Sunday, November 30, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
10-TIFFANYSPRINGSROAD 64.8
2-LOUD 62.7
9-NO PLACE LIKE HOME 58.0
5-J B WINE 52.6
4-ISLAND RUN 51.1

RACE 2
1-POCOSIN'S GAME BOY 95.8
2-PREMIUM QUALITY 88.1
3-GINOBILI 86.9
5-EMBRACE THE STORM 81.5

1st time starters - 7, 8 (both 1st time in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 3
7-MAMA LULA 83.2
9-KNEELING'S PRIDE 77.2
5-PERSIAN HONEY 72.0
1-MRS. ROCHA 72.0
6-ASIAN EYES 71.4

RACE 4
2-TALKIN TO MOM ROO 102.5
3-EL GATO MALU 101.1
1-KROGER PARK 97.8
6-PEACE CHANT 87.5

RACE 5
5-MAROON 96.5
4-BE REALISTIC 94.8
8-RAILROAD 94.5
9-FAST AND FURIOUS 88.1

RACE 6
1-IT'S IN GOD'S HANDS 93.2
4-UTAHN 86.3
2-ELUSIVE PLEASURE 84.4
5-LEMON 83.2

RACE 7
9-COCOA BEACH 112.2
7-VISIT 109.3
3-PRECIOUS KITTEN 108.6
8-ROSHANI 108.6

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
4-CUT THE CHECK 84.4
10-MR. HOT STUFF 68.6
8-ACCLAMATION 68.1
6-PAPA CLEM 64.3

1st time starters - 1A, 11, 5, 3, 7, 2

RACE 9
2-COURT VISION 110.7
7-GIO PONTI 110.7
5-MADEO 105.2
9-MUNY 104.5
4 ALBAHRI 104.4

RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
4-PLAZA QUEEN 59.6
7-FLASH DANCE 59.6
12-BETTYBOOMBOOM 59.0
3-WARRENSMYSTERYDICE 53.0
5-SHELBYDELL 53.0

1st time starters - 9, 11, 2

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Saturday, November 29, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-CONCERTO'S THUNDER 74.9
1-VOODO'S RUN 66.7
2-JUDGE KENT 63.8
3-WHISKEY BENT 61.6

1st time starters - 4

RACE 2
7-KELADORA 93.9
3-GULA GOLD 87.5
6-PERSIAN EXPRESS 85.0
1-BACHELORETTE ONE 85.0

RACE 3
6-FADO 89.4
2-BOULE D'OR 88.8
4-OUTRAGEOUS LIMIT 88.1
5-MOONLIT HABIT 85.6

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
9-LADY LUMBERJACK 80.2
6-WHERE'S SCARLET 60.1
4-GOLDEN NOODLE SOUP 48.8

1st time starters - 1, 3, 5, 2, 7, 8

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
2-MR. ROD 83.2
1-BITTEL ROAD 82.6
3-HYPE 82.6
7-BOURBON BAY 73.7

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
7-IMFOREAL 73.1
6-YODELADY U 70.3
8-MOONLIGHT TIZZY 65.9

1st time starters - 2, 4, 1, 3, 5, 9

RACE 7
9-HOIST THE SAIL 95.1
2-DEVOTED MAGIC 94.5
4-TAXI FLEET 93.2
5-STREET LIGHTS 92.6

RACE 8
9-CARRIE WITH A C 91.9
11-UNWORLDLY HEAT 83.2
1-SMALL BUT MIGHTY 82.6
2-SUMMERTIME 77.8
7-CHIMERA STAR 77.2

RACE 9
1-DELTA STORM 101.8
3-MAJESTIC DIAMOND 99.8
8-JOE BRAVO 96.5
10-CALIFORNIA FLAG 93.2

RACE 10
3-THREAT 80.8
13-SOLDIER BETTY 67.5
6-BURNT 67.0
14-AKELLA 63.2
10-LOVE SONG MELLODY 62.2

1st time starters - 15

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Friday, November 28, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $79,919.

RACE 1
4-ZETTERBERG 86.9
2-SODA POP KID 86.3
1-PROFESSNL COURTESY 82.6
3-CARSON'S COPPER 73.1
5-ZURI MWANA 73.1

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
9-LEAVETHEGATEOPEN 82.0
1-STAR REDEEMER 80.8
4-BEAUTEOUS MAXIMUS 66.4
2-RISE ABOVE 64.8

1st time starters - 8, 5, 6, 7

RACE 3
3-SAXOPHONE 86.9
5-SATELLITE 86.3
7-BROOKER 80.8
4-MONARCHO POLO 71.4

RACE 4
1-BALLISTIC HEAT 91.3
3-SKIPPY DUE 90.0
5-SEVEN SECRETS 85.6
6-HEADACHE 82.0

RACE 5
4-SUPERFECTA 83.8
5-TEXAS DEVIL 76.0
6-YOU IS WHAT YOU IS 73.1
3-LARDOG 70.9

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
5-PRETTY KATHERINE 82.6
8-HABAYA 81.4
2-INTERNALLYFLAWLESS 79.0
10-CENTURY PARK 77.2

