Monday, November 30, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number -
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.Program number does not match horse's name-This has happened 11 times that I know of in over 1487 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Sunday, November 29, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-STRIGHTOMIDNIGHT 56.5
6-COOKIE RULES 49.2
3-ROAR'S DANCER 47.8
7-PREMIER IMAGE 37.4

1st time starters - 2, 4

RACE 2
7-ACQUIRE THE FIRE 83.8
4-TO THE PENNY 83.8
1-SATELLITE 83.8
3-SIDEPOCKET LOU 71.4
5-SCOTTY JONES 71.4

RACE 3
3-EVER SO HUMBLE 91.9
6-PROUD HILLBILLY 87.9
4-BAILMEOUTBUGSY 83.2 (off slow)
1-TOM BOMBADIL 79.0

RACE 4
7-GUMPTION 88.1
1-FUND RAISER 86.9
6-RICHELLE'S JOY 76.6
3-LION HEART'S BLUFF 75.4

1st time starters - 5

RACE 5
1-FULL MANDATE 92.5
8-WHISPERING HUSH 90.7
7-IN THE SLIPS 82.5
5-FORBIDDEN PARADISE 80.8

RACE 6
6-M ONE RIFLE 110.7
7-STELLA MARK 103.8
8-CONCLAVE 99.8
4-USURP 98.4

RACE 7
5-GET FUNKY 101.8
3-T. D. VANCE 101.1
8-BANNER LODGE 98.4
9-CHEROKEE HEAVEN 97.8
2-STONESIDE 95.8

RACE 8
1-MR. HOT STUFF 88.1
5-KALOOKAN STORM 84.3
2-NEVER 82.0
7-KANAN DUME 81.9
9-TIZWHEN 80.2

RACE 9
10-BATTLE OF HASTINGS 107.9
2-THE USUAL Q. T. 107.3
7-TAKE THE POINTS 106.6
3-STRIGHT STORY 105.2
6-AL KHALI 103.8

RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
9-WAYMAN 76.0
6-DOMONATION 67.5
11-GUERRERO NEGRO 39.0

1st time starters - NO SELECTIONS FOR 1ST TIMERS
(2, 3, 4, 5, 7, 8, 10, 12, 13, 14)

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Saturday, November 28, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-ROCKIN ROSE 80.8 (off Nov. 08)
2-DONA AMELIA 71.2
6-QUICKLY GONE 68.1
1-DINE AT NINE 62.7
5-CARBELLA 62.2 (off Oct. 08)

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
2-STUNNING ALLY 73.1
4-GAMBLING POKERFACE 58.0
6-TWISTNTHENIGHTAWAY 43.8
7-PORTFOLIO 42.9

1st time starters - 1, 8

RACE 3
5-SELF INSURED 99.8
2-LIMESTONE EDGE 94.5
4-JOSHUA'S DREAM 87.5
3-SIR BELL 80.2
1-QUARTER MOON 78.8

RACE 4
5-RAYMORRISON 90.0
6-BRIDGING 88.1
4-PAYMENT APPROVED 80.2
2-VALKYRIE MISSLE 77.8
3-BRENTHURST 76.6

1st time starters - 1

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
1-BRIDGETOWN 89.4
4-COLOURSOFTHEGLEN 83.2
3-WHO'S UP 78.4
5-MARCELLO 77.6
7-ALFARABI 77.2
8-SUMMER MOVIE 77.2

RACE 6
2-YOUTHFUL AMBITION 70.3 (off Aug. 08)
10-BROADWAY PROMISE 69.8
6-NANNI THE TEASER 62.2
5-COUNTRY TOUGH 60.1

1st time starters - 4, 7

RACE 7
7-PINK DIAMOND 92.6
11-ONCE UPON A GRACE 91.3
3-DOTSY JEAN 86.3
1-WOMAN WARRIOR 84.4
6-UNZIP ME 84.4
4-MISS SILVER BOOK 83.8

RACE 8
4-VENTURA 116.9
5-RUTHERIENNE 109.3
6-TUSCAN EVENING 101.8
3-DIAMONDRELLA 98.4

RACE 9
8-AROMATHERAPY 83.8
6-LEXLENOS 82.0
2-CHERRYBLOSSOMMISS 81.4
7-VIKKILEE 80.2

RACE 10
5-YODELEN DAN 93.8
10-FENICE 93.4
2-SOVEREIGN LORD 93.2
4-AUTOCUE 91.9
6-SOUVENIR SLEW 89.4

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Friday, November 27, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $57,763.

