Sunday, May 31, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: SATURDAY (JUNE 6) I WILL LIST THE FIGURES FOR THE "BELMONT STAKES" AND THE FULL HOLLYWOOD PARK CARD.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $124,071

RACE 1
3-EXCESSIVE BLEND 86.9 (off slow)
5-WOMAN WARRIOR 83.2
1-NORTH RODEO 82.6
2-WILD APART 77.8

RACE 2
7-IN DADDY'S HONOR 75.4
6-UP YOUR WAGER 70.3
3-STORMY RACER 69.2
2-UDRIGA 68.6

RACE 3
3-ANABAA'S CREATION 112.9
5-CAT BY THE TALE 101.1
4-HOT N' DUSTY 90.7
6-RAYMI COYA 86.9

RACE 4 (all 1st time 2 yo. starters going 5 f.)
NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS

RACE 5
4-CAVANAL 95.2
8-WOODLAND FLOOD 88.1
5-LIVING WORD 86.9
3-NIMA'S PAD 86.3

RACE 6
12-JOB BOSS 82.0
11-DOMESTIC BREW 65.9
8-WINTERSCORE 65.9
6-MORT ROBBINS 64.8
5-ITLEE 63.8

RACE 7
8-ACTING LADY 94.5
7-PRIDE DANCER 89.4
3-CANDILEJAS 86.9
9-WELL MONIED 85.6

RACE 8
2-UNIONIZE 88.1
6-HIDDEN BLESSING 84.4
5-MARGARITA SHOT 82.6
1A-D C TAPIT 76.0 (entry)

RACE 9
6-STORMY GAME 85.0
13-NO GRANDE 82.0
3-RAZOR CUT 81.4
5-SENOR AFORTUNADO 76.6
11-ELUSIVE CHIEF 75.4

1st time starters - 1, 4

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Saturday, May 30, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK -FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: SATURDAY (JUNE 6) I WILL LIST THE FIGURES FOR THE "BELMONT STAKES" AND THE FULL HOLLYWOOD PARK CARD.

RACE 1
8-REMEMBER SEATTLE 78.4
4-LIKELY A STAR 67.5
10-SNOW ON CHRISTMAS 66.4
7-FOOL'S PARADISE 63.9
3-CATCH CANDY 63.2

RACE 2
6-GRETSKY 77.2
2-HOG'S HOLLOW 76.6
8-JOKING SAM 71.4
9-BRIAN THE BRAVE 68.0
1-I. B. OUTTA HERE 68.0

1st time starters - 5

RACE 3
5-COASTAL SOUVENIR 82.6
7-BELONGS TO GOTHAM 79.0
3-MY MAN SUMO 75.4
1-ROCHELLE'S JIMMY 74.9

RACE 4
3-TRUMPET PLAYER JAY 92.6
2-SODA POP KID 90.7
6-KANAN DUME 88.1
1-YANKEE STATION 85.0

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
9-REALLY UPTOWN 73.7
4-ROMAN COUNSEL 69.8
2-STERLING OUTLOOK 57.5
7-SOUTHERN SAINT 35.0

1st time starters - 10, 8, 1, 6, 5, 3, 11

RACE 6
2-ATA BENCHMARK 87.5
3-CEE MISTER B 83.2
5-CRAIG'S STORM 82.6
9-BROTHER MAN 81.0
6-NYMEGEN PITA 80.8

RACE 7
7-SHEHADMEFROMHELLO 83.2
6-CHALULA ONE 82.0
1-STARLARKS 81.4
4-MISS SILVER BROOK 80.2

RACE 8
7-KALOOKAN EVENT 90.7
2-THE FIREBIRD 90.0
6-KAFFEINATOR 86.9
4-EL GREGO 84.4
1-COUNTY TUNE 83.8

RACE 9
4-DIAMOND DIVA 108.6
7-MAGICAL FANTASY 106.6
1-TUSCAN EVENING 105.9
10-BLACK MAMBA 105.2

RACE 10
12-PARKER'S STORMGIRL 60.1
14-SURE NICE 55.0 (off Sept. 08)
4-SHE'S A SINGLE 51.6
10-CRAFTY STARLIT 51.1
16-CELENA 50.2

1st time starters - 1, 11, 13, 5, 8, 9,

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Friday, May 29, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: SATURDAY (JUNE 6) I WILL LIST THE FIGURES FOR THE "BELMONT STAKES" AND THE FULL HOLLYWOOD PARK CARD.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
7-ANITA BREWSKI 46.9
1-DANDY DANCER 46.9
5-MR. COLLEN 37.8
6-EL RANCHERO 36.2

1st time starters - 2 (had 2f. race) 3, 8, 4

RACE 2
7-CAPE TOWN KING 95.2
6-GREEDY WAY 91.3
5-SOMETHING SONIC 86.9
3-SACRED MOUNTAIN 82.6

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
11-SATURN MOON 42.4
1-CHATTY LULA 42.0
3-DELTA MAGIC 41.1
9-SUCH FORTUNE 35.4

