Monday, April 30, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

Sun. recap- Race 1- Top Pick Won (3.60) 3rd pick 3rd (7.00) 2nd pick 4th. Race 2- Top Pick Won (3.60) Daily Double (6.80) 4th pick 2nd (6.20) 2nd pick 3rd (2.40) Top Pick Keyed- Ex (11.50) Q (18.60) trifecta (32.00). Race 3- 2nd pick won (5.20) 4th pick 2nd (3.60) picks boxed- Ex (8.60) Q (8.60). Race 4- 1 pick scratched, Top Pick Won (3.60) 2nd pick 4th. Race 5-2nd pick won (6.20) 3rd pick 3rd (4.00). Race 6- 4th pick won (16.80) 3rd pick 2nd (6.60) top pick 3rd (3.40) picks boxed- Ex (49.80) Q (52.80) trifecta (230.70). Race 7- 1 pick scratched, 3rd pick 2nd (7.00) top pick 3rd (4.60) 2nd pick 4th. Race 8- 2nd pick won (6.00) 3rd pick 3rd (6.00) top pick 4th. Race 9-2nd pick 3rd (3.40) 3rd pick 4th. Race 10- 3rd pick won (30.00) top pick 2nd (4.20) 2nd 1st timer 3rd (22.60) top 3 picks boxed with 2nd 1st timer- Ex (42.20) Q (31.00) trifecta (2,193.00) and if you added our 3rd 1st timer the superfecta paid (15,092.90).

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.
THERE WILL BE A SPECIAL RACING CARD ON TUESDAY, MAY 1, POST 1:20 PDT.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterdays post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horses name-
This has happened four times that I know of in over 605 posts on my blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Saturday, April 28, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

THERE IS A PICK-6 CARRYOVER OF $1,481,038 SATURDAY.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f. )
3-SUNSHINE LOVER ?
5-HI LILY HI LO ?
(no other selections)

RACE 2
2-DOUBLE GALORE 108.6
6-BLACK SPOT 108.6
3-GRAND POINT 97.8
5-SINISTER MINISTER 95.8
1-A. P. XCELLENT 95.2

RACE 3
4-BIG PICTURE 97.8
6-IZA GENERAL 88.8
2-TEN DOWNING STREET 88.1
7-STRAIGHT RUN 79.6 (off Oct. 05)
5-ADD HEAT 79.0

RACE 4
1-EVALUATE 89.5
3-FORWARD COMMITMENT 72.6
2-AWESOME GAMBLER 69.8
7-CRYPTOMITE 67.6

RACE 5
8-SILENT SOUL 90.7
7-PAWNEE 80.2
9-LUBERON 77.6
5-CAYAMBE 77.2

RACE 6
3-GO DAWG 93.9
13-POULE D'EAU 74.9
2-STOP THE HUMOR 67.8
6-FOREST MELODY 66.4

1st time starters - 5, 10, 8, 11

RACE 7
3-OLIVER TWISTED 94.5
2-MY CITY BY THE BAY 86.9
1-DUTY ROSTER 83.8
5-BLAZE IT 75.4

RACE 8
6-WILLOW O WISP 105.9
1-RAILROAD 103.8
8-SOUND BREEZE 103.1
4-STORMIN AWAY 103.1

RACE 9
16-VIA RODEO 80.2
1-SILVER AND BLACK 77.8
4-BRUMMEL 70.9 (off slow)
9-I BEAT THE FIRE 70.2

1st time starters - 14, 3

Thursday, April 26, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THUR.

Wed. recap- Race 1- Top Pick Won (3.60) 2nd pick 3rd (4.60) 4th pick 4th. Race 2- 3rd pick won (4.80) 4th pick 2nd (3.80) picks boxed- Ex (7.40) Q (7.80). Race 3- 3rd pick 2nd (5.60) 4th pick 4th. Race 4- 3rd pick 3rd (3.40) top pick 4th. Race 5- 1 pick scratched, Top Pick Won (9.20). Race 6- 2nd pick won (5.00) top pick 3rd (4.60) 4th pick 4th. Race 7- 2nd pick won (9.00) only 1st timer 4th. Race 8- 2nd pick won (17.80) top pick 2nd (3.40) boxed- Ex (20.90) Q (15.20) 2nd 1st timer 4th. Note: If you played our top 2 picks in each race of the late pick four for $16.00 you won and collected (843.30).

