Thursday, April 30, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THERE IS NO LIVE RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY DUE TO THE LACK OF HORSES TO FILL THE RACES. RACING WILL RESUME FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

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Wednesday, April 29, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-BETTYBOOMBOOM 72.0
1-VOODOO'S VISION 70.3
2-CALL ALY 62.7
4-NINE TO DINE 58.5

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS

RACE 3
1-FLEW FIRST CLASS 77.2
4-DITTO THIS 72.8
3-MISS CHERRY 72.0
5-CATO MAJOR 68.6

RACE 4
3-VICKAR'S WALK 68.1
4-TRUENO 62.2
6-CAPTAIN CHARISMA 61.1
8-MARCADE 60.1

RACE 5
2-TOUGH APPLES 87.5
1-YASINISI 81.4
3-MAMA KNOWS BEST 81.4
5-NO KA OI 77.8
4-UNUSUALLY HOT 75.4

RACE 6
7-PARTY HARD 82.6
1-HOG'S HOLLOW 74.3
8-ROUGH IDEA 64.3
3-MAGNIFIC 64.3

RACE 7
9-DODGEN BULLETS 102.5
8-MY CITY BY THE BAY 98.4
5-QUICK ENOUGH 98.4
4-NOBLETY 97.8
10-POCOSIN'S GAME BOY 97.7
7-BAMAHA BREEZE 97.7 (off Dec. 08)

RACE 8
11-MULTITASKER 69.2
8-CLASSIC DEMAND 64.8
6-FIRE WOMAN 62.2
10-SKIM MILK 55.5
7-COMFORT FOOD 48.3 (off Nov. 08)

1st time starters - 13, 5, 3, 1

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Tuesday, April 28, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ABOUT MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 28 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

Ihope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, April 27, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number -
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.Program number does not match horse's name-This has happened 9 times that I know of in over 1281 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system.

I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Sunday, April 26, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS

RACE 2
4-AITCHO 104.5
3-CIGAR MAN 94.5
1-VESPUCCI 92.6
5-SCREEN TO SCREEN 92.6

RACE 3
5-YOUKNOWWHATILIKE 64.3
6-WILD HEART 62.7
9-I SWEAR 53.5
1-CHRYSTAL EMPIRE R N 41.1

1st time starters - 3, 2, 4

RACE 4
4-PHELPS STREET 85.6
6-THELMA ROSE 74.9
1-COMEANDCATCHME 73.7
5-BETTYBOOMBOOM 72.0

RACE 5
8-LEAVENWORTH 105.2
1-BET ON VICTOR 102.5
5-LIFE GOES ON 90.7
3-CAPE TRUTH 85.0

RACE 6
7-ADEBAYOR 91.3
3-SKY VICTOR 88.1 (off Aug. 08)
6-FABULOUS FORUM 81.4
9-VALENTINE GIFT 77.8

1st time starters - 4, 8, 12, 1, 11 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 7
3-FREE FLYING SOUL 101.8
5-GLORIFIED 99.1 (off May 08)
4-COOL HALEIGH 93.2
2-SILVER SWALLOW 90.0 (off Sept. 08)
6-LEMON SUPREME 88.1

RACE 8
7-STORM MILITARY 104.5 (off Aug. 08)
3-MEDJOOL 104.1
8-MADEO 102.5
5-AWESOME GEM 99.8

RACE 9
3-ALL SET 82.6
1-SAINT'S CROWN 68.6
2-GALE IN THE VALE 68.6
9-WINKY 57.5
8-TERINA 57.0

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Saturday, April 25, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: FRIDAY NIGHT WE HAD 5 TOP PICKS WIN, SEVERAL EXACTAS, Q'S, AND TRIFECTAS. WE HAD THE LAST RACE SUPERFECTA IN EXACT ORDER.

