Tuesday, August 30, 2005

 

WEDNESDAY PICKS FOR DEL MAR

RACE 1
1-BETTOR ROYALTY 80.8 (Entry)
3-GOOD COP BAD COP 77.2
5-MATT THE MIGHTY 77.2
4-ARCHIE'S DREAM 73.1


RACE 2
1-R LUCKY STRIKE 74.9
3-KALOOKAN LESSIE 70.3
2-SIERRA SWEETIE 68.6
4-PRINCESS MCLEAN 65.4

RACE 3
2-IMPERIALE LOVER 58.0
4-BRITE LITE 50.6
6-VAUDVILLE QUEEN 42.0
5-CHATI VALLEY 35.8

1st timers- 1

RACE 4
4-GAMBLER'S MARK 98.4
6-DEVIL BADGETT 98.4
3-FOUR CHECKER 91.9
2-KINGDOM COME 87.5

RACE 5
5-GASIN THE TURBO 67.5
1-DOMESTIC SECURITY 64.8
8-SWISS Z 63.2
11-BANK'S PEAK 55.5

RACE 6
10-ALL CIRCUITS GO 72.0
5-MYSTERIOUS PEACE 71.4
7-CLASS EDITION 69.8
8-SMOKIN VIGOR 67.1

RACE 7
2-SELVATICA 100.4
6-TIALINGA 99.1
7-CALLMELUCKYLUCY 88.1 -SCRATCHED
5-PHINADANZ 86.3
1-NORTHERN MISCHIEF 74.9

1st timer - 9

RACE 8
4-TIZADREAM 78.4
8-CHELCEE'S HOPE 75.4
2-TRIPLE STRAND 74.9
9-ENCHANTING LADY 73.6

1st timer - 6

REMEMBER - 1ST TIME STARTERS CAN NOT BE RATED UNDER THIS SYSTEM. THEY MUST ALWAYS BE CONSIDERED. I WILL LIST THEM IN ORDER OF PROBABLE FINISH.

 

INFORMATION ON MY SELECTIONS

There is no racing at Del Mar today so I thought I would give you a little information about about my system.
Before I get started I would like to thank T.W. on his Woof Blister web blog for the kind recommendation. http://forkedtonguedweasels.blogspot.com/ He said I was on fire. Well yesterday they threw a bucket of water on the fire. Three races were were won by 1st time starters which I can not rate with my system. All 1st time starters must be considered in every race. I do rate them in order on how I think they will finish. My top selections produced one winner (2nd race- 5.00) and four 3rd place finishes.(races -1,3,4,5,) I wish I had a 5 race show parlay on those.

My system does not use computer generated selections. All selections are made with an ordinary home calculator and ink pen. I use the assigned weight of the jockey(better horses are assigned more weight), the horses best two speed ratings of his last 3 races (how fast he ran for the conditions). I use the last three places the horse finished in his races( was he placed at the right level by the trainer). I adjust ratings for turf to dirt and dirt to turf(most horses run faster on the turf). I also make an adjustment for the distance of the race. I have a mathmatical formula I created over a 5 year period over 25 years ago. The final number that I list after each selection has taken in all these factors. A horse should have had 3 races for the figure to be completely accurate. I do list a figure if a horse has run only 1 race but he may not repeat the effort the same way. A difference of 5 points on the top selection from the 2nd selection should be a good bet. Any horses within 5 points have a good chance of beating him to the finish.
We all know that the best horse does not always win. Stumbles, clipped heels, no racing room and boxed in on the rail and most of all Jockeys dumb decisions account for most horses problems. Yesterday was one of those days.

We will post the selections for Wed. Del Mar card as soon as we can get the figures done.

MAY THE BEST HORSE WIN.

