Thursday, November 30, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THUR.

Wed. Recap- Race 1- Top Pick (tied) Won (12.80). Race 2-1 pick scratched, Top Pick Won (7.00) Daily Double (43.40) 2nd pick 2nd (4.20) Ex (11.30) Q (14.40). Race 3- Top Pick Won (7.60) Pick-3 (57.80) Daily Double (28.00) 2nd pick 2nd (4.40) Ex (12.50) Q (15.60). Race 4- 1 pick scratched, Top Pick Won (6.00) Pick-4 (159.20) Pick-3 (28.80) Daily Double (14.20) 2nd pick 2nd (2.80) Ex (7.20) Q (5.80) 3rd pick 3rd (3.20) trifecta in order (21.00). Race 5- 2nd pick won (4.00) top pick 2nd (2.80) top 2 picks boxed- Ex (5.40) Q (6.40) 4th pick 3rd (2.80) 3rd pick 4th, trifecta (14.90).Race 6- Only 1st timer won (119.00) 2nd pick 3rd (3.20) top pick 4th. Race 7- 2nd pick 2nd (3.40) 4th pick 3rd (4.60) 2nd pick 4th. Race 8- top pick 2nd (4.60) 4th pick 4th.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
7-CHUZZ 82.6
1-I B BAD 80.2
4-ZACKARY'S VERBATIM 74.9
5-DARK PAST 74.7

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
3-LOVEATFIRST SIGHT 51.1
4-MIZ PARADIS 48.8
2-TALKING TO DEVON 47.8
6-REMEMBER MAGGIE 35.4

1st time starters - 5, 7

RACE 3
5-RAZEN HAZEN 105.2
1-TRICKY DAY 91.3
4-TWICE AS BAD 90.7
8-CELTIC FABLE 88.1

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
1A-CARMAN 74.9 (entry)
8-ROCKINSTOMPER 64.3
1-LUIS'S ESPECIAL 63.2 (entry)
5-SARAND STAR 60.1
9-OSHINSKY 59.6

1st time starters - 3, 4, 2

RACE 5
7-HAVASU 88.8
6-EVENING ESCORT 76.6
8-ITSCHELSEAGIRL 74.3
4-YOUR QUOTE 73.7

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
4-LOOK DEEP (68.6)
2-INDY'S WINDY 67.0
9-TRIBAL PRINCESS 65.4
1-SAINT CHI CHI 63.0

RACE 7
8-SILK KERCHIEF 87.5
3-EASY OBSESSION 84.4
6-LADY LE BELLE 82.8
5-VATCHESVENDETTA 80.8

RACE 8
1-MY PERFECT PATTI 68.1
7-SAIL ON SUNSHINE 59.6
8-JOANNA'S JACUZZI 57.7
12-FAIRE LA BISE 56.6

Wednesday, November 29, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
8-SALOP 73.7
5-ABNEGATE 73.7
1-GREY MISTY 70.2
6-HOPINGANDWISHING 66.5

RACE 2
1-JAN'S RULING ANGEL 81.4
2-TIZMET 79.6
7-BARTOK OF SIAM 77.2
4-WAR GAEL 75.3

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
7-AFLEET WEAVE 76.6
3-HOT ROD 67.0
4-YES TALK TO ME 67.0
8-YMUSTICHASETHECAT 64.8

1st time starters - 2 (has had 2 f. races)

RACE 4
1-THE KING'S LASS 77.8
9-BADOUTOO 77.2
2-QUEEN'S SONG 73.7
3-POINCIANA 70.8

1st time starters - 6

RACE 5
4-SIXCESS 91.3
1-SOUVENIR EVENING 86.9
6-SWIFT WINDS 86.3
5-LIKE NEW MONEY 85.7
3-CATOUTTATHEBAG 85.0

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
7-STEALTH MISSILE 63.9
11-ONE SOCK WONDER 63.8
1-BOUND TO GET EVEN 52.6
10-GRAN TENOR 51.3

1st time starters - 8

RACE 7
7-TERROPLANE 110.7
4-ROI CHARMANT 109.3
5-NEW EXPORT 103.1
3-SCHEFFER 100.5
1-NIGHT CHAPTER 100.5

RACE 8
12-MARIA'S BLUES 65.4
5-LAST LOBO 62.2
14-INABOUTAWEEK 58.5
10-ZIG TOWN 54.0

1st time starters - 11

Tuesday, November 28, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.

All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Monday, November 27, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

Sun. Recap- We were able to cash on the pick-6 at Hollywood park with a $120 ticket. The pick six paid (2, 663.80) we also had 8 multiple 5 out of 5 for an additional (286.40) our $120 investment returned a total of ($2,950.20). Race 1- Top pick won (6.00) 4th pick 3rd (4.60). Race 2- 2nd horse 2nd (4.00) top pick 4th. Race 3- 4th pick won (32.20) top pick 2nd (2.80) 3rd pick 3rd (3.80) picks boxed- Ex (52.60) Q (52.60) Trifecta (309.00). Race 4- 3rd pick 2nd (4.40) 2nd pick 3rd (4.00). Race 5- Top Pick Won (5.60) 2nd pick 2nd (6.00) 1st timer 3rd (3.80) top 1st timer 4th. top pick keyed with 2nd pick and 1st timers- Ex (17.50) Q (19.60) Trifecta (85.30) Superfecta (326.60). Race 6- 1 pick scratched, Top Pick Won (3.60) Daily Double (10.00). Race 7-Top Pick Won (4.60)Daily Double (11.20) Pick-3 (18.40) 3rd 1st timer 2nd (8.40) 2nd 1st timer 4th, top pick keyed to top 3 1st timers- Ex (22.40) Q (27.60). Race 8- 2nd pick won (6.40) 4th pick 2nd (4.20) top pick 3rd (3.80) picks boxed- Ex (14.40) Q (18.00) trifecta (72.30). Race 9- 1 pick scratched, 3rd pick won (7.60) 2nd pick 2nd (4.40) 3 picks boxed- Ex (11.50) Q (9.60). Race 10- 1 pick scratched, 3rd pick 3rd (6.00) top pick 4th, After the scratch my 4th pick won (20.80) - this was not on sheet due to late scratch of the #2.

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times( see yesterdays post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure. This is for listing purposes only.

Program number does not match horses name.
This has happened three times that I know of in over 450 posts on the blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Sunday, November 26, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUN.

