Saturday, October 31, 2009

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $74,470.

RACE 1
5-OUR PARTNER 99.1
2-ART CURRENCY 97.1
3-MR. ROD 94.5
1-PLEASURE TO RIDE 93.9
4-GREAT SIEGE 91.3

RACE 2
2-DIRTY DISH MITCH 72.6
5-DYNAMALT 69.2
6-MARCADE 67.0
3-MAJ. TROUBLE 65.4

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
1-PRIVILAGED 87.5
2-OUR MINESWEEPER 86.9
4-MACIAS 84.4
6-HURRICANE IKE 71.4
5-MARCELLO 69.8

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
1-WARREN'S JITTERBUG 82.0
3-FASHION TREND 76.6
2-WHISPERING HUSH 76.0
5-STAR OF SAPHIRE 68.1
6-FUGITIVE ANGEL 67.8

1st time starters - 8

RACE 5
6-HOT 'N LACY 80.2
1-VOODOO'S VISION 79.6
2-RECESS 77.8
5-WOOD ART 76.6
3-PRINCESS SUSAN M 76.0

RACE 6
3-WELKEN 90.0
9-HIGHER INCENTIVE 88.1
4-LAUREN C 84.4
7-FANATICAL 83.2

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
10-DOMONATION 76.6
7-BRADY BLUE EYES 64.3
9-KURO 58.0
5-ALISAL 41.6

1st time starters - 8, 4, 2, 6, 3, 1

RACE 8
2-MY SUMMER SLEW 95.8
7-GANDOLF 94.5
3-CLEISTHENES 91.9
4-KANAN DUME 90.7
6-DIFERENTKINDAGREAT 90.0

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
1-SIX EIGHTEEN 58.0
6-PLUSH OVER 48.8 (off slow)
2-BRADIO STATION 46.0
12-SUITCASE SIMPSON 45.5
3-STRAIGHTOMIDNIGHT 45.1

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Friday, October 30, 2009

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRI.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
4-CAME ABOARD 77.2
1-SETSUKO 74.3
5-THE PROGRAM 53.5
2-VIVA MACHO 51.1

1st time starters - 3

RACE 2
4-ICEMANCOMETH 98.4
2-SOUPY 96.5
6-CATASTAIRE 92.6
3-EPIC POWER 87.5
1-YODELEN DAN 85.6

RACE 3
4-KISS THE COOKE 73.1
6-RED ALARM 66.1
7-SAINT'S CROWN 62.8
3-NO CREAM OR SUGAR 61.6
2-PADDLIN MUD 60.1

RACE 4
3-SPACE AGE LOVESONG 72.6
7-MOON RACER 69.8
5-I CAN HEAR 64.8
6-GOAL GIRL MICHELE 64.3
4-UNKNOWN HEAT 63.8

1st time starters - 1

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
2-REALLY UPTOWN 69.8
7-PURSE LUVA 69.2
6-SEEUAT STICKNSTEIN 69.2
8-GILLIGAN 61.1
4-COO CACHOO 60.6

RACE 6
6-CHARM N CHUCK 99.1
4-MONOLINGUAL 97.8
9-CONCLAVE 96.5
8-SPIRIT OF COCHISE 95.2

RACE 7
2-EXPENSIVE ART 87.5
3-LINDA LOU 86.9
5-CEE STONE 85.0
1-SPINNING YARNS 81.4
7-PRIDE DANCER 81.4
4-HERMIONE'S MAGIC 80.8

RACE 8
1-STRIKINGLY SINFUL 68.6
3-LEGAL SEPARATION 68.1
4-VEECU 67.0
7-SUMMERS AT DELMAR 62.2
8-STICKY CANDY 59.0

1st time starters - 6

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Thursday, October 29, 2009

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURS.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-NEVER 85.6
1-FREE LUNCH 82.0
7-LEYVA MAN 79.6
6-THE WHAMMER 77.0

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
3-IT TIZ 76.6
4-CITY TO CITY 65.3
6-SERIOUSLY 62.7
1-KAILI 60.6

RACE 3
4-OCEAN STYLE 71.4
5-BELLA BUBBLES 69.8
1-KINESIOLOGY 66.4
6-PRIMADONNA PEARL 60.4

RACE 4
2-EVER SO HUMBLE 65.9
5-BOO TOO 63.8
7-CLASS DISMISSED 62.7
8-GOOD GUY 60.6

RACE 5
3-MR. MONKEY JONES 97.9
1-FINAL JOURNEY 83.2
2-UNCLE JEEP 81.4
6-BLACK KETTLE 79.6

RACE 6
8-BRING IT HOME 87.6
5-B'S LUCKY STRIKE 87.5
3-QUARTER GIVEN 82.6
4-HIDDEN BLESSING 81.4
1-UNIVERSAL PEACE 77.8

RACE 7
1-MI CHIAMANO MIMI 91.3 (off Nov. 08)
7-SLEEP TIGHT 88.1
5-MONA DE MOMMA 86.3
2-G. I. BETTY 80.2
4-RIDE ME FAST 79.0

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
10-HONOUR FAMILY 58.5
6-QUILLOTANO 52.1
5-UR TURN DUBAI 46.0
7-TOP OF THE LIST 46.0
9-FLAMING EYES 36.2

1st time starters - 2, 8, 4

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Wednesday, October 28, 2009

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
1-WEST RULER 60.9
4-MISS EDYTA 55.5
6-VICTORY DASH 55.0
3-SALTY FRIES 54.0

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
1-LOST PROPHET 63.8
2-NO MORE TRAVELLIN' 59.0
4-SNOVEMBER 43.3

