Friday, March 30, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRI.

Thur. recap- Race 1- Oly 2 picks in 1st race, Top Pick Won (3.80) 2nd pick 4th. Race 2- 2nd pick won (5.60) top pick 2nd (2.40) boxed- Ex (4.90) 4th pick 3rd (2.60) trifecta (22.30). Race 3-3rd pick won (10.20) 2nd pick 3rd (4.40) 4th pic "tied" 4th. Race 4-3rd pick won (38.60) top pick 2nd (3.60) 2nd pick 3rd (6.40) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (74.40) Trifecta (404.10) 4th pick 4th. Race 5-2nd pick won (3.60) top pick 2nd (2.60) boxed- Ex (3.70) 3rd pick 3rd (2.60) top 3 picks boxed- trifecta (10.60). Race 6- 3rd pick won (13.80) 2nd pick 4th. Race 7- 2nd pick 2nd (4.00) top pick 3rd (3.40) 3rd pick 4th. Race 8-2nd pick won (21.80) top pick 2nd (3.40) boxed- Ex (32.20) 4th pick 3rd (3.00) trifecta (105.90) only 1st timer 4th, Superfecta (1,114.70).

THERE IS A PICK-6 CARRYOVER FRI. OF $92,286.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-C'MON TIGER 112.2
5-OUT OF CONTROL 108.6
3-GRAND POINT 101.1
2-POLITICAL MANEUVER 97.8

RACE 2
2-ACE HIGH HAND 103.1
6-GOTTHATFEELING 87.5
4-EVALUATE 86.3
1-WILD DIPLOMAT 81.4

1st time starters - 3

RACE 3
5-LIKE NEW MONEY 97.8
2-SWIFT DEMAND 93.2
3-STELLA MARK 87.5
1-LEESIDER 78.4

RACE 4
7-JAMES THE THIRD 85.6
3-ASCARI 84.4
5-ISIPINGO 84.4
4-SOUVENIR SLEW 69.2

RACE 5
6-A TOAST TO TANNER 77.2
7-TWO DIMENSIONAL 76.0
10-VIDCLIP 71.4
4-MAJ. TROUBLE 59.6

RACE 6
1-CHIEF'S MAGIC 86.3
3-HOT WIRED 80.8
2-MONEYPLAYSJOSE 79.6
4-ROOSEVELT 77.2

RACE 7
7-GARFIELD PARK 97.7
5-BEYOND LOADED 91.9
1-ONE ON THE HOUSE 91.3
4-BALLISTIC HEAT 90.7

RACE 8
1-VIA RODEO 79.0
14-AMERICAN INFLUENCE 74.9
10-TURN OF EVENTS 70.3
13-NICCOLO DREAM 62.2

1st time starters - 7

Thursday, March 29, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THUR.

Wed. recap- Race 1- Only two picks, Top Pick Won (2.80) 2nd pick 2nd (4.40) Ex (4.10). Race 2-Top Pick Won (8.60) Daily Double (11.40) 3rd pick 2nd (11.20) 4th pick 3rd (3.80) top pick keyed- Ex (29.30) no trifecta offered. Race 3-1 pick scratched, Top Pick Won (3.60) pick-3 (12.40) Daily Double (21.00) 2nd pick 2nd (2.60) Ex (3.80) 3rd pick 3rd (2.60) trifecta in order (8.40). Race 4-3rd pick won (6.60) top pick 2nd (3.80) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (12.20). Race 5-3rd pick won (15.40) top pick 2nd (2.80) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (19.80) 4th pick 4th. Race 6-3rd pick won (5.80) top 1st timer 2nd (7.40) 2nd pick 3rd (5.20) top pick 4th, top 3 picks boxed with top 1st timer- Ex (19.80) Trifecta (121.70) Superfecta (382.80). Race 7- 4th pick won (4.60) top pick 2nd (3.60) boxed- Ex (11.20). Race 8- 2nd pick won (7.20) 4th pick 2nd (8.00) 3rd pick 3rd (4.40) picks boxed- Ex (32.00) trifecta (125.20).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo going 2 f.)
5-SEA OF PLEASURE ?
7-LEVIN LEVON ?
(no other picks for this race)