Sat. recap- Race 1- 3rd pick won (9.00) top pick 3rd (3.00) 2nd pick 4th. Race 2- 1 pick scratched, 2nd pick won (88.20) 3rd pick 2nd (18.80) 3picks boxed- Ex (553.80) Q (773.60) 2nd 1st timer 3rd (3.00) top 1st timer 4th, 3 picks with top 2 1st timers- Trifecta (3,414.80) Superfecta (10,413.60). Race 3- 4th pick won (7.60) 3rd pick 2nd (5.00) 2nd pick 3rd (3.20) top pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (20.40) Q (22.20) Trifecta (73.30). Race 4- Top Pick Won- (23.00) 3rd pick 2nd (5.00) 4th pick 3rd (5.40) 2nd pick 4th, Top pick keyed- Ex (57.60) Q (46.40) Trifecta (477.80) Superfecta (1,247.00). Race 5- 4th pick won (8.00) 3rd pick 3rd (2.80) top pick 4th. Race 6-Only pick won (6.40) 2nd 1st timer 2nd (6.60) 5th 1st timer 3rd (5.00) 3rd 1st timer 4th, only pick keyed- Ex (25.10) Q (30.80) Trifecta (191.30) Superfecta (875.20). Race 7-3rd pick won (8.60) top pick 2nd (5.20) 2nd pick 4th, top 3 picks boxed- Ex (21.20) Q (23.20). Race 8-top pick 3rd (2.60). Race 9-2nd pick 2nd (5.20). Race 9- Top 1st timer won (6.80) 2nd pick 2nd (5.60) 2nd 1st timer 3rd (4.60) top 2 picks boxed with to 2 1st timers- Ex (26.30) Q (29.20) Trifecta (119.70).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
7-ECHEZEAUX 77.2
2-REDSTONE ARSENAL 73.1
4-VIA RODEO 69.9
9-KERN 69.9

RACE 2
5-UNCHANGED MELODY 88.8
11-CORCINA 85.7
1-ROCKET KITTY 80.2
4-UNBEATABLE EAST 76.6

RACE 3
2-ROMANTIC ROGUE 82.0
4-LI BIEN 68.6
9-CLAN CHIEF 66.4
7-OPIMIAN 65.9

RACE 4
8-KING MOBAY 98.1
6-OBJECTIVE 93.3
3-SEVEN NATION ARMY 91.9
1-CHARMVICTOR 85.6

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
12-BELKNAP 62.2
15-LUNA'S HALF MOON 58.0
2-ITSATOPPERSTOPPER 51.1
4-DEVIL RED 40.3

1st time starters - 3, 8, 10, 6, 5

RACE 6
6-SHOWING UP 121.5
9-BROTHER DEREK 117.9
2-BIG MISTAKE 115.0
1-FROST GIANT 114.3 (entry)

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
15-BLACK HILLS 80.2
6-HEZA LEGEND 62.2
12-LADAY TALE 56.0
9-SHEM 53.5

1st time starters - 4, 7, 8, 1, 2, 5, 10, 3, 14

RACE 8
10-POMMES FRITES 114.3
1-PRICE TAG 114.0 (entry)
13-DANZON 111.8
8-THREE DEGREES 110.7

RACE 9
9-SENATOR MATTY 91.9
6-LITE MAN 86.3
4-INDIAN WEAVER 85.0
2-REEL'EM IN 81.9

RACE 10
3-SACRED LIGHT 97.8
2-DOUBLE GALORE 95.2
5-SEA BATTLE 92.6
1-COUSIN JOE 92.6

Saturday, November 25, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

Fri. recap- Race 1- 1 pick scratched, 3rd pick won (17.00) top pick 3rd (2.20)2nd pick 4th. Race 2- Top Pick Won (4.20) 3rd pick 2nd (3.00) top pick keyed- Ex (6.60) Q (7.40). Race 3- 1 pick scratched, 3rd pick 3rd (5.00). Race 4- 3rd pick won (17.00) only 1st timer (entry) 2nd (3.20) 2nd pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (29.80) Q (26.20). Race 5- 1 pick scratched, 2nd pick 3rd (4.20). Race 6- 4th pick won (16.00) 1st timer (entry) 3rd (6.00) 3rd pick 4th. Race 7- 2nd pick won (4.20) 4th pick 4th. Race 8- 1 pick scratched, 2nd pick 2nd (4.20). Race 9- Top Pick Won (9.80). Race 10- Top Pick Won (5.60) Daily Double (27.80) 2nd pick 2nd (4.60) Ex (14.50) Q (15.20).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-BUTCH 105.9
2-WORLD ASUNDER 97.1
3-MIRACLE HILL 79.0
4-MASTERCAT 69.8

1st time starters - 8, 7

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
5-FOLLOW THE CLUES 62.7
6-ARMED N DANGEROUS 50.6
10-SEKIRA 42.4
3-HIT SHOW 37.4

1st time starters - 2, 8, 9, 1, 4, 7

RACE 3
4-BROOKER 99.8
3-TONTINE TOO 99.8
1-BUSHWACKER 97.1
5-NORTHERN SOLDIER 90.7

RACE 4
8-JUNGLE PRINCE 105.1
6-OSIDY 104.5
7-IN SUMMATION 103.1
2-MOTH BALL 99.8

RACE 5
4-SORCERERS SPELL 95.2
1-TWIN TURBO 93.2
2-RIDINGWITHTHEKING 92.6
8-POWER SHIFT 85.0

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
8-SEASIDE AFFAIR 62.2

1st time starters - 7, 6, 5, 9, 1, 2, 4, 3, 10

RACE 7
10-DENIED 98.4
1-IMITATION 91.9
5-SEEKING ANSWERS 91.9
3-ON THE ACORN 85.6

RACE 8
10-RACKETEER 104.5
4-EL SEVILLANO 101.1 (off Aug. 05)
3-SAVE 96.5
1-AMERICAN IMPERIUM 96.5

1st time starters - 5 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
3-ONIDA 89.4
12-MYSTIC SOUL 85.6
10-MISS JOSIEY WALES 81.4
5-BRUSHED GOLD 79.6

RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
3-SYNTILLATING 54.0
2-WHISPERING SHADOW 39.9
5-REMARKABLYREYDIANT 16.9
6-STORMIN VALENTINE 11.2

1st time starters - 12, 8, 9, 13, 1, 4, 11, 10, 7, 14

Friday, November 24, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRI.