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
11-INDY OLMO 54.5
4-BUSBY 53.0
3-RED JASPER 47.4
2-HOTSIE 47.4

1st time starters - 6, 5, 10,12, 7

RACE 8
9-WHARSTHESCRIPT 114.3
10-FORMAL DECREE 112.9
6-REBELLION 109.5
8-PROUDINSKY 103.8
2-GALANTAS 103.1

RACE 9
1A-SWIFT DEMAND 94.5 (entry)
7-MY SUMMER SLEW 89.4
1-DRAFT CHOICE 88.1 (entry)
6-PACK YOUR BAGS 83.2

RACE 10
9-PRESIDENT ELECT 70.3
12-MIDNIGHT CORREDOR 69.8
6-RAZOR CUT 64.3
5-SEVEN BELOW 60.6

1st time starters - 15

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Thursday, November 27, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
4-ORO BLANCO 72.6
1-WADDUP G 57.5
5-THERE GOES GEE GEE 54.5
3-KOULOURA 53.6

1st time starters - 2

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
5-MOTOU NUI 57.5
2-WINNINGDANCER 57.5
8-CRAZY TRICIA 55.0
4-OCTOBERFEST 50.6

RACE 3
2-SILVER VISTA 84.4
1-LENDELL 78.4
6-PLAN FOR FUN 76.6
7-GLIMMERING PETE 73.7

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
2-IT'S PARTYTIME 52.1
5-CATENIA PLACE 44.6
10-SIBERIAN TANGO 42.9
3-POKERMOM 37.4

1st time starters - 6, 7, 8, 9

RACE 5
4-ROMP 95.8
5-PARKO 91.3
7-DADSALITTLEUNUSUAL 90.0
6-POINTING STAR 87.5

RACE 6
3-PEPPERMINT LOUNGE 100.4
1-BSHARPSONATA 100.4
5-LOVELY ISLE 98.4
7-FOXY DANSEUR 97.8

RACE 7
8-LIBERIAN FREIGHTER 106.6
1A-GHETTO 94.5 (entry)
6-SLEW'S TIZNOW 94.4
2-FIFTEEN LOVE 88.8

RACE 8
4-GAME A. P. 70.9
2-QUITE THE MAN 68.6
7-DARK INTRIGUE 63.2
1-BUILT FOR THEDERBY 62.2
8-PREMIER ISSUE 62.0

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Wednesday, November 26, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK -FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

PICK SIX CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $128,073.

RACE 1
5-WESTERLY MAGIC 100.5
2-ASPERITY 96.5
1-MR.UNIVERSO 91.3
3-MAN TO MAN 90.0

RACE 2
5-NOBLE COURAGE 74.3
1-STANDING POSSE 73.7
3-DELICATO 62.7
4-TALEITLIKEITAIN'T 62.2
6-QUIET REVOLUTION 61.6

1st time starters - 7, 9, 2

RACE 3
7-INDIAN WEAVER 92.6
1-MOVES LIKE A CAT 91.9
2-COLONEL COURTNEY 87.5
9-HELD UP 81.4

RACE 4
3-EARLY ANNA 73.1
6-BLUSHING BEAR CAT 70.3
4-ANN'S PLAN 68.6
1-JU JU BABY 62.2

RACE 5
3-CARMEL COFFEE 88.1
6-ASHTON GIRL 84.4
7-SCHILL 83.8
2-COOL HALEIGH 82.0

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
2-TRAINSPOTTING 77.2
9-BOWIE AT SARATOGA 73.1
4-TURBO CALL 72.6
3-THE BAT SIGNAL 70.3
5-DELAWARE DOE 70.3

RACE 7
5-EXQUSITE 90.2
7-WINE AND DYNE 85.6
6-ECLATANTE 84.0
1-DOUBLE DIP 83.8

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
9-EL CHUBASCO 82.8
1-CANDY ARCHES 71.4
4-JOKING SAM 70.0
13-NASCAR JOHNNY 69.8

1st time starters - 11, 3, 7

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Tuesday, November 25, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 28 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, November 24, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 8 times that I know of in over 1140 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, November 23, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-BOLD CLEO 82.6
2-COLOMIAS 73.1
3-TOPPER'S GOLD 73.1 (off Nov. 07)
4-JUNGLE GIRL 73.1

RACE 2
2-DIZZY UP THE GIRL 80.2
6-OUR ROAD SCHOLAR 78.4
1-TREADMILL 77.2
5-SHE FLOATS 76.6

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 7 1/2 f.)
3-ALL SAINT 83.8
1-AQUICKSTING 80.8
5-FEISTY SUANCES 74.9
4-DANNY Q 70.3

