Sunday, July 29, 2007

 

DEL MAR RACE TRACK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUN.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-TIGHT CIRCLE 79.6
8-GOLD ON GOSSAMER 79.6
1-ABBEY CAT 78.4
6-LOGAN AVENUE LINDA 76.6
4-LYRICAL SOUND 76.0

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
9-TOPPER SHOPPER 67.5
5-WARRENS FLYIN HIGH 38.6
8-JOE'S HOT 36.2

1st time starters - 2, 1, 4, 7, 3, 6

RACE 3
4-BLOWOUT 106.6
3-REFUSAL 95.2
5-JEALOUS PROFIT 92.6
8-RABBI 91.3
2-MEN ONLY 90.6

RACE 4
2-FORWARD COMMITMENT 84.6
4-BERKELEY CASTLE 79.6
3-MONTE BAJO 79.6
8-LEGATE 76.6

RACE 5
9-POWER BOY 99.1
4-OCEANUS 95.8
7-ABSOLUTE GLORY 94.8
1-EL MANUEL 92.8

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
7-AIDAN 64.3
6-THANKFULLY 64.3
4-MYSTIC GEISHA 53.0

1st time starters - 8, 5, 1, 9, 5, 3, 2

RACE 7
10-CHARMING LEGACY 91.9
9-BRANCA COMO NEVE 91.3
7-ILLUMINISE 90.7
1-I CAN SEE 86.3

RACE 8
3-GREG'S GOLD 110.0
2-BORDONARO 110.0
6-IN SUMMATION 104.5
9-BATTLE WON 103.8
5-DECLAN'S MOON 103.1

RACE 9
2-GOLDEN ROYAL 80.8
4-CONCLAVE 78.4
3-BAND OF THUNDER 77.8
11-ROCKIN FAST 75.4
1-OCEAN MELODY 74.9

Labels: , , , , , , , , ,


Saturday, July 28, 2007

 

DEL MAR RACE TRACK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

No Fri. recap due to late racing'

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-RUN RIGHT THRU 82.6
3-TOPPER'S SMILING 80.2
1-ANGEL EYED 72.0
6-FOXY GAMES 70.1

RACE 2
1-BLUE TORPEDO 98.5
6-STRIGHT RUN 97.1
4-PAIR OF KINGS 91.9
3-WESTERLY MAGIC 90.7
2-GLOBAL GENIUS 90.7

RACE 3
6-ICANMAKEITRAIN 93.9
1-GARY JOHN 92.6
3-GOTTA GETCHA 88.8
2-HOLY LARK 80.2

RACE 4
11-BUG IN A RUG 58.0
7-HUNSLEY BUNSLEY 54.5
4-HAPPYHOUR ATTHEBRIG 54.0
6-MIZ PARADIS 49.7
10-ANGELINA'S ACE 49.2

RACE 5
3-GHOST ACTOR 91.9
4-PT'S GREY EAGLE 91.9
7-NORWAY HOUSE 90.0
5-CARELESS CANDIDATE 84.4

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
5-DRILL DOWN 77.2
2-LAKE MEZA 70.9
12-OVEREXTENDED 61.6

1st time starters - 14, 7, 6, 4, 8, 1, 3, 9, 10

RACE 7
2-TIZFIZ 97.1
6-MIGHTY CLEVER 93.3
8-COTTON BAY 92.6 (off Nov. 05)
10-EXCESSIVEOBSESSION 91.9
1-KALAMATA 91.3

RACE 8
4-PRINCIPLE SECRET 105.9
9-MIDWESTERNER 100.0
1-FOREST PHANTOM 98.5
2-BLACK SPOT 96.5

1st time starters - 8 (in U.S.A.- fgn. -off Aug. 06)

RACE 9
7-SUPER FREAKY 98.4
9-LA TEE 93.4
11-FLEET CAROLINE 91.3
2-MOSTBEAUTIFULSTORM 90.0
3-PASSIFIED 89.4

RACE 10
11-LOOK DEEP 95.2
7-SCREEN GIANT 93.9
8-KATORI 91.9
2-CHOCOLATE LAVA 71.4

1st time starters - 4

Labels: , , , , , , , , ,


Wednesday, July 25, 2007

 

DEL MAR RACE TRACK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-REPUBICAN HAWK 105.2 (off June 05)
5-MINISTER BLAIR 98.5
1-DADSALITTLEUNUSUAL 96.5
3-CHURCH SERVICE 96.5

RACE 2
4-PUBLICATION 113.6
3-EXCEEDING 98.0
2-DR. EINSTEIN 88.8
5-SPOT THE DIPLOMAT 88.1

RACE 3
6-WHY YOU ASK 95.2
7-MI ARCOBALENO 94.5
1-FORTUNATE VICTORY 86.9
5-SMOOTH AND SAVVY 75.5

RACE 4
2-KAPALUA BAY 96.4
1-TEN DOWNING STREET 92.6
6-BUCK TUDDY BUCK 90.0
3-SOMETHING SONIC 87.5

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-LADY FLASHHEART 48.3
8-SWISS MARCI 48.3
6-SPONTANEOUS ANA 46.5
7-IBESMOKIN 44.6