RACE 2
7-LUCERA 73.1
4-IT'S ANOTHER STORY 71.4
1-LIL NUGGET 67.5 (off July 06)
2-OLDCOURT 64.3

RACE 3
7-GETNHOTNHERE 70.3
5-TOPPER'S GOLD 67.5
1-ONE MILE BELLE 65.4
6-JIMMIE PONG 64.3
2-GHOSTLY GIRL 64.3

RACE 4
4-MABADI 93.9
2-SWEET DEE'S 88.1
7-SWEET BELLE 85.8
3-TAHTHEEB 84.4

RACE 5
3-RARE EXCHANGE 83.8
7-LOCHINVAR'S GOLD 78.4
6-WORTHY CAUSE 77.2
2-PUNCH MARYLAND 50.6

1st time starters - 5, 4

RACE 6
4-ONENINTYEIGHT LAKES 70.9
1-SARAH'S COOL DUDE 65.4
3-ROCKELLA 62.2
2-STEVE'S LIL GIRL 61.6

RACE 7
4-TIOGA JUNCTION 97.1
3-TICE 94.5
6-COTTON KING 93.2
5-LAZIO 85.6

1st time starters - 1 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 8
6-YOUAREMYLUCKYSTAR 62.7
7-INAHEARTBEAT 54.5
1-T'S ICECOLDBEER 48.3 (scratched Thurs.)
5-CAN DO CAN DO 47.4

1st time starters - 2

Wednesday, March 28, 2007

 

SANT ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo going 2 f.)
8-DESTINY DREAMER ?
7-CHATTY GIRL ?
(no other selections for this race)

RACE 2
4-HONKY TONK BABY 101.1
3-KIN TO A KITTY 91.9
5-REY LAKE 86.2
2-DA SVENDONYA 73.7

RACE 3
4-PAY THE VIG 79.6
5-HEADED FOR HOME 79.6
1A-ICANMAKEITRAIN 74.9 (entry)
1-WATCHING STARS 22.8 (entry)

1st time starters - 6, 3, 2

RACE 4
4-JAKE SKATE 102.5
5-CORONADO'S PRIDE 101.1
1-HE'S THE RAGE 97.8
2-DOVER DERE 92.6

RACE 5
7-RUNS IN THE FAMILY 81.4
8-PLAN FOR FUN 74.3
4-TALEGA CREEK 73.7
6-GOLD RUSH TRAIL 73.1

RACE 6
3-PARINAZ 58.5
7-CHATUGE 46.9
5-MEMORIES OF SUE 39.9
9-NOBODYWANTSMUD 37.8

1st time starters - 2, 1, 6

RACE 7
3-SEVEN STEPS 79.0
4-SILENT FUSAICHI 76.6
5-SETAFIRE 72.8
7-HONNETE 69.2

RACE 8
5-SMOKE'N BLOKE 80.8
6-MYSTERIOUS CAT 78.4
3-EPIC COMMANDER 71.4
9-ALPINE SPORT 67.5

Tuesday, March 27, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.

All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -GOOD LUCK.

Monday, March 26, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

Sun. recap- Race 1- 3rd pick won (4.40) top pick 3rd (3.00) 2nd pick 4th. Race 2- 3rd 1st timer won (16.20) 2nd 1st timer 2nd (5.40) top pick 3rd (7.00) top 1st timer 4th, top pick boxed with 1st timers- Ex- (31.50) trifecta (99.00). Race 3- Top Pick Won (7.00) 3rd pick 2nd (3.20) 4th pick 3rd (2.40) top pick keed- Ex (10.00) trifecta (48.10). Race 4-1 pick scratched, Top Pick Won (2.80) Daily Double (9.60). Race 5-4th pick "tied" 2nd (6.00) 3rd pick 3rd (4.00) top pick 4th. Race 6- 4th pick 2nd (8.20) top pick 3rd (2.40) 2nd pick 4th. Race 7- 1 pick scratched, 3rd pick won (3.60) top pick 2nd (7.60) 3 picks boxed- Ex (7.40). Race 8- Top Pick "entry" Won (6.60) 4th pick 2nd (4.80)top pick keyed- Ex (13.90). Race 9- 2nd pick won (5.50) top pick 2nd (5.00) boxed- Ex (10.20) 3rd pick 3rd (4.20) 3 picks boxed- trifecta (35.70).