1st time starters - 3, 5, 6

RACE 3
5-A LIL DUMAANI 98.4
1-BIG BAD LEROYBROWN 97.7
4-BESTDRESSED 97.1
6-DANCE WITH GABLE 97.0

RACE 4
3-SKY ACCOUNT 51.6
8-YOUKNOWWHATILIKE 51.1
7-WEDDING GIFT 47.8
4-DEUCE AMORE 47.4

RACE 5
6-COLLALTO 77.2
3-JAZZANDTHEMAGICIAN 68.7
4-MORTON OWEN 67.4
2-DEFENSE KING 64.3
1-CONCERNING SUTTON 63.8

RACE 6
5-QUE SERA SERA 59.6
1-GINNY FITZ 57.0
2-WITH RESPECT 55.5
4-CAPTIVATING LYRICS 49.7
3-HOSTILE REACTION 49.7

RACE 7
3-MOHAKA 87.5
2-MY MALOOF ROCKER 86.3
4-ANDALACIA 82.0
5-FIRE N' BRIMSTONE 80.8

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
7-MUSICAL GRACE 50.6
4-WARREN'S DECISION 50.6
8-SALLY'S BLADE 44.6
3-DEPUTY JUDY R N 38.6
9-MULTIPLYINGTHEHEAT 36.2

1st time starters - 11, 2

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Tuesday, October 27, 2009

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way.

A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.

Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, October 26, 2009

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number -
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 11 times that I know of in over 1456 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, October 25, 2009

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUN.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-BIG BERTHA 88.8
6-RAIDING PARTY 88.2
5-THAT'S HOT 79.0
1-CARNIVAL QUEEN 76.6

RACE 2
3-BROKEN SILENCE 67.5
1-CHARLIE'S PRINCESS 61.1
5-PARTY WITH BRANDO 59.0
2-SITTYTWOFITTY 49.7

1st time starters - 6

RACE 3
3-MALUSITA 74.3
6-MOSCOW RISING 71.4
5-MY SPANISH FLING 65.4
7-KEIRA'S WAY 62.7

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
8-GIVEME ONEREASON 65.2
7-IMPERATRIZ 57.1
6-HEAVENS A RAGING 46.4
2-BONITA SONADOR 39.5

1st time starters - 3, 4, 5, 9, 1A

RACE 5
5-TREVOR'S CLEVER 83.8
2-STYLIN CAT 83.8
1-ORIENTATION HALL 79.6
7-SUPER HARMONY 79.4 (off Oct. 08)

RACE 6
8-UNBRIDLED STORY 86.9
3-PREMIERE FLYER 82.6
5-ATTICUS JACK 80.8
7-MARK THE BENCH 80.2
1-KALOOKAN STORM 80.2

RACE 7
7-DOMINADORA 76.0
8-LIFE BY R R 75.8
2-MORNING FROST 75.4 (off July 08)
6-HOT SUMMER BREEZE 71.4

RACE 8
5-FIRE BREAK 93.2
8-DYNAMIC RANGE 92.6
2-STRUCTURAL 90.7
1-UNBRIDLED PAPILLON 90.6
7-BLAZING SPIRIT 90.0

RACE 9
12-LUCY GOT LUCKY 67.5
4-PROPHETISE 66.4
2-FIRST QUEEN 63.1
1-ASTURIAS 62.2
8-DEE DEE'S FLIGHT 59.0

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Saturday, October 24, 2009

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SLECTIONS FOR SAT.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-SILVER SWORD 94.1
6-BAD BOY 91.9
5-SCREEN TO SCREEN 91.9
4-RUSSIAN LIQUOR 90.7

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
2-FERRANDERO 50.6
4-BOSTON BAKED BEANS 39.0
7-TORO TRIPPI 37.8
8-EL CHAPO 34.6

RACE 3
3-BARBARA'S LOVE 81.4
2-MOON DE FRENCH 81.3
5-DAVE'S REVENGE 80.8
4-PRETTY KATHERINE 65.4

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
8-OCEANOGRAPHER 88.1
10-EL GRAN MATADOR 84.4
9-MAGIC MAX 73.1
3-CRAGMONT 61.1

1st time starters - 6, 4, 5, 7

RACE 5
9-RECESS 77.8
3-SUNNY PEACE 77.2
6-KNEELING'S PRIDE 73.1
7-DANCES WITH TIGERS 69.2
5-HEAVENLY N' FREE 69.2

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
7-WINGS OF SOUND 76.6
6-ROYAL F J 76.6
3-WHO'S UP 76.0
2-SAINTLY SEOUL 65.9
10-WORTH A PUNT 65.9

1st time starters - 5

RACE 7
7-SUZIQCUTIE 83.8
5-OUR ANASTACIA 65.9
2-GIFTED GINA 64.8
6-BUBBLEY BLONDE 64.3

RACE 8
6-MRS KIPLING 94.5
10-APRIL PRIDE 92.6
2-MINUTE LIMIT 90.7
7-STRAWBERRY TART 88.8

RACE 9
7-ESCAPING THE STORM 72.6
5-G
FATHER GRUMPY 68.1
1-HAWK STAR 68.1
12-BIG JAY 66.4
4-CRAZY WAGER 62.7

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Friday, October 23, 2009

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRI.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: THURSDAY FOUR OF MY TOP PICKS WON OUT OF THE 8 RACES.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $54,969.