1st time starters - 7, 5, 2

RACE 4
7-DONA AMELIA 84.4
4-JEN'S NEW CHAPTER 82.5
3-PINDARIC 82.0
6-WOOD ART 80.8
5-CATO MAJOR 78.4

RACE 5
6-MAGGIE AND HOPIE 79.0
4-MOSCOW RISING 73.1
1-UPPER MANHATTAN 69.2
8-SLEWS COPY 68.1
9-MISS CHERRY 67.5

RACE 6
1-SINGITA 77.2
8-DEO FAVENTE 75.4
6-HOT 'N LACEY 73.7
5-SKY MARNI 73.1

RACE 7
5-ZENSATIONAL 101.8
8-BEST MON 95.8
6-THE FINAL ROAR 93.9
2-DARK AND DEEP 90.0
9-CANDY LION 86.9

RACE 8
11-LEAVIN IN A LIMO 75.4
7-MINNIE'S BOY 68.1
8-VICAR'S WALK 65.4
1-IZEMINE 63.8
15-DENIZEN 63.2

1st time starters - 9 14, 16

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Thursday, May 28, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

Ihope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, May 26, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number -
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 9 times that I know of in over 1307 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system.I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, May 25, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR MONDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX FOR TODAY IS $300,000. GUARANTEED.

RACE 1
6-GOOD TIME SALLY 90.0
3-STASH 83.8
8-RED WHITE AND BREW 77.8
4-SUSAN'S WILDCAT 77.2

1st time starters - 5, 2

RACE 2
3-LAVENDER TOUCH 82.0
1-JOINT AGREEMENT 77.8
4-CHIC CHICK 71.4
8-FINE TIME TO LEAVE 69.8

RACE 3
4-HIYA SILVER 87.5
1-PRESIDIO 54.0

1st time starters - 3, 2, 5, 6, 7

RACE 4
5-SCOTTISH DIAMOND 94.5
4-CORONEL MOLDES 88.8
1-CARMAN 88.8 (off Aug. 08)
6-MAROON 86.9

RACE 5
5-EL ADELANTADO 91.9 (off Nov. 08)
13-RAZOR CUT 81.4
11-OLDTOPHATANDTAILS 74.9
10-MAGNA CUM LAUDE 73.1

RACE 6
3-MY MALOOF ROCKER 85.0
2-PERICIA FINA 83.8
6-MIDNIGHT CRUSH 81.9
1-BURNA DETTE 81.3
8-KICKEN VIXEN 80.8

RACE 7
4-LUNCH TIME 91.9
11-HUNTER CREEK 87.4
2-SWIFT DEMAND 86.3
3-SELF INSURED 86.3

RACE 8
5-ELYSIUM FIELDS 102.5
4-FIERY TRIPPI 98.4
7-SANGAREE 97.8
1-HEROI DO BAFRA 95.8
8-CIGAR MAN 94.5

RACE 9
2-WHATSTHESCRIPT 117.2
4-VENTURA 115.0
1-HYPERBARIC 115.0
5-DIXIE CHATTER 110.7
3-STORM MILITARY 109.3

RACE 10
7-DOMESTIC GOLD 66.4
9-TRULY A DELIGHT 64.3
12-BANGO 61.6
8-ONLY BE CAUSE 61.1

1st time starters - 14, 13, 2, 4, 11

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Sunday, May 24, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-MISREMEMBERED 97.1
3-DOVER STREET ART 91.3
4-J P JAMMER 89.4
1-XODO 86.3

RACE 2
6-ADEBAYOR 90.7
4-PARTY HARD 83.2
2-MAGNIFIC 72.6
5-INDY RIDE 72.0

RACE 3
1A-SUPERMODEL 83.2 (entry)
3-RISING HONOUR 76.0 (off Aug. 08)
1-HARD EIGHT 59.6 (entry)

1st time starters - 5, 2, 6, 4, 7

RACE 4
1-BULLYA 86.3
5-NICCOLO DREAM 83.2
7-RAISE THE HEAT 80.8
9-ESPORTE DOS REIS 79.6
2-NO THINKIN ALLOWED 79.6

RACE 5
9-JUST CHARMED 90.0
8-STREET ROYALE 85.0
4-TURKISH VICTORY 81.4
1-CONCERTO'S THUNDER 79.6
5-CAMO 79.0

RACE 6
6-OUR MAN LUKE 70.3
1-NUMBER ONE EDITION 70.3
7-PAT'S LEGACY 69.8
9-PRINCE NOVETTI 64.8
2-KICKIN CAPER 64.8

RACE 7
2-MONTERY JAZZ 94.5
1-BECRUX 91.3
6-EL MERITO 86.9
4-WORLDLY 84.4

RACE 8
4-ZENSATIONAL 97.1
2-CANONIZE 95.8
1-QUINDICI MAN 91.3
5-CHARLIE'S MOMENT 90.7

RACE 9
6-BLACKBRIAR 77.2
9-POP'SHANDS ARE HOT 76.6
11-MY T QUICK 74.9
4-CRAZY WAGER 70.9
8-PAPOOSE LA MOOSE 62.2

1st time starters - 2

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Saturday, May 23, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-ASANTI 69.8
9-GOLD IMAGE 68.1
4-SHE'S VERY RARE 58.5 (off slow)
2-KANT CATCH THE KAT 46.9