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting also.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterdays post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only. Horses within a few tenths of a point are considered "tied" for betting purposes.

Program number does not match horses name-
This has happened four times that I know of in over 570 posts on my blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Labels: , , , , ,


Saturday, March 24, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-ARGENTINISIMA 99.1
2-YODELADYTOO 92.6
5-FLETCHERS COVE 88.1
3-SO LONG SONOMA 88.1

RACE 2
8-FIVE STAR CHARM 85.6
2-NATIONHOOD 76.1
7-RUSH AHEAD 73.2
3-UP THE LIMIT 70.3

1st time starters - 5, 4

RACE 3
2-JACK'S KID 113.6
3-BROOKER 107.3
5-TURNBOLT 99.8 (off Dec. 06)
1-THE PHARAOH 91.9

RACE 4
6-GET FUNKY 101.8
3-I'LL PREY FOR YOU 101.1
5-ROI CHARMANT 98.4
1-WORCHESTER 94.5

RACE 5
5-LADY LE BELLE 86.9
7-SUGAR DOLL 72.6
2-HARD WOMAN 65.9
4-BRITE RED STATE 65.4

RACE 6
3-VALIANT EFFORT 98.9
5-MASTER HEAT 83.8
7-GARY'S GOT RHYTHM 82.0
4-HOME PORT 80.0
6-LAINIES LION 79.6

RACE 7
2-YES I'M READY 58.0
3-MIMITHEMIDGET 58.0
7-LARRY'S GIRL 55.5
4-SIDEPOCKET WIN 54.5

1st time starters - 8, 6

RACE 8
3-FOURTY NINERS SON 109.3
1-ONE OFF 108.6
7-RUNAWAY DANCER 105.9
4-FITZ FLAG 95.8

RACE 9
5-GOLDEN WAGER 83.2
4-MAJESTIC AMERICAN 76.6
9-DIAMOND MINER 76.0
2-HER RED 76.0
3-STERLING IMAGE 75.5

RACE 10
7-MR. LOGAN 89.4
10-HURRY HOME WARREN 87.5
8-AWESOME SHINE 69.2
9-KING'S CAUSEWAY 65.3

1st time starters - 5, 1

Wednesday, March 21, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo going 2 f.)
7-EXCESSIVE HEAT ? (all 10 horses are 1st time starters - no other recomendations for this race.)

RACE 2
1-RIVER GLOW 104.5 (entry)
5-KALOOKAN DANCER 97.1
3-SNEAKY JACK 89.4
4-LA CHOLA 87.5

RACE 3
6-NAUGHTYLILHOTTIE 84.4
1-PERFECT RHYME 82.0
3-KELLY CARSON 79.6
4-STEPPIN OUT ROSE 77.8

RACE 4
7-TREBIA 75.2
8-BANDERA NEGRA 67.5
3-ROMANESQUE 63.8
5-ONE FLEW OVER 61.6

RACE 5
5-SKIMMINTHERAIL 54.5
7-ASCOREINGLADY 49.1
10-SWEET LOVE 46.3
3-MIA COUNTESS 39.0

1st time starters - 4, 1, 9, 8

RACE 6
8-OUR PARTNER 89.4
9-SMELLING SALTS 88.9
11-BELTLINE JACK 84.4
5-NORTH AMERICA 82.6

RACE 7
3-LUIS'S ESPECIAL 79.1
8-SELIMAN 76.8
5-R. BEAU 76.2
7-SUNSHINE RIDGE 75.6

RACE 8
5-SILVERS SURPRISE 70.9
10-SAIL ON SUNSHINE 63.8
9-SILVER SCEPTRE 58.0
2-PUFFBALL 56.6

Tuesday, March 20, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.
All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Monday, March 19, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting also.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterdays post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only.

Program number does not match horses name-
This has happened four times that I know of in over 560 posts on the blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Sunday, March 18, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUN.