RACE 1
2-LADY RAILRIDER 93.8
6-GOLDEN DOC A 91.9 (off Nov. 08)
1-UNWORLDLY HEAT 91.3
4-WAVELINE 90.0

RACE 2
5-IRRIDESCENT RED 70.9
3-RUFFLED FEATHERS 67.5
1-WEAREHAVING FUNYET 56.0
4-KANT CATCH THE KAT 48.3

1st time starters - 2, 8, 9

RACE 3
7-BEL AIR SIZZLE 96.5
3-YOU LET ME UP 94.5
5-SPINNING YARNS 90.0
6-ONEBADKITTY 87.5
1-BOOTLEG ANNIE 86.3

RACE 4
5-BUCK'S BRO 100.4
10-RUSSIAN LIQUOR 91.3
6-TRIBAL JUSTICE 90.0
1-SPIRIT OF CHOCHISE 89.4

RACE 5
8-ALE'S PRIDE 90.0
2-CICCINA 88.1
11-NORTH RODEO 85.0
1-FREEBIEHADTHEMOVES 84.4

RACE 6
6-BELTENE 85.6
7-TEN CHURROS 76.0
8-VICTORY DANCER 73.7
4-CHALULA ONE 72.2
9-PRETTY UNUSUAL 72.0

RACE 7
9-STELLA MARK 109.3 (off May 08)
4-ITALIAN RULES 104.5
6-LIBERIAN FREIGHTER 100.9
2-A LIL DUMAANI 96.5
3-STAR NICHOLAS 95.8

RACE 8
5-MEDZENDEEKRON 109.3
3-UNUSUAL SMOKE 97.8
6-SWIFT WINDS 96.5
8-CRAFTY POWER 95.7

RACE 9
6-FIESTY SUANCES 89.4
1-TRIUMPHANT FLIGHT 87.5
3-COMPARI 85.7
9-UNBRIDLED ROMAN 85.0

RACE 10
9-RAISE THE RIVER 94.5
3-KAPTAIN KORDOUGH 87.5
13-CHARLIE AND CHRIS 82.0
8-STAR REDEEMER 78.4 (off Dec. 08)
5-TEAMWORK 73.7 (off Oct. 08)

1st time starters - 10, 2, 7, 14

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Friday, April 24, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TONIGHT IS $63,471.

RACE 1
4-BENEZIT 75.4
1-FORGIVE YOUR SINS 74.9
2-JOE CARL 70.9
3-WINK AND NOD 65.9
5-E STREET FEDERICI 64.3

RACE 2
5-LAVENDER TOUCH 93.9
3-WILD APART 82.6
4-PEDO VIEJO 64.8
1-GIFTED GINA 56.5

RACE 3
3-WITCHY MEETING 93.9
2-DISH THE DIRT 90.0
1-MS. OLYMPIO 86.9
4-COME BACK GIRL 73.7

RACE 4
11-LITTLE BRO 72.0
8-OL'DOGTOWN 64.8
13-DON'T FORGET MUQ 64.3
4-SPENDAMILLIONBUX 63.2

1st time starters - 3, 14, 7

RACE 5
2-DUBAI RAINBOW 77.8
1-EISENHEIM 77.8
3-BEN'S BULLET 70.9
4-CAPTAIN TIME 67.5

1st time starters - 5, 6

RACE 6
6-FOREST DANZ 88.8
5-GREEDY WAY 88.1
11-FLIP THE PENNY 85.0
13-SAILBOAT SAM 81.4

RACE 7
4-EL GREGO 93.9
5-RHETORICALLY 91.9
1-TENT 86.3 (off Dec. 08)
7-BULLYA 85.0

RACE 8
3-RIVER ECHO 105.9
1-ONETIMEATBANDCAMP 97.8
6-MOSSAD 93.2
4-KANAN DUME 88.1 (off Sept. 07)
2-ELUSIVE PLEASURE 83.8

RACE 9
6-NORVSKY 80.2
7-BLACKBRIAR 76.0
8-POP'SHANDS ARE HOT 74.3
3-JUSTICE REIGNS 72.6
4-CRAZY WAGER 70.3

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Thursday, April 23, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS

RACE 2
3-SO HOTTIE 88.1
2-SHE'S ICY HOT 67.5
4-ULTRA AWESOME 63.2
1-FLEET ROYAL 62.7

1st time starters - 5

RACE 3
4-ATA BENCHMARK 90.7
1-DRAFT CHOICE 86.9
5-SANQUINE 86.8
2-ONE CHIN AGAIN 86.3

RACE 4
3-STORM THE CHURCH 80.4
2-TEE OFF 79.6
5-KICKEN VIXEN 77.8
1-PRINCESS WINDSHARP 56.5 (off Aug. 08)

1st time starters - 4

RACE 5
4-DEFENSE KING 76.0
6-JACK FLASH 67.5
7-MAKING DREAMS 62.7
1-CAPT. PIKE 58.5

RACE 6
8-EVER SO PRETTY 88.1
4-BURNA DETTE 86.3
3-ROCKET KITTY 86.3
7-MASTERFUL MISS 80.8

RACE 7
5-ALLICANSAYIS WOW 82.5
1-LULLABYTIME 82.0
4-SCARLETT'S PLACE 80.8
3-MISS SILVER BROOK 80.2

RACE 8
7-JUSTALITTLETIPSY 69.8
2-MORE THAN MUSIC 64.8
4-DIXIE DOT CHANCE 57.5
10-FEVER RELIVER 57.0
5-RED HOT CHARLOTTE 51.1

