Wednesday, December 31, 2008
SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-AITCHO 86.9
5-BOOZIN' BEAR 83.8
3-DEACON'S CAT 81.4
2-LOWTHER STREET 81.4
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
2-LIFE BY R R 97.1
3-MISS DULCE 89.4
1-DEEVEETEE 74.3
5-REAL FANCY RUNNER 70.9
4-GOT TOBE RIO 68.1
RACE 3
2-MORGAN LANE 76.4
1-IF NOT FOR YOU 75.3
4-LOVELY OLIVIA 69.2
6-GENTLEMEN'S CROWN 68.6
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
9-SUAREZ 60.6
10-BAJAN KITTY 50.2
3-TOP ROCKETTE 47.8
6-BETTERTHANFICTION 42.9
1st time starters - 4, 11, 8, 1, 12
RACE 5
4-TWIN TURBO 79.6
11-BROOKER 76.0
2-FAMILIAR STRANGER 75.5
8-SAXOPHONE 74.9
RACE 6
3-ELLE PICKLE 90.7
2-KYNISKA 87.5
8-KAYD KODAUN 85.0
6-CHRISTMAS SHIP 83.8
7-CAPRICE 83.8
1-SPRING STYLE 83.8
RACE 7
3-SO LONG SONOMA 96.5
1-LOVELY ISLE 95.2
8-BARONESS THATCHER 90.7
7-DEAREST TRICKSKI 90.7
4-HIGH RESOLVE 90.7
RACE 8
4-TO THE PENNY 73.7
2-ROYAL SEAL 73.1
3-GAME A. P. 70.9
12-JUANCA 70.3
6-KERZNER 67.5
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-AITCHO 86.9
5-BOOZIN' BEAR 83.8
3-DEACON'S CAT 81.4
2-LOWTHER STREET 81.4
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
2-LIFE BY R R 97.1
3-MISS DULCE 89.4
1-DEEVEETEE 74.3
5-REAL FANCY RUNNER 70.9
4-GOT TOBE RIO 68.1
RACE 3
2-MORGAN LANE 76.4
1-IF NOT FOR YOU 75.3
4-LOVELY OLIVIA 69.2
6-GENTLEMEN'S CROWN 68.6
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
9-SUAREZ 60.6
10-BAJAN KITTY 50.2
3-TOP ROCKETTE 47.8
6-BETTERTHANFICTION 42.9
1st time starters - 4, 11, 8, 1, 12
RACE 5
4-TWIN TURBO 79.6
11-BROOKER 76.0
2-FAMILIAR STRANGER 75.5
8-SAXOPHONE 74.9
RACE 6
3-ELLE PICKLE 90.7
2-KYNISKA 87.5
8-KAYD KODAUN 85.0
6-CHRISTMAS SHIP 83.8
7-CAPRICE 83.8
1-SPRING STYLE 83.8
RACE 7
3-SO LONG SONOMA 96.5
1-LOVELY ISLE 95.2
8-BARONESS THATCHER 90.7
7-DEAREST TRICKSKI 90.7
4-HIGH RESOLVE 90.7
RACE 8
4-TO THE PENNY 73.7
2-ROYAL SEAL 73.1
3-GAME A. P. 70.9
12-JUANCA 70.3
6-KERZNER 67.5
Labels: handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, December 30, 2008
SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 28 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 28 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Monday, December 29, 2008
SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR MONDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $156,069.
RACE 1
4-ATHENRY 74.3
6-SANDITA 73.7
3-RED HOT FLAME 72.6
5-FOLIO 64.8
RACE 2
3-OUR STORM 59.6
9-CLEVER CAITLYN 55.5
12-LOVE SONG MELODY 55.5
10-SOLDIER BETTY 51.0
RACE 3
5-SUIT YOURSELF 83.2
8-DISTINCTIVE AFLEET 77.2
7-YOU IS WHAT YOU IS 76.0
1-HIGH INTELLECT 75.4
RACE 4
1-LULLABYTIME 85.6
6-YASINISI 85.0
7-HOMADE BREW 81.4
5-SOVINE 79.0
2-SAVANNAH PEACH 78.4
3-MY MALOOF ROCKER 78.4
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
5-TRAINSPOTTING 77.8
7-MAJOR ROCK STAR 72.0
3-NOW AND ZEN 69.2
6-REGGAE REVOLUTION 68.6
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
4-MAYOR MARV 88.8
5-RESPLENDENTLY 77.2
2-PAPA CLEM 68.1
10-BRIAN BORU 67.5
1st time starters - 9, 7, 6
RACE 7
7-SHE'S CHEEKY 90.7
8-ZILLA 89.4
1-MODIFICATION 85.6
3-ACCOPELA CHOIR 85.6
RACE 8
5-LUCKY J. H. 103.8
1-HEWITTS 99.8
3-MAJESTIC DIAMOND 99.8
2-BANNER LODGE 93.9
6-BAND OF THUNDER 93.2
RACE 9
10-STEPPIN OUT ROSE 86.9
11-BROUGHT IT 85.6
8-FLOWER FUSION 74.3
2-ANN'S PLAN 73.7
6-NICOLE'S IMAGE 73.1
1-TANZANITE 72.4
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
THE PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $156,069.