Thur. recap- Race 1- Top Pick Won (12.40) 2nd pick 2nd (2.80) Ex (14.60) Q (9.40) top 1st timer 3rd (4.20) 2nd 1st timer 4th, top 2 picks with top 2 1st timers- Trifecta (69.90) Superfecta (601.30). Race 2- 1 pick scratched, 2nd pick 2nd (5.00) 3rd pick 3rd (4.20) top pick 4th. Race 3- 3rd pick 2nd (6.20) 4th pick 3rd (4.00) top pick 4th. Race 4-Top Pick Won (7.60) 2nd pick 2nd (3.40) Ex (13.00) Q (11.60) 3rd pick 4th. Race 5- 2nd pick won (9.00) 3rd 1st timer 2nd (14.80) top 1st timer 3rd (3.20) 4th 1st timer 4th, 2nd pick with 1st timers- Ex (68.10) Q (85.40) Trifecta (334.60) Superfecta (7,284.00). Race 6- Top Pick Won (5.80) 2nd pick 3rd (3.40). Race 7- 1 pick scratched, 2nd pick won (8.40) top pick 3rd (5.00). Race 8- 2nd pick won (10.00) 3rd pick 2nd (6.60) top pick 3rd (3.60) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (22.80) Q (20.00) Trifecta (77.30). If you used the top 2 picks in the last 4 races which is a $16 ticket the pick-4 paid ($309.60).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-MISS LOLA LA DARE 79.6
4-LAZYJENANDTINYTIM 77.2
5-IN MY LIFE 74.3
1-O BEE NAKI 70.9

RACE 2
1-THE MISSLE CME 70.3
3-C D O'SULLIVAN 66.4
10-HOT OFF THE BENCH 63.2
4-RUN LION RUN 61.6

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
3-OPTARI 99.6
4-GOLDEN BALLS 84.9
2-QUIETLY MINE 80.2
7-MAN TO MAN 79.0

RACE 4
5-UNBRIDLED TROUBLE 75.4
8-SILVERS SURPRISE 67.5
6-RED DIADEM 65.9
1A-VOTSI 65.4 (entry)

1st time starters - 1 (entry)

RACE 5
12-APALACHEE TIGER 103.8
5-SOLID FUEL 94.5
7-WITNESS THIS 88.8
10-OLYMPIC MILER 88.1

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
3-THEORY 53.5
2-BEYOND MARK 52.6
10-KILMARTIN HALL 48.3
6-WARREN'SGOLDENGIRL 43.3

1st time starters - 1, 1A (entry)

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
1-ROMAN COMMANDER 84.0
9-WHATSTHESCRIPT 80.2
3-HOLDIN FOLDIN 77.9
8-VAUNT 76.0

RACE 8
2-SHAGGY MANE 106.6
3-CAMBIOCORSA 103.8
5-GETBACK TIME 86.3
8-WEE BIT FANCY 85.6

RACE 9
10-ASHKAL WAY 117.2
5-BECRUX 112.9
6-WHILLY 112.9
9-SWEET RETURN 108.6

RACE 10
16-CORKONIAN 65.9
3-PHANTOM GRAY 60.6
6-CHAMP OF GOLD 55.0
12-LUDLOW COWBOY 52.1

1st time starters - 14

Thursday, November 23, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THUR.

Wed. recap- Race 1- Top Pick Won (2.80) 3rd pick 2nd (3.20)2nd pick 3rd (no show) 4th pick 4th, Top pick keyed- Ex (5.20) Q (7.60) Trifecta (15.30). Race 2-1 pick scratched, Top Pick Won(3.80) Daily Double (16.00) 2nd pick 2nd (2.80) Ex (9.80) Q (6.60) 3rd pick 4th. Race 3-2 picks scratched, Top pick won (3.80)Daily Double (13.00) Pick-3 (20.30) 2nd 1st timer 2nd (14.40) 3rd 1st timer 3rd (3.60) 2nd pick 4th, Top pick keyed with only other pick and to 3 1st timers- Ex- (32.90) Q (47.60) Trifecta (129.70) Superfecta (377.50). Race 4- 4th pick won (15.20) 2nd pick 3rd (2.20) top pick 4th. Race 5- 2nd 1st timer won (110.00) top pick 3rd. Race 6- Top Pick Won (6.80) 3rd pick 3rd (2.80) 2nd pick 4th. Race 7- 2nd pick 2nd (3.40). Race 8- 2nd pick won (15.80) top pick 2nd (4.40) boxed- Ex (33.20) Q 932.20) 3rd 1st timer 3rd (13.80) 2nd 1st timer 4th, top 2 picks with 1st timers boxed- Trifecta (857.40) Superfecta (6,394.60).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

POST TIME THURSDAY IS 11:00 A.M. (Pacific).

RACE 1
5-ROYAL FALCON 79.6
4-POCOSIN'S GAME BOY 68.1
3-SLEWS THE BELIEVER 62.7
2-THIS CATS ALION 35.4

1st time starters - 6, 7, 8, 1

RACE 2
3-DEALER CHOICE 101.1 (off Dec. 05)
5-POTENTIAL 96.5
4-SARAFAN 95.2
2-LIKE A TIGER 92.6

RACE 3
1-JOHNNY ICE 778
6-LOTTA LOOT 77.2
8-SOUVENIR ZONE 76.0
4-MYSTERIOUS CAT 72.6

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
5-SWISS DIVA 78.4
8-SHORT SENTANCE 70.9
10-LA MANDONNA 68.1
4-DIXIE DIXIE DIXIE 64.3

RACE 5
3-RESPECTTED 79.6
10-KALAMATA 73.7
7-MISS BERTRANDO 69.8
8-YODELIN LORA 54.0

1st time starters - 6, 4, 5, 2, 9

RACE 6
1-BETTERSWEETMOMENT 82.6
12-WICKERSHAM 73.7
10-PRIVATE HALL 72.0
7-JUST A TWITT 66.4

RACE 7
3-AREYOUTALKINTOME 111.4
6-CHEROOT 102.5
10-DEBONAIR JOE 101.2
9-ICED OUT 97.8
7-KING MOBAY 97.8

RACE 8
3-SLEW'S PRAYER 71.4
8-RED NECK GAL 62.7
2-ANYTHING BUT GREEN 58.5
6-TRICKY VIVIANA 55.5

1st time starters - 5, 12

Wednesday, November 22, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-KEEPMEINYOURHEART 70.9
7-CLASS EDITION 46.5
4-HATNA 43.1
1-DEVOTED TO YOU 42.4

