

1st time starters -4

RACE 5
3-DANZIP 88.8
4-FARMER GILES 86.3
6-UKANDOIT 80.2
5-IVORY FUDGE 76.0
2-LEROY'S DYNAMEAUX 74.9

RACE 6
4-SIR BEN 76.0
10-RENZO SEAN 73.7
3-SOVERIGN LORD 73.1
8-CHOP HOUSE GEORGE 70.9
2-THECATCHECKRAISED 70.3

RACE 7
6-WELKEN 97.1
5-GRIPSHOLM CASTLE 94.4
3-ZILLA 87.5
1-ROSEY DE MEGEVE 87.5
7-VAN BRIT 83.8

RACE 8
1-CLASSY EVA 58.5
9-BINKY'S SISTER 49.2
12-PORTFOLIO 42.4
5-JUST CALL'ER 40.3
8-JAN THE FIRST 37.0 (off Dec. 09)

1st time starters - 4, 2, 7, 3, 6, 11

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Wednesday, April 14, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-HOG'S HOLLOW 91.3
2-CHAMP PEGASUS 88.8
5-MEGASTAR 81.4
6-ROYAL F J 77.2
4-NO STADIUM 76.6

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 2 f.)
NO SELECTIONS

RACE 3
5-FLEET ROYAL 79.1
1-KAZROAD 75.4
7-HUMBLE MAGGIE GO 74.5
6-GOOD NIGHT GYRENE 68.4

RACE 4
2-STICKY CANDY 61.1 (off Dec. 09)
5-ROOS ON THE LOOSE 50.2
6-GUADALUPE LUPE 46.4
7-BOSTON BAKED BEAN 42.4

1st time starters - 1

RACE 5
2-ISHMAEL 84.5
1-FORMAT V. 83.3
3-DAYLIGHT STORM 79.2
6-KURO 77.8

RACE 6
4-CONCORD POINT 92.6
5-LIONS STORY 91.3
1-DOMONATION 86.9
2-ROYCE 77.8

RACE 7
2-PRECIOUS DUKE 80.8
8-BUYER'S REMORSE 79.1
11-FORTHREEFOREUCLID78.4
10-QUILLOTANO 77.0
5-GILLIGAN 74.9

RACE 8
1-LETSGETITRIGHT 70.9
3-DIPLO 58.5
7-DEEM 54.5 (steadied)
2-SKY'SQUICKSCORE 54.0

1st time starters - 4

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Tuesday, April 13, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each otherhas a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, April 12, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered

-Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 11 times that I know of in over 1609 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, April 11, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-DO DREAM 90.0
2-KNOCKOUT ARTIST 88.1
4-SARTORIAL 86.9 (off Dec.09)
5-EL MARTILLO 84.4
3-KATIE'S DAN 76.6

RACE 2
4-EURO GAL 73.1
2-PAY FOR PLAY 72.3
3-NAUGHTY MARIANA 71.4
1-COSTANTA 68.6
5-FAIR KISSES 61.6

RACE 3
1-HOLLADAY ROAD 76.0
3-WARREN'S TOMMY TOO 65.9
5-WARREN'S JUAN 63.2
4-BERNSIE'S BABY 60.1

RACE 4
7-GOTTA HAVE HER 115.0
3-UNZIP ME 101.1
8-ANNIHILATION 99.1
6-CZECHERS 92.5

RACE 5
4-WARREN'A MOON 61.6
1-CREMEDELAGOLD 59.6 (slow start)
2-MAKE IT MINE 44.2 (off slow)
7-BILLSSECONDCHANCE 35.4