Sat. recap- Race 1- 2nd pick won (13.00) top pick 2nd (2.40) boxed- Ex (11.20) 3rd pick 3rd (2.40) trifecta (31.20) 4th pick 4th. Race 2- Top Pick Won (10.00) 4th pick 2nd (4.00) 3rd pick 4th, top pick keyed- Ex (16.70). Race 3- 2nd pick won (5.40) top pick 4th. Race 4-4th pick won (5.20) 3rd pick 4th. Race 5-Top Pick Won (8.00) 3rd 1st timer 2nd (14.40) 3rd pick 3rd (5.40) top 1st timer 4th, Top pick keyed with next 2 picks and top 3 1st timers- Ex (56.50) trifecta (389.20) superfecta (1,411.40). Race 6- 4th pick 3rd (4.80) 3rd pick 4th. Race 7- 1 pick scratched, 2nd 1st timer won (19.40) top 1st timer 2nd (6.00) boxed- Ex (43.00) 2nd pick 3rd (2.20) top 2 picks boxed with top 2 1st timers- Trifecta (125.30). Race 8-4th pick "tied" 2nd (5.00) 2nd pick 3rd (2.80) top pick 4th. Race 9-Top Pick Won (6.40) 3rd pick 2nd (2.40) 2nd pick 3rd (2.60) top pick keyed to next 2 picks- Ex (6.70) trifecta (15.00). Race 10- 3rd 1st timer won (47.40) top 1st timer 2nd (9.40) top 3 1st timer boxed- Ex (190.40) 2nd pick 3rd (6.60) top pick 4th, top 2 picks boxed with top 3 1st timers- Trifecta (1,733.20) Superfecta (7,227.80).

THERE IS A PICK-6 CARRYOVER OF $182,388 SUNDAY

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-PROUD CECY 83.0
7-NIGHT POWER 72.3
8-FLYING SPY 71.4
5-LIGHTMYFIREBABY 68.6