1st time starters - 10, 5, 9, 3

RACE 6
8-ARROYO TRABUCO 82.6
3-ALPHA LUCKY 81.4
4-MELO JAZZ 80.2
7-BARCLAY DRIVE 77.8

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
1A-RUN BROTHER RON 82.6
4-NENE 80.2
3-HIGH INTELLECT 77.8
8-GEORGIE BOY 72.6

RACE 8
4-KENTUCKY WALTZ 70.3
2-JUSTICE IS BRIEF 64.3
3-LADY SORCERESS 63.2
1-QUEEN OF THE DERBY 61.1

Labels: , , , , , , ,


Tuesday, July 24, 2007

 

DEL MAR RACE TRACK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

Mon. recap- Race 1-1 pick scratched, Top 1st timer won (8.00) 2nd pick 2nd (3.20) 3rd pick 4th, top 2 picks boxed with top 1st timer- Ex (16.30) Q (16.00). Race 2- 4th pick "tied" won (8.60) 4th pick "tied" 2nd (5.60) Ex (23.50) Q (23.80) 2nd pick 3rd (3.80) trifecta (128.70) 4th pick 4th. Race 4- 2nd pick won (6.80) top pick 3rd (3.20). Race 5- Top Pick Won (5.60). Race 6- Top pick won (8.40) Daily Double (25.20). Race 7- 4th pick 2nd (5.00) 2nd pick 3rd (7.20). Race 8- Top Pick Won (4.20) 3rd pick 3rd (4.20) 4th pick 4th.

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horses name-
This has happened four times that I know of in over 680 posts on my blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Labels: , , , , , , , , ,


Monday, July 23, 2007

 

DEL MAR RACE TRACK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR MON.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6f.)
3-QUEEN OF THE I. E. 61.1
4-WARREN'S SQUEEZE 47.8
5-TEACHER'S RULE 46.0
6-SAVANNAH PEACH 33.8

1st time starters - 1, 2

RACE 2
5-EXCESSIVE TALE 62.7
4-SUISSE MOVEMENT 61.6
6-FOUR FOUR TWO 60.6
2-FIESTY ROSE 58.0
1-GOLD DATNOID 58.0
3-BLUSHING BEAR CAT 58.0

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
2-BARBARA'S LOVE 74.3
8-SPRING AWAKENING 70.3
3-ELECTRONIC DAZE 59.6
6-ALPINE YODEL 55.0

1st time starters - 4, 1, 7, 5

RACE 4
4-CHARM N BROAD 83.8
8-HELLO BOLLY 80.8
6-BLACK HILLS GOLDIE 76.6
5-GOOD N MUDDY 76.6

RACE 5
6-STEAMY STORY 79.6
4-MYSTERY HUNTER 72.0
1-SUR CHI CHI 66.4
3-COOL VALLEY COWBOY 65.9

1st time starters - 12

RACE 6
3-LAS VEGAS LUCKY 74.9
2-JACK THE DUFFER 73.1
7-BABY I'M LONELY 65.4
5-GUITAR MAN 64.8

RACE 7
6-GET OFF THE SUGAR 101.8
5-ADD HEAT 95.1
10-HEATED REBEL 94.5
3-OPTIMER 93.9
8-KARN 93.9

RACE 8
8-LIKE JOSIE WELLS 68.1
2-LARUE 65.9
10-VEILS DE FLEUR 63.8
9-RECKONING DAY 57.5
7-C R DEELITES 57.5

Labels: , , , , , , , , ,


Saturday, July 21, 2007

 

DEL MAR RACE TRACK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

No Fri. recap due to late night racing.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
7-ASIAN EYES 71.4
2-PRINCESS INTEGRITY 70.6
6-MISS O. FOUR 68.6
1-PHOEBE'S SONG 67.0

RACE 2
10-LUTYENS 80.2
7-PROTECTOROFALLEVIL 69.2
4-POLITICAL HIGH 65.9
8-SENIOR DISCOUNT 65.4

RACE 3
11-COLONEL COURTNEY 92.6
7-SILVER VISTA 90.7
4-LONE PRAIRIE 88.1
2-MCNASTY 84.4

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
4-B R'S GIRL 74.2
3-FOXY DANSEUR 49.7