RACE 1
4-HIGHER INCENTIVE 82.0
1-LADY IN LOVE 77.2
5-BLAME THE WINE 76.6
2-INSPIRATION WITHIN 73.7

RACE 2
5-SILENT STALK 78.9
7-BETTYBOOMBOOM 77.8
6-MONICA C C 72.6
4-ULTRA AWESOME 69.2

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
2-FAIR CHASE 79.0
1-STOIC ANGEL 56.5
3-LADY ADELLE 51.1 (off slow)
6-BALLERINA ANGEL 40.3 (off slow)

1st time starters - 5, 4

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
1-THE PROGRAM 86.9
5-PRIVILAGED 78.8
6-RANGER HEARTLY 74.9
2-DREAM NETTIE 69.8

RACE 5
7-FLYINGINFORMATION 68.1
3-STYLIN DEPUTY 56.0
1-DANIELLA ROTH 55.0
11-WARREN'S GRANDSLAM 49.2

1st time starters - 2

RACE 6
6-DEAL BREAKER 99.1
1-SPURRIER 95.8
4-ONE TRACK MIND 93.8
5-MAJOR ROCK STAR 86.9

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
3-HYPER LASS 61.1
7-GRANT MARTY ADREAM 49.2
2-MS. SALT MINE 34.6
13-NINE RAILS 31.1

1st time starters -1, 5, 12

RACE 8
1-RIVER GLOW 90.7 (entry)
4-PINKARELLA 88.1
5-DISH THE DIRT 82.0
3-DANCING ERIN 81.4
6-ENCHANTING MOMENT 80.8

RACE 9
5-EVER A FRIEND 112.9
6-COWBOY CAL 110.0
3-PROUDINSKY 105.9
1-FLUKE 105.2
4-BLUE CHAGALL 102.5

RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
4-RIDEMETOTHEMOON 65.9
2-BYE BYE HOLLYWOD 63.8
7-RIGHT TO WORK 60.1
10-LITTLE DODGER 57.0
8-HAYLEY'S HALO 53.5

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Thursday, November 26, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-FIRST QUEEN 70.9
2-IMADETHECASHCALL 69.8
6-ELLIE L. 68.1
5-PLATINUM STILETTO 67.0

RACE 2
5-DEVINE ACTRESS 85.0
6-PRINCESS WINDSHARP 74.9
1-RISING HONOUR 71.4
3-DAMINI 69.8

RACE 3
1-MOST POPULAR 68.1
6-RED ALARM 64.8
2-SUBPOENA THE DRESS 63.8
4-GINNY FITZ 62.2

RACE 4
6-QUOTED 86.3
7-HALO'S LAW 85.0
2-MR. BOSSY PANTS 73.1

1st time starters - 1, 5, 8, 4, 3

RACE 5
7-JERANIMO 92.6
6-BLACK WOLF 91.9
5-SPIRIT OF CHOCHISE 91.3
4-FITZMO 85.6
3-PHANTOM WILDCAT 84.4

RACE 6
2-B'S LUCKY STRIKE 82.0
6-HIDDEN BLESSING 80.2
1-SIR BEN 79.3
3-UNIVERSAL PEACE 79.0

RACE 7
5-SUIT YOURSELF 88.8
7-UNBRIDLED STORY 86.9
2-DIRTY DISH MITCH 78.4
6-STORMY GAME 77.2

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
3-MOONSKIPPER 61.3
11-WARREN'S TOO COOL 50.0
1-LANA'S LOVELY 49.0
9-IT'SMYBURTDAY 47.4
4-SHESKEY 46.9
2-LED ADVANTAGE 45.6

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Wednesday, November 25, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
7-PRINCESS SUANCES 80.8
2-UNKNOWN HEAT 68.1
6-MAKIT TILL MIDNITE 66.4
3-THE TOWN LADY 61.6
1-TORREY CLIFFS 61.6

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
1-CONVEYANCE 80.8
5-MAJESTIC PAFLEET 79.6
4-JOYFUL SUCCESS 67.5
3-TIME FOR ATONEMENT 65.4

RACE 3
5-SHAKENWITHANOLIVE 86.9
6-LIFE BY R R 83.3
2-REV HER UP 78.4
4-FOXY BAILY 75.1

RACE 4
8-TALLAHSOCEAN 79.6
5-FANATICAL 77.7
7-SKY MARNI 76.6
4-PRINCESS SUSAN M 67.0

RACE 5
3-HIS SISTERS MISTER 78.4
7-CANDY ARCHES 76.0
5-RARE CHANT 67.0
9-FASSNACHT 66.4

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
6-WARREN'S JITTERBUG 85.0
7-GLORY PRIDE 77.2
2-ON THE COVER 61.1
4-HIGH STYLE 56.0

RACE 7
10-FANTASY FREE 92.6
5-PATRIOTIC SOLDIER 88.8
1-PACK YOUR BAGS 85.0
8-RAINGEAR 83.2
7-CHARLIE AND CHRIS 82.6
6-ATTICUS JACK 82.0 (off Dec. 08)

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile
4-FAMILIAR SHINE 46.1
7-BRADIO STATION 45.1
11-ONE LUCKY GUY 44.2
9-BROTHER LOUIE 42.4
8-STARRY STRIVE 41.6

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Tuesday, November 24, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way.