Monday, August 29, 2005

 

MONDAYS PICKS FOR DEL MAR

TIMS WHIMS
Another good day for our selections Sunday at Del Mar. We had our top selection win in races 3 thru 7. (3rd=5.60, 4th=7.40, 5th=3.80, 6th=6.80, 7th=3.00). Sarafan # 10 in the 8th was eased and vanned off and this broke our string of winners for our top selections. We had 3 pk 3's with our top selections. (races 3 thru 5=23.20, 4thru 6= 25.60, 5 thru 7=10.50). We were able to hit 4 daily doubles with top selections Races 3 & 4=21.60, Races 4 & 5= 15.00, Races 5 & 6=14.60, Races 6 & 7= 10.50. In race 4 our top selection keyed to the 3rd selection paid - 6 & 2 =EX=22.40, Q=34.60. In the 5th race our top selection keyed to the 3rd selection after the scratch paid - 1 & 2= EX=20.60, Q=31.60. In the 6th race our top with second selection paid-4 & 1, EX=48.00, Q=54.00. In the 7th race our top selection keyed to the 3rd selection paid- 10 & 2, EX=3.00, Q=3.60. We also had the tri with top selection keyed to 2nd and 3rd selections paid - 10,9,7 = 13.60. Let's keep it going.


Remember - 1st time starters can not be rated under this system and they must be considered. Rated in probable finish order.

RACE 1
3-YES I'M TRICKY 54.5
8-BACHELORETTE ONE 37.0
1-FIVE O'CLOCK TODD 35.4
7-GORGEOUS TRIESTE 27.2

1st timers - 5,9,2,6

RACE 2
5-TRENDY 83.2
6-LUDICROUS SPEED 76.0
2-CERVEZA TOM 67.5
3-PRIEST RIVER 67.5

RACE 3
6-WILDOUT 69.2
7-MAKE MINE MINNIE 67.1
1-MOTHER MARIA 49.2
5- SLEW OF THATCH 46.4+ (bumped)

RACE 4
8-COURT SEEKER 84.4
5- O K TOPLESS 76.6
4-CHARMING EILEEN 73.7
7-STEPHEN'S GHOST 72.6

RACE 5
3-SANTEE RIVER 69.8
2-MULKI 61.1
8-COACH TED 60.6
9-PURPLE ROYALE51.1

RACE 6
2-DEPUTY DOC 98.4
4-BONUS PAY DAY 95.9 (off since May 04)
5-PROUD HOPE 95.2
3-HELLO FAME 94.5
9-MAXIMUM HEAT 94.5

RACE 7
3-NEWYEARRESOLUTION 90.0
7-DOMAINE 88.8
5-GLASSY 88.1
1-ARGENTINISIMA84.4

RACE 8
5-COCO'S DREAM 49.2
9-TRUE AND FAITHFUL 49.2 (off since Dec 04)
10-MARY'S WISH 44.2
7-SMOOTH SIS 41.1

1st timers, 12,3

GOOD LUCK - TOMORROW I WILL GIVE SOME HISTORY ABOUT THE SYSTEM AND WHAT IT TAKES INTO CONSIDERATION SINCE THERE ARE NO RACES AT DEL MAR.

Sunday, August 28, 2005

 

SUNDAY'S WHIMS FOR DEL MAR

TIMS WHIMS

We had a great day with our picks Saturday at Del Mar. Out of the 10 top selections 6 won. (2nd=3.40, 3rd=5.40, 4th=9.40, 5th=13.80. 8th=5.00,9th=5.00). Two top selections finished 2nd. (6th= 7.00 PL, 10th=5.00 PL).

We had 4 Daily doubles using only our top selections.
In the 3rd race we had the tri cold. 9,8,2 = $104.80 for a dollar.

We had two pick 3's using top selections only. (2nd thru 4th = 26.60, 3rd thru 5th = $130.00)

We had the 10 place all if you used the 3rd or 4th selection in the 1st race and only the top selection in races 2 thru 10. This paid a very nice $14,317.40.

REMEMBER - 1st time starters can not be rated under this system and they must be considered. Rated in probable finish order.