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Wednesday, April 22, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS

RACE 2
5-ANNIHILATION 64.3 (off Aug. 08)
4-DONTTELLMEWHATTODO 49.7 (off Sept. 08)
1-ECLIPSE SYRAH 43.3

1st time starters - 2, 3

RACE 3
2-BONJOUR 105.2
3-PORFIDO 97.1 (off Dec. 08)
4-BOOYAH 90.7
5-MEN'S MAGAZINE 90.0
1-UNION AVENUE 85.6 (off June 08)

RACE 4
3-JU JU BABY 74.9
2-ANN'S PLAN 74.3
5-ANGEL EYED 70.9
6-JULIA M 67.0
1-FOXY GAMES 66.4

RACE 5
1-MARENOSTRUM 104.1
7-KRIS SILVER 98.4
4-SOUPY 93.2
2-CEE BARGARA 92.0

RACE 6
6-CAPE TOWN KING 97.8 (off July 08)
3-RETURN OF THE KING 91.9
5-SCOTTISH DIAMOND 89.4
8-SELF INSURED 86.3

RACE 7
6-WALL STREET WONDER 87.5
3-BACKBACKBACKGONE 86.3
4-POSITION A 82.0
1-DREAM NOW 80.8

RACE 8
7-RIBALD 80.8
6-PHILLY SLEW 66.4
5-DRAKE LAKE 59.0
2-SWINGIN JIM 52.1
8-PRECAPER 48.8

1st time starters - 3, 4

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Tuesday, April 21, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 28 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

Ihope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, April 20, 2009

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWEED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number -
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 9 times that I know of in over 1266 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system.I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Saturday, April 18, 2009

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $93,291.

RACE 1
1-TWOFORMEONEFORYOU 61.6
4-RED ALARM 57.5
2-THERE GOES GEE GEE 56.5
3-MARQUEE PLAYER 53.5
5-BY FAR 53.5

RACE 2
6-SOUVENIR SLEW 91.9
1-ONE SHOT 81.4
3-COUSIN JOE 80.8
5-SWISS SKI 70.4
4-FORD ISLAND 70.3

RACE 3
3-DESPERATE 70.9
1-THUNDER BABYDOLL 68.1
5-SO PINK 64.8
4-STEAM IRON 63.2
6-SPIRITED LADY 63.2

RACE 4
7-JUSTINPLACE 83.2 (off June 08)
2-BE REALISTIC 75.4
8-CEE MISTER B 74.9 (off Oct. 08)
5-ROUGE SCHOLAR 73.1

RACE 5
1-HOT N' DUSTY 100.8
4-ROYAL HERALDRY 90.0
3-PERICIA FINA 88.1
6-TASTE'S SIS 80.8

RACE 6
2-UNIONIZE 95.2
7-MARGARITA SHOT 77.8
6-SPEIGHT THE HALO 66.4 (off Aug. 08)
3-COLLALTO 61.6

1st time starters - 4

RACE 7
9-DESERT CODE 103.8
5-JUNGLE PRINCE 99.1 (off Sept. 08)
2-PRUSSIAN 99.1
8-MR GRUFF 97.1
1-EUROGLIDE 96.5

1st time starters - 7 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 8
1-ATA BENCHMARK 90.0
6-DEEP POCKETS 88.8
4-THOR'S BULLET 88.8
12-DELUXE CAT 84.4

RACE 9
8-FOXYSOX 99.8
1-MAGICAL FANTASY 99.1
3-TOQUE DE QUEDA 98.4 (off Oct. 08)
9-BLACK MAMBA 94.5 (off Dec. 08)
7-AINAMAA 94.5

RACE 10
5-VICTORY KNOCK 68.6
2-FOREIGN TAUREAN 61.1
3-SELF DEFENSE 60.1
8-KITTY CALIENTE 58.5
1-CLASS DISMISSED 56.0

1st time starters - 9

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Friday, April 17, 2009

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-CATSALOT 70.9
3-BELLA BUBBLES 68.1
1-HOT LITTLE BUG 66.4
7-WIN ALLISON WIN 65.9