RACE 4
1-SOLO PIANO 75.4
3-STUTTGART 73.1
5-L' AZIZA 59.0
8-BOUNCER 43.8

1st time starters - 2, 7

RACE 5
4-NO CREAM OR SUGAR 64.8
6-MATINEE 64.3
1-OURTEQUILASUNRISE 61.6
8-ELLA ENCHANTED 61.1
10-SCHAGHTICOKE HILL 59.0
11-JUST N EXCESS 58.0

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
1-THE LEGAL BLONDE 88.8
6-G'S HEAVENLY UNION 71.6
11-HAKA 64.3
4-SPANISH BUNNY 61.4
8-SAINT CINDY 61.1

1st time starters - 2, 9

RACE 7
2-SIXCESS 105.9
5-INFORMED 101.1
9-STAR NICHOLAS 98.4
8-ALL MAN 94.5

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
2-BACKBACKBACKGONE 92.6
3-AZUL LEON 81.4
5-CONGOR BAY 80.2
6-ARASHI CAT 73.7

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
3-ONE VOTE 65.9
6-ONE MORE WEEK 65.4
5-ZEPHANIAH 63.2
7-FIL'S REGENT 62.7

1st time starters - 9, 2, 1

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Saturday, November 22, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-PRIMED AND POISED 69.8
4-TWODOLLARSTOWIN 63.1
2-KIAMIKA 55.0
1-GOLDEN VENTURE 52.0

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
5-MASSONE 78.4
7-BLAZING SPIRIT 71.3
3-POKER DAVE 67.0
1-LIFELINE 56.5

1st time starters - 8, 4

RACE 3
4-TIMIAS 99.8
5-TOUR DA BRONX 97.1
6-BY SPOT 86.9
2-BRIDLED QUEST 79.6
3-THE BIG ONE 79.4

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 f. on turf)
5-EMPIRE HOUSE 80.3
4-MATCHING WHITES 69.0
6-CAPTAIN KALI 64.3
1-DOHNSTER 62.6

1st time starters - 3, 8, 7

RACE 5
4-TRIBAL CHIEF 105.2
2-SWISS SKI 97.1
6-EVALUATE 92.6
8-BAD BIG AL 91.3
3-CAT BRULAY 90.7
11-CARDINAL ZIN 90.7

RACE 6
3-TOPPER SHOPPER 98.3
7-TOMMYS LUCK 97.7
9-SANQUINE 92.6
4-D. DOUBLE YOU 86.9
1-STORM BRAVE 86.3
2-FRIENDLY HALF 86.3

RACE 7
3-NOBLE COURT 105.9
5-BOB BLACK JACK 103.1
6-JOHNNY EVES 99.8
1-WIREDFORTWOTWENTY 95.3

RACE 8
1-ANTIQUE AVENUE 99.8
2-MEETINGWITHDESTINY 88.8
6-VICTOR'S CRY 86.3
8-RUMBA ALONG 86.3
9-CEE BARGARA 86.3
10-VICTORY PETE 86.3

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
3-SWEETWATERWIND 51.1
4-EMBA U. T. K. 51.1
1-MOON MOMENT 46.5
6-MONICA C C 42.9

1st time starters - 2

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Friday, November 21, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

PICK-6 CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $251,713.

RACE 1
7-BEWITCHING BARTOK 92.6
4-GOING FORWARD 82.0
2-VORACIOUS 77.8
6-PEPPER TRAIL 77.2

RACE 2
4-FILTER 74.3
8-HAWAIIAN FLEET 74.3
7-TUSCAN PRINCESS 68.6
1-DANA'S BEAU 67.0

RACE 3
4-YES HE'S A PISTOL 85.0
8-GIOVANNI 79.0
1-FLIP THE PENNY 78.4
5-SMUDGELEDO 78.4

RACE 4
7-SOLO PERFORMANCE 78.4
8-TROUBLETIMESTHREE 70.9
13-WINNING YIELD 69.8
3-TO THE PENNY 61.1
5-EL SENOR HALO 60.6

RACE 5
4-ELETRO NUCLEAR 92.6
7-MOONSHINE ALICE 87.5
8-WICKEDWACKYINGRID 86.3
6-PAT THE COOL CAT 82.6
3-RANSOM CAPTIVE 82.0

RACE 6
1-PEACHY CANYON 84.4
8-BERTIE BOY 81.4
9-MATTY'S G FORCE 78.4
2-MAJ. TROUBLE 77.2

RACE 7
5-NURTURE 79.0
1-SHEZA MANEATER 77.8
4-LIFE AT TEN 76.6
3-GOLDEN NICKS 75.4
2-STAR VOYAGER 62.2

RACE 8
6-BLAME THE WINE 65.4
8-DAVE'S DELIVERY 57.0
9-PADDLIN MUD 53.0
11-SILENT SMOKE 46.0

1st time starters - 2

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Thursday, November 20, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

PICK-6 CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $67,116.