RACE 1
4-BABE HALL 80.2
5-KNIGHT'S COPY 43.3
3-HARRIETT LANE 41.6

1st timers - 2,6,7,1

RACE 2
4-FIFTH AVENUE SUITE 66.4
8-BAR LEAH 61.1
7-SHIRLEY JEAN 58.0
5-FIVE O'CLOCK 58.0

Note: #3 TAYLOR'S CANTADA is taking a drop where he may be in the running.

RACE 3
4-CHAMPAGNE DREAM 81.4
6-TWENTYFORKARATLADY 73.1 (G.G.)
2-BEDUGUL 70.9
3-MAC RHAPSODY70.9

RACE 4
6-LORD MUSSI 104.5
2-SANKY PANKY 99.8
5-ROBERT E 95.8
1 FAIL ME NOT 95.2

RACE 5
1-CUSCO 97.1
7-CALLMELAURYN 89.4
3-VOLENTE 88.8
2-LETRA DE CAMBIO 85.6

RACE 6
4-HEAVY TRAFFIC 84.4
1-DIXIE GLOW 56.0
6-FUSEOUT 54.0
2-R J'S WAY 26.8

1st timers - 9,7,5,8,3,10

RACE 7
10-RESIDENT ALIEN 103.8
3-IN MY LIFE 85.0
2-DIAMOND FOR KACI 83.8
9-LYNDEES PEARL 73.1

RACE 8
10-SARAFAN 113.6
1-RUNAWAY DANCER 112.9
9-LAURA'S LUCKY BOY 110.0
7-CONTINENTAL RED 105.9

RACE 9
9-SONG SUNG GOLD 68.1
11-MOOD ROUTE 65.9
6-DALAT 60.1
4-HEAVENLY PLAN 59.0

Saturday, August 27, 2005

 

DEL MAR PICKS FOR SATURDAY

NOTE: First time starters can not be rated with this system - They must be considered.Rated in probable finish order.

RACE # NAME POINTS

RACE 1
11 BINGO EVENT 66.4
1 BUENO INDIO 63.2
3 JAKE THE CHIEF 60.6
5 SUCCESSFUL SEEKING 59.0

1st timer's - 4,7


RACE 2
2 TOUGH GAME 108.0
1 TOMBSTONE 92.1 (off Dec 03)
6 POINT DUNE 91.3
4 SLEW'EM & RUN 87.5


RACE 3
9 BENGAL LORE 80.2
8 TALKIN TO MOM ROO 46.9
2 THE THOUGHT OCCURS 44.2

1st timers - 7,6,3,4,5,1

RACE 4
7 APALACHEE TIGER 105.9
9 LIL MITCH 91.3
5 YES HE'S A PISTOL 90.0
3 ZATS IT 89.4


RACE 5
5 GONE QUIET 86.9
1 HONOR CHICK 80.8
6 SOUVENIR 76.6
2 ALPINE SPORT 75.4


RACE 6
2 JAZZNWITHCANDY 83.2
3 BELONG IN BEAUTY 73.7
8 PROPER QUEEN 44.2

1st timers - 1,1A,9,10,6,5

RACE 7 8 ROUND HEELS 106.8
5 DREAM'S 103.8
6 NAVAJA 97.8
7 PENNY'S FORTUNE 95.8


RACE 8
7 WILD FIT 93.9
9 BULLY BONES 85.6
10 RIVER'S PLAYER 80.8
6 CLAMITY JANE 78.4


RACE 9
9 ESTATE COLLECTION 88.8
5 CURRITUCK 85.6
4 BLIND HARRY 82.6
3 COLOMBINI 80.2


RACE 10
4 DEL MAR TICKET 94.5
9 GALLOPING ANGEL 94.5
10 LADY'S CHAMPAGNE 88.8
5 FREE RENT 86.3

Friday, August 26, 2005

 

SATURDAY PICKS FOR DEL MAR

ALL PICKS WILL BE POSTED BY 11:00 A.M. SATURDAY

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