RACE 2
3-KALOOKAN EVENT 86.9
4-JUANCA 83.2
5-STREET ROYAL 77.8
6-LUCIUS ANTONIUS 77.8

RACE 3
5-BAD BOY 95.8
7-MOTH BALL 93.9 (off Feb. 08)
2-RAILROAD 92.6
6-CAYAMBE 90.7

RACE 4
3-DADSALITTLEUNUSUAL 92.6
2-CAMISADO 83.8
6-FADO 80.8
1A-GARY'S GOT RHYTHM 74.9

RACE 5
1-KILDERRY 99.8 (off Aug. 08)
9-NENE 93.8
6-NOBLETY 90.0
8-SEARCHFORTHETRUTH 89.4

RACE 6
9-JUDGE KENT 70.3
2-SOVEREIGN LORD 68.6
4-HOLD THIS 68.1
6-IZEMINE 65.9

RACE 7
6-GLOBETROTTER 101.1
3-FIREY TRIPPI 96.5
1-TEMPLE CITY 93.9
2-POWER BLITZ 93.2
5-LEASE OF LIFE 92.5

RACE 8
3-IMADETHECASHCALL 67.0
1-RED HOT CHARLOTTE 58.0
7-RUBY SLIPPERS 56.0
8-FOREVER MY LOVE 55.6
9-GRACIE GRACIE 55.0

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Thursday, April 16, 2009

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $94,822.

RACE 1
6-NO GRANDE 83.2
3-SWIFT DEMAND 79.0
7-BOSTONER 76.6
1-TOKAY 69.8

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 2 f.)
NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS

RACE 3
5-OMEGA MINISTER 91.3
2-LEAVETHEGATEOPEN 85.6
6-MT. DAVIDSON 82.0
7-COASTAL SOUVENIR 82.0

RACE 4
2-MY FRIEND LUIS 86.3
3-SATELLITE 83.8
5-NO THINKIN ALLOWED 83.8
7-SPOT THE DIPLOMAT 79.0

RACE 5
3-PAT THE COOL CAT 87.5
8-DONA AMELIA 86.3
5-THAT'S HOT 83.8
7-JEN'S NEW CHAPTER 77.8

RACE 6
7-MUD SWEAT 'N TEARS 80.2
4-SAM'S QUEEN 73.7
1-RED NECK GAL 72.6
3-ZAYA 68.1

RACE 7
7-ON APPROVAL 88.8
5-GOLD GODDESS 81.4
4-SILENT STALK 76.6
3-FASTONGRASS 75.4
6-STARLARKS 75.4

RACE 8
9-MICKEY ROCKS 68.1
6-OUR MAN LUKE 63.8
8-ACTION IN MAY 63.5
4-AFLEET MAGIC 63.2
10-ASTORIA RENTER 63.2

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Wednesday, April 15, 2009

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-IN DADDY'S HONOR 79.6
3-HOMADE BREW 77.8
1-NO CREAM OR SUGAR 71.4
2-PROUD GARRISON 70.9

RACE 2
2-SLEWS COPY 67.5
6-FLASH DANCE 66.4
5-COATCHECK GIRL 62.7
3-HEY FEATHERS 58.5 (off Dec. 08)

1st time starters - 1, 7

RACE 3
7-TROUBLETIMESTHREE 83.8
3-LASER POINT 77.6
2-TAP TAP I WIN 77.0
4-AQUICKSTING 75.4

RACE 4
3-ALL SET 83.8
7-RARE NUGGET 83.8
1-ASIAN EYES 76.6
9-JULIA M 73.7
4-FRANGIPANNI 73.1

RACE 5
3-WOODLAND FLOOD 98.2
1-ON FIRE 95.2
2-SMOOTH AND SAVVY 90.0
8-CHANGING 87.5
5-ROYAL SEAL 87.0

RACE 6
7-FUNNY ME 91.9
8-FANTASY FREE 90.7
4-HUNTER CREEK 88.8
5-JUST CHARMED 83.2
9-SPURRIER 82.0

RACE 7
8-MEYDAN PRINCESS 98.0 (off Sept. 08)
2-MISSIT 91.3 (off Aug. 08)
7-SHES A REAL KEEPER 90.0
3-GENERAL CONSENSUS 89.4
4-DIVINE LEGACY 89.4

RACE 8
4-BLACK MAGIC MAMA 70.9
7-SINDYFROMSANTACRUZ 68.6
5-GOAL GIRL MICHELE 64.3
1-SHE'S ICY HOT 62.2
6-LADY BRADBURY 60.6

1st time starters - 3

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Tuesday, April 14, 2009

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 28 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

Ihope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, April 13, 2009

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number -
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 9 times that I know of in over 1261 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system.I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, April 12, 2009

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $121,703.