RACE 1
5-CLEARLY QUIET 80.8
6-SIDEPOCKET LOU 70.3
3-SQUIRE TRELAWNY68.1
2-KINKY RULE 67.5

1st time starters - 4

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
2-JOY DIVISION 79.0
7-COLORFUL DANCER 71.4
1-PEACE OF ME 66.4
6-FORM A POSSE 65.4

RACE 3
5-KIELBASA 94.5
8-HUNTER CREEK 73.1
7-HIGH STAKES SILVER 71.4
6-CRIMSON STAR 71.4

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
1-SCOREWITHCATER 67.5
7-KAROLLY 51.1
3-RIO ROMEO 46.0
2-DIAL FOUR PEACE 40.0

1st time starters - 6, 4

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
6-PERFECT MAGIC 79.0
1-STRETCHINTHELIMITS 78.4
8-TRASH MASTER 70.9
2-SPANISH ICE 68.6
9-STEAM IRON 68.1

RACE 6
6-WARREN'S DREAMING 80.2
3-GREY LASSIE 75.4
9-PERFECT HOSTESS 75.4
7-MOSCOW RISING 73.6

RACE 7
8-SOVINE 85.0
5-YASINISI 82.0
2-MUD SWEAT 'N TEARS 80.8
4-EXCITEMENT 79.6

RACE 8
3-MOTORBOAT 87.5
2-WHO YOU 68.6
4-CEE'S THE ANSWER 62.2
5-LAKOTA GOLD 61.6

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Wednesday, November 19, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-SUNSET TIJUANA 69.2
5-STORMY RACER 68.6
3-FABULOUS MOOLAH 66.5
1-CLASSY BAY 59.0
4-OUR ANASTACIA 58.5

RACE 2
4-VICE ADMIRAL 83.1
2-T J'S DIXIE 80.8
1-PROUD HERITAGE 76.0
7-BODACAT 74.9

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-TOM QUINN 65.4
7-BRUIN BENCH 53.0
1-IMPREGNABLE 44.2
8-JUST GO GUSTO 41.1

1st time starters - 3, 2, 5, 9

RACE 4
1-LITTLE BOSS CHICK 97.0
4-CHRISTIANA'S HEAT 95.8
3-PRETTY CARINA 95.2
2-FLASHING FORWARD 90.7
5-ROYAL TAAT 89.4

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
5-GRACE GRYDER 65.9
4-LU BATON 64.8
3-DIXIE HAWKS 61.1
6-RIGHTEOUSLY 60.1
9-MEETYOUATYOGI'S 59.6

RACE 6
3-CAJUN GENT 84.4
5-CONCERTO'S THUNDER 80.8
2-STAR TIME 79.6
6-FUTURO 68.6

1st time starters - 4, 1

RACE 7
3-TRIPPED THE LIGHT 82.0
4-LEMON PUNCH 79.6
1-DARLING MAMBO 75.5
5-SAVANNAH PEACH 73.1
6-MARK SET GO 72.6

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
6-THELMA ROSE 52.6
3-O FIREFLY 48.3
7-AQUICKGALE 44.6
9-BONITA BIRDIE 43.3

1st time starters - 4, 5, 1

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Tuesday, November 18, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, November 17, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 8 times that I know of in over 1135 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, November 16, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-SCIBELLI 95.8
5-KSAR GHILANE 86.3
1-CUT 60.6
2-KID POKER 51.1

1st time starters - 3, 6

RACE 2
3-WHEATON HALL 104.5
1-COOPERATION 89.4
5-RAMSGATE 85.6
2-HARALDO 83.2

RACE 3
2-THANKFULLY 70.9
3-HOLLADAY DIXIE 68.6
6-RISK ADDICTION 68.1
5-DICE AFARE 64.8

RACE 4
4-KAPALUA BAY 106.6
5-WITHIN REASON 99.8
6-BAND OF THUNDER 98.4
3-MY CITY BY THE BAY 95.2

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
6-NAVIGATOR 90.0
4-SILENT STALK 85.6
7-RARE SPARKLE 55.5

1st time starters - 1, 2, 8, 5, 3

RACE 6
9-BRENDOLYN 95.2
8-CARRIE WITH A C 91.3
7-MS. WONDER WOMAN 90.0
1-FOXY GAMES 82.0

RACE 7
1-TENFOLD 87.5
8-ARMY OFFICER 84.4
6-SCANDALOUS 79.6
3-RUSSIAN LIQUOR 77.2

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
1-MI CHIAMANO MIMI 110.7
11-MOONTUNE MISSY 91.3
6-PASAR SILBANO 89.1
2-CASINO GOLD 85.0

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
1-LOYAL SUN 67.0
2-UNCLE JEEP 62.2
7-TOPANGA LOVE 55.5
6-DOGGIE BEAR 53.0

1st time starters - 4, 5

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Saturday, November 15, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-UNUSUAL JANE 86.3
2-JUDY PATOOTIE 82.0
1-INSPIRATION WITHIN 77.8
4-MASTERFUL MISS 71.4