RACE 1
3-SOMBRE 67.0
6-FLASH DANCE 62.7
7-ANNIE'S LOADED 60.1
8-BIT OF A LADY 60.1

RACE 2
4-RAINBOW'S SONG 96.4
2-CAT BY THE TALE 94.5
5-ANNIHILATION 92.6
1-FLASHOVER 89.4
3-PUTTANESCA 18.9 (eased)

RACE 3
1-SWISS SKI 83.2
4-ALL MONEY NO LOVE 81.4
2-DORIPRIZE 80.8
7-ATA BENCHMARK 79.6
6-STORMY GAME 76.4

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
2-HIGH FIVE GAL 63.2
3-SHINE'N TIME 55.0
9-GAMBLING POKERFACE 51.6
8-SEEDLESS 36.6 (steadied)

1st time starters - 5, 1, 6

RACE 5
3-PINK DIAMOND 82.6
2-MEILI 75.4
7-SPACE AGE LOVESONG 70.0
1-MARQUISITE 60.1
13-UNKNOWN HEAT 59.3

1st time starters - 9, 4, 6

RACE 6
7-FRANKELSTEIN 83.8
2-MIDWESTERNER 82.0
1-STAND TALL 80.2
5-NO GRANDE 79.0

RACE 7
2-SPRING STYLE 95.2
7-DON'T FORGET FAITH 90.7
5-PERICIA FINA 85.6
3-DREAMALONG 85.0
6-VICTORIA REEL 85.0

RACE 8
6-FANTASY FREE 95.8
8-PALLADIAN GENERAL 90.0
1-FUNNY ME 83.2
7-FENICE 82.6
10-BARODA COURT 80.2
9-ONE SHOT 80.2

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Thursday, October 22, 2009

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURS.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
2-HEIR JOE 89.4
5-GREAT ATTACK 81.4
3-ISHMAEL 72.6
4-CAT CALLOWAY 57.0

RACE 2
2-CAFE CON LECHE 83.8
4-CHARLIE AND CHRIS 79.0
5-TOM BOMBADIL 79.0
6-MEGILLAH 76.0

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
1-NEEKO 69.8
5-LINDA SURPRISE 65.4
6-CANDY'S PLEASURE 63.8
4-SMOOTHE AS CANDY 44.2

1st time starters - 2, 3

RACE 4
1-DEAL BREAKER 98.4
2-HEADACHE 96.5
7-SEARCHFORTHETRUTH 92.6
5-SCAT THIEF 91.9

RACE 5
7-BEST OF INTENTIONS 85.0
8-RUN OVER YOU 79.0
6-QUIET LIGHTNING 75.4
10-SCOOPS EXPRESS 73.7
5-A ROYAL TIZZY 73.1

RACE 6
3-TACTICAL TALENT 74.3
4-SAINT CHOCOLATE 73.7
11-HOLD THIS 73.1
6-JUST HEAT 72.0

RACE 7
5-EASY ASHLEY 88.8
6-STREAKIN EXCESS 83.8
7-EARSTOYOU 82.6
2-SMALL BUT MIGHTY 81.4
4-ONEFUNSONOFAGUN 80.8

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
1-WARREN'S SWAP FOX 58.0
8-SATURN MOON 55.0
2-BRIANNA MARIE 51.6
11-WHYPRINCESSWHY 45.5
9-DISLITLELITEOMINE 42.0

1st time starters - 10, 12

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Wednesday, October 21, 2009

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
2-TRIBAL FACE 69.2
4-CABO CHICO 57.5
6-TWENTY HAWKS 53.0
5-FULL EFFECT 47.8

1st time starters - 3, 1

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
3-ZEES ECHO 62.7
6-RANGER HEARTLY 55.1
2-SWISS EXPLOIT 52.0
4-SHOW THE FLAG 47.6

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
4-GORKY'S SECRET 37.8
2-TONKA T. 36.2
6-MIREYA DIAZ 33.8
1A-SPOOL'S GOLD 33.0

1st time starters - 9, 3, 8

RACE 4
3-ELUSIVE DESTINY 77.2
5-BARBARIC 64.3
4-CORK CREEK 57.0
1-PEMBA AT U. T. K. 41.6

1st time starters - 2

RACE 5
9-COATCHECK GIRL 87.5
4-SALTY SARRAH 83.8
8-DASH DOT DASH 79.4
2-CORNISH ROSE 76.5
6-MADELINE RUBY 75.2

RACE 6
3-OL'DOGTOWN 65.4
7-SEIZE THE FIRE 62.2 (off Dec. 08)
8-VALENTINE GIFT 60.1
5-RINCEWIND 57.5
6-KALOOKAN HEAT 57.0 (off Nov. 08)

1st time starters - 2

RACE 7
2-OBRIGADO 97.1
6-SPURRIER 95.8
3-ITSNOTJUSTAGAME 93.9
8-BUENOS DIAS 91.3
5-ON FIRE 91.3

RACE 8
8-ABALANCHE 90.7
5-MAJOR SMOKE 85.6
4-PICK TO CLICK 74.9
3-RECKLESS CAPOTE 74.9
6-STAYONIT 74.3
9-JOURNEYMAN 74.3

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Tuesday, October 20, 2009

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way.A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, October 19, 2009

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number -
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 11 times that I know of in over 1447 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, October 18, 2009

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSERACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUN.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-MY MAN SUMO 94.4
5-FLASHMANS PAPERS 88.1
6-BLACK KETTLE 85.6
3-I WANNA GO FAST 80.8

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-TIZBALASHI 52.6
4-QUILLOTANO 49.2
1-MOBY TRICK 45.5
2-SUITCASE SIMPSON 28.9