1st time starters - 8, 5, 7

RACE 2
8-AFLEET BUD 81.4
6-PUSH SEND 79.0
5-JAN'S RULING ANGEL 77.8
1-OVERTIME VICTORY 70.3

RACE 3
4-GRAZEN 101.6
5-PHANTOM WILDCAT 93.9
1-UKIAH 85.7
2-SMOOTH AND SAVY 82.5
3-DESERT EAGLE 65.9

RACE 4
8-RAINGEAR 101.1
3-CARDINAL ZIN 92.6
1-MOSSAD 91.3
6-SOGNATORE 90.0

RACE 5
10-FLASH DANCE 66.4
4-BRILLIANT RESPONSE 65.4 (off Aug. 08)
1-EXTENDED 62.2 (off June 08)
3-SAMANTHA ROCKS 52.6

1st time starters - 2, 6, 7, 8, 9

RACE 6
13-KILDERRY 97.1
7-BAD BOY 95.8
11-CAPT. SPARROW 95.0
2-TENT 89.4
3-SCOTT'S SPIRIT 88.8

RACE 7
4-GOT FREE 93.2
2-YANKEE VISIONARY 89.4
6-MIDWESTERNER 88.1
3-VALIANT EFFORT 85.6
5-FUNNY ME 85.5
1-NIKKI'SGOLDENSTEED 85.0

RACE 8
9-ZENYATTA 124.5 (off Oct. 08)
7-LIFE IS SWEET 112.9
5-CHAMPAGNE EYES 90.0
4-DAWN AFTER DAWN 88.2

RACE 9
1-STORM THE CHURCH 76.6
6-DREAMALONG 73.7
5-LANAL 70.3 (off Nov. 08)
7-FIRST GRADE 66.4
8-PRINCESS WINDSHARP 65.9

1st time starters - 2, 3

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Friday, May 22, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-COSMIC QUEEN 83.8
5-NINE TO DINE 74.3
3-MULTITASKER 70.9
2-STEAM IRON 69.2

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS

RACE 3
3-ALL SET 82.6
9-THREAT 75.4
2-BACKSTROKE 74.3
1-RAPID GOOSE 58.5
5-LOVELY OLIVIA 58.0

RACE 4
7-HE DID 83.2
9-WARREN'S TONY R. 71.4
2-PHILLY SLEW 68.6
1-PRACTICAL MAGIC 64.3

1st time starters - 3, 4, 6

RACE 5
1-ROYAL HEARLDRY 93.2
2-HOT N' DUSTY 90.2
6-WOOD ART 88.8
4-LULLABYTIME 84.4

RACE 6
1-VOODOO'S VISION 68.6
2-CRAZY TRICIA 63.8
6-THERE GOES GEE GEE 60.1
9-DONA MARY 59.6

RACE 7
8-MY CITY BY THE BAY 97.8
2-WINE ON THE PORCH 95.2
4-TOPPER SHOPPER 95.2
5-TYCOON DOBY 92.6 (off Aug. 08)

RACE 8
5-YOUKNOWWHATILIKE 68.6
1-JUSTALITTLETIPSY 59.0
10-COATCHECK GIRL 58.5
3-BUDDHA'S DREAM 49.2
4-WEAREHAVING FUNYET 49.2

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Thursday, May 21, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
8-DUBAI RAINBOW 80.8
6-GOODLOOKINDUDE 76.0
5-EISENHEIM 73.7
4-BEN'S BULLET 68.1

1st time starters - 2, 1

RACE 2
5-GET FUNKY 105.9 (off Oct. 08)
1-EUROGLIDE 100.4
4-BAHAMA BREEZE 98.3 (off Dec. 08)
2-SKY CAPE 93.2
3-SEA OF PLEASURE 93.2

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS

RACE 4
4-PHELPS STREET 73.1
6-SOUTH OF FRANCE 68.1
2-INDOMITABLE 67.0
1-SO PINK 66.4

RACE 5
4-WELKEN 91.9
3-JUSTICE IS BRIEF 83.8
8-WONDEROUS EVENT 79.0
10-JANZIG MOON 77.8
2-RECESS 77.8
11-YASINISI 77.8
1-DITTO THIS 77.8

RACE 6
8-RUNNING AFTER BOYS 76.6
5-IMFOREAL 72.0
1-LIT BY LIGHTNING 58.1
7-FAVOLOSO 55.3

1st time starters - 9, 6, 3

RACE 7
3-UNWORLDLY HEAT 97.0
11-PROFITABILITY 89.4
9-LINDA LOU 88.8
7-SCHILL 86.6

1st time starters - 1, (in U. S.A. -fgn.), 2 (in U.S.A. fgn.)

