Wednesday, March 31, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-CHAMPAGNEANDLILIES 63.2
4-NUBIAN PRINCESS 54.5
5-SKYLIGHTS 53.5
2-DEE DEE'S FLIGHT 46.4
1-JACKY'S SKIPPING 45.5

RACE 2
3-CLASSY ATTRACTION 79.0
6-SLEW OF CANDY 77.2
2-RED TOMATOES 71.4
1-CLOSING STEPS 70.1
4-ATALANTA VELOX 69.8

RACE 3
6-GOOD TURN 71.7
5-REALLY UPTOWN 70.0
9-GOOD BROTHER 69.5
10-BORN TO SHOP 63.1
7-SWISS ARROGANT 62.6

RACE 4
4-SUANCES RIO 60.1 (off April 09)
1-KAYLIE'S JOY 60.1
7-MISSTRAILCITYZONE 47.8
5-ALLIE WOLFF 43.8

1st time starters - 2

RACE 5
1-UNCLE DON 82.0
6-BULLFIGHTER 82.0
7-HIS BOY ELROY 81.4 (off Aug. 09)
3-PROUD HILLBILLY 78.4
2-GRAY ZULU 77.8

RACE 6
5-DANI STRIKES 59.0
6-CLASSY EVA 58.5
1-MCKENNA'S YODELER 57.0

1st time starters - 2,4, 3, 8, 7

RACE 7
1-GOOD MEASURE 95.8
4-NEVER 91.3
3-RAVEL 88.8 (off Dec. 08)
6-KABOB 87.5
5-SELF MADE MAN 82.6 (off Sept. 09)

RACE 8
1-SIBERSKY 65.9
2-MISS PEANUT 31.1 (off Aug. 09)
4-PIC O DREAM 28.6
7-BUCH MARINO 22.6

1st time starters - 3, 5, 6, 8

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Tuesday, March 30, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA -SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way.A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each otherhas a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, March 29, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.Program number does not match horse's name-This has happened 11 times that I know of in over 1609 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, March 28, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $132,181.

RACE 1
4-SILVER HEAT 73.7
6-WARREN'S ROYAL MOM 58.5
3-LISA LULU 51.6
5-TRAIL BEYOND 49.5
2-RUINATION 46.7

RACE 2
7-MENSA HEAT 86.3
5-FREE LUNCH 79.0
1-STRAY CAT 75.4
6-NATIONAL HOLIDAY 73.1

RACE 3
3-KRIS SILVER 105.9
4-SPURRIER 100.8
2-YODELEN DAN 97.8
5-BRUSHBURN 86.9
1-NITRO ACTIVE 85.0

RACE 4
2-BRADYTOMOSS 64.8
7-OH NOW 57.5
4-DANGEROUS CURVES 56.0
3-BEST PLAN 54.0

RACE 5
4-SUZIQCUTIE 81.4
5-ENCHANTING MOMENT 74.9
2-DESPERATE 73.1
3-SUBPOENATHE DRESS 65.4 (off Oct. 09)
6-SLEWS COPY 61.6

RACE 6
8-ALL MAN 103.1
11-FANTASY FREE 101.8
5-BEST MON 95.2 (off May 09)
2-PATRIOTIC SOLDIER 93.9
6-DARK AND DEEP 91.3 (off May 09)

RACE 7
6-CHURCH CAMP 88.1
3-CRISIS OF SPIRIT 86.9
7-LA NEZ 80.8
1-SERIOUSLY 78.4
5-SISTER DAWN 77.8
2-TANDA 77.7

RACE 8
1-ITSSULTRYINTHECAPE 90.7
7-AMAZOMBIE 90.0
3-SCOFIELD BARRACKS 88.8
2-MARK THE BENCH 86.3
6-ONE MAN'S DELIGHT 84.4

RACE 9
4-SUMMERS AT DELMAR 66.4
8-DIPLO 61.6
12-BETTINGONTHEFLY 56.5
7-SKY'SQUICKSCORE 55.5
5-CHIMU 48.8

1st time starters - 6, 3

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Saturday, March 27, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-FOXY APPROVAL 59.1
3-FAVOLOSO 54.5
4-HOSTILE REACTION 54.0
2-HARD EIGHT 54.0
6-HUMBLE MAGGIE GO 53.0

1st time starters - 5

RACE 2
5-KILDERRY 92.8 (off Aug. 09)
6-CROSSING THE LINE 91.3
3-HIGH STANDARDS 88.8
2-NERICON KING 76.5
1-MY FRIEND LUIS 72.3

RACE 3
2-WAYMAN 69.8
5-MASTER CHEF 61.6 (off Sept. 09)

1st time starters - 4, 1, 3

RACE 4
3-CHANGING 91.3
5-NO GRANDE 83.8
2-MIND THE MINISTER 82.6
1-FIGHT ON 82.0

RACE 5
5-UNCLE GREG 80.8
2-DANZING TRIBAL 79.0
6-SWEET MAKER 76.2
10-BISHOP OF DERRY 64.2 (off July 09)