THERE IS A PICK-6 CARRYOVER OF $101,134. THURSDAY.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-QUIET KIM 85.0
1-FOREST HUNTRESS 84.4
4-MUSICAL ECHO 84.4
3-GREAT OPINIONS 82.6

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 4 1/2 f.)
8-SIPHON THE KITTY ?
2-MAGIC MIKE ?
7-KRIS THE RED ?

RACE 3
1-DEALER CHOICE 104.5
5-FANTASTIC SPAIN 101.1
6-MACDUFF 100.4
4-FAST AND FURIOUS 95.2

1st time starters - 2 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 4
1A-BARCLAY DRIVE 72.0 (entry)
7-I'M A SHOE IN 70.9
4-UP IN THE GODS 68.1
10-T. H. PRAISE 67.6

1st time starters - 1 (entry)

RACE 5
3-PINDARIC 93.9
5-SQUEEZE ME TIGHT 91.3
6-CHARMIN DOT 88.1
1-MOOGIE 80.2

RACE 6
7-MEMORIES OF SUE 62.7
3-BERNINA BEAUTY 61.1
2-KALADY 51.6
8-STEVE'S LIL GIRL 47.8

RACE 7
6-JACK'S KID 115.0
2-GOTAGHOSTOFACHANCE 102.5
1-SOUL CITY SLEW 100.6
7-I'LL PREY FOR YOU 92.6

RACE 8
12-NEUTRALITY 88.1
9-FLYING SPY 77.2
5-MIZ PARADIS 51.6
1-SUMMER GAL 46.0

1st time starters - 2, 11, 8, 3, 10

Wednesday, April 25, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-RUN FOR DESSERT 65.4
2-PEARL'S 'N' SATIN 65.4
8-BRIGHT DESIGN 63.2
5-WATCHER KNOWS 60.6

RACE 2
7-MUSIC AND MAGIC 74.9
8-ALICE PORTLOCK 74.9 (off July 06)
6-WORTHY CAUSE 72.2
5-FOREST MISS 69.2

RACE 3
3-SPY ALY 83.2
1-BUTTERFLY BELLE 82.0
6-RED OPAL 79.6
4-JAY AY 76.0

RACE 4
10-BLAKE'S PASSION 91.9
9-TSETSE FLY 74.1
2-ONE SOCK WONDER 71.4
6-WEFT 69.2

1st time starters - 3

RACE 5
2-FLEET CAROLINE 102.8
3-LE CIRQUE 88.1
10-MONTARA 86.9
4-STORM QUEEN 85.6

RACE 6
7-SLOW N EASY 94.5
3-NATURAL PHENOMENON 89.4
4-FRANKLIN'S TOWER 87.5
9-EASY MILLION 86.2

RACE 7
10-SINGALONG 99.8
9-CHARM THE GIANT 97.1
6-POLYFIRST 91.3
5-QUEMAR 89.4

1st time starters - 1 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 8
8-WARREN'S ADVENTURE 68.6
1-LIL NUGGET 60.6
9-THESSALONIKI 56.5
12-LYPHARD'S DANCER 50.2
10-GLIDING STAR 49.2 (off slow)

1st time starters - 11, 3

Tuesday, April 24, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.

All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Monday, April 23, 2007

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

SUNDAYS POST WAS NUMBER 600 MADE BY ME ON SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA HORSE RACING WITH HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS.

Sun. recap for Santa Anita- We had 6 top horse picks win with two 2nd horse picks win. Race 1- Top Pick Won (7.80) 3rd pick 2nd (6.20) 4th pick 3rd (3.80) top pick keyed- Ex (16.20) trifecta (74.30). Top Pick Won (4.20) Daily Double (17.60) 2nd pick 3rd (2.60) 3rd pick 4th. Race 3- top pick 3rd (2.40). Race 4- Top Pick Won (5.40) 2nd pick 2nd (2.40) Ex (5.10) 4th pick 3rd (3.00) top pick keyed- Trifecta (15.70). Race 5- 1 pick scratched, Top Pick Won (9.40) Daily Double (18.80). Race 6- 1 pick scratched, top pick 2nd (4.20). Race 7- 1 pick scratched, Top Pick Won (4.60)2nd pick 3rd (3.20). Race 8- Top Pick Won (11.40) Daily Double (25.00) 3rd pick 3rd (4.20) 2nd pick 4th. Race 9- 2nd pick won (7.40) 3rd pick 2nd (3.40) 4th pick "tied" 3rd (4.40) 4th pick "tied" 4th, Picks boxed- Ex (11.80) trifecta (72.30). Race 10- 2nd pick won (7.80) top 1st timer 2nd (19.40) 2nd 1st timer 4th, top 2 picks boxed with top 1st timer- Ex (44.50).