1st time starters - 3, 4

RACE 2
4-DIXIE'S RULER 90.7
5-JOHN HENNESSY 89.4
3-BLACK JACK JOE 89.4
1-SEVEN NATION ARMY 84.4

RACE 3
4-AUGMENT 95.8
3-SHEM 88.1
5-TAP IT LIGHT 81.4 (scratched Sat.)
1-SORTA GOLD 76.6
2-INDY TRAFFIC 76.0

RACE 4
3-QUEEN OFTHE CATSLE 85.0
7-HI BEAUTIFUL 84.4
4-BLUE KITTY 40.3
6-HUNSLEY BUNSLEY 30.8

1st time starters - 2, 5, 1

RACE 5
3-MELINA'S FUSE 77.8
4-THRILL AFTER DARK 76.6
8-PEN PAL 70.3
9-MOHAWK 69.8

RACE 6
2-ONE SOCK WONDER 73.1
4-WARREN'S CHARM 67.5
6-WELLNESSFAST 64.3
8-THE SUPPLY PROGRAM 63.8

RACE 7
8-HOCKEY THE GENERAL 101.1
6-EPIC POWER 100.4
7-EL DON 94.5
2-BEDLAM BERTIE 94.5

RACE 8
7-PEACE CHANT 103.1
8-BASHERT 101.1 (off Sept. 05)
2-YES MASTER 98.4
5-MISTER TRIESTER 95.8

RACE 9
10-OAKHILL GIRL 63.8
11-TIGER LOVE 62.7
1-CHANTING MAGIC 60.6 (entry)
2-MONTARA 57.7

1st time starters - 3

Saturday, March 17, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

Fri. recap- Race 1- Top Pick Won (9.20) 2nd pick 2nd (3.60) Ex (10.80) 4th pick 3rd (3.20) top pik keyed- trifecta (35.00). Race 2- Top Pick Won (2.80) Daily Double (13.00) 4th pick 2nd (2.80) 2nd pick 3rd (2.80) top pick keyed- Ex (3.40) trifecta (11.10). Race 3- Top Pick Won (2.40) Pick-3 (6.70) Daily Double (2.80) 3rd pick 2nd (5.00) 2nd pick 3rd (2.20) top pick keyed- Ex (4.70) trifecta (12.50). Race 4- 3r pick won (82.80) top pick 3rd (2.60). Race 5-3rd pick 4th. Race 6-4th pick won (15.50) top pick 2nd (4.00) 2nd pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (28.60). Race 7- Top Pick Won (6.60) 4th pick 2nd (6.80) 3rd pick 3rd (3.00) top pick keyed- Ex (20.20) trifecta (68.10). Race 8-3rd pick won (4.20) 2nd pick 3rd (3.00) 4th pick 4th, top pick eased.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-DINNER MAGIC 88.1
3-CLAN CHIEF 82.0
2-NATIONAL HONOR 80.8
1-DIAMOND MINER 76.6

RACE 2
4-MADE IN CALIFORNIA 82.6
1-FREE HEART 73.1
5-HELMSTAR 72.0
8-SABIO 68.6

1st time starters - 2

RACE 3
1-GOOD N MUDDY 77.2
2-CHEYENNE QUEEN 74.9
4-LOONEY 70.3
6-ST WAGER 67.5

RACE 4
4-LA TORMENTA 92.6
2-UNUSUAL SPRING 91.9
3-BETTERSWEETMOMENT 91.9
6-RIVER'S PRAYER 89.4

RACE 5
2-KALADY 49.2
7-PEGAKISS 45.5
10-SERENA'S FUTURE 41.6
9-MIA COUNTESS 40.3

1st time starters - 8, 1, 6, 4

RACE 6
2-SENTIMENTAL DAZE 90.0
8-SEISMIC THUNDER 88.8
3-REALLY INDIAN 87.0
7-AMERICAN IMPERIUM 84.4

RACE 7
6-STEELIN' 89.4
2-PRIZE 70.9
8-CRAFTY ROLE 69.2
5-SPORTIE'S SQUEEZE 55.5

1st time starters - 3, 7, 9, 1

RACE 8
5-SUN BOAT 96.5
2-SEEKING ANSWERS 90.0
9-SKIPASLEW 90.0
6-KARN 86.9
1-MINISTER BLAIR 86.3

RACE 9
2-COBALT BLUE 103.1
6-LEVEL RED 93.2
4-AIR COMMANDER 92.6
3-DEE RAIN 84.4

RACE 10
7-DENNYBUCK 60.6
1-HOME OF THE BOLD 57.0
3-KESSEM WILDCAT 55.0
5-SAN MIGUEL KING 45.5

1st time starters - 2, 9, 10, 4, 6

Wednesday, March 14, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-COURT SEEKER 65.9
1-KLEVEN'S VERBATIM 64.3
5-PRESIDENTIAL HEAT 62.2
2-MISS SHELBY 58.5

RACE 2
6-FLIGHT CLEARANCE 63.8
5-GEMSTONE JEAN 63.2
1-JUNGLE GIRL 63.1
4-JUST LIKE HER 56.5
2-TALE OF THE SCALE 56.5

1st time starters - 3

RACE 3
6-THEVERYTHOUGHTOF U 99.3
4-LIGHTMYFIREBABY 81.4
9-GOLDEN MISS 77.8
1-POINCIANA 73.1

1st time starters - 8

RACE 4
7-CAT OF FIFTY SEVEN 102.5
6-FANTASMIN 88.8
8-INDIAN WEAVER 88.8
3-CYBER CITY SLEW 86.9

RACE 5
9-BLUSHING BEAR CAT 72.6
4-HELLO BOLLY 63.6
6-DOWN THE WELL 62.7
2-MARRY ME LARRY 62.7

RACE 6
10-TYCOON DOBY 89.5
9-CHOCTAW CHIEF 82.0
5-FINE FLYER 79.6
7-SILVER LIGHT 78.4
1-POINTING STAR 78.4

RACE 7
5-LIKE A TIGER 95.2
3-SACRED LIGHT 92.6
1-OUR FINALE 86.3
2-ICY RIDGE 83.8
7-COREY COUNTY 83.2

RACE 8
6-MADERA ROYAL 75.5
10-KOKOPELLI TRAIL 61.6
8-FOREST SPRITE 60.6
4-MOG 54.5

Tuesday, March 13, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.