RACE 1
3-LOVELY OLIVIA 66.4
1-MASCOTA SPA 61.6
4-RAPID GOOSE 58.0
5-TERINA 56.5
2-WHY WHYNOT 53.5

RACE 2
7-ONLY BE CAUSE 71.4
4-MORTON OWEN 69.2
2-MARQUET REBEL 64.2
1-KING FARHA 54.0

RACE 3
2-UNCLE JEEP 71.8
5-FORM A POSSE 70.9
1-OVERTIME VICTORY 67.8
4-WINK AND NOD 67.5
3-TOPANGA LOVE 64.8

RACE 4
5-TIZ SALSA 70.3
7-XTRAORDINARY 65.4
2-SAINT'S CROWN 62.2
3-ICE VEINS 56.0

RACE 5
2-WOOD ART 91.3
4-JANZIG MOON 85.0
5-SUNNY PEACE 78.4
6-FOOL'S PARADISE 77.2
8-RECESS 76.4

RACE 6
8-RIDE ME FAST 72.6
7-GUMPTION 71.4
4-SHE'S BORRACHO 70.3
10-LION PRINCESS 67.5
5-GUIDED WAVE 67.0

1st time starters - 3, 1, 6, 9

RACE 7
3-TUSCAN EVENING 101.8
7-GOTTA HAVE HER 97.8
6-GORGEOUS GOOSE 94.5
5-DAWN AFTER DAWN 91.3
2-BEL AIR SIZZLE 91.3

RACE 8
1-WITTY 99.8
8-LADY LUMBERJACK 85.6
5-COSMIC QUEEN 80.8
10-PINKERBELLE 80.8 (off Oct. 08)
2-MUSIC MAGIC 80.2

RACE 9
4-RENEGADE STORM 78.4
10-DOLLAR MOUNTAIN 78.4
1-HIDDEN TRAIL 76.6 (off Oct. 08)
8-PREVAILING WIND 73.1
3-HOLLADAY ROAD 70.3

1st time starters - 11

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Saturday, April 11, 2009

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-ROUGE RIVER 53.0
2-MIRALO 48.8
4-JOSHOMO 46.9

6, 1, 3

RACE 2
5-MY MALOOF ROCKER 82.6
1-WILD FLEECE 74.9
7-CHATEAU SUISSE 72.6
3-SAMANTHA'S RULE 72.6
2-WARRENS HIGHROLLER 72.0

RACE 3
7-I AM MADISON'S 77.8
5-OLYMPIC FORCE 76.0
3-MAGNA CUM LAUDE 75.4
4-WEEVESCENT 74.3

RACE 4
7-LAGO DE ORO 57.0
2-BIG WATER 54.0
3-TOTAL SUM 50.6 (off Feb. 08)
1-WINTERSCORE 43.8

1st time starters - 4

RACE 5
4-BILLY ALLEN 91.3
3-STEADY DEMAND 90.0
2-SHADOW OF ILLINOIS 88.1
9-FOREST DANZ 87.5

RACE 6
7-SAINT CINDY 76.0
5-ERMINE SLIPPERS 75.4
6-STEVIE'S AFLEET 74.9
1-DIAMOND TAGS 74.3
2-STORMY SLEW 70.3

RACE 7
8-CHARLIE'S MOMENT 91.9
12-BATTLE OF HASTINGS 90.8
4-ARDEN PARK 89.4
5-SMOKEY LONESOME 88.8
6-WALL STREET WONDER 87.5

RACE 8
5-THEODORA 90.7
2-MISS SINGHSIX 90.0
4-KAYD KODAUN 80.0 (off Dec. 08)
1-CHAMPAGNE EYES 77.2 (off Jan 08)
6-HIGHLAND TORREE 77.2

RACE 9
2-CONNIE THE QUEEN 75.9
4-BACKSTROKE 69.2
6-MOSCOW RISING 69.2
7-DAILIES 65.6
5-GIFTED GINA 62.7

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Friday, April 10, 2009

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-PERSONALITY KID 74.3
7-JUST HEAT 72.6
3-MR. BOSSY PANTS 71.6
5-JAYDEN'S HOPE 66.4

