Monday, June 29, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK -SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number -
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 10 times that I know of in over 1335 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system.

I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Sunday, June 28, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $120,267.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
7-WOLF TAIL 50.2
5-ZEES ECHO 46.4
6-AWESOME SWISS 42.0
3-BERTRAN HILL 35.8

1st time starters - 1, 8, 2

RACE 2
2-KAYLIE'S JOY 67.5
5-BUBBLEY BLONDE 63.2
3-ULTRA AWESOME 62.2
4-AFLEET'S PICASSO 53.0

1st time starters - 1

RACE 3
4-SOUVENIR SLEW 88.8
3-COUSIN JOE 88.1
5-HIGH INVESTMENT 81.4
2-ATA BENCHMARK 80.2

RACE 4
4-JAMIESON 73.7
2-LETHAL DOSE 71.4
5-AL N CON 67.0
7-SCOFIELD BARRACKS 62.2

RACE 5
2-FOXY GAMES 88.1
6-SOVINE 85.7
4-MS. OLYMPIO 85.0
5-THAT'S HOT 78.4

RACE 6
4-SIMPLY PUT 74.3
1-RED WHITE AND BREW 74.3
8-BIT OF A LADY 69.8
6-SWEETERTHANTHEDAY 65.4

1st time starters - 3, 7

RACE 7
9-UNDERGROUND 111.4
3-DISH THE DIRT 92.6
1-SUPERMODEL 87.5
2-MOON DE FRENCH 83.2 (off Sept. 07)

RACE 8
3-BLACK MAMBA 101.8
2-TOQUE DE QUEDA 94.5
6-CHARMING LEGACY 94.5
5-RESTLESS SOUL 90.7

RACE 9
3-CRIMSON STAR 81.4
5-WATCH OVER ME 80.8
4-ANZIYAN'S SONG 77.8
2-JUSTINPLACE 76.6
9-NENE 72.0

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Saturday, June 27, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-TONTINE TOO 103.8 (off May 08)
4-HARALDO 93.2
5-LUHUK'S DANCER 89.4
3-NORTHERN SOLDIER 88.8

RACE 2
2-LIVING OUR DREAM 63.2 (off March 08)
4-GOAL GIRL MICHELE 57.0
7-JUICY LUCY 57.0
8-UNKNOWN HEAT 56.5

RACE 3
1-PEACE BY PEACE 76.0 (off Jan. 08)
3-ALL SET 72.0
7-CHANGE MY LUCK 70.9
6-THREAT 63.8
8-SAINT'S CROWN 63.8

RACE 4
8-ZENYATTA 126.8
7-ALLICANSAYIS WOW 100.4
5-MODIFICATION 88.8
4-HOT N' DUSTY 87.5

RACE 5
12-SWATH 71.4
11-MINNIE'S BOY 68.6
3-LEGEND OF MY OWN 67.5
2-WINTERSCORE 65.4

1st time starters - 4, 6, 10

RACE 6
2-DEE DEE'S LEGACY 93.2 (off Oct. 08)
5-TEAMWORK 86.9
6-CHARLIE AND CHRIS 78.4
4-NOW AND ZEN 78.4
7-DE CAR GUY 77.2

RACE 7
6-ALL THE LOVE 90.7
8-ELLE A GENT 82.0
2-GUTSY LADY 73.1 (off Nov. 08)
1-BELLA D'ORO 72.0

1st time starters - 11, 3, 5

RACE 8
4-STARTIN FRESH 86.3
3-WICKEDNWHACKYINGRID 85.0
8-KISS THE COOKE 79.0 (off Feb. 08)
5-PRINCESS SUSAN M 77.8
1-SALSA EXPRESS 76.6

RACE 9
3-AWESOME GEM 105.4
5-BECRUX 98.4
4-UNUSUAL SUSPECT 97.0
1-CRAFTY POWER 91.9

RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
13-CHATTY LULA 39.4
3-FISHIN WITH T BALL 35.0
9-ANN'S SEVEN 31.9
5-URA STAR 29.7