1st time starters - 4

RACE 6
3-ACUTE VELOCITY 64.8
2-ANGEL OF MYSTERY 63.8
9-SHADOW QUEEN 61.6
8-SAINT CINDY 58.0
1-AISLEBEBARBIE 57.2

RACE 7
4-STASH 93.9
7-DISH THE DIRT 88.1
2-SILVER GAMES 85.6
8-WOMAN WARRIOR 85.0
6-DIAMOND TAGS 81.4

RACE 8
5-PHILATELIST 105.2
4-HIGH COURT DRAMA 98.7
1-TAP IT LIGHT 95.2
7-RENDEZVOUS 93.2

RACE 9
2-BOEHLE 85.0
8-SAMANTHA'S RULE 83.2
9-RUFFLED FEATHERS 80.2
3-BE DRIVEN 79.0

RACE 10
9-POCATELLO WILD KAT 62.2
6-FAIR KISSES 57.5
7-MULTIPLYINGTHEHEAT 54.0
10-MUSICAL GRACE51.6
3-IF YOU KNEW SUSIE 47.6
5-SHESKEY 47.1

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Friday, March 26, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-HALO'S LAW 81.4
1-UNCLAIMED HEART 80.8
5-WELLS FURGO 72.0
4-THEORIST 69.8
6-STARCATTER 68.6

RACE 2
2-KIM'S LEADING MAN 55.0
7-KING RED 44.2

1st time starters - 3, 4, 5, 6, 8, 1

RACE 3
5-CANDY ARCHES 84.4
4-GENERAL DAN 81.4
2-STREETS OF HEAVEN 73.1
1-SHELTER ISLAND 72.4

RACE 4
4-EXCELLENT NEWS 89.4
2-BLIND OPTIMISM 70.3
1-SANDY CHEEKS 67.3
6-SIBERIAN HEART 67.0
5-SOMETHINGABOUTERRI 66.3

RACE 5
6-BILO 86.3
9-LARDOG 75.4
3-SWISS SKI 74.9
7-QUARTA COROA 73.7
8-NIMA'S PAD 73.7

RACE 6
5-ZIGGY'S STARDUST 89.4
3-FANDINO 77.2
6-FLY BOY 75.1
2-SILVER STYLE 73.4

1st time starters - 1

RACE 7
1-BIG MAN HAS A SIGN 86.9
4-INDIAN FIREWATER 82.0
2-DISTORTED DAVE 73.7
5-JAIRZIHNO 73.4
6-TIME FOR ATONEMENT 69.8

RACE 8
6-BIRDIE BIRDIE 86.9
1-CONNIE THE QUEEN 83.8 (off June 09)
8-ROLLERSKATES 72.6
4-POWEROFVOODOO 69.8
3-SOLDIER BETTY 66.6
5-SUPER SOPHIE 65.9

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Thursday, March 25, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-KISSED 65.3
6-FULL EFFECT 60.6
4-COOKIE'S JEWEL 59.6
1-SYNCOBEAT 56.6

RACE 2
1-SCARELTT'S PLACE 88.8
3-LEXLENOS 85.7
2-MY AUNT FANNY 83.8
4-PLAYA BONITA 77.2
5-ROSEY DE MEGEVE 65.9

RACE 3
4-ROMANCE IS FAMILY 60.6
5-GUADALUPE LUPE 48.3
2-MONITOR PASS 47.8
6-BOSTON BAKED BEAN 44.2
1-SAARFACE 41.4

RACE 4
3-CAPTAIN KALI 95.8
2-MY MAN SUMO 90.0
1-FLASHMANS PAPERS 89.4
5-ONE VOTE 85.6

RACE 5
7-KHENDUM 80.6
2-IRISH TORRENT 79.6
4-BROKEN SILENCE 76.6
6-MOLLY PEACHES 70.9

1st time starters - 8

RACE 6
6-YOU CAN DREAM 83.8
3-PAST CURFEW 82.6
4-SILENT STALK 79.0
5-VICTORY DANCER 75.4

RACE 7
1-LEMON SUPREME 90.4
2-MANHATTAN BEACH 88.8
6-MINUTE LIMIT 84.4
3-ROYAL TAAT 82.6
4-VIA VENETO 81.4

RACE 8
1-POETIC RICHES 52.6
5-SENIOR SECURITY 47.4
2-JUST CALL'ER 41.6
4-BINKY'S SISTER 29.7 (bumped, off slow)
3-BILLSSECONDCHANCE 29.7

1st time starters - 6, 8, 9

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Wednesday, March 24, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-DEVIL'S MATE 66.4
3-FLASHY TRAVELER 65.4
1-MISSTRAILCITYZONE 47.4
4-TRIPPED FUSE 45.1