1st time starters - 8, 2, 6, 1, 7

RACE 5
6-VORACIOUS 90.0
8-SOCIAL SATIRE 86.3
4-TRAIL MIX 85.6
14-I'MAGAMBLER 77.8
5-FRENCH SOUVENIR 77.2

RACE 6
3-THEIR HE GOES 97.8 (off Oct. 06)
6-BARBECUE EDDIE 87.5
4-SILVER LIGHT 80.8
5-WILD DIPLOMAT 77.8

1st time starters - 9, 2

RACE 7
7-FLEETHEART 101.5
8-ARM CANDY 94.5
5-DOUBLE TROUBLE 93.9
2-SWEET BELLE 91.3

RACE 8
6-FURIOSO STAR 106.6
2-RIDINGWITHTHEKING 94.5
3-BESTDRESSED 86.9
1-BLAZE IT 84.4

RACE 9
1-ARSON SQUAD 115.7
4-RAISE THE BLUFF 110.9
7-AWESOME GEM 107.3
5-BUZZARDS BAY 107.3

RACE 10
2-BLACK JACK ATTACK 90.7
4-MANANAN MCLIR 90.0
5-STEPHEN BRUCE 89.4
6-TOTALLY PLATINUM 88.1
8-CHADLINGTON 88.1

Labels: , , , , , , , , ,


Thursday, July 19, 2007

 

DEL MAR RACE TRACK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURS.

No Wed. recap due to late post.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-NEON PRINCESS 76.6
7-ZEE TOPPER 75.4
3-CURRY WRAY 74.3
2-BLAZEN BUNNY 69.8
8-ANDOVER THE CASH 69.3

RACE 2
4-JAMES THE THIRD 81.4
6-BLAKE'S PASSION 78.4
7-DAWN'S EARLY SKY 67.5
3-MIDNIGHTER 67.0

RACE 3
5-TUMBAGA 91.3
2-FLY FORREST FLY 84.4
9-PLAN FOR FUN 77.8
4-STORM ULTRA 76.6

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
5-QUEEN HOLLY 53.5
6-HI LILY HI LO 52.6
2-LA MINA 36.6
3-PRINCESS SUSAN M 35.4

1st time starters - 7, 8, 1, 4
RACE 5
8-TROJAN VICTORY 69.8
6-ST WAGER 68.1
1A-TORIKINS 61.1
7-RUNAWAY WINNER 60.1

RACE 6
1-SNOW FIGHTER 99.0
2-DR. SINATRA 99.0
5-AQUIRE THE FIRE 99.0
6-CAPT. SPARROW 86.3

RACE 7
9-MR. KATZ 97.8
5-SINNERS N SAINTS 95.8
6-RAILROAD 94.1
7-AMAZIN BLUE 91.3

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
1-TRANSVAAL SCOTTISH 48.8
10-MIX 48.3
3-SWISS E 37.4
8-PAPA NINO 32.7

1st time starters - 9, 6, 2, 4, 7

Labels: , , , , , , , , ,


Wednesday, July 18, 2007

 

DEL MAR - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-UNUSUAL SUSPECT 91.9
2-REATA'S ROCKET 90.0
1-BERNASCONI 85.6
3-ANOTHER KRIS 84.4

1st time starters - 5 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 2
1-PEACE BY PEACE 61.6
3-LADY LEFTENNANT 57.0
6-SPECIAL SMOKE 47.8
5-SECRET BARGAIN 14.8 (stopped)

1st time starters - 2, 4

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
3-GOOD MAN DAN 83.8
2-CORONAS AT DELMAR 58.5
7-MANY RIVERS 52.1

1st time starters - 1, 5, 6, 4

RACE 4
4-DOUBLE ACTION 107.3
1-TYCOON DOBY 91.9
10-FRANK THE BARBER 91.3
8-STAR INSIDE 89.4
7-SPARKLING NOTION 89.4

RACE 5
3-COOL HAND LUCCA 65.9
12-JUDGE GALLIVAN 64.3
8-RUN FOREST RUN 58.0
6-AVVENIMENTO 58.0
11-TRUCKEE LITE 57.5

RACE 6
3-NAUGHTYLILHOTTIE 70.3
11-SPEEDY CAJUN 68.1
4-MATTY G WHIZ 67.5
7-PEACE PLEDGE 67.5

RACE 7
2-VAUQUELIN 101.1
3-TEEMAN 97.1
5-MAYOR BOZARTH 92.6
10-PIRATES DEPUTY 88.2
4-CANDY'S BRO 88.2

RACE 8
6-MELLOW CAMMIE 85.0
1-SABIO 85.0
5-ICANMAKEITRAIN 83.2
9-SIX PACK ABS 83.2

RACE 9
3-IMAGINE 89.4
10-ROYAL PRANA 88.8
7-TEMPERANCE 87.5 (off Oct. 06)
5-ROCKET KITTY 84.4

Labels: , , , , , , , ,


Tuesday, July 17, 2007

 

DEL MAR RACETRACK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.

All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Labels: , , , , , , , ,


Monday, July 16, 2007

 

DEL MAR RACETRACK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT DEL MAR TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horses name-
This has happened four times that I know of in over 680 posts on my blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Labels: , , , , , , , ,


Saturday, July 14, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

No Fri. recap due to late night racing.


REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.


ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.


RACE 1
5-OUR PARTNER 89.4
2-JUSTINPLACE 83.8
1-BALLESTRO 69.2
4-HIDDEN POINT 67.0

RACE 2
1-ALPINE SPORT 82.0
8-FRENCH SOUVENIR 74.9
4-FIGURES 72.6
2-SWISS LAD 71.4

RACE 3
5-MADERA ROYAL 77.8
6-GOLDEN VIA 75.5
1-HOLD THE GAME 72.6
3-LADY DISDAIN 67.6

RACE 4
2-SENIOR 82.2 (off Dec. 06)
1-CHANCELLOR 81.4
4-MONTE BAJO 74.3
9-TANNER'S ROCKET 69.8

RACE 5
6-I'M ALL OUT 104.5
1-ROBBOS COURAGE 95.2
5-KRUGER PARK 88.1
3-EL GREGO 75.2

RACE 6
10-LA PETRA 91.3
13-NOSEY BRITCHES 72.6 (off May 06)
3-FIFTH BASE 63.8
11-MAD DUCK 57.5

1st time starters - 4, 2, 5, 14

RACE 7
6-WONDROUS EVENT 80.2
1-CHEESE FACE 78.1
2-WARREN'S ADVENTURE 77.8
3-TEEN AGE BRIDE 71.4

RACE 8
4-DESERT CODE 106.6
3-TIAGO 104.5
2-ALBERTUS MAXIMUS 96.5
5-AWESOME GAMBLER 93.9

RACE 9
2-DOLLAR MOUNTAIN 64.7
9-MEDIA MAN 59.0
4-DIXIELAND EASY 58.5
7-FOLLOWS NONE 58.5

1st time starters - 1, 6, 5, 8, 3

Labels: , , , , , , , ,


Friday, July 13, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRI.

Thurs. recap- Out of our top 8 picks we had 4 wins, 3 seconds and one 3rd place finish. In our selections and picks for the eight races we had all eight exactas and q's with six out of the seven trifectas possible. The largest payouts being in the sixth race- $1 payouts= Ex (57.90) Q (86.20) Trifecta (279.10). There were too many winning results to list individually and post their payouts with prices for all the races.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-FAMILY GUY 111.1
4-IZA GENERAL 106.6
3-MI REY 89.4
1-DA CARDINAL 88.8 (entry)

RACE 2
4-ORO DESERT 70.9
1-LARGO 70.3
9-CAPE KENNEDY 68.6
2-FULL GALLOP 68.6
3-CORKONIAN 68.6

RACE 3
12-ATTACK JACK 99.1
2-BIGUM 78.1
5-ABANDONEER 77.2
9-BOB'S BEE 75.9

RACE 4
8-TOWN THIEF 82.6
1-SON MONTUNO 72.0
2-FIVE STAR CHARM 71.4
6-RIVER ISLAND 69.0

RACE 5
6-JAKE SKATE 95.8
5-SEEKING ANSWERS 92.6
3-DENIED 90.7
1-DIRECT CONNECT 87.0

RACE 6
8-RUDEAMEANIE 74.9
6-WILD BEGINNINGS 68.1
15-ROAR IN SOLANA 58.0
10-CARDS SPEAK-56.5

1st time starters - 5, 13, 2, 3, 14

RACE 7
6-KARLEE'S KITTEN 92.6
2-OAKHILL GIRL 84.9
4-PRIVATE DREAMS 84.4
1-LAKE MARINA 81.4

RACE 8
12-NICCOLO DREAM 69.2
6-WEFT 64.8
13-CASCADIA'S STAR 61.6
5-MANDATE TO FLY 58.8

Labels: , , , , , , , ,


Thursday, July 12, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURS.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-TIZFIZ 95.8
4-HENNESSY ROSE 77.7
2-KATORI 68.1
3-CHARMING POINT 38.2

1st time starters - 1

RACE 2
2-CAPTAIN SACTO 83.2
1-IRISH HONOR 76.6
3-DIXIE'S RULER 73.7
6-VITALI 71.4

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
5-UNLIMITED GOLD 55.5
6-PROUD GARRISON 44.2
7-ONGOING 43.3
2-WARREN'S YEAR 42.9

1st time starters - 3, 4

RACE 4
2-GARY JOHN 90.7
4-PAUL'S HOPE 76.6
1-SCOONERWHARFBARDOG 68.1
6-JAMAICANMELATE 59.6
5-FUTURE SEARCH 59.6

RACE 5
1-EASY OBSESSION 96.5
8-MOOD WINNER 87.5
4-NEWPORT TOPPER 71.6
6-VATCHESVENDETTA 69.8
3-STAR VOYAGER 69.8
5-TIZ NEXT 69.8