RACE 2
4-FOREST PHANTOM 97.8
5-SUNSHINE RIDGE 94.5
6-MAKE MINE VODKA 91.3
1-STAND TALL 88.8

RACE 3
1-VULCAN 94.5
3-SIR BELL 88.8
2-MEDJOOL 85.6
5-EXUMA 83.2

RACE 4
4-WICKED DELIGHT 79.0
8-LOVE TO SIPHON 72.6
2-MADAME STRIKER 69.8
7-OCHOA 68.6

1st time starters - 3

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
1-ATTICUS JACK 80.8
5-SALAH PICK SIX 71.4
4-LET'SPICKUPTHEPACE 69.8
7-TAHOE KID 63.2
2-RACE CALLER LUKE 62.8

RACE 6
1-HOMEMADE BREW 83.2
8-STORM SEIGE 81.5
2-ROCKIN ROSE 80.8
4-UNUSUALLY HOT 77.2

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
5-CUT THE CHECK 70.9
8-HOLD FAST 68.6
1-FIREY REBEL 67.0
2-BACK AT YOU 66.8

1st time starters - 10, 3, 7, 9

RACE 8
5-MISS SINGHSIX 89.4
6-SOLAR MISS 88.8
9-FIRE N' BRIMSTONE 86.9
4-YOU LIFT ME UP 86.3

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
3-COLORFUL DANCER 60.1
12-RECKLESS CAPOTE 58.5
11-CAPT. PIKE 55.0
1-URBAN CAT 55.0

1st time starters - 6

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Friday, November 14, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

PICK-6 CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $62,891.

RACE 1
1-KILMARTIN HALL 78.4
2-SPORTIE'S SQUEEZE 75.4
6-WARREN'S ADVENTURES 72.0
5-FOUND IN THE DARK 71.4

RACE 2
6-LOWTHER STREET 88.1
2-GOBBLER'S KNOB 79.0
5-STREET ROYALE 77.8
4-KIZZY'S CHAOS 76.0

1st time starters - 3

RACE 3
3-GOLD STAR STATUS 86.9
1-LEMON 83.8
2-EXOTIC STORY 80.8
4-VITAL FORCE 79.0

RACE 4
2-HEAVENLY N' FREE 53.0
4-MY LUCKY STAR'S 49.7
6-ROBADORABLE 46.4
8-EXAGGERATED RUNNER 46.4

1st time starters - 7

RACE 5
4-ONEBADKITTY 83.9 (off Dec. 07)
1-BURNA DETTE 82.1
6-MS TOOMSUBA 78.4
2-WAVELINE 73.4

RACE 6
4-ITS IN GOD'S HANDS 67.5
5-WEEVESCENT 67.0
9-THE EMERALD KING 65.9
3-CUBS MOLINA 59.6

1st time starters - 2

RACE 7
6-HEATHERSDADDYSBABY 95.8
4-TOUGH APPLES 85.0
3-AWESOME FEAT 79.6
5-FOREST MISS 79.0

RACE 8
5-DON'T FORGET MUQ 68.6
7-PREMIER ISSUE 68.1
9-SAILBOAT SAM 59.0
11-IN THE DAY 58.5

1st time starters - 3, 4

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Thursday, November 13, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-UNWORLDLY HEAT 78.4
3-SISTER LUCY 70.9
5-MS. OLYMPIO 62.2 (off slow - Jan. 07)
1-WEAREHAVING FUNYET 61.6

1st time starters - 2

RACE 2
5-BALLESTERO 84.4
3-HERE COMES BUSTER 80.2
2-OCEANOGRAPHY 80.0
6-SHELTER ISLAND 78.4

RACE 3
6-TICE 90.7
1-RUSH WITH THUNDER 85.7
3-GARY'S GOT RHYTHM 84.4
5-NORWAY HOUSE 74.9

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
4-STREETSCAPE 69.8
3-MOONLIGHT TIZZY 69.0
1-OCEAN STYLE 62.7
8-CORACAO BEIJO 60.1

1st time starters - 7

RACE 5
6-MR. CHAIRMAN 105.9
3-MOSTACOLLI MORT 104.5
2-GREAT HUNTER 98.4
1-BARBER 92.6

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
3-WINNINGDANCER 59.0
5-SUAREZ 50.6
2-RUSALKA 42.9
7-BEAUDACIOUS LADY 27.5

1st time starters - 6, 9, 1, 4

RACE 7
1-SHES A REAL KEEPER 83.2
2-LUPITA'SLUCKYANGEL 82.2
5-SPINNING YARNS 82.0
6-MEAN HEAT 78.4

RACE 8
4-DESERT SIREN 72.6
3-IF NOT FOR YOU 69.8
6-PINK POLKADOTS 58.8
5-MYSTIC SEAPORT 58.5

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Wednesday, November 12, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-STORMIN AWAY 108.0
3-HEROI DO BAFRA 99.8
4-MAROON 99.8
6-SOUPY 97.8