RACE 1
4-ATHENRY 74.3
6-SANDITA 73.7
3-RED HOT FLAME 72.6
5-FOLIO 64.8
RACE 2
3-OUR STORM 59.6
9-CLEVER CAITLYN 55.5
12-LOVE SONG MELODY 55.5
10-SOLDIER BETTY 51.0
RACE 3
5-SUIT YOURSELF 83.2
8-DISTINCTIVE AFLEET 77.2
7-YOU IS WHAT YOU IS 76.0
1-HIGH INTELLECT 75.4
RACE 4
1-LULLABYTIME 85.6
6-YASINISI 85.0
7-HOMADE BREW 81.4
5-SOVINE 79.0
2-SAVANNAH PEACH 78.4
3-MY MALOOF ROCKER 78.4
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
5-TRAINSPOTTING 77.8
7-MAJOR ROCK STAR 72.0
3-NOW AND ZEN 69.2
6-REGGAE REVOLUTION 68.6
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile)
4-MAYOR MARV 88.8
5-RESPLENDENTLY 77.2
2-PAPA CLEM 68.1
10-BRIAN BORU 67.5
1st time starters - 9, 7, 6
RACE 7
7-SHE'S CHEEKY 90.7
8-ZILLA 89.4
1-MODIFICATION 85.6
3-ACCOPELA CHOIR 85.6
RACE 8
5-LUCKY J. H. 103.8
1-HEWITTS 99.8
3-MAJESTIC DIAMOND 99.8
2-BANNER LODGE 93.9
6-BAND OF THUNDER 93.2
RACE 9
10-STEPPIN OUT ROSE 86.9
11-BROUGHT IT 85.6
8-FLOWER FUSION 74.3
2-ANN'S PLAN 73.7
6-NICOLE'S IMAGE 73.1
1-TANZANITE 72.4
Labels: handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, December 28, 2008
SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-PROUD GARRISON 73.7
6-SCOUT ABOUT 61.6
4-QUEEN HOLLY 60.6
7-GOOD SHOT MALLY 58.6
RACE 2
9-PRINCEANDREW 87.5
7-DUBAI RAINBOW 72.6
1-UNDENIABLE TRUTH 55.5
2-CRAZY WAGER 53.0
1st time starters - 6, 3, 8, 5, 4
RACE 3
3-DREAM OF KAYLEE 96.5
4-GATO GO WIN 96.5
1-LEEDSTHEWAY 93.2
5-POSITION A 86.3
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
6-NAVIGATOR 86.9
7-APRIL PRIDE 83.4
3-INTERNALLYFLAWLESS 78.4
1-ORO BLANCO 75.3 (entry)
RACE 5
6-KAPTAIN KORDOUGH 85.6
2-NO PRODIGAL 80.8
11-RAISE THE RIVER 78.4
7-DEEP POCKETS 76.0
1st time starters - 3, 4, 5, 9, 1
RACE 6
7-HEROI DO BAFRA 99.1
8-FAST AND FURIOUS 93.9
4-BESTDRESSED 90.6
2-HEADACHE 90.6
10-SEVEN SECRETS 90.0
RACE 7
8-NORTH RODEO 92.6
7-MS TOOMSUBA 81.4
5-ASIAN EYES 80.8
6-UNWORLDLY HEAT 77.8
1-UNUSUAL SPIRIT 77.2
RACE 8
7-SWIFT WINDS 103.8
6-PORFIDO 100.4
2-PROUDINSKY 97.1
8-OBRIGADO 97.1
RACE 9
6-DOLLY DAGGERS 68.1
3-SAINT'S CROWN 59.6
13-SAUGATUCK RIVER 59.0
4-SALLY SAYS SO 56.0 (off July 07 -off slow)
1st time starters - 2
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
2-PROUD GARRISON 73.7
6-SCOUT ABOUT 61.6
4-QUEEN HOLLY 60.6
7-GOOD SHOT MALLY 58.6
RACE 2
9-PRINCEANDREW 87.5
7-DUBAI RAINBOW 72.6
1-UNDENIABLE TRUTH 55.5
2-CRAZY WAGER 53.0
1st time starters - 6, 3, 8, 5, 4
RACE 3
3-DREAM OF KAYLEE 96.5
4-GATO GO WIN 96.5
1-LEEDSTHEWAY 93.2
5-POSITION A 86.3
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
6-NAVIGATOR 86.9
7-APRIL PRIDE 83.4
3-INTERNALLYFLAWLESS 78.4
1-ORO BLANCO 75.3 (entry)
RACE 5
6-KAPTAIN KORDOUGH 85.6
2-NO PRODIGAL 80.8
11-RAISE THE RIVER 78.4
7-DEEP POCKETS 76.0
1st time starters - 3, 4, 5, 9, 1
RACE 6
7-HEROI DO BAFRA 99.1
8-FAST AND FURIOUS 93.9
4-BESTDRESSED 90.6
2-HEADACHE 90.6
10-SEVEN SECRETS 90.0
RACE 7
8-NORTH RODEO 92.6
7-MS TOOMSUBA 81.4
5-ASIAN EYES 80.8
6-UNWORLDLY HEAT 77.8
1-UNUSUAL SPIRIT 77.2
RACE 8
7-SWIFT WINDS 103.8
6-PORFIDO 100.4
2-PROUDINSKY 97.1
8-OBRIGADO 97.1
RACE 9
6-DOLLY DAGGERS 68.1
3-SAINT'S CROWN 59.6
13-SAUGATUCK RIVER 59.0
4-SALLY SAYS SO 56.0 (off July 07 -off slow)
1st time starters - 2
Labels: handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, December 27, 2008
SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
TODAYS PICK SIX CARRYOVER IS $171,220.
RACE 1
1-PRIMARY NOTICE 91.3
2-BEWITCHING BARTOK 89.4
4-WINESHINE 83.2
5-SETH THE CANDYMAN 74.9
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f. on turf)
8-THIRD DAWN 77.4
5-TASTY TEMPTATION 70.0
9-SPANISH BUNNY 63.8
3-MAMA LOR 46.4
1st time starters - 1, 2, 4, 7, 6
RACE 3
2-CAJUN GENT 86.9
4-STAR TIME 79.6
6-WITNESS PROTECTION 76.0
3-EAGLE STRIKE 76.0 (off Sept. 07)
RACE 4
7-MONTEREY JAZZ 107.3
5-PORTO SANTO 106.6
6-DILEMMA 105.2
1-BARBER 102.1
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
5-CHALULA ONE 82.6
3-SAUCEY EVENING 79.0
2-GOLD GODDESS 79.0
7-TEN CHURROS 77.8
4-STRETCHINTHELIMITS 77.2
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
10-ROCHELLE'S JIMMY 46.0
1-TURBO ENERGY 36.2
2-WARREN'S PEANUT 32.6
9-MARK BERTRANDO 26.1
1st time starters - 7, 8, 6, 4, 5, 3
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
1-BACK AT YOU 90.7
3-OIL MAN 86.9
8-KELLY LEAK 81.4
7-FLASHMANS PAPERS 79.4
RACE 8
4-INDIAN BLESSING 115.0
6-INDYANNE 109.3
10-BSHARPSONATA 99.1
5-FOXY DANSEUR 96.5
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
2-DIAL FOUR PEACE 58.0
7-ROCKIN THE CITY 46.5
3-DEVIL CAT M D 39.9
10-MY TICKET TO RIDE 35.8
1st time starters - 4, 6, 5, 9, 1
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
TODAYS PICK SIX CARRYOVER IS $171,220.