RACE 2
6-LARGO 82.0
5-AWESOME SPIRIT 68.1
1-GOLDEN ROYAL 60.7
4-PAPAGO ROAD 59.0

1st time starters - 2

RACE 3
1-GREEN EYED LYDIA 68.6
5-MS. TUNA KAHUNA 60.1
8-VISUAL TREAT 49.2
4-STRIP SEARCH 48.8

1st time starters - 3, 7, 2

RACE 4
7-BLACKTIE TONIGHT 83.8
6-BRIGHT PREDICTION 83.8
4-CANTBEATWHATUCANTC 80.6
2-MARITIME COMMANDER 67.0

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 1 mile on turf)
3-CHEROKEE FLARE 73.4
1-TAP IT LIGHT 73.1
5-GUSTAVO 66.5
4-LONELY HIGHWAY 62.5

1st time starters - 8, 10

RACE 6
2-ANTIFREEZETTE 79.0
1-GHOSTLY GIRL 70.3
6-ALPENWALD 69.8
9-DALAT 67.0

RACE 7
5-MISS MELISSA 73.1
4-BORACAY CHIC 73.1
1-GOOD N MUDDY 69.8
7-TONJA'S WORLD 66.5

RACE 8
6-VICE ADMIRAL 75.9
9-SILENT SOUL 65.9
4-DUKE DELUXE 64.3
10-FOREST LAIR 63.2

1st time starters - 7, 8, 3

Tuesday, November 21, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.

All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -GOOD LUCK.

Sunday, November 19, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUN.

Sat. recap- Race 1- Top Pick Won (6.80) 4th pick 3rd (5.60) Race 2- 1st time starter won (13.40) 1st timer 2nd (27.80) 4th pick 3rd (4.00) 1st timer 4th, pays were- Ex (101.90) Q (93.20) Trifecta (535.20) Superfecta (5,039.00). Race 3- 2nd pick won (3.80) 4th pick 3rd (3.40) 3rd pick 4th. Race 4- 2nd pick won (6.00) 4th pick 2nd (4.40) top pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (11.10) Q 12.00). Race 5- 3rd pick 3rd (2.40) 2nd pick 4th. Race 6- 2nd pick won (13.00) 3rd pick 2nd (3.40) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (18.40) Q (14.40). Race 7-4th pick 2nd (7.80). Race 8- 1 pick scratched, 3rd pick 2nd (11.60) 2nd pick 3rd (2.80). Race 9- 4th pick (entry) won (6.00) 2nd pick 2nd (3.60) top pick 3rd (2.10) 3picks boxed- Ex (8.50) Q (9.00) Trifecta (19.50). Race 10- 1st time starter won (116.60) 2nd pick 2nd (4.00) 3rd pick 3rd (4.40) 1st timer 4th.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THERE IS A PICK-6 CARRYOVER OF $148,201 FOR SUNDAY.

RACE 1
1-KEY LIME TIME 70.9
6-SARAH'S HART 65.4
3-MORE ANGELS 64.3
2-SORORITY BID 63.2

RACE 2
1-TROTAMONDO 105.2
5-YOUGOTTAWANNA 105.2
3-CAPITAO RISSO 101.8
6-TOP THIS AND THAT 97.1

RACE 3
3-HAVASU 91.9
1-MELODIOUS 84.4
6-YOUR QUOTE 74.1
2-BERTERA 73.7

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
1-INCREDIBLE 68.1
11-BLUSHING BEAR CAT 55.0
13-PEAK IN A HURRY 54.5
15-PHONE AN R. N. 52.1

RACE 5
2-BRADFORD 92.6
8-CHUZZ 82.6
12-EPIC COMMANDER 80.8
3-SIR GEORGE PRIZE 78.4

RACE 6
6-STYLIN CAT 92.6
1-SLEEPLESS JOY 91.3
4-DYNOUT 91.3
2-SPUNKY HARRY 88.8

RACE 7
5-SUNDAY TIMES 94.5
1-COLLEGE GRADUATE 92.6
8-OUT OF COAL 89.9
4-SPRIGGZEE 89.4

RACE 8
6-MARKET DAY 88.1
3-JUMP ON IN 86.3
1-QUICK LITTLE MISS 83.2
7-BERRIESTOHEAVEN 77.8

RACE 9
6-SKIP'S CHARM 67.5
3-SAINT CHI CHI 67.0
1-LAVENDER SKY 61.4
2-SEVEN STEPS 61.3

1st time starters - 4

Saturday, November 18, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

THERE IS NO FRI. RECAP DUE TO LATE POST - 7:05 P.M. (Pacific)

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
5-PRIZESSIN 59.6
7-TRICKY TRUCE 55.0
11-LOLLAPALOOZA 52.6
4-MUD IN YER EYE 52.1

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
2-CATALINA DANCER 64.3
8-GOWITHYOURHEART 46.5
10-SYNNIN AND GRINNIN 46.5
6-CATHRINE'S HOPE 45.1
11-POINT OF ATTACK 44.2 (off slow)

1st time starters - 1, 7, 9, 4, 5

RACE 3
7-SWAN CREEK 75.2
3-LADY LE BELLE 69.8
1-MADAME BLACKFOOT 65.3
4-ROMANCE IS FLY 60.1

RACE 4
4-SATELLITE 90.6
2-SARATOGA'S MAGIC 90.2
7-GREG THE CLOSER 79.6
1-REQUEST GIVEN 77.7

RACE 5
8-TINQUILCO 94.5
1-ROY JONES 88.8
3-SKIPASLEW 86.3
2-PIETY 83.2

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
8-REALANDSPECTACULAR 77.2
11-LEAVE A MESSAGE 74.3
7-ELUSIVE MELODY 67.0
1A-JUNGLE STORM 64.8

RACE 7
2-HELLO FAME 99.0
4-SWISS LAD 95.7
1-POWEROYAL 95.2
10-PURE AMERICAN 95.2

RACE 8
3-DEVONS SUCCESS 95.8
1-BAD AD 83.8
2-TIGER ON THE LOOSE 79.6
6-GET THE MONEY 78.4

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 7 f.)
7-NOTIONAL 115.0
2-PRIME RULER 94.5
6-MARKED WARRIOR 90.7
1A-CHIEF'S MAGIC 83.2

RACE 10 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
11-KNOBLOCK 68.6
10-SUPERSTAR JUSTIN 59.1
1-LEGENDARY MUD 46.5
7-COMEDY IS MAGIC 26.5 (off slow)

1st time starters - 4, 3, 5, 2, 9, 12, 14, 16

Friday, November 17, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRI.