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could also have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterdays post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horses name-
This has happened four times that I know of in over 600 posts on my blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Sunday, April 22, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUN.

Sat. recap- No recap due to late posting for Sun.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-FIREBIRD SWEET 94.5
1-OPTIMER 92.6
5-RUSH RUSH 90.0
6-CITY STORMER 88.1
4-PRESIDENTIAL CAUSE 87.5

RACE 2
4-RUNS IN THE FAMILY 87.5
3-SPRIGGZEE 77.8
5-BULLET TRAIN 73.7
2-PLAN FOR FUN 73.1

RACE 3
6-COM EASY 80.3
2-SUICIDE SQUEEZE 73.7
4-MPUMALANGA 70.9 (off slow)
5-MARVELOUS MARCIA 69.1

RACE 4
4-SWING OUT 67.5
1-JOHNNY THE WATCH 58.6
8-APOLLO'S SCAT KAT 47.8
3-MERGER MANIA 39.0

RACE 5
4-YES MASTER 96.5
5-INDIAN WEAVER 95.7
13-STREET THEATRE 91.9
10-MANYOUK 91.9
1-LIMITED CREOLE 91.9

RACE 6
11-FIRE CRACKLE 83.8
3-MILLISTOCKS JUMPIN 83.2
6-CELTIC FABLE 79.6
4-EPIC COMMANDER 73.7

RACE 7
3-PROWLING CAT 89.4
2-CASUAL THUNDER 87.5
4-MRTOYOU 75.4
8-THE RYE MAN 74.8

RACE 8
4-SNEAKY JACK 85.6
8-NAUGHTYLILHOTTIE 79.6
9-SIZZLING SARAH 77.8
6-BIT OF FOLLY 76.6

RACE 9
1-ONE OFF 107.3
5-ON THE ACORN 104.5
3-SWEET RETURN 103.8
2-FITZ FLAG 98.4
4-EMBOSSED 98.4

RACE 10
5-BARTOK'S BLING 59.7
6-TOPPERS MOMENT 50.6
2-RUTHIE'S GIRL 49.2
10-ASCOREINGLADY 47.4
8-MAJESTIC GAME 46.9

1st time starters - 3, 11, 1

Saturday, April 21, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

Fri. recap-No recap due to missing data from Santa Anita and DRF websites.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-RAPID ROMANCE 75.4
7-CARLY EFFECT 72.6
5-WARREN'S SUMMER 67.5
6-STINGOFTRUTH 64.6

RACE 2
5-ACE HIGH HAND 100.4
3-SQUIRES WINGMAN 97.1
4-CATCH THAT THIEF 92.6
8-KAILEE RUSH 76.0

1st time starters - 6, 2

RACE 3
2-DEVIL'S BAY 100.4
6-TERROPLANE 92.6
1-GRAFTON 92.6
3-MANANAN MCLIR 84.4
4-MR. KATZ 84.4

RACE 4
5-SINDY WITH AN S 106.6
6-STORM QUEEN 83.2
8-KITTEN EXCHANGE 79.6
4-DEBIE GINSBURG 72.0
7-HERE COMES RAY RAY 72.0

RACE 5
7-FLIGHT TO CASH 80.8
5-RELENTLESS 73.7
4-STOP THE HUMOR 70.9
6-CELERITAS 69.8

1st time starters - 9

RACE 6
3-EXTRAORDINARY GIRL 73.1
1-REMEMBER MAGGIE 69.8
2-TORIKINS 67.3
11-ST WAGER 67.0

RACE 7
2-SOLVA 99.1
8-NAUGHTY RAFAELA 93.9
1- LIVE LIFE 91.9 (off Oct. 06)
7-GRAT 89.4
5-SWEET BELLE 88.8

RACE 8
4-LUCERA 73.1
8-PROUD OF MY CURLS 51.1
2-LOVE MY ROSE 50.6
11-C R DEELITES 47.8

RACE 9
4-TURNBOLT 112.5
6-GET FUNKY 111.4
9-BATTLE WON 110.7
2-BONFANTE 106.6

RACE 10
9-GOTTA GO GAL 82.0
2-IN MY LIFE 81.4
7-BRANDI'S STARLITE 73.1
6-I'MALADYTAK 65.4

RACE 11
1-TENVINCE 61.6
10-OH I TRIPPED 57.5
11-BRAVE KAROL 56.0
6-BARANKA 49.7

1st time starters - 3, 4, 5

Friday, April 20, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRI.