1st time starters - 3

RACE 6
7-S C SONG GIRL 76.6
5-TASHZARA 72.2
4-TRIPLE CREAM 71.4
2-TWISTNTHENIGHTAWAY 70.4

RACE 7
4-NO GRANDE 93.9
3-ORIENTATION HALL 90.0
7-SCOTTISH DIAMOND 90.0
1-JAMES PRIOR 84.3
2-SIDEPOCKET LOU 81.4

RACE 8
2-TOP FEELING 98.4
1-KALOOKAN STORM 93.2
3-BRUSHBURN 91.9
5-EARNEDNEVERGIVEN 90.7
9-TAMARACK SMARTY 90.7

RACE 9
8-LADY ADELLE 63.8
3-WARRENS ROYAL LADY 54.0
2-JANA GAIL 52.6
5-DUBAI MACAU GIRL 52.1
6-R. C. STORM 38.6

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Saturday, April 10, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-SAXOPHONE 90.0
4-BRINSON 80.8
5-MY MAN MURF 80.2
2-MY FRIEND LUIS 68.1
1-INSTANT ACTION 59.0 (off Oct. 08)

RACE 2
3-ON THE VIRG 94.5
4-CROSSING THE LINE 90.2
6-BIG WIG 88.1
2-SQUALLCREEK 86.3
1-WARREN'S TONY R. 85.0

RACE 3
5-TWOFORMEONEFORYOU 73.1
4-GULA GOLD 70.3
6-LOOK TO THE SKY 67.5
2-DANIELLA ROTH 58.5

RACE 4
7-COASTAL SMARTY 69.2
5-JUNIPER PASS 66.4
2-THEATRICAL PRO 64.3
1-ROYAL IMPORT 63.2
6-DISTORTED ECONOMY 60.6

RACE 5
3-ART CURRENCY 96.5
5-WAREN'S PEPE 93.2
4-SLEW'S TIZNOW 92.6
2-CIGAR MAN 89.4
1-NORVSKY 87.5

RACE 6
1-EL NADIA 95.8
2-TURNING TOP 91.3
5-LADY FRANCESCA 89.1 (off Oct. 09)
6-DIAMOND TAGS 86.9
3-MISS MOJITO 77.8 (off slow)

RACE 7
1-CHARM N CHUCK 95.2
4-MY SUMMER SLEW 92.6
2-FUTURO 88.1
3-DETAILS R SKETCHY 87.4 (off Aug. 09)
6-HIYA SILVER 86.9

RACE 8
8-DREAM NETTIE 96.9
5-FANTASTIC PICK 92.6
1-RUNAWAY BANDIDO 90.7
4-LUCKY RAVE 84.4

RACE 9
3-DEVIL'S MATE 66.4
2-RUBY LANE 62.7 (off May 09)
5-FOXY APPROVAL 60.2
1-KAYLIE'S JOY 59.0
7-VICTORIOUSLY 49.7 (off May 09)

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Friday, April 09, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-MISS OLIVIA K 67.0
3-THE WOMEN'S DIVA 63.2
5-IDA OF MARCH 58.5
4-BRIANNA MARIE 55.0
2-GLORIFIED PRINCESS 38.6

RACE 2
1-CRASH LANDING 83.2
4-SEA RASCAL 82.0
6-ONE VOTE 73.7
2-SCOTTY JONES 73.1
5-STORMY GAME 63.8

RACE 3
9-COME HOME QUICK 69.5
3-MISINJENNUOUS 68.4
4-SO NICE 57.5
2-MAGIC LANTERN 42.5 (off Oct. 09)

1st time starters - 5, 8

RACE 4
1-MIKEYMIKE 59.6
3-DUTY BEFORE HONOR 42.0
5-MICHAELS JILA 40.7
2-WARREN'S CONCEPT 40.3

1st time starters - 6, 7, 4

RACE 5
1-PRETTY KINZIE 71.4
9-LANA'S LOVELY 70.6
6-PHOENICIAN STAR 65.2
5-FAYLEENE 64.8
7-IMPERATRIZ 64.1

RACE 6
1-LEEDSTHEWAY 91.3
4-CAPTAIN KALI 89.4
7-UNCLE JEEP 87.5
9-BRENTHURST 86.9
6-HIHO GERONIMO 86.3

RACE 7
4-RED ALERT DAY 103.8
5-AGGIE ENGINEER 93.2
1-EUROGLIDE 91.9
2-WORLDLY 86.3 (off Aug. 09)