RACE 8
1-GREEDY WAY 91.9
3-MI REY 88.1
7-FOREST DANZ 87.5
10-TRILLIANT 86.3
6-SATELLITE 86.3

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Wednesday, May 20, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 29 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

Ihope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Monday, May 18, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number -
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 9 times that I know of in over 1301 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system.I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, May 17, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-ON FIRE 87.5
5-THE FIREBIRD 84.4
1-HARLENE 78.2
2-PLUGINTHEJUG 74.9

RACE 2
6-JUSTINPLACE 80.6
3-MY FRIEND LUIS 80.2
4-AREUTRUE 79.6
1-OCEANOGRAPHY 76.0

RACE 3
4-LIFE BY R R 72.6
1-VIKKILEE 70.9
3-DIGESTIVO 69.8
2-PLAY NINE 66.4
5-DAYLUMNEY 64.6 (off Oct. 08)

RACE 4
6-STAR REDEEMER 72.6
1-TACTFUL 68.6 (off Sept. 08 - entry)
3-TURBO ENERGY 67.0
4-PREMIERE FLYER 48.1

1st time starters - 5, 1A, 2

RACE 5
2-PAT THE COOL CAT 91.3
3-DOTSY JEAN 83.8
6-SUNNY PEACE 82.0
4-LA SWING 74.9 (off Jan. 08)

RACE 6
7-MAGICAL VICTORY 88.8 (off May 08)
2-DONTTELLMEWHATTODO 87.5
5-TIDAL DANCE 82.0 (off Nov. 08)
4-RULE THE STORM 80.8

RACE 7
5-DAILIES 80.2
4-SPANISH ICE 78.4
7-DOUGHNUT 70.9
2-ENTABENI 70.9

RACE 8
5-CHURCH SERVICE 108.6
7-STREAM CAT 102.5
3-ISIPINGO 95.2
1-KIZZY'S CHAOS 92.6

RACE 9
8-SO HOTTIE 82.0
5-MICHELLE MARIE 56.0
3-KRISTEN'S LIL LADY 49.2
2-RIO'SFAVORITEONE 34.6

1st time starters - 1, 7, 4

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Saturday, May 16, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK & PIMLICO PREAKNESS - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

PIMLICO PREAKNESS-
RACE 12

13-RACHEL ALEXANDRA 120.8
5-FRIESAN FIRE 117.2
1-BIG DRAMA 116.8
7-PAPA CLEM 110.7
3-MUSKET MAN 110.0
9-PIONEEROF THE NILE 109.3
11-TAKE THE POINTS 106.6
2-MINE THAT BIRD 103.8
10-FLYING PRIVATE 101.8
8-GENERAL QUARTERS 97.1
6-TERRAIN 96.5
4-LUV GOV 93.2
12-TONE IT DOWN 91.9

HOLLYWOOD PARK- FULL CARD

RACE 1
5-STANFORD DOLLY 79.6
1-CAPE DIVER 76.0
3-OUR STORM 73.7
4-E BEE GIRL 71.4

RACE 2
6-SKY VICTOR 85.6 (off Aug. 08)
4-FABULOUS FORM 83.2
5-AL N CON 80.2
2-VALENTINE GIFT 77.8

1st time starters - 7

RACE 3
4-JOE CARL 74.9
6-FLATTER ME AGAIN 72.6
1-WINK AND NOD 70.9
3-MICKEY ROCKS 69.2
5-WOLFGANG 68.1

RACE 4
1A-GUMPTION 64.8 (entry)

1st time starters - 6, 5, 1(entry), 4, 7, 3, 2

RACE 5
4-BESTDRESSED 96.5
7-A LIL DUMAANI 95.8
2-LUKIMBI 95.2 (off Aug. 08)
5-DEVOTED MAGIC 94.5

RACE 6
3-HEATHERSDADDYSBABY 93.2
1-MISSION VIEJO HALO 89.4
5-EXPENSIVE ART 88.1
2-SILENT STALK 87.5

RACE 7
2-FLEW FIRST CLASS 74.9
1-CURVEY STAR 74.1
5-SAINT'S CROWN 68.6
8-THANKFULLY 62.2

RACE 8
5-WARREN'S PEPE 91.9
4-SPIRIT OF COCHISE 89.4
7-DOLRDOLRBILLYALL 85.0
6-SIDEPOCKET LOU 82.0

RACE 9
5-SOUL CITY SLEW 105.2
8-PAUL'S HOPE 100.4
3-SIREN LURE 98.4
2-RED ARROW 97.8
7-NORTHERN SOLDIER 97.5

1st time starters - 6 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 10
11-NIGER RIVER 77.2
7-JUDGE KENT 65.9
10-MARCADE 62.3
9-WHIZER 60.6
1-SUNDAY PAPER 58.0

