Wednesday, April 30, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

PICK-6 CARRYOVER FOR WED. IS $555,187

RACE 1
3-WEE JINKY 79.0
5-KING PALM 78.4
6-NORWAY HOUSE 76.6
4-COURTLY JAZZ 75.4
2-PAWNEE 74.9

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
NO SELECTIONS

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
NO SELECTIONS

RACE 4
4-TOTE'S HUMDINGER 85.0
1-GO ALL IN 78.4
3-MATTY'S G FORCE 76.6
7-CAMBRIDGE BLUE 75.5

RACE 5
8-MINI DO 91.3
1-LOVE HAPPENS 81.5
10-EXCITEMENT 78.4
4-WICKEDNWACKYINGRID 78.3

RACE 6
1-ANN'S PLAN 80.2
13-BEYLA 76.6
2-IRISH EXPRESS 76.0
3-PERFECT RHYME70.3 (off April 07)

RACE 7
4-TANGLED TANGO 99.8
6-COAST GUARD 99.1
8-WINSOME CHARM 89.4
1-POWER BLITZ 88.8

RACE 8
8-RAPID GOOSE 81.3
2-AMYBELLE 73.7
6-BARBARA'S LOVE 71.0
3-SNOW DELICIOUS 70.3

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Tuesday, April 29, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, April 28, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horses name-
This has happened five times that I know of in over 937 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Sunday, April 27, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-TIZ A BLEND 98.4
4-LIGHTMYFIREBABY 94.5
5-COMEDY GIRL 93.8
6-TUTTA BELLA 88.9

RACE 2
5-TIZ ELEMENTAL 109.3
1-RIVER GLOW 101.1
3-SILVER Z 93.2 (off May 07)
2-MISTICAL PLAN 91.2

RACE 3
2-FINAL FLING 86.9
4-ICE LADY 85.0
7-BEL AIR SIZZLE 82.5
3-TAIL SPIN TOPPER 77.0

RACE 4
1-CELTIC DREAMIN 116.8
2-MR. WOLVERINE 103.8
4-LAVA MAN 98.9 (off Nov. 07)
3-EPIC POWER 95.2

RACE 5
13-APOPLECTIC 89.4
11-DR. SKIMMING 88.8
2-BUCK BASOLO 88.8
8-DANCING IN SILKS 85.6

1st time starters - 10, 4, 3, 5

RACE 6
11-AWESOME EXPRESS 89.4 (off May 07)
14-SANGAY 88.8
10-LOTS OF SUNSHINE 82.6
8-WARREN'S ADVENTURE 77.8

RACE 7
4-JOHNNY EYES 104.5
7-NOTIONAL 103.4
1-MEDZENDEEKRON 101.8
9-BILO 101.1
6-JACK'S WILD 100.3

RACE 8
15-WARREN'S SCOOTER 94.5
12-KINETICAT YANKEE 94.5
5-EARNEDNEVERGIVEN 93.9 (off Aug. 07)
11-BEST DRESSED 93.3
1A-CREDIBILITY 93.2 (entry)

RACE 9
13-PLEASURE GROUNDS 88.8
11-ROAR OF EAGLES 81.3
9-SCOTT'S SPIRIT 80.8
12-WARRENS ATTACK CAT 80.2
6-DEWEY'S LAW 79.5

RACE 10
2-HOT LITTLE BUG 74.3
9-IMPROVISING GAL 72.6
13-JUST N EXCESS 69.2
4-WEAREHAVING FUNYET 64.3
12-SMALL BUT MIGHTY 60.1
10-SURALOVA 59.7

1st time starters - 1, 11, 7

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Saturday, April 26, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-IN DADDY'S HONOR 77.2
5-APPLAUD DUBAI 69.8
6-SPANISH HEAT 68.6
3-FILLED WITH HOPE 60.1

RACE 2
7-LOCHINVAR'S GOLD 90.0
1-HENNESSY ROSE 88.1
2-CHRISTIANA'S HEAT 85.6
4-ROSANGELA 83.3

RACE 3
2-I'M ALL OUT 91.9
4-FIGHT ON 90.0
3-TAP IT LIGHT 85.6
1-COINTREAU 81.3

RACE 4
7-CAMEL POINT 91.9
5-TEMPTING TREASURES 83.2
2-USURP 76.6 (off Oct. 07)
9-CONCERTOS' THUNDER 53.5 (off Oct. 07)