Thur. recap- Race 1- Top Pick Won (5.00) 3rd pick 2nd (3.40) 4th pick 3rd (2.40) 2nd pick 4th, Top Pick keyed- Ex (9.60) Q (13.40) Trifecta (24.70). Race 2- 3rd 1st timer won (25.80) top 1st timer 2nd (4.40) top pick 3rd (2.80) top pick boxed with top 3 1st timers- Ex (81.80) Q (81.20) Trifecta (273.90). Race 3- 4th pick 2nd (4.80) 2nd pick 3rd (2.20). Race 4-4th pick won (19.40) 2nd pick 2nd (4.20) top pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (41.20) Q (29.60). Race 5- Top Pick (entry) won (5.00) & 4th, 2nd pick 5th, used for superfectas. Race 6- 2nd pick won (14.00) 4th pick 3rd (4.60). Race 7- 3rd pick 2nd (8.60) 4th pick 3rd (4.60) 2nd pick 4th. Race 8- 3rd pick won (5.80) 4th pick 3rd (4.20) only 1st timer 4th.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

THERE WILL NOT BE A FRI. RECAP DUE TO LATE POST - 7:05 P.M. (Pacific).

RACE 1
3-SHE'S NOBLE 82.0
1-GIRLY GIRL 73.7
5-ROMANESQUE 73.1
2-HOME ICE 72.0

RACE 2
4-A CONTROLLED CRASH 79.6
1-RISEN RIVER 65.9
5-GOLDEN WAGER 57.2
3-YOUNG CHICK 52.1

RACE 3
6-MOHAWK 87.5
1-BRIGHT DESIGN 84.4
3-VELVETY SMOOTH 79.0
4-KACHINA DREAM 76.0

RACE 4
9-BROADWAY PLAYER 80.8
13-YODELEN DAN 63.8
7-TWICE UNBRIDLED 62.2
12-EL MERO MERO 60.6

RACE 5
8-TIZMANIAN DEVIL 101.8
7-BIG MISTAKE 89.4
6-BIG JON 88.1
2-ACCRUE 86.3
1-LAZIO 86.3

RACE 6
7-BRITE SHADOW 79.0
4-AWSOME GRAF 76.0
8-GARY'S GOT RHYTHM 69.2
3-BRITE BOBBY 67.0

1st time starters - 5, 9, 1

RACE 7
1-SELVATICA 112.2
6-DREAM'S 107.9
2-RUNNING BOBCATS 107.9
5-CROSS 99.8

RACE 8
7-DEE DEE'S PRINCESS 59.6
5-TAMARA STAR 59.6
1-FAIRE LA BISE 55.5
3-NEWWYN 50.6

Thursday, November 16, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THUR.

Wed. recap- Race 1- 2nd pick won (4.40) top pick 2nd (2.80) boxed- Ex (4.30) Q (4.00) 4th pick 3rd (2.10) 2nd pick 4th. Race 2- 3rd pick won (8.20) 2nd pick 2nd (3.20) 1st time starter 4th, top 3 picks boxed- Ex (12.00) Q (12.20) top pick broke thru gate before start then stumbled at start. Race 3-Top pick won (entry- 3.00) 2nd pick 3rd (2.20) 4th pick 4th. Race 4- 1 pick scratched, 2nd pick won (4.80) top pick 3rd (2.40) 3rd pick broke thru gate before start. Race 5- 1 pick scratched, Top Pick Won (6.60) only 1st timer 3rd (3.20) 3rd pick 4th. Race 7-4th pick won (7.00) 3rd pick 2nd (3.40) 2nd pick 3rd (2.80) picks boxed- Ex (10.30) Q (12.40). Race 8- Top Pick Won (11.60) only 1st timer 2nd (4.80) 2nd pick 3rd (2.40) top 2 picks with 1st timer- Ex (21.80) Q (23.60) Trifecta (71.10).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-ARGENTINISIMA 90.7
2-SIZZLING SARAH 83.8
3-DA SVEDONYA 77.2
4-ADANCE 77.1

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
2-ROOSEVELT 58.5
8-FUTURE SEARCH 51.6
5-BILLY BALLADO 45.5
3-BREAKFASTATBULLY'S 44.2

1st time starters - 4, 9, 6, 7

RACE 3
7-AMIGA MIA 72.6
2-KREEKER 70.3
5-LUCID 62.2
3-MAEMY 61.6

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 f. on turf)
8-TURQUOISE N GOLD 78.5
2-SUNSHINE RIDGE 75.5
6-CONCLAVE 69.8
5-BITTER BILL 68.1

RACE 5
1A-GINNY'S SUNSHINE 91.9
7-ALL MAN 88.7
5-KING PALM 86.9
6-NICKYPALMER 82.0

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
9-TOP EMBLEM 83.2
10-STEADY DEMAND 70.9
2-STEAL JUSTICE 68.6
5-GAME CAT 67.0

RACE 7
7-SPY ALY 94.5
2-FOREST CODE 91.9
8-ARNPRIOR 90.7
4-CHAMPAGNE DREAM 88.1

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
10-BRAVE SUN 67.0
1-SUNSET KID 52.6
3-LATIGO BAY 50.5
7-ZIELONKO 40.1

1ST TIME STARTERS - 6

Wednesday, November 15, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-FORWARD MOVE 108.1
3-HYPERBARIC 99.1
2-DEVIL'S BAY 97.1
5-BUDHA 89.4

RACE 2
3-SILK QUEEN 73.7
6-TOTALLY PHAT 68.5
1-TIME TOSAY GOODBYE 59.0
2-IT'S ANOTHER STORY 56.0

1st time starters - 5

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
1A-TOP OF ATLANTRA 49.0 (entry)
8-CLASSY DISH 47.4
1-STRIP N CARSON 41.0 (entry)
3-ASCOREINGLADY 34.2
5-VELOCITY CAT 33.4

RACE 4
3-FERNDALE SAL 88.8
4-PISTOL CREEK 77.8
5-ON EDGE 77.8
1-CAN'T STOP SLEW 75.5

RACE 5
5-I B BAD 82.0
8-TOMMYLAND 72.0
4-RILEY'S LIFE 68.6
2-HIGH Z 64.3

RACE 6 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
3-JUMP ROPE GIRL 55.5
8-PALM BREEZE 55.5
4-SMOOCH 46.5
1-MAHALO LANI 44.6

1st time starters - 6, 7, 5

RACE 7
5-GOTAGHOSTOFACHANCE 110.7
3-TRULY A JUDGE 99.1
2-BUCKLAND MANOR 96.8
4-HARVARD AVENUE 90.7 (off Aug. 05)

RACE 8
8-VALLEY STORM 76.6
6-DRY YOUR EYES 75.5
5-PAIR OF EVENTS 60.6
3-CICHETARI MISS 59.0

1st time starters - 9

Tuesday, November 14, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME INFORMATION ABOUT MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.