1st time starters - 7, 3

RACE 3
5-STAR REEDEMER 94.5
1-CRASH LANDING 87.5
3-FURIOSO STAR 86.3
4-ROYAL PUNISHER84.4
2-PINSTRIPE KID 82.0

RACE 4
1-AFLEET HOPETOWN 60.6
6-FORTUNATE VICTORY 58.5
7-RY'S NOT SHY 55.6
3-ALLABOUTTHECAPITAL 54.0
4-LICORICEWHIP 53.6

RACE 5
2-EUROGLIDE 100.4
3-SHADOW OF ILLINOIS 100.4
7-IGUAZU FALLS 94.5
8-CAPTURE THE CALL 93.9
4-RON BOB AND DAVE 93.2

RACE 6
1-OUTSIDE SHOT 72.6
5-RINGOLEVIO 64.3
3-PANDA 62.2
4-HEYWATCHULOOKINAT 60.4
8-ZOHAN 54.0

RACE 7
8-YACHT SPOTTER 103.1
4-GOTHIC SAMURAI 95.2
1-BLUE CHAGALL 94.5
5-TIZ WEST 91.9
7-KNOCKOUT ARTIST 91.9

RACE 8
8-PLAY NINE 73.0
5-STEAM IRON 69.8
4-SUBPONEA THE DRESS 65.9
1-SWEET GOLDEN CAROL 60.7
7-MOLLY MCFAST 60.6

RACE 9
1-MT. ORIENT 93.9
3-TREVOR'S CLEVER 90.7
6-CARMAN 90.0
2-PACK YOUR BAGS 88.8
4-TO THE PENNY 86.9

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Saturday, October 17, 2009

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-DINE AT NINE 78.4
1-TUSCAN PRINCESS 63.8
6-FLOWER FUSION 59.0
3-NO CREAM OR SUGAR 52.6

RACE 2
6-PARTY HARD 90.7
5-OLIVER 79.6
1-GINELLO 72.0
3-GAME A. P. 72.0

RACE 3
5-NIGER RIVER 79.0
4-UNION SOLDIER 71.4
3-SOVERIGN LORD 71.4
6-ACTION IN MAY 70.3

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-VIA VERDE 80.3
2-KALOOKAN COMMANDO 63.6
8-ROYAL IMPORT 40.3
6-LUCKS MINE 37.0

1st time starters - 4, 1, 3, 7

RACE 5
3-YOUKNOWWHATILIKE 57.0
6-SISTER LUCY 53.0
8-JACKY'S SKIPPING 39.4
4-MARK OF A STAR 39.0

1st time starters - 7, 9

RACE 6
9-ONCE UPON A GRACE 91.3
7-DOTSY JEAN 86.9
6-NORTH RODEO 85.7
4-ROSE DIAMOND 82.0
11-FANATICAL 82.0

RACE 7
3-OWNERS MANUAL 90.7
1-DELIVERING SPEED 89.4
7-ANZISONG 78.0 (off Aug. 08)
4-BEV'S EX 77.2 (off Oct. 07)
2-BEAU SMOKE 73.7
5-OSCAR THE MAYOR 73.1

RACE 8
5-TUSCAN EVENING 106.6
2-GOTTA HAVE HER 105.9
4-REBA IS TOPS 105.2
6-QUEEN OF THE CATSLE 104.5

RACE 9
1-ATA PRETENSE 57.5
5-KELLYS KITCHEN 56.5
9-A CLEVER TEN 49.2
2-HOSTILE REACTION 47.8
6-STORM'N MARISA 42.4

1st time starters 8

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Friday, October 16, 2009

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRI.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $47,855.

RACE 1
6-QUICKLY GONE 76.0
2-UNUSUALLY HOT 73.1
3-NO KA OI 71.4
5-SKY MARNI 64.3

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
2-DIPLO 47.4
6-WARREN'S PRICELESS 46.0
3-DEL MAR TRUCKEE 42.4
1-TOP OF THE LIST 26.1

1st time starters - 5, 4

RACE 3
2-RAIDING PARTY 85.0
3-SILENT STALK 80.2
6-PRECIOUS UNION 78.4
5-HIGHER INCENTIVE 70.9

RACE 4
7-MAKIT TILL MIDNITE 72.6
5-YOU CAN DREAM 72.0
3-FLYINGINFORMATION 65.9
4-STEVIE'S AFLEET 53.5

RACE 5
2-RUBY SLIPPERS 55.5
6-DANIELLA ROTH 55.0
3-WARREN'S GRANDSLAM 54.0
10-GLORY FOREVER 50.2

1st time starters - 9, 4

RACE 6
1-OUR PARTNER 100.4
5-SARTORIAL 98.4
3-NOBLETY 95.8
2-KRIS SILVER 94.4

RACE 7
2-DANCING ERIN 89.4
1-DANI REESE 85.0
5-SPEEDIN EXCESS 85.0
6-STUNNINGLY 82.6
3-STASH 82.0

RACE 8
11-GOOD GUY 67.0
4-TRUENO 63.8
5-SILVERADO GOLD 56.5
9-LOUIE TRE 56.0
1-DELTAMAX 53.5

1st time starters - 10

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Thursday, October 15, 2009

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURS.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-GRAND CAPTAIN 83.9
2-SKY VICTOR 80.8
4-ADEBAYOR 77.4
1-MILYONE 77.1

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
7-BUSTANAI 70.9
3-FOG ALERT 52.5
5-ZAGORA'S PRIDE 40.1
2-OVERHEAD 38.3 (off slow)