RACE 6
3-LIGHT FINGERS 68.7
5-PROMISE OF SPRING 68.6
1-HONORED GOLD 64.3
8-IN MY GLORY 64.3
2-LA BEAU EM 63.8

RACE 7
4-ONLY ONE WAY 107.3
1-CIGAR PAL 95.2
3-QUEEN'S IMAGE 92.6
6-HEADACHE 85.6

RACE 8
1-GOLDEN VENTURE 60.1
7-PROUD MAGIC 56.5
5-MORE THAN A LADY 51.6
2-FLIGHT CLEARANCE 50.6

1st time starters - 9, 6, 3

Labels: , , , , , , , ,


Wednesday, July 11, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-DADSALITTLEUNUSUAL 93.2
3-WESTERLY MAGIC 89.4
4-GLOBAL GENIUS 87.5
2-PAPANONIE 83.8

RACE 2
3-T. H. PRAISE 69.2
6-IRON DUKE 64.3
7-CAN'T SAY NO 55.0
8-SI SE PUEDE 54.5

RACE 3
4-CELTIC WAY 87.5
7-O BEE NAKI 71.4
2-GHOSTLY GIRL 68.6
5-EVER SO NICE 68.1

RACE 4
2-URBAN DOLL 62.7
3-RISKY GAME 61.6
1-C R DEELITES 56.5
5-STARLIGHT WISH 53.5 (off slow)
8-QUEENOFTHEBRAHMS 53.5

RACE 5
7-BERTHA JOE 74.9 (off June 06)
5-MISS BORDEAUX 74.9 (off March 06)
8-DELPHINA 71.4
2-PROUD OF MY CURLS 69.8

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
7-SAYIT 68.1
3-IDIDNTMEANTOO 66.5
10-LOVEHI 65.9
9-STITCHIT 55.0

1st time starters - 5, 4, 2, 8, 6

RACE 7
4-SIX CENTS OF HUMOR 86.9
6-MASHINA 79.6
5-TIGHT CIRCLE 79.0
3-ABBEY CAT 78.4

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
7-ZOOMIN ZABEL 55.5
1-SANDITA 55.0
6-EL VAGO 55.0
3-RAZOR CUT 52.6

1st time starters - 8, 5

Labels: , , , , , , , ,


Tuesday, July 10, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.

All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Labels: , , , , , , , ,


Monday, July 09, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

Sun. recap - Seven winners Sunday were either our top or second picks to win.

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horses name-
This has happened four times that I know of in over 670 posts on my blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Labels: , , , , ,


Sunday, July 08, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUN.

No Sat. recap due to late posting.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-SPRIGGZEE 80.8
4-NOBLE MASTERPIECE 79.4
1-ROYAL CLASSIC 73.7
2-JOHNNY HIGH BRITE 72.6

RACE 2
4-CHARMIN DOT 93.9
1-RED OPAL 80.8
2-TOPPER'S GOLD 74.5
3-LA SWING 72.0

RACE 3
2-WATCH OVER ME 106.6
4-PT'S GREY EAGLE 84.3
5-QUIET PERIOD 82.6
1-TUG O' WAR 77.2

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
2-BARBARA'S LOVE 65.4
6-I DIG HER 63.2
1-YODELFEST 58.5

1st time starters - 3, 5, 4

RACE 5
5-OUR PARTNER 88.8
2-CASUAL THUNDER 86.9
1-OCEAN MELODY 82.8
4-WELLNESSFAST 79.6

RACE 6
4-ITSCHELSEAGIRL 74.3
5-LYRICAL SOUND 72.2
2-C'S SMOKIN 68.7
7-HAPPY CELYNA 67.6

RACE 7
8-MISS BERTRANDO 75.4
5-STELLINA 67.0
6-WOLDCAT GIRL 61.6
1-KAITLYN'S LIGHT 58.0

1st time starters - 2

RACE 8
5-LATIN RHYTHMS 106.6
7-STORMY GRANT 95.2
1-CELTIC DREAMIN 93.2
2-POINTING STAR 92.6

RACE 9
7-HUMIDITY 77.2 (off July 06)
1-PHOEBE'S SONG 76.0
12-THEMIS VALENTINE 68.6
5-MON QUEEN 67.0

1st time starters - 9, 14, 6, 10

Labels: , , , , , , ,


Saturday, July 07, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT. 7/07/2007

No Fri. recap due to late night racing.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
7-TENGA CAT 94.5
4-TEMECULA CREEK 93.8
5-MEDZENDEEKRON 90.0
1-TEN DOWNING STREET 79.0