1st time starters - 1A (entry), 14, 8, 1 (entry), 4, 6, 11, 7,

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Friday, June 26, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-CALL ME DUTCHESS 68.6
6-IRRIDESCENT RED 64.8
5-IMFOREAL 61.6
4-SUBPOENA THE DRESS 45.5

1st time starters - 2, 1

RACE 2
4-DIXIE MAGIC 78.4
5-SNOW ON CHRISTMAS 70.3
7-MUD SWEAT 'N TEARS 70.3
2-IRISH EXPRESS 68.6

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
9-DAYLIGHT STORM 53.0
4-DANDY DANCER 46.4
8-ACTION CALL 27.9
7-SUITCASE SIMPSON 26.5

1st time starters - 10, 6, 5, 1A (entry), 2

RACE 4
8-OVERTIME VICTORY 81.4
5-SILENT TRICK 73.1
4-WINK AND NOD 70.9
3-FLATTER ME AGAIN 65.9
6-WHITE LACE JIMMY 65.3

RACE 5
1-NITRO ACTIVE 95.2
2-GHETTO 90.0
4-ITSNOTJUSTAGAME 82.6
3-HARLENE 80.2

RACE 6
5-CINNAMON DOVE 55.0
7-ATTA LORA 54.0
9-FALL FOREST 53.5
2-FOXY APPROVAL 51.1

RACE 7
7-SCHILL 90.7
6-CARMEL COFFEE 86.3
3-HEATHERSDADDYSBABY 83.2
4-FORTY DATES 82.0
2-COSMIC QUEEN 81.4

RACE 8
1-MOON OVER MALIBU 59.0
5-CHRISTY'S BULLET 55.5
4-AISLEBEBARBIE 49.2
3-LIL RED HOT 41.6
8-GHIGAU 37.0

1st time starters - 9, 10

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Thursday, June 25, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-DONA AMELIA 85.0
1-HAVENS LAKE 79.0
4-FREEBIEHADTHEMONES 74.3
5-KNEELING'S PRIDE 73.7
3-BROUGHT IT 72.0

RACE 2
4-HOT 'N LACEY 85.8
6-I SWEAR 78.7
3-SAINT CINDY 72.6
1-MOSCOW RISING 71.4

RACE 3
2-STORMY GAME 73.7
3-AREUTRUE 72.6
6-ONLY BE CAUSE 67.5
7-ELUSIVE CHIEF 66.4

RACE 4
6-HOT LITTLE BUG 65.4
4-MAEVE 62.7
1-GLOBAL INSPIRATION 56.0
9-NOT UNUSUAL 54.1
8-JET SET LASS 54.0

1st time starters - 2, 5

RACE 5
5-CURVEY STAR 73.7
2-STROPPY 73.1
1-NO CREAM OR SUGAR 67.5
3-HARD WOMAN 66.4
10-UP YOUR WAGER 65.9

RACE 6
9-EISENHEIM 73.7
7-LUNAR HUMOR 73.7
1-JUSTICE REIGNS 68.6
4-VALENTINE GIFT 67.3

1st time starters - 8, 2

RACE 7
1-UKIAH 98.4
5-DANCE CHIEF 91.3
9-INDY RIDE 85.0
4-J P JAMMER 84.4
10-THRUST 83.8 (off July 08)

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
1-SWISS LOVE 60.6
4-SATURN MOON 55.0
11-SIBERIAN HEART 52.6 (off slow)
7-GAMBLING POKERFACE 36.2 (off slow)

1st time starters - 8, 9, 3, 5, 6

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Wednesday, June 24, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

Ihope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Monday, June 22, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number -I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 9 times that I know of in over 1329 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system.I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, June 21, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
7-PARTY HARD 90.0
3-SHARPSVILLE 75.4
6-THE USUAL Q. T. 73.7
1-D C TAPIT 73.4