1st time starters - 1 (entry), 3, 4, 8

RACE 5
4-LUTYENS 83.2
6-SHUDAKNOWN 74.3
2-WARREN'S SECRET 73.7
9-DIXIE BANKER 73.7

RACE 6
8-CUFFED 75.8
11-BOSTON CAT 74.9
7-DEAR ISABELLA 72.0
5-SHY BABY 67.5

RACE 7
7-MONZANTE 110.0
5-GIANT GIZMO 108.6
8-NEKO BAY 108.0
2-ZAPPA 101.8

1st time starters - 1 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 8
3-FRANKELSTEIN 99.8
1-VICTORY VOODOO 91.3
4-MY FRIEND LUIS 89.4
5-BLACK ASTOR 88.2
7-MAN TO MAN 88.1

RACE 9
13-MASTER CAT 96.5
5-ALL MONEY NO LOVE 76.6
2-TURKISH VICTORY 74.9
6-DYNAQUAKE 70.3

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Friday, April 25, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

Thurs. recap- A very good day at Hollywood Park. Seven of the top picks out of 8 races won and the other pick ran 3rd with our 2nd pick winning the race. We had many pick-3's, daily doubles, exactas, quinellas, and the late pick-4 and superfecta.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

LATE NIGHT RACING FROM HOLLYWOOD PARK - POST TIME 7:05 P.M. (PDT)

RACE 1
6-LADY DISDAIN 73.1
7-STRESS FREE 68.1
5-KACHINA DREAM 58.8
3-DRASTIC TACTICS 57.0
1-MASCOTA SPA 56.5

RACE 2
7-EL SUPREMO 69.8
4-NOBLE COURAGE 65.9
6-MASTER PLAN 63.2
5-GATO VIEJO 61.4

RACE 3
1-LIBERIAN FREIGHTER 87.5
5-BRIAN THE BOLD 86.9
4-SOUTH COAST 84.4
3-COMOROS 82.6

RACE 4
10-LOST PARADISE 72.4
5-SCOTTY JONES 69.2
1-TOPPLER 59.0
8-ARABIAN STORM 58.0

1st time starters - 11

RACE 5
1-HIGHLAND TORREE 84.4
7-SAILOR'S SISTER 83.2
5-NO MEANS MAYBE 83.2 (off Sept. 07)
3-FOR SURE FOR SURE 79.6
8-HOMADE BREW 79.0

RACE 6
2-DWANGO 114.3 (off July 05)
11-TRAIL MIX 93.2
3-CONGO KING 93.2
5-GRAY BLACK N WHITE 91.3

RACE 7
3-FORMAL RUSH 77.1
5-FARGO'S LEGACY 74.9
2-MISSING TREASURE 73.7
1-READY MAID 71.1

RACE 8
4-WINE ON THE PORCH 95.0
2-TWO STEP SALSA 92.6
8-SKY CAPE 92.6
7-NEVADA WORRIER 88.1
5-POSSIBI 88.1

RACE 9
3-PERFECT CAST 59.6
5-DUMANNI CAME HOME 59.6
2-E BRADLEY 59.0
9-PARTY PUNCH 56.0

1st time starters - 4

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Thursday, April 24, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURS.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-DR. AU JUS 87.6
5-DE CAR GUY 73.1
3-REEL PRIME 70.3
1-CABLE DANCER 70.3