RACE 2
2-EL GREGO 96.5
1-HOIST THE SAIL 95.2
5-WAIVE LIABILITY 84.4
6-FILM FORTUNE 79.0

RACE 3
3-IVY BY THE SHORE 62.7
1-LUNCH MONEY 62.2
5-FINE TIME TO LEAVE 60.6
2-WARREN'S RUBY 52.6

RACE 4
7-NO PRODIGAL 90.0
1-GOODLOOKINDUDE 77.2
8-KICKIN CAPER 75.4 (off Dec. 07)
2-NIGER RIVER 60.1

RACE 5
5-SCHILL 87.5
1-CYPRUS LADY 86.3
4-YASINISI 80.8
2-DOTSY JEAN 77.2

RACE 6
5-CORACAO BEIJO 72.0
3-SAND BRIDLED 59.0
2-I SWEAR 56.0
1-SARAH'S MELODY 55.0

RACE 7
3-ISIPINGO 95.8
1-UNUSUAL SMOKE 95.2
6-ROMP 87.5
2-MASTER DANIEL 86.9

RACE 8
5-MORT ROBBINS 75.4
10-KERZNER 72.6
4-MYSTIFICATION 72.6
6-HIS SISTERS MISTER 68.6
2-CADEAUX DU MONDE 67.0

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Thursday, April 09, 2009

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

NOTE: Out of the 7 races handicapped Wed. my top picks won 4 races and ran 2nd in 2 races.

RACE 1
4-DEFENSE KING 79.0
2-FLATTER ME AGAIN 74.9
6-DEFYING LOGIC 72.0
3-WHITE LACE JIMMY 69.2

RACE 2 (all 2yo. going 2 f.)
NO SELECTIONS

RACE 3
4-CRAIG'S STORM 80.2
5-AFLEET BUD 80.2
6-MISTER FIPS 77.2
2-CAJUN CORREDOR 75.4

RACE 4
7-MORE THAN CLASS 78.4
5-DOWNTOWN BANKER 61.1
3-PEMBA AT U. T. K. 54.0
4-RINCEWIND 52.1

1st time starters - 2, 6, 1, 8

RACE 5
11-EGYPT 83.2
1-METEORE 80.2 (entry)
12-DOMESTIC BREW 70.3
8-GOLD SCHLEIGER 65.4
6-FARADAY 64.8

1st time starters - 9, 7, 4, 3

RACE 6
4-HAVENS LAKE 77.2
2-ALL SET 76.6 (off May 08)
6-MAGGIE AND HOPIE 74.9
5-MISS ANZIAYAN 69.8

RACE 7
3-LEMON CHIFFON 97.8
4-ELLETELLE 93.2
2-MISSION VIEJO HALO 87.5
1-PORTO MARMAY 86.3
5-ELETRO NUCLEAR 84.4

RACE 8
6-ARM CHAIR Q B 71.4
8-RIO ROMEO 64.3
7-RECKLESS CAPOTE 52.6
1-SELF DEFENSE 42.4

1st time starters - 5, 3

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Wednesday, April 08, 2009

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 2f.)
NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS

RACE 2
1-GANDOLF 91.9
5-SCOTTISH DIAMOND 90.0
2-SOMETHING SONIC 88.8
6-CALL ON CARSON 86.9

RACE 3
2-MISS CHERRY 58.0
6-SALLY SAYS SO 54.5
3-SILENT SMOKE 53.0
7-ATA HONOUR 46.9

1st time starters - 5, 1

RACE 4
4-TRILLIANT 85.6
3-STORMY GAME 79.6
2-SAILBOAT SAM 79.0
1-CARSON'S COPPER 77.8
6-WARRENS FLYIN HIGH 77.2

RACE 5
7-UNION SCALE 83.8
8-RAZOR CUT 81.4
4-AREUTRUE 75.5
2-SEVEN BELOW 72.6

RACE 6
3-KULINSKI ROSE 89.4
5-FREEBIEHADTHEMOVES 79.0
8-MS. OLYMPIO 78.4
6-SUMMERTIME 72.6

RACE 7
5-MALIBU ARTISTE 88.2
6-PRETTY UNUSUAL 79.9
1-VIKKILEE 76.6
4-ALWAYS AUDITIONING 70.3

RACE 8
11-MULTITASKER 72.0
12-SLEWS COPY 70.3
3-JUICY LUCY 64.8
4-HOLLYWOOD CALLING 61.6
8-ATA GIRL 61.1
7-GALAXY WAY 60.1

1st time starters - 6, 2

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Tuesday, April 07, 2009

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 28 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

Ihope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, April 06, 2009

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number -
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.Program number does not match horse's name-This has happened 9 times that I know of in over 1261 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system.I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have
?GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, April 05, 2009

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-FLEW FIRST CLASS 76.6
6-THREAT 74.3
2-COME BACK GIRL 68.1
5-WARREN'S DEVONLANE 64.3

RACE 2
2-BAGELS N BONES 79.7
1-STRETCHINTHELIMITS 73.9
7-VOODOO'S VISION 72.3
4-DOUGHNUT 70.9
6-STEAM IRON 70.0

RACE 3
11-BOSTONER 79.0
9-LEAVIN IN A LIMO 75.4
14-LENADOR 71.4 (off July 08)
6-DON'T FORGET MUQ 68.1 (off Nov. 08)