1st time starters - 2

RACE 2
1-STANFORD DOLLY 86.9
4-TALLAHSOCEAN 78.4
2-FIONA FREUD 72.0
5-ALPHABET CAT 68.1
3-HALFAPOUNDAROSA 67.0

RACE 3
6-INDIARA 66.4
5-MS MARGARITAVILLE 62.2
4-LED ADVANTAGE 60.1
7-MOVIE DUTY 56.5
2-OUR BELLINI BIKINI 54.5

RACE 4
3-NO MISTRESS 80.9
7-RICHELLE'S JOY 80.8
4-THERE IS NO LIMIT 57.5
2-LAURA BEASLEY 57.5

1st time starters - 6

RACE 5
1-MAJOR GENERAL 83.2
3-GOLD STOCK 70.3
2-WAAFI 68.6
7-SMOKEY BEAU 68.6

RACE 6
8-DELAGO 65.4
2-JUSTICE REIGNS 60.1
6-A PINT FOR MARY 51.1
3-HITTERS LAST OUT 46.4

RACE 7
4-RINGOLEVIO 87.0
7-DEVIL ON THE ROOF 82.2
5-BOLINAS 80.8
2-BELONGS TO GOTHAM 80.8

1st time starters - 5

RACE 8
2-MR. BRAGGADOCIO 55.0
3-FIRE IN THE WIND 47.8
4-SKIMMING SKIPPER 35.8
5-DUTY BEFORE HONOR 29.7
9-MANDO 27.5

1st time starters - 7, 8, 1, 11

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Tuesday, March 23, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way.

A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each otherhas a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, March 22, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 11 times that I know of in over 1595 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Sunday, March 21, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-PUNCTUAL 72.0
3-NO MORE TRAVELLIN' 69.8
2-RIGHT TO WORK 64.8
1-MISS SEAMLESS 64.5
4-IMPERATRIZ 64.3

RACE 2
4-SCOTTISH DIAMOND 91.9
6-ORIENTATION HALL 86.9
3-SIDEPOCKET LOU 84.4
1-DON'T YA LOVETT 80.4 (off Sept. 08)
7-PACK YOUR BAGS 79.0

RACE 3
5-FUND RAISER 89.4
3-MUSIC MAGIC 82.6
1-TORO BONITO 80.2
2-STEVIE'S AFLEET 80.2

RACE 4
3-EL MARTILLO 90.0
2-EL MANUEL 88.8
7-BONFANTE 88.1
6-EARNEDNEVERGIVEN 86.9 (offAug. 08)
4-TEN MEROPA 84.4

RACE 5
3-HARD WAY TEN 74.3
5-S C SONG GIRL 69.8
6-MISINJENNUOUS 68.1 (off July 09)
4-TRIPLE CREAM 52.6 (off June 09)

1st time starters - 1, 1A, 2, 8

RACE 6
6-SINDYFROMSANTACRUZ 82.6
7-FOXY BAILEY 81.6
9-SLEW OF CANDY 76.0
4-OPERETTA ITALIANO 75.9
2-FOREVER MY LOVE 73.7

RACE 7
6-LAND OF THE GIANTS 103.1
2-POKER DAVE 95.2
4-GINELLO 83.2
3-RED DOOR DRIVE 81.4
5-UNIVERSAL PEACE 80.2

RACE 8
3-TUSCAN EVENING 105.2
8-CAT BY THE TALE 95.2
2-GENERAL CONSENSUS 94.5
7-APRIL PRIDE 94.5
5-TREAT GENTLY 91.9

RACE 9
6-MARQUET REBEL 75.4
9-BIG WATER 73.1
7-ELMER N MORT 68.6
4-BERTIE BOY 65.9
2-WINK AND NOD 64.3
8-RENZO SEAN 62.5

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Saturday, March 20, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-COSSET 72.6
7-L'ENCHANTERESSE 70.3
4-BONNIE BLUE FLAG 68.1
3-TURNS MY HEAD 65.9
5-LISA LULU 59.0

1st time starters - 2, 1

RACE 2
9-SIR BEN 74.9
4-HOLLADAY ROAD 72.6 (off May 09)
6-STEEL BLUE 62.2
1-SILVERADO GOLD 60.1

RACE 3
5-SHOW THE FLAG 67.0
6-FERRANDERO 62.2
1-TOWSER 59.6
7-FERMELIA 57.5

RACE 4
7-BOOTLEG ANNIE 96.5
3-A JEALOUS WOMAN 93.9
1-DOTSY JEAN 93.2
2-UNZIP ME 92.6

RACE 5
9-BEACHROCK 81.4
3-ERIC'S REVENGE 79.6 (off slow)
2-SILK STREET 74.0
6-SONGFOYA 70.3
1-ROYCE 69.8

RACE 6
3-WARREN'S R READY 86.3
4-A CLEVER TEN 85.6
5-YOU CAN DREAM 85.1
6-SAMANTHA'S RULE 81.4

RACE 7
5-LICHTENSTEIN 69.2
8-GOLDEN ITIZ 68.6
7-WASH PARK 65.4
4-COASTAL SMARTY 64.3

1st time starters - 1 (entry), 6, 2, 1A

RACE 8
2-HIGH COURT DRAMA 102.5
1-DYNAMIC RANGE 99.1
3-BOURBON BAY 98.4
6-LEASE OF LIFE 96.5

RACE 9
5-PRECIOUS DUKE 80.8
1-SALTWATER M D 79.6
2-MAYBE YES 77.8
8-MINISTERS ALTARBOY 76.0

RACE 10
3-BOMBING TWO 71.4
7-DESPERATE 71.4
11-LOVELY LOLLY 68.1
10-CATANA PEREZ 67.0
8-REV HER UP 65.9

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Friday, March 19, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $74,546.