Thur. recap- Race 1- (all 2 yo.) 1 pick scratched, Top Pick Won (4.60) 2nd pick 4th. Race 2- (all 2 yo.) 2nd pick "entry" 2nd (2.40) top pick 4th. Race 3- 2nd pick won (7.80) 4th pick "tied" 2nd (8.40) 3rd pick 3rd (3.00) top pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (30.50) no trifecta offered. Race 4-3rd pick won (10.00) top pick 2nd (3.00) 2nd pick 4th, top 3 picks boxed- Ex (12.50). Race 5- Top Pick Won (12.80) 3rd pick 2nd (6.40) 4th pick 3rd (3.40) Top pick keyed- Ex (38.10) trifecta (182.30). Race 6- 2nd pick won (6.20) 4th pick 2nd (5.40) top pick 3rd (2.40) picks boxed- Ex (13.30) trifecta (31.00). Race 7- Top Piock Won (3.00) 3rd pick 2nd (4.20) 2nd pick 4th, Top pick keyed to next 2 picks- Ex (4.00. Race 8- Top 1st timer won (14.60) 4th pick 2nd (17.20) top pick 4th, Top 1st timer keyed- Ex (110.30).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
8-UDRIGA 88.1
3-TIGHT CIRCLE 87.5 (off Oct. 06)
7-MISS MAESTRO 81.4
4-BUTTERFLY BELLE 80.2 (off June 06)

RACE 2
4-WHERE'S MY HALO 97.1
5-FIGHTING CITY HALL 87.5
3-GIMME S'MOR 85.0
2-ANCHOR STEAM 79.6

RACE 3
1-GANDOLF 70.9
7-IDAHO JOE 69.8
5-SLEW IN YODEL 69.2
3-BEYOND THE RIM 65.9

1st time starters - 4

RACE 4
6-SABIO 90.6
1-CRYPTORIA RIDGE 85.7
4-TAYLOR'S ROUTE 70.0
8-TURKOMAN'S PRIDE 60.1

RACE 5
7-PEACEFUL FLIGHT 65.4
4-AVVENIMENTO 63.8
6-ONE LAST GRAF 50.6
3-EXCELSIOR SPRINGS 50.6

RACE 6
5-I B BAD 79.0
7-HELLO FAME 77.8
3-FOUNTAIN GROVE 68.6
9-SLIDE HOME 68.1

RACE 7
4-VELVET MOONLITE 88.8
3-SWEET DEE'S 85.6
6-RED STATE RULES 83.8
2-PRINCESS EZRA 77.2

RACE 8
6-CURRENCY TRADER 86.3
7-SIX AGAIN 54.5
5-BALLISTIC HALO 54.0
2-FAR TURN 48.3

1st time starters - 11, 1, 9, 12, 10

Thursday, April 19, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THUR.

Wed. recap- Race 1- 3rd pick won (8.60) 4th pick 2nd (8.80) 2nd pick 3rd (2.40) top pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (27.90) trifecta (96.50). Race 2- Top Pick Won (6.80) 2nd pick 3rd (2.10) 3rd pick 4th. Race 3- Only 1st timer won (50.80) 2nd pick 2nd (5.00) top pick 3rd (2.40) top 2 picks boxed with 1st timer- Ex (79.00) trifecta (231.70), yes I bet the trifecta. Race 4- 1 pick scratched, top pick 2nd (3.00) 2nd pick 4th. Race 5- 1 pick scratched, Top Pick Won (3.40) 3rd pick 2nd (3.40) 2nd pick 4th, top pick keyed to 2 picks- Ex (3.80). Race 6- Top Pick Won (4.60) Daily Double (11.80) 4th pick 2nd (21.40) 3rd pick 3rd (3.00) 2nd pick 4th, Top pick keyed- (42.90) trifecta (145.20) Superfecta (671.70). Race 7- 3rd pick won (25.00) top pick "entry" 2nd (2.20) 3picks boxed- Ex (22.30). Race 8- Only 1st timer won (7.40) 2nd pick 2nd (3.40) 1st timer keyed to top 2 picks- Ex (13.20).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 2 f.)
5-WISE MANDATE ?
4-LEVIN LEON ?
3-LEONARDO C. S. ?
8-SOLDIER'S CREED ?

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 2 f.)
7-QUITE BEAUTIFUL ?
1A- CHATTY GAL ? (entry)
1-CLEVER LADY ? (entry)
3-REDROUNDER ?