RACE 2
6-MUD SWEAT 'N TEARS 57.0
4-HALO'S CLEAN SHEET 54.0
2-STORMY ANNA 47.4
5-SERBIANA 46.9

RACE 3
3-ONE ONLY 71.4
4-POINTED HOME 67.0
2-WARRENS FLYIN HIGH 66.4
1-BAZZOOM 62.7
5-ROMANCE IS ZENON 62.2

RACE 4
5-RHODINE'S KID 88.1
1-WILD MCDREAMIE 73.7
8-WARREN'S YODLER 63.8 (off Oct. 07)
7-ROCK CREEK PASS 59.6

1st time starters - 6

RACE 5
2-BEL AIR SIZZLE 89.4
5-FIRE N' BRIMSTONE 82.0
3-MISS FREMONT 79.0
4-YASINISI 76.0

RACE 6
3-G. I. BETTY 88.8
7-MARVELOUS MARCIA 74.9
1-CAJUN MONARCH 73.7
4-BROAD TRY 72.8
6-KARLEE'S KITCHEN 72.0

RACE 7
5-MUSICAL HIGH 86.3
3-GRECIAN 82.6
6-SPORTS EDITION 79.6
4-BRIGHT MOON 78.4

RACE 8
7-CHICKS RULE 61.6
2-COLONY TRICK 58.0
6-HERE IS DJ'S BUDDY 49.7
5-HURRICANE RETSINA 39.4

1st time starters - 1, 3

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Wednesday, April 23, 2008

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
NO SELECTIONS

RACE 2
4-JUNE MY LOVE 77.2
6-SMOOTH PERFORMER 72.5
5-BRAN JAMMAS 66.4
2-OUR ANASTACIA 51.6
3-SUMMER STREAM 51.6

1st time starters - 1

RACE 3
6-MUSCLE 'N MANE 88.1
8-ARMY OFFICER 78.8
3-EL FALCON 78.4
5-CARONA TIME 77.8

RACE 4
7-HIGH INVESTMENT 69.8
4-OTISISGOLD 68.1
3-DR. J J 68.0
5-BIG BIEN 62.2

RACE 5
4-MI ARCOBALENO 90.7
3-NATIVE SUCCESS 90.0
1-BY SPOT 88.1
2-ALBERTUS MAXIMUS 85.0

RACE 6
3-BRAVE SUN 86.3
11-LAW BREAKER 81.8
7-JEALOUS PROFIT 80.2
6-STORMIN JACK 80.2
8-SURF TOWN 79.5

RACE 7
10-DIAMOND DIVA 100.4
4-KRIS' SIS 93.2
3-COLINA VERDE 87.5
8-UNSPOKEN WORD 86.3
2-HONORED GOLD 86.3

RACE 8
5-SNEAKY JACK 77.8
6-TOPPER'S SMILING 73.7
14-GONE CALIFORNIAN 73.1
2-EARLY ANNA 70.3

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Sunday, April 20, 2008

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

PICK-6 CARRYOVER FOR SUNDAY IS $178, 359.

RACE 1
7-EVOLUTION 97.1 (off May 04)
1-CACTUS LIGHTING 88.1
5-SI SE PUEDE 77.2
3-SUPERSTAR JUSTIN 76.0

RACE 2
2-CALIFORNIA DEMON 64.3 (off Sept. 07)
3-GO ROUND N CIRCLES 53.0
6-FORGIVEANDFORGET 50.2
7-MAGGIE LANE 49.7

RACE 3
5-BROTHER DEREK 110.0 (off Feb. 07)
2-DIXIE MEISTER 108.6 (off Mar. 07)
4-MAST TRACK 97.8
3-MAGNUM 88.1

1st time starters - 1 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 4
2-KRUGER PARK 99.8
1-MIND THE MINISTER 97.8
3-WORLD ASUNDER 94.5
5-MASTERLY 93.2

RACE 5
10-WARREN'S R READY 69.8
3-GROOVY LIGHTNING 68.1
8-EXCESSIVE FUN 65.9
2-PURE REFINEMENT 65.4

1st time starters - 7

RACE 6
3-VEGAS RUNNER 76.6
6-STRING'N INTHE RAIN 75.1
11-KILMARTIN HALL 73.7
2-SONG OF ILLINOIS 68.4
7-PRINCESS INTEGRITY 68.1

RACE 7
3-SCOUT ABOUT 80.8 (off Aug. 07)
6-SILK THUNDER 66.4
11-MODIFICATION 62.7

1st time starters - 8, 7, 1, 12, 13, 10, 1A, 4, 9, 2, 5

RACE 8
3-SKELLYTOWN 96.5 (off May 07)
11-SACRED LIGHT 95.7
6-MT. ORIENT 91.9
7-LIKE A TIGER 86.3

RACE 9
4-ALMACITA 70.3
5-HAVENS LAKE 70.3
2-LUCKY MAMA 69.8
9-CATCH CANDY 64.8
6-GETINTHEREONETIME 64.3
1-SWEET ROSEMAN 64.3

RACE 10
4-PORFIDO 103.8
1-ON THE ACORN 103.1
8-WARNING ZONE 101.1
5-BIG BOOSTER 98.4

RACE 11
5-LITTLE BRENDA 60.6
14-COLONY TRICK 59.6
8-QUIET AT THE TOP 57.5
6-STORMY TATERS 52.1

1st time starters - 2, 11, 9, 12

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Saturday, April 19, 2008

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

Fri. recap - Out of the eight races that we made picks on 6 Top Picks Won, 2 second picks won the other two races and our top picks ran 2nd. We had 5 possible exactas and 4 trifectas. Not a bad day. No selections were made in the 1st race due to horses being 2 yo. and going 2 f.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
8-FABULOSO 63.2
7-IMPROVISING GAL 58.0
4-SNOOTY GAL 52.6
5-SERBIANA 46.0

1st time starters - 1, 3, 6

RACE 2
4-MANANAN MCLIR 82.6
6-CHADLINGTON 77.0
1-HELD UP 72.6
3-THE RYE MAN 72.0

RACE 3
1-EL MARTILLO 76.0
4-HOME FOR HARLAN 75.1
5-KILDERRY 74.5
3-ELUSIVE DESTINY 72.5

1st time starters - 2

RACE 4
4-SCHAGHTICOKE HILL 64.3
5-SYNNIN AND GRINNIN 64.3
7-JUDGE IN THE WEST 61.6
2-AMERICAN SYMPHONY 61.6

1st time starters - 1

RACE 5
8-CEDAR MOUNTAIN 94.5 (off Oct. 07)
6-CAPT. SPARROW 84.4
3-PAPANONIE 79.0
1-PARKO 77.2

1st time starters - 2 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 6
3-BAYNGEN BARTOK 86.9
1-UXMAL 78.4
5-C R CAPER 77.2
8-POLISH PETE 76.0