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
7-A LITTLE POLISH 75.4
8-SANDY CHEEKS 70.3
6-ROYALTY GONE WILD 65.4
3-RIDEMETOTHEMOON 61.6
2-DINNR WITH NIKKI 61.1

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
9-SHESKEY 47.8
5-MISS EDYTA 46.9
1-DON'T REITERATE 42.0
4-PRIVATE VALENTINE 37.0

RACE 5
8-SCOTTISH DIAMOND 102.5
2-RATHOR 95.8
6-BALLISTIC HEAT 88.8
7-ENGINE SIXTY NINE 85.0

RACE 6
3-FREE LUNCH 77.2
8-NEVER 76.5
6-FEELING FABULOUS 73.7
7-ROUGH IDEA 72.6
1-TIZWHEN 71.4

RACE 7
2-WARREN'S APPEAL 80.8
6-MAMA ROSA 76.6
7-ASANTI 75.4
1-LUNCH MONEY 74.8
4-VICTORY DANCER 74.3

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
5-CARDIFF GIANT 67.0
8-GOLDEN BOY MARK 58.0
3-TIZBALASHI 52.6
9-LUCKS MINE 39.4

1st time starters - 10

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Wednesday, October 14, 2009

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-NINE TO DINE 69.8
2-ULTRA AWESOME 66.4
6-MAEVE 65.9
1-SWEET ALLIE MARIE 52.6

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
5-SAM'S SPECIAL 70.9
7-SOFIE S 56.6
4-BYE BYE HOLLYWOOD 56.5
6-HAYLEY'S HALO 53.0

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
2-PICO PICO 75.4
4-PURSE LUVA 67.0
5-MARCELLO 65.9
3-KILLER BEAR 61.1

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. goping 5 1/2 f.)
9-ACTION GAL 45.1
2-URA STAR 35.0
4-HYPER LASS 32.3
6-ZAG NATION 31.5
5-WARREN'S DECISION 30.8

1st time starters - 7, 8

RACE 5
8-STORM BRAVE 100.8
1-UFFIZI 97.1
7-RHETORICALLY 80.2
2-MINISTER BLAIR 80.2

RACE 6
9-JOSHUA'S DREAM 95.8
7-SOUVENIR SLEW 90.0
4-SAINT PAUL 88.1
3-SMOOTH AND SAVVY 86.9
10-FIERY TRIPPI 85.6

RACE 7
4-MONOLINGUAL 105.9
3-BLACK WOLF 101.8 (off Sept. 08)
6-SEA OF MARMARA 94.5 (off Oct. 08)
1-KORBAN 92.6
7-CORONET OF A BARON 85.0

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
9-UNBRIDLED BREW 39.4
3-ONE TO WATCH 32.3
5-WARREN'S HOT TIDE 22.5
7-SHEZA CARCHY 21.3
1-TONKA T. 17.4

1st time starters - 10, 6, 4, 2

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Tuesday, October 13, 2009

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way.

A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made.Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, October 12, 2009

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR MON.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-TALKTOOMUCH 84.4
3-SHEZA MANEATER 74.8
2-WONDEROUS EVENT 66.6
7-BRIGHT MOON 66.4
6-SAINT'S CROWN 66.1

RACE 2
6-PAT'S LEGACY 77.2
3-MORAL HAZARD 74.9
2-DEFENSE KING 72.0
1-SILENT TRICK 68.6
4-FORM A POSSE 67.5

RACE 3
2-WICKEDNWACKYINGRID 91.3
5-SWEETPEA 88.8
4-SMALL BUT MIGHTY 82.6 (off Nov. 08)
1-DEBATING SOCIETY 77.8

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
1-BRADIO STATION 46.1
9-STRIGHTTOMIDNIGHT 40.7
6-BOSTON BAKED BEAN 40.3
4-WARRENS TEMPTATION 33.4

RACE 5
4-ZARDANA 95.2
1-MEYDAN PRINCESS 94.5 (entry)
2-GENERAL CONSENSUS 88.8
1A-BAHAMA MAMA 88.8 (entry)
5-BEL AIR SIZZLE 85.6

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
3-BROTHER LOUIE 53.0
7-ONE LUCKY GUY 52.6
4-SPEARPOINT 44.9
1-SUITCASE SIMPSON 44.2

RACE 7
10-LADY ALEX 76.0
1-HALFAPONDAROSA 73.7
4-HOLLAND CREEK 73.7
8-JOINT AGREEMENT 68.1

RACE 8
4-ASHLEY'S KITTY 95.8
2-SUPERMODEL 91.9
6-FREE FLYING SOUL 91.9
3-GOLDEN DOC A 85.0

RACE 9
3-RAISE THE RIVER 84.4
9-AMAZOMBIE 78.4
1-ASHLEY'S CUTIE 72.0
5-CRAZY WAGER 68.1
11-PHILLY SLEW 64.3

1st time starters - 6, 2

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OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR MON.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: MONDAY'S PICKS WILL BE POSTED LATER IN THE MORNING.

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OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUN.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: SATURDAY IN THE TEN RACES, 5 TOP PICKS WON, 3 WERE 2ND, 1 WAS 3RD.