A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.

Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, November 23, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number -
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 11 times that I know of in over 1482 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Sunday, November 22, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: ON SATURDAY MY TOP PICKS WON 4 RACES (25.00, 9.40, 5.20, 3.80) TOP 1ST TIMER ALSO WON (11.80). I ALSO HAD 2 SECONDS AND ONE THIRD PLACE.

RACE 1
7-FREE LUNCH 73.7
2-FORTUNATE VICTORY 72.0
4-ZOHAN 67.0
3-OUTSIDE SHOT 66.5

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
1-CARDIFF GIANT 88.1
7-ISHMAEL 68.6
8-LEGAL SEPARATION 67.5
6-SEEUAT STICKNSTEIN 65.4
4-ESPRESSO SPRINGS 65.4

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
4-MAKE MUSIC FOR ME 85.6
1-SETSUKO 75.5 (entry)
6-BRADY BLUE EYES 69.2
2-LOOKING FOR CANDY 67.5

1st time starters - 7

RACE 4
7-RECESS 76.0
4-MALUSITA 73.7
1-DANCES WITH TIGERS 68.6
3-ROCKET KITTY 67.5

RACE 5
3-CLEISTHENES 97.8
4-MOBILIZED 97.1
7-TRAIL MIX 95.8
5-FIGEAC 91.2

RACE 6
4-SCREEN TO SCREEN 92.6
5-COPA DE PLATA 90.7
8-SPOT THE DIPLOMAT 86.3
3-STAND TALL 84.4
6-FURIOSO STAR 83.2

RACE 7
3-WARREN'S APPEAL 89.4
8-HAKA 80.2
5-MICHAEL'S ROSE 80.2
2-MALIBU WIN 76.6
1-PLAYA BONITA 75.5

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
6-CRISIS OF SPIRIT 88.1
1-MISS HEATHER LEE 84.4
3-LT. ANNE 79.6
5-IT TIZ 76.6

RACE 9
4-A JEALOUS WOMAN 75.5
3-SUSAN'S WILDCAT 72.9
2-MOLLY PEACHES 64.1
6-COURTLY COUTURE 58.6
5-SARABELLA MIA 58.5

1st time starters - 8, 9, 7 (fgn. has raced), 1, 10

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Saturday, November 21, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
4-LUCKS MINE 65.4
9-VEECU 64.3
7-SUMMERS AT DEL MAR 55.0
6-FACE AND AN ACE 20.3

1st time starters - 5, 3, 2, 8

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
4-THAT OL'BLACKMAGIC 64.8
9-MINISTERS ALTARBOY 64.2
8-GILLIGAN 58.5
6-UR TURN DUBAI 56.5
2-ONEMOREFORARCH 56.5

RACE 3
3-DON'T FORGET FAITH 90.7
1-BIRDIE BIRDIE 86.9
4-ALPINE YODEL 86.3
2-STEP SOFTLY 85.6
5-VICTORIA REEL 84.4

RACE 4
3-CLASSY ARTTRACTION 74.3
4-TERRIFY 74.3
7-YOU CAN DREAM74.3
8-KIMMYV 71.4

RACE 5(all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
9-OCEANOGRAPHER 87.5
2-CAMP VICTORY 60.6
8-SMOKIN BOMB 52.6
1-MISTER DO IT 30.7 (off slow)

1st time starters - 5, 4, 3, 7, 6

RACE 6
8-SCOTTISH DIAMOND 100.5
4-A CAT NAMED SNIPE 80.8
7-PUBLIC IMAGE 77.8
2-OLDTOPHATANDTAILS 76.6

RACE 7
7-SARTORIAL 96.5
6-POLONIUS 96.5
5-ON FIRE 91.9
3-SQUALLCREEK 90.7

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
4-AMERICAN LION 99.8
5-MACIAS 91.9
3-INDIAN FIREWATER 86.3
2-GET MY FIX 80.2

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
3-EXTRA ENERGY 54.5
10-WARREN'S DECISION44.2
4-DUCK RIVER 42.4
16-GREAT BERNARDINE 35.0
5-NENA IDEAL 26.8 (off slow)
13-MIREYA DIAZ 26.8

1st time starters - 2, 11, 9

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Friday, November 20, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: THURSDAY MY TOP PICKS HAD 5 WINNERS AND 1 SECOND PLACE OUT OF EIGHT RACES.