RACE 2
2-GRAND POINT 95.8
3-DILEMMA 95.2
1-KING PALM 95.2
7-TIZ AFIRE 93.2

RACE 3
4-HYSTERICALADY 120.1
1-NASHOBA'S KEY 110.7
2-BALANCE 110.0
3-BALLADO'S THUNDER 93.9

RACE 4
4-DR. SKIMMING 80.2
5-MONASTERY SCANDAL 69.8
2-SET FOR COMBAT 64.8
3-ALFRED KENT 58.0

1st time sytarters - 6, 1, 8

RACE 5
3-JITTERBUG BALL 98.4
6-SINISTER MINISTER 93.9
4-BRILLIANT CUT 92.0
2-TAXI FLEET 91.3

RACE 6
4-FORTUNATE VICTORY 90.7
9-MI ARCOBALENO 85.6
5-FORWARD COMMITMENT 81.4
8-TELEPATHIC 81.4

RACE 7
10-PIECES OF PARADISE 76.0
5-CARLY EFFECT 75.4
11-GERI HEARS AN ECHO 74.9
8-JUST LIKE HER 71.4

RACE 8
6-STRIGHT RUN 93.9
3-HEATED REBEL 93.2
2-YODELEN DAN 92.0
5-PICK VIC 91.3

RACE 9
5-SURF CAT 125.3 (off May 06)
4-EL ROBLAR 116.4
8-SILENT NAME 112.9
1-SAILORS SUNSET 110.0

RACE 10
4-PANTY RAID 106.6
3-VALBENNY 105.9
8-AUDACIOUS CHLOE 101.1
5-ROBE DECOLLETTE 99.3 (fgn.)

1st time starters - 6 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 11 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
7-NUMISMATIST 72.0
1-GEORGIE BOY 71.4
9-DIXIE CHATTER 52.6
6-BERESFORD 40.7

1st time starters - 4, 8, 3, 2

Labels: , , , , , , , ,


Friday, July 06, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRI.

Thur. recap- Race 1- 2nd pick won (3.60)top pick 2nd (2.60) boxed- Ex (3.40) Q (3.20) 3rd pick 3rd (2.40) trifecta (7.60). Race 2- 3rd pick won (6.60) top pick 2nd (3.00) 2nd pick 3rd (2.20) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (9.90) Q (9.40). Race 3-1 pick scratched, 2nd pick won (19.40) top pick 2nd (2.20) boxed- Ex (17.50) Q (9.60) 4th pick 3rd (2.20) trifecta (35.60). Race 4- 1 pick scratched, 2nd pick won (9.80) top pick 2nd (3.20) boxed- Ex (17.50) Q (15.60). Race 5- 4th pick won (7.00) 3rd pick 2nd (7.60) top pick 3rd (2.60) picks boxed- Ex- (24.90) Q (29.80) trifecta (68.40). Race 6- Top Pick Won (5.40) 2nd pick 2nd (4.40) Ex (11.10) Q (11.60) 3rd pick 3rd (5.20) trifecta in order (71.40). Race 7- 2nd pick won (3.80) top pick 2nd (3.40) boxed- Ex (6.30) Q (9.80) 3rd pick 3rd (2.40). Race 8-top pick 2nd (2.80) 2nd pick 4th.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THERE WILL NOT BE A FRIDAY RECAP DUE TO LATE NIGHT RACING.

RACE 1
2-SIMI LOST 100.6
6-OLYMPIC MILER 99.8
3-RAPID SILVER 83.2
1-CELTIC SWORD 81.9

RACE 2
7-PEACE ACCORD 91.9
2-STEAMY STORY 78.4
5-TOP LEESE 73.1
4-TY TWO 9.9

1st time starters - 1, 3, 8, 6

RACE 3
3-PASSIFIED 91.9
6-DIVA'S SEASTAR 84.4
2-ALLISON'S ART 81.4
4-SPENDITALLBABY 80.6

RACE 4
1-CHEROKEE TEAR 83.8
7-AWESOME SHINE 72.0
3-OSCAR THE MAYOR 69.8
2-WINESHINE 60.6

1st time starters - 4, 5

RACE 5
9-KISS TO HEAVEN 118.6 (fgn.)
6-PRICE TAG 115.7
7-LADY OF VENICE 103.8
5-DANCING EDIE 103.8

RACE 6
2-SIXCESS 94.5
3-MY CITY BY THE BAY 88.8
7-DR. SINATRA 86.9
6-BLAZE IT 86.3

RACE 7
2-PUSSYCAT DOLL 117.9
7-CLINET 101.3
1-GETBACK TIME 100.4
10-SOMETHINABOUTLAURA 98.1

RACE 8
1-ZAYED 105.9 (off Aug. 06)
8-BILLS PAID 102.5
5-MIDWESTERNER 85.0 (off Sept. 06)
6-SMUDGELEDO 82.6

RACE 9
9-TEJANO FOREVER 72.0
8-DR. OLIVER 54.5
5-ROCKY JOE 53.5
7-HANDSOME MICHAEL 53.5

Labels: , , , , , , ,


Thursday, July 05, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THURS.