RACE 1
1-PRIMARY NOTICE 91.3
2-BEWITCHING BARTOK 89.4
4-WINESHINE 83.2
5-SETH THE CANDYMAN 74.9
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f. on turf)
8-THIRD DAWN 77.4
5-TASTY TEMPTATION 70.0
9-SPANISH BUNNY 63.8
3-MAMA LOR 46.4
1st time starters - 1, 2, 4, 7, 6
RACE 3
2-CAJUN GENT 86.9
4-STAR TIME 79.6
6-WITNESS PROTECTION 76.0
3-EAGLE STRIKE 76.0 (off Sept. 07)
RACE 4
7-MONTEREY JAZZ 107.3
5-PORTO SANTO 106.6
6-DILEMMA 105.2
1-BARBER 102.1
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
5-CHALULA ONE 82.6
3-SAUCEY EVENING 79.0
2-GOLD GODDESS 79.0
7-TEN CHURROS 77.8
4-STRETCHINTHELIMITS 77.2
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
10-ROCHELLE'S JIMMY 46.0
1-TURBO ENERGY 36.2
2-WARREN'S PEANUT 32.6
9-MARK BERTRANDO 26.1
1st time starters - 7, 8, 6, 4, 5, 3
RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
1-BACK AT YOU 90.7
3-OIL MAN 86.9
8-KELLY LEAK 81.4
7-FLASHMANS PAPERS 79.4
RACE 8
4-INDIAN BLESSING 115.0
6-INDYANNE 109.3
10-BSHARPSONATA 99.1
5-FOXY DANSEUR 96.5
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
2-DIAL FOUR PEACE 58.0
7-ROCKIN THE CITY 46.5
3-DEVIL CAT M D 39.9
10-MY TICKET TO RIDE 35.8
1st time starters - 4, 6, 5, 9, 1
Labels: handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, December 26, 2008
SANTA ANITA - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
11-NASCAR JOHNNY 68.1
8-LIFELINE 64.8
12-HALO'S HIGHWAY 61.6
4-MICKEY ROCKS 56.5
6-J B WINE 56.0
RACE 2
11-RATHER BE LUCKY 94.5
3-LOCKFORD 93.9
7-YANKEE BAY 93.9
9-OCEANOGRAPHY 88.8
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
9-TEVEZ THE TIGER 82.6
4-INFERNAL 81.4
3-SURPRISE MINISTER 77.2
8-PEMBA AT U. T. K. 35.8
1st time starters - 6, 7, 2, 1
RACE 4
4-TAXI FLEET 99.8
13-EXCEEDING 99.0
14-RAMSGATE 96.4
1-STREET LIGHTS 94.5
RACE 5
10-MI REY 107.3 ( off Oct. 07)
1-SCOTTISH DIAMOND 91.9
5-STAND TALL 90.0
8-ROGUE SCHOLAR 89.4
2-SPOT THE DIPLOMAT 88.1
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
2-FEISTY SUANCES 86.3
6-LORDGIVEMEALIFT 82.0
4-UNBRIDLED ROMAN 81.4
12-ALL SAINT 81.4
RACE 7
12-GIO PONTI 110.0
1-LIBERIAN FREIGHTER 104.5
4-FIFTEEN LOVE 102.5
2-SKY CAPE 97.1
3-DAKOTA PHONE 97.1
RACE 8
1-INTO MISCHIEF 110.0
2-COLONEL JOHN 110.0
7-GEORGIE BOY 105.2
3-BOB BLACK JACK 100.5
RACE 9
9-KINKY RULE 72.0
8-MYSTIFICATION 68.1
5-SQUIRE TRELAWNY 67.5
6-MIDNIGHT CORREDOR 62.7
12-DELICATO 62.2
2-QUIET REVOLUTION 61.6
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
11-NASCAR JOHNNY 68.1
8-LIFELINE 64.8
12-HALO'S HIGHWAY 61.6
4-MICKEY ROCKS 56.5
6-J B WINE 56.0
RACE 2
11-RATHER BE LUCKY 94.5
3-LOCKFORD 93.9
7-YANKEE BAY 93.9
9-OCEANOGRAPHY 88.8
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
9-TEVEZ THE TIGER 82.6
4-INFERNAL 81.4
3-SURPRISE MINISTER 77.2
8-PEMBA AT U. T. K. 35.8
1st time starters - 6, 7, 2, 1
RACE 4
4-TAXI FLEET 99.8
13-EXCEEDING 99.0
14-RAMSGATE 96.4
1-STREET LIGHTS 94.5
RACE 5
10-MI REY 107.3 ( off Oct. 07)
1-SCOTTISH DIAMOND 91.9
5-STAND TALL 90.0
8-ROGUE SCHOLAR 89.4
2-SPOT THE DIPLOMAT 88.1
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
2-FEISTY SUANCES 86.3
6-LORDGIVEMEALIFT 82.0
4-UNBRIDLED ROMAN 81.4
12-ALL SAINT 81.4
RACE 7
12-GIO PONTI 110.0
1-LIBERIAN FREIGHTER 104.5
4-FIFTEEN LOVE 102.5
2-SKY CAPE 97.1
3-DAKOTA PHONE 97.1
RACE 8
1-INTO MISCHIEF 110.0
2-COLONEL JOHN 110.0
7-GEORGIE BOY 105.2
3-BOB BLACK JACK 100.5
RACE 9
9-KINKY RULE 72.0
8-MYSTIFICATION 68.1
5-SQUIRE TRELAWNY 67.5
6-MIDNIGHT CORREDOR 62.7
12-DELICATO 62.2
2-QUIET REVOLUTION 61.6
Labels: handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, December 17, 2008
HOLLYWOOD PARK - SANTA ANITA FREE PICKS AND SELECTIONS
NOTE: THERE WILL NOT BE ANY FREE PICKS OR SELECTIONS POSTED UNTIL DECEMBER 26. THIS WILL BE OPENING DAY AT SANTA ANITA.