RACE 2
2-IF IT STAYS FAIR 92.8
8-HIGH STAKES SILVER 91.3
5-DISTINCTIVE AFLEET 88.8
6-STYLIN CAT 83.2
1-ONE SHOT 82.0

RACE 3
4-DEBATING SOCIETY 69.8
2-ALEX B. GOOD 69.2
6-DITTO THIS 69.0
3-INSPIRED STORM 65.6

RACE 4
4-BARODA COURT 77.8
5-FIRE BREAK 76.6
1-TOO MUCH HEAT 74.3
3-ISLAND RUN 69.2

RACE 5
4-MAUI MARK 105.2
6-RON BOB AND DAVE 104.5 (off July 08)
2-TOPPER SHOPPER 95.8
1-NOBLETY 93.9

RACE 6
14-QUALITY PLUS 72.0
2-BANGO 68.1
12-I WANT MY MONEY 63.8
13-BORN TO CUS 63.2

1st time starters - 7, 8, 4, 10

RACE 7
8-CARONA TIME 100.4
9-DEWEY'S SPECIAL 92.6
2-WOODLAND FLOOD 90.7
7-ANGUS 89.4
1-PEARL FISHER 88.8
4-NIMA'S PAD 88.1

1st time starters - 5 (in U.S.A. fgn.), 6

RACE 8
8-SATELLITE 93.9
2-COPA DE PLATA 90.0 (off Jan. 08)
6-KINGSFIELD 86.3 (off Oct. 08)
3-DRAFT CHOICE 81.4
5-HAJJI'S HONOR 80.8

RACE 9
1-MASSONE 88.1
5-HERR MOZART 86.9
6-ARDEN PARK 85.6
4-ELUSIVE BLUFF 84.4 (off Oct. 08)

RACE 10
5-ITLEE 68.6
6-NUMBER ONE EDITION 66.4
12-SPENAMILLIONBUX 63.2
14-MENDOTA BAY 59.0
4-SOVEREIGN LORD 58.8
15-PANDA 58.0

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Saturday, June 20, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-SANGAREE 100.4
5-CIGAR MAN 92.6
1-VESPUCCI 89.4
3-REFLECT TIMES 80.8

RACE 2
3-SISTER LUCY 66.4
13-SURE NICE 62.2
2-KAMI D B C 62.2
12-VERANDA CAFE 46.4 (off June 08)

1st time starters - 5, 10, 8, 15, 16

RACE 3
1-KILDERRY 95.2
3-TENT 94.5
4-MT. ORIENT 92.6
8-MR. WOLVERINE 90.0

RACE 4
4-BAD BOY 94.5
2-OWNERS MANUAL 92.6 (off Nov. 08)
5-SCOTTISH DIAMOND 91.3
1-MIDWESTERNER 88.8

RACE 5
8-DEVIL ON THE ROOF 83.2
7-KUMIVA 80.8
1-HOG'S HOLLOW 78.7
10-SAVU 74.3

RACE 6
1-UPPER MANHATTAN 77.2
4-NINE TO DINE 75.4
3-WADA FALLS 74.9
2-CALL ALY 61.6
8-LANIE'S WAY 61.1
5-SCILLY 61.1

RACE 7
4-PLASMA BEAM 93.9
5-PAYMENT APPROVED 87.5 (off Sept. 08)
2-VIZ ZAVATA 79.6
3-THE WHAMMER 75.4 (off Oct. 08)

1st time starters - 7, 8, 9, 6, 1

RACE 8
6-DON'T FORGET FAITH 90.0
1-MY MALOOF ROCKER 83.2
7-PERICIA FINA 82.0
3-KICKEN VIXEN 81.4

RACE 9
2-GRAZEN 97.8
1-MISREMEMBERED 92.6
4-QUINDICI MAN 90.0
3-CAPE TRUTH 85.0

RACE 10
11-ZIP QUIK 64.8 (start)
8-RANGER HEARTLEY 51.6 (start)
1-PADDY'S PRAYER 49.7 (entry)
1A-SUMMERS AT DELMAR 45.1 (entry)
5-SEATTLE RULER 43.8

1st time starters - 6, 3, 4, 10, 12

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Friday, June 19, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TONIGHT IS $522,957.