RACE 1
2-LORDGIVEMEALIFT 91.9
1-ONE VOTE 75.4
7-BLACK KETTLE 74.9
5-RY'S NOT SHY 71.7

RACE 2
3-SHEZA SCREAMER 57.5
7-MADAME STRIKER 57.0 (off Nov. 08)
9-MYSTIC TRIP 50.2
4-SOMBRE 49.7 (off slow)

1st time starters - 1

RACE 3
1-LINDELANN 98.4
5-REBA IS TOPS 97.1
3-ROYAL TAAT 93.2
4-ANNIHILATION 93.2
2-RAINBOW'S SONG 91.9

RACE 4
4-BEWITCHED AGAIN 62.7
8-QUE SERA SERA 59.0
7-CAPTIVATING LYRICS 58.0
6-DANIELLA ROTH 55.0

1st time starters - 9, 5

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 f. on turf)
10-SNOVEMBER 63.6
5-GIVEME ONEREASON 62.2
7-I'MNEVERWRONG 61.6
4-HOME GROWN LASS 58.5

1st time starters - 9, 8, 2

RACE 6
9-BOB BENOIT 82.6
5-CAMISADO 82.6
1-SUPER HARMONY 77.6
6-LAINES LION 77.2

RACE 7
10-BIG BERTHA 92.6
4-DONA AMELIA 78.9
9-SUNNY PEACE 76.6
3-PRECIOUS UNION 74.3

RACE 8
10-OL'DOGTOWN 73.7
1-BOO TOO 66.4
13-GOOD GUY 63.2
6-DAILY SUDS 51.1
5-KID POKER 46.4

1st time starters -4, 3, 8

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Thursday, November 19, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-GINELLO 90.7
5-PARTY HARD 88.1
6-QUARTER GIVEN 83.2
2-MEGASTAR 77.8

RACE 2
4-COATCHECK GIRL 86.9
2-THERE GOES GEE GEE 77.8
5-MADELINE RUBY 75.4
3-FOREVER MY LOVE 72.6

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
2-FASHION TREND 76.6
4-TOP SEEDED 64.2
6-HARISSA 60.9
1-PRIMROSE HILL 57.0

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
1-GOLDEN BOY MARK 58.0
5-MOBY TRICK 44.2
9-BIDEN MY TIME 24.4
3-FLEET FUGITIVE 16.1

1st time starters - 2, 6, 7, 4

RACE 5
1-MI CHIAMANO MIMI 96.5
3-ROSE DIAMOND 91.9
2-QUISISANA 87.5
5-VAN BRIT 81.1
4-KING CITY KITTY 70.9

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
10-MARK OF A WARRIOR 63.2 (bumped at start)
5-QUILLOTANO 50.2
8-BLACKMAN BAY 43.8
2-BOSTON BAKED BEAN 39.4

1st time starters - 1

RACE 7
4-LOUP BRETON 105.2
6-YACHT SPOTTER 98.4
1-SPORTING ART 97.1
2-YORKTOWN 95.8

RACE 8
3-MSTY ALY 70.3
10-PADDLIN MUD 67.0
5-KNEELING'S PRIDE 66.4
6-FIELD OF JOY 65.9 (off Feb. 06)
7-UNUSUALLY HOT 64.8
4-NO CREAM OR SUGAR 64.8
2-COMPANY SECRET 64.8

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Wednesday, November 18, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $86,204.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
4-HIGH SUCCESS 72.0
5-GOLDEN HORIZON 65.9
3-TWENTY HAWKS 52.6
2-CALIFORNIA COLONEL 40.3