RACE 4
2-LUCKY HONEY 105.9
6-APOPLECTIC 93.9
3-SMOOTH AND SAVVY 93.2
1-RED ALERT DAY 93.2

RACE 5
2-TOX DEE BEE 83.2
5-SPOT THE DIPLOMAT 80.2
11-WARSIDE ATTRACTION 80.2 (off March 08)
8-GREEDY WAY 79.6

RACE 6
1-FABULOUS FORM 77.4
2-CAPTAIN KALI 73.7
6-OSCAR BOUND 72.6
5-DOHNSTER 72.0

1st time starters - 10

RACE 7
10-HIGH INTELLECT 89.4
6-BAD BIG AL 86.9
2-ROAR OF EAGLES 85.6
7-PROFESSNL COURTESY 83.8
3-YANKEE VISIONARY 82.6
4-WAAFI 82.0 (off Oct. 08)
11-SOLO PERFORMANCE 82.0

RACE 8
1-HIGH RESOLVE 101.1
5-FOXY DANSEUR 96.5
6-COCO BELLE 92.6
2-SWEET AUGUST MOON 91.9

RACE 9
14-MY T QUICK 67.0
10-COLE'S FAVORITE 61.1
7-FOREIGN TAUREAN 60.6
6-DAY WITH DESI 59.0
13-SWINGIN JIM 56.0

1st time starters - 4, 8, 9, 1

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Saturday, April 04, 2009

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
10-MINOR ISSUES 58.5
5-RUNWAY STARLET 57.0
13-LANIE'S WAY 57.0
3-LATEGO LIGHT 56.5
11-FINE TIME TO LEAVE 54.0

1st time starters - 2, 6

RACE 2
6-WARREN'S PEPE 89.4
8-TWIN TURBO 88.8
4-MAKE MINE VODKA 83.2
7-ONE SHOT 82.0

RACE 3
10-MAGIC ROBERTA 84.4
8-SUSAN'S WILDCAT 79.0
12-DREAMALONG 75.2 (off Nov. 08)
3-SLAMMIN KAT 73.7

1st time starters - 4, 7, 14

RACE 4
6-RAIL TRIP 106.6
5-DAKOTA PHONE 98.4
2-CAUSE 93.2
4-DIXIE MEISTER 90.7 (off Sept. 08)
1-SILENT SOUL 88.8

RACE 5
8-VANQUEST 93.2
1-CASPIAN 72.0
7-DUCANE 70.3 (off Sept. 08)
5-EGO 49.7

1st time starters - 10, 11, 4, 6, 3, 2, 9

RACE 6
10-THE PAMPLEMOUSSE 112.2
7-TAKE THE POINTS 107.3
4-PIONEEROF THE NILE 103.1
5-MR. HOT STUFF 101.1
2 Z DAY 97.8

RACE 7
3-DESERT CODE 110.7
5-GLOBAL HUNTER 108.6
8-DIXIE CHATTER 103.1
1-MADEO 99.1
6-MR. NAPPER TANDY 99.1

RACE 8
1-DAVOS 97.1
3-SOUL CITY SLEW 96.5
6-SIX PACK ABS 93.2
2-HALO NAJIB 91.9

RACE 9
7-MRS KIPLING 87.8
10-BURG BERG 85.6
4-WILL O WAY 85.2
6-PRIDE DANCER 84.5
11-ROSY MANTLE 81.4

RACE 10
5-HARD BILL 99.8
1-A LIL DUMAANI 98.5
6-TRIBAL JUSTICE 95.8
7-PARTYWITHLARRYZ 95.8
2-DEVOTED MAGIC 93.9

RACE 11
1-HE'S REALLY BIG 93.8
7-HARLENE 93.1
9-CARONA TIME 92.6
5-NITRO ACTIVE 91.3
12-SUIT YOURSELF 89.5

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Friday, April 03, 2009

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

Note: Thursday, out of the 7 races handicapped, 5 of the top picks won (3.00, 9.80, 3.80, 13.20, 8.00). In race 4 our second pick won (42.80) and top pick was second, Exacta (38.50) 3rd pick completed the trifecta for (97.10). Out of the 7 races listed in our picks were 6 exactas, 6 trifectas.