RACE 8
5-UNUSUALLY LUCKY 69.8
8-JACOB'S TIGER 66.4
9-BOLD TYPE 63.8
2-WYLIE N WYATT 57.0
4-DANCE MARINO 52.1

1st time starters - 3, 6, 7

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Thursday, April 08, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: WEDNESDAY MY TOP PICKS WON 4 OF THE 7 RACES GIVEN.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 2 f.)
NO SELECTIONS

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 2 f.)
NO SELECTIONS

RACE 3
2-LORDGIVEMEALIFT 94.5
3-SPOT THE DIPLOMAT 91.3
1-BUCK'S BRO 89.4
5-ONE MAN'S DELIGHT 85.3
4-PARTYWITHLARRYZ 82.6

RACE 4
6-UNIONIZE 88.1 (off May 09)
2-PIOUS DAVID 85.6
1-RESPLENDENTLY 74.9 (off Dec. 08)
5-DERIVE 71.8
3-GOSHAWK 68.1

RACE 5
1-NO MISTRESS 79.5
3-SPUN SILVER 77.8 (off June 09)
5-STORMY SLEW 71.4 (off April 08)
4-BLUE TAMBOURINE 64.3

1st time starters - 2, 6

RACE 6
1-FOXY BAILEY 80.3
6-FOREVER MY LOVE 79.4
2-VIKKILEE 77.8
4-ASHEE 75.6 (off Aug. 09)
5-ULTRA AWESOME 75.1

RACE 7
2-BLAME THE WINE 80.8
3-WOOD ART 77.0
1-INITIAL IMPRESSION 74.3
6-UNUSUAL JANE 69.8
5-TAMMY'S LUCK 67.0 (off April 09)

RACE 8
2-OLYMPIC MAGIC 61.1 (off May 09)
6-OH NOW 56.5
7-HOLLYWOOD MOGUL 54.0
8-WHIZER 53.0
1-TRIBUNAL BLUES 42.9

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Wednesday, April 07, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $139,664.

RACE 1
5-NOBLETY 95.8
2-WORTH REPEATING 83.8
3-WHEN WE MET 83.8
6-HIDDEN BLESSING 77.8

1st time starters - 4 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 2 ( all 2 yo. going 2 f.)
ALL 1ST TIME STARTERS - NO SELECTIONS.

RACE 3
1-WARREN'S KONG 74.9
6-CEE'S CLOSING TIME 65.9
7-MINISTER D'ORO 52.8
8-CENTRIFUGE 51.0

1st time starters - 5

RACE 4
7-RECESS 69.8
2-TWODOLLARSTOWN 68.1 (off Sept. 09)
6-MALIBU ARTISTE 66.4
8-SPELL CASTER 64.8
1-DONA MARY 64.8

RACE 5
5-DONTMESROUNDWITJIM 79.6
8-TEAFATILLER 74.9
6-ABSOLUTLYPOSITIVLY 71.0
1-KISSED 68.1

1st time starters - 2

RACE 6
3-OUR PARTNER 85.0
7-ONE SHOT 81.4
6-FENICE 80.8
2-HE'S REALLY BIG 77.8

RACE 7
4-UNUSUALLY SOUND 88.1
5-THORONDOR 87.5
1-PINSTRIPE KID 84.4
2-WARRENS ATTACK CAT 80.8

RACE 8
1-MELBISHA 62.7
7-ROYALLY LARGE 60.1
3-MULTIPLYINGTHEHEAT 49.2
8-SKYANGLE 41.3
6-I OWE UME 39.4

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Tuesday, April 06, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.

All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way.