THE PAST FEW DAYS I HAVE BEEN RECOVERING FROM AN OPERATION THAT I HAD FRIDAY AND WAS UNABLE TO POST ANY PICKS OR SELECTIONS FOR HOLLYWOOD PARK. SINCE HOLLYWOOD PARK CLOSES ON NOV. 21 I HAVE DECIDED TO WAIT UNTIL SANTA ANITA OPENS ON DEC. 26 TO POST MY PICKS AND SELECTIONS. HANDICAPPING PICKS MADE UNDER PAIN KILLING DRUGS IS PROBABLY NOT THE WAY TO GO.
HAVE A NICE HOLIDAY SEASON.
THE PAST FEW DAYS I HAVE BEEN RECOVERING FROM AN OPERATION THAT I HAD FRIDAY AND WAS UNABLE TO POST ANY PICKS OR SELECTIONS FOR HOLLYWOOD PARK. SINCE HOLLYWOOD PARK CLOSES ON NOV. 21 I HAVE DECIDED TO WAIT UNTIL SANTA ANITA OPENS ON DEC. 26 TO POST MY PICKS AND SELECTIONS. HANDICAPPING PICKS MADE UNDER PAIN KILLING DRUGS IS PROBABLY NOT THE WAY TO GO.
HAVE A NICE HOLIDAY SEASON.
Friday, December 12, 2008
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
3-MS. OLYMPIO 82.6
2-WEAREHAVING FUNYET 67.5
4-SPEEDSKI 65.9
1-KULINSKI ROSE 49.7
1st time starters - 5
RACE 2
1-LUPITA'SLUCKYANGEL 80.8
3-FILTER 77.2
5-PALOMA'S FLIGHT 76.6
4-SONG AND A WAGER 74.3
RACE 3
5-FLIP THE PENNY 88.8
7-MOONLIT HABIT 86.9
2-KINGDOM COME 81.9
4-WINESHINE 81.4
RACE 4
1-BRIGHT MOON 85.6
6-FOREST MISS 79.6
4-AUNT PINK 79.6
3-MARK SET GO 70.9
5-BLANCHE SWEET 70.3
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
6-OMEGA MINISTER 78.4
7-UNCLE JEEP 76.0
10-NOCHANGENWEATHER 72.0
3-GOOD NEWSMAN 61.6
1st time starters - 1, 2, 5
RACE 6
8-TANZANITE 85.6
5-MISSOULA 82.0
4-THE KING'S LASS 80.2
7-KNEELING'S PRIDE 79.7
3-FOXY GAMES 79.6
RACE 7
1-INFORMED 97.8
7-GREGORIAN BAY 91.9
3-LIMESTONE EDGE 90.0
4-BAD BOY 90.0
RACE 8
8-OUTLAW YODELER 65.4
12-CUBS MOLINA 61.1
10-PAPER GAIN 58.5
16-WARREN'S YODLER 58.0
1st time starters - 5, 3, 14
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
3-MS. OLYMPIO 82.6
2-WEAREHAVING FUNYET 67.5
4-SPEEDSKI 65.9
1-KULINSKI ROSE 49.7
1st time starters - 5
RACE 2
1-LUPITA'SLUCKYANGEL 80.8
3-FILTER 77.2
5-PALOMA'S FLIGHT 76.6
4-SONG AND A WAGER 74.3
RACE 3
5-FLIP THE PENNY 88.8
7-MOONLIT HABIT 86.9
2-KINGDOM COME 81.9
4-WINESHINE 81.4
RACE 4
1-BRIGHT MOON 85.6
6-FOREST MISS 79.6
4-AUNT PINK 79.6
3-MARK SET GO 70.9
5-BLANCHE SWEET 70.3
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
6-OMEGA MINISTER 78.4
7-UNCLE JEEP 76.0
10-NOCHANGENWEATHER 72.0
3-GOOD NEWSMAN 61.6
1st time starters - 1, 2, 5
RACE 6
8-TANZANITE 85.6
5-MISSOULA 82.0
4-THE KING'S LASS 80.2
7-KNEELING'S PRIDE 79.7
3-FOXY GAMES 79.6
RACE 7
1-INFORMED 97.8
7-GREGORIAN BAY 91.9
3-LIMESTONE EDGE 90.0
4-BAD BOY 90.0
RACE 8
8-OUTLAW YODELER 65.4
12-CUBS MOLINA 61.1
10-PAPER GAIN 58.5
16-WARREN'S YODLER 58.0
1st time starters - 5, 3, 14
Labels: handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racetrack, selections, system, thoroughbred
Thursday, December 11, 2008
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-NATURAL TOUCH 93.9
6-HOIST THE SAIL 93.2
2-SCOTTISH DIAMOND 88.1
1-DRIVEN BY EXCESS 87.5
RACE 2
5-MAGIC LAUNCH 75.4
6-ALWAYS IN STYLE 70.3
3-FLEEL FREE TO FLEE 69.2
7-SWEET OCTOBER 66.4
1st time starters - 1
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
3-ASHEE 52.1
2-SLEW OF CANDY 44.6
9-JEANN D' ARC 44.6
8-FIRST CONDITION 38.2
1st time starters - 7, 6, 5
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
4-CALL ALY 74.3
3-POPULAR DATE 68.1
7-F X CAT 67.5
1-FORTY DATES 64.3
RACE 5
4-TENFOLD 82.0
6-BERTIE BOY 78.8
2-SANDITA 78.4
11-ATHENRY 73.1
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
1-REV HER UP 61.1
5-JAYLO'S MARK 46.4
6-UNUSUAL GRACE 24.3
9-BERT BOUNTIFUL 20.9
1st time starters - 7, 8, 4, 2
RACE 7
2-LUCKY HONEY 95.2
7-SERRA SONG 92.6
6-SIR BELL 91.3
3-ANTIQUE ANENUE 90.8
RACE 8
2-EL SPANIARD 72.0
1-ROYAL SEAL 68.1
6-MARK OF A PIRATE 67.5
3-TROUBLETIMESTHREE 67.0
5-L.A. BOY 64.3
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
4-NATURAL TOUCH 93.9
6-HOIST THE SAIL 93.2
2-SCOTTISH DIAMOND 88.1
1-DRIVEN BY EXCESS 87.5
RACE 2
5-MAGIC LAUNCH 75.4
6-ALWAYS IN STYLE 70.3
3-FLEEL FREE TO FLEE 69.2
7-SWEET OCTOBER 66.4
1st time starters - 1
RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
3-ASHEE 52.1
2-SLEW OF CANDY 44.6
9-JEANN D' ARC 44.6
8-FIRST CONDITION 38.2