All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.

I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room, boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race.

HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all -
GOOD LUCK.

Monday, November 13, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME QUESTIONS ANSWERED

Sun. recap- Race 1- 2nd pick won (4.80) 4th pick 2nd (12.40) top pick 3rd (2.10) boxed- Ex (27.50) Q (46.20). Race 2- top pick 2nd (2.40) 2nd pick 3rd (2.60) top 1st timer 4th. Race 3- 1 pick scratched, Top Pick Won (3.60) 2nd pick 2nd (3.20) Ex (4.10) Q (6.50) 3rd pick 4th. Race 4- 3rd pick won (8.80) 4th pick 2nd (4.40) picks boxed- Ex (22.40) Q (21.80). Race 5- Top Pick Won (17.20) 4th pick 2nd (12.60) 2nd pick 3rd (5,20) Top Pick Keyed to other 3 - Ex (79.00) Q (74.50) Trifecta (1,232.30) -THIS WAS A NICE HIT. Race 6- 1 pick scratched, 2nd pick won (11.60) top pick 2nd (2.80) Ex (13.10) Q (8.40). Race 7- 3rd pick 4th. Race 8- 1 pick scratched, Top pick 3rd (2.40). Race 9- Top 1st timer won (4.80) 1st timer 2nd (17.20) top pick 3rd (4.00) 1st timer 4th, If you used the correct 1st timers pays were-Ex (80.40) Q (148.80) Trifecta (321.50) Superfecta (2,900.80).

THERE IS A PICK-6 CARRYOVER FOR WED. OF - $541,201.31

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Some questions answered-

Why do I post 4 horses for each race?
I post 4 horses with their ratings for each race as my figures are made and usually posted before scratches. If one is scratched you would still have 3 selections. I also like to play superfectas and trifectas with my system and to box the different horses or key the top horses to the others.

Recap payouts-
I list the payouts on the minimum bet such as a $1 trifecta, $2 Quinella, $1 Exacta, $1 Superfecta, etc. as given by the track results. I have a small advantage betting here in Reno on Quinellas at some of the racebooks as they offer a "house Q"- this is 1/2 the win price times the place horses price. They pay either the track payout or the "house Q" payout and I receive the highest of the two.

Are my listed horses in the order that they should be bet?
N0- I have pointed out the 5 point difference rule many many times( see yesterdays post). Also the 1st time starters cannot be rated under my system and they must always be considered. I do try to list the 1st time starters in the order I believe they will finish. If there are a couple of high rated horses and then a gap between the next horse's figure I would usually include the 1st timer. If his works are very good I would also include him.

Do I make money all the time?
I make money over a longer period of time but I have streaks just like every bettor does. I have a very good day for me with the trifectas. The next racing day???? I post my picks with the ratings, I post the payouts that were possible if you used the picks. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY. My top horse wins alot but many of the payouts are small. If the 5 point rule is there I may bet the 2nd or 3rd horse to win. I only make win bets (no place or show) unless the odds are very high on my selection, then I may make a place bet. I never make a show bet. I like to key my horses that stand out with their ratings and or box 3 or 4 horses for my trifectas and superfectas. If I make a quinella bet I usually box three horses unless I have a standout to key and then I key that horse to three others.

Horses with the same rating number-
I list the horse that I believe has the best chance of beating the other horse with the same figure. This is for listing purposes only.

Program number does not match horses name.
This has happened twice that I know of in over 430 posts on the blog. If it does occur use the program number and the rating for that horse. I enter the program numbers with the ratings first and then the horses name. I do not ever remember having the program number wrong for the selection I wanted with the horse's rating.

I hope this has answered some of the questions that you have about my system. I post information on the system on non racing days at the Southern Calif. tracks. You can go back on my posts on those days for more information.

The best handicapping tool you can have?
GOOD LUCK.

Saturday, November 11, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

THERE IS NO FRI. RECAP DUE TO LATE POST TIME - 7:05 P.M. (Pacific).

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
2-FRESADO 95.8
1-CAT AND A HALF 95.2
5-TRAFFIC UPDATE 88.2
3-INDIAN CHANT 82.6

RACE 2
7-QUIET FLYER 79.6
4-LADY TARA 72.6
8-GEE HONEY 72.0
3-GETNHOTNHERE 71.4

RACE 3
2-COUNTY 99.8
1-BENEATH THE RADAR 96.5
7-THAT'S AN OUTRAGE 96.5
6-PLUG ME IN 93.2

1st time starters - 3 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 4
7-BANGLED SONG 84.4
2-JAMES THE THIRD 82.0
9-LEMON 78.4
1A-SEISMIC THUNDER 76.4 (entry)

1ST TIME STARTERS - 3

RACE 5
8-JAMAICAN MUSIC 68.1
1-ELLA ELLA 62.2
7-TRICKY TRUCE 62.0
2-PHILA MIGNON 60.6

RACE 6
7-LIMITED CREOLE 97.9
1-YES MASTER 96.5 (off Nov. 05)
4-SHAKIN N DANCIN 94.5
13-LURED OF THE RINGS 90.7

RACE 7 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
10-COLONEL CHICK 80.2
4-CRIMSON COWBOY 73.1
9-HEADED FOR HOME 65.4
5-PARTY FOUL 59.6

1st time starters - 6, 7, 8, 2, 1, 3

RACE 8
3-NAKABA 97.1
6-AUBONNE 89.4
5-NAUGHTY RAFAELA 88.8+
4-TRADE ONLY 86.3

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
8-YMUSTICHASETHECAT 58.0
11-EL GATO FAMOSO 52.0
10-CRAFTY TIGER 51.6
4-REBEL CAUSE 48.8

1st time starters - 1, 3

Thursday, November 09, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR THUR.