A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each otherhas a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, April 05, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others

.Recap payouts-I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 11 times that I know of in over 1609 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, April 04, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-NICOLE H 73.7
4-BONNIE BLUE FLAG 63.2
5-CAITIE'S SECRET 56.6
1-MADE TO ORDER 53.0
3-KAYSA DEEYA 52.0

1st time starters - 6

RACE 2
4-VANISHING GREY 77.8
3-ELUSIVE GALAXY76.0
5-SWEET SOPHIA 76.0
6-SOUTHERN FIREBALL 75.4 (off Aug. 09)
2-SWEET HANNI 74.9

RACE 3
7-DUKE OF ASPEN 71.4
5-TALE OF THE BAT 58.0
8-TIS 56.1
6-WARRENS TEMPTATION 47.4
3-ROOS ON THE LOOSE 46.1

RACE 4
5-APRIORITY 83.2
4-CLOSE TO THE EDGE 81.4
1-BRACE YOURSELVES 76.6
6-SAND SEAS 70.9

1st time starters - 3, 2

RACE 5
3-SKY MARNI 90.0
8-CARNIVAL QUEEN 88.8
1-HALFAPONDAROSA 86.9
6-ALPINE YODEL 83.8
5-A SASSY FUSAICHI 81.4

RACE 6
8-UKANDOIT 69.2
6-LETS GO INDIAN 65.4
3-THE FULL LAVINO 56.5 (off slow)
7-PARADISE FOUND 55.0

1st time starters - 9, 4, 1

RACE 7
6-EXQUISITE 95.2
5-WELL MONIED 91.3 (off Aug. 09)
2-SUMMERS PEACE 91.3
7-DEXTERA 90.0
1-CHASIN DREAMS 89.4

RACE 8
4-HALLELUJAH TRAIL 99.1
7-FREE FLYING SOUL 97.1
6-MISS MCCALL 94.5
5-ALPHA KITTEN 92.6
3-SHE'S CHEEKY 91.4

RACE 9
4-FULL ON 77.2
6-SMOKENOMORE 73.1
2-MAT THE MAITER'D 70.9
9-GHOST RULER 69.2
5-HIGH TIDE RISING 62.2
7-CARBON HOOFPRINT 61.1

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Saturday, April 03, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $98,894.

RACE 1
5-IMPERIAL PRIDE 80.6
4-DEPUTY MAX 80.2
1-SPRING FORTH 69.2
3-SARBONNE 52.3

1st time starters - 2

RACE 2
7-GIGANTICUS 97.1
4-NIKKI'SGOLDENSTEED 91.9
3-CADILLAC 86.3
2-CAVANAL 85.6

RACE 3
4-FLEET ROYAL 72.6
3-TRIBUL WITCH 68.1
1-WARREN'S MYSTERY 60.1
2-GLOBAL INSPIRATION 56.5
7-PARTY WITH BRANDO 56.0

RACE 4
4-FLUKE 111.4
7-AITCHO 105.2
1-BATTLE OF HASTINGS 104.5
2-COMPARI 103.8

RACE 5
7-PLAYING FOR KEEPS 61.1
6-SWISS EMPEROR 58.0
10-SCRUTINIZING KAT 53.0
12-WILLIS 48.8

1st time starters - 4, 8, 5, 1

RACE 6
7-LOOKIN AT LUCKY 105.2
4-SIDNEY'S CANDY 104.5
6-CARACORTADO 104.5
9-SKIPSHOT 95.2
10-ALPHIE'S BET 93.9

RACE 7
3-BANNER LODGE 96.5
9-DANCE WITH GABLE 95.5
1-GET FUNKY 94.5
2-HIYA SILVER 92.6
10-TRUMPET PLAYER JAY 92.6 (off Aug. 09)

RACE 8
2-RUSH WITH THUNDER 108.6
6-VENTANA 106.6
8-GATO GO WIN 98.4
4-SANGAREE 97.8
3-E Z'S GENTLEMAN 95.8

RACE 9
1-ANTARES WORLD 93.1
4-COZI ROSIE 84.6
6-IN THE SLIPS 84.4
5-ANDINA 82.6
2-CITY TO CITY 82.6

RACE 10
9-PINCELADA 82.0
5-GHOST SHADOW 48.3 (off June 09)
6-THRIVING IVORY 48.3
4-MARRYMEONEMORETIME 46.4

1st time starters - 7, 10, 3, 8, 1, 2

RACE 11
8-MAGIC LAUNCH 88.8
3-TERRIFY 75.4
1-WARREN'S WHISPER 72.6 (off May 08)
10-AVA'S CHARM 72.3
5-THE LEGAL BLONDE 72.3