RACE 1
3-FULL MANDATE 96.6
5-FIFIE'S FANTASY 82.0
4-GLORY PRIDE 74.3
1-BRAZILIAN CHARM 72.6

RACE 2
5-LUPITA'SLUCKYANGEL 70.9
6-SUNNY PEACE 70.9
1-GULA GOLD 69.2
4-FIRST QUEEN 63.8
2-HOT 'N LACEY 62.7

RACE 3
3-BIG WIG 93.9
7-SQUALLCREEK 91.9
2-PATCH OF BLUE 91.3 (off Feb. 09)
5-PLEASURE TO RIDE 89.4

RACE 4
1-COUNTRY IMPACT 59.6
7-BLACKMAN BAY 56.5
5-CARACAS 36.2
4-MICHAELS JILA 36.2

1st time starters - 2, 8

RACE 5
5-HYADES 99.1
3-RIVIERA COCKTAIL 98.4
8-GOTHIC SAMURAI 96.5
2-ENRICHED 94.5
6-ON THE VIRG 91.3

RACE 6
7-ISHMAEL 79.0
5-JOYFUL SUCCESS 76.0
4-BUYER'S REMORSE 75.4
3-PEACOCK ALLIANCE 71.4

RACE 7
2-MR GRUFF 103.1
3-PRARIE CITY ROAD 99.6
6-TRES BORRACHOS 92.0
8-NEW BAY 84.5
7-KELLY LEAK 83.8
4-PEACE CHANT 83.2

RACE 8
7-LADY ADELLE 67.0
1-PAY FOR PLAY 49.0
6-YOUVEGOTTTHATRIGHT 44.2
10-SUMALEE 34.2
5-R. C. STORM 31.1

1st time starters - 9, 4, 2

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Thursday, March 18, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-WARREN'S MOON 63.8
7-WORD ASSOCIATION 60.1
4-DUBAI MACAU GIRL 52.6
1-COMANDER'S CHARM 42.4

1st time starters - 3, 2

RACE 2
4-BOYOBOY 99.0
6-REMUS 90.0
1-UNCLE JEEP 90.0
5-BRENTHURST 88.1
3-GOTMYMOJOWORKIN 86.3

RACE 3
6-MAJOR GENERAL 88.1
2-TIGER BLITZ 78.4
3-BANDEIRA UNION 77.8
7-WARREN'S TONY R. 72.2
1-SOVEREIGN LORD 72.0

RACE 4
3-FORTHREEFOREUCLID 83.3
4-KURO 75.4
7-FACE AND AN ACE 74.3
5-FARMER GILES 73.1
2-LUCKS MINE 72.6

RACE 5
8-HAVENS LAKE 72.6
3-COMPANY SECRET 68.1
5-ROCKIN ROSE 66.4
1-PRINCESS SUSAN M 65.9

RACE 6
5-WARRENS PADDOCKGUY 73.7
3-BOLD TYPE 61.1
2-DANCE MARINO 42.9
1-CAMICORY 35.0

1st time starters - 7, 9, 6, 8, 4

RACE 7
1-DAMANIYAT 103.0
3-ECLAIR DE LUNE 101.6 (off Aug. 09)
5-WELKEN 92.6
7-HERMOINE'S MAGIC 85.6
4-ZILLA 85.6

RACE 8
9-CASA O 68.6
2-PRINCE NOVETTI 63.2
4-WARREN'S TOMMY TOO 62.7
5-NATHANIEL 61.6
3-BERNSIE'S BABY 61.1

1st time starters - 1

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Wednesday, March 17, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $139,205.

RACE 1
2-MISS OLIVIA K 65.9
7-MISS CELEBRATION 63.8
6-MELBISHA 57.0
3-KISS'EM FOR ME 54.0

1st time starters - 8

RACE 2
6-PINK DIAMOND 74.9
3-WARREN'S MYSTERY 74.9 (off June 08)
1-YODELADY O 74.3
5-ENTABENI 67.5

RACE 3
5-SIMPLY PUT 72.6
6-THE LEGAL BLONDE 64.4
4-IRISH PEPPER 63.2
1-SH SH SHAKIN' 60.6

RACE 4
7-SLEEP TIGHT 86.9
3-LILLY FA POOTZ 85.2
1-VAN BRIT 82.0
4-LULLABYTIME 81.4
6-VICTORIA REEL 81.4

RACE 5
7-SILVER HEAT 70.4
5-UNKNOWN HEAT 67.5
3-TORREY CLIFFS 63.1
2-LAURA BEASLEY 62.5 (off March 09)
8-SHE'S NOT LION 60.6

RACE 6
8-EGYPT 95.0
6-NORVSKY 93.9
10-TAMARACK SMARTY 92.6
9-CONCERTO'S THUNDER 88.8
5-LUCKY PRIMO 88.8

RACE 7
7-FUTURO 101.8 (off Dec. 08)
4-CANONIZE 101.1
6-MOBILIZED 97.1
2-STAR NICHOLAS 93.2

RACE 8
6-CORACAO BEIJO 76.6
3-SUPER SOPHIE 76.6
5-KAZROAD 69.3
1A-WARREN'S ROCK ART 67.2 (entry)
4-PRESS THE POINT 65.6
1-WARREN'S SKATER 65.1

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Tuesday, March 16, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way.