1st time starters - 12, 6, 4, 13



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Friday, May 15, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-FLEET ROYALE 75.4
2-IDONTBELIEVEMYEYES 75.4
6-SHE'S BORRACHO 72.0
1-SWEETERTHANTHEDAY 61.1

RACE 2
7-A DUBAI 81.3
2-MISTER FIPS 77.2
6-SAILBOAT SAM 76.6
8-DRAFT CHOICE 70.9

RACE 3
4-SOMETHING SONIC 91.9
8-I AM MADISON'S 85.0
1-WATCH OVER ME 79.6
9-WARRENS FLYIN HIGH 76.6

RACE 4
6-VILLAGE LADY 64.8
1-SWEET LOVE 57.5 (off May 07)
7-JUSTALITTLETIPSY 55.0
8-MOON OVER MALIBU 52.1

1st time starters - 4

RACE 5
10-SOUVENIR SLEW 93.9
1-CRAFTY POWER 91.3
4-CEE BARGARA 88.1
5-EL GREGO 88.1

RACE 6
1-NO PRODIGAL 90.7
4-PUBLIC IMAGE 77.8 (off Sept. 08)
8-NO SWEAT 76.6
7-LITTLE BRO 75.4

RACE 7
7-QUEEN OFTHE CATSLE 105.9
1-EVERLASTING BEAUTY 104.5
3-REBA IS TOPS 96.5
5-PORTO MARMAY 88.8

RACE 8
7-DRAKE LAKE 71.4
6-BARNEY BASS 64.8
8-MR SMOOTH OPERATOR 63.2 (off June 07)
3-ASTORIA RENTER 61.1
5-FOREST SUNRISE 60.1 (off June 08)
9-OL'DOGTOWN 60.1

1st time starters - 2, 12, 15

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Thursday, May 14, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $74,849.

RACE 1
5-CADEAUX DU MONDE 83.2
1-TROUBLETIMESTHREE 77.8
6-HIS SISTERS MISTER 76.0
4-GREEN CARD JAMES 75.4

RACE 2
5-USURP 110.0
2-DAVOS 106.6
1-HARD BILL 100.4
4-BIG BAD LEROYBROWN 85.6

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS

RACE 4
3-KENTUCKY OUTING 75.4
4-BELLY BUTTON DAWN 74.3
2-RENEES BEAUTY 73.1
1-ANN'S PLAN 72.6

RACE 5
8-KAMI D B C 61.1
2-COURT BALLADO 56.0
6-JUDGE IN THE WEST 55.0
1-LADY BRADBURY 53.5

1st time starters - 5

RACE 6
6-CATALINA FOG 79.0
1-TAVERN 73.1
2-DEFYING LOGIC 73.1
8-DAY WITH DESI 71.4

RACE 7
2-WYNNING RIDE 93.2 (off Dec 08)
7-LADY LUMBERJACK 90.0
1-ANDALACIA 85.6 (off Nov. 08)
6-BELTENE 82.0

RACE 8
10-ELLIE L. 64.8
1-HOT 'N LACEY 62.2
3-UNKNOWN HEAT 60.1
13-DO THE UNUSUAL 59.6
4-DIXIE DOT CHANCE 57.5

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Wednesday, May 13, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS

RACE 2
2-MUD SWEAT 'N TEARS 78.4
3-FOOL'S PARADISE 72.6
5-MIKEY BONES 71.4 (off Aug. 08)
4-RED NECK GAL 69.8

RACE 3
2-PISTOL PETE AFLEET 92.6
6-MOSTACOLLI MORT 88.1
7-SENSATIONAL SCORE 87.5
4-ON FIRE 78.4
1-SIR BELL 78.4

RACE 4
7-GOLD GODDESS 90.0
2-ON APPROVAL 87.5
3-OUI SAY OUI 85.0
4-FASTONGRASS 81.4

RACE 5
1A-UNZIP ME 90.0 (off Aug. 08)
5-THELMA ROSE 80.8
1-MONKEY FACE 80.8 (entry)
3-SUZIQCUTIE 80.8
9-FREEBIEHADTHEMOVES 77.2

RACE 6
3-KAPTAIN KORDOUGH 86.3
7-CHARLIE AND CHRIS 82.0
8-DENIZEN 72.0 (off slow)
4-MOUNTAIN GUIDE 63.2

1st time starters - 1, 10, 9

RACE 7
3-SMOKEY LONESOME 91.9
2-MARK S THE COOLER 91.3
5-SANTAMONICACANYON 90.7
6-LUCKIEST MAN 86.4
1-BACK AT YOU 86.3

RACE 8
9-MORT ROBBINS 67.5
3-BENJY'S PRIDE 61.6
7-OH HOW NICE 58.5
5-SUN LIGHTNING 56.6
8-PIERRE'S FAVOR 56.5

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Tuesday, May 12, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 28 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

Ihope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, May 11, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number -
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 9 times that I know of in over 1294 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system.