RACE 1
1-REBA IS TOPS 107.3
4-QUEEN OFTHE CATSLE 104.5
3-PORTO MARMAY 92.6
5-ROYAL TAAT 92.6

RACE 2
6-KAFFEINATOR 88.1
3-JOSHUA'S DREAM 82.6
9-ESPORTE DOS REIS 77.2
5-COUNTY TUNE 76.6

RACE 3
5-ROYAL FORTUNE 83.2
6-GUMPTION 78.4
2-SURPRISES WELCOMED 73.1
3-SHIKSA 71.4

1st time starters - 1, 7

RACE 4
7-BESTDRESSED 97.1
4-YANKEE VISIONARY 95.8
2-LANG FIELD 91.9
3-PRINCIPLE SECRET 91.3

RACE 5
1-PACIFIC HALO 78.4
7-FIERY REBEL 64.8
12-IZEMINE 62.7
9-STREETS OF HEAVEN 62.2

1st time starters - 10, 5

RACE 6
11-FOREST PHANTOM 96.5
2-HONOURAMONGFRIENDS 87.5
9-SCOTT'S SPIRIT 83.8
10-STAND TALL 82.6
7-ATA BENCHMARK 82.6

RACE 7
2-HIYA SILVER 95.8
1-POSITION A 88.1
6-SOGNATORE 87.5
7-HOVIG 82.6
3-FU PEG HE RAT 81.4

RACE 8
6-TRIBAL FIRE 59.0 (off Dec. 07)
2-KAY S 50.6
8-STORMY ANNA 39.9 (off July 08)
13-BE AN ANGEL 9.5

1st time starters - 3, 7, 5, 10, 12, 9, 1

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Thursday, June 18, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $125,415.

RACE 1
6-BALLISTIC SUE 75.4
1-MAGIC YODELER 73.1
5-GHOST SHADOW 51.1

1st time starters - 3, 2, 4, 7

RACE 2
3-BLACKBRIAR 77.8
1-WARREN'S TONY R. 77.2
6-POP'SHANDS ARE HOT 76.6
4-SAINT CHOCOLATE 69.2

1st time starters - 7

RACE 3
5-SMOOTH PERFORMER 97.8
2-LULLABYTIME 82.0
7-TIDAL DANCE 80.8
6-BIRDIE BIRDIE 80.6
4-GRACE ANATOMY 80.2

RACE 4
5-PRACTICAL MAGIC 80.8
7-AL N CON 70.3
8-PAPOOSE LA MOOSE 64.3
11-JACOB'S LITTLE BRO 62.71

1st time starters - 10, 2

RACE 5
8-HAMEILDAEME 85.0
5-PLAY NINE 80.8
6-DAILIES 80.8
4-FOREVER MY LOVE 80.2

RACE 6
1-SWEETPEA 87.5
9-SPACY TRACY 84.4
3-PEDO VIEJO 74.9
8-ASANTI 73.7

RACE 7
2-DELTA STORM 103.1 (off Dec. 08)
3-CHEROKEE HEAVEN 95.8
5-CANDY PULL 91.9
1-GET FUNKY 90.0
4-WILD DIPLOMAT 90.0

1st time starters - 6 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 8
7-ALL MONEY NO LOVE 81.4 (off May 08)
2-BASS RIVER 75.4
6-MAGNA CUM LAUDE 73.7
15-SENOR AFORTUNADO 72.0
10-SEVEN BELOW 69.8

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Wednesday, June 17, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

Ihope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Monday, June 15, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number -
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 9 times that I know of in over 1325 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system.