1st time starters - 7, 6, 5
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
4-CALL ALY 74.3
3-POPULAR DATE 68.1
7-F X CAT 67.5
1-FORTY DATES 64.3
RACE 5
4-TENFOLD 82.0
6-BERTIE BOY 78.8
2-SANDITA 78.4
11-ATHENRY 73.1
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
1-REV HER UP 61.1
5-JAYLO'S MARK 46.4
6-UNUSUAL GRACE 24.3
9-BERT BOUNTIFUL 20.9
1st time starters - 7, 8, 4, 2
RACE 7
2-LUCKY HONEY 95.2
7-SERRA SONG 92.6
6-SIR BELL 91.3
3-ANTIQUE ANENUE 90.8
RACE 8
2-EL SPANIARD 72.0
1-ROYAL SEAL 68.1
6-MARK OF A PIRATE 67.5
3-TROUBLETIMESTHREE 67.0
5-L.A. BOY 64.3
Labels: Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, December 10, 2008
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
TODAY'S PICK SIX CARRYOVER IS $146,154.
RACE 1
6-PINK POLKADOTS 72.9
1-DIXIELAND SKY 69.8
2-SUNNY PEACE 55.2
5-PRINCESS PATTY B 43.8
1st time starters - 3, 4
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
1-AQUICKSTING 74.3
6-BEAU GRIS 67.0
5-SCOREWITHCATER 65.3
4-OVERTIME VICTORY 63.8
RACE 3
3-REALITY NOW 101.8
2-EXCEEDING 99.8
5-ROGUE SCHOLAR 88.8
6-SWISS SKI 85.6
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-PRIDE 73.1
1-JOE'SGIRLISGOLDEN 71.4
2-CANDILEJAS 62.7
4-WIND CAPER 60.1
3-MALUSITA 59.6
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 f. on turf)
1-MAGIC ROBERTA 77.0 (entry)
2-FASTONGRASS 70.3
7-CORACAO BIEJO 66.5
1A-SUCCESSFUL FRIEND 59.5 (entry)
4-SHADOW QUEEN 58.0
1st time starters - 6, 5
RACE 6
5-TWIN TURBO 80.8
4-BODACAT 80.2
6-GLIMMERING PETE 77.2
1-SILVER VISTA 77.2
RACE 7
4-DELTA STORM 100.5
3-TOWZEE 95.8
5-RACKETEER 94.5
1-HEWITTS 94.4
2-FRANK THE BARBER 88.0
RACE 8
4-CLEVER CAITLYN 63.6
3-DIXIELAND POP 55.1
1-PADDLIN MUD 52.1
5-THIS IS MY SONG 45.6
7-LOVE OUR GRANDKIDS 44.7
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
TODAY'S PICK SIX CARRYOVER IS $146,154.
RACE 1
6-PINK POLKADOTS 72.9
1-DIXIELAND SKY 69.8
2-SUNNY PEACE 55.2
5-PRINCESS PATTY B 43.8
1st time starters - 3, 4
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
1-AQUICKSTING 74.3
6-BEAU GRIS 67.0
5-SCOREWITHCATER 65.3
4-OVERTIME VICTORY 63.8
RACE 3
3-REALITY NOW 101.8
2-EXCEEDING 99.8
5-ROGUE SCHOLAR 88.8
6-SWISS SKI 85.6
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
5-PRIDE 73.1
1-JOE'SGIRLISGOLDEN 71.4
2-CANDILEJAS 62.7
4-WIND CAPER 60.1
3-MALUSITA 59.6
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 f. on turf)
1-MAGIC ROBERTA 77.0 (entry)
2-FASTONGRASS 70.3
7-CORACAO BIEJO 66.5
1A-SUCCESSFUL FRIEND 59.5 (entry)
4-SHADOW QUEEN 58.0
1st time starters - 6, 5
RACE 6
5-TWIN TURBO 80.8
4-BODACAT 80.2
6-GLIMMERING PETE 77.2
1-SILVER VISTA 77.2
RACE 7
4-DELTA STORM 100.5
3-TOWZEE 95.8
5-RACKETEER 94.5
1-HEWITTS 94.4
2-FRANK THE BARBER 88.0
RACE 8
4-CLEVER CAITLYN 63.6
3-DIXIELAND POP 55.1
1-PADDLIN MUD 52.1
5-THIS IS MY SONG 45.6
7-LOVE OUR GRANDKIDS 44.7
Labels: handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racetrack, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, December 09, 2008
HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 28 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors. A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 28 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors. A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racetrack, selections, system
Monday, December 08, 2008
HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
Some questions answered-Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 8 times that I know of in over 1150 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Some questions answered-Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 8 times that I know of in over 1150 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: handicapping, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick-6, picks, Pimlico, race track, racetrack, selections, system, thoroughbred
Sunday, December 07, 2008
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
3-ANGELONMYSHOULDER 89.4
5-SMOOTH AND SAVVY 86.9
1-WOODLAND FLOOD 79.5
4-IL GIRASOLE 76.6
RACE 2
3-BOLD CLEO 77.6
7-ZAYA 71.4
6-SPORTIE'S SQUEEZE 71.2
2-MAMITA CHULA 68.1