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
10-PLAY NINE 64.8
5-SOUTH OF FRANCE 52.1
3-REV HER UP 37.8
9-RESONI MISS 30.4

1st time starters - 6, 8, 4, 2, 1

RACE 3
9-SPECIFIC RULE 87.5
4-BULLYA 77.8
3-TWIN TURBO 77.8
1-IN SESSION 67.0

RACE 4
2-FEEL FREE TO FLEE 79.0
3-WILD FLEECE 69.2
7-SWEET OCTOBER 67.0
1-QUIET ADVICE 62.2

1st time starters - 5

RACE 5
4-SURE THING EVA 80.8
3-PROTECTOROFALLEVIL 78.4
2-BRINSON 74.3
9-WINESHINE 73.7

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
4-CASUAL ENCOUNTER 59.0
8-ALWAYS PRETTY 57.0
1-SPIRITED LADY 53.5
6-BETTYBOOMBOOM 53.0

1st time starters - 7, 5, 3

RACE 7
5-DILEMMA 99.8
4-RUNAWAY DANCER 98.5
1-OBRIGADO 95.2
7-RUSH RUSH 90.7

RACE 8
5-ROYAL SEAL 66.5
4-MARK OF A PIRATE 63.8
9-L. A. BOY 62.2
7-TOP GONE 61.1

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Tuesday, November 11, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, November 10, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-
Why do I post 4 horses for each race?I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 8 times that I know of in over 1130 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, November 09, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
3-BLACK MAGIC MOMA 79.6
5-VIKKILEE 69.8
6-SAINT CINDY 63.8
4-BOX OFFICE QUEEN 63.2

1st time starters - 1

RACE 2
2-MAMA LULA 86.3
4-NICOLE'S IMAGE 79.0
6-CHERIE'S DREAM 71.4
5-VEILS DE FLEUR 69.2

RACE 3
6-YANKEE BAY 92.6
4-STEVEN'S BEING 89.4
1-SMOOTH AND SAVVY 86.3
5-GREAT SIEGE 84.4

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
1-STAR REDEEMER 77.2 (entry)
1A-NOW AND ZEN 67.5 (entry)
6-TUDOR BLUE 66.4
7-LEAVETHEGATEOPEN 65.9

1st time starters - 8, 9, 4, 2

RACE 5
6-CANDY PULL 99.7
5-POCOSIN'S GAME BOY 96.5
1-MT. ORIENT 89.4
7-PREMIUM QUALITY 89.4

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
8-KICKIN' KONGO 58.5
14-FLOATING ON AIR 58.0
2-EMBA U. T. K. 51.1
10-TRICKY DEEDS 43.3

1st time starters - 5, 13, 6, 3, 4

RACE 7
5-FRANKELSTEIN 94.5
9-ONE CHIN AGAIN 90.0
4-NORTH FORK 86.3
7-LUCKY HONEY 79.0

RACE 8
3-ELLE PICKLE 88.1
4-CAPRICE 85.6
2-HIGH HEEL SNEAKERS 84.4
1-OPAL HAZE 83.2

RACE 9
14-COMMON TRUST 90.7
11-MOONLIT HABIT 87.5
10-AXIUM 79.6
13-SWISS LAD 76.0
5-FOR THE HOUSE 75.4

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Saturday, November 08, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-LINDA LOU 82.1 (entry)
1A-PRECIOUS UNION 74.3 (entry)
8-ALWAYS IN STYLE 70.8
2-A FLICKER OF LIGHT 70.3

1st time starters - 5, 6

RACE 2
2-SUPERFECTA 86.9
6-YOU IS WHAT YOU IS 71.4
5-SHAKE AND ROLL 69.8
1-LARDOG 68.6
3-LORD IN COMMAND 68.6

RACE 3
3-GREEN LYONS 91.9
6-RENAGADE RUBY 91.9
2-TUTTA BELLA 91.4
7-AMERICA'S FRIEND 90.0

RACE 4
2-LIT'SGOODLOOKNGRAY 105.2
8-PARTYWITHLARRYZ 103.1
7-ONETIMEATBANDCAMP 97.1
6-LIQUIDITY 95.2

RACE 5
10-TIME TOSAY GOODBYE 82.0
7-SUZIQCUTIE 78.4
8-STATELY APPEAL 76.0
9-JUDY'S INCLUDED 72.6

RACE 6
1-INFORMED 99.1
2-MARENOSTRUM 99.1
4-DAKOTA PHONE 97.1
7-DIXIE MEISTER 93.2

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
2-GATO GO WIN 93.9
6-KEEP THINKING 86.3
11-THE PAMPLEMOUSSE 77.8
3-DUBAI RAINBOW 60.6