1st time starters - 1, 6

RACE 2
3-HOT DAMON 77.2
5-ASHLEY'S CUTIE 74.3
4-MARISHEK 72.0
1-NU POWER TWO 64.8 (off Dec. 08)
6-CHECKMARK 64.2

RACE 3
2-SOLDIER BETTY 69.2
3-PALOMA'S FLIGHT 68.6
6-STANFORD DOLLY 64.8
4-MY SPANISH FLING 62.5

RACE 4
1-CALL ME DUTCHESS 71.4
6-FLEET ROYALE 68.1
5-SMARTYSIDEUP 64.8
2-PARTY WITH BRANDO 54.0

1st time starters - 3, 4

RACE 5
2-LIFE BY R R 74.9
1-HOLLAND CREEK 74.9
5-ALPHABET CAT 74.3
7-CHURCH AVENUE 69.8
6-MAEVE 69.2

RACE 6
2-BAD BOY 97.8
5-YANKEE VISIONARY 92.6
6-HIGH STANDARDS 86.9
7-FORT FUNSTON 83.2
1-YOUNG JOE 83.2

RACE 7
1-CATSAOT 86.9
2-LUPITA'SLUCKYANGEL 76.0
4-POWEROFVOODOO 75.5
5-ASANTI 74.0
6-RUFFLED FEATHERS 73.4

RACE 8
4-A LITTLE POLISH 76.0
10-WEST RULER 65.9
8-VICTORY DASH 60.1
7-DINNR WITH NIKKI 58.5
3-RIGHT TO WORK 58.0
2-WARREN'S SWAP FOX 58.0

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Tuesday, November 17, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way.A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, November 16, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?

I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number -
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.Program number does not match horse's name-This has happened 11 times that I know of in over 1475 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, November 15, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: MY TOP PICKS SATURDAY HAD 4 WINNERS, 1 SECOND, TOP 1ST TIMERS 1 WINNER.

RACE 1
1-BEST OF INTENTIONS 83.2
5-FINAL JOURNEY 76.6
3-PICK TO CLICK 71.4
2-FIERCE THUNDER 71.1

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile on turf)
6-ROYAL IMPORT 75.4
3-SAINTLY SEOUL 68.1
1-BODY BUILDER 64.8
8-KETTLE RIVER 61.1

1st time starters - 4

RACE 3
2-BOOTLEG ANNIE 94.1
4-SMOOTH PERFORMER 93.9
5-GAMBLER'S JUSTICE 85.6
3-U R ALL THAT I AM 85.0
1-BARBARA'S LOVE 82.0

RACE 4
8-FASSNACHT 73.1
5-DIRT DIVER 67.8
6-ANDREW'S COURAGE 65.9
1-BRIAN THE BOLD 65.4
2-OLYMPIO'S JEWEL 65.4

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
5-EXCELLENT NEWS 86.3
3-LAURA'S PLEASURE 80.8
6-JUDGE JOAN 79.6
2-JET BLUE GIRL 74.3

RACE 6
7-YES IT'S A CAT 97.8
8-UFFIZI 95.8
4-JIMMY DA BRICK 91.9
6-SOUPY 87.5

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
7-INDIARA 71.4
4-IMPERATRIZ 66.1

1st time starters - 6, 2, 3, 5, 1, 9, 8

RACE 8
5-YOU GOT ME ROCKING 105.2
1-DEWEY'S SPECIAL 101.1
2-ICEMANCOMETH 97.8
6-RIDGE DANCE 92.6

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
9-SATURN MOON 55.0
3-BRIANNA MARIE 49.7
4-IDA OF MARCH 48.8
8-ROSE S. 38.2
1-ZAG NATION 38.2

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Saturday, November 14, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-SAINT PAUL 91.9
4-BARODA COURT 90.0
5-FIERY TRIPPI 83.2
2-FUNNY ME 82.0
7-TURKISH VICTORY 82.0

RACE 2
2-FIRE BREAK 93.2
3-CANYON DRIVE 93.1
1-BLAZING SPIRIT 91.9
7-CONCERTO'S THUNDER 90.0

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
3-BLAZING 72.0
6-BOULDER CREEK 69.5
2-DUKE OF ASPEN 62.2

1st time starters - 4, 5, 1

RACE 4
5-CRASH LANDING 90.0 (off Oct. 08)
8-MAJOR SMOKE 85.6
1-CUT THE CHECK 77.2
4-ABALANCHE 75.5
6-BRIAN THE BRAVE 74.9

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
10-GAMBLING POKERFACE 58.5
3-CREME DELA SUANCES 47.4
8-MY SECRET WEAPON 42.0
1-COOL PRINCESS 29.7

1st time starters - 2, 4, 7, 9

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
4-TORO TRIPPI 84.4
8-CARDIFF GIANT 77.8
9-BUYER'S REMORSE 72.6
10-CARACORTADO 70.3