I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Sunday, June 14, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-FULL ON 88.1
7-HIS SISTERS MISTER 86.9
3-HE DID 86.9
1-RIBALD 80.8

RACE 2
1-BRILLIANT RESPONSE 65.4
5-HANNAH'S MOMENT 63.2
7-YOURNOWWHATILIKE 57.5 (off Nov. 07)
4-UNUSUAL TREAT 56.0

1st time starters - 11, 10

RACE 3
4-MONA DE MOMMA 90.7
5-SPUN SILVER 82.6
1-SEKMET 60.6 (off slow)
6-BREAD 'N WATER 57.5

1st time starters - 8, 3

RACE 4
7-INDIAN BLESSING 118.6
3-WAVELINE 99.8
4-FREE FLYING SOUL 99.1
5-SHE'S CHEEKY 94.5
8-COCO BELLE 93.9

RACE 5
8-TRAIL MIX 91.3
1-CARMAN 91.3
6-JUNGLE PRINCE 81.4
3-STORM BRAVE 76.0
7-TENSION MOUNTS 76.0

RACE 6
3-JUST CHARMED 88.1
2-BIG WAVE RIDER 85.0
10-CADEAUX DU MONDE 77.2
7-AFLEET BUD 75.4
6-STREET ROYALE 74.9

RACE 7
5-GOOD TIME SALLY 91.3
4-SUSAN'S WILDCAT 79.0
1-DREAMALONG 75.4
12-BOX OFFICE QUEEN 74.9

RACE 8
3-DEHERE AGAIN 105.2
6-GUNS ON THE TABLE 99.8
2-DEVOTED MAGIC 98.4
1-ITALIAN RULES 97.8

RACE 9
3-MAMA KNOWS BEST 90.0
5-STUNNINGLY 88.1
4-UNUSUAL SPIRIT 82.6
8-SUNNY PEACE 81.4

RACE 10
10-JUSTALITTLETIPSY 69.8
1-EXECUTIVE SWEET 64.3
3-FINE TIME TO LEAVE 64.3
4-SAINT'S CROWN 64.3
8-CRAZY TRICIA 63.8

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Saturday, June 13, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $83,719.

RACE 1
6-ALPINE YODEL 83.2
5-VICTORY DANCER 77.6
2-CATSALOT 76.6
1-WIN ALLISON WIN 73.7
4-VILLAGE LADY 73.1

RACE 2
2-SWEET LOVE 57.0
6-ZAINA 53.0
8-DIXIE DOT CHANCE 53.0
1-RETSINA CODE 49.7

RACE 3
1-OBRIGADO 97.8
3-PLUG ME IN 97.8
4-PORFIDO 97.1
2-LEESIDER 87.6
5-ZAPPA 84.4

RACE 4
1-TEAMWORK 80.8
4-STAR REDEEMER 69.2
6-ASHLEY'S CUTIE 66.4
2-JUICE COMMITTEE 64.8

1st time starters - 7, 3, 5

RACE 5
8-DIAMOND FURY 93.2 (off Feb. 08)
3-LEMON 89.4
4-SO BEHOLD 86.9
1-MI REY 86.9
6-CONCLAVE 84.4

RACE 6
3-DIGESTIVO 70.9
4-ATKA 67.0
5-CORACAO BEIJO 65.9
6-TWOFORMEONEFORYOU 64.0

RACE 7
4-GALLATIN'S RUN 76.6
8-ORIENT EMPEROR 72.5
2-SINGER ISLAND 70.9
6-MAYAPPLE COURT 70.0

1st time starters - 7

RACE 8
9-A LIL DUMAANI 105.2
3-LUKIMBI 105.2
1-SPIRIT OF COCHISE 99.1
4-RIVER ECHO 97.8

RACE 9
8-BALL FOUR 114.3
3-RAIL TRIP 111.4
11-DAKOTA PHONE 108.6
6-SONG OF NAVARONE 105.9
4-AITCHO 105.2

RACE 10
9-FLASH DANCE 64.3
2-XTRAORDINARY 63.2
4-LION PRINCESS 61.6
5-COATCHECK GIRL 59.6

1st time starters - 13, 11

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Friday, June 12, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-LUPITA'SLUCKYANGEL 88.1
3-JUSTICE IS BRIEF 83.8
5-PALOMA'S FLIGHT 75.4
4-ELLE PICKLE 74.3
1-MEAN HEAT 73.7