1st time starters - 1, 7, 9, 8, 5, 10

RACE 8
6-COLONEL COURTNEY 93.2
7-HOIST THE SAIL 88.1
5-INDIAN WEAVER 83.8
8-SATELLITE 82.6

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
7-CHARLIE'S MOMENT 81.3
1-MARK S THE COOLER 72.8
2-WHEN WE MET 71.4
6-ESCALON 70.9

RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
7-PLAZA QUEEN 61.1
6-O FIREFLY 53.5
3-BONITA BIRDIE 52.1
9-AVONDELAY 50.2

1st time starters - 10, 13, 14, 12

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Friday, November 07, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

PICK-6 CARRYOVER FOR TONIGHT IS $232,349.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
1-LIZ'S BROOM 65.4
3-BEENCAUGHTCHEATING 59.6
5-JAKES LADY LUCK 58.5
2-GOT TOBE RIO 57.5

RACE 2
8-UTAHN 86.3
1-WHO YOU 66.4
2-FORTUNATE VICTORY 65.9
6-KERZNER 64.8

RACE 3
1-WITNESS PROTECTION 66.4 (off Sept. 07)
5-HIYA SILVER 49.7

1st time starters - 8, 7, 2, 3, 6, 4

RACE 4
2-GINOBILI 90.0
1-SQUALLCREEK 89.4
4-PISTOL PETE AFLEET 83.2
3-FORD ISLAND 82.8
7-SPINNING SOUND 82.6

RACE 5
8-SALAH 72.0 (off Dec. 07)
7-SQUIRE TRELAWNY 69.2
10-ARABIAN CHEETAH 67.5
2-PREMIER ISSUE 65.9
5-MAGNA CUM LAUDE 65.4

1st time starters - 1

RACE 6
5-SUNSET TIJUANA 69.1
6-STORMY RACER 67.5
2-MINNOW 66.4
8-SNOW ON CHRISTMAS 65.9
1-ABSOLUTELY SMITTEN 65.4

RACE 7
9-STORM MACHINE 91.9
1-KINGDOM COME 91.3
4-EUROGLIDE 90.7
7-T'AINT WAR SIR 90.0

RACE 8
4-IDEAL STORY 58.5
13-LOVE SONG MELLODY 58.0
9-CLEVER CAITLYN 55.7
6-SCHEME 55.0
1-TRUFFLESFROMHEAVEN 54.0

1st time starters - 10

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Thursday, November 06, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HNDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
7-TIMIAS 97.8
2-BOULE D'OR 96.5
3-MR. KATZ 90.0
5-SKIPPY DUE 88.1
4-MEN ONLY 87.5

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
2-PRETTY KATHERINE 70.9 (off slow)
6-ROYAL FORTUNE 63.8

1st time starters - 3, 4, 7, 1, 5

RACE 3
7-SOMETHING STELLAR 79.0
10-DREWTHEGENTLEMAN 77.2
3-TEXAS DEVIL 74.9
6-GOING FORWARD 69.8

RACE 4
4-GAME A. P. 73.4
11-QUITE THE MAN 67.0
12-CLOUDBREAKER 63.2
3-LARRYLARRYLARRY 61.1

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
1-ALL SAINT 94.4
5-SKIM SCAM 83.4
4-AQUICKSTING 80.2
9-MOBILIZED 77.2

RACE 6
9-SANDITA 77.8
3-CRIMSON STAR 74.3
4-SUMMER SHOOT 73.1
1-NORCO PAL 71.4

RACE 7
11-WITHIN REASON 102.5
7-KEWEN 101.8
3-EASY ON THE EYE 93.9
1-BANNER LODGE 93.2
2-DEVILS AFLEET 92.6

1st time starters - 9 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 8
11-PERFECT VINTAGE 68.6
6-FLEW FIRST CLASS 67.0
7-SHOWTIME APOLLO 64.8
8-BELLA CASTAGNA 59.6
9-FIRST CONTACT 56.5

1st time starters - 3, 5, 4

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Wednesday, November 05, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-MUD SWEAT 'N TEARS 80.2
5-DANCES WITH TIGERS 79.6
6-CATCH CANDY 74.9
1-PRIMED AND POISED 70.9

RACE 2
6-CHAMPAGNE SQUALL 82.0
9-LAKE MEZA 82.0
8-JOB BOSS 77.2
5-CATASTAIRE 74.9
7-SHEM TOV 74.3

1st time starters - 4

RACE 3
1-CARSON'S COPPER 80.2
5-AFLEET'S DESIGN 80.2
6-FIRE BREAK 77.8
3-QUITYERBELLYACHING 74.3

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
6-ECHO WEST 61.1
2-ROCHELLE'S JIMMY 56.0
7-BUBSY 54.0
4-JUST GO GUSTO 52.1

1st time starters - 9, 12, 5,

RACE 5
1-SQUEEZE ME TIGHT 88.1
6-THE KING'S LASS 86.3
4-BACHELORETTE ONE 80.8
2-WHATSITGONNATAKE 75.5

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
10-CAPTAIN PARADISE 59.0
5-NASCAR JOHNNY 56.5
1-WALKER RD. 56.0
6-NO PLACE LIKE HOME 49.2