All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Monday, March 12, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting also.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterdays post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only.

Program number does not match horses name-
This has happened four times that I know of in over 560 posts on the blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Saturday, March 10, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

Fri. recap- Race 1- 3rd pick won (6.60) top pick 2nd (2.60) 2nd pick 3rd (2.60) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (8.10) trifecta (20.80). Race 2- 2nd pick won (7.00) top pick 2nd (3.00) boxed- Ex (7.40) 3rd pick 3rd (3.00) trifecta (22.80). Race 3- 4th pick "tied" won (4.40) 2nd pick 2nd (4.80) 3rd pick 3rd (4.00) picks boxed- Ex (9.40) trifecta (46.70). Race 4- 4th pick won (10.20) 3rd pick 2nd (3.60) picks boxed- Ex (15.20). Race 5- 2nd pick won (17.80)3rd pick 2nd (4.80) 4th pick 3rd (4.30) picks boxed- Ex (57.20) trifecta (335.70). Race 6- 2nd pick 2nd (3.00) 4th pick 3rd (8.00) 3rd pick 4th. Race 7- Top Pick Won (17.80) 4th pick 3rd (3.00) 2nd pick 4th. Race 8- 2nd pick won (30.40) top 1st timer 2nd (17.00) top pick 3rd (2.60) 2nd 1st timer 4th, top 2 picks boxed with top 2 1st timers- Ex (170.20) trifecta (443.70) Superfecta (1,493.00).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-DEBIE GINSBURG 82.0
6-COM EASY 80.2
1- OMI'S BACK 79.6
5-ASHLEY'S KITTY 74.9

RACE 2
2-DESERT CODE 99.1
1-BITTER BILL 85.6
3-NEWSWORTHY 80.2
5-SPANISH INFLUENCE 77.2

RACE 3
5-CAPTIVATING CAT 95.2
2-IN THE WOODS 94.5
7-SILVER POET 64.3
4-SOUTHERN MAN 58.0

1st time starters - 6

RACE 4
7-DON'TBEATATTLETALE 98.4
6-IZA GENERAL 93.2
1-TEN DOWNING STREET 88.8
4-DIXIE BANKER 82.6

RACE 5
11-VORACIOUS 98.4
10-SOUTH COAST 89.4
4-ROYAL FALCON 88.8
5-BUDDYANDROWDY 85.0

RACE 6
13-TWODOLLARSTOWIN 46.0
2-THEMIS VALENTINE 43.8
8-OLIVIANA 34.6
7-MOOD WINNER 28.9

1st time starters - 6, 5, 4, 10, 11, 1, 9, 12

RACE 7
5-BUDGET SURPLUS 92.6
2-SLEEPLESS JOY 90.7
8-EASY MILLION 90.0
1-GHOST ACTOR 89.4

RACE 8
6-LITE MAN 91.9
5-SECRET RIDGE 91.3
2-VICTIM OF LOVE 88.1
1-TINQUILCO 83.8

RACE 9
7-ERMINE 105.9
1-BALANCE 101.1
2-LES RY LEIGH 90.7
4-VANGUARDA 88.1

RACE 10
8-MOSTACOLLI MORT 79.1
10-RELENTLESS PURSUIT 72.0
3-REPETOIRE 70.9
5-LONELY HIGHWAY 67.0

1st time starters - 6

Friday, March 09, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRI.

Thur. recap- Race 1- 1 pick scratched, 3rd pick won (3.40) 2nd pick 4th. Race 2- Top Pick Won (3.60) 2nd pick 2nd (3.20) Ex (5.40) 4th pick 3rd, 3rd pick 4th. Race 3-Top Pick Won (6.60) Daily Double (16.80) 3rd pick 2nd (5.00) 2nd pick 3rd (3.60) top pick keyed-Ex (17.10) trifecta (64.50) 4th pick 4th, Superfecta (132.60). Race 4- 1 pick scratched, Top Pick Won (2.80) Pick-3 (14.90) Daily Double (10.80) 2nd pick 2nd (3.20) Ex (3.30) 3rd pick 4th. Race 5- 3rd pick 4th. Race 6- 2nd pick won (13.40) top pick 2nd (2.80) boxed- Ex (17.90) 3rd pick 3rd (3.20) trifecta (61.30) 4th pick 4th, superfecta (199.50). Race 7- Top Pick Won (6.40) 3rd pick 2nd (3.60) 2nd pick 3rd (2.20) top pick keyed to next 2 picks- Ex (7.90) trifecta (17.50). Race 8- 2nd pick won (6.00) 3rd pick 2nd (6.80) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (11.00).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-CONCLAVE 87.5
6-ROOSEVELT 73.1
4-HOT WIRED 71.4
1-SCOONERWHARFBARDOG 67.0