RACE 1
3-DIXIE HAWKS 61.6
4-CALL ALY 57.0
6-NINE TO DINE 55.0
1-BY FAR 52.6

RACE 2
2-SINGITA 71.4
7-NO SAINT BUT SWEET 70.4
4-UNKNOWN HEAT 62.7
3-AT YOUR SERVICE 56.0

RACE 3
8-DRAMA CAT 87.5
12-STATELY APPEAL 64.3
13-AFLEET'S LOVE SONG 62.2
9-MISS LYDIA 60.6

RACE 4
10-EGYPT 90.7
5-QUESTING 80.2
1-JOKING SAM 73.1
6-ANASTASIOS 72.6
9-SIR AL 71.8 (off Sept. 08)

RACE 5
3-EXCEEDING 95.8
2-FIVE STAR THIEF 94.5 (off Oct. 08)
7-MI REY 88.1
5-INDIAN WEAVER 86.3
8-MY FRIEND LUIS 85.6

RACE 6
4-ELYSIUM FIELDS 103.8
5-VICTORY PETE 101.8
3-AGGIE ENGINEER 101.1
6-AITCHO 93.9
8-MALT MAGIC 93.2

RACE 7
2-GINGER POP 95.2
5-EXPENSIVE ART 93.9
7-COOL HALEIGH 93.8
8-FLASHOVER 93.2

RACE 8
8-CROOKED SMILE 71.4
7-CLASSIC DEMAND 67.5
10-JUDGE IN THE WEST 65.9
3-GIRL OF MINE 56.5
2-BUDDHA'S DREAM 48.3

1st time starters - 5, 6, 4

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Thursday, April 02, 2009

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
(all 2 yo. 1st timers going 2 f.)
NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS

RACE 2
3-STREET CAR 94.5
5-GRETSKY 85.6
1-PARTY HARD 75.8 (entry)
6-HOG'S HOLLOW 74.9

RACE 3
5-RIVER ECHO 99.8
4-BUCK'S BRO 97.8
1-DRAFT CHOICE 92.6
3-RUSSIAN LIQUOR 86.9
2-GOT FREE 85.6

RACE 4
7-MORE THAN MUSIC 67.5
1-KIND LADY 63.2
5-WARRENSGOODWARRIOR 60.6
2-ELLIE L. 59.6

RACE 5
9-RARE NUGGET 79.6
7-JU JU BABY 74.3
12-FRANGIPANNI 74.3
2-ANN'S PLAN 73.7

RACE 6
4-JEN'S NEW CHAPTER 81.4
7-SQUEEZE ME TIGHT 80.8
2-NO KA OI 77.2
8-DINE AT NINE 67.5 (off Aug. 08)

RACE 7
6-MS. MARGARET H. 88.8
4-HOT N' DUSTY 86.3
7-RAIDING PARTY 85.0
3-SPINNING YARNS 83.2
1-ANABAA'S CREATION 82.5 (off Oct. 08)

RACE 8
7-ONE VOTE 75.4
8-DANA DYNAMO 73.7
9-PAPOOSE LA MOOSE 66.4
4-SPENDAMILLIONBUX 65.9
3-KITTY CALIENTE 45.1

1st time starters - 6, 1

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Wednesday, April 01, 2009

 

SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
(all 1st timers - 2yo. going 2f.)
NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS

RACE 2
6-WELKEN 83.2
2-WOOD ART 82.0
1-SOLDIER BETTY 75.5
5-FOOL'S PARADISE 75.5

RACE 3
3-SWEETPEA 84.4
6-LAVENDER TOUCH 82.6
5-SNOWFLAKE OBSIDIAN 64.3
7-LOVE SONG MELLODY 50.6

1st time starters - 4

RACE 4
7-JOYANCE 86.3
5-PATRICIA'S GEM 73.7 (off Oct. 07)
1-SUPERMODEL 71.4 (entry) (off slow)
3-KATHY'S GARDEN 70.6
1A-STASH 69.8 (entry)

1st time starters - 6

RACE 5
6-DADSALITTLEUNUSUAL 90.7
7-PARKO 86.3
5-NORTH FORK 85.6
1-ESPORTE DOS REIS 74.3

RACE 6
7-JUDGE KENT 73.1
5-MINNIE'S BOY 68.1
8-BIG WAVE RIDER 67.5
3-HIGH AND MIGHTY 62.2

RACE 7
9-QUICK ENOUGH 100.5 (off June 08)
4-HEADACHE 95.2
7-POCOSIN'S GAME BOY 94.5
10-RAILROAD 94.5
2-INDIAN SUN 93.2 (off July 08)

RACE 8
9-QUEEN MARILES 82.0
11-WILD APART 80.2
4-SPEEDSKI 79.0
10-BETTYBOOMBOOM 70.9
8-SKY MARNI 70.3

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