4-WARREN'S ADVENTURE 61.6
RACE 3
1-FIGEAC 82.6
5-CAVANAL 82.6
7-TASTE'S SIS 76.6
6-BLASTERMAN 66.4
4 GENERAL BUFFET 65.9
1st time starters - 2, 3
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
3-MISS LION HEART 72.6
6-LIFE BY R R 63.8
7-JILONA 62.7
2-PRINCESS QUINN 14.3
1st time starters - 5, 4, 1
RACE 5
4-BALLESTERO 88.2
2-CRAIG'S STORM 76.6
5-SOLO PERFORMANCE 76.6
6-POET OF CLOTH 73.6
RACE 6
4-FLEW FIRST CLASS 62.2
10-TOY'S TOY 56.5
2-VULNERABLE 52.6
3-WARREN'S HONEY 49.2
1st time starters - 6, 7, 11, 8, 5, 1
RACE 7
3-WITHIN REASON 98.4
4-EUROGLIDE 91.3
2-CAYAMBE 90.0
1-LUHUCK'S DANCER 85.0
RACE 8
1-MODEL 97.1
7-WAKE UP MAGGIE 94.5
6-BRIECAT 88.8
8-BAI AND BAI 83.8
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
6-DIAL FOUR PEACE 63.2
8-EL TAJIN 56.5
5-URBAN CAT 52.6
9-HAJA BOY 52.6
1st time starters - 3, 7, 2, 4, 11
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
3-ANGELONMYSHOULDER 89.4
5-SMOOTH AND SAVVY 86.9
1-WOODLAND FLOOD 79.5
4-IL GIRASOLE 76.6
RACE 2
3-BOLD CLEO 77.6
7-ZAYA 71.4
6-SPORTIE'S SQUEEZE 71.2
2-MAMITA CHULA 68.1
4-WARREN'S ADVENTURE 61.6
RACE 3
1-FIGEAC 82.6
5-CAVANAL 82.6
7-TASTE'S SIS 76.6
6-BLASTERMAN 66.4
4 GENERAL BUFFET 65.9
1st time starters - 2, 3
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
3-MISS LION HEART 72.6
6-LIFE BY R R 63.8
7-JILONA 62.7
2-PRINCESS QUINN 14.3
1st time starters - 5, 4, 1
RACE 5
4-BALLESTERO 88.2
2-CRAIG'S STORM 76.6
5-SOLO PERFORMANCE 76.6
6-POET OF CLOTH 73.6
RACE 6
4-FLEW FIRST CLASS 62.2
10-TOY'S TOY 56.5
2-VULNERABLE 52.6
3-WARREN'S HONEY 49.2
1st time starters - 6, 7, 11, 8, 5, 1
RACE 7
3-WITHIN REASON 98.4
4-EUROGLIDE 91.3
2-CAYAMBE 90.0
1-LUHUCK'S DANCER 85.0
RACE 8
1-MODEL 97.1
7-WAKE UP MAGGIE 94.5
6-BRIECAT 88.8
8-BAI AND BAI 83.8
RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
6-DIAL FOUR PEACE 63.2
8-EL TAJIN 56.5
5-URBAN CAT 52.6
9-HAJA BOY 52.6
1st time starters - 3, 7, 2, 4, 11
Labels: handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racetrack, system, thoroughbred
Saturday, December 06, 2008
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
6-MY MALOOF ROCKER 80.8
4-SAVANNAH PEACH 77.2
2-DITTO THIS 73.7
3-STROPPY 71.4
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
5-UBETIMFAST 76.0
3-LET'SPICKUPTHEPACE 75.4
2-TAHOE KID 70.3
4-ECHO WEST 68.1
RACE 3
6-ONEBADKITTY 82.0
1-ELLEN K. 82.0 (off April 07)
3-BURNA DETTE 76.6
2-SUZIQCUTIE 73.3
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
1-POSITION A 87.5
3-BENEZIT 76.0
7-TEVEZ THE TIGER 60.1
1st time starters - 5, 2, 6, 4, 8
RACE 5
2-NEW EXPORT 91.9
3-DADSALITTLEUNUSUAL 90.7
1-FIGHT ON 90.7
5-LIGHTINING HIT 87.5
RACE 6
7-BALL FOUR 111.4
4-PAST THE POINT 108.0
3-SPRING HOUSE 106.6
6-GALANTAS 103.8
RACE 7
5-ONETIMEATBANDCAMP 97.1
3-A LIL DUMAANI 95.8
4-COMMANDEERED 93.9
7-KINSALE KING 88.8
RACE 8
4-CHAMPS ELYSEES 113.6
1-CHURCH SERVICE 111.4
8-BLACK MAMBA 108.6
9-RUSH RUSH 107.3
3-WINCHESTER 106.6
RACE 9
5-SQUIRE TRELAWNY 69.8
2-PREMIER ISSUE 66.4
9-DEVINE 65.4
7-ROYAL ALBERT 65.0
10-MYSTIFICATION 64.8
1st time starters - 3
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
6-MY MALOOF ROCKER 80.8
4-SAVANNAH PEACH 77.2
2-DITTO THIS 73.7
3-STROPPY 71.4
RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
5-UBETIMFAST 76.0
3-LET'SPICKUPTHEPACE 75.4
2-TAHOE KID 70.3
4-ECHO WEST 68.1
RACE 3
6-ONEBADKITTY 82.0
1-ELLEN K. 82.0 (off April 07)
3-BURNA DETTE 76.6
2-SUZIQCUTIE 73.3
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
1-POSITION A 87.5
3-BENEZIT 76.0
7-TEVEZ THE TIGER 60.1
1st time starters - 5, 2, 6, 4, 8
RACE 5
2-NEW EXPORT 91.9
3-DADSALITTLEUNUSUAL 90.7
1-FIGHT ON 90.7
5-LIGHTINING HIT 87.5
RACE 6
7-BALL FOUR 111.4
4-PAST THE POINT 108.0
3-SPRING HOUSE 106.6
6-GALANTAS 103.8
RACE 7
5-ONETIMEATBANDCAMP 97.1
3-A LIL DUMAANI 95.8
4-COMMANDEERED 93.9
7-KINSALE KING 88.8
RACE 8
4-CHAMPS ELYSEES 113.6
1-CHURCH SERVICE 111.4
8-BLACK MAMBA 108.6
9-RUSH RUSH 107.3
3-WINCHESTER 106.6
RACE 9
5-SQUIRE TRELAWNY 69.8
2-PREMIER ISSUE 66.4
9-DEVINE 65.4
7-ROYAL ALBERT 65.0
10-MYSTIFICATION 64.8
1st time starters - 3
Labels: handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racetrack, selections, system, thoroughbred