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS

RACE 3
1-ISIPINGO 98.4
6-FUNNY ME 93.1
2-SEMINOLE NATIVE 90.7
4-RUMBA ALONG 90.0

RACE 4
2-KENTUCKY OUTING 74.3
3-JU JU BABY 70.9
5-NO CREAM OR SUGAR 69.2
4-REMEMBER SEATTLE 64.3

RACE 5
6-TAHITIAN BLUFF 57.0
9-SKIM MILK 55.5
8-MICHELLE MARIE 54.5
5-PHOEBE'S TUNE 54.0

RACE 6
4-DEEP POCKETS 90.0
1-ANDWHATELSE 82.0
7-TROUBLETIMESTHREE 81.4
8-GOLDROAD 79.0

RACE 7
3-UNZIP ME 90.7
8-WIDE EYED VIEW 88.8
7-SUZIQCUTIE 83.8
6-GREY LASSIE 77.8

RACE 8
11-STREET OF HEAVEN 67.5 (off May 08)
6-MARCADE 63.2
9-VICTORY KNOCK 62.7
12-MORT ROBBINS 61.6
5-MANIFEST DESTINY 61.1

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Thursday, June 11, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-FLEET ROYALE 74.3
6-MAURESMO 73.7
1-DESERT SONG 63.8
5-MOON OVER MALIBU 62.2

RACE 2
1-OLD ED 95.8
4-DIXIE MEISTER 95.2
5-PISTOL PETE AFLEET 95.2
2-HEROI DO BAFRA 91.9

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.
NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS

RACE 4
5-THELMA ROSE 84.4
1-BAGELS N BONES 73.5
4-ASHLEE 65.9
2-SALTY SARRAH 61.6 (off Dec. 08)
6-STEAM IRON 61.1

RACE 5
6-DEL CONTE 86.9
3-TIGER BLITZ 86.4
7-METEORE 86.3
9-SANTAMONICACANYON 83.8
10-CLEISTHENES 83.8

RACE 6
1-JAYDEN'S HOPE 89.4
2-FORWARD COMMITMENT 81.4
4-TOP BIKER 74.9
3-HIDDEN TRAIL 67.0
5-HOLD FAST 67.0

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
3-SOUTHERN FIREBALL 97.1
5-WELL DESERVED 85.6
6-REPO 83.2
2-CHAMPAGNE D'ORO 76.0

1st time starters - 1

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
10-CHATTY LULA 37.4
9-SATURN MOON 36.6
11-BYE BYE HOLLYWOOD 30.8
7-MIREYA DIAZ 26.4
2-SAM'S SPECIAL 20.0

1st time starters - 5, 12, 1, 8

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Wednesday, June 10, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

Ihope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Monday, June 08, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts
-I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number -
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 9 times that I know of in over 1320 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system.I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, June 07, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
7-MIKEY BONES 81.4
1-CAPE DIVER 78.4
6-KALOOKAN YEAR 77.2
2-E BEE GIRL 76.6

RACE 2
7-DISH THE DIRT 92.6
5-ALE'S PRIDE 88.1
2-EVER SO PRETTY 86.9
8-QUEEN MARILES 83.2

RACE 3
4-WITCHY MEETING 94.5
3-INSPIRATION WITHIN 87.5
2-CRY AND CATCH ME 85.6 (off July 08)
1-PETITE CHERIE 80.8
5-G. I. BETTY 79.6

RACE 4
4-CROOKED SMILE 82.0
9-MISS LYDIA 68.1
1-THANKFULLY 67.0
6-PADDLIN MUD 58.0
3-SWEET YVETT 58.0 (off July 08)