RACE 1
2-LEARN THE SPORT 74.3
1-PADDY'S MAGIC 66.4
7-BIG MIKIE M. 56.0
5-NANNI THE TEASER 55.5

RACE 2
4-DIFERENTKINDAGREAT 95.2
6-CAFE CON LECHE 81.4
5-BOX OFFICE STAR 78.4
1-BARNEY BASS 76.6
2-CHARLIE AND CHRIS 74.9

RACE 3
1-RUFFLED FEATHERS 77.2
9-SILVER HEAT 73.1
7-CALL ME DUTCHESS 69.8
10-TORREY CLIFFS 66.4
3-MOON RACER 65.1

RACE 4
6-DYNAMALT 84.4
10-COLLALTO 77.8
9-LUCIUS ANTONIUS 68.6
5-MARCADE 67.5
8-FLYING ON 67.2

RACE 5
6-MOBILIZED 93.4
7-CANYON DRIVE 90.0
1-WICKED MISCHIEF 88.2
2-VISCOUNT 86.3
5-RIVIERA COCKTAIL 85.6

RACE 6
3-GUMPTION 86.9
2-SABINA FAY 79.6
4-ELUSIVE ALLIE 70.3 (off Nov. 08)
8-SHE'S BORRACHO 68.1

1st time starters - 9

RACE 7
2-PRESIOUS PASSION 119.3
8-SPRING HOUSE 112.2
3-TIMES GONE BY 110.0
4-SIR DAVE 109.3

RACE 8
7-COST OF FREEDOM 127.5
4-RED ARROW 117.9
9-SUPREME SUMMIT 116.4
6-CROWN OF THORNS 113.6
5-GAYEGO 113.6

RACE 9
1-WILLOW O WISP 85.6
10-BOB BENOIT 83.8
11-NICCOLO DREAM 83.8
9-CAMISADO 79.6
7-FIGHT ON 77.8
5-ONE CHIN AGAIN77.2
3-DADSALITTLEUNUSUAL 76.6

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Saturday, October 10, 2009

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $78,530.

RACE 1 ( all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
2-INDIAN FIREWATER 88.1
3-PRIVILAGED 80.8
6-JOYFUL SUCCESS 80.8
7-COLOR OF COURAGE 77.2

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
9-WARREN'S JITTERBUG 80.2
6-DIXIE'S SANDALS 72.0
2-STAR OF SAPHIRE 74.2
7-HARISSA 65.9

1st time starters - 8, 12, 13

RACE 3
1-NOBLETY 94.5
2-PLASMA BEAM 93.2
3-WINE ON THE PORCH 91.3
6-NEW BAY 86.9

RACE 4
1-MAGICAL FANTASY 111.4
6-CHARMING LEGACY 106.6
4-BLACK MAMBA 105.9
7-VISIT 103.1

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
10-EXCELLENT NEWS 85.0
2-SHESOPROVOCATIVE 69.8
9-HIGH FIVE GAL 65.9
5-EVENING JEWEL 57.5 (off slow)

1st time starters - 4, 7, 1, 3

RACE 6
9-COWBOY CAL 118.6
4-GLOBAL HUNTER 110.7
7-MONTERY JAZZ 110.0
1-TIMES GONE BY 107.3
2-SKYRUSH 105.9

RACE 7
3-RICHARD'S KID 115.0
6-MONZANTE 114.3
4-COLONEL JOHN 112.9
7-PARADING 112.2
8-GITANO HERNANDO 110.3

RACE 8
5-ZENYATTA 119.3
4-LIFE IS SWEET 111.4
8-ANABAA'S CREATION 109.3
1-COCOA BEACH 105.9
6-LETHAL HEAT 103.1

RACE 9
5-CONCERTO'S THUNDER 91.9
11-STERKEL 91.9
7-ON FIRE 88.8
2-CASPIAN 87.5
10-HAMMURABI 86.3

RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
7-GET MY FIX 80.8
1-THE SKINNY MAN 76.6
8-BRADY BLUE EYES 66.4 (bumped @ start)
5-MR CHARLIE 63.8
2-KURO 59.6

1st time starters - 6, 9, 3

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Friday, October 09, 2009

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 miles)
2-MAGIC MAX 73.8
3-MR. SATURDAYNIGHT 69.2
4-SETSUKO 59.7
5-SUMMERS AT DELMAR 56.6

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
1-SEEUAT STICKNSTEIN 62.7
6-RAPTOR FORCE 58.0
3-COO CACHOO 52.6
4-SWEET TIGGER 48.8

RACE 3
9-QUE SERA SERA 65.4
4-SMOK'EM OVER 60.7
1-DANIELLA ROTH 60.6 (entry)
5-ANUNDENIABLYHAPPY 55.0

1st time starters - 10

RACE 4
6-VOODOO'S VISION 80.8
1-SINDYFROMSANTACRUZ 69.2
8-TWOFORMEONEFORYOU 67.0
2-RED ALARM 64.8

RACE 5
2-GULA GOLD 83.8
4-YASINISI 82.6
5-MY MALOOF ROCKER 81.4
6-DONA AMELIA 81.0

RACE 6
13-MSTY ALY 76.0
1-ROCKET KITTY 73.7
2-HEAVENLY N' FREE 72.0
10-COME BACK GIRL 70.9

RACE 7
2-MAST TRACK 107.3
9-NEKO BAY 105.9 (off Dec. 08)
1-DAKOTA PHONE 101.1
5-CIGAR MAN 100.4
8-EL GATO MALO 98.8

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
12-MUSICAL GRACE 59.0
4-DEPUTY JUDY R N 49.7
6-HURRICANE DAWN 47.4
7-OBVIOUS CHOICE 39.4

1st time starters - 10, 9, 3, 11

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Thursday, October 08, 2009

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURS.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $66,401.