RACE 7
6-MONOLINGUAL 101.1
7-KORBAN 91.3
2-CAT BRULAY 88.8
1-SPANIARD 88.1

RACE 8
6-STAR NICHOLAS 104.5
4-NIKKI'SGOLDENSTEED 101.8
5-BESTDRESSED 95.8
3-MY SUMMER SLEW 95.2
9-DANCE WITH GABLE 94.5

RACE 9
2-ITSSULTRYINTHECAPE 92.5
4-GALLETA MONSTRUO 82.6
5-DISCONTENT 74.9
3-MAYAPPLE COURT 71.1

1st time starters - 9, 7

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Friday, November 13, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-MAGIC TEXAN 95.2
6-TO THE PENNY 84.4
1-RAINGEAR 83.3
5-MIND THE MINISTER 80.2
2-CORONEL MOLDES 79.6

RACE 2
1-TEE OFF 68.6
5-TORREY CLIFFS 65.4
6-FEED A FEVER 63.8
9-WARRENS SWEETHEART 55.5

RACE 3
6-BLACK MAGIC MAMA 72.0
5-LIVING OUR DREAM 69.2
3-PLATINUM STILETTO 65.4
1-SAINT CINDY 64.3
4-FIRST QUEEN 64.3

RACE 4
9-AUNTGRACE 66.4
7-WHERE'S SCARLET 65.3
2-OUR ANASTACIA 64.8
6-MONICA C C 59.0

RACE 5
5-MADE FOR MAGIC 93.1
2-FLASHOVER 90.0
4-CHRISTMAS SHIP 89.4
1-FIREY RED 87.8
6-THEODORA 86.9

RACE 6
7-RATHOR 91.9
5-ORIENTATION HALL 81.4
4-AXEL FOLEY 73.7
11-MISWESTERNER 71.4
10-DEADSHOT KEEN 70.8

RACE 7
9-SHADOW OF ILLINOIS 103.1
5-WIREDFORTWOTWENTY 99.8
6-PERFECT CASTING 99.8
1-LT. HOPEFUL 95.2
7-RON BOB AND DAVE 94.5

RACE 8
5-REMEMBER MIKE 69.8
2-BIG JAY 68.1
7-FEELING FABULOUS 63.9
1-TAKE FROM THE RICH 61.8
8-FATHER GRUMPY 55.5

1st time starters - 4

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Tuesday, November 10, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY HANDICAPPING SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way.

A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, November 09, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number -
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.Program number does not match horse's name-This has happened 11 times that I know of in over 1468 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, November 08, 2009

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUN.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
9-FENICE 85.0
7-ABSOLUTE GLORY 79.6
6-FIGHT ON 73.7
5-APPTOBURN 73.1
8-CAPT. SPARROW 72.6

RACE 2
2-POWER BLITZ 97.1
3-DYNAMIC RANGE 89.4
7-AUTOCUE 85.7
5-PAT'S LEGACY 85.2

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
2-EVENING JEWEL 70.9
8-TOP SEEDED 64.8
1-SHESDOPROVOCATIVE 62.7
5-STUNNING ALLY 62.2

1st time starters - 4, 6, 7,

RACE 4
4-AWESOME FEAT 77.8
6-DINE AT NINE 73.7
5-SKY MARNI 72.6
9-MSTY ALY 67.5
10-SWISS BLEND 66.5

RACE 5
4-RED SUN 86.8
9-AMAZOMBIE 78.2
3-DOHNSTER 77.8
10-HOT DAMON 74.0

1st time starters - 6, 5, 8

RACE 6
2-COPA DE PLATA 93.9
5-BALLISTIC HEAT 91.3
10-ACQUIRE THE FIRE 89.4
7-SATELLITE 88.1
9-FANTASY FREE 87.4

RACE 7
8-NIGER RIVER 85.8
4-PADDY'S MAGIC 83.8
6-HIS SISTERS MISTER 82.8
9-SOVEREIGN LORD 78.1

RACE 8
1-KAYS AND JAYS 112.2
2-IRISH GYPSY 86.3
8-EMMY DARLING 85.6
5-MUSIC MAGIC 83.8

RACE 9
6-EASY ASHLEY 87.5
10-WARREN'S R READY 82.6
13-HOTROD KELLY 80.2
8-VICTORY DANCER 79.1
7-QUID NON 79.0

RACE 10
1-FLYINGINFORMATION 70.3
8-BIT OF A LADY 65.9
6-FLASH DANCE 64.8
2-WARREN'S CAME HOME 60.6
14-GLORY FOREVER 58.0

1st time starters - 9, 11

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Saturday, November 07, 2009

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-M ONE RIFLE 121.5
5-SUPREME SUMMIT 95.2
4-ALL SAINT 92.6
2-SMART BID 90.7
1-CORONET OF A BARON 89.4