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Friday, April 02, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-MY SECRET LIFE 65.9
4-CANTONA 58.0
3-EXCESS POWER 56.0
1-SKY SEARCHER 54.0
2-GRATO 46.4

RACE 2
3-FOLK DANCER 70.9
1-EURO GAL 67.9
5-GAMBLING POKERFACE 67.0
2-NINTH INFANTRY 64.8
4-ROMAN CHARITY 62.3

RACE 3
1-REBECCA 66.3
9-LAZERED 56.5
6-WEDDING GIFT 55.5
8-HURRICANE JUSTICE 55.1

1st time starters - 7, 10

RACE 4
5-ALPINE SPORT 90.7 (4 1/2 f. races)
6-SIDEPOCKET LOU 89.4
3-A ROYAL TIZZY 86.9
2-ONE VOTE 81.4

RACE 5
2-GOTHAM DEVIL 68.6 (off Oct. 07)
3-LETHAL DOSE 68.1 (off June 09)
5-CALL ME HONCHO 64.3
9-SELF DEFENSE 60.6

1st time starters - 4

RACE 6
7-JOSHUA'S DREAM 101.5
3-CHANGING 93.4
1-SELF INSURED 90.7
8-RUMMYSECRET WAR 86.3

RACE 7
5-PRETTY UNUSUAL 92.6
1-MADE FOR MAGIC 88.1
6-SHES A REAL KEEPER 88.1
4-MISS SILVER BROOK 85.6
7-DIVINE LEGACY 85.0
2-LADY ALEX 84.4

RACE 8
10-GENERAL DAN 86.9
1-AUTOCUE 82.0
8-SOUVENIR SLEW 79.0
4-TIZ AFIRE 77.8
5-ABSOLUTE GLORY 75.4

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Thursday, April 01, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $74,482.

RACE 1
8-AKEELA 62.2
1-I OWE UME 43.8
3-NOTWITHSTANDING 42.0
4-TONKA T. 40.3
7-GIRLWITHEGOLDHOOF 39.0

1st time starters - 5

RACE 2
3-SUANCES DE ESPANA 70.3
2-POKOMOKE 65.4
1-NO KA OI 61.6 (entry)
1A-ROCKIN ROSE 58.0 (entry)
5-NO CREAM OR SUGAR 57.5

RACE 3
9-ABSOLUTLYPOSITIVLY 80.8
6-PRINCE OF GOTHAM 73.9
7-PERFECT ENVOY 73.9
5-MR TOKYO 68.6

1st time starters - 4, 2

RACE 4
5-LASER POINT 90.7
2-WHITE LACE JIMMY 85.0
1-LAMM 82.4
4-JOE CARL 80.2
6-EGYPT 79.6

RACE 5
7-OUR BELLINI BIKINI 59.0
1-USUALLY SUPER 51.6
5-HARMONY'S HOPE 51.1
3-SWEET PATRICIA 47.4

1st time starters - 8

RACE 6
3-UFFIZI 90.7
4-SKELLYTOWN 89.4
7-ZAPPA 87.5
5-RUMBA ALONG 83.8
6-JOURNEYMAN 83.3

RACE 7
2-WARRENS SUMMERGOLD 78.8
1-GREEN CARD JAMES 77.8
5-JUST HEAT 75.4
4-RUNAWAY BANDIDO 74.9

RACE 8
8-SKY CHANT 67.0
6-MERRYTAGIO 57.5
3-DOS VEINTE 50.2
1-TUSCAN MOON 48.6
2-CARAT FOR C. C. 47.8

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