RACE 7
7-DON'T YA LOVETT 99.1
6-SOUL CITY SLEW 97.0
4-UNUSUAL SUSPECT 95.8
9-TENGA CAT 95.2

1st time starters - 10 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 8
5-ZILLA 93.9
3-LOOK DEEP 85.6 (off Dec. 07)
7-STEELIN' 80.2
4-TWIX 80.2

RACE 9
8-LAVENDER SKY 104.5
1-DOUBLE TROUBLE 100.8
2-IMMORTELLE 98.4
3-BLACK MAMBA 96.5

RACE 10
1-DANCEWITHTHEDEVIL 75.4
14-LARDOG 68.6
3-MCARTHUR 66.4
2-SIR CARSON 65.9

1st time starters - 9, 13

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Friday, April 18, 2008

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

PICK-6 CARRYOVER FOR FRIDAY $97,872

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 2 f.)
NO SELECTIONS

RACE 2
4-ADARLYN CAT 79.6
5-SHEBANG 75.4
3-LET'S GO SHOPPING 73.1
1-THEMIS VALENTINE 68.1 (off Dec. 07)

RACE 3
4-PACK YOUR BAGS 72.0
8-MR. COOL 57.0
1-IVEMADAHUGEMISTKE 44.6
3-DOIN DEEDS 20.3 (off Aug. 07)

1st time starters - 2, 7, 6, 5

RACE 4
1-CARMAN 95.2
8-CLASSIC ATTIRE 83.8
7-POP'SHANDS ARE HOT 76.6
9-ORENTATION HALL 74.9

1st time starters - 2, 4, 3

RACE 5
2-HEMET 91.3
3-MONARCHO POLO 89.4
4-CAPT. WILSON 72.0
1-MOON MISSION 71.4

RACE 6
2-QUASIMODO 85.6
5-KINGDOM COME 84.4
9-SHOOTIST 82.6
6-SAMWISE 81.4

RACE 7
8-RENAGADE RUBY 92.6
6-TWO TIMES WON 91.3
1-QUEEN OF THE CATSLE 90.7 (off Dec. 07)
9-SILVER SWALLOW 90.0 (off Oct. 07)

RACE 8
1-D. DOUBLE YOU 90.7 (entry)
1A-FORT FUNSTON 86.3
7-DEVILS AFLEET 84.4
4-RETURNING 78.4

RACE 9
5-GO FLAGS BRO 77.8
4-J AND J EXPRESS 66.4 (off Sept. 07)
11-COOL COMMANDER 58.0
7-SMART DEMAND 55.5 (lost whip)

1st time starters - 10

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Thursday, April 17, 2008

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURS.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 2 f.)
NO SELECTIONS

RACE 2
4-JOY'S COMET 101.1
2-MADE THE FINALS 85.0
1-DEMON INSIDE 84.4
3-ANGUS 84.4

RACE 3
6-BEHIND THE SCREEN 86.3
3-PAWNEE 83.2
7-I BEAT THE FIRE 83.2
2-SMOOCHER 82.6

RACE 4
7-BRENDOLYN 83.8
5-NEWPORT TOPPER 80.8
4-FOXY GAMES 80.8
3-THE KINGS LASS 78.4

RACE 5
7-KAFFEINATOR 63.8
2-DELICATO 57.0 (off slow)
6-TRIBAL MISCHIEF 41.6 (off July 07)

1st time starters - 5, 4, 3, 1

RACE 6
3-LOVELY OLIVIA 77.8
6-CONCINNOUS 68.6
8-SEA DRIVER 67.0
7-CYPRUS LADY 61.6
4-WARREN'S APPEAL 61.1

RACE 7
2-TO BE DEVON 81.4
8-SUZIQCUTIE 77.2
5-MY MALOOF ROCKER 77.0
7-BRIAN'S MARK 72.0

RACE 8
8-MIXED BERRIES 61.1
6-CALL TRANSFER 60.6
3-POET OF CLOTH 59.6
10-TRIPPED THE LIGHT 51.5
7-MASS APPEAL 49.0

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Wednesday, April 16, 2008

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, April 15, 2008

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horses name-
This has happened five times that I know of in over 925 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, April 14, 2008

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR MONDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

PICK-6 CARRYOVER FOR MONDAY $176,150.