RACE 3
1-UNUSAL TREASURE 83.8
5-STEPHEN BRUCE 83.2
3-BALISTIC HEAT 80.2
2-GARY'S GOT RHYTHM 78.4
4-DOWNTOWN SANGER 78.4

RACE 4
4-GENERAL BUENO 82.6
1-LIGHT OF THE WORLD 77.2
2-STORMY GRANT 69.9
5-CALIFORNIA SKY 62.2

1st time starters - 6

RACE 5
1-ROOSEVELT 89.4
6-CONCLAVE 88.1
2-EIGHT BELOW 79.6
5-FAST CORREDOR 74.9
4-LARRY BY THE LAKE 74.6

RACE 6
2-CAT OF FIFTY SEVEN 109.3
7-VICTIM OF LOVE 104.5
8-CHAUNCEY 88.7
6-OLYMPIC MILER 85.6

RACE 7
5-EUROGLIDE 109.3
1-PAY THE VIG 93.2
4-ROBBOS COURAGE 79.6
2-GUITAR MAN 67.5

RACE 8
2-PROUD CECY 86.9
9-STORMING SLEW 76.6
7-JUST LIKE HER 71.4
4-GEMSTONE JEAN 58.0

1st time starters - 1, 3

Wednesday, April 18, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-LITE MAN 79.6
6-BEECHMONT 77.8
1-LORD ALBION 77.2 (off June 06)
2-GOINWEST 65.4
4-ALIE'S DIN DIN 65.4

RACE 2
3-MY MAN MURF 93.2
5-BELTLINE JACK 85.6
6-PAPAGO ROAD 79.6
1-LIFE DIRECTIONS 78.4

RACE 3
7-SILVERS SURPRISE 67.0
1-VEILS DE FLEUR 66.0
2-YES I'M READY 58.5
5-LARRY'S GIRL 54.0

1st time starters - 3

RACE 4
8-MASTER HEAT 82.6
6-PINKHAIR 82.2
4-SKIPASLEW 79.6
1-DRIVEN BY EXCESS 79.6

RACE 5
3-JAKE SKATE 95.2
6-ROY JONES 91.9
2-AIR RACE 90.2
1-EASY MILLION 82.6

RACE 6
11-GOODTOBEHOME 67.0
10-TOP POP PRINCESS 59.6
4-SPORTIE'S SQUEEZE 54.0
3-CLASSY DISH 33.4

1st time starters - 7, 5, 8, 2, 1

RACE 7
1A-LEMON FLOWER 86.3 (entry)
2-WICKERSHAM 86.3
3-CHARMIN DOT 78.4
1-DARKNESS NIGHT 77.8 (entry)

RACE 8
3-KICKIN BACK 79.6
1-YVETT'S PRIDE 70.9
5-WHY KNOT US 67.0
4-MILADY'S PRIDE 59.0

1st time starters - 8

Tuesday, April 17, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA -SOME INFORMATION ON SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Monday, April 16, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting also.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterdays post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horses name-
This has happened four times that I know of in over 590 posts on my blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Sunday, April 15, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUN.

THERE ARE NO PICKS OR SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY'S CARD AT SANTA ANITA.
I WAS UNABLE TO CALCUATE THE DATA FOR TODAY.

Saturday, April 14, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

Fri. recap- No complete recap for Fri. due to my late posting for Sat. We did have 3 trifectas, (86.00 - in order) (57.00 - top 3 boxed) (233.40 - top 3 boxed).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-FLETCHERS COVE 97.8
6-MIMOSA MIST 82.6
5-NEWPORT TOPPER 81.4
4-LIGHT FINGERS 71.4

RACE 2
8-GOLDEN WAGER 81.4
9-WINNIN N GRINNIN 77.8
1-NATIONAL HONOR 77.8
7-HER RED 74.3

RACE 3
6-THE BIG ONE 80.8
2- TAVROS 77.2
5-UNCANNY YODEL 77.0
3-PHIL THE USHER 76.6

RACE 4
1A- FREAKIN STREAKIN 94.5 (entry)
2-KRIS'SIS 85.6
3-POLITICAL WEB 85.6
5-MUSICAL ECHO 85.6
1-VANGUARDA 85.0 (entry)
4-NEUILLY 85.0