RACE 2
4-PICK VIC 74.3
1-CON JUAN 73.1
2-ICANMAKEITRAIN 53.5

1st time starters - 3, 6, 5

RACE 3
6-SARACINA 73.1
3-BEYOND THE MARK 71.4
2-SHORT SENTENCE 68.7
4-SWEET DREAMS LADY 63.8
1-TOLL ROAD 63.6

RACE 4
6-QUEEN'S SONG 94.4
9-KISSTHESTARGOODBY 80.2
1-RAINHA DA BATERIA 74.9 (off slow)
3-TOTALLY PHAT 70.9

1st time starters - 5

RACE 5
8-STEVE'S LIL GIRL 67.5
7-TORIKINS 65.9
9-DAR C. ALLTHEWAY 58.0
4-SARAH'S COOL DUDE 57.0
2-TEE DEE 57.0

RACE 6
5-AWESOME GRAF 91.3
8-VICE ADMIRAL 87.5
1-VICTORY JOE 86.3 (entry)
3-SCANDALOUS 67.0

1st time starters - 7, 2, 6

RACE 7
8-BURST OF LIGHT 81.4
3-MAMITA CHULA 77.8
1-SILBER 74.3
6-BLUE CAY 73.1

RACE 8
3-MERITSNDEMERITS 63.8
8-UNUSAL MEN 47.8
5-ATILLA SANTOS 46.0
7-EXCELSIOR SPRINGS 37.4

1st time starters - 4, 11, 2, 9

Wednesday, March 07, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-PIECES OF PARADISE 74.9
6-LIGHT FINGERS 73.2
5-LUCERA 72.6
3-ISLAND LIGHTNING 67.5

1st time starters - 4

RACE 2
3-BIG SISTER LINDA 80.8
6-HIGH SPEED GOLDIE 75.8
9-JAK SIE MACZ 74.9
7-UNBEATABLE EAST 64.3

RACE 3
2-PAY THE VIG 93.8
4-DANNY TEMPLETON 76.8
8-FORWARD COMMITMENTS 74.1
7-BRENIN GWALIA 70.9

1st time starters - 5, 6

RACE 4
7-KEY MAKER 92.6
9-TRAFFIC UPDATE 74.9
4-TALEGA CREEK 68.6
1-TAKE A CHANCE 68.1

RACE 5
1-BERNINA BEAUTY 55.0
5-WAILEA GIRL 54.5
6-MIA COUNTESS 30.8
3-GOLD CENTS 29.7

1st time starters - 10, 4, 8, 9, 12

RACE 6
3-RED OPAL 86.9
6-DA SVEDONYA 82.1
1-UDRIGA 79.6
9-SHAPERELLI 74.9

RACE 7
1-BLACK SEVENTEEN 105.2
7-ABALANCHE 97.1
4-CAN THIS BE TRUE 89.4
5-LES GRANDS TROIS 88.1
3-SUNSHINE RIDGE 80.8

RACE 8
3-CURRENCY TRADER 86.8
12-RAPID SILVER 80.8
4-AMERICAN INFLUENCE 76.6
6-PRESSTHEPACE 72.6

1st time starters - 7, 2

Tuesday, March 06, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - INFORMATION ABOUT MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.