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
12-BUZZWORD 116.3
4-POUNCED 111.4
2-VISCOUNT NELSON 108.1
8-KING LEDLEY 100.2
11-INTERACTIF 97.1

RACE 3
12-STRIKE THE DEAL 135.2
3-CALIFORNIA FLAG 123.0
4-LORD SHANAKILL 120.1
9-DIAMONDRELLA 119.3
2-SILVER TIMBER 115.7

RACE 4
9-FLEETING SPIRIT 127.7
3-FATAL BULLET 125.3
1-ZENSATIONAL 123.0
8-CAPT. CANDYMAN CAN 118.6
5-GAYEGO 118.6

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
11-RADIOHEAD 127.5
3-BEETHOVEN 115.5
7-VALE OF YORK 114.8
1-ALFRED NOBLE 106.4
5-D' FUNNYBONE 101.8

RACE 6
11-GOLDIKOVA 138.3
8-ZACINTO 131.8
4-DELEGATOR 131.0
10-JUSTENUFFHUMOR 123.0
3-COWBOY CAL 120.8

RACE 7
1-MASTERCRAFTMAN 138.3
4-BULLSBAY 122.3
7-PYRO 115.0
5-NEKO BAY 114.3
2-FURTHEST LAND 111.4

RACE 8
2-CONDUIT 138.0
7-SPANISH MOON 133.1
6-PRESIOUS PASSION 123.8
5-DAR RE MI 122.7

RACE 9 - (B. C. CLASSIC)
10-RIP VAN WINKLE 145.5
5-TWICE OVER 134.7
3-SUMMER BIRD 128.3
12-QUALITY ROAD 126.0
6-RICHARD'S KID 122.3

RACE 10
6-MASSONE 108.1
9-BATTLE OF HASTINGS 107.3
7-RENDEZVOUS 105.2
4-NO INFLATION 103.8
3-METEORE 101.1

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Friday, November 06, 2009

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRI.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-DEAL BREAKER 99.1
9-JOSHUA'S DREAM 98.4
4-HEADACHE 94.5
5-ROYAL PUNISHER 92.1

RACE 2
11-MISS MCCALL 91.9
7-BARBARA'S LOVE 89.4
5-HALFAPONDAROSA 88.1
9-STUNNINGLY 86.9
14-NORTH RODEO 85.6

RACE 3
6-MASTERY 131.7
3-NITE LIGHT 114.3
1-BLACK ASTOR 109.3
8-ELDAAFER 107.3
4-CLOUDY'S KNIGHT 104.3

RACE 4
11-JUNIA TEPZIA 107.3
8-LILLIE LANGTRY 104.4
14-IN THE SLIPS 101.1
4-ROSE CATHERINE 96.1
7-HOUSE OF GRACE 91.9

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
6-CONNIE AND MICHAEL 101.6
7-DEVIL MAY CARE 98.4
10-NEGLIGEE 97.8
3-BLIND LUCK 97.1
8-SHE BE WILD 94.5

RACE 6
6-MIDDAY 120.1
2-FOREVER TOGETHER 112.9
4-MAGICAL FANTASY 112.2
3-RUTHERIENNE 110.7
5-PURE CLAN 110.7

RACE 7
9-VENTURA 123.0
2-SARA LOUISE 117.2
8-SEVENTH STREET 111.4
7-INFORMED DECISION 110.7
3-GAME FACE 110.0

RACE 8
7-MUSIC NOTE 124.5
1-CARELESS JEWEL 115.7
5-PROVISO 112.2
3-MUSHKA 107.3
4-LETHAL HEAT 105.9

RACE 9
13-TIZAQUEENA 102.5
10-TUSCAN EVENING 101.8
9-QUIET MEADOW 99.1
6-TEAMGEIST 95.8
5-ZARDANA 95.2

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Thursday, November 05, 2009

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURS.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-GUMPTION 88.1
4-RICHELLE'S JOY 83.2
5-FUND RAISER 82.0
1-SABINA FAY 70.9

1st time starters - 2, 6

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
1-SUITCASE SIMPSON 47.4

1st time starters - 3, 5, 2, 7, 4, 6

RACE 3
4-PRACTICAL MAGIC 90.0
8-BEV'S EX 70.9 (off Oct. 07)
6-OSCAR THE MAYOR 69.2
5-EL ADELANTADO 67.5

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
10-WARREN'S TOO COOL 55.0
1-POCATELLO WILD KAT 44.6
2-LISA LULU 40.7
3-PURE CONFECTION 35.8
9-TONKA T. 35.4