RACE 1
1-BALA RAPIDA 62.7
4-NIMA'S PAD 61.1
5-HOLD THIS 60.6
2-PROBATION PLEASE 56.0

RACE 2
5-HOLLADAY DIXIE 70.9
4-REMEMBER SEATTLE 70.9
7-STYLIN DEPUTY 69.2
2-QUITE BEAUTIFUL 58.0

RACE 3
3-ANZISONG 82.7
7-STAND TALL 75.4
2-OUTLAW JAMES 74.5
9-DREWISMYSON 69.8

RACE 4
3-CROWN OF DIAMONDS 87.5
1-PUFF MADDIE 86.9
7-OFFICER ALLIE 79.6
2-BOOK'EM BABE 76.0

RACE 5
3-EXHALE 112.2 (off Jan. 07)
9-SECRET SHUTTLE 99.1
5-JACK'S KID 96.5
7-STREET LIGHTS 93.9 (off May 07)

RACE 6
7-GREAT SIEGE 85.0
1-RED REDDING 83.8
2-KSAYBAN 83.4 (off July 07)
3-PHANTOM STRIKE 82.6

RACE 7
8-TROPIC STORM 110.0
4-STREET BOSS 105.2
3-MARVEL WOOD 101.1
5-TONTINE TOO 98.4

RACE 8
7-RAIL DANCER 70.9
10-E BEE GIRL 59.6
9-WARREN'S COOKIE 55.0
4-TIZ BALLADO 52.6

1st time starters - 6

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Sunday, April 13, 2008

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
9-FRIENDLY HALF 69.2
7-TOPPLER 66.4
5-DARK MATTER 64.8
10-PRE EDGE 62.2

1st time starters - 3, 6, 8, 11

RACE 2
2-KRIS SILVER 91.3
1-EL GREGO 86.3
4-FOLLOW MY MOON 81.3
5-ASPERITY 70.3

RACE 3
6-TEXAS DEVIL 77.2
2-KHUN DAN 63.2
3-WHIZER 59.0
9-HOME OF THE GOLD 58.5

1st time starters - 7, 5

RACE 4
5- BABU 79.9
6-UMBER 77.0
4-LIDGETTIMATE HEAT 76.6
3-WELLNESSFAST 73.7

RACE 5
1-YVETT'S PRIDE 83.8
12-THE UNCLEAN SPIRITS 79.0 (off May 07)
7-DANNY TEMPLETON 75.4
10-RINGMASTER 69.2

RACE 6
5-POWER SHIFT 107.9
2-COMMON TRUST 100.4
6-GRITS 99.8 (off Aug. 07)
1-SMART HIT 88.8

RACE 7
7-GOOD TIME SALLY 79.0
2-RAREVILLE 65.2
4-GINGER POP 63.8
3-PARTY PUNCH 55.0

1st time starters - 1, 5, 6, 10, 9

RACE 8
6-SUPAH BLITZ 112.9 (off May 05)
1-GALLARDO 97.8
3-SCRUMMAGE 97.8
2-GOLD TRIM 85.6

RACE 9
6-LIGHTMYFIREBABY 92.6
12-SHERMEEN 90.6
10-INGRID THE GAMBLER 90.0
9-GOOD MOOD 90.0
5-RED DIADEM 90.0 (off July 07)

RACE 10
14-MAMMOTH POWER 80.2
1-SI CHIMI 74.6
10-GENERAL CELMAR 73.7
11-CITY STORMER 72.6
5-A TOAST TO TANNER 72.0

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Saturday, April 12, 2008

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
9-HELMSGOLD 72.6 (off Sept. 07)
10-LADY DISDAIN 68.3
6-IRISH EXPRESS 67.5
7-EARLY ANNA 67.5