Wed. recap- Race 1- 2nd pick won (4.00) 4th pick 3rd (2.80) 3rd pick 4th. Race 2- 4th pick won (18.80) 3rd pick 2nd (10.00) top pick 3rd (3.00) 2nd pick 4th, picks boxed- Ex (53.40) Q (54.00) Trifecta (308.40). Race 3- 2nd pick 2nd (5.20) 3rd pick 3rd (2.40) 4th pick 4th. Race 4- 2ns pick won (6.40) 3rd pick 3rd (3.00) 4th pick 4th. Race 5- 2nd pick in dead heat for 2nd (4.00). Race 6- Top Pick Won (6.20) 2nd pick 2nd (4.00) Ex (11.30) Q (11.20) 3rd pick 3rd (5.00) Trifecta (70.80) 4th pick (tied) 4th, Superfecta (350.10). Race 7- 3rd pick won (19.80) 2nd pick 2nd (3.2) top 3 picks boxed- Ex (42.20) Q (32.00). Race 8- 2nd pick 3rd (3.00) top pick 4th.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
1-MIGHTY CLEVER 73.7
5-MARK SET GO 66.1
6-HARD WOMAN 60.1
2-NO TEARS 49.7

1st time starters - 4, 3

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
2-ONE SOCK WONDER 63.8
5-LUIS'S ESPECIAL 61.1
3-DEE RAIN 59.6
4-STEALTH MISSLE 56.0

RACE 3
1-GLASSY 91.9
6-BRAG 90.7
7-THREE TIMES A LADY 86.3
3-SHE'S NOBLE 80.2

RACE 4 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
3-DANCERELLO 63.8
4-TEE DEE 59.6
1-C.C.'S DEELITE 55.5
7-DAR C. ALLTHEWAY 53.0

RACE 5
10-DOMINGO JUAN 74.9
1A-CHASEUR 71.6 (entry)
3-LAHUNA 65.9
6-VALID AGAIN 64.8

RACE 6
9-SCROFA 93.2 (off Sept. 05)
6-ALL AGLOW 91.3
3-COTORRA 89.4
5-JAZZNWITHCANDY 86.9

RACE 7
7-TASHA'S DELIGHT 101.8
5-CALLMELUCKYLUCY 101.8
2-RUN FOR DESSERT 96.5
3-THE USUAL 85.0

1st time starters - 1 (in U.S.A. - fgn.)

RACE 8
2-MR. KATZ 94.5
3-FERNDALE SAL 90.0
4-PAST TENDER 82.0
5-THE FIVE J'S 79.6

Wednesday, November 08, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
3-CHILEIAN GOLD 73.1
1-STELLA'S POSADA 68.6
5-YES TALK TO ME 65.4
4-HOT ROD 58.0

RACE 2
3-TIZZY'S TUNE 84.4
4-LAKE MARINA 82.0
5-PLATA QUEMADA 81.4
6-GREAT OPINIONS 77.6

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
5-A P CHARLIE 72.6
1-SETAFIRE 56.1
2-SOUTH AFRICAN BABY 54.6
8-COOL ALL OVER 53.5

1st time starters - 7

RACE 4
6-LORD MACHO 77.2
7-ZACKARY'S VERBATIM 73.1
8-JOHNNY ICE 70.9
4-ALIE'S DIN DIN 70.3

RACE 5
4-STORM HEARTED 75.4
8-NO LULLABY 73.7
1-PUFFBALL 68.1
3-ISLAND KITTY 62.6

1st time starters - 9

RACE 6
6-POLITICAL MANEUVER 88.8
9-SORCERERS SPELL 78.4
10-CRYPTORIA RIDGE 78.4
5-BIG JOE HILL 77.8
1-SENTIMENTAL DAZE 77.6

RACE 7
3-QUEMAR 98.4
7-GHURRA 95.8
8-BEND 90.7
6-NIQUITA 88.8

RACE 8
12-WAR GAEL 69.2
9-UNBRIDLED HARMONY 68.6
7-PRINCE OTIS 68.1
10-VICTORVILLE 67.5

Tuesday, November 07, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - SOME INFORMATION ON MY SYSTEM

THERE IS NO RACING AT HOLLYWOOD PARK TODAY.

Here is some information about my system for the new people.

My system does not use computer generated selections.

All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen.I use the assigned weight of the jockey (better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races ( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf (most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race.

I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 27 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors.

A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

We all know the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room and boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockey's dumb decisions account for most horses problems.

I hope this helps our new followers understand the system better and how the selections are made. Watch the point differences between the selections and then make your decision on how to bet the race. HOW YOU BET THE PICKS IS THE KEY.

I wish you the most important factor of all - GOOD LUCK.

Sunday, November 05, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SUN.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
6-GOSPEL SINGER 78.1
5-THE KING'S LASS 77.8
3-BADOUTOO 75.5
2-RED DIADEM 73.7

RACE 2
5-STALKING TIGER 96.5
1-ROANWITHTHEPUNCHES 96.5
8-TWICE AS BAD 95.8
7-AGGRESSIVE 88.1

RACE 3 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
6-EVIDENT 63.4
4-BLACK HILLS 63.2 (off slow)

1st time starters - 5, 7, 1, 3, 2

RACE 4
3-MON'S THE MAN 95.8
1-LIKE RUNNING WATER 95.2
4-THUNDERFROG 91.9
6-RATEAU 90.0

RACE 5
6-SONNY JONES 79.0
7-ROMANTIC ROGUE 74.3
3-HOT OFF THE BENCH 62.2
1-FEAR THE STORM 62.2

RACE 6
5-LADY GARNER 86.9
7-BETTERSWEETMOMENT 86.3 (off slow)
1-ROCKET KITTY 84.4
4-QUARTERLY REPORT 82.6

RACE 7
5-WAY TO SHINE 83.2
3-TOP ONE 82.6
2-FORGIVABLE BOB 72.0
1-CAPT. WILSON 71.4

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile)
2-SPENDITALLBABY 74.9
5-KIMMY POTTER 63.1
3-BACK IN THE SHADE 62.7
1-RUNWAY ROSIE 57.5

RACE 9 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
1-CAT LADY 57.5
5-MOM'S INTUITION 56.5
3-BEYOND THE MARK 52.6
2-WARREN'SGOLDENGIRL 44.2