I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, May 10, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-PHELPS STREET 83.2
5-QUEEN MARILES 82.6
2-PAST CURFEW 75.4
4-CALL ALY 67.0
3-WARREN'S DEVONLANE 60.6

RACE 2
5-HIHO GERONIMO 77.0
2-UNBRIDLED STORY 76.6
1-POKER DAVE 70.9
3-FRISKY RICKY 69.8
4-CUT THE CHECK 68.6

RACE 3
6-SOMETHING SONIC 88.8
1-PRINCE ATLANTIS 85.0
2-NO GRANDE 85.0
5-MAKE MINE VODKA 83.8

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS

RACE 5
1-TUSCAN EVENING 98.8
4-STORYBOOK 95.2
6-SOFT SHOE SHUFFLE 89.1
5-MEYDAN PRINCESS 88.8

RACE 6
11-SPACY TRACY 83.8
7-MAD FOR PLAID 66.4
10-TAHITIAN BLUFF 64.5
12-CAPE MOONLIGHT 62.7

1st time starters - 5, 4, 1, 15, 9

RACE 7
6-PRIVALOVA 93.2
8-BOX OFFICE QUEEN 78.4
4-SNOWFLAKE OBSIDIAN 74.3
3-MADELINE RUBY 65.9

RACE 8
3-CARLSBAD 104.5
8-WITTY 102.5
5-ULTRA BLEND 101.8
6-STRAWBERRY TART 95.2

RACE 9
6-GIRL OF MINE 56.0
9-GRIBELLA 52.6 (off Sept. 08)
4-AMPYS LIL GIRL 46.4
14-CEE'S HARMONY 45.1 (off June 08)
2-AISLEBEBARBIE 42.4

1st time starters - 3

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Saturday, May 09, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-ASIAN EYES 78.4
1-BLAME THE WINE 78.4
3-UDRIGA 67.5
6-LIKELY A STAR 63.8

RACE 2
5-MEGAHOLTZ 87.5
1-SPEIGHT THE HALO 85.6
6-DOHNSTER 73.7
4-ARCODORO 59.6

1st time starters - 2

RACE 3
1-KILDERRY 95.2
2-CAYAMBE91.3
6-SHADOW OF ILLINOIS 91.3
5-MOTH BALL 85.6


RACE 4
4-SWEETPEA 83.2
7-SINDYFROMSANTACRUZ 69.2
5-LION PRINCESS 60.6
8-GUIDED WAVE 58.0

1st time starters - 3

RACE 5
1-CAMISADO 88.8
7-YODELEN DAN 85.7
9-DISTINCTIVE AFLEET 85.6
3-FILM FORTUNE 83.2

RACE 6
9-DEEP POCKETS 92.6
12-DELUXE CAT 87.5
10-TURKISH VICTORY 86.9
6-HIS BOY ELROY 83.2

RACE 7
5-WILD DIPLOMAT 97.8
6-VICTORY PETE 93.9
1-LOCKFORD 88.8
4-SHORE DO 79.0

RACE 8
4-RAIL TRIP 108.6
6-AGGIE ENGINEER 107.3
3-BALL FOUR 103.8
1-DAKOTA PHONE 101.1

RACE 9
8-EGYPT 80.8
4-INDY RIDE 77.6
6-HIDDEN TRAIL 77.2
2-CASPIAN 76.6
1-BLASTERMAN 76.6
7-HOLLADAY ROAD 76.0

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Friday, May 08, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK -FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TONIGHT IS $68,563.

RACE 1
5-MORE THAN CLASS 82.6
1A-DEFENSE KING 79.6
6-WHITE LACE JIMMY 71.4
4-LET'SPICKUPTHEPACE 70.9

RACE 2
2-ENRICHED 74.6
7-UNION SOLDIER 73.7
5-ROUGH IDEA 64.8
3-VICTORY KNOCK 61.4
4-CONGAREE PARK 60.1

RACE 3
2-LEAVETHEGATEOPEN 84.4
8-THE BAT SIGNAL 81.4
3-LORDGIVEMEALIFT 80.8
5-MAJESTIC RUN 72.0

RACE 4
3-HUNTER CREEK 88.8
1-FANTASY FREE 86.3
5-SKIPPY DUE 84.4
2-ROYAL SEAL 82.6
4-SOLO PERFORMANCE 82.0

RACE 5
8-IMADETHECASHCALL 72.6
6-CATSALOT 66.7
5-MAMA ROSA 63.6
2-HOT LITTLE BUG 63.1
4-RUFFLED FEATHERS 62.7

RACE 6
4-CRAIG'S STORM 85.6
3-RAZOR CUT 82.0
9-CAJUN CORREDOR 76.4
6-BIG WAVE RIDER 72.0
8-CARIBBEAN'S COMIC 72.0

RACE 7
3-CARONA TIME 101.8
2-MR. BIG 96.3 (off Aug. 07)
6-WOODLAND FLOOD 93.2
5-CAVANAL 91.3

RACE 8
1-LEAVIN IN A LIMO 77.8
9-DIRT DIVER 69.8
11-TOTAL SUM 65.4
10-MARQUET REBEL 58.0
2-BRADYTOMOSS 56.5

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Thursday, May 07, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS

RACE 2
2-AINAMAA 96.5
3-CAT BY THE TAIL 94.5
1-PERSIAN EXPRESS 86.3
4-SKY MYSTIC 82.6

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS

RACE 4
4-UNCLE JEEP 75.4
5-FORM A POSSE 72.0
3-TOPANGA LOVE 68.1
6-E STREET FEDERICI 65.9

RACE 5
5-WHARF CAT 86.9
7-FORWARD COMMITMENT 81.4 (off July 07)
2-SCIBELLI 78.9
1-DOMESTIC GOLD 66.4
3-UNUSUAL SOUL 63.8

RACE 6
4-FOREVER MY LOVE 79.6
5-SINGITA 73.7
2-BACKSTROKE 73.7
3-DEO FAVENTE 69.2

RACE 7
2-FOXY DANSEUR 102.5
4-SHE'S CHEEKY 92.6
3-GOLDEN DOC A 88.1
5-ASHLEY'S KITTY 88.1 (off June 08)
6-COCO BELLE 87.5

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS

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Wednesday, May 06, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
7-LUNAR HUMOR 73.7
1-DIXIE PASSION 73.1
5-DARK AND DEEP 60.1 (off June 08)
3-RIVER DANCE JOY 31.9 (off Nov. 08)

1st time starters - 4, 2

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS

RACE 3
6-KALOOKAN YEAR 79.6
5-PINDARIC 76.6
7-KNEELING'S PRIDE 76.6
2-SUMMERTIME 73.1
4-BROUGHT IT 72.0

RACE 4
5-MY FRIEND LUIS 83.2
3-QUITYERBELLYACHING 76.0
1-NYMEGEN PITA 76.0
6-BROTHER MAN 74.3
4-MISTER FIPS 74.0

RACE 5
2-WELKEN 83.8
7-LUPITA'SLUCKYANGEL 80.2
5-JUSTICE IS BRIEF 79.6
8-JEN'S NEW CHAPTER 78.8

RACE 6
4-EXCEEDING 88.8
9-POWER SHIFT 85.6 (off Aug. 08)
7-DORIPRIZE 81.9
8-BALLISTIC HEAT 80.8

RACE 7
7-SUIT YOURSELF 97.1
4-DEWEY'S SPECIAL 93.2 (off April 08)
3-NITRO ACTIVE 92.6
5-MOONLIT HABIT 90.0

RACE 8
8-MOTORMAN 70.3 (off Dec. 07)
5-BLACK KETTLE 69.8 (off slow)
4-LEATHAL DOSE 65.9
6-RIO ROMEO 64.3

1st time starters - 9, 1, 7

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Tuesday, May 05, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 28 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

Ihope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Monday, May 04, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number -
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 9 times that I know of in over 1290 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system.

I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Saturday, May 02, 2009

 

CHURCHILL DOWNS - FREE PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

TODAYS PICK SIX CARRYOVER IS $137,981.