A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each otherhas a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, March 15, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts
-I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 11 times that I know of in over 1589 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Sunday, March 14, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-FENICE 88.1
1-LASER POINT 83.8
3-JAMES PRIOR 82.0
5-YOUNG JOE 74.6
4-CAUSE 72.0

RACE 2
2-MEGASTAR 80.2
3-GOLD ALY 80.0
7-STARCATTER 74.3
5-B'S LUCKY STRIKE 69.2

1st time starters - 1(entry), 6

RACE 3
5-CANDY ARCHES 82.6
1-GENERAL DAN 77.8
6-SOUVENIR SLEW 74.3
4-CADEAUX DU MONDE 70.9

RACE 4
4-HOCKLEY 81.4
8-ROYAL F J 80.2
9-SEIZE POWER 72.6
3-BODY BUILDER 70.3
7-ROYAL IMPORT 69.8

1st time starters -1, 5

RACE 5
3-PAST CURFEW 83.2
2-MAGIC LAUNCH 77.8 (off April 09)
4-BROOKIE GIRL 73.7
6-FLEET ROYAL 73.1
1-MIDNIGHT RAGE 72.6

RACE 6
1-EL NADIA 90.2
7-MADEL 90.0
8-WARREN'S APPEAL 88.1
5-ALWAYS IN STYLE 85.6
11-MEDAGLIA D'AMOUR 85.0

RACE 7
2-BETTINGONTHEFLY 63.8
1-CHIMU 52.1 (off slow)
3-THRICE THE VICE 46.0
9-BOSTON BAKED BEAN 42.6

1st time starters - 8, 11

RACE 8
2-PORTO MARMAY 101.8
10-SWEETER STILL 94.5
1-MANHATTAN BEACH 93.8
6-ANNIHILATION 92.6
8-CZECHERS 91.3

RACE 9
5-FULL EFFECT 68.1
1-CALIFORNIA COLONEL 64.8
3-READY FOR CHANGE 56.1
9-MY FRIEND BERNIE 54.5
11-TALE OF THE BAT 50.2

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Saturday, March 13, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-KALOOKAN COMMANDO 66.4
8-QUILLOTANO 57.0
1-SWISS EMPEROR 55.0
7-WORKING CAPITAL 54.5

RACE 2
1-TWOFORMEONEFORYOU 70.9
5-GULA GOLD 63.2
6-MALIBU ARTISTE 61.6
4-SPORTS EDITION 57.0
7-SALLY SAYS SO 55.0

RACE 3
2-PIOUS DAVID 93.2
1-OFF THE WALL 91.9
5-KING OF CALIFORNIA 86.3 (off Dec. 08)
6-VALKYRIE MISSLE 85.0

1st time starters - 7, 4

RACE 4
6-ELEGANT 74.9
4-TASHZARA 74.3
2-I'MNEVERWRONG 68.1
3-HOLY FLAPPER 56.0

1st time starters - 7, 1

RACE 5
9-MASSONE 97.8
2-TAP IT LIGHT 96.5
6-MR. BIG 95.8
5-JOSHUA'S DREAM 95.2
8-VISCOUNT 93.9

RACE 6
10-A ROYAL TIZZY 83.2
3-RUN OVER YOU 79.6
8-WHITE LACE JIMMY 77.2 (off July 09)
5-THE FINAL ROAR 68.6
1-MY MAN SUMO 67.9

RACE 7
8-ZENYATTA 125.3
7-GRIPSHOLM CASTLE 91.3
9-FLOATING HEART 88.8
5-STRIKING DANCER 85.6
1-DANCE TO MY TUNE 82.6

RACE 8
6-TOP FEELING 91.3
5-RENEGADE STORM 83.8
10-PINSTRIPE KID 80.2
1A-WARRENS ATTACK 77.8 (entry)
8-HE'S REALLY BIG 77.8

RACE 9
7-CARACORTADO 108.6
4-AMERICAN LION 97.8
5-SIDNEY'S CANDY 97.5
6-DAVE IN DIXIE 89.4
2-INTERACTIF 87.6

RACE 10
11-RACING RACHEL 70.9
9-TRIBUL WITCH 70.3
7-JOINT AGREEMENT 69.8
13-GOOD NIGHT GYRENE 68.1
2-HIT THE BRIX 65.4
14-SWEET FATE 63.8

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Friday, March 12, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
7-KAYLIE'S JOY 65.9
5-ALLIE WOLFF 64.3
6-CHAMPAGNEANDLILIES 60.6
1-COURTLY COUTURE 55.5
4-HARD EIGHT 54.5 (off July 09)