1st time starters - 7, 8, 11

Saturday, November 04, 2006

 

BREEDER'S CUP RACES FROM CHURCHILL DOWNS - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR SAT.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 3- JUVENILE FILLIES
3-CASH INCLUDED 101.8
1-DREAMING OF ANNA 99.5
11-SATULAGI 94.1
6-BEL AIR BEAUTY 85.6

RACE 4- JUVENILE
6-PRINCIPLE SECRET 105.9
2-STORMELLO 103.8
3-SCAT DADDY 103.1
7-GREAT HUNTER 99.8
4-KING OF THE ROXY 99.5

RACE 5- FILLY & MARE TURF
2-QUIJA BOARD 138.7
9-SATWA QUEEN 134.0
7-WAIT A WHILE 122.3
10-GERMANCE 117.5

RACE 6- SPRINT
6-BORDONARDO 141.5
4-HENNY HUGHES 131.3
9-TOO MUCH BLING 130.5
11-SIREN LURE 129.0
1-THOR'S ECHO 128.3

RACE 7- MILE (TURF)
13-LIBRETTIST 142.1
3-ARAAFA 141.3
6-ECHO OF LIGHT 138.1
4-SLEEPING INDIAN 137.3

RACE 8- DISTAFF
7-FLEET INDIAN 121.5
3-HEALTHY ADDICTION 119.3
14-BALLETO 116.4
9-POOL LAND 115.7
13-HAPPY TICKET 115.7

RACE 9- TURF
7-HURRICANE RUN 142.0
9-RED ROCKS 127.7
6-CACIQUE 126.8
1-GO DEPUTY 126.0
10-ENGLISH CHANNEL 125.3

RACE 10- "CLASSIC"
4-GEORGE WASHINGTON 142.8
7-DAVID JUNIOR 139.5
3-BERNARDINI 138.3
11-INVASOR 134.4
8-LAVA MAN 129.8

Friday, November 03, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR FRI.

Note: THERE WILL NOT BE A THUR. OR FRI. RECAP FROM HOLLYWOOD PARK IN ORDER TO POST THE BREEDER'S CUP RACES EARLY FROM CHURCHILL DOWNS FOR SAT. THERE WILL NOT BE ANY PICKS OR SELECTIONS FOR HOLLYWOOD PARK FOR SAT. ONLY THE BREEDER'S CUP RACES FOR CHURCHILL DOWNS.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

Friday - Hollywood Park

RACE 1
5-SIZZLING SARAH 83.8
7-HOLLY'S GOLD 81.4
1-MANDALAY TRICK 80.2
2-HEIRLOOM ROSE 75.4

RACE 2 (all 2 yo. going 1 1/16 mile on turf)
4-MAN TO MAN 68.6
7-DUKE DELUXE 62.5
5-ESOTERIC THINKER 61.6
6-KOLO 52.5

1st time starters - 2

RACE 3
2-MIRACLE HILL 76.6
5-GARY'S GOT RHYTHM 61.1
1-TWISTED LYRIC 57.0

1st time starters - 3, 6, 4

RACE 4
8-MISS SILVER IMAGE 87.5
2-MISS LOLA LA DARE 81.4
3-UNBEATABLE EAST 77.2
4-QUIET GENIUS 64.3

RACE 5 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
1-MIZ PARADIS 52.1
3-PHONE AN R.N. 41.1
2-TABLES FROM LISA 34.6
8-VELOCITY CAT 28.9

1st time starters - 7, 5, 6, 4

RACE 6
9-DIXIE COURAGE 76.0
4-JUST A TWITT 75.4
8-JIMMIE PONG 74.3
7-HARBOR'S HALO 69.8

RACE 7
5-LIVER 102.5
4-TAINT THAT A CAT 101.1
2-WILL 97.8
6-MR. CHING 95.2

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 f.)
1-SCHUSKY'S ECHO 47.8
6-TARA'S TORMENTA 39.4
4-RUTHLESS MAMA 37.4
3-REMEMBER MAGGIE 35.4
5-HAPPYHOUR ATHEBRIG 35.0

1st time starters - 2, 8, 7

Wednesday, November 01, 2006

 

HOLLYWOOD PARK - HANDICAPPING PICKS AND SELECTIONS FOR WED.

REMEMBER- 1st time starters cannot be rated with my system. They must be considered. I will list the 1st timers in the order I believe they will finish.

ALWAYS REMEMBER-The 5 point difference between horses rule-Any horse that is rated within 5 points of each other has a good chance of beating each other on any given day. You should also consider a horse who is dropping or moving up in class. If drop is large enough he may be very competitive with the horses at this level. The same is true with a horse moving up the class level. If the jump in class is too much he may have a difficult time being competitive with these horses.

RACE 1
4-CATCH MY FANCY 85.6
2-MORE ANGELS 76.4
3-ITSCHELSEAGIRL 72.9
7-YOUR QUOTE 72.9

RACE 2
9-PROMISE OF SPRING 68.6
8-BRITE RED STATE 61.6
1-SLEW'S PRAYER 60.6
6-KISSTHESTARGOODBY 55.0

1st time starters - 4, 5

RACE 3
6-ZANN 103.1
5-PORTO SANTO 94.5
3-POTENTIAL 90.0
4-NORTHERN SOLDIER 88.1

RACE 4
2-HONKY TONK BABY 69.8
3-VISUAL TREAT 66.4
1-CICHETARI MISS 62.8
4-SHE'S ALL MAGIC 62.7

1st time starters - 5, 6, 7

RACE 5
7-SILK KERCHIEF 88.8
1-BACHELORETTE ONE 84.4
6-AXIOMATIC 83.4
5-FORTHEWRONGREASON 79.6

RACE 6
10-LORD MACHO 76.0
4-BOUND FOR VICTORY 75.4
11-MYSTERIOUS CAT 73.1
5-RIBOMOON 64.8

RACE 7
2-CAPTAIN SQUIRE 110.0
7-PUBLICATION 110.0
3-HARVARD AVENUE 108.0
6-BACKUS 93.9

RACE 8 (all 2 yo. going 6 1/2 f.)
6-DIXIE MUSIC ROLL 42.9
4-ELEGANT PRIDE 36.6
1-CHAMPAGNE TUXEDO 33.0
8-LUNA'S HALF MOON 24.5

1st time starters - 9, 2, 5, 3

This page is powered by Blogger. Isn't yours?