RACE 2
5-MAMA LULA 82.6
4-VALLEY STORM 78.4 (off May 07)
8-OAKHILL GIRL 74.3
9-KALOOKAN LESSIE 72.0

RACE 3
4-FLEETHEART 94.5
6-SANTA TERESITA 88.8
3-TIZZY'S TUNE 86.3
2-MOUJANE 85.7
5-MODEL 85.0

RACE 4
4-CANYON DRIVE 84.4 (off Dec. 07)
6-CAJUN CORREDOR 70.9
7-SHIHABB 56.5
8-LUCIUS ANTONIUS 49.7

1st time starters - 1, 2, 3, 5

RACE 5
9-GIANT GEM 83.2
6-CATASTAIRE 79.0
1-COME ALMIGHTY 78.4
4-LEFT UNSAID 75.4

1st time starters -8

RACE 6
7-SORCERERS SPELL 99.1
9-HIT AND HOPE 97.8
6-I'LL PREY FOR YOU 88.8
2-SWITZERLAND 87.5
5-SEVEN SECRETS 86.9

RACE 7
1-COLGAN'S CHIP 85.0
6-STAR NICHOLAS 83.1
2-GOBBLER'S KNOB 77.8
11-TOTE'S HUNDINGER 73.4

RACE 8
7-RON BOB AND DAVE 98.4
13-DIAMOND DAVE 94.5
2-BEYOND LOADED 94.5
8-UNUSUAL JAIL 94.4

1st time starters - 4

RACE 9
12-CHEROKEE TEAR 97.1
1-BANNER LODGE 94.5
7-STELLA MARK 90.7
10-INFORMED 90.0
5-GREGORIAN BAY 90.0

RACE 10
12-EZ DREAMER 86.9
10-TIZ WEST 86.3
9-NO JEPORDY 86.3
2-NEVADA WORRIER 85.6

RACE 11
2-MR. ELROY 70.3
7-LETSGOBYEBYE 60.1 (off Sept. 07)
14-LAST BLACK LION 51.1
4-QUACKER JACK 49.7

1st time starters - 6, 9, 8, 12

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Friday, April 11, 2008

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 2 f.)
4-CAT DREAMER ?
7-CHATTY LULU ?
(no other selections, all 1st timers)

RACE 2
6-STORMIN JACK 81.4
7-AREUTRUE 80.2
1-STEALTH MISSLE 77.8
5-TRACKER JACK 77.2
4-PURPLE ROYALE 76.6

RACE 3
4-UFFIZI 93.9
6-TENT 91.9
1-SOUVENIR SLEW 91.9
3-FIRE WOOD 90.7

RACE 4
1-MASTER CAT 95.2 (off Feb. 07)
4-BEAU SMOKE 83.8
5-EXCESSIVE DREAMER 80.2
8-RHODINE'S KID 77.8

1st time starters - 9, 2

RACE 5
8-EXCLUSIVE DANIELLE 85.6
6-BRITNEY HEAT 80.2
2-MARK SET GO 76.0
3-FARGO'S LEGACY 75.4
7-CHLCEE'S HOPE 74.9

RACE 6
5-SAYIT 68.6 (off June 07)

1st time sarters - 3, 8, 2, 7, 6, 4, 1

RACE 7
4-FIGHT ON 98.4
9-DAWN'S EARLY SKY 85.6
8-BOOYAH 79.0
3-KNIGHTHOOD 77.8 (off July 07)
5-CHOCTAW CHIEF 75.4

RACE 8
4-MARZELLINE 82.6
2-AMERICA'S FRIEND 79.6
6-FIRST TAKE 78.4
7-ROYAL HERALDRY 77.8

RACE 9
1-HOODS UP 82.6
6-GONE GRAND 67.5
5-SANDITA 65.9
10-MR. EXCESSIVE 63.8
4-SCOTT'S POPPY 62.7

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Thursday, April 10, 2008

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURS.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-COINTREAU 95.8
4-GHOSTTRAPPER 88.8
7-DAYTONA 85.0
6-SPARKLING NOTION 79.0 (off Aug. 07)

RACE 2
2-GLORIA JEANNE 68.6
6-GO CARDINAL GAL 65.4
3-STING'N INTHE RAIN 59.6
4-RAISE AGAIN 54.0

RACE 3
1-APPLAUD DUBAI 67.0
5-QUEEN HOLLY 61.6
4-QUAINT LASS 61.1
6-MADAME KIAWAH 60.4
2-HAPPYTODANCWITHYOU 60.1

RACE 4
7-MISS COZY CAT 85.1
5-SYDNEY'S SECRET 75.4 (off May 07)
8-BURNT 73.7
3-PERFECT QUALITY 69.9
1-INTOUCHABLE 69.2

1st time starters - 9

RACE 5
2-ANN'S PLAN 82.0
10-KILMARTIN HALL 70.9
1-NO NAME JUST GAME 64.8
8-MIKEY BONES 61.6

RACE 6
1-INSPIRATION WITHIN 75.5
5-POINT PROVEN 71.4
6-CONCETTINA 69.8
4-AMYBELLE 65.4

RACE 7
4-SILVER MOONSHINE 88.8
2-LAKE MARINA 86.3
3-MUSICAL HIGH 85.6 (off Aug. 07)
1-GREEN LYONS 84.1

RACE 8
12-GO ALL IN 79.0
11-CORONA TIME 77.2
3-BEYOND BOUNDRIES 64.8
2-PACE TO BURN 64.8
4-MR. TRUMAN 63.8

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Wednesday, April 09, 2008

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-
Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER-
1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, April 08, 2008