RACE 2
1-LETS GO INDIAN 65.9
4-DRINK AT LAST CALL 64.3
5-DIPLO 55.5
6-HARLAN'S TUNE 55.5 (off Aug. 09)

1st time starters - 7

RACE 3
6-FAIR CHASE 72.8
9-SEEKING THE QUEEN 72.3
4-SKY CHANT 71.1
5-PALEO 69.2
2-GAMBLING POKERFACE 68.9

RACE 4
3-WARRING HEART 62.7 (off April 09)
7-BRAYDEN BUDDY 62.7
6-WHIZER 58.5
5-HOLLYWOOD MOGUL 52.6 (off Jan. 09)

1st time starters - 8

RACE 5
3-SCOTTISH DIAMOND 94.5
8-CAPE TOWN KING 87.5
9-FIGEAC 85.0
1-WICKED MISCHIEF 85.0

RACE 6
4-LIFE BY R R 95.1
6-ONEFUNSONOFAGUN 79.7
3-SQUEEZE ME TIGHT 75.4
1-HIGHER INCENTIVE 75.4

RACE 7
1-SIR AL 99.8
4-SPURRIER 98.4
2-CIGAR MAN 96.5
3-AGGIE ENGINEER 91.9
5-SLEW'S TIZNOW 70.3

RACE 8
9-ONE MAN'S DELIGHT 86.3
12-TURBULENCE 82.0
3-ABSOUTLYPOSITIVLY 80.2
8-ROMANCE IS FAMILY 58.0
11-RELENTLESS HEAT 52.6
14-KIM'S LEADING MAN 52.1

1st time starters - 5

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Thursday, March 11, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $81,826.

RACE 1
1-NICOLE H 77.2
7-COME HOME QUICK 62.0
5-MISS CELEBRATION 59.3
2-MARIA'S DANE 57.7
3-VISION IN GOLD 57.0

RACE 2
2-GREAT SIEGE 101.8
4-PRINCE REXY 100.4
3-UNUSUAL SMOKE 97.8
5-STALINGRAD 95.8 (off Sept. 08)

RACE 3
9-WARRENS ROYAL LADY 48.8
4-GOT A PLAN 42.0

1st time starters - 5, 10, 8, 2, 6, 1, 7, 3

RACE 4
7-DASH DOT DASH 90.0
6-CARNIVAL QUEEN 90.0
5-ROYAL TAAT 82.6
1-FOUNDATION ROOM 78.0

RACE 5
6-SALTENDIPITY 68.6
7-RACY ROSA 65.9
2-CLASSY EVA 65.4
3-USUALLY SUPER 56.5

1st time starters - 8, 4, 5, 1

RACE 6
3-MAJESTIC AFLEET 78.7
2-RAGING WIT 77.2
1-LINE OF DAVID 76.6
6-GILLIGAN 75.3
7-TIME FOR ATONEMENT 74.8

RACE 7
5-DOMONATION 88.1
9-WINTER CAMP 87.5
1-STERLING OUTLOOK 85.0
4-LIONS STORY 83.2
2-HURRICANE IKE 80.2

RACE 8
7-OUR BELLINI BIKINI 61.1
3-HARMONY'S HOPE 52.6
9-SENIOR SECURITY 48.3
5-SWEET PATRICIA 46.0 (off Aug. 09)
10-EXCESSIVE CHATTER 44.2

1st time starters - 6, 4

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Wednesday, March 10, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-ONE SHOT 87.5
3-TIZ AFIRE 84.4
6-EXILE 82.6
5-SHELTER ISLAND 82.0

RACE 2
11-BORN TO SHOP 44.6
3-DR. TONG 27.9
2-HIGH HILL STAR 24.4

1st time starters -1, 8, 9, 10, 4, 6, 5

RACE 3
3-CAVANAL 94.5
2-SELF MADE MAN 83.8 (off Sept. 09)
1-POLONIUS 80.8
6-MIND THE MINISTER 80.2
8-JOURNEYMAN 80.2

RACE 4
5-FREE FLYING SOUL 103.1
2-QUISISANA 101.1
3-SWEET AUGUST MOON 95.2
4-HALLELUJAH TRAIL 90.7
1-MONA DE MOMMA 88.8

RACE 5
3-UNUSUALLY SOUND 80.2
8-TEAFATILLER 75.4
6-DONTMESROUNDWITJIM 68.1 (off Feb. 09)
9-WARREN'S KONG 65.9

1st time starters - 4

RACE 6
4-PINK BLOSSOM 83.8
5-SUMMER GAMES 78.4
2-HOPEFUL UNION 77.2
3-HAGGAI 75.4
7-STOCKINGS 73.7

RACE 7
8-LEEDSTHEWAY 97.8
5-PERFECT CASTING 96.5
7-NOBLETY 94.5
4-T. D. VANCE 91.3

1st time starters - 6 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 8
4-L'ENCHANTERESSE 65.3
1-THIS TIME BABY 53.0
8-WARRENS MATCHMAKERS 46.9
2-FAIR KISSES 43.8
9-NOTWITHSTANDING 42.9
11-HARVEY'SHALLOFFAME 42.4
3-MACHO MISS 42.0

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Tuesday, March 09, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way.A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each otherhas a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, March 08, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 11 times that I know of in over 1570 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, March 07, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $207,271.