Friday, December 05, 2008
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-SUIT YOURSELF 86.9
2-GOING FORWARD 86.9
6-FRIENDLY HALF 86.3
4-NATIVITY PREP 74.9
3-BRINSON 74.3
RACE 2
5-LUNCH TIME 88.8
4-RUMBA ALONG 85.0
2-NATE' N ED 82.0
3-RHETORICALLY 75.4
RACE 3
4-IF NOT FOR YOU 82.6
1-RAPID GOOSE 71.4
2-GENTLEMEN'S CROWN 70.3
5-WARREN'S APPEAL 67.0
RACE 4
5-SURPRISES WELCOMED 81.5
3-PINK DIAMOND 76.8
6-PRECIOUS UNION 76.0
4-A FLICKER OF LIGHT 71.4
1st time starters - 7, 1
RACE 5
1-SURE THING EVA 80.8
5-BULLYA 75.4
6-ORIENTATION HALL 73.7
2-PROTECTOROFALLEVIL 70.3
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
4-WILMA RULES 66.4
6-HEY FEATHERS 62.7
3-LATEGO LIGHT 60.1
1st time starters - 8, 7, 1, 2, 5
RACE 7
1-CANDY PULL 99.1
4-BANNER LODGE 97.8
6-EASY ON THE EYE 93.9
5-MIND THE MINISTER 93.2
3-SECRET SHUTTLE 92.5
RACE 8
8-FIRM APPROVAL 73.7
7-CAPTAIN QUICK 71.4
6-ARABIAN STORM 64.3
1-KEARNS PRINTS 60.6
4-SKY PATRIOT 60.1
1st time starters - 10, 5
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-SUIT YOURSELF 86.9
2-GOING FORWARD 86.9
6-FRIENDLY HALF 86.3
4-NATIVITY PREP 74.9
3-BRINSON 74.3
RACE 2
5-LUNCH TIME 88.8
4-RUMBA ALONG 85.0
2-NATE' N ED 82.0
3-RHETORICALLY 75.4
RACE 3
4-IF NOT FOR YOU 82.6
1-RAPID GOOSE 71.4
2-GENTLEMEN'S CROWN 70.3
5-WARREN'S APPEAL 67.0
RACE 4
5-SURPRISES WELCOMED 81.5
3-PINK DIAMOND 76.8
6-PRECIOUS UNION 76.0
4-A FLICKER OF LIGHT 71.4
1st time starters - 7, 1
RACE 5
1-SURE THING EVA 80.8
5-BULLYA 75.4
6-ORIENTATION HALL 73.7
2-PROTECTOROFALLEVIL 70.3
RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
4-WILMA RULES 66.4
6-HEY FEATHERS 62.7
3-LATEGO LIGHT 60.1
1st time starters - 8, 7, 1, 2, 5
RACE 7
1-CANDY PULL 99.1
4-BANNER LODGE 97.8
6-EASY ON THE EYE 93.9
5-MIND THE MINISTER 93.2
3-SECRET SHUTTLE 92.5
RACE 8
8-FIRM APPROVAL 73.7
7-CAPTAIN QUICK 71.4
6-ARABIAN STORM 64.3
1-KEARNS PRINTS 60.6
4-SKY PATRIOT 60.1
1st time starters - 10, 5
Labels: handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, racetrack, selections
Thursday, December 04, 2008
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
PICK SIX CARRYOVER TODAY IS $88,094
RACE 1
2-STORMY RACER 76.0
1-HARMONY CREATOR 75.2
5-SUNSET TIJUANA 69.2
6-MARTITA'S ROSE 59.7
RACE 2
2-INTERMISSION 75.9
3-KING OF THE GREEN 73.1
6-DEGREKO 66.4
4-NU POWER TWO 63.5
5-RIVER LORD 62.7
RACE 3
4-HIYA SILVER 96.1
5-LOWTHER STREET 82.0
1-DEACON'S CAT 79.6
2-AITCHO 77.0
6-LAKE MEZA 77.0
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
3-GRACE GRYDER 62.7
6-THELMA ROSE 56.5
7-LIZ'S BROOM 56.5
1-MEETYOUATYOGI'S 51.6
5-BRIGHT ABYSS 50.6
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 f. on turf)
8-KELLY LEAK 85.1
6-SMOKEY LONESOME 83.2
7-MAJOR ROCK STAR 80.9
5-DELAWARE DOE 66.3
RACE 6
3-JUST CHARMED 82.0
5-RAISE THE RIVER 79.6 (off Oct. 07)
4-SECOND HAND LION 76.0
7-BUCK'S BRO 68.6
1st time starters - 6, 1
RACE 7
4-NORTH FORK 89.4
1-SPOT THE DIPLOMAT 87.5
2-GOOCH'S DREAM 81.4
3-PROUD HERITAGE 77.2
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
7-SUAREZ 62.2
10-VOODOO'S VISION 55.5
6-VIRGINIA PEARL 51.1
8-KELLYS KITCHEN 50.2
4-SWISS BLONDIE 47.8 (off slow)
1st time starters - 5
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
PICK SIX CARRYOVER TODAY IS $88,094
RACE 1
2-STORMY RACER 76.0
1-HARMONY CREATOR 75.2
5-SUNSET TIJUANA 69.2
6-MARTITA'S ROSE 59.7
RACE 2
2-INTERMISSION 75.9
3-KING OF THE GREEN 73.1
6-DEGREKO 66.4
4-NU POWER TWO 63.5
5-RIVER LORD 62.7
RACE 3
4-HIYA SILVER 96.1
5-LOWTHER STREET 82.0
1-DEACON'S CAT 79.6
2-AITCHO 77.0
6-LAKE MEZA 77.0
RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
3-GRACE GRYDER 62.7
6-THELMA ROSE 56.5
7-LIZ'S BROOM 56.5
1-MEETYOUATYOGI'S 51.6
5-BRIGHT ABYSS 50.6
RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 f. on turf)
8-KELLY LEAK 85.1
6-SMOKEY LONESOME 83.2
7-MAJOR ROCK STAR 80.9
5-DELAWARE DOE 66.3
RACE 6
3-JUST CHARMED 82.0
5-RAISE THE RIVER 79.6 (off Oct. 07)
4-SECOND HAND LION 76.0
7-BUCK'S BRO 68.6
1st time starters - 6, 1
RACE 7
4-NORTH FORK 89.4
1-SPOT THE DIPLOMAT 87.5
2-GOOCH'S DREAM 81.4
3-PROUD HERITAGE 77.2
RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
7-SUAREZ 62.2
10-VOODOO'S VISION 55.5
6-VIRGINIA PEARL 51.1
8-KELLYS KITCHEN 50.2
4-SWISS BLONDIE 47.8 (off slow)
1st time starters - 5
Labels: handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racetrack, selections, system, thoroughbred
Wednesday, December 03, 2008
HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.
REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-STORMIN STORY 72.0
4-QUAKER RUN 61.6
3-KUHN DAN 60.6
1-IN SESSION 60.4
2-CALL TRANSFER 59.0
RACE 2
1-MUST BE JOKING 64.8
2-LUCKY NO. THIRTEEN 58.2
3-MARRY ME DOC 48.8
5-JAMES PRIOR 44.7
RACE 3
1-PROUD GARRISON 82.6
4-THUNDER AND ICE 77.2
5-SCOUT ABOUT 64.8
6-STITCHIT 60.6
RACE 4
6-LIBERIAN FREIGHTER 105.9
1-BLACK ASTOR 103.1
3-BAND OF THUNDER 97.5
5-EPIC POWER 97.1
RACE 5
3-AUNT PINK 75.8
5-I LOVE CHARLEY 74.9
8-KYLIE'S WAY 74.3
6-MATINEE 64.3
7-STATELY APPEAL 63.2
RACE 6
10-PERFECT VINTAGE 68.6
4-SISTER LUCY 67.5
1-ABSTRACT FACT 57.5
5-WILD APART 56.5
2-DRAMA CAT 56.5
RACE 7
2-CONTENTIOUS 93.9
5-CHRISTMAS SHIP 88.8
6-KAYD KODAUN 88.8
3-OPAL HAZE 83.8
1-SENSATIONAL LOVE 83.2
1st time starters - 7 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 8
4-FOR THE HOUSE 82.6
5-YES HE'S A PISTOL 82.0
8-FAMILIAR STRANGER 74.3
7-RHODINE'S KID 71.4
2-ALIE'S DIN DIN 69.8
ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
RACE 1
5-STORMIN STORY 72.0
4-QUAKER RUN 61.6
3-KUHN DAN 60.6
1-IN SESSION 60.4
2-CALL TRANSFER 59.0
RACE 2
1-MUST BE JOKING 64.8
2-LUCKY NO. THIRTEEN 58.2
3-MARRY ME DOC 48.8
5-JAMES PRIOR 44.7
RACE 3
1-PROUD GARRISON 82.6
4-THUNDER AND ICE 77.2
5-SCOUT ABOUT 64.8
6-STITCHIT 60.6
RACE 4
6-LIBERIAN FREIGHTER 105.9
1-BLACK ASTOR 103.1
3-BAND OF THUNDER 97.5
5-EPIC POWER 97.1
RACE 5
3-AUNT PINK 75.8
5-I LOVE CHARLEY 74.9
8-KYLIE'S WAY 74.3
6-MATINEE 64.3
7-STATELY APPEAL 63.2
RACE 6
10-PERFECT VINTAGE 68.6
4-SISTER LUCY 67.5
1-ABSTRACT FACT 57.5
5-WILD APART 56.5
2-DRAMA CAT 56.5
RACE 7
2-CONTENTIOUS 93.9
5-CHRISTMAS SHIP 88.8
6-KAYD KODAUN 88.8
3-OPAL HAZE 83.8
1-SENSATIONAL LOVE 83.2
1st time starters - 7 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)
RACE 8
4-FOR THE HOUSE 82.6
5-YES HE'S A PISTOL 82.0
8-FAMILIAR STRANGER 74.3
7-RHODINE'S KID 71.4
2-ALIE'S DIN DIN 69.8
Labels: handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racetrack, selections, system, thoroughbred
Tuesday, December 02, 2008
HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM
THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 28 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Here is some information about my system for the new people.
My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.
I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.
I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 28 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.
A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.
REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.
We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.
I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.
HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.
I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, horses, pick six, pick-6, race track, racetrack, selections, system, thoroughbred
Monday, December 01, 2008
HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED
THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 8 times that I know of in over 1150 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.
Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.
Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.
Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.
Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.
Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 8 times that I know of in over 1150 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.
I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.
The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.
Labels: handicapping, Hollywood Park, horse racing, horseracing, pick six, pick-6, picks, race track, racetrack, Santa Anita, selections, system, thoroughbred