RACE 1
3-RAPOSA 79.0
1-MOTHER RUTH 74.3
5-BRITANNIA ROSE 38.2

1st time starters - 4, 8, 6, 7, 2

RACE 2
3-HEAVENLY CHORUS 95.2
7-MAJOR PLEASURE 89.4
4-RILEY TUCKER 88.1
2-BY SPOT 84.9

RACE 3
2-EAGLE POISE 85.6
7-GOLD BREW 84.4
4-OROGENIC 84.4
8-GOLD SCHLEIGER 74.6

1st time starters - 3

RACE 4
1-NORTHERN PRINCE 91.3
8-MAGENTA LIGHT 86.9
3-GLENWOOD CANYON 84.4
2-A. U. MINER 80.2
5-ZIEGFELD 79.0

RACE 5
4-ARTIC CRY 114.3
9-HOLD THE SALT 104.5 (off Oct. 08)
2-DESERT WHEAT 99.8
1-WHY TONTO 99.1
7-PICK SIX 99.1

RACE 6
3-KODIAK KOWBOY 115.0
9-SOK SOK 106.6
6-ACCREDIT 103.1
1-MY PAL CHARLIE 98.4
4-IDE LIKE A DOUBLE 98.4

RACE 7
9-LARAGH 92.5
4-FOUR GIFTS 90.7
5-WARRIOR MAID 90.7
10-AUSPICIOUS 88.8
1-JUST JENDA 88.1

RACE 8
1-LEMON CHIFFON 101.1
9-ELUSIVE LADY 98.4
11-DAWN AFTER DAWN 98.4
6-SUGAR MINT 97.8
4-RASIERRA 96.5

RACE 9
3-INFORMED DECISION 120.1
9-GAME FACE 112.2
5-SECRET GYPSY 107.9
7-ROYALE MICHELE 103.1

RACE 10 - WOODFORD RESERVE TURF CLASSIC
6-EINSTEIN 115.7
4-COURT VISION 115.7
3-PROUDINSKY 110.7
2-EL CABALLO 110.0
8-COWBOY CAL 108.8
1-ARTISTE ROYAL 106.6
9-ZAMBEZI SUN 90.0
5-YATE'S BLACK CAT 90.0
10-THORN SONG 85.6

RACE 11 - KENTUCY DERBY
13-I WANT REVENGE 126.8
19-DESERT PARTY 120.8 (fgn. post rating)
15-DUNKIRK 120.1
6-FRIESAN FIRE 117.2
12-GENERAL QUARTERS 113.6
10-REGAL RANSOM 111.8 (fgn. post rating)
7-PAPA CLEM 111.4
17-SUMMER BIRD 111.4
5-HOLD ME BACK 108.6
16-PIONEER OF THE NILE 107.9
2-MUSKET MAN 107.3
1-WEST SIDE BERNIE 105.9
3-MR. HOT STUFF 105.9
11-CHOCOLATE CANDY 105.2
20-FLYING PRIVATE 101.8
14-ATOMIC RAIN 96.5
9-JOIN THE DANCE 95.8
4-ADVICE 94.5
18-NOWHERE TO HIDE 90.0
8-MINE THAT BIRD 86.3

RACE 12
1-LUSTER 91.9
3-KNOCKOUT BERTIE 78.4
5-LACIE SLEW 74.9
4-EAST BREAKS 70.3

RACE 13
9-GLOSS 79.9
15-SOLDERO78.1
13-VICTORY NOTION 77.8
14-CALIMONCO 77.8
6-JUST RIGHT 73.1

1st time starters - 10, 2, 12

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Friday, May 01, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK & CHURCHILL DOWNS KENTUCKY OAKS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: CHURCHILL DOWNS HAS A PICK THREE FROM TODAY'S OAKS (race 11) TO SATURDAYS WOODFORD RESERVE (race 10) AND KENTUCKY DERBY (race 11). THE OAK'S IS LISTED AT THE END OF HOLLYWOOD'S PICKS AND SELECTIONS TODAY. SATURDAY I WILL HAVE THE COMPLETE CHURCHILL DOWNS CARD WITH MY PICKS AND SELECTIONS.

HOLLYWOOD PARK- FRIDAY

RACE 1
1-BLUSHING BEAR CAT 70.9
3-A SASSY FUSAICHI 68.6
6-SNOW ON CHRISTMAS 67.5
5-ZAYA 66.4
2-HARD WOMAN 65.4

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS

RACE 3
4-WOOD ART 85.6
1-STANFORD DOLLY 78.4
5-SOLDIER BETTY 76.6
2-CAPE DIVER 72.6

RACE 4
8-GOOD TIME SALLY 88.8 (off April 08)
7-DEXTERA 83.8
4-RED WHITE AND BREW 76.2 (off Sept. 08)
9-IMFOREAL 75.1
1-SUSAN'S WILDCAT 74.9
3-JOYANCE 74.9

1st time starters - 13, 12, 2, 6

RACE 5
3-GANDOLF 95.8
6-MIDWESTERNER 90.7
4-ROI CHARMANT 88.1 (off Jan. 08)
7-SO BEHOLD 87.5

RACE 6
4-JAN'S RULING ANGEL 90.0
1-KAFFEINATOR 82.0
5-KING OF THE GREEN 81.3
2-CAJUN CORREDOR 78.4

RACE 7
3-CARDINAL ZIN 93.9
2-MAUI MARK 92.6
5-CAPTAIN KALI 79.6
6-SLAM SLEW 78.4 (off Feb. 08)

RACE 8
2-KICKIN CAPER 76.6
6-KERZNER 74.3
3-CADEAUX DU MONDE 74.3
14-NUMBER ONE EDITION 71.4
16-MYSTIFICATION 68.6

CHURCHILL DOWNS - FRIDAY

RACE 11 - KENTUCKY OAKS
6-RACHEL ALEXANDRA 115.7
8-FLYING SPUR 107.3
5-JUST WHISTLEDIXIE 106.6
4-GABBY'S GOLDEN GAL 93.9
2-BE FAIR 90.7
1-TWEETER 90.0
7-NAN 86.9
3-STONE LEGACY 74.9

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