RACE 1
1-GOOD MEASURE 97.8
6-UNCLE GREG 86.3
4-CHAMP PEGASUS 85.0
2-HOG'S HOLLOW 80.2

1st time starters - 5

RACE 2
1-SIDEPOCKET LOU 86.9
7-ORIENTATION HALL 86.9
2-CRAIG'S STORM 83.8
3-ACQUIRE THE FIRE 82.0
5-SAXOPHONE 81.4

RACE 3
8-RECESS 71.4
7-AISLEBEBARBIE 65.9
9-SAINT'S CROWN 64.3
4-NO KA OI 62.7

RACE 4
4-RED SUN 107.3
11-HIYA SILVER 99.1
6-CORONET OF A BARON 99.0
7-MR. BOSSY PANTS 93.9
10-GUNS ON THE TABLE 93.8

RACE 5
6-A BIG TO'DO 78.8
8-MARQUET REBEL 77.2
3-PHANTOM STRIKE 70.9
7-CHOP HOUSE GEORGE 70.3
2-INDY RIDE 69.2

RACE 6
11-APPEALING AFARE 72.6
9-MISINJENNUOUS 68.1 (off July 09)
1-SHE'S HERE NOW 65.9
3-MOVIE DUTY 59.0 (off Aug. 09)

1st time starters - 5, 7, 10, 2, 8, 6, 4

RACE 7
3-MACHISMO 102.3
1-VICTOR'S CRY 101.1
2-MR GRUFF 101.1 (off April 09)
7-DANCE WITH GABLE 101.1
8-STONESIDE 99.8

RACE 8
9-MENSA HEAT 85.0
5-KANAN DUME 83.2
1-STRAY CAT 74.3
7-ORIENT EMPEROR 61.6
6-DON'T ANSWER 60.1

RACE 9
7-UNCLE DON 72.0
6-DELAGO 64.3
9-OH NOW 59.6
11-DON'S EARLY FLIGHT 59.6 (off March 09)
4-BEST PLAN 55.5

1st time starters - 8, 12

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Saturday, March 06, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-NO MISTRESS 86.3
1-BLUE TAMBOURINE 66.4
4-INITIAL IMPRESSION 62.7
5-SCREEN GEM 61.6
8-POETIC LICENSE 60.1

1st time starters - 2, 7, 6

RACE 2
5-PHOENICIAN STAR 74.3
9-NINTH INFANTRY 70.9
3-LANA'S LOVELY 69.8
8-NAUGHTY MARIANA 67.0

RACE 3
4-KRAKOW QUEEN 51.1
14-IF YOU KNEW SUSIE 50.2
6-DIVA GONE WILD44.2
11-POETIC RICHES 41.6
9-TONKA T. 41.6

1st time starters - 7, 12, 3, 5

RACE 4
3-FALCON ROCK 98.4 (off Sept. 09)
8-YODELEN DAN 96.5
1-ZAPPA 91.3
2-JOB BOSS 88.8
6-EL INDY 84.4

RACE 5
10-FANTASY FREE 100.4
8-AFLEET RULER 98.4 (off July 08)
1-PATRIOTIC SOLDIER 95.8
6-BAD BOY 91.3
4-E Z'S GENTLEMAN 90.0

RACE 6
3-MACIAS 91.3
4-ALFARABI 85.6
8-LUCKY RAVE 85.0
10-HIGH SUCCESS 84.4
7-MAKE MUSIC FOR ME 83.4

RACE 7
6-KETTLE RIVER 97.1
9-NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR 91.9
1-MARCELLO 88.8
7-SETSUKO 86.9
2-THE PROGRAM 85.6

RACE 8
5-BLIND LUCK 100.4
2-CRISP 87.5
7-COZI ROSIE 86.3
8-ZILVA 83.8
4-ALL DUE RESPECT 79.6

RACE 9
9-FLUKE 114.3
5-EVER A FRIEND 111.4
3-AWESOME GEM 107.3
8-PROVISO 106.8
10-BATTLE OF HASTINGS 106.6

RACE 10
13-MISREMEMBERED 110.0
14-JERANIMO 108.1
2-ST TRINIANS 107.9
6-LOUP BRETON 106.6
11-DAKOTA PHONE 104.5

RACE 11
10-HOVIG 91.4 (off June 09)
14-THE FINAL ROAR 81.4
1-CRASH LANDING 78.4
9-FITZMO 74.4
7-SMOKENOMORE 69.2
2-GOLD STOCK 69.2 (off Aug. 09)

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Friday, March 05, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $332,613.