RACE 5
1-THRILL AFTER DARK 91.3
4-CHRISTMAS STOCKING 90.7
7-MAMA LULA 84.4
5-FEEL RIDGE 80.2
3-I CAN SEE 80.2

RACE 6
8-SECRET RIDGE 93.9
7-FANTASMIN 88.8
6-KEY MAKER 86.3
5-LONE PRAIRIE 78.4

RACE 7
7-DESERT CODE 102.5
5-STAR INSIDE 99.1
4-SHEM 91.9
3-GOLDEN BALLS 85.5

RACE 8
5-INTO REALITY 80.8
2-DISTORTED VIEW 73.7
4-MOUJANE 70.9
6-PRIZE 68.1

1st time starters - 1, 7, 10, 8, 9

RACE 9
6-EASTERN SAND 102.5
4-GENERAL FOX 95.2
8-MASTER HEAT 83.2
9-BILLY'S ECHO 82.6

RACE 10
3-SNARK 65.9
10-HOME OF THE BOLD 64.3
2-LUCKY WISE GUY 56.0
11-JORDAN AND JUSTIN 55.5

1st time starters - 4, 12

Thursday, April 12, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THUR.

Wed. recap- Race 1- only pick 2nd (2.60). Race 2- 4th pick won (21.40) top pick 2nd (5.20) 3rd pick 3rd (2.60) 2nd pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (40.70) trifecta (124.40). Race 3- Top Pick Won (5.20) 4th pick 2nd (13.60) 3rd pick 3rd (3.00) picks boxed- Ex (47.10) trifecta (136.70). Race 4- top pick 2nd (6.20) 3rd pick 3rd (11.20) 4th pick 4th. Race 5- top pick 3rd (5.80) 3rd pick 4th. Race 6- 1 pick scratched, 2nd pick 2nd (8.00) top pick 3rd (2.60) 3rd pick 4th. Race 7- nly 1st timer 3rd (9.20) 4th pick 4th. Race 8- 2nd pick won (12.80) 1st timers ran 2nd, 3rd, 4th.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 2 f.)
(No picks for this race)

RACE 2
5-EASY OBSESSION 99.8
1-YEARLY ATTITUDE 94.5
2-KARLEE'S KITTEN 80.8
3-ROMANESQUE 65.9

RACE 3
4-NAUGHTYLILHOTTIE 72.0
1-HARD WOMAN 63.8
2-LADIES BET 62.8
3-MIMITHEMIDGET 59.0

RACE 4
5-AWESOME GRAF 82.6
6-HERBIE LOVE 68.1
8-MY CITY BY THE BAY 66.4
4-THIS CATS ALION 47.8

RACE 5
5-JUST KNOCK 79.0
6-AINAMAA 72.2
7-THE LAST INCH 69.2
2-HATTA FLOWER 68.6
9-POLO LOUNGE 68.1

RACE 6
1-R. BEAU 84.4
7-YMUSTICHASETHECAT 68.1
6-SIDEPOCKET CAT 67.5
2-SCOONERWHARFBARDOG 67.5

RACE 7
4-BELLS FOOL 105.2
2-LIKE RUNNING WATER 100.4
7-SEEKING ANSWERS 95.8
1A-MINISTER BLAIR 95.8 (entry)

RACE 8
4-INGA FROM SVEEDAN 56.5
1-OVERDUE EXPRESS 45.1
12-MOOD WINNER 42.4
6-MIA COUNTESS 40.7

1st time starters - 11, 9, 10, 2, 3

Wednesday, April 11, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

Sun. recap- We had a remarkable day at Santa Anita Sunday. We had 8 TOP HORSE PICKS WIN (races 2 thru 9) with Top Pick 2nd in the first race (our 2nd pick won). 7 daily doubles, 6 pick-3's, late pick-4, 3 superfectas, 5 trifectas, 6 exactas, and yes we had the pick-6 (ALL TOP HORSES - A $2 TICKET IS ALL YOU NEEDED.) Place all - 9 of 9 a $1 ticket (73.60).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 2 f.)
7-CHATTY GAL ?
(no other selections for this race)

RACE 2
1-LEMON 90.0
2-OWEN ROE O'NEILL 88.1
3-SEASTATE 86.3
5-EBONY LIGHT 68.9

RACE 3
5-JEALOUS PROFIT 89.4
3-MESA MAGIC 88.1
7-TOWN THIEF 82.0
6-OLIVER TWISTED 82.0

RACE 4
1-HURRY HOME WARREN 97.1
4-BRENIN GWALIA 95.8
5-LUIS'S ESPRCIAL 91.9
7-SUNSHINE RIDGE 90.7

RACE 5
7-PEARLS 'N' SATIN 73.7
3-KLEVEN'S VERBATIM 68.1
8-COURT SEEKER 64.3
2-JIMMIE PONG 64.3

RACE 6
7-WICKET WAGER 83.2
4-COMPANY SECRET 69.2
10-TORIKINS 66.4
3-BLUSHING BEAR CAT 65.5

RACE 7
9-TOTALLY PHAT 86.9
7-TRICK A CAT 83.2
10-IN REALITY 79.6
6-USK POPPY 79.6

1st time starters - 8 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 8
6-BEAU SMOKE 89.4
4-TIME TO GET EVEN 86.9

1st time starters - 7, 9, 2, 8, 1, 3, 5

Tuesday, April 10, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME INFORMATION ON SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.