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horses name-
This has happened five times that I know of in over 910 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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Monday, April 07, 2008

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR MONDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-VICKI'S MANDATE 65.4
8-PERFECT HONEY 54.0
6-SUMMER STREAM 50.6
1-WILD POPPER 22.5

1st time starters - 4, 3

RACE 2
9-GOLDEN VOLPONI 56.5
5-ATA HONOUR 54.5
8-DIXIE JO 54.0
1-TOUCH LUCK 21.9

1st time starters - 6, 4, 2, 7, 3, 10

RACE 3
6-WILLOW O WISP 97.8
1-NEW EXPORT 95.2 )
3-BILLY ALLEN 93.1
4-SWEET ROBERTO 88.1

RACE 4
1A-CAMEL POINT 98.4
5-JUST JULIAN 94.5
2-WAVELAND AVENUE 82.6
4-CHESTNUT TOUCH 78.4

RACE 5
2-MANANAN MCLIR 84.4
1-PLAN FOR FUN 83.2
5-HERBIE LOVE 81.4
8-TOLNAI 79.0

RACE 6
4-LUTYENS 85.0 (off Oct. 07)
1A-SCOTTY JONES 72.6
6-HIGH INVESTMENT 70.9
9-CADEAUX DU MONDE 64.3
8-MAJ. TROUBLE 63.8

RACE 7
5-CEE STONE 95.2
1-NOTTINGHAM FOREST 92.6 (entry)
4-HEATHERSDADDYSBABY 85.6
1A-ROUND TRIP FLIGHT 79.6

RACE 8
7-RAINGEAR 74.9
4-PACK YOUR BAGS 73.7
5-OKIE DOKIE PETEY 67.0
1-WARREN'S JACK V. 56.0
11-KBELLO 50.6

1st time starters - 8, 2

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Sunday, April 06, 2008

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUN.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-AMERICAN SYMPHONY 64.8
7-BALLPARK BUTTERFLY 58.5
1-DISCOVER DOLLY 53.5
3-B'S VALLEY GIRL (off slow)47.8

RACE 2
1-TOPPER'S SMILING 82.0 (off Aug. 07)
5-HENNESSY ROSE 79.0
2-ANGEL EYED 74.9
3-ADARLYN CAT 70.9

RACE 3
3-FAMILIAR STRANGER 88.8
5-YMUSTICHASETHECAT 84.4
6-WARREN'S SCOOTER 83.8
1-TOX DEE BEE 76.6

RACE 4
6-SAILOR'S SISTER 88.1
3-STATELY APPEAL 85.0
8-DECORATOR 83.2
1-HARMONY CREATOR 76.5

RACE 5
10-MAUI MARK 85.0
6-MAJOR SMOKE 77.2
8-WAYNE MANOR 70.3

1st time starters - 2, 4, 1, 3, 7, 9, 11

RACE 6
2-RATE OF EXCHANGE 79.6
11-BOSTON CAT 79.6
3-COURTLY COUTURE 76.0
9-STARZIG 69.8
7-SHY BABY 69.2

1st time starters - 6

RACE 7
4-TIZ ELEMENTAL 107.9
5-GLORIFIED 98.4
6-INTANGAROO 93.9
2-OVERLY TEMPTING 86.9

RACE 8
7-BACHELORETTE ONE 88.8
8-LIGHTMYFIREBABY 85.0
9-BOOTLEG ANNIE 82.6
5-ROCKELLA 81.3
4-SWISS CURRENT 81.0

RACE 9
7-MCARTHUR 66.4
10-SQUALLCREEK 64.8
5-CALL TRANSFER 64.4
9-NO GRANDE 64.3

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Saturday, April 05, 2008

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

PICK-6 CARRYOVER $108,186 FOR SATURDAY. THERE IS A $1,000,000. GUARANTEED PICK-6 TODAY.

RACE 1
3-GINOBILI 89.4
6-BUCK BASOLO 86.3
1-LOST PARADISE 84.5
13-PLUGINTHEJUG 83.9

1st time starters - 9, 8

RACE 2
7-SCREEN TO SCREEN 93.9
6-SUCESS FEE 77.2
8-LAKE MEZA 77.2
11-EXUMA 70.9

RACE 3
1-TISSY FIT 93.2
6-VICTORIAN PRINCE 87.5
7-SUPER STRUT 86.3
5-WESTERLY MAGIC 84.4
8-BOOMING COMPS 83.8

RACE 4
1-EL ROBLAR 112.1 (off June 07)
3-PEACE CHANT 111.4
4-SURF CAT 107.9
5-GREG'S GOLD 105.2

RACE 5
4-TRAIL MIX 105.0
1-CORONADO'S PRIDE 89.4 (off May 07)
9-PRESIDENTIAL CAUSE 85.6
11-GRAY BLACK N WHITE 85.0
3-FOREST DANZ 85.0