RACE 1
1-ETERNALLY FAST 80.8
4-GOOD TURN 69.2
5-FERRANDERO 68.1
3-MOVE ON UP 67.5
6-PURSE LUVA 67.0

RACE 2
7-SUZIQCUTIE 77.8
2-SUANCES DE ESPANA 76.6
6-ENCHANTING MOMENT 72.6
8-ASHTON GIRL 69.0

RACE 3
5-SIMPLY PUT 80.2 (off June 09)
4-FLASHY TRAVELER 62.2
8-SISTER LUCY 61.6
6-KAYLEE'S JOY 57.0 (off July 09)

1st time starters - 2

RACE 4
4-WARRENS SUMMERGOLD 86.3
7-FULL ON 84.5
1-BELONGS TO GOTHAM 77.7
2-CANDY COAT 74.5

RACE 5
5-ZIGGY'S STARDUST 81.4
4-BRACE YOURSELVES 78.4
6-SAW PERFECTION 76.4
13-STEPHEN'S GOT HOPE 75.4

RACE 6
6-SMOKE CAT 102.5
7-SPIRIT OF COCHISE 90.7
5-SPOT THE DIPLOMAT 88.8
8-INDIANSKI 84.4
4- TACTFUL 80.8

RACE 7
6-TANDA 80.2
5-SWEET HANNI 78.4
4-LAURA'S PLEASURE 76.2
8-CASH QUEEN ANNA 70.6 (off Oct. 09)

RACE 8
10-SUMMERS AT DELMAR 65.0
5-KIM'S LEADING MAN 57.0
4-BLACKMAN BAY 56.5
11-BORN TO SHOP 53.0
1-SONOFABLUR 52.1

1st time starters - 3, 2

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Thursday, March 04, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $82,042.

RACE 1
5-SMOKEY BEAU 67.5
2-CHAILEPIS 53.5
11-IMPREGNABLE 49.7 (off Nov. 08)
3-A PINT FOR MARY 47.8

1st time starters - 6, 8

RACE 2
5-LADY ALEX 103.1
7-DIVINE LEGACY 86.3
6-GUMPTION 86.3
1-SAUCEY EVENING 81.9

RACE 3
3-SIETE MACHOS 74.2
4-UNUSUAL ENCOUNTER 73.1
5-GUERRO NEGRO 67.5
8-SHOW THE FLAG 66.1
6-FRANK AND THE GOAT 65.9

RACE 4
9-THE LEGAL BLONDE 66.4
2-NUBIAN PRINCESS 57.0
8-JACKY'S SKIPPING 56.0
7-SINGITNSIGNIT 51.1
1-SECRET OATH 50.5

RACE 5
9-PIVOTAL QUEEN 80.2 (off June 09)
10-LUCY GOT LUCKY 73.7
2-SOLDIER BETTY 62.7
8-ARGENTA 53.5
7-DANIELLA ROTH 53.5

RACE 6
2-SELF INSURED 95.7
10-VALID MECKE 93.2
7-STORM BRAVE 86.9
11-CEE BARGARA 83.6 (off May 09)
4-CROSSING THE LINE 82.6

RACE 7
6-HARISSA 84.4
7-SISTER DAWN 84.4
4-PALEO 80.8
1A-SMART SEATTLE 75.4
2-SERIOUSLY 74.6

RACE 8
7-SPANISH BUNNY 76.6
4-TORREY CLIFFS 70.6
10-WEDDING GIFT 69.2
3-FOXY APPROVAL 67.0
14-LAURA BEAGLEY 65.4

1st time starters - 11, 13, 6, 1, 12

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Wednesday, March 03, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-AKEELA 62.2
5-MISS OLIVIA K 59.6
6-LISA LULU 55.5
1-SENIOR SECURITY 54.0

RACE 2
4-RIGHT TO WORK64.8
6-SUCH FORTUNE 63.2
2-CENZIO 59.0
3-BYE BYE HOLLYWOOD 58.5

RACE 3
1-ASANTI 89.9
5-SILVER GAMES 81.2 (off Sept. 09)
3-MERRILY 78.0
4-ROSEY DE MEGEVE 74.9
6-NORTH RODEO 73.1

RACE 4
4-MAYBE YES 71.4
2-LETSGETITRIGHT 68.1
5-DUKE OF ASPEN 59.6
6-THE FULL LAVINO 47.4

RACE 5
1-TRIBALICIOUS 70.3
9-GAMBLING POKERFACE 70.3
8-SANDY CHEEKS 69.8
3-DINNR WITH NIKKI 69.8

RACE 6
5-BULLDOGGER 92.1 (off Aug. 09)
4-BOLDER CREEK 82.6
3-INDIAN FIREWATER 79.0
8-THOMAS BAINES 76.0

RACE 7
2-SKEDEE 93.2 (off July 09)
7-EXQUISITE 92.6
8-MEYDAN PRINCESS 88.1
9-YOU LIFT ME UP 88.1
4-VICTORYASECRET 87.0
1-SKEDEE 86.9

RACE 8
14-STREETS OF HEAVEN 90.0
1-FIGEAC 83.8
10-NO GRANDE 82.0
13-SAINT CHOCOLATE 76.6
11-SEA RASCAL 75.4

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Tuesday, March 02, 2010

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way.

A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each otherhas a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, March 01, 2010

 

SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.Program number does not match horse's name-This has happened 11 times that I know of in over 1570 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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