All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races (was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Monday, April 09, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

Sun. recap- We had a remarkable day at Santa Anita Sunday. We had 8 TOP HORSE PICKS WIN (races 2 thru 9) with 1 horse 2nd in the first race (our 2nd horse won). 7 daily doubles, 6 pick-3's, late pick-4, 3 superfectas, 5 trifectas, 6 exactas, and yes we had the pick-6 (ALL TOP HORSES - A $2 TICKET IS ALL YOU NEEDED.)

Race 1- 2nd pick won (5.80) top pick 2nd (2.60) boxed- Ex (8.70) 3rd pick 3rd (2.60) trifecta (20.30) only 1st timer 4th, superfecta (100.90). Race 2- Top pick won (7.20) 3rd pick 3rd (2.10). Race 3- Top Pick Won (4.00) daily double (21.20) 4th pick 2nd (3.60) 3rd pick 3rd (2.40) 4th pick "tied" 4th, top pick keyed- Ex (8.60) trifecta (24.40) Race 4- Top pick won (4.00) Pick-3 (30.90) daily double (9.60) 3rd pick 2nd (3.60) 2nd pick 3rd (2.40) only 1st timer 4th, top pick keyed- Ex (6.70) trifecta (12.20) superfecta (49.80). Race 5- Top Pick Won (6.80) Pick-3 (24.20) Daily Double (12.80) 2nd pick 2nd (5.40) Ex (12.70). Race 6- Top Pick Won (3.80) Pick-3 (19.60) Daily Double (11.80) 2nd pick 2nd (3.80) Ex (6.80) 3rd pick 3rd (2.20) trifecta in order (11.70). Race 7-1 pick scratched, Top Pick Won (3.00) Pick-3 (10.20) Daily Double (5.20) 3rd pick 4th. Race 8- Top Pick Won (9.80) Pick-3 (20.40) Daily Double (18.40) 4th pick 4th. Race 9- Top Pick Won (3.80) Pick-6 (898.40) Pick-4 (46.10) Pick-3 (23.50) Daily Double (28.20) top 1st timer 2nd (2.80) 2nd 1st timer 3rd (5.60) 4th pick 4th, top pick keyed- Ex (4.10) trifecta (20.50) superfecta (101.50). Note: If you used multiple horses in a race on your pick-6 ticket it paid an additional (18.40) for each additional horse used on your pick-6 ticket - five out of six multiples.

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting also.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterdays post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horses name-
This has happened four times that I know of in over 580 posts on my blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Saturday, April 07, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUN.

There will not be a Sat. recap due to 11 race card and late finish.

There is a Pick-6 carryover of $574,380 for Sunday.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
3-SCHAGHTICOKE HILL 53.5
8-SIDEPOCKET WIN 48.8
6-JANZIG CAT 43.8
5-CAT'S RENE 34.6

1st time starters - 2

RACE 2
4-DOPPIO 99.1
6-WHEATON HALL 99.0
2-BRILLIANT CUT 93.2
1-MAMBO TRAIN 86.9

RACE 3
6-CANTBEATWHATUCANTC 87.5
5-RIVER FOX 80.2
3-PLAN FOR FUN 74.3
1-BULLET TRAIN 63.1
2-PHANTOM GRAY 63.1

RACE 4
7-PICK VIC 95.8
4-CARMAN 84.4
1-SQUIRES WINGMAN 79.0
2-CLASSY ARRANGEMENT 57.0

1st time starters - 5, 3

RACE 5
10-LADDIES POKER 94.1
7-BERKELEY CASTLE 83.6
11-MORE SHINE 79.0
5-REGAL STEED 77.8

1st time starters - 9

RACE 6
8-QUIETLY GO 86.3
6-CLAN CHIEF 85.6
3-BUDDYANDROWDY 82.0
1-FORGIVABLE BOB 75.4

RACE 7
6-DANCING GENERAL 93.2
1A-FORTUNATE EVENT 81.4 (entry)
4-EASY OBSESSION 80.2
3-BURST OF LIGHT 78.4

RACE 8
1-TRY TO FLY 105.9
7-TEXAS VOYAGER 99.8
2-IDIOT PROOF 97.8
5-ABALANCHE 95.8

RACE 9
3-GOTTA GETCHA 77.2
11-BALANCE THE SCORE 41.1
9-DON'TTOUCHACOWBOY 37.4
8-LITTLE G MAN 28.9

1st time starters - 6, 10, 7, 4, 1


Thursday, April 05, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THUR.