RACE 7
8-SPOT THE DIPLOMAT 100.5
3-STEADY DEMAND 90.7
7-SWIFT DEMAND 86.3
5-A LIL DUMAANI 83.2

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
12-CACH D FISH 61.1
2-INDY OLMO 58.5
6-REGGAE REVOLUTION 47.8
9-HOTSIE 46.5
4-RIO ROMEO 45.5

1st time starters - 5

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Tuesday, November 04, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, November 03, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I no longer list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. This allows me to post the next days picks and selections earlier. After 3 years of listing the results my record speaks for itself (see archives). I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horse's name-
This has happened 8 times that I know of in over 1115 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, November 02, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

PICK-6 CARRYOVER FOR TODAY IS $126,284.

RACE 1(all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
3-MY HOUSE MY RULES 69.2
5-C. C.'S SECRET 65.4
6-SWISS ALPINE 65.4
7-TURBO CALL 62.7

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
7-SPANISH BUNNY 53.0
5-THELMA ROSE 51.1
1-CATANA PEREZ 43.3
2-DOLLARBEERATCOACHES 41.8
8-AQUICKGALE 41.3

1st time starters - 6

RACE 3
6-MODEL 97.1
1A-EISSOAI 87.5
4-GAMBLER'S JUSTICE 79.6
3-SPENDITALLBABY 73.1
2-BAI AND BAI 72.6

RACE 4
9-CARMEL COFFEE 94.5
1-ASHTON GIRL 86.9
4-FLASHING FORWARD 84.4
3-SCHILL 83.8

RACE 5
2-BLUSHING BEAR CAT 72.0
5-O BEE NAKI 72.0
8-EARLY ANNA 70.3
1-ANN'S PLAN 68.6

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile on turf)
2-CENTURY PARK 76.6
6-DREAMALONG 67.0
1A-VINDICTIVE CAT 65.1
7-MOTU NUI 54.5

1st time starters - 3

RACE 7
6-MOVES LIKE A CAT 90.0
7-MAKE MINE VODKA 87.5
3-INDIAN WEAVER 86.3
8-BEAU SMOKE 85.6
2-SCOTTISH DIAMOND 85.0

RACE 8
3-JIBBOOM 95.2
2-ELLE PICKLE 95.2
1-EXQUISITE 95.2
5-IN MY GLORY 93.2

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
3-FIL'S REGENT 66.4
6-HAJA BOY 59.0
2-FREEDOM HALL 54.5
5-SALAH PICK SIX 53.0
9-ISLAND RUN 52.1

1st time starters - 10, 4, 16, 12

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Saturday, November 01, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - FREE HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-MEDICI CODE 102.5
3-LIBERIAN FREIGHTER 100.4
5-MAN TO MAN 90.7
2-ASPERITY 83.8

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
7-PERFECT MAGIC 75.4
5-YODELADY O 66.4 (off slow)
4-IMFOREAL 64.3
1-WILMA RULES 64.3

1st time starters - 3, 2, 8

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
1-TORO BONITO 83.8
2-TEN CHURROS 77.8
5-ORO BLANCO 70.9
4-MAGIC ROBERTA 69.8
3-PAMONA BALL 64.3

RACE 4
1-PROFESSNL COURTESY 92.6
4-PACK YOUR BAGS 87.5
5-SEARCHFORTHETRUTH 83.2
3-NENE 80.8
6-ZETTERBERG 80.2

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going6 f.)
4-TRAINSPOTTING 89.4
5-E M SQUARED 81.9
6-BABS MOOSSA 76.0
1-IT'S IN THE FRIDGE 65.4

RACE 6
1-MICHAEL'S NOTES 91.3
6-LEMON 83.2
8-ALPINE NUGGET 82.0
4-FRIENDLY HALF 80.0
5-SEA RASCAL 80.0

RACE 7
12-ELLA ENCHANTED 63.2
9-SHANGHI TANG 62.7
1-A SONG AT TWLIGHT 56.5
8-ANGEL'S REWARD 56.0
2-LAS PATRONAS LADY 56.0
3-TALKTOOMUCH 56.0

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 f. on turf)
7-UNBRIDLED STORY 78.4
5-LICORICEWHIP 73.1
3-MR. ROD 68.1
9-PREEMO 60.6

1st time starters - 10, 6, 4, 1

RACE 9
4-EXCEEDING 104.5
5-VALIANT EFFORT 99.1
7-SECRET SHUTTLE 98.4
8-SIXCESS 97.9 (off Nov. 07)
1-OWNERS MANUAL 96.4 (off Nov. 07)

RACE 10
2-MOTORBOAT 76.0
1-WARRINGTON 69.2
10-RAZOR CUT 69.2
11-SON OF DIONISI 62.7

1st time starters - 12, 6, 8, 9

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