1st time starters - 6

RACE 5
1-ONCE UPON A GRACE 88.8
6-DOTSY JEAN 86.3
4-GOOD TIME SALLY 80.6
7-MAROMA 77.2

RACE 6
5-CHANGING 86.1
3-SAXOPHONE 79.6
2-LEGENDARY MUD 76.0
11-DELUXE CAT 74.3
12-A CAT NAMED SNIPE 74.3

RACE 7
3-EVER A FRIEND 115.4 (off May 08)
2-TALKIN TO MOM ROO 107.3
7-TENGA KAT 101.8
9-USURP 101.6
10-MACHISMO 100.9

RACE 8
3-BROADWAY PROMISE 80.8
11-RY'S NOT SHY 70.9
4-RINGOLEVIO 65.9
2-ZOHAN 63.2
10-CIRCLE DIAMOND 60.5

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Wednesday, November 04, 2009

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: SUNDAY 4 TOP PICKS WON AND 1 TOP 1ST TIMER WON.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
8-MOBY TRICK 41.6
7-PREMIER IMAGE 41.1
4-SMOKIN BOMB 38.6
1-ROAR'S DANCER 31.9

1st time starters - 5, 2, 3

RACE 2
2-WINSOME CHARM 94.5
4-EUROGLIDE 92.8
5-LIVE SUNDAYS 91.9
1-WINSOME CHARM 88.1

RACE 3
6-MICHAEL'S ROSE 76.6
1-PRINCESS WINDSHARP 74.9
4-SHE'S BORRACHO 73.7
7-GIRL OF PANGAEA 68.6
8-RISING HONOUR 67.5

RACE 4
3-PROUD HILLBILLY 93.2
2-TOM BOMBADIL 81.4
6-PARTY MANDATE 74.3
7-ESCAPING THE STORM 71.4
5-KALOOKAN HEAT 71.4

RACE 5
10-ELUSIVE DESTINY 66.4
6-TRUENO 62.7
5-SMOKENOMORE 58.0
2-NANNI THE TEASER 53.5

1st time starters - 3, 1

RACE 6
9-LORDGIVEMEALIFT 99.1
8-POINT ATTENDED 91.9
4-FLASHMANS PAPERS 85.0
3-RAINBOW GOOSE 84.4

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
1-CONNEMARA 80.8
4-RANGER HEARTLY 79.0
3-DREAM NETTIE 74.0
6-PICO PICO 73.1
2-MR. SATURDAYNIGHT 72.0

RACE 8
6-OBJECTIFIED 64.3
5-CAPTAIN CASH 55.0
7-COUNTRY TOUGH 42.2
8-FIVE A DAY 40.3
2-ETHIOPIAN 34.2

1st time starters - 10, 4, 9

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Tuesday, November 03, 2009

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way.

A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, November 02, 2009

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number -
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 11 times that I know of in over 1461 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, November 01, 2009

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUN.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-LEXLENOS 81.3
1-SAINTLY SPIRIT 79.0
5-LULLABYTIME 77.2
2-FREEDOM STAR 74.3
4-WAKE ME NOW 60.6

RACE 2
4-RAISE THE RIVER 97.1
7-VALKYRIE MISSILE 79.0
6-PAYMENT APPROVED 75.4
2-ZULU KING 60.1 (steadied)
3-BRENTHURST 59.4

1st time starters - 1, 5

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
5-CRISIS OF SPIRIT 90.0
1-EXCELLENT NEWS 84.4
3-CAMILLE C 84.4
2-WELL DESERVED 83.8
4-SANDY CHEEKS 71.4

RACE 4
2-YOU CAN DREAM 74.9
3-SISTER LUCY 62.2
4-TRIBUL WITCH 59.0
8-SOMBRE 53.5

1st time starters - 7, 9

RACE 5
1-DEBATING SOCIETY 77.8
3-SUNNY PEACE 77.8
4-TALLAHSOCEAN 77.2
7-BEWITCHING GEM 74.9
6-TOPPER'S SMILING 74.3

RACE 6
7-LADY ALEX 79.6
5-TERRIFY 76.0
3-CHAMPAGNE SNOB 72.8
1-WARRENS HIGH YIELD 72.3

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
9-CENIZO 49.7
4-HARMONY'S HOPE 39.4

1st time starters - 6, 5, 7, 10, 2, 1, 8, 3

RACE 8
10-ENRICHED 97.1
8-TRAIL MIX 97.1
2-SUIT YOURSELF 90.6
6-LUCKY HONEY 89.4

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
1A-SHESKEY 46.0
8-COUGARETTE 39.0
3-JAN THE FIRST 37.8
5-GO GO INDIGO 34.6
4-PRIVATE VALENTINE 32.0

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