Wed. recap - Race 1- 3rd pick won (5.40) top pick2nd (2.80) only 1st timer 3rd (2.80) 2nd pick 4th, top 3 picks boxed- Ex (6.80) Q ( 6.80) with 1st timer- trifecta (14.40). Race 2- 4th pick won (25.20) top pick 2nd (3.40) 2nd pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (40.50) Q (35.60). Race 3- Top Pick Won (3.60) 3rd pick 2nd (4.20) 2nd pick 3rd (3.60) top pick keyed to next 2 picks- Ex (6.60) Q (9.00) trifecta (23.60). Race 4- 2nd pick won (6.20) top pick 2nd (2.60) boxed- Ex (6.10) Q (5.80) 3rd pick 4th. Race 5-2nd 1st timer 2nd (12.20) 2nd pick 3rd (4.40). Race 6-2nd pick won (3.00) 4th pick 2nd (3.80) 3rd pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (5.20) Q (8.40). Race 7-2nd pick won (15.20) top pick 2nd (5.20) boxed- Ex (28.90) Q (30.00) 3rd pick 3rd (4.80) trifecta (145.30). Race 8- 2 picks scratched, Top Pick Won (3.80)2nd 1st timer 2nd (3.40) 2nd pick 3rd (4.60) Top pick keyed to next pick and 2 top 1st timers- Ex (6.30) Q (7.60) trifecta (48.00).


REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.


ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.


RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
6-CATINTHEPINKHAT 56.5
1-WARREN'S APPEAL 53.0
3-IBESMOKIN 44.2
2-STEEL KITTEN 27.2

1st time starters - 5, 4

RACE 2
5-AFLEET ALOHA 74.9
2-A TOAST TO TANNER 69.2
3-MEAUX POWER 63.8
4-DOMORON DOMORON 63.2

RACE 3
4-G. I. BETTY 81.4
1-CELERITAS 72.6
5-AWESOME BROAD 70.3
3-NINAAKINA 67.5
2-CHOCOLATE LAVA 67.0

RACE 4
7-UP IN THE GODS 76.0
8-VITALI 71.4
6-CORKONIAN 67.0
2-HUDSON BANK 66.4

RACE 5
1-DADSALITTLEUNUSUAL 91.9
3-SURF TOWN 91.3
6-PROWLING CAT 89.4
4-TEEMAN 89.4

RACE 6
1-LAS VEGAS LUCKY 64.3
6-BABY I'M LONELY 61.1
3-UNUSUAL MEN 58.5
5-LONGHORN 58.0
2-PAPA BRUSCHI 58.0

RACE 7
5-WIND WATER 104.5
4-DECLAN'S MOON 100.4
1-YES HE'S A PISTOL 95.2
3-BUSHWACKER 92.6

RACE 8
3-AFLEET'S DESIRE 66.4
13-JORDAN SHELBY 57.0
12-HAPPYHOUR ATHEBRIG 56.0
9-RUTHIE'S GIRL 54.5

Labels: , , , , , ,


Wednesday, July 04, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-SIX AGAIN 65.9
6-WESTERN COMMENT 61.6
4-FORESTRY'S FIRE 61.6
2-NORTHERN DIPLOMAT 42.4

1st time starters - 3, 1

RACE 2
4-I BEAT THE FIRE 77.2
2-HIGH EENA 71.8
6-THUNDERING RHYTHM 70.3
1-CLOSET TRADER 67.0

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
8-CARSON'S COPPER 68.1
4-CRAFTY RULER 51.6
5-NEWTON'S MEMORY 45.1
2-DUSTY TRAIL 37.8

1st time starters - 3, 7

RACE 4
3-LE CIRQUE 88.1
2-NOOTKA ISLAND 86.9
5-FOLLOW THE CLUES 82.6
1-LIKELY A STAR 78.4

RACE 5
4-ALMOST A TEN 74.3
1-THESSALONIKI 58.5
3-AFTER CURFEW 51.1
8-TUFF N LUCKY 48.3

1st time starters - 2, 6

RACE 6
3-SOUL CITY SLEW 105.9
4-CROSSING THE LINE 105.0
5-NEW EXPORT 99.1
6-TERROPLANE 93.9

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
6-LEONIDES 87.5
2-SALUTE THE SARGE 80.2
8-WHATEVER WHENEVER 79.0
9-KINETIC MOTION 74.3

1st time starters - 10

RACE 8
7-FLOWER FUSION 67.0
3-MIZ PARADIS 47.4
2-WARREN'S ALOHAMOON 47.4
9-EBONESS 45.1 (off May 06)

1st time starters - 5, 1, 10

Labels: , , , , , , , ,


Tuesday, July 03, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterday's post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horses name-This has happened five times that I know of in over 670 posts on my blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Labels: , , , , , ,


Monday, July 02, 2007

 

HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR MON.

SPECIAL MONDAY RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK.