RACE 1
2-LULLABYTIME 82.0
4-WOOD ART 74.9
5-LUPITA'SLUCKYANGEL 74.0
6-PALOMA'S FLIGHT 69.2

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
7-STRIKINGLY SINFUL 55.0
4-POKER TRICK 47.8
8-PEACOCK ALLIANCE 46.4
1-FAMILIAR SHINE 43.8

1st time starters - 5, 6, 2, 3

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
4-MISS HEATHER LEE 84.4
2-LAURA'S PLEASURE 71.4
3-ROMAN CHARITY 68.6
5-CITY TO CITY 60.1

RACE 4
9-MR. MONKEY JONES 97.7
7-HOCKEYTHEHAYMAN 93.2
4-THE BAT SIGNAL 85.1
1-SCORPION TIME 75.8
3-TUDOR BLUE 75.1

RACE 5
6-SUZIQCUTIE 82.6
11-BEWITCHING GEM 70.3
1-ZAINA 59.6
2-GIRL OF MINE 59.0

RACE 6
7-JUSTINCREDIBLE 77.2
5-CHURCH AVENUE 71.4
4-ELLIE L. 71.4
3-LIVING OUR DREAM 70.9
6-BLACK MAGIC MAMA 70.3

RACE 7
2-AROMATHERAPY 76.0
4-SCARLETT'S PLACE 74.9
10-FIRE N' BRIMSTONE 74.3
6-FREEDOM STAR 74.3

RACE 8
11-TEE OFF 74.6
4-BELLA BUBBLES 65.9
2-BIT OF A LADY 61.1
8-JET SET LASS 61.1
3-GINNY FITZ 58.0

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Wednesday, October 07, 2009

 

OAKTREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
1-EXTRA ENERGY 58.5
5-LINDA SURPRISE 52.6
3-JET BLUE GIRL 52.1 (off slow)
8-MISS CELEBRATION 48.8

1st time starters - 7, 2, 4

RACE 2
2-DATE WITH FATE 83.2
1-DOMINADORA 72.6
5-WOMAN WARRIOR 72.0
4-MALUSITA 70.3

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
7-BUYER'S REMORSE 61.1
8-CARDIFF GIANT 56.0
4-ZAGORA'S PRIDE 41.1
5-QUILLOTANO 31.9

1st time starters - 9, 6, 2, 3

RACE 4
8-MOHAKA 88.1
7-LEXLENOS 84.4
4-GOOD TIME SALLY 83.2
2-VICTORIA REEL 79.0

RACE 5
2-FOXY BAILEY 74.9
6-YODELADY O 70.3
3-DOUGHNUT 70.3
5-MISS DIXIE DANCER 64.3

RACE 6
7-GRAND CAPTAIN 91.3
9-BRING IT HOME 85.6
2-CANDY FOR PASEANA 80.2
4-CRUZ BLANCA 79.6

1st time starters - 5, 1, 12

RACE 7
2-BLACK BEAR ISLAND 101.8
4-MAN TO MAN 98.4
9-SARTORIAL 96.5
1-PLEASURE TO RIDE 93.2
5-MR. ROD 92.6

RACE 8
6-STEADY DEMAND 90.0
9-MIDWESTERNER 84.4
5-NO GRANDE 82.6
3-BILO 80.2
11-MY FRIEND LUIS 74.3

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Tuesday, October 06, 2009

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

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Monday, October 05, 2009

 

OAKTREE @ SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet to make money. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number -
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 11 times that I know of in over 1425 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Sunday, October 04, 2009

 

OAKTREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUN.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-SCHILL 86.9
8-LAUREN C 85.6
7-TAMERIN 82.6
5-BURNA DETTE 77.8

RACE 2
7-SOVEREIGN LORD 85.0
3-MEGILLAH 79.0
5-BRIAN THE BOLD 74.9
6-SHELTER ISLAND 70.9

RACE 3
7-TURKISH VICTORY 86.9
4-SOLEMN PROMISE 83.8
3-STORMY GAME 77.2
5-DORIPRIZE 75.8

RACE 4
2-MICHAEL'S ROSE 74.3
4-SILVER HEAT 72.6
5-GIRL OF PANGAEA 70.9
7-PLAYA BONITA 69.8
1-FIRST QUEEN 68.6

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
3-CRISIS OF SPIRIT 82.0
6-NEEKO 70.3
4-FAIR CHASE 68.6
8-INDIARA 65.9

1st time starters - 5, 9

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
7-PURE CLASS 88.1
1-ALWAYS A PRINCESS 81.9
8-SOFTLY SINGING 80.6
5-BLIND LUCK 80.0

RACE 7
4-SPIRIT OF COCHISE 102.3
7-TRAIL MIX 97.1
2-STRUCTURAL 91.3
9-DUSTIN THE TRACK 91.3
1-CATASTAIRE 91.2

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
2-LOOKIN AT LUCKY 91.3
10-DAVE IN DIXIE 88.2
4-LUCKY RAVE 85.8
1-STERLING OUTLOOK 82.5

RACE 9
11-LAUNCH THE BULL 88.8
1-ADEBAYOR 73.7
12-BRIAN THE BRAVE 68.6
6-JAMIESON 68.1
7-ESCAPING THE STORM 65.4

1st time starters 13

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Saturday, October 03, 2009

 

OAK TREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
7-SOUVENIR SLEW 88.8
3-AUTOCUE 77.0
4-DIRT DIVER 74.3
5-ONE SHOT 73.4