Wed. recap- Race 1- all 2 yo going 2 f., only selection 2nd (2.80). Race 2- Only 2 selections, Top Pick Won (3.80) 2nd pick 2nd (2.80) Ex (5.60) 2nd 1st timer 3rd (3.80) trifecta (19.80). Race 3-4th pick won (6.20) 4th pick "tied" 2nd (6.40) 2nd pick 3rd (3.60) picks boxed- Ex (16.20). Race 4- 3rd pick won (4.20) 4th pick 2nd (3.20) Ex (5.80). Race 5- Top Pick Won (12.60) 3rd p[ick 3rd (4.20). Race 6- 3rd pick won (15.20) 4th pick 2nd (7.80) top 4 picks boxed- Ex (44.40). Race 7- top pick 3rd (3.40) 3rd pick 4th. Race 8- Top Pick Won (3.60) 2nd 1st timer 2nd (2.80) 2nd pick 2nd (2.80) top pick keyed- Ex (5.10) trifecta (17.20).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 2 f.)
4-YODEMAN ?
8-NEVADA WORRIER ?
(no other selections for this race)

RACE 2
5-EXCESSIVE TALE 62.7
6-LA BEAU EM 53.5
2-RAISE AGAIN 52.1
3-SWEET LOVE 50.2

RACE 3
2-ANOTHER BROTHER 70.9
6-JOHN THE MAITRE D 70.3
3-GARY JOHN 64.8
5-BOLD BENGIE 59.0

RACE 4
3-STAR NICHOLAS 78.4
2-CINDER CONE 65.4
5-TRULYMET'SMYDADDY 63.2
4-SKYE PIPER 63.2

RACE 5
1-MORE ANGELS 87.5
2-IN MY LIFE 80.8
3-BIT OF FOLLY 79.0
6-PRIVATE HALL 71.4

RACE 6
3-RED STATE 94.5
1-WORLD ASUNDER 93.2
2-BUCK TUDDY BUCK 90.0
5-BALLISTIC HEAT 82.6

RACE 7
5-TIZ ELEMENTAL 90.7
4-SWISS BLEND 80.8
3-SMOKIN DANIELLE 79.0
6-SEGO LILY 75.4

RACE 8
13-SKIMMINTHERAIL 47.4
6-MIZ PARADIS 42.9
8-MIA COUNTESS 41.6
12-CANDYGRAM 38.2

1st time starters- 7, 9

Wednesday, April 04, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo going 2 f.)
5-TO B. DEVON ?
(no other selections for this race)

RACE 2
6-SPOILS OF EXCESS 85.6
2-SOCIAL SATIRE 77.8

1st time starters - 4, 1, 5, 3

RACE 3
3-INDIAN WEAVER 96.5
2-SWISS LAD 94.5
4-CELTIC FABLE 93.9
1-DEBONAIR JOE 91.9
5-AIR RACE 91.2

RACE 4
2-UNUSUAL MEN 88.8
5-CRYPTORIA RIDGE 86.4
4-YODELEN DAN 86.3
1-PROWLING CAT 80.8

RACE 5
1-CLARENCE BEEKS 80.2
5-CORONADO'S WAY 76.4
3-ARCHON STAR 73.1
4-EL SALVADOR 69.8

RACE 6
5-WATCHER KNOWS 74.9
1-MAEMY 69.2
7-QUIPPI 64.3
4-I'MALADYTAK 61.6
8-LUPITA'SLUCKYANGEL 61.1

RACE 7
4-ARM CANDY 92.8
6-FEEL RIDGE 90.0
7-BETTERSWEETMOMENT 89.4
2-READY TO TALK 88.8

RACE 8
7-EL GATO FAMOSO 56.5
2-BODACAT 42.4
8-SOULFUL HEIR 39.0
5-BRAZENBOY 24.1

1st time starters - 4, 1, 6

Tuesday, April 03, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.

All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Monday, April 02, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting also.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterdays post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horses name-
This has happened four times that I know of in over 575 posts on my blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

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