THERE IS A PICK-6 CARRYOVER OF $3,274,505. FOR MONDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 f.)
1-MY MALOOF ROCKER 57.5
2-DEBATING SOCIETY 50.6
5-MALIA SOFIA 39.4
6-WARREN'S SQUEEZE 35.8

1st time starters - 3, 4

RACE 2
1-SO LONG SONOMA 93.9 (entry)
6-QUIET KIM 82.0
1A-REBEL CREEK 80.2
2-BOSSET 79.6

RACE 3 (START OF PICK-6)
7-TALARIS 80.8
8-SKIPASLEW 79.6
6-PLAN FOR FUN 75.0
4-BLACK HORSE MONEY 71.4

RACE 4
2-TONY MONTANA 93.2
4-PRESSTHEPACE 92.6
7-COYOTE FAST 91.9
1-DR. MOHRBACHER 81.4

RACE 5
3-GET OFF THE SUGAR 100.4
6-KEY MAKER 98.4
2-POWER SHIFT 95.2
4-OUTLAW JONES 94.5

RACE 6
4-BENCH WENCH 70.9
7-LT. LORRAINE 62.2
3-GUYDANCEFROMABOVE 37.8
2-PEACE BY PEACE 30.8

1st time starters - 8, 6, 1, 5

RACE 7
4-COCO BELLE 105.9
5-INTO REALITY 94.5
6-GLORIFIED 92.6
2-SWISS DIVA 92.0
7-YOU ARE THE ANSWER 92.0

RACE 8
3-SEEMS TO ME 84.4 (off Aug. 06)
5-RYDELL 73.1
14-COOL HAND LUCCA 69.8
13-OUR PAPA JOE 68.1

1st time starters - 7, 9

Labels: , , , , , , , ,


Sunday, July 01, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICK AND SELECTONS FOR SUN.

Sat. recap- Race 1- Top Pick Won (7.80) 4th pick 2nd (4.80) 3rd pick 3rd (5.00) 2nd pick 4th, Top Pick Keyed- Ex (15.40) Q (19.00). Race 2- Top Pick Won (5.60) Daily Double (29.20) 2nd pick 2nd (6.00) Ex (16.80) Q (18.20) top 1st timer 3rd (3.20) trifecta (58.10). Race 3- Top Pick Won (4.40) Pick-3 (36.10) Daily Double (11.20) 3rd pick 3rd (5.80) 4th pick 4th (dq'd from 1st). Race 4- 3rd pick 2nd (5.40) 4th pick 3rd (8.40)_ 2nd pick 4th. Race 5- top pick 2nd (2.60) 4th pick 4th. Race 6- Top Pick Won (7.80) 3rd pick 4th. Race 7-2nd pick 2nd (4.80) 4th pick 3rd (5.40) 3rd pick 4th. Race 8- 2nd pick won (6.60). Race 9- 4th pick won (16.20) 4th pick "tied" 2nd (3.80) top pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (35.30) Q (30.40). Race 10- 2nd pick won (4.80) 4th pick 2nd (7.40) top pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (18.70) Q (26.20). Race 11- Top 1st timer won (25.20) 2nd 1st timer 3rd (12.40) 3rd pick 4th.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THERE IS A PICK-6 CARRYOVER OF $1,386,235.33 FOR SUNDAY.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 5 1/2 f.)
1-TASHA'S MIRACLE 70.9
6-CRY AND CATCH ME 57.0
3-SEATTLE AVENUE 26.1

1st time starters - 4, 5, 2

RACE 2
3-GRECIAN SPUR 76.0
5-BERTRAND AT MR A'S 64.3
12-MARKMEGOOD 64.3
11-IRON DUKE 64.3
1-CALCULATION 63.8

1st time starters - 10

RACE 3
1-CITRONNADE 123.0
6-NAUGHTY RAFAELA 99.1
3-MABADI 97.8
4-NAKABA 93.0

RACE 4
4-RUNAWAY WINNER 73.7
10-TORIKINS 60.1
2-KALADY 59.6
1A-WARREN'S SUMMER 58.6

RACE 5
6-SWEET BELLE 95.8
4-DOUBLE TROUBLE 94.5
5-SOL MI FA 91.3
3-KRIS' SIS 91.3

RACE 6
6-RING OF FRIENDSHIP 97.8
11-ITSTUFFTOBEGOOD 95.2
7-RAISE THE HEAT 91.3
5-EXCLAMATION 88.8

RACE 7
7-VORACIOUS 92.6
11-JOHN HENNESSY 83.8
5-CLAN CHIEF 81.4
8-HEMET THOUGHT 81.4

RACE 8
2-T'AINT WAR SIR 94.8
8-ORGAN PIPE 89.4
9-SHEM 88.1
3-HOIST THE SAIL 88.1

RACE 9
8-APPEALING SWEETS 76.0
2-A P BULLETIN 62.2
1-VIOLET BROOK 53.5
5-IMPULSE BUY 53.0
7-RECKONING DAY 52.1

1st time starters - 9

Labels: , , , , , , , ,


This page is powered by Blogger. Isn't yours?