RACE 2
1-LADY RAILRIDER 99.8
5-HOT N' DUSTY 96.5
4-GAMBLER'S JUSTICE 88.8
2-SMOOTH PERFORMER 83.2
3-ALE'S PRIDE 65.9

RACE 3
1-YOU LIFT ME UP 100.4
3-CATSALOT 85.0
4-NOVATO 83.2
2-CENTURY PARK 77.2
5-ROLLERSKATES 68.1

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
2-MISS GEORGIE GIRL 85.0
6-WHISPERING HUSH 79.0
8-LA NEZ 76.0
3-CAMILLE C 74.3

RACE 5
2-YODELEN DAN 95.7
3-THE FIREBIRD 84.6
5-LOW GEAR POWER 81.6
6-GREEN CARD JAMES 79.0
4-EPIC POWER 77.8

RACE 6
3-GRAZEN 110.0
2-STAR NICHOLAS 105.2
4-LETHAL HEAT 101.8
1-BOLD CHIEFTAIN 100.4

RACE 7
7-FLASHOVER 95.8
6-BOOTLEG ANNIE 94.5
1-GOLDEN DOC A 88.8
9-STRAWBERRY TART 88.7
3-UNZIP ME 86.9

RACE 8
2-M ONE RIFLE 112.2
9-BIG BAD LEROYBROWN 99.8
3-DANCING IN SILKS 97.8
1-BAHAMA BREEZE 96.5
5-BONFANTE 95.8

RACE 9
6-UNUSUAL SUSPECT 101.1
8-DEWEY'S SPECIAL 97.1
3-ENRICHED 93.9
9-THE USUAL Q. T. 91.3
1-SKIMMETRY 90.7

RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
1-WARREN'S DOC GUS 80.8
8-TRIBAL FACE 74.9
3-REALLY UPTOWN 72.6
9-BENCH THE JUDGE 72.0
5-WOLF TAIL 68.1
7-RUNAWAY BANDIDO 64.8

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Friday, October 02, 2009

 

OAKTREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRI.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: OUT OF THE 8 RACES THURSDAY 4 OF MY TOP PICKS WON ($15.40, 12.00, 6.60, 3.40) 2 PICKS WERE 2ND ($6.00, 2.80) 1 PICK 3RD (2.40).

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $278,276.

RACE 1
8-THE WHAMMER 90.7
6-D C TAPIT 82.6
1-PROUD HILLBILLY 69.2
2-NOTES PRINCE 67.5

1st time starters - 4, 3

RACE 2
3-MONA DE MOMMA 93.2
5-LEMON SUPREME 93.2
2-SLEEP TIGHT 88.1
6-SEE N WIN 84.4

1st time starters - 4 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 3
9-OLYMPIO'S JEWEL 73.7
7-DON'T FORGET MUQ 71.4
3-WAAFI 71.4
2-FIERY REBEL 68.1

RACE 4
7-PRIZE PLAY 65.9
8-WARREN'S ALLSTAR 63.2
3-CEE'S CLOSING TIME 60.9
6-RINGOLEVIO 60.1

RACE 5
10-POKOMOKE 83.8
8-AWESOME FEAT 81.4 (off Dec. 08)
3-WELKEN 80.0
5-HOTROD KELLY 78.4
6-THAT'S HOT 78.4

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
1-VIA VERDE 72.0
7-MACIAS 63.8
6-OUR CRAZY MONKEY 62.7
8-CRAGMONT 61.1

1st time starters - 2, 5, 4

RACE 7
2-COATCHECK GIRL 84.4
5-THERE GOES GEE GEE 82.0
1-FOREVER MY LOVE 80.2
3-GRANDPA'S LEGACY 76.0

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
10-WORD ASSOCIATION 58.5
8-HEAVENS A RAGING 58.0
7-DUCK RIVER 53.0
13-BRIANNA MARIE 52.6
4-SATURN MOON 51.6

1st time starters - 11, 12, 9, 3

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Thursday, October 01, 2009

 

OAKTREE @ SANTA ANITA - FREE HORSE RACING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURS.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

TODAYS PICK SIX CARRYOVER IS $87,781.

RACE 1
5-SAINT CHOCOLATE 74.3
2-UNCLE JEEP 69.2
1-CATALINA FOG 65.9
3-RUN OVER YOU 62.7

RACE 2
6-COPA DE PLATA 96.5
4-YANKEE VISIONARY 94.5
1-STAND TALL 89.4
5-ENGINE SIXTY NINE 81.4

RACE 3
3-SUNNY PEACE 73.1
5-SOLDIER BETTY 67.5
4-OUR STORM 65.9
7-SAINT'S CROWN 61.1

RACE 4
4-YES IT'S A CAT 99.1
3-SOUPY 95.8
7-WILD DIPLOMAT 91.9
1-SURF TOWN 90.0

RACE 5
1-HOT SUMMER BREEZE 70.9
7-FLASH DANCE 63.2
6-DANIELLA ROTH 54.5
10-ABSTRACT FACT 48.8

1st time starters - 4

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-WINTER CAMP 85.6
8-RANGER HEARTLY 68.6
4-ETERNALLY FAST 60.1
3-AT THE FRONT 56.5
7-PURSE LUVA 56.0
6-GILLIGAN 56.0

RACE 7
5-EXQUISITE 91.3
7-APRIL PRIDE 89.4
1-PERICIA FINA 88.8
4-MALIBU ARTISTE 88.1

RACE 8
10-SKIM MILK 62.7
6-TRIBAL FIRE 62.7
5-SKY ACCOUNT 59.6
9-ANNIE'S LOADED 57.5
11-SEPTEMBER SOUL 50.6
3-FLASHY TRAVELER 50.6

1st time starters - 7

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