RACE 5
6-OVERTIME VICTORY 84.0
5-LEAVETHEGATEOPEN 81.4
8-HAMMURABI 80.8
3-WINK AND NOD 75.9
1-HIHO GERONIMO 74.3

RACE 6
1-HOT N' DUSTY 91.3
5-RAIDING PARTY 86.9
4-STEP SOFTLY 86.3
6-BURG BERG 84.4

RACE 7
6-SOFT SHOE SHUFFLE 99.8
7-STORYBOOK 94.5
3-GENERAL CONSENSUS 93.9
5-SPINNING YARNS 93.2
4-PATRICIA'S GEM 92.6

RACE 8
3-CARLSBAD 102.5
2-LADY LUMBERJACK 93.2
6-EVITA ARGENTINA 84.4
5-WILL O WAY 82.0

RACE 9
12-PERSONALITY KID 67.0
8-JUST HEAT 63.2
6-MENDOTA BAY 61.1
10-SUN LIGHTINING 60.6
4-DRAKE LAKE 59.6

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Saturday, June 06, 2009

 

BELMONT STAKES - HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

BELMONT STAKES - BELMONT PARK
RACE 11
7-MINE THAT BIRD 121.5
2-DUNKIRK 120.1
6-CHARITABLE MAN 112.2
1-CHOCOLATE CANDY 107.9
3-MR. HOT STUFF 107.9
5-LUV GOV 106.6
8-FLYING PRIVATE 105.9
4-SUMMER BIRD 101.1
9-MINER'S ESCAPE 99.1
10-BRAVE VICTORY 98.4

HOLLYWOOD PARK

RACE 1
6-YODELEN DAN 88.8
5-JUSTINPLACE 82.0
7-NICCOLO DREAM 78.4
1-ONE SHOT 76.0

RACE 2
3-RECKLESS CAPOTE 60.6
2-ASTORIA RENTER 58.0
7-ASK GEORGE 57.0
12-RIO ROMEO 57.0

1st time starters - 4, 8

RACE 3
4-RAISE THE RIVER 104.5
5-THE USUAL Q. T. 74.3 (off Oct. 08)
7-DIXIE PASSION 71.4
2-DOHNSTER 70.9
1-FORT SUMTER 70.9

1st time starters - 3, 6

RACE 4
7-WARREN'S PEPE 92.6
6-RUSSIAN LIQUOR 91.3
4-STEADY DEMAND 85.6
5-VICTORY JOE 83.8

RACE 5
9-DEFENSE KING 75.4
10-TAVERN 69.2
11-SCOOPS EXPRESS 65.4
6-HITTIN THE JACKPOT 63.8
1-DEFYING LOGIC 63.8
3-DELAWARE DOE 63.8

RACE 6
5-GOTTA HAVE HER 105.9
7-TUSCAN EVENING 105.2
4-GORGEOUS GOOSE 102.5
9-BOOTLEG ANNIE 97.8
1-DAWN AFTER DAWN 97.1
3-CHARMING LEGACY 97.1

RACE 7
6-ONEFUNSONOFAGUN 82.6 (off Mar. 08)
5-THAT'S HOT 80.8
2-SOVINE 78.4
7-RECESS 74.6

RACE 8
1-NOBLE COURT 106.6
10-LIBERIAN FREIGHTER 105.9
7-PAUL'S HOPE 105.9
9-SIERRA SUNSET 102.5 (off Mar. 08)

RACE 9
2-MIDSHIPS 110.7
6-ARTISTE ROYAL 105.9
5-MADEO 104.5
4-GLOBETROTTER 97.8

RACE 10
6-JAMIESON 72.0 (off Mar. 08)
13-SOVEREIGN LORD 60.1
1-ATLANTIC VICTORY 54.0
7-DIRT DIVER 49.7

1st time starters - 5, 3, 12




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Friday, June 05, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: SATURDAY (JUNE 6) I WILL LIST THE FIGURES FOR THE "BELMONT STAKES" AND THE FULL HOLLYWOOD PARK CARD.