All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 or 2 races but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Monday, March 05, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

Sun. recap- Race 1-2nd pick won (9.40) top pick 2nd (3.80) boxed- Ex (12.90) 3rd pick 4th. Race 2- Top pick 2nd (2.80) 4th pick 3rd (2.40) 2nd pick 4th. Race 3- 1 pick scratced, Top Pick Won (8.00) 3rd pick 2nd (6.80) 2nd pick 3rd (2.40) top pick keyed to next 2 picks- Ex (26.30) trifecta (62.20). Race 4- 4th pick 2nd (6.60) top pick 3rd (5.20). Race 5-2nd pick won (4.20) top pick 3rd (3.40) 4th pick 4th. Race 6-Top Pick Won (7.60). Race 7- 2nd pick won (9.40) top pick 2nd (3.40) boxed- Ex (12.70) 4th pick 3rd (3.40) 3rd pick 4th, picks boxed- Trifecta (48.30) Superfecta (206.90). Race 8- Top pick "broke down" while on lead, 3rd pick 2nd (4.00) 2nd pick 3rd (7.00) 4th pick 4th. Race 9- Top Pick Won (3.20) 4th pick 2nd (8.00) 3rd pick 3rd (2.60) 2nd pick 4th, top pick keyed- Ex (16.60) trifecta (40.70). Race 10- 4th pick won (17.40) 2nd pick 2nd (3.00) picks boxed- Ex (23.90).

THERE IS NO RACING AT SANTA ANITA TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two. When I show a top horse "keyed" in the payouts he could have been "boxed" with the picks in your betting also.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times ( see yesterdays post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure first. This is for listing purposes only.

Program number does not match horses name-This has happened four times that I know of in over 550 posts on the blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Thursday, March 01, 2007

 

SANTA ANITA - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THUR.

Wed. recap- Race 1- 2nd pick won (4.20) top pick 2nd (2.60) boxed- Ex (4.70) 4th pick 3rd. Race 2- 2nd pick 2nd (5.60) top pick 4th. Race 3- 1 pick scratched, 2nd pick won (6.00) top pick 3rd (2.20). Race 4- 1 pick scratched, 3rd pick won (58.60) top pick 2nd (3.00) 3 picks boxed- Ex (63.80). Race 5- 3rd pick won (10.60) top pick 2nd (3.20) 2nd pick 3rd (2.80) top 3 picks boxed- (Ex (18.20) Trifecta (46.10). Race 6- Top Pick Won (5.00) 3rd pick 2nd (7.60) 2nd pick 3rd (2.60) 2nd 1st timer 4th , top 3 picks boxed- Ex (18.20) trifecta (57.00) with 2nd 1st timer- superfecta (332.10). Race 7- 1 pick scratched, 2nd pick won (11.80) 3rd pick 2nd (5.00) 3 picks boxed- Ex (24.90). Race 8- 2nd 1st timer won (39.00) 4th pick 3rd (6.60) 3rd 1st timer 4th.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up in class. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
7-MARRY ME LARRY 86.9
2-ASIAN EYES 67.0
4-CARLY EFFECT 67.0
9-ST WAGER 64.5

RACE 2
1-WIDOWER CREED 54.0 (entry)
3-ASCOREINGLADY 51.1
4-LA BEAU EM 51.1
8-UNUSUAL JANE 49.2

1st time starters - 1A (entry)

RACE 3
8-BIG JON 92.6
2-PHAR TO WIN 92.6
5-SOUPY 88.1
6-FIREBIRD SWEET 86.9

RACE 4
11-NATIONAL HONOR 91.3
2-CLAN CHIEF 84.4
5-GOLDEN WAGER 80.0
1-WILD NEKIA 79.0

RACE 5
4-DIXIE COURAGE 86.9
2-DORI'S PROSPECT 78.4
11-DEL MAR CAT 73.0
7-MALLEY GIRL 70.3

RACE 6
5-JAMES THE THIRD 80.2
2-SKELLYTOWN 79.0
6-SEASTATE 73.1
4-TAVROS 72.8
9-UP THE LIMIT 72.6

1st time starters - 3

RACE 7
8-OVERLY TEMPTING 94.5
1-KIN TO A KITTY 90.7
4-BETTERSWEETMOMENT 86.9
3-SARI JO 83.2

1st time starters - 9 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 8
8-CARA BLANCO 59.0
3-EIGHT BELOW 58.0
7-PEACEFUL FLIGHT 55.0
9-ZIELONKO 51.1

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