RACE 6
4-BOB BLACK JACK 110.7
8-EL GATO MALO 101.8
5-COLONEL JOHN 98.5
9-POLONIUS 96.1

RACE 7
3-DAYTONA 113.6
4-ARTISTE ROYAL 109.3
5-GOLDEN BALLS 101.8
7-STORM MILITARY 101.1

RACE 8
11-TANGLED TANGO 90.7
5-EL LEGADO 85.6
8-LOTACAT 82.6
9-PREMIUM QUALITY 72.6
3-VICTOR'S CRY 69.8 (off slow)

1st time starters - 10, 7

RACE 9
4-MISSIT 94.0
7-SWEETER STILL 87.5
5-THEODORA 87.5
8-GORGEOUS GOOSE 86.9

RACE 10
8-EUROGLIDE 99.8
3-PAUL'S HOPE 99.1
5-CAYAMBE 98.5
4-I'M ALL OUT 93.2
6-ALBERTUS MAXIMUS 93.1

RACE 11
10-LEMON CHIFFON 100.4 (off Jan. 07)
2-TWO TIMES WON 91.2
7-TUTTA BELLA 88.8
12-OVER FORLI 88.8
9-RANSOM CAPTIVE 87.5 (off slow)

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Friday, April 04, 2008

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRIDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 2 f.)
NO SELECTIONS

RACE 2
3-POLISH PETE 79.0
6-RICKY EL CORREDOR 77.8
1-C R CAPER 77.2
7-GRYLLS 72.6
4-SWISS ACE 72.6

RACE 3
5-FANTASTIC MEETING 100.2
2-CREDIBILITY 90.7
1-SIR BELL 80.8
4-DEWEY'S SPECIAL 80.4

RACE 4
1-INDIANSKI 72.0
8-PURR FOR ME 58.0
6-BEAR MOUNTAIN 52.1
9-BUILT FOR THEDERBY 49.2

1st time starters - 5, 3

RACE 5
3-GOLD DATNOID 76.4
8-DINE AT NINE 73.7
2-RED NECK GAL 68.4
4-ANNIE OAKLEAF 67.2

RACE 6
1-WARREN'S R READY 73.7 (off Dec. 07) (entry)
2-BONDI BABE 58.0
4-SMALL BUT MIGHTY 57.5
6-LITTLE GYPSY 57.0

1st time starters - 5, 7, 1A

RACE 7
2-MCCANN'S MOJAVE 112.0
1-LUCKY J. H. 100.5
3-MEDZENDEEKRON 97.7
8-UNUSUAL SUSPECT 97.1

RACE 8
7-SAVVY AND SMOOTH 84.4
9-NOBLE COURAGE 76.4
12-WINK AT THE GIRLS 73.1
8-DR ZAENTZ 72.6
13-KILDERRY 72.0

1st time starters - 6, 11, 3, 2, 10

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Thursday, April 03, 2008

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURS.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 2 f.)
NO SELECTIONS

RACE 2
1-RUN KITTY RUN 70.3
4-IN MY LIFE 68.6
3-O BEE NAKI 67.0
2-KENTUCKY WALTZ 63.8
5-DA SVEDONYA 62.7

RACE 3
4-LA TEE 90.7
3-HONORED GOLD 89.9 (off Aug. 07)
5-RED STATE RULES 88.8
2-BRENDOLYN 86.3

1st time starters - 6 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 4
4-FANTASY FREE 79.6
3-KISS MY CROWN 76.0
6-CHANGE YOUR MASK 75.4
2-PAROXYSM 74.6

RACE 5
1-GO FLAGS BRO 78.4
2-OLDTOPHATANDTAILS 74.2
10-SEVEN BELOW 61.1
8-RINGMASTER 59.6

1st time starters - 11

RACE 6
5-SHEBANG 76.6
2-CARLEY EFFECT 76.6
4-MISSING TREASURE 76.2
3-JUST LIKE HER 73.3
1-ALL SET 72.8

RACE 7
7-NO ADVANTAGE 97.8
9-BEHINDATTHEBAR 86.2
6-DESERT COWBOY 80.2
3-RIVERGRADE BOY 77.6

RACE 8
7-WARREN'S SASSY CAT 64.3
2-TITAN QUEEN 59.6
4-TRIPPED THE LIGHT 59.0
9-TUSCAN PRINCESS 58.5
8-CLASSY ATTRACTION 57.5

1st time starters - 11, 6

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Wednesday, April 02, 2008

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

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Tuesday, April 01, 2008

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWEREDTHERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horses name-
This has happened five times that I know of in over 910 posts on my blog. If it occurs use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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