RACE 1
1-MUD SWEAT 'N TEARS 78.4
6-STANFORD DOLLY 76.6
2-CATCH CANDY 65.4
4-NUSCHKA'S DREAM 52.6
7-WHY WHYNOT 52.1

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
6-SWEET TIGGER 57.5
11-AWESOME SWISS 46.4
2-DEL MAR TRUCKEE 45.5
9-WOLF TAIL 42.4

1st time starters - 10, 3, 4, 5, 8, 1A (entry)

RACE 3
4-SHADOW OF ILLINOIS 94.5
3-CAYAMBE 90.7
1-ROI CHARMAT 86.9
5-WESTERN COMMENT 86.3

RACE 4
6-ATA HONOUR 51.1
3-AMPYS LIL GIRL 50.2
10-CELENA 47.8
2-ATTICUS WILDCAT 44.2

1st time starters - 5

RACE 5
1-ULTRA BLEND 97.0
6-STRAWBERRY TART 95.1
3-SILENT STALK 93.2
5-EMPRESSIVE LADY 84.5
8-OUI SAY OUI 84.4

RACE 6
8-LETHAL DOSE 66.4
4-PARTY MANDATE 63.2 (off Nov. 08)
6-LYON'S GROWL 44.6
1-RIVER DANCE JOY 37.8

1st time starters - 7, 5, 3

RACE 7
5-FIRE WOOD 99.1
4-MAN TO MAN 97.1
6-KRIS SILVER 94.5
2-ON FIRE 91.3
3-VICTORIAN PRINCE 90.7

RACE 8
2-CHRISTY'S BULLET 58.0
7-UNKNOWN HEAT 56.0
6-FALL FOREST 50.6
3-COURT BALLADO 49.2
4-CAPE MOONLIGHT 44.2
1-LIL RED HOT 43.8

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Thursday, June 04, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK -FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: SATURDAY (JUNE 6) I WILL LIST THE FIGURES FOR THE "BELMONT STAKES" AND THE FULL HOLLYWOOD PARK CARD.

RACE 1
5-RUFFLED FEATHERS 71.4
2-MAMA ROSA 69.2
3-BELL CANYON ROAD 68.1
7-HOT LITTLE BUG 67.5

RACE 2
2-SHE'S VERY RARE 69.8
1-MOON OVER MALIBU 58.5
4-CRYSTAL EMPIRE R N 50.6
7-ALPHABET CAT 49.7

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
7-TRACK N ATTACK 86.9
2-CLASSICAL SLEW 85.6
1-GRACE UPON GRACE 73.7 (entry)
3-RITZVILLE 71.4

1st time starters - 6

RACE 4
3-TRILLIANT 86.9
10-FLIP THE PENNY 86.9
4-SQUIRE TRELAWNY 85.6
9-WATCH OVER ME 83.2

RACE 5
7-SUIT YOURSELF 99.1
2-NITRO ACTIVE 90.7
6-UNBRIDLED STORY 86.9
5-BLACK KETTLE 85.6
8-HARLENE 85.6

RACE 6
11-IMADETHECASHCALL 67.5
10-SINDYFROMSANTACRUZ 57.0
5-JUICY LUCY 57.0
7-MAMA LOR 56.5

RACE 7
8-BOOTED 100.4
5-BUENOS DIAS 100.2
6-COLGAN'S CHIP 97.1
4-LEASE OF LIFE 95.8

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
9-CAMILLE C 63.2
12-SWISS LOVE 60.6
2-THREE FOR MARINO 55.5
11-MONA STORM 55.0
4-UNBRIDLED MEETING 52.6

1st time starters - 10, 1, 6, 8, 13, 5

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Wednesday, June 03, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

Ihope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Monday, June 01, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number -
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.Program number does not match horse's name-This has happened 9 times that I know